Stocktrading
RTX Bullish Momentum – Move Toward $131.00 ExpectedNYSE:RTX is demonstrating strong bullish momentum, supported by moving averages and consistent upward strength in price action. The recent push above $125 confirms that buyers are in control, and suggests a likely continuation toward the $131.00 level.
A pullback toward $125–126 could provide an opportunity for buyers to step in, maintaining the rally's trajectory.
This setup aligns with the expectation of a bullish continuation, offering a potential long opportunity if pullbacks or consolidations occur near current levels.
NVIDIA Retesting The Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NVIDIA gapped down massively
On the DeepSeek news and
Went further down after the
Opening, but then a gap closing
Move started and the price is now
Retesting the horizontal resistance
Around 130/132$ which also
Happens to be the gap's opening
Level so based on technical analysis
We might be expecting a local
Bearish pullback from the resistance
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
DeepSeek AI | TechStocks Crash | NVIDIA down -17%On Monday (yesterday), Wall Street reacted wildly with the release of Chinese AI app DeepSeek.
Throughout the day, roughly 1 Trillion US Dollars was wiped from the stock market, largely from chip and tech stocks suck as Nvidia which caused a larger sell-off.
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman called it an "impressive model" and POTUS Donald Trump said that it should be a "wakeup call for our industries".
The bright side of this, is that there can be some excellent entry points found across the market after the sell-off.
_______________
NASDAQ:NVDA
8-Minute Guide to Trading Support & Resistance Feeling like you're guessing instead of trading? I've got you covered with this 8-minute crash course on finding support and resistance on TradingView. We'll look at where prices love to bounce back or break through, how to use that for your trades, and a quick trick to spot a real breakout.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
NVIDIA: Crashed on the 1D MA200 after 2 years. Last stand.NVIDIA is approaching oversold valuations on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.351, MACD = -0.820, ADX = 27.301) following the DeepSeek news and breached its 1D MA200 for the first time in 2 years. It was January 13th 2023 when we last saw the price trading on this trendline. The 1W MA50 is just a click under and there is no other way to put it than this being NVDA's last hold. The stock is at -23% from its ATH and the pattern that has to hold in order to provide an immediate rebound is the Megaphone whose LL trendline we just hit today. As long as this holds and the 1D RSI starts reversing near the oversold level, NVIDIA should technically test the 153.00 Resistance in a month or so. Failure to hold this pattern and a weekly candle closing under the 1W MA50, may result in a bubble burst and test of the 101.50 and 91.50 support levels.
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NOW: Bearish Signs – Harmonic Pattern Hints DeclineServiceNow (NOW): Bearish Setup Ahead of Earnings
ServiceNow (NOW) is showing signs of potential bearish movement as it nears its earnings announcement on January 29.
Bearish Divergence: Notable on both the daily and weekly charts, suggesting weakening momentum.
Double Tops Formation: A reversal pattern indicating potential selling pressure.
AB=CD Harmonic Pattern: The bearish harmonic pattern has completed, signaling a possible correction.
Key Levels to Watch:
A closing below $999 would indicate a break of structure, potentially targeting the rising trendline support.
If you’re holding positions, consider off-loading some shares at current levels and re-evaluating after the earnings announcement.
Stay vigilant and monitor price action closely. Happy trading!
NVDA Topping PatternUnlike the previous call, I made in NVDA that was corrective.
This double-top pattern is signaling a reversal pattern.
From a trading perspective, this is a great risk/reward setup that is relatively simple. A CRACK! here will likely lead to at least the right side filling, with the potential deeper pullback (reversal)
If on the other hand, it pops above recent highs then no trade or an easy stop out.
As you all know I don't do targets, I think they are silly and only used to pretend one has such insight not only can they call the move but also a "target" too. Yeah well, I'll leave that to the "experts" ;)
Bulls don't be a dick for tick.
Shorts take some early profits to improve cost basis but let this one ride!
Oklo Inc. (OKLO) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Oklo Inc. NYSE:OKLO is at the forefront of the clean energy revolution, specializing in compact nuclear reactors designed for efficiency and scalability. Its innovative solutions position it as a transformative player in addressing the global demand for clean, reliable energy.
Key Catalysts:
Landmark Partnerships:
Switch Partnership: A deal to supply 12 gigawatts of nuclear power highlights Oklo’s leadership and demonstrates its capacity to scale operations, significantly boosting its revenue potential.
RPower Memorandum: Supporting data centers, a rapidly growing market, Oklo expands into industries with high energy demands, further solidifying its presence in strategic high-growth markets.
Robust Order Book:
With 14 gigawatts of secured orders, Oklo demonstrates strong market demand and a clear path toward sustained growth and market leadership in advanced nuclear energy solutions.
Market Potential & Expansion:
Oklo’s compact nuclear technology offers cost-effective, carbon-free energy, positioning it to capitalize on global trends toward decarbonization, increased data center energy needs, and clean energy mandates.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on OKLO above the $31.00-$32.00 range, driven by strong partnerships, robust order growth, and expanding applications for its technology.
Upside Potential: Our target for OKLO is $60.00-$61.00, supported by its innovative solutions, increasing market adoption, and entry into high-demand sectors like data centers.
🚀 OKLO—Powering a Clean Energy Future with Innovation and Scalability. #NuclearEnergy #CleanTech #Innovation
APPLE: Strong buy on oversold technicals.APPLE turned oversold on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 31.524, MACD = -4.390, ADX = 40.988) as it hit the S1 level and got just $8 away from the 1W MA50. The latter is intact since May 2024 and is the core support level of the 2.5 year Channel Up. Apart from hitting the S1 level, the 1W RSI is entering the S1 Zone and the first bounce after a HH has been a strong buy signal inside this Channel Up (resembles October 23rd 2023 and June 13th 2022 lows). We are bullish (TP = 255.00) expecting an immediate reversal.
Once this breaks, we espect a rally of similar proportions to November (TP = 5.500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Feroz Technical Analysis: Potential Buy OpportunityFeroz currently displays a bullish trend supported by key indicators. Price has rebounded from a trendline and is trading above the 89-day EMA, a historically significant support level respected by the price action. A recent support zone bounce and alignment with the Fibonacci Golden Ratio further strengthen the bullish outlook. Buy levels are 330 (CMP) and 310, with a stop-loss set on a closing price below 275.
Happy trading!
Netflix on the Rise Bullish Breakout in Motion!Trendline Support
The price is respecting an ascending trendline, indicating a strong bullish sentiment.
Recent candles have bounced off this support line, confirming its reliability.
Breakout Confirmation
The price has broken above a key horizontal resistance level around $870.
This breakout suggests bullish continuation, especially with volume support.
Risk-to-Reward Setup
A well-defined risk-to-reward ratio is visible.
Stop-loss appears to be placed below $853, protecting against a false breakout.
Target set around $939 aligns with a significant resistance zone, offering a potential reward.
Indicators
Positive price momentum is evident, with higher highs and higher lows forming.
Likely supported by broader market strength in tech stocks.
Next Steps
Monitor the price action for sustained movement above $870.
A retracement to retest the breakout level could provide a secondary entry.
Key resistance to watch: $900 and $939.
NFLX is poised for a bullish continuation, with the current setup offering a high-probability trade opportunity.
NVIDIA's Momentum A Breakout Story in Progress1. Trend and Structure
The chart showcases an upward momentum, breaking out of a prior resistance level, indicating bullish pressure. The breakout aligns with the upward-sloping trendline, which serves as a strong support structure.
2.Breakout Confirmation
The price has successfully broken through a resistance level, confirming a bullish breakout. This signals potential continuation toward the marked target zone.
3.Entry Point
The entry appears to have been taken near the breakout point, at approximately $141.60, aligning with the bullish momentum.
4. Target (Take Profit)
The take-profit level is marked at $152.94, representing a reasonable upward move from the breakout point. This target aligns with the continuation of the trend.
5. Stop Loss
The stop-loss level is placed at $133.46, below the recent support and trendline. This level ensures protection in case the breakout fails.
6.Risk-Reward Ratio
The setup demonstrates a healthy risk-to-reward ratio, with potential gains outweighing the risks. This indicates a well-calculated trade.
7. Technical Indicators
The momentum of the candles breaking the resistance shows strong bullish interest. No immediate signs of bearish divergence or reversal are visible in the chart.
The chart reflects a bullish breakout setup in NVIDIA's stock price. With strong momentum and a clear trendline breakout, the trade aligns well with the current upward movement. The target and stop-loss levels are well-placed, adhering to a disciplined trading strategy.
Morgan Stanley Breaks Free A Bullish Wedge Reversal in ActionMorgan Stanley (MS) on the 4-hour chart has confirmed a breakout from a descending wedge pattern, signaling a strong bullish reversal. The breakout is accompanied by increased momentum, as indicated by the clean surge above the wedge’s upper boundary. This setup is a classic reversal signal, with bulls reclaiming control.
The entry is placed at 137.87, capitalizing on the breakout momentum. The stop loss is strategically positioned at 123.50, below the wedge’s lower boundary, to safeguard against invalidation of the setup. The take profit is set at 155.35, aligning with the wedge’s projected target based on its height.
The trade exhibits a solid risk-to-reward ratio, and the breakout aligns with the broader bullish market sentiment for the stock. With buyers driving the price upwards, this trade setup offers a high-probability opportunity for trend continuation.
Trading CFDs on Stocks vs ETFs: Differences and AdvantagesTrading CFDs on Stocks vs ETFs: Differences and Advantages
Many traders wonder whether it’s worth trading ETFs vs stocks. The truth is that they both offer distinct advantages depending on your strategy. Whether you're drawn to the diversification of ETFs or the high volatility of individual stocks, understanding their differences is key. This article breaks down the difference between stocks and ETFs and the advantages of each.
What Are ETFs vs Stocks?
Although you are well aware of what stocks and ETFs are, let us give a quick overview. ETFs, or exchange-traded funds, are collections of assets like stocks, bonds, or commodities bundled into a single security. Instead of buying individual assets, traders gain exposure to an entire market segment or strategy by trading ETFs. For example, SPY tracks the S&P 500, providing access to 500 major companies in one trade. ETFs are traded on exchanges like stocks, with prices fluctuating throughout the day based on supply and demand.
Stocks, by contrast, signify direct ownership in a particular company. When trading stocks, you’re focusing on the performance of that single entity, whether it’s a household name like Tesla (TSLA) or an emerging small-cap company. In comparing stocks vs an ETF, stocks are often more volatile than ETFs, creating opportunities for traders to capture sharp price movements.
In this article, we will talk about CFDs on ETFs and stocks. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) allow traders to speculate on the rising and falling prices of an asset without owning it. To explore a world of stocks and ETFs, head over to FXOpen.
Key Differences Between ETFs and Stocks
Understanding the distinctions between an ETF vs stocks is essential for traders aiming to refine their strategies. While both are popular instruments, they behave differently in the market and suit different trading approaches. Let’s break it down.
1. Composition
The primary difference between an ETF and a stock is its makeup. ETFs are baskets of assets like stocks, bonds, or commodities, offering built-in diversification. For example, the Invesco QQQ ETF holds top Nasdaq-listed companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Tesla. Stocks, however, represent a single company. Trading a stock like Amazon (AMZN) means your potential returns depend solely on its performance, while ETFs spread risk across multiple assets.
2. Volatility
Stocks are generally more volatile. A single earnings miss or CEO resignation can send a stock’s price soaring or crashing. ETFs, because they pool multiple assets, experience smaller swings. For instance, SPY’s price tends to move more steadily than a volatile stock like Tesla, making ETFs potentially easier to analyse for certain trading strategies.
3. Liquidity and Trading Volume
Liquidity varies significantly. ETFs tracking major indices like SPY are considered liquid instruments, with high trading volumes. Stocks can be just as liquid, especially large-cap companies, but smaller or niche ETFs and stocks may suffer from lower liquidity and wider spreads or gaps in pricing.
4. Costs
Investing in stocks typically involves just the price of the shares and brokerage fees. ETFs often have expense ratios—annual fees taken from the fund’s value. While these are usually small (e.g., 0.09% for SPY), they’re an added cost traders need to consider.
However, with ETF CFDs, these fees are bypassed, leaving traders with only the broker’s spread and commission to consider. Stock CFDs work similarly, eliminating transaction costs tied to owning the underlying asset.
Advantages of Trading ETFs
Trading ETFs offers unique opportunities that appeal to a range of strategies. Their structure, diversity, and flexibility make them a valuable choice for traders. Here’s what sets them apart:
1. Diversification in a Single Trade
Trading ETFs gives exposure to a group of assets, reducing the risk of being impacted by a single asset's performance. For instance, SPY tracks the S&P 500, spreading risk across 500 companies. This makes ETFs a great way to trade entire sectors or indices without committing to individual assets.
2. Sector or Thematic Focus
ETFs allow traders to target industries, regions, or themes with precision. Whether it's technology through XLK, emerging markets via EEM, or even volatility with UVXY, ETFs open the door to strategies that align with traders’ interests and market views.
3. Lower Volatility
Because ETFs pool assets, they experience less extreme price movements than individual stocks. This steadier behaviour can make them suitable for traders looking to avoid the sharp volatility of single stocks while still taking advantage of price action.
4. Liquidity in Major Funds
Popular ETFs like QQQ and SPY are highly liquid, which may contribute to tighter spreads. Their volume also supports smooth execution for both large and small positions.
5. Accessibility Through CFDs
Many traders prefer ETFs via CFDs, which allow traders to open buy and sell positions without owning the underlying asset. CFDs often provide leverage, giving traders the potential to amplify returns while keeping costs tied to spreads and commissions instead of fund expense ratios (please remember about high risks related to leverage trading).
Advantages of Trading Stocks
Trading stocks offers a direct and focused way to engage with the market. In ETF trading vs stocks, stocks may provide unique opportunities for traders who are drawn to fast-paced action or want to specialise in specific companies or sectors. Here’s what makes trading stocks appealing:
1. High Volatility for Bigger Moves
Stocks often experience significant price swings, creating potential opportunities for traders to capitalise on sharp movements. For example, earnings reports, product launches, or market news can drive stocks like Tesla (TSLA) or Amazon (AMZN) to see dramatic intraday price changes.
2. Targeted Exposure
With stocks, traders can zero in on a single company, sector, or niche. If a trader believes Apple (AAPL) is set to gain due to new product developments, they can focus entirely on that potential without being diluted by other assets in a fund.
3. News Sensitivity
Stocks respond quickly and significantly to news events, providing frequent trading setups. Mergers, management changes, or regulatory updates often result in immediate price movements, making them popular among traders who thrive on analysing market catalysts.
4. Wide Range of Opportunities
The sheer variety of stocks—from large-cap giants to small-cap companies—offers endless opportunities for traders. Whether trading high-profile names like Nvidia (NVDA) or speculative small-caps, there’s something for every trading style and risk tolerance.
5. Leverage with CFDs
Stocks can also be traded via CFDs, allowing traders to take advantage of price movements with smaller initial capital. This opens the door to flexible position sizes and leverage, amplifying potential returns in active trading.
ETFs for Swing Trade and Day Trade
ETFs cater to both swing and day traders with their diverse offerings and high liquidity. Some popular swing trading ETFs and ETFs for day trading strategies include:
ETFs for Swing Trading
- SPY (S&P 500 ETF): Tracks the S&P 500, offering exposure to large-cap US companies with steady trends.
- IWO (Russell 2000 ETF): Focuses on small-cap stocks, which tend to be more volatile, providing swing traders with stronger price movements.
- XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR): A tech-heavy ETF that moves in response to sector trends, popular for capturing medium-term shifts.
- XLE (Energy Select Sector SPDR): Tracks energy companies, useful for swing traders analysing oil and energy market fluctuations.
Day Trading ETFs:
- QQQ (Invesco Nasdaq-100 ETF): Offers high intraday liquidity and volatility, making it a favourite for fast trades in tech-heavy markets.
- UVXY (ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF): A volatility ETF that reacts quickly to market fear, providing potential opportunities for rapid price changes.
- XLF (Financial Select Sector SPDR): Tracks financial stocks and has consistent volume for capturing short-term sector-driven moves.
Stocks for Swing Trading and Day Trading
Selecting the right stocks is crucial for effective trading. High liquidity and volatility are key factors that make certain stocks more suitable for swing and day trading. Here are some of the most popular options for both styles:
Stocks for Swing Trading
- Apple Inc. (AAPL): Known for its consistent performance and clear trends.
- Tesla Inc. (TSLA): Exhibits significant price movements, offering potential opportunities to capitalise on medium-term swings.
- NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA): A leader in the semiconductor industry with strong momentum, suitable for capturing sector trends.
- Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN): Provides steady price action, allowing traders to take advantage of consistent movements.
Stocks for Day Trading
- Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD): High daily volume and volatility make it a favourite among day traders.
- Meta Platforms Inc. (META): Offers substantial intraday price swings, presenting potential trading opportunities.
- Microsoft Corporation (MSFT): Combines liquidity with moderate volatility, suitable for quick trades.
- Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL): Provides consistent intraday movements.
How to Choose Between an ETF vs Individual Stocks for Trading
Choosing between stocks and ETFs depends on your trading goals, strategy, and risk appetite. Each offers unique advantages, so understanding their characteristics can help you decide which suits your approach.
- Risk Tolerance: Stocks often come with higher volatility, making them attractive for traders comfortable with sharper price movements. ETFs offer diversification, which can reduce the impact of individual market shocks.
- Trading Strategy: For short-term trades, highly liquid ETFs like QQQ or volatile stocks like TSLA might be considerable. If you're swing trading, ETFs and large-cap stocks may provide steady trends.
- Market Focus: In individual stocks vs ETFs, ETFs give access to broad sectors or indices, popular among traders analysing macro trends. Stocks allow for focused plays on individual companies reacting to earnings or news.
- Time Commitment: Stocks typically require more monitoring due to their rapid price changes. ETFs, especially sector-specific ones, may demand less frequent attention depending on your strategy.
The Bottom Line
ETFs and stocks may offer unique opportunities, whether you're targeting diversification or sharp price movements. By understanding the differences between ETFs versus stocks and aligning them with your strategy, you can take advantage of different trading conditions. Ready to start trading? Open an FXOpen account today to access a wide range of ETF and stock CFDs with trading conditions designed for active traders.
FAQ
What Is an ETF vs a Stock?
ETFs (exchange-traded funds) are collections of assets, such as stocks or bonds, combined into a single tradable unit. They offer built-in diversification, as buying one ETF provides exposure to multiple assets. Stocks, in contrast, signify ownership in an individual company.
Should I Trade the S&P 500 or Individual Stocks?
Trading the S&P 500 (via ETFs like SPY or through index CFDs) provides exposure to the 500 largest US companies, reducing reliance on any single stock. Individual stocks offer higher volatility and opportunities for sharper price movements. Evaluate your strategy and risk tolerance to choose the suitable asset.
ETFs vs Individual Stocks: Which Is Better?
Neither ETFs nor individual stocks are inherently better—it depends on your goals. ETFs offer diversification and potentially lower volatility, making them suitable for broad market exposure. Stocks provide targeted opportunities from individual company performance.
Do ETFs Pay Dividends?
Yes, ETFs often pay dividends when their underlying holdings generate income. These are typically paid out periodically, similar to dividends from individual stocks. However, when trading CFDs, dividends are not paid in the traditional sense, as you do not own the underlying asset. However, adjustments are made to your account to reflect dividend payments.
Can I Sell ETFs Anytime?
ETFs trade on exchanges during market hours, making them highly liquid. Therefore, you can buy or sell ETFs on specific days and hours.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
From Market Underdog to Tech Titan| AppLovin’s Explosive Growth AppLovin: Making Ads Great Again, One Algorithm at a Time
AppLovin Corp, a prominent software company valued at $57 billion, offers an advanced mobile marketing platform. Over the past year, its stock price has surged by an impressive 500%, far outpacing the S&P 500’s 39% increase. The company’s financial growth is equally remarkable, with a year over year revenue boost of 40%, a 188% jump in operating profits, and a 300% surge in net income in its latest quarterly report
With 40% of the company held by insiders and a shareholder friendly stance that includes share buybacks, AppLovin presents a compelling investment opportunity. Additionally, its valuation remains competitive relative to other software companies, supporting my "buy" rating.
From Ad Nerds to Tech Lords, AppLovin’s Secret to Winning Over Wall Street
AppLovin operates a comprehensive software platform that helps clients achieve crucial KPIs, such as revenue growth and business expansion. Leveraging AI, its software platform stands out as a powerful tool for advertisers, providing capabilities like automated marketing, customer engagement, and monetization. It’s built to optimize targeted content delivery to the most suitable audience, supported by analytics and monetization features that drive maximum value.
At the core of AppLovin’s technology is AXON, an AI engine that powers AppDiscovery. This feature matches advertiser demand with publishing opportunities through a sophisticated real-time auction algorithm, shifting from traditional waterfall systems to an intelligent, programmatic approach.
AppLovin has positioned itself as a leader in the future of advertising, driven by its cutting-edge AI capabilities. I believe there’s immense growth potential here that the company is just beginning to explore.
Performance
In the third quarter, AppLovin reported a 39% year-over-year revenue increase, moving from $864 million to $1.2 billion. This marks its highest-ever quarterly revenue and extends its streak of sequential topline gains to seven quarters. For the first nine months of 2024, AppLovin saw a 43% year-to-date revenue increase, largely fueled by a 76% rise in software platform revenue. This growth was driven by AppDiscovery, whose installations surged by 39% in Q3, underscoring its strong appeal to advertisers.
Beyond software platform growth, AppLovin’s in-app purchases and advertising revenues also increased modestly by 3% and 7%, respectively, despite challenging comparisons, supported by a 53% boost in advertising impressions.
The company achieved record operating cash flows of over $550 million in Q3, alongside significant margin improvements across gross, operating, and EBITDA levels. These gains highlight the company’s explosive growth and underscore the stock’s 500% rise over the past year.
Given AppLovin’s strategic success and positive advertiser response, I anticipate ongoing improvements in cash flow and profit margins. With over $3.3 billion spent on share buybacks since 2022—$980 million in 2024 alone—the company continues to reward its shareholders while capitalizing on its profitable AI-driven platform.
Valuation
Although APP’s trailing P/E ratio of 74.52 and PS ratio of 19.33 might appear high compared to the IT sector averages, a comparison with peers in the Application Software industry reveals a different perspective.
In a peer group of large software companies, APP ranks third in EV/Sales ratio at 18.65 but also boasts a forward topline growth rate of over 24.1%, placing it among the top performers. This high growth potential appears to justify the stock’s premium, positioning it attractively in terms of PS ratio relative to anticipated growth.
Despite recent heavy buying, APP remains an appealing value investment. As long as it maintains its relative positioning, I continue to view the stock favorably.
Risks
Despite my optimism, I recognize that AppLovin’s momentum could be part of a broader AI-driven market surge, raising concerns about a potential AI bubble. If the market faces a downturn similar to the dot-com bubble, APP could experience a sharper decline than its peers, especially given its relatively weak balance sheet.
Additionally, with an RSI of 96 signaling heavy overbuying, there may be potential for a future correction. While APP’s 500% rise is impressive, it could be vulnerable if the market undergoes a broader correction
Conclusion
Advertising is on the cusp of an AI driven transformation, and AppLovin is well-positioned to capitalize on this shift with its powerful AI-enabled platform. Despite the stock’s impressive 12-month performance, there’s still significant growth potential
TESLA (TSLA)BIAS: BULLISH
After the reversal, there was a push touching ATH and now looking for support on the previous...
To change bearish bias:
A push below 360-300p/s would be expected... Strong support around 260.
Unless specifically timed with a low chance of alteration by external forces, anticipating the exact timing of events is unrealistic.
WALMART: The first buy opportunity of 2025 is here.Walmart has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.502, MACD = 0.350, ADX = 31.554) as it is trading sideways on top of the 1D MA50. This is a strong support level that has been unbroken since August 14th 2024 but the sideways trending 1D RSI resembles all times since September 2022 that it crossed under it and then rallied. Consequently this is already a strong buy signal, regardless of whether the price breaks the 1D MA50 or not as, at worst it is expected to trade sideways for another 1-2 weeks and then rebound. We aim for a +22% price increase (TP = 108.00) like the last two bullish waves delivered.
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Qifu Technology (QFIN) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Qifu Technology NASDAQ:QFIN is a prominent digital financial services provider in China, offering a broad range of loan products and financial services through its growing platform. The company has built a robust consumer base, connecting millions of users with over 160 financial institutions, ensuring strong diversification and market leadership.
Key Growth Drivers
Platform Growth:
254.3 Million Consumers (As of Sept 30, 2024): Qifu's impressive growth, with an 11.6% year-over-year increase in consumer connections, underscores the expanding adoption of its services. This large and growing user base reflects strong demand for digital financial solutions in China.
Diversified Loan Products: Qifu’s partnerships with 162 financial institutions provide access to a wide variety of loan products, helping to attract a broad customer base and drive increased revenue through a diverse range of offerings.
Management Confidence:
$450 Million Share Repurchase Plan (2025): The announcement of a significant share repurchase program indicates strong confidence from management in the company's future prospects and suggests that Qifu's stock may be undervalued at current levels. This initiative is likely to boost shareholder value and enhance investor sentiment.
Strategic Growth Focus: The share buyback also demonstrates a commitment to shareholder returns and signals management's belief in the company's long-term growth potential.
Market Leadership and Financial Strength:
Positioning as a Market Leader: Qifu's leadership in the digital financial services sector is reinforced by its strong partnerships and growing consumer base, giving it a competitive edge in a rapidly expanding market.
Revenue Growth: Qifu’s ability to generate revenue through its loan products and financial services will continue to expand as the platform connects more consumers and diversifies its offerings.
Investment Thesis:
Qifu Technology is well-positioned to capitalize on China’s growing digital financial services market, leveraging its vast consumer base, partnerships with financial institutions, and strategic buyback program. These factors, coupled with management’s confidence in the stock’s value, make Qifu an attractive investment opportunity.
Bullish Case:
Target Price Range: $67.00–$68.00
Entry Range: $32.00–$33.00
Upside Potential: The combination of strong consumer growth, solid partnerships, and management's strategic initiatives positions Qifu for significant upside potential in the coming quarters.