Walmart Stock $WMT expecting a decent rally in September 2024Walmart Stock #WMT is trying to rally as it reacts to a daily demand imbalance at $78.84. Expecting a decent rally from this level. Walmart Inc. is an American multinational retail corporation that operates a chain of hypermarkets (also called supercenters), discount department stores, and grocery stores in the United States and 23 other countries.
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META: Targeting $700 at least by the end of the year.META platforms is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 63.256, MACD = 7.090, ADX = 26.657) as it is making a healthy rebound on the 1D MA50. The 1 year Channel Up is posting recurring phases inside it and at the moment we are on similar grounds as early December 2023. Even the 1D RSI is identical between phases. Technically that suggests that the Channel Up can top on a HH after a +92% rise from the bottom but having the 0.618 Fibonacci level as a clear Rising Resistance, we will settle for a TP = 700.00 by the end of the year.
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Shanghai Stock Exchange - MACRO OUTLOOK DANGER!!SSE Composite Index
Macro timeframe has just confirmed a bearish trend incoming.
Expiry set for October 2026 with macro targets of $2,000 - $1,700.
Short term we may take the lows of $2,600's followed by a dead cat bounce toward $3,000's and macro bearish structure will remain the same. Macro bearish idea invalidation upon a strong close above $3,200.
Comprehensive Analysis of Chevron (CVX) - 16/09/2024Chevron (CVX) is an established energy company listed in the S&P 500 index.
Technical Analysis: I use moving averages as zones rather than lines. On the weekly chart, I applied the 200 EMA and 200 SMA, shading the area between them in orange to create a moving average zone. Currently, prices are finding support in this zone on the weekly chart.
Additionally, the $140 level acts as a demand zone and creates confluence.
On the daily chart, the ATR-based Keltner Channels are touching the lower band, indicating that downside volatility has reached its natural limits. There is also a bullish order block present.
On the 4-hour chart, I use the Inverse Fisher RSI. It filters out noise and provides fewer false signals compared to the standard RSI.
On the 1-hour chart, there is a noticeable decline in volume. Remember, without volume, it is difficult to break through support or resistance levels. From a technical standpoint, different timeframes are giving BUY signals.
Fundamental Analysis: The company has a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.81, which is considered normal for the sector. In the last quarter, Chevron reported total revenue of $49.66 billion and a net profit of $4.43 billion, resulting in a 9% profit margin, which meets my no-loss rule.
Chevron has strong return on equity, and growth continues. Its current ratio is 1.16, meaning its short-term assets exceed its liabilities, indicating financial stability.
The price-to-book ratio is 1.60, which is excellent for a company of this size.
Chevron's total assets stand at $260 billion, while total liabilities are around $100 billion, meaning the company's debt-to-assets ratio is 38.51%, which is highly acceptable.
The company’s annual dividend yield is 4.55%, providing a potential bonus for long-term investors.
With CVX trading near its 52-week low and showing positive signals, it could be a good choice for portfolio managers.
GOOGLE.... Go Long!After the bullish BOS, sweeping all of the external liquidity, price returned to the breakout level to find support at the +FVG.
Also worth mentioning, price retraced to the OTE fib level of .705, as well.
The reaction is a good one, as last week's candle had a strong, bullish close.
The outlook is bullish. Longs only.
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MSFT Daily OverviewMICROSOFT remains one of my favourite instruments in STOCK TRADING.
I've always enjoyed watching it's price movements, I believe it has remained a solid investment consistently.
Right now I believe Microsoft is about to start recovering from it's recent drawdown and start to move bullish after it hit a major RESISTANCE zone.
We will do further analysis on this instrument once more bars are printed!
GOOGLE: The 3rd major bullish wave begins.Google is just turning from bearish to neutral today on the 1D time-frame (RSI = 44.178, MACD = -4.950, ADX = 38.408), same situation also on its 1W outlook, as the stock recovers from the 1W MA50 breach last week. The green weekly close today is positive as it restored the price back inside the 2year Channel Up. A second straight green candle next week, will validate the start of Google's new 250day bullish wave, with the two before it rising by approximately +60% each.
If you are a long term investor, wait for next week's candle close and if green, buy (TP = 230.00).
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Strategic Sell Setup for Lupin: Precision Trading with Defined RIn this Lupin sell trade setup , we are employing a systematic approach that ensures we trade based on a clear structure:
Identifying Key Levels:
The first step is to recognize a candle that has closed above the all-time high. This candle is crucial as it marks a potential exhaustion point or a possible reversal zone.
Confirmation with Consecutive Candles:
After spotting the all-time high candle, we need to confirm the market's bearish movement. The next two consecutive candles should close below each other, signaling that resistance is strong and the stock price is likely to move down.
Establishing Resistance:
The third key point is the confirmation of resistance. The downward pattern in candle closings suggests that selling pressure is increasing and resistance is solidifying. This signals a good opportunity to plan the trade.
Executing the Trade:
Finally, execute the sell trade based on the rules set in the strategy. This includes placing a stop-loss (27.65) and targeting a reward-to-risk ratio of at least 5:1. In this case, the target is 138.50 with an impressive reward-to-risk ratio of 5.01, ensuring the trade offers substantial profit potential compared to the risk.
This setup not only provides a clear structure for entry but also incorporates a solid risk management plan, making it a robust strategy for traders looking to capitalize on short opportunities in Lupin.
Tesla - This Is Still Not Bearish!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is stuck between structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Tesla continues to consolidate in the long term descending triangle pattern. Following previous price action, a bullish breakout is much more likely but Tesla is still trading below the trendline resistance. A potential bullish breakout will be followed by an incredible rally and new highs.
Levels to watch: $160, $230
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nvidia - A Correction Of -50% Is Starting!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is reversing at a strong resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Last month Nvidia already corrected about -35% but managed to close with an indecision doji candle. However, previous cycles, the recent rally of +1.000% and the fact that Nvidia is retesting a strong resistance trendline all suggest that Nvidia will still move much lower soon.
Levels to watch: $100, $55
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
AMAZON: Crossed over the 1D MA50, best buy trigger you can getAmazon crossed today over the 1D MA50 for the first time since August 1st and effectively validated the buy signal that was triggered on August 5th at the bottom of the Channel Up. The 1D technical outlook just got over neutral grounds (RSI = 56.780, MACD = 0.060, ADX = 15.410) so being slightly bullish along with the 1D MA50 cross, is the best buy trigger you can get.
The MACD pattern is almost the same as on every Channel Up bottom. The rallies that started on those bottoms printed +62.30% and +64.82% rises. We are targeting at another +62.30% rise (TP = 245.00).
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TSLA forecastDescending Trendline (Yellow Line):
The stock appears to be in a downtrend, as shown by the yellow descending trendline. This line indicates a resistance level that the stock has tested multiple times but hasn't yet broken through.
Support and Resistance Levels (Red and Orange Horizontal Lines):
Several horizontal lines, likely key support and resistance levels, are drawn.
Red Lines: These represent support zones where the price has bounced in the past (120.48, 154.22, 167.21).
Orange Lines: These are resistance levels (257.67, 302.74) that the price may struggle to break through.
Current Price and Movement:
Tesla’s price is at $226.13, which shows a gain of 4.56% for the day.
The blue and red boxes to the left represent the current bid and ask prices.
Future Price Projection (Blue Path):
The zig-zag blue path seems to be an anticipated price movement. It shows the price possibly breaking above the yellow trendline (resistance) and moving upwards towards the next resistance level near 257.67.
After potentially retesting the breakout, the price might continue its upward movement as suggested by the upward arrow.
Measured Move (Orange Vertical Line):
The orange vertical line on the right highlights a potential price gain of 136.69 points (112.03%) if the stock were to move from the low point (around 120.48) up to the higher projected level (possibly above 257.67).
Overall Interpretation:
The chart suggests that Tesla’s stock is currently testing a key descending resistance. A breakout above this trendline might lead to a significant upward move, potentially targeting the 257.67 or even higher levels. However, if the breakout fails, the price might retest lower support zones around 185 or even 167.
TESLA: Building up the next bullish wave to $300.Tesla is in the upper levels of neutrality on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.149, MACD = -1.520, ADX = 23.400) as it remains marginally under the 1D MA50, but a crossing over it should restore the buying sentiment. Long term the stock is inside a Channel Up that is technically in the build up of the next bullish wave after the HL on August 5th, also backed by the 1D Golden Cross of July 29th. We anticipate the new rally to cross above both R1 and R2 and target R3 (TP = 300.00).
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SQQQ I It will decline from top of the resistance channel
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Oracle Liquidation - Short or Sell | Yellowstone Bubble Anyone?Awhile back I posted a chart, where I referred to this current market as the "Yellowstone Bubble".
Lol at the time, I was simply teasing about how ever since roughly season 4 of the show Yellowstone , it seems like everyone thinks they are some kind of tough-guy money-making, all-powerful market wizard.
Google: "Yellowstone Oracle".
Anyway, there's not much else to say here. The internet is a commodity.
Nvidia Go Bye Bye | Short or Take Profits Whenever news commentators feel the need to interview a CEO, and hail the CEO as some kind of benevolent "hero of the people", that is a pretty good indicator that something is awry.
The same applies for rampant social media hype.
At the end of the day, the chart & the macro backdrop tell the real story.
NASDAQ:NVDA will collapse from here. Don't bother trying to buy any time soon, you will only be hurting yourself; this thing, along with the broader market has some significant adjusting (downward) to work through.
APPLE: Buy lower if this level breaks. Next target = 260.Apple is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.352, MACD = -0.130, ADX = 33.865) as it is consolidating around the 1D MA50. The trend is a bearish one, correcting under LH and until they break, it will remain bearish. Much like the Channel Down corrections of 2023 and 2024, failure to cross above the top of the bearish pattern, should extend the selling to the 1D MA100 again, even the 1D MA200 if it fails.
The 1D RSI of the prior tw fractals indicates that two main LH should be formed before the price recovers. This shows that we should take our time with AAPL and if the 1.5 Fib level breaks, buy on the 1D MA100 and the 1D MA200 for the long term. TP = 260.00 (the 2.5 Fibonacci level).
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Box (BOX) AnalysisCompany Overview: Box has successfully transitioned from its roots in enterprise storage to becoming a leader in cloud content management and automation. The company’s strategic focus on automation, evidenced by recent acquisitions such as Crooze (automation tools) and Alphamoon (intelligent document processing), has positioned it to capitalize on the growing demand for streamlined workflows and smarter document management in the cloud.
Key Catalysts:
Shift Towards Automation: Box’s move to expand its automation capabilities through strategic acquisitions underscores its commitment to enhancing cloud content management solutions. This shift is likely to drive increased customer adoption as companies seek to automate document-heavy processes and optimize workflows.
Margin Expansion & Buyback Program: Box is trading at around 20 times this year’s adjusted EPS estimates, offering strong growth potential driven by margin expansion. Additionally, the company’s board recently authorized a $100 million share repurchase program, reflecting confidence in Box’s growth trajectory and ability to return value to shareholders.
Strategic Growth: Box continues to innovate in cloud content management and automation, which positions it well to capture a larger market share as organizations increasingly prioritize cloud-based and automated solutions.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:BOX if it holds above the $28.00-$29.00 range. Upside Potential: The upside target for BOX is set at $44.00-$45.00, fueled by its strategic focus on automation, margin expansion, and strong buyback activity.
📦 Box—driving the future of cloud automation! #BoxCloud #AutomationRevolution 🚀📈
S&P 500 ($SPY) COLLAPSE | Recession Alert!!Behold, devastation just up ahead.
$2500 is probable in the S&P.
Retirements are about to be wiped out. As a friendly reminder, the "401K is free money" narrative is going to evaporate.
The media will soon be out in full force talking about:
"stay the course"
"remember your goals"
"stay invested"
"LFG"
"buy the dip"
So foolish.
If you are trapped in a retirement fund (401K), the best thing you can do right now is get defensive. Sell ALL "growth stocks" and shift all of your wealth into cash and / or bonds.
Be careful out there, everyone! Something major is happening on a global scale!