Stophunt
BITCOIN WARNING: Optimal Whale Play Will Hit You! Lets jump right into it - we dont have time to waste, because you might once again be caught by the whales. D4rkEnergY is the master when it comes to Market Psychology, and have warned you many times before, when there were risk of being Stop Hunted.
Let me start to say, that Bitcoin is extremely bullish if we zoom out, and take a look at the Daily or Weekly chart. BTC is in a Bull Market, and your job is to spot where its likely we will have a pull back, so you can buy the dips.
Let me also stress, that it is likely, that we will go down right away to my ORANGE Trend line - but this post serve the purpose to give you an idea about another very likely scenario, which will be the optimal Whale Play.
335 Irregular/Running Flat ABC Correction
This correction is not unlikely, and we have seen it play out before - not long time ago - on the 4th wave in the extrension inside the 3rd wave extension.
Take a look at the Long vs Short indicator. We have a huge disproportion between Longs vs Shorts, which give the whales a good incentive to go up straight away. In this correction we will go ABOVE the 3rd wave (123.6% of wave), which will kill tons of Shorts. Hereafter we will go down again, which then will kill all the Longs who believe that this an impulse wave.
And lastly the Shorts will once again be fooled, when we make a super short retracement on C (61.8% of AB), which is normal in an irregular/running flat ABC correction.
I hope it helped you. Please be aware of this likely scenario - and remember that LIKE!
- D4 Loves You! <3
The 2 Most Likely BITCOIN Scenarios You NEED to Know About!We are back again, and D4rkEnergY will present for you the MOST LIKELY Bitcoin scenarios. As you know D4 is here to spread Love and Wisdom to the Crypto Community. He is the unstoppable force in the Universe, that makes everything expand, and even accelerate.
Yesterday I told you about feelings, and that trading is hard, because you often have to do something which is contrary to your feelings to profit from trading. You can read the post here:
We still dont have a final answer when it comes to this wave. It could be a B-wave, or it could be an impulse wave, which will take us directly to 16k USD.
The Structure is Bullish
Looking at classical charting we are trading inside a neutral triangle, BUT because we are coming from a DOWNtrend, there are a in theory a bigger chance, that we will break to the DOWNSIDE. On the other hand, because we are making Higher Lows in an more steep angle AND because we are above 11,6k with big support, it makes it more likely we will break to the UPside.
Also the big disproportion between Longs and Shorts, helps the Longs because its an incentive for the Whales to go up and Stop Hunt the shorts.
So we have some uncertainty, but everything taken into account, the structure is more bullish than bearish!
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Bears Are Begging Whales for Help, But BTC-Bulls Play it Wise!Boom, another Stop Hunt. Bears havent had a chance for long time. They were all grounded in armlocks, and were shouting for help. Usually the Whales are on the bulls side, but once in a while when the Bulls get too greedy and too confident and cocky, they go and punish the Longs! 700 USD Stop Hunt in no time was it.
And yesterday we saw a similar scenario. It was a 1,000 USD Stop Hunt in no time. But notice how QUICK it got bought up - it tells us, that the bulls are wise and fast. They are determined, which you also can see from the Higher Lows they keep making.
As you can see D4rkEnergY is back again, and again, and he will continue to spread love and wisdom to all his friends and followers!
Pushing Forward Killing Shorts - And Boom!
Since 5,000 USD Bulls and Whales have pushing forward and killed Shorts (liquidated or hit their Stop Loss) again and again.
And then sometimes, out of the blue, when TOO many people starts to believe in the rally its time to punish the longs. There is really not anything new to this - I have mentioned it again and again.
D4s theory has been proven again and again to be correct. That was also what I mentioned it would happen in my interview with TradingView, where I predicted, when we were at 7.4k, that we would go above 10k and make a New All Time High.
You can watch it here: www.tradingview.com
Confirmation
What also seems confirmed was my theory about, that it was a clear goal to go to at least 11,000 USD before we would see a Stop Hunt so we wouldnt go below 10k. Now its the second time it happened when we just went above 11k.
Now What?
Right now, you can see, that we here on the 4h chart have made a beautiful ascending triangle, which is a bullish structure. So we will most likely go down now, and hereafter go up again.
I have given you a target Im really happy to have you guys on this journey together with me - we are gonna make money together, and I have already got so many DMs from people who are thanking me for my calls!
You are welcome!
With Love from D4 - Please give a LIKE!
Bitcoin Whales About To GO CRAZY in THIS Minute... 10K Now?NO time, to BS-Talk. Bitcoin is Super interesting right now! And very weird...
We have a really BULLISH sctructure, with a lot of greed and bullish momentum. We have an Ascending triangle if we look at our classical charting, and the bullish volume is increasing again. Also The Market Sentiment is Bullish.
MORE Shorts Than Longs!
BUT take a look at the Long vs Short indicator. Its crazy that so many people are short, with all the bullishness we have going on. BUT the shorts obviously believe its unlikely, that we will go through the very hard resistance.
Very Dangerous Game
The shorts are playing a VERY dangerous game. This could be a pretty easy push here if you are a whale or a couple of whales! They could pretty easily in a such structure PUSH and Stop Hunt and kille the shorts.
Something will happen very soon. And super interesting right now! Lets hope that the bulls in collab with whales will go up!
D4 Loves You <3
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Bitcoin, the last stop hunt. Hello traders,
Just a little update on Bitcoin, the consolidation area which was mentioned last week is holding well, but it looks like its coming to an end and we might witness a breakout soon.
As you can see on this 4 hour time-frame, the current price action is literally mimicking the previous breakout, by forming sort-of double tops and then exploding to the upside.
I mentioned 8200 on prior analysis as a crucial level of resistance from where we had few pullbacks, and upon breakout it had to be retested, which seems what's bitcoin is doing now. We had the breakout of the level which took us to around 9000, and then immediately reversed to retest 8200 this forming an inner trend-line.
As of right now, I believe bitcoin going for that last stop hunt wick at around 8350-8400 which confluences with the trend-line before exploding to the upside, taking us to 9200-9600.
WATCH OUT: BTC-LONGS Will Soon Be Killed By Whales STOP HUNT!I have argued for a 70 % chance for a Parabolic Bull Run - And I we will get it. But what most people dont know is, whats gonna happen now...
And you will all be surprised. We will most likely NOT go directly up right now - we will drop, and make what I believe is a Flat 335 Structure. But not only that - It will hurt much more.
People are talking about 7,700 USD, some 7,500 USD. Nope, and nope! Most likely we will see a Stop Hunt to below 7,000 USD, just to kill the Longs and Shake up the market. The Market Sentiment is a bit TOO Bullish right now for the whales.
And it would be healthy just to confuse people, and make some extra dollars pushing the price lower, so people and you start to panic a bit. We might even go below 6,500 USD or EVEN 6,000 USD.
That WOULD be optimal for the whales, cause it it would turn traders into disbelievers, and all the Dumb Money would change their bias to Short again. But the Bull Run is unstoppable now - so no matter what, we WILL go up again and continue our Parabolic Bull Run and Make New Highs in 2019!
That is something to look forward to!!
D4
Leave a LIKE. Really appreciate it!
IMPORTANT Understand How BITCOIN-WHALES Think! First down, then up, then down again and then up?? WTF? Did You See It? What Just Happened?
Whales, guys!
One of the biggest advantages of being a whale, is also their disadvantage. Yes, they can manipulate the market, but try to make 100% ROI on 50m USD in the Crypto Market!? Its obviously way easier to double your money if you start with 100 bucks.
Because the whale has a lot of money, they also need other traders (collectively) in the market with a lot of money, otherwise there will be no trade. That is not always easy - and its not at every price point people want to trade.
Example
We have more people trading at (liquidity) around 10,000 USD than 7128 USD.
And THAT, guys, is also why Whales always try to steer the market in a direction with high liquidity.
How A Whale Make Money
A part of a Whales strategy to make money is STOP HUNTING. They will try to liquidate you, or make you hit your Stop Loss because it will work as a sell or a buy, which will move the price in their desired direction.
How Whales Stop Hunt?
The most efficient way to liquidate people - both shorts and longs at the same time - is to make a sudden move first in one direction (through a key price point for instance 8,000 USD), and THEN back again through the same price point.
Why Is That?
The reason is simple - look at my chart. People usually place LONGS and SHORT around key support and resistance price points. And what about the Stop Loss? Yes, we typically put that on the opposite side of the resistance or support price point.
I have given some examples on how LONGS and SHORTS could be placed on either side of 8,000 USD, and also the stop losses on the opposite side. IF a WHALE manage to come from an uptrend and quickly go through 8k, and turn around and go back again through 8,000 USD he has NOW liquidated both the SHORTS and the LONGS.
Short Squeeze Party
The way our family made money on was just by swimming with the whales. I had figured out their plan. Due to the Disproportion between Shorts and Longs, the whales decided just buy up big, and make huge buy walls to induce the normal traders, and then just continue again and again, so we went all they way from 5k to 8,4k. Notice that this Stop Hunt ONLY killed Shorts.
Watch out for Key Levels as 8k
Here we have hugeliquidity, and the whales will try again and again to stop hunt espeically in this area, because its easy for them to make money on. You should ALWAYS be extra careful especially when you are trading on BitMEX or Bitfinex with leverage trading (margin trading).
Use it as an advantage
I have been studying psychology - I have been National Master in Chess and been a pro pokerplayer, so I have a pretty high interpersonal intelligence, which makes it pretty easy for me to figure out, what, why and how the Whales want to play, and what they are thinking.
When Im doing my TA, I always put the Whale mindset into my equation before I weigh all the information I have about the market, and then choose a direction!
PROOF
My Family knows this. Yesterday I gave them the signal, and told them that we would see a STOP HUNT down to kill the LONGS. And it happend. Today, I still believe we will go further down, and we might see another STOP HUNT.
Follow My Blue LINE to Understand how Whales operates.
D4
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BITCOIN Whales Will Fool You AGAIN - We Will Drop Even More!Yesterday I gave this Signal to Our Family! D4 is PROBABLY THE one who has been most correct when it comes to predicting the BTC-Market in 2019. But lets go on!
I don't think we are done with our downtrend! You can see how we are caught inside a big Head and Shoulder Formation. We just witnessed a Stop Hunt yesterday to kill the Longs, and I think we will see something similar again.
For our Family I have made another position, and been been so bold and cocky to set a target below 6,000 USD, cause I see the whales want us to break that level. Look how more people still are LONG, and I think they will get another punishment, when we get another drop later.
This can very well be part of the whales new plan! Cause right now, people are still bullish, but IF we go below 6k USD, Dumb Money will convert their narrative.
And THEN we will most likely turn around again and continue our parabolic movement up!!
D4
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Market maker in full effect on cable! The cable is currently experiencing a huge sell off, i was holding several shorts yesterday and managed to make just short of 1000 pips. however, with that being said i feel that anything that is either vertically up or down creates no stability in the markets, which then leaves huge gaps in large orders. If you on the third of may we had a parabolic move to the upside on GU. The following trading day the bears took control and ate away at all of sterling gains within the next day. This is because when price moves heavily and quickly in one direction it doesn't give brokers any 'layers' to build orders on, thus affecting liquidity. You will find that you'll see price move erratically in one direction and then you will enter with the trend, price will then go against you to where the first move started, then there will be a continuation of the trend, except, you've been stopped out and you cant enjoy the green pips! Non the less, i am short on cable for the long term, but this setup looks very similar to the hundreds I have traded before! So, you've been warned!
Stop Hunting DayToday is stop hunting day. Smart money and market makers who have to pay profits later will be hunting for your stops. This is rightaway a positive signal for the long awaited UJ Seasonality drop.
Previous years we would see similar activity and I posted an idea on this back then. That occurence itself was also a repeated pattern and it can take up to 24 hours.
This time I expect it to last at least until the NFP later today, also with the aid of USD bullish sentiment building up towards the NFP. Worst case scenario it lasts until Tuesday or even keeps going on for another couple of weeks. All depending on GBP strength and news around Brexit.
Good article on Stop Hunting on Investopedia: www.investopedia.com
" Although it may have negative connotations to some readers, stop hunting is a legitimate form of trading. It is nothing more than the art of flushing the losing players out of the market ."
Called it! Last time weekly candles this big? Nov 7th 2016...The night of Donald Trump being elected, Alan Greenspan slipped out of the watch party to buy massive amounts of stocks and made Billions over-night.
These candles are bigger than that night and resemble those of the 2009 rebound from the recession.
If you are short, I feel bad for you son, cuz there are jobs jobs jobs, and the train ain't done!
Check my link below for the Stop hunt we called back in December. Haven't changed the graph since then. Wonder why the media is silent now? hmmm.... they know the game, and you're the prey.
You're Welcome,
-racethehair
Judas Swing $XBT The Judas swing term was named by ICT, he dubbed this swing concept and utilizes it upon the London Open. The idea is, the market makers will rally or sell price, normally just above or below the Asian session high or low (depending on institutional order flow bias) tricking buyers or sellers into the market to follow its direction. As the Judas swing high or low is formed, price is quickly reversed either taking out stops and or leaving traders out of the game. Judas swings can be seen on high and low time frames, though if you are an intra day trader, once higher time frame objective levels are in place and you have your directional bias in tow, you will be looking for the Judas swing to occur on a 15 minute chart time frame. You can also see the Judas swing develop on a 1 hour chart, though the 15 minute chart will show its intension a bit more clearly, when you know what you are looking for.
Bitcoin Judas SwingThe Judas swing term was named by ICT, he dubbed this swing concept and utilizes it upon the London Open. The idea is, the market makers will rally or sell price, normally just above or below the Asian session high or low (depending on institutional order flow bias) tricking buyers or sellers into the market to follow its direction. As the Judas swing high or low is formed, price is quickly reversed either taking out stops and or leaving traders out of the game. Judas swings can be seen on high and low time frames, though if you are an intra day trader, once higher time frame objective levels are in place and you have your directional bias in tow, you will be looking for the Judas swing to occur on a 15 minute chart time frame. You can also see the Judas swing develop on a 1 hour chart, though the 15 minute chart will show its intension a bit more clearly, when you know what you are looking for.
EURUSD Tactical long setupNext week should see some nice and juicy price action.
We have a 1H breaker nested perfectly around the .705 fib level and a 1H orderblock resting right above the last top which should be acting as a magnet once we get that retracement. Just look at all those stops there, wouldn't you wanna eat them?
All of this makes for a nice 3.6 R/R Long setup if you're patient enough.
Neutral to Long - STOP HUNT overlay in OrangeHello,
To add a little positive thought into the gloomy picture being created by the Mr Whaley the Market Maker I've overlayed a typical manipulation of a Stop Hunt (Novice Alert). In FOREX these occur by the minute, by the day but also by the month and year to Stop Out all the different traders - The house always wins. Now there are a number of large players in the market ($10m+) there is a high chance that they are applying what they know at a market level (as there is little to no pressure from the hype to impact their strategy) and so for illustration purposes I've overlayed a typical pattern to see how it matches up...
Scarily accurate isn't it..
Look, I've lifted this trend overlay from Market Trader's Daily who specialise in this stuff - this is not my guesstimate on what might happen, merely and idea of what has happened in other markets. Most experienced traders will know about this stuff and a few traders are talking about this but for any (remaining ;) newbies like me it is worth going to do some research on it.
The last time I looked at this pattern the market shifted and dropped deeper but did come back up so I'm cautious on this and consider giant stops hunts as just another indicator on planning for the bottom - Hence my Neutral position. However, once all the shorts are done I hope to see the breaking of the down trend.
Note that on my chart I've accidentally estimated the green area slightly too deep and time frames are probably too long but these are merely estimates. In this scenario, Mr Whaley will break through the line, eat his fill and go hit the shorts, then come back for a few more stops before heading up.
Novice trying to catch a whale, Expecting short term upswing - Neutral to Bearish longer term until August mark.