Bitcoin-Whales Are Toying With You Again and Again! First we saw how the BTC-Dominance increased from 50%-60.1%. That was were OUR FAMILY made a lot of money when we went from 5k to 8.4k USD.
Then - literally out of the blue - we dropped 4 % in BTC-Dominance and everyone was shouting Altcoin season. Altcoins fared better than Bitcoin, BUT it was only for 2 days.
So What is Going On
Trading at Key Levels which 8,000 USD is, is ALWAYS super toxic. Whales are having a blast. They stop hunt again and again. I think its around 40 times we have been back and forward 8,000 USD (Key Zone 7,900-8,100 USD). For reference look at my latest chart.
So what happens is, that when we are getting closer a key level the optimism rises, and that was why we saw the Altcoins going bananas. But when Bitcoin then cant choose a direction, investors starts to worry, why they again leave the altcoin market.
Interesting BTC-Dominance Movement
The BTC-Dominance movement lately is very similar with happened before the Parabolic Bull Run in 2017.
I have my reasons to believe that we MIGHT see a Parabolic Bull Run like in 2017. In fact we have moved way faster and steeper, than what we did back then. Whales have changed their plan - and the move from 5k to 8.4k USD went faster than expected.
BUT...
...before all this happen you will experience that the whales will continue to go back and forward, up and down, just to kill you and take your money.
So Watch Out!
D4
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Stophunting
6 DAYS INSANITY: 35 Times Have The Whales Stolen Your Money The Headline is a bit misleading, but the point I'm making here is super important. I do this to help you, because I witness all the time how Whales and Smart Money keep stealing your Money. And if you are not aware of these things you are the small fish in the market, which keep getting eaten by the big fish.
This is a Follow Up on in series: Understand How the Whales Thinks, and How they make Money of You!
If you have read yesterdays post, you know how we are taught to place a position on side of the support or resistance and the Stop Loss on the respectively opposite side of that.
It's fair to assume that 8,000 USD is a Key Level, and that 7,900-8,100 USD is an important zone, where people usually will take a lot of positions. Either they choose to go LONG or SHORT. Our Volume Profile is confirming that.
Kill, Kill, Kill, Kill.... - How they bait you!
As you can see, we have in only 6 days going back and forward 8,000 USD at least 35 times, which have Stopped out and liquidated people for millions of dollars.
Some of it is obviously normal evolved price movement, from what we can expect, if we look at our TA princicples. But a lot of it is also designed to bait you into go long or short, and then kill you after.
My Advice for You
Its always very hard to trade near these key levels. So I will suggest that you DONT leverage trade if you arent super experienced. Right now the Market Sentiment and Bitcoin is super Bullish so you can either go long with very little leverage, or just accumulating Bitcoins or take a look at the altcoin, which have fared better than Bitcoin latest.
One thing is certain. The future is bright, and I will do what I can to help you!
D4
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BITCOIN Whales Will Fool You AGAIN - We Will Drop Even More!Yesterday I gave this Signal to Our Family! D4 is PROBABLY THE one who has been most correct when it comes to predicting the BTC-Market in 2019. But lets go on!
I don't think we are done with our downtrend! You can see how we are caught inside a big Head and Shoulder Formation. We just witnessed a Stop Hunt yesterday to kill the Longs, and I think we will see something similar again.
For our Family I have made another position, and been been so bold and cocky to set a target below 6,000 USD, cause I see the whales want us to break that level. Look how more people still are LONG, and I think they will get another punishment, when we get another drop later.
This can very well be part of the whales new plan! Cause right now, people are still bullish, but IF we go below 6k USD, Dumb Money will convert their narrative.
And THEN we will most likely turn around again and continue our parabolic movement up!!
D4
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Understand The Bicoin-Mindgame Now - Or You Will be Crushed!You NEED to understand the Bitcoin-situation we are in! I have explained to you last time, how we in OUR FAMILY made $$$, cause I chose to be a CONTRARIAN to the market. Look at the Longs vs Shorts indicators. Everyone went short, but we chose to go Long.
It's not easy, but this is a mindgame, and you need to be in the head of the whales to swim with the whales! In our FAMILY we are swimming with the Whales!
The Wrong Mindset
I talked a bit about the Whales/Smart Moneys plan yesterday. To sum it up - they have killed the Dumb Money again and again, and they kept adding to their shorts cause they have the wrong mindset:
NOW we HAVE to go DOWN
WRONG! Instead you should think like this:
When everyone believes we won't go higher, WE WILL GO HIGHER. When everyone believes we have bottomed, WE WILL GO LOWER.
What Will Happen Now and THE SECRET PLAN
Normally I will only tell this to my FAMILY. But I have chosen to help you guys in this market, because too many people are losing money now. Right now the Whales/Smart Money want to go as HIGH as possible with killing Shorts (Stop Hunting) - they are trying to bait the Dumb Money to go Short (and look how the Shorts again are being a majority).
That has been the plan from the beginning - And AS SOON the Dumb Money finally will go LONG, which is on the 5th Wave, the Whales will pull out the big Sledge Hammer and go SHORT.
2 Scenarios
Everything is in principle pointing down. We are in an ascending wedge, Bulls are losing momentum and we have regular Bearish Divergence. BUT if you don't understand the mindgame you will be fooled, cause the Whales might soon strike again with one of the the following moves:
GREEN: Is the easiest stop hunt. The whales will buy up quickly and make huge buy walls. And shorts will once again get liquidated.
YELLOW: Its a more difficult maneuvre from the whales, but also more profitable if they succeed. In this way they will first manage to kill both Longs and Shorts.
D4
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Whales Are Fxxxxxxx With YOU - D4 Will Teach You How To SWIM! DAMN WHALES - OR LEARN HOW TO SWIM WITH THE WALES
3 times in a ROW we go FXXXXX by the whales. 3 Stop Hunts. Clever moves - and that is why I told you to STAY OUT of the market, and the only good solution is, what I told you to do. To accumulate Bitcoins further down.
For those of you who don't know what I'm talking about, and don't know what STOP HUNTING is, let me make it brief: Basically it is often an unnatural or unexpected move from the whales in areas with liquidity pools where they make a MOVE - FIRST IN ONE DIRECTION and then IN THE OTHER DIRECTION with the purpose of liquidating both SHORT and LONG positions, so they can benefit from it economically.
XBTUSD 4h CHART
We are still extremely bullish. We are at this very moment on the 4th Wave in a Triangle ABCDE Formation. Notice that the E-wave always is tricky cause it is allowed to go lower or higher than the lower trend line. We have an area with extreme confluence support, why I will advice you to accumulate BTSs in my Yellow Box.
LIKELY TARGET
6,000 USD and Above is very likely - the reason is, that the whales will help us to up there due to the big liquidity pool. Remember 6,000 USD is Point of Control and is THE price point, where most trades are generated. After some time, and when retail investors jump on the wagen, The Whales will hereafter dump the price again and take profit.
Number 1
D4
Called it! Last time weekly candles this big? Nov 7th 2016...The night of Donald Trump being elected, Alan Greenspan slipped out of the watch party to buy massive amounts of stocks and made Billions over-night.
These candles are bigger than that night and resemble those of the 2009 rebound from the recession.
If you are short, I feel bad for you son, cuz there are jobs jobs jobs, and the train ain't done!
Check my link below for the Stop hunt we called back in December. Haven't changed the graph since then. Wonder why the media is silent now? hmmm.... they know the game, and you're the prey.
You're Welcome,
-racethehair
Ultimate Stock Fake-out [Stop Hunt]We have a much lower drop than expected because there are so many stop losses and liquidations in this circled "Stop Hunt" area (which WALLST investors are taking full advantage of). However, we are meeting with two hidden support lines (pink and purple) and converging with the Weekly 150-EMA. It may not look like much, but this is HUGE support and the big players know it!
Don't let the talking heads fake you out. This is phycological warfare right before Christmas when no one is at their computers to trade. I cannot wait to see what happens in the next couple weeks.
Where is the bottom? Somewhere around 22,500 but be conservative and don't try to be first in, you should wait for the signs of reversal. A lot of folks will wait for the 21,000 support with the 200EMA but this incorrect, and they will miss out on the fake-out!!
Merry Christmas
-racethahair
Ps. checkout my BTC charts where I successfully called the bottom at $3150 before anyone else!
Don't Get Shook Out Unless you KNOW it's going to tank, stay strong friendos. Look at what it's sitting on. If you must sleep, well, ETH has a nasty habit of some of the largest long stop runs I've ever seen in crypto, considering the MCAP. So, maybe no size until a confirmation or a double bottom. Yes, I'm saying either don't trade, or don't sleep, hand curate this trade until it's confirmed, and don't use a stop. No financial advice. I am fortunate at this moment to be able to mouth breath at a screen. Anyways, this is a trade i'm taking. Muchly upside potential. Humor aside, as always, any guidance or correction, suggestion, critique deeply welcomed.
alternatively:
- stop at .0598
- take partial profit at .064
- partial at .067
- partial at .071
-- OR --
if we are getting bullish for real, don't touch this entry.
Thanks for looking and helping me grow!
** EDIT ** this chart was done hastily and I think the stop is not accurate. If you didn't know that, take it as a good time to learn risk management concepts, aspects and never listen to an semi-autist 40 year old jazz musician who never sleeps.
GBPJPY - Long until BOE News Release - then SHORTMarkets will build up their long positions just up until the news comes out Thursday AM. Following the news release, we will see a strong surge to the upside knocking out stops, and enticing people to continue LONG. Once they have enough orders, price will fall quickly and create new lows by Friday AM.
Volatility will be low until Wednesday, as most hedge funds and large banks will wait to launch their positions.
I will let the LONG positions run throughout the week, take profit prior to the BOE news, and analyze my re-entry to go short once the stop loss hunt is finished.
The "GHOST FEED" shows where i predict price to travel throughout the week.
This is my personal opinion, and not to be used for trading advice or professional advice. Please let me know your opinions. Good Luck.
Hot; EURUSD rocket upIt's finally happening. USDJPY (UJ) is going to drop into the Abyss and EURUSD (EU) will therefore rocket into the sky and perhaps beyond. See my writing style footnote below if the first line somehow bothers you.
Not much time before it starts (maybe it already is) but you will have plenty of time to trade both symbols because I predict EU to start a bull run lasting for almost 2 years and counting possibly up to 2700 pips or more.
Even though everything signals this process has started, pls be highly sceptical at all times. The USD purchasing bull may show up again and do another surprise run like it did a few times this week and every time again surprising me with new forms of price action.
Grab your game! Watch as the trend forms because speculators need to agree on the trend and until then it can be choppy waters. Scalpers may ike this.
Trading 101 sumup follows;
Ask me to detail a subject and I'll publish an idea if I have the time. It's a new idea of me to improve the quality of my ideas and chat messages as I have been told by other traders that I direct everybody into 100% losses :(
If you would like to scalp or day trade and don't know how to trade low volumes then stay away from Mondays and Fridays and trade only London and NY sessions. As the days may shift around due to scheduled process, do a couple of small trades to validate liquidity and therefore your r/r ratio.
Don't be fooled by the likely many signals that the market or its participants have/will set out for you, also known by many as stop hunts, traps, etc. You may already see some of this evidence right now (2.16pm UTC onwards*) similar to what we have seen before and after UJ dropped late November and early December '17, see my ideas for food for thoughts on this. Also back then, the actual process of change seems to start in extra trading hour after market close, which makes you wonder how random the market wants to look.
* Just had a look at 2.16pm UTC and discovered the head hunt is hammer making process. So one may assume it was formed by a programmed algo instead of honest buyers and sellers reacting to price change. Now that I have published this I wonder if someone else has before and if not how long it will take to change.
So start your trades not earlier than Tuesday at London open, (if it's not a holiday, I haven't checked) and do not trade Friday even if it looks like everything will be happening then. If you are confident and testing the liquidity turns out positive then go ahead, but as soon your experience negative change stop right away, call it the day and accept your losses under solid risk management.
If you are a swing trader it's also best to start your trade on Tuesday till Thursday within London or NY session as explained above. Constant liquidity will be in your favour, especially when you trade larger trade unit quantities, think of whole and multiple lots.
1) Buy the low and sell the top. This is obviously true and if applied well, improves you trading performance. How? Well, on a 4H time frame you could just enter wrongly and be looking at red numbers for at least 4 hours, while at the same time missing out opportunities on the other side of the market.
2) Buy the fall and sell the rise... ;)
Ofc you can always post questions in the FX chat room. People there sometimes seem very busy and remotely interested but that is because you may just have missed one of the many that do help out beginners or there is something interesting going on with one of the FX assets. Keep trying!
Cheers,
Arnaud
Footnote: One time message on writing style for all my ideas,
My apologies for my choice of words, it is my writing style. I like to add a little spice to the mix of the imho somewhat metaphorical stuffy and slow moving industry. My analysis and technical experience are mainly from a much faster moving and progressive industry and sector. Thanks for reading.
Another note: I hit 4k idea doc limit so I used space savers.
BTC Stophunters/Flagcityophunters are real quys, perfect example of a beautiful flag setup dipped hard below support right before the breakout. You could tell that once we got huge sell volume on the 2nd smaller flag the run was over for the most part. That's where clean flagging turned into choppy channeling. Keep strong hands manipulation is strong atm. Rising wedge currently breaking out most likely a bull trap as the second half of this Bear Flag is much smaller than the first leg down.
BTC Stophunters!Stophunters are real quys, perfect example of a beautiful flag setup dipped hard below support right before the breakout. You could tell that once we got huge sell volume on the 2nd smaller flag the run was over for the most part. That's where clean flagging turned into choppy channeling. Keep strong hands manipulation is strong atm. Rising wedge currently breaking out most likely a bull trap as the second half of this Bear Flag is much smaller than the first leg down.
BTC Stophunters!Stophunters are real guys, perfect example of a beautiful flag setup dipped hard below support right before the breakout. You could tell that once we got huge sell volume on the 2nd smaller flag the run was over for the most part. That's where clean flagging turned into choppy channeling. Keep strong hands manipulation is strong atm. Rising wedge currently breaking out most likely a bull trap as the second half of this Bear Flag is much smaller than the first leg down.
BTC Stophunters!Stophunters are real quys, perfect example of a beautiful flag setup dipped hard below support right before the breakout. You could tell that once we got huge sell volume on the 2nd smaller flag the run was over for the most part. That's where clean flagging turned into choppy channeling. Keep strong hands manipulation is strong atm. Rising wedge currently breaking out most likely a bull trap as the second half of this Bear Flag is much smaller than the first leg down.
US Stock Market Biggest Point Decline In History. Whats Next!The Dow Jones Had Its Biggest Point Decline In History Today After A 2.5% Decline On Friday. (See Additional Charts At Bottom Of Description)
The Dow was down 1,600 points (6%) at one point of the day but ultimately closed down 1,175 points, down 4.5 percent on the day and roughly 10% from all time highs! The US Stock Market is now negative for the year after surrendering all of 2018’s gains in less than 1 week. Today we saw a global equities market sell off with the exception of a few major indices. We also saw some very suspicious and significant movement in the Bond market.. At the Dows lowest point of the day, it was down over 6% bringing it within 1% of a market shutdown. For those of you who don’t know, I will explain simply and quickly- If the market falls 7% in any single day, a protective circuit breaker will be trigger and shut down the US stock market to prevent panic selling!
Ironically, right as the Dow approached a 7% decline we saw a massive wave of buying that temporarily cut the dow losses in half- pushing the market from 1,600 points down to 800 points down in minutes! I have been doing this for a long time and I have never seen so many investors try to catch a falling knife like that! This was abnormal and definitely caused by a 3rd party trying to stop the rapid decline. This ultimately did not work and the markets sold off again.. After the closing bell at 4:00pm we saw a further sell of in after hours trading.. Today was a very significant day and a huge sign of how the year 2018 may end.
Now that we have covered todays action in the financial markets- I know many people are wondering what will happen from here. Although nothing is a guarantee, I have a couple theories on what we may see next.. My experience tells me that this type of sell of will not just end and would normally continue in a REAL market however there is also the scenario that the big boys were “running stops” otherwise known as “shaking out the weak hands". The objective behind running stops is to push the markets down hard and fast causing people to sell out of fear and others to sell their investment due to stop loss orders they have placed to protect the risk of losing more than a certain amount of their investment. This method of running stops is a serious money maker for Wall St!
After they shake the weak hands out, the market continues higher leaving the people who sold out of fear, or got their stop loss order triggered kicking themselves! Please research this term to get a full understanding of what this means if you are not sure. With that said, I would not be betting on that scenario just yet! In this game you must be patient and never jump the gun. There will always be an opportunity to make money and it is more likely to occur with patience and unemotional judgement. After seeing what we saw today, we can only expect a further decline. Until that changes we must side with the sell off. Its not everyday that action like this happens in the financial markets- In fact it is very rare in this day and age and definitely something you should not underestimate!
On a brighter note TradersNsights had the best trading day of the year so far and we hope others were able to do the same. This type of volatility can produce amazing trading opportunities for a professional trader when capitalized on correctly!
I hope everyone made out ok and if you have any questions, please feel free to ask! Stay patient, unbiased, and manage risk. Lets see how tomorrow plays out.
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