Bitcoin's Squeeze in price is building momentum upwards
I hope you are well this Sunday.
If you have been following my Bitcoin thread this weekend, you will know that price has further to fall, if the Bitcoin market is to tank downwards. What I am saying is that we are in a squeeze moving price down and up which contracts price and causes the squeeze effect, which quite frankly is needed in circumstances where volumes are again low this weekend.
But this squeeze is building momentum in the Bitcoin tank.
Bitcoin price has recently tested the level just under 69000 which is a big support level. Unfortunately some Stop Losses would've been triggered and price has taken the liquidity and moved higher. I never like to promote a stop loss level to someone, but I think it's reckless if I do not in circumstances where price tanks.
Please take a look at a recently Daily Chart of Bitcoin. I present Fib Levels & Fib EMA's 8,13,21,55. Both are supportive of price to move higher from current levels. 69,000 and thereabouts is the support zone and I think this level will hold.
Stoploss
Daily ATR 2 and 10 Percent Values indicator for stop lossThis indicator displays three values: the ATR value, a 2% value and a 10% value of the Daily ATR.
After adding the indicator to your chart, follow these steps to view the values and labels on the right:
1. Right-click on the price level bar or click the gear icon at the bottom of the price bar.
2. Select "LABELS."
3. Check mark the boxes for the following options:
- "INDICATORS AND FINANCIAL NAME LABELS"
- "INDICATORS AND FINANCIAL VALUE LABELS."
4. Look for D-ATR % Value, click on the gear icon and verify these settings
D-ATR Lenght = 14
ATR Lenght = 14
Smoothing = RMA
Timeframe = 1 Day
5. Select Wait for timeframe closes
6. Click on Defaults, Save as default, and click ok.
You can move the indicator to the top of your chart if preferred, by clicking on Move pane up.
Please keep the following in mind: when you scroll to the left of the chart if the indicator appears transparent, as shown in this image, it means you are not viewing
the most recent values, likely because you are not at the end of the chart.
To obtain the latest data, either click this button or this other one to reset the chart view or scroll to the end of the chart.
BTC/USD 4H chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the current BTC situation considering the four-hour interval. In this situation, we can see the price rebounding from the downtrend line and continuing to rise.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $71,389
T2 = $72,135
T3 = $73,533
T4 = $75786
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $68,616
SL2 = $67,857
SL3 = $67,284
SL4 = $66,576
SL5 = $65,516
Stop Losses: Protecting Your Trades and Building Consistency
Stop losses are a critical tool for any trader aiming to manage risk and protect capital. A stop loss is a preset level at which a trade will automatically close to prevent further losses if the price moves against you. This approach is one of the most effective ways to protect your account, and understanding how to set and use stop losses correctly can help you trade more confidently.
In this article, I will discuss why stop losses are essential, the types of stop losses available, and how they link to other core strategies like position sizing and maintaining consistency.
Why Every Trader Needs a Stop Loss
The primary role of a stop loss is to limit potential losses on a trade. By setting a stop loss level, you define your risk before entering the trade, which helps ensure that no single trade can damage your account significantly. This practice is fundamental to disciplined trading, where managing risk is just as important as aiming for profits. When you use stop losses, you’re able to protect your account without relying on emotions or making quick decisions based on fear or market volatility .
Using stop losses also promotes consistency, as it allows traders to follow their strategy and avoid unexpected, large losses. Knowing your risk upfront means you can execute your trades with a clear plan, focusing on opportunities rather than worrying about sudden market moves. This consistency is key to achieving long-term success in trading 🚀.
The Types of Stop Losses Every Trader Should Know
There are different types of stop losses, each suited to particular trading strategies and market conditions. Here are some of the most common types and how they work:
Fixed Dollar or Percentage Stop Loss
This is the simplest type, where you set a specific dollar amount or percentage of your capital as the maximum loss.
Example: If you’re willing to lose $100 on a trade, you place a stop loss that will close your position if the loss reaches $100.
Technical Stop Loss
A technical stop loss is set using chart levels, like support or resistance, which reflect natural points where prices may bounce or reverse.
Example: If a stock has support at $48 and you buy it at $50, you might set your stop loss just below $48. This way, if the price breaks the support level, the trade closes to prevent further loss.
Trailing Stop Loss
A trailing stop loss adjusts upward as the price moves in your favor, locking in profits if the stock reverses.
Example: If you buy a stock at $50 with a $1 trailing stop, and the price rises to $55, your stop automatically moves to $54. If the price then drops to $54, the trade closes, protecting your $4 profit.
Volatility-Based Stop Loss
This type of stop loss takes into account the stock’s usual price swings, setting the stop far enough away to avoid being triggered by minor fluctuations.
Example: If the ATR (Average True Range) of a stock is $2, you might set your stop $3 below your entry point to account for normal market movements.
Time-Based Stop Loss
A time-based stop loss closes the position after a set period, which is particularly useful for day traders who avoid holding trades overnight.
Example: A day trader might exit all trades by 4 p.m., regardless of the price movement, to avoid the risks of holding overnight positions.
How Stop Loss and Position Sizing Work Together
Stop losses and position sizing are deeply connected. Position sizing is the amount of capital you commit to each trade, and it’s based on your risk tolerance and the distance to your stop loss level. For instance, if you have a $10,000 account and want to risk only 1% per trade (or $100), you’ll need to calculate how many shares you can buy based on the distance to your stop loss.
Let’s say your stop loss is $5 away from your entry price. To stick to your $100 risk limit, you would only buy 20 shares ($100/$5 stop distance). By setting your position size relative to your stop loss, you control how much of your capital is at risk. This approach keeps your losses small enough that no single trade can impact your overall capital significantly, allowing you to trade consistently and confidently.
How Stop Losses Contribute to Consistent Trading
Stop losses are essential for maintaining consistency in trading. They allow you to avoid big losses that can drain your capital and help keep emotions in check, allowing you to trade with a clear mind. Using stop losses also helps you keep your risk-to-reward ratio in balance, so even if some trades go against you, the overall profits from successful trades will outweigh these losses.
This discipline keeps you aligned with your strategy and limits impulsive actions, which are often harmful to trading success. In this way, stop losses help establish a consistent, repeatable process that strengthens your trading foundation and increases your chances of long-term success.
I know very well the frustration of seeing my stop losses being hit, but believe me, the worst feeling is getting stuck with a large loss for weeks, months, or even years. Sometimes, stocks never recover.
XRP/USDT 1D Chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the current situation of XRP in pair with USDT taking into account the one-day time frame. In this situation, we can see the price rebounding from the downtrend line.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $0.57
T2 = $0.60
T3 = $0.63
T4 = $0.68
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $0.52
SL2 = $0.47
SL3 = $0.42
ETH/USDT 4h review chartHello everyone, let's look at the current ETH to USDT situation considering the four-hour time frame. In this situation, we can see how the price defends itself from falling to the local upward trend line.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $2,560
T2 = $2,628
T3 = $2734
T4 = $2,814
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $2,496
SL2 = $2,441
SL3 = $2,353
SL4 = $2,279
Looking at the RSI indicator on a 4-hour interval, we have touched the bottom of the range, which may indicate a temporary end of the correction, which confirms a quick price rebound.
Surviving Drawdown: The Battle Between You and the MarketThe Battle Between You and the Market
Every trader, no matter how seasoned, eventually encounters the nemesis of every strategy: drawdown. It’s that dreaded phase where the market isn’t quite ready to move in the direction of your bias, and your account balance starts to bleed. The key to surviving drawdown isn’t just about protecting your capital—it’s about protecting your mind. The mental toll of seeing your carefully plotted trades go red can lead to fatigue, impulsivity, and, in some cases, abandonment of your well-thought-out plan.
But here’s the reality: drawdowns are part of the game. The market doesn’t move on your schedule, and it certainly doesn’t care about your bills, goals, or aspirations. Harsh, but true.
In the world of trading, few experiences are as daunting as facing a drawdown. This period, where the market refuses to move in the direction of your bias, can feel like an endless slog through thick mud. It's during these times that trader fatigue sets in, and the mental strain can become overwhelming. But surviving a drawdown isn’t just about weathering the storm; it’s about maintaining focus, sticking to your plan, and emerging stronger on the other side.
Understanding Drawdown: A Necessary Evil
Drawdowns are an inevitable part of trading, a reality that every trader must confront. They occur when your account equity declines from its peak, often resulting from a series of losing trades. This is not a reflection of your skills or judgment; rather, it’s a natural fluctuation in the market. Accepting this fact is crucial for maintaining a balanced mindset.
It’s easy to get caught up in the emotional turmoil that accompanies a drawdown. You might start questioning your strategy, second-guessing your decisions, or even feeling a deep sense of fatigue that clouds your judgment. Recognizing that drawdowns are temporary and often necessary for long-term success is the first step towards mental fortitude.
The Weight of Trader Fatigue
Trader fatigue is real, and it can manifest in various forms: diminished focus, irritability, and an overall lack of clarity in decision-making. As the drawdown drags on, it’s common to feel like you’re fighting an uphill battle, grappling with both the market and your own psyche.
The key to overcoming this fatigue is to remain steadfast in your commitment to your trading plan. Embrace the discipline that brought you to trading in the first place. Remember, every successful trader has weathered their share of drawdowns. It’s not about the setbacks; it’s how you respond to them that defines your journey.
Stick to the Plan: The Importance of Discipline
When faced with a drawdown, the temptation to abandon your trading plan can be strong. You might be lured into making impulsive trades or deviating from your established strategy in an attempt to “make back” your losses. This is a perilous path. Instead, focus on the process. A well-defined trading plan serves as your guiding compass, ensuring that you stay on course, even when the waters are choppy.
Utilizing Alerts: The Power of TradingView
One of the most effective tools in your trading arsenal is the alert feature available on platforms like TradingView. Set alerts for key price levels or indicators that align with your trading strategy. This simple act allows you to step away from the charts, minimizing stress and providing the mental space you need to reset.
By using alerts, you can disengage from the constant fluctuations of the market without losing touch with your strategy. Instead of staring at the screen, waiting for the market to conform to your bias, you can live your life—confident that you’ll be notified when it’s time to reassess your position.
Embrace Patience and Mindfulness
During a drawdown, patience is not just a virtue; it’s a necessity. The market operates on its own timetable, and as traders, we must learn to respect that. Implement mindfulness techniques to cultivate a sense of calm and clarity. Engage in practices like meditation, deep breathing, or even short walks to recharge your mental energy.
This approach allows you to view the market from a fresh perspective, reducing the noise of frustration and fatigue. Cultivating a mindset of patience will enable you to remain focused on your long-term goals rather than being derailed by short-term setbacks.
Keeping Perspective: The Long Game
Finally, keep in mind that trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Drawdowns, while difficult, are often precursors to periods of growth and profitability. By maintaining perspective, you can navigate these challenging times with resilience. Celebrate your wins, no matter how small, and remember that every setback brings with it valuable lessons.
Surviving a drawdown is an essential part of the trader's journey. Embrace the process, stay disciplined, and utilize the tools at your disposal—like TradingView alerts—to ease the mental burden. By maintaining focus and perspective, you can emerge from the drawdown not just intact, but stronger and more equipped for future challenges. Remember, in the world of trading, persistence pays off. The key to success lies in how you respond to the inevitable ups and downs. Stay the course, and the markets will eventually align with your bias once more.
BNB/USDT 4h chart review Hello everyone, let's look at the current situation of BNB in the USDT pair considering the four-hour interval. In this situation, we can see how the price, despite the rebound, remains above the local upward trend line.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $613
T2 = $626
T3 = $652
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $592
SL2 = $579
SL3 = $559
SL4 = $545
Looking at the RSI indicator, the recovery resulted in a significant move on the indicator, but there is still room for a larger decline.
UNI/USDT 12h review chartHello everyone, let's look at the current UNI to USDT situation considering the 12 hour interval. In this situation, we can see the top breaking out of the downtrend line and the struggle to stay above the downtrend.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $8.45
T2 = $9.53
T3 = $10.86
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $6.72
SL2 = $5.64
SL3 = $3.94
Title: Key Support Levels for Short and Long Positions: CriticalIt seems we have experienced enough upward momentum, and now, with the support level at 66,842, a short position can be considered. However, since this position goes against the main trend, it’s crucial to set a tight stop-loss to manage risk and ensure an early exit with a favorable risk-reward ratio. The next support level for this strategy could be 65,359.8.
On the other hand, if you're planning to open a long position, you might consider entering at 67,898.7, but be cautious with the stop-loss placement. A wider stop-loss would be advisable, possibly below 66,687.4, to allow room for market fluctuations.
ETH/USDT 1D chart review Long-TermHello everyone, let's look at the current ETH situation considering the time frame of one day. In this situation, we can see how the price will send up from the triangle.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $2,667
T2 = $2763
T3 = $2,891
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $2587
SL2 = $2528
SL3 = $2,429
SL4 = $2,357
ETH/USDT 1D chart review Long-TermHello everyone, let's look at the current ETH situation considering the time frame of one day. In this situation, we can see how the price will send up from the triangle.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $2,667
T2 = $2763
T3 = $2,891
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $2587
SL2 = $2528
SL3 = $2,429
SL4 = $2,357
BTC/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the current BTC situation considering the one-day interval. In this situation, we can see the price rebounding from the resistance, but we are still above the upward trend line.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $67,494
T2 = $69,814
T3 = $72,930
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $64,918.
SL2 = $63,212.
SL3 = $61,933.
SL4 = $60,228
BTC-USDT 4h chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the current BTC situation considering the four-hour interval. In this situation, we can see the price rebounding from the downtrend line.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $61,847
T2 = $62,571
T3 = $63,602
AND
T4 = $64,370
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
Sl1 = $60,389
Sl2 = $59,248
Sl3 = $57,822
Risk Management: Essential Strategies for Success A staggering number of investment losses could have been mitigated with proper risk management strategies. This fact highlights the crucial importance of understanding and implementing effective risk management techniques.
In the dynamic world of investing, risk management serves as the protective barrier that shields investors from significant financial losses. It’s not just a defensive measure; it’s a strategic approach that every wise investor must adopt. By systematically identifying, analyzing, and mitigating potential risks, investors can navigate the unpredictable waves of financial markets with greater confidence and security.
This article aims to underscore the critical role of risk management in investing. We’ll explore its fundamental principles, examine the different types of investment risks, and outline the most effective strategies to protect your portfolio. Ignoring risk management isn’t just risky; it’s a recipe for financial disaster.
Understanding Risk Management in Investing
Risk management in investing is the process of identifying, assessing, and prioritizing potential risks to an investment portfolio, followed by applying coordinated strategies to minimize, monitor, and control the probability or impact of these risks. It’s about making informed decisions that balance potential rewards against possible losses.
Risk management is essential for several reasons:
1) It protects investments from unforeseen market downturns and volatility.
2) It enables more consistent returns by balancing risk and return.
3) It supports long-term financial goals, whether it’s saving for retirement or a child’s education, by ensuring steady growth over time without succumbing to sudden, devastating losses.
--Key Components of Risk Management for Investments
Diversification
Diversification involves spreading investments across different asset classes, sectors, and geographic regions. This strategy reduces the impact of poor performance in any single investment, thereby stabilizing the overall portfolio.
Asset Allocation
This strategy distributes investments among various asset categories, such as stocks, bonds, and cash, based on the investor's risk tolerance, financial goals, and investment horizon. Proper asset allocation helps balance risk and return according to individual preferences.
Risk Assessment
Regularly assessing the potential risks of an investment is crucial. This process involves analyzing market conditions, financial statements, and economic indicators to anticipate possible threats. Continuous risk assessments ensure that investors remain vigilant and responsive to market changes.
By employing these components, investors can build a solid risk management framework that not only protects their investments but also optimizes growth potential.
--Effective Trading Strategies for Managing Investment Risks
Successfully navigating financial markets requires not only a thorough understanding of risk management but also the implementation of effective trading strategies. Here’s how various approaches can help mitigate risks and protect your portfolio:
Diversification
Diversifying your investments across various asset classes, industries, and geographic regions can help mitigate the impact of poor performance in any one area. For example, a diversified portfolio might include stocks, bonds, real estate, and commodities, ensuring that a downturn in one sector doesn’t severely affect the entire portfolio.
__________________
Stop Loss Orders
Why a Stop Loss is Crucial in Financial Markets
A Stop Loss is an essential risk management tool that every trader and investor should use in the financial markets. It serves as a safeguard, automatically selling an asset when it reaches a predetermined price, preventing further losses. Here’s why it’s so important:
Protection Against Major Losses: Markets can be unpredictable and volatile. Without a Stop Loss, a small loss can quickly escalate into a significant financial setback. A Stop Loss helps limit potential losses by ensuring you exit a trade before the situation worsens.
Emotional Discipline: Trading can often trigger emotional decisions, such as holding onto a losing position in the hope of a reversal. A Stop Loss removes emotion from the equation by executing the trade automatically, helping traders stick to their strategies.
Preserving Capital: By controlling losses, Stop Loss orders protect your trading capital, allowing you to stay in the game longer and take advantage of new opportunities.
Focus on Strategy: With a Stop Loss in place, traders can focus on their overall strategy without constantly monitoring the market. It provides peace of mind knowing that losses are capped.
The Stop Loss is vital in managing risk, protecting capital, and ensuring emotional discipline in the financial markets. It’s a simple but powerful tool that no trader should overlook.
__________________
Hedging
Hedging involves taking offsetting positions to protect investments from adverse price movements. This can be done using derivatives such as options and futures. For example, if you own a stock, purchasing a put option on that stock can offset losses if the stock price drops.
Position Sizing
Position sizing is the process of determining how much capital to allocate to each investment. Proper position sizing ensures that no single asset can disproportionately impact the entire portfolio. For example, an investor might decide to allocate no more than 1% of their portfolio to any one stock to avoid excessive risk exposure.
--Why Regular Risk Assessments Are Crucial
Psychological Impact
Neglecting risk management can lead to emotional turmoil, causing investors to make irrational decisions like panic selling or abandoning long-term strategies. Consistent risk management practices help investors stay calm during market downturns, preventing emotional decision-making.
Financial Impact
Failing to manage risks effectively can result in devastating financial losses. Without proper risk management, a single market event could wipe out significant portions of an investment portfolio, derailing long-term financial goals like retirement or homeownership.
--Implementing Effective Risk Management Strategies
To safeguard your investments and ensure steady growth, implementing risk management strategies is essential. Here are key steps to managing risks effectively:
Risk Assessment
Analyze the risks associated with each investment by understanding market conditions, financial health, and external factors such as economic trends or geopolitical events. Use tools like SWOT analysis to gain a full understanding of the risk profile.
Setting Risk Tolerance
Determine your risk tolerance—how much variability in returns you’re willing to accept. This is crucial for aligning investments with your financial goals. Tools like risk tolerance questionnaires can help gauge your comfort with risk.
Regular Reviews!!!
Regularly review your portfolio to ensure it reflects your current risk tolerance and market conditions. Adjust your portfolio as necessary to maintain proper asset allocation and manage risks.
In Conclusion...
Ignoring risk management can lead to significant financial losses and emotional distress. By adopting strategies such as diversification, Stop Loss orders, hedging, and proper position sizing, you can safeguard your investments from unnecessary risks. Conduct regular risk assessments, set appropriate risk tolerance levels, and adjust your strategies to ensure steady growth and financial stability.
Effective risk management isn’t about eliminating risk but managing it wisely. As Warren Buffett famously said, “Risk comes from not knowing what you’re doing.” By understanding and controlling risks, you can build a more secure and prosperous financial future.
THETA/USDT 4HHello everyone, let's look at the 4H THETA to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has approached the local downtrend line that it is currently facing.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $1.33
T2 = $1.41
T3 = $1.47
T4 = $1.55
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = USD 1.30
SL2 = USD 1.24
SL3 = USD 1.16
SL4 = $1.05
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
as we entered the upper part of the range again, which may still be an attempt to recover.
ETH/USDT 1D Interval chartHello everyone, let's look at the 1D ETH to USDT chart, in this situation we can see the price struggling to get back above the local uptrend line.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $2,471
T2 = $2,569
T3 = $2,642
T4 = $2,730
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $2,372
SL2 = $2,274
SL3 = $2,150
BTC/USDT 4h chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 4h BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has bottomed out from the local upward trend line.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $63,325
T2 = $65,379
T3 = $68,641
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $58,825
SL2 = $56771
SL3 = $54082
LINK/USDT 4h chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 4H LINK to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has moved up from the downward trend line and, despite the current correction, it still remains above the trend line.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $12.78
T2 = $13.31
T3 = $14.21
T4 = $14.84
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $11.68
SL2 = $10.85
SL3 = $10.29
SL4 = $9.56
SMLT 1H Swing Long Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed T1
- support level???
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit expandable to Investment trade
Daily CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ volumed Sp
+ weak test"
Monthly CounterTrend
"+ short balance
+ ICE level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation"
FTM-USDT 1D chart Hello everyone, let's look at the 1D FTM to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has broken out from the downtrend line.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $0.74
T2 = $0.85
T3 = $1.02
T4 = $1.23
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = USD 0.62
SL2 = USD 0.45
SL3 = USD 0.35
SL4 = $0.25
The MACD indicator shows that despite the significant increase, there is room for the price to go up further.
MKR/USDT 1W Chart Long-TermHello everyone, let's look at the 1W MKR to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is staying in the downtrend channel, at its lower boundary.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $2,063
T2 = $2,454
T3 = $2,767
T4 = $3,080
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $1563
SL2 = $1250
SL3 = $953
Looking at the RSI indicator, we can see that we are already quite low, which may result in an attempt to change direction, the movement of which appears to have begun.