Simple management is easier on your mindhi, just wanted to share a couple of thought on management, mainly for new members.
in my eyes, there are two categories of management: simple (fixed RR) and more complex (variations of trailing).
Both have positive and negative sides.
In my eyes, as a very very subjective opinion, simple fixed RR system will be better for most people. Or ok, I'll not speak for most, but for me definitely.
Why so:
incredible simplicity, cause you just need to test to see how much your trades usually run + create b.e. rule, and you're good to go
3-5RR are usually best for fixed RR systems
do not underrestimate the energy that goes into making decisions while managing and waiting, watching for the trade to develop into higher RR's. With fixed you don't have this - you just go b.e. and then you can close the terminal, and go away if needed. However yes, advanced experienced consistent traders would trail almost with no extra emotions, cause it's usually more mechanical. With that said, for many relatevely new traders, trailing could be extra emotional.
with fixed, you'll have less chances to become emotional, because of many reasons, for me personally fixed RR system gives a sense of accomplishment on every trade, while with managing I'm constantly thinking how can I manage longer better etc. So I'm rarely satisfied when I'm getting stopped out on trail, cause I'm still "stopped out", while on fixed I have a sense of good work done. I know it's weird, but it's personal experience
I could continue, but I guess the general guideline is there.
My main message is that TP can be a very simple fixed 3 or 4RR and that would be more than enough and easier for most people's mind
have a good weekend.
Stoploss
WLD - STOP-LOSS HUNTER World Token (WLD), listed on Binance since the summer of 2023, has been demonstrating robust growth dynamics. A noteworthy characteristic of WLD's price action is the consistent formation of liquidity pools before significant upward movements. This strategic pattern suggests that WLD is operating as a "stop loss hunter," leveraging liquidity sweeps to trigger stop-loss orders before embarking on upward trajectories.
🔄 Liquidity Pool Formation:
WLD's trading strategy involves the systematic creation of liquidity pools at lower price levels. These pools act as strategic accumulation zones, enticing sellers and forming a concentration of stop-loss orders. This sets the stage for a planned liquidity sweep, a process where WLD exploits the triggered stop-loss orders for optimal market positioning.
🚀 Execution of Liquidity Sweeps:
The deliberate execution of liquidity sweeps allows WLD to absorb stop-loss orders, clearing the way for upward movements. By strategically swiping liquidity from the lower levels, WLD aims to minimize selling pressure and create favorable conditions for sustained bullish momentum.
🔍 Stop Loss Hunting Dynamics:
WLD's role as a stop loss hunter is exemplified by its ability to induce short-term downward movements, triggering stop-loss orders in the process. This behavior serves the dual purpose of accumulating positions at advantageous price points and positioning the token for subsequent upward moves.
Update GBPUSD: 4H Long Signal - 24-01-20 Long Set-up 4H A.2Update
GBPUSD: 4H Long Signal - 24-01-20
Long Set-up 4H A.2
Entry Price: 1.26650
Take Profit: 1.27250 60 pips
Stop Loss: 1.26350 30 pips
Risk to Reward: 1:2
Trade Notes:
-I didn't place swing trade due to being stuck at work
(Improvements- Set Email Alert so I can quickly analysis current Market Conditions to place trade)
1.
Trade Entry: Risk Entry (Pending Order with previous price entries)
-Current Max Downdraw: 4 pips then impulsed upward with 2 momentum 4h candles
- Using 15m Market Structure would be a locked in 0.42% take profit stop loss going into monday session
- I would likely drop that level to 0.2% take profit stop loss - to give the trade a bit of breathing room for sunday opening session
2.
Trade Entry Management: Confirmation Entry On Lower Time Frame
Entry Price: 1.26694
Potential Take Profit : 1.27114 / 3.5% gain for 1% risk
Stop Loss: 1.26574 / 12 pips from entry
Trend Following Risk Management Strategy:
Take Profit Following Market Structure:
Take Profit Stop Loss Price: 1.26776
(Locked In percentage gain 0.68% )
3. Scale In Trade Price Levels:
Since all risk is off the table I will scale into the trade... Let the winners ride and let the losers go
Potential Trade ideas:
(Using Lower time Frame Confirmation Entry Model)
Steps
1. I would wait to see how the market reacts to opening hours
2. I would look at fundamental upcoming news (helps with directional bias of the trade)
3. If those two items match up with the trade concept then I would place trade
Entry Price: 1.26920
Take Profit: 1.27160 / 2% gain / 24 PIPS
Stop Loss: 1.26800 / 1% risk / 12 PIPS
If you got this fair then thank you for your time and support. If you want any more info or asset classes analysis please let me know. Safe trading and remember always use a stop loss and proper risk structure.
HOW TO IDENTIFY STOPLOSS HUNTER AND TAKE PART ON IT - SETUP - HI BIG PLAYERS!
Today I want give you smart WAY to take part on stoploss hunters. I know everyone of us hate it to be stopped out. But to be honest, stoploss levels means a huge volume level, that institutions use for cheap entries.
This is why I want explain how I take part on stoploss hunting. I look on 4h chart for high demand and supply zones. On touching these area we all can expect more trade exchange and more volume.
If the price bounce of this zone and break with CHOCH (change of character ) the last trend, a lot of trader try to trade early as they can and the stoploss becomes calculatable .
As soon as the old trend is resumed, but in a narrow form, so that it is almost a sideways phase, then I identify stoploss hunter. The setup looks similar like this structure:
The good news: the stoploss to the last local point is very close and Risk-Return-Ratios of 1:3 are possible.
Comments are welcome!
Best regards
NXT2017
AUDUSD: Daily 4h Signal - 24-01-18AUDUSD: Daily Long Signal - 24-01-18
Set-up: 4H A.1
Entry Price: 0.65700
Take Profit: 0.66780 125 PIP gain
Stop Loss: 0.65100 50 PIP Stop Loss
Risk To Reward: 1 % For a 2.45 % Return
Could use a dynamic stop loss and take profit but that's my own personal strategy.
I Also could scale in with my trade plan as well.
Once All risk is off the table
Mastering Stop-Loss with ATR IndicatorMastering Stop-Loss and Take-Profit with ATR Indicator
What is the ATR Indicator?
The Average True Range (ATR) indicator is a nifty tool that helps traders gauge the market's volatility. Simply, it tells you how much an asset typically moves in a given timeframe.
Placing Stop Loss to Avoid Getting Stopped Out
Step 1: Identify ATR Value
Look at the ATR indicator on your chart; it's usually at the bottom or top of your screen.
Note the ATR value; the higher it is, the more volatile the market.
Step 2: Setting Stop Loss
Set your stop loss beyond the ATR value to avoid getting prematurely stopped due to regular market fluctuations.
For instance, if the ATR is 50, consider placing your stop loss at least 60 points away to give your trade room to breathe.
Understand ATR's Role
ATR not only helps with stopping losses but also guides in setting realistic take-profit levels.
It gives you an idea of how much the asset can move in a given time, assisting you in capturing profits before a potential reversal.
Final Tips for Beginners
Adapt to Market Changes: ATR values change as market conditions shift. Stay adaptable and reassess your stop-loss and take-profit levels accordingly.
Practice on Demo Accounts: Before diving into live trading, practice using the ATR indicator on demo accounts. Gain confidence and refine your strategy without risking real money.
In essence, the ATR indicator is your ally in navigating market volatility. By using it wisely, you can enhance your risk management, safeguarding your trades from unnecessary stop-outs while optimizing your profit potential. Happy trading! 📈✨
Mastering the Art of Stop-Loss Orders: A Comprehensive GuideI. Introduction
In the dynamic and often unpredictable world of trading, risk management is a cornerstone of success. Among the tools at a trader's disposal, the stop-loss order stands out as a critical mechanism for controlling losses and preserving capital. This guide delves into the nuances of stop-loss orders, aiming to equip traders with the knowledge and skills to use them effectively.
Definition of a Stop-Loss Order
A stop-loss order is an order placed with a broker to buy or sell a security when it reaches a certain price. It's designed to limit an investor's loss on a position in a security. For example, if you own shares of Company X trading at $100, you could place a stop-loss order at $90. If the stock dips to $90, your shares are automatically sold at the next available price. This tool is particularly valuable in helping traders avoid emotional decision-making; once a stop-loss is set, it enforces discipline, ensuring that pre-set exit points are adhered to.
Importance of Stop-Loss Orders in Trading
The primary importance of stop-loss orders lies in their ability to provide automatic risk control. They are especially crucial in volatile markets, where sudden price swings can occur unexpectedly. By pre-defining the maximum loss a trader is willing to accept, stop-loss orders help in:
• Preserving capital: They prevent substantial losses in individual trades.
• Mitigating emotional biases: They remove the need for making impromptu decisions under stress, thus avoiding common trading pitfalls like hoping for a rebound in a losing position.
• Enforcing disciplined trading: By sticking to pre-set rules, traders can avoid the temptation to change their strategy mid-trade.
Brief Overview of the Content
This guide will cover everything from the basics of setting up stop-loss orders to advanced strategies for their effective use. We will explore different types of stop-loss orders, factors influencing their placement, and how they fit into broader trading strategies. The psychological aspects of using stop-loss orders and case studies of their application in various trading scenarios will provide practical insights. By the end of this guide, traders will be well-equipped to integrate stop-loss orders into their trading toolkit, enhancing their ability to manage risks and make informed decisions in the pursuit of trading success.
II. The Basics of Stop-Loss Orders
Understanding the fundamentals of stop-loss orders is essential for any trader seeking to protect their investments from unexpected market movements. These orders act as a safety net, providing a measure of control over potential losses. Let's explore the types of stop-loss orders and their roles in risk management.
Types of Stop-Loss Orders
1. Standard Stop-Loss: This is the most common form of a stop-loss order. It's set at a specific price point, and once the market reaches this price, the order is executed, typically at the next available price. For instance, if you buy a stock at $50 and set a stop-loss order at $45, the stock will be sold if its price falls to $45, limiting your loss.
2. Trailing Stop-Loss: A trailing stop-loss order is more dynamic. It adjusts as the price of the stock moves, maintaining a set distance from the current market price. For example, if you set a trailing stop-loss order 5% below the market price, and the stock price increases, the stop-loss price rises proportionally, locking in profits. However, if the stock price falls, the stop-loss price remains stationary, safeguarding gains or minimizing losses.
3. Guaranteed Stop-Loss: Unlike standard and trailing stop-loss orders, a guaranteed stop-loss order ensures execution at the exact stop-loss price, regardless of market conditions. This type is particularly useful during periods of high volatility or when trading in less liquid markets. However, brokers often charge a premium for this service due to the additional risk they assume.
How Stop-Loss Orders Work
Stop-loss orders work by automatically triggering a sale or purchase once the security reaches a predetermined price. For a long position (buy), the stop-loss order is set below the purchase price, and for a short position (sell), it is set above the selling price. When the market hits the stop-loss price, the order becomes a market order, executing at the next available price, which may slightly differ from the stop-loss price due to market fluctuations.
The Role of Stop-Loss Orders in Risk Management
Stop-loss orders are a vital component of risk management in trading. They help traders:
• Limit Losses: By setting a maximum loss level, traders can prevent substantial losses in a single trade.
• Manage Emotions: Stop-loss orders take the emotion out of trading decisions, reducing the risk of holding onto a losing position in the hope of a turnaround.
• Preserve Capital: They protect trading capital, ensuring that traders don't lose more than they can afford.
• Facilitate Trading Strategy: Stop-loss orders can be part of a larger trading strategy, ensuring that trades adhere to predetermined criteria and risk parameters.
In summary, understanding and effectively using different types of stop-loss orders is a fundamental skill for successful trading. These orders not only safeguard investments but also instill discipline and strategic planning in trading activities.
III. Setting Stop-Loss Orders
Setting stop-loss orders is a critical skill in trading, involving more than just picking a random price point. It requires a thoughtful approach, considering various factors that impact the effectiveness of these orders. Let’s delve into the key elements to consider when setting stop-loss levels and the tools that can assist in this process.
Factors to Consider When Setting Stop-Loss Levels
1. Volatility of the Asset: The inherent volatility of a security is a crucial factor. Highly volatile stocks may require wider stop-loss margins to accommodate frequent price swings, reducing the risk of being stopped out prematurely. Conversely, less volatile stocks might need tighter stop-losses.
2. Risk Tolerance of the Trader: Individual risk tolerance plays a pivotal role. A trader willing to accept higher losses for greater potential gains might set wider stop-losses, whereas risk-averse traders may prefer tighter stop-losses to limit potential losses.
3. Trading Time Frame: The intended duration of a trade also influences stop-loss placement. Short-term traders, such as day traders, often set tighter stop-losses due to the need for quick reactions to market movements. In contrast, long-term traders might allow more room for price fluctuations.
Technical Analysis Tools for Identifying Stop-Loss Levels
1. Support and Resistance Levels: These are key areas where the price of a stock has historically either risen (support) or fallen (resistance). Placing stop-loss orders just below support levels for long positions, or above resistance levels for short positions, can be effective.
2. Moving Averages: A moving average indicates the average price of a stock over a specific period and can act as a dynamic support or resistance level. Stop-losses can be set around these moving averages to align with ongoing price trends.
3. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: These are based on the Fibonacci sequence, a set of ratios derived from mathematical patterns in nature. In trading, Fibonacci retracement levels can identify potential reversal points in price movements, aiding in setting strategic stop-losses.
Common Mistakes to Avoid in Setting Stop-Losses
• Setting Stop-Losses Too Tight: This can lead to being stopped out of positions too early, especially in volatile markets.
• Placing Stop-Losses at Round Numbers: Many traders place orders at round numbers, which can lead to predictable stop levels and increased chances of being hit.
• Ignoring Market Context: Failing to consider the current market environment and news that might impact the asset can result in ineffective stop-loss placements.
• Not Adjusting Stop-Losses: As a trade progresses favorably, adjusting stop-loss orders to lock in profits or minimize losses is essential.
In conclusion, setting stop-loss orders is a nuanced process that should align with the asset’s volatility, the trader’s risk tolerance, and the trading timeframe. Utilizing technical analysis tools like support and resistance levels, moving averages, and Fibonacci retracement levels can enhance decision-making. Avoiding common mistakes and continuously refining stop-loss strategies are integral to successful trading.
IV. Strategic Use of Stop-Loss Orders
Effectively integrating stop-loss orders into trading strategies is not just about minimizing losses; it's about optimizing the balance between risk and reward. This section explores strategic ways to use stop-loss orders, ensuring they complement your overall trading approach.
Balancing Risk and Reward
The essence of using stop-loss orders strategically lies in balancing the potential risk against the expected reward. It's crucial to set stop-losses at levels that allow enough room for the trade to breathe, yet are tight enough to protect from significant losses. A common approach is the use of a risk-reward ratio, where the potential gain of a trade is compared to the potential loss. For instance, a 1:3 risk-reward ratio means that for every dollar risked, three dollars are expected in return. This ratio helps in determining where to place stop-loss orders to ensure that trades are not only safe but also potentially profitable.
Integrating Stop-Loss Orders with Trading Strategies
Stop-loss orders should be an integral part of your trading strategy, not an afterthought. For trend-following strategies, stop-losses can be set below key support levels in an uptrend or above resistance levels in a downtrend. In range-bound markets, stop-losses might be placed just outside the range. The key is consistency; applying the same principles for stop-loss placement across all trades maintains discipline and reduces the impact of emotional decision-making.
Scenario Analysis: Effective Use of Stop-Loss in Different Market Conditions
Different market conditions necessitate different approaches to stop-loss placement:
1. In Highly Volatile Markets: Wider stop-losses might be appropriate to accommodate larger price swings.
2. During Stable Market Conditions: Tighter stop-losses can be used, as price movements are generally more predictable.
3. In Trending Markets: Trailing stop-losses are useful, as they allow profits to run while protecting gains if the trend reverses.
Adjusting Stop-Loss Orders in Response to Market Movements
A static stop-loss may not always be the best approach. Adjusting stop-loss orders in response to significant market movements can be a wise strategy. As a position moves into profit, moving the stop-loss to break-even or using a trailing stop-loss can protect gains. Conversely, in a deteriorating market condition, tightening stop-losses can prevent larger losses.
In conclusion, the strategic use of stop-loss orders is a multifaceted discipline that requires a thorough understanding of market conditions, a clear grasp of risk-reward dynamics, and an ability to adapt to changing scenarios. By effectively integrating stop-loss orders into your trading strategies and adjusting them as market conditions evolve, you can not only protect your capital but also enhance your trading performance.
V. Psychological Aspects of Stop-Loss Orders
The use of stop-loss orders is not purely a technical strategy; it also involves navigating the complex terrain of trader psychology. Understanding and managing the emotional biases and challenges associated with stop-loss orders is crucial for effective trading.
Emotional Biases in Managing Stop-Losses
Traders often face emotional biases when dealing with stop-loss orders. One common bias is the reluctance to accept a loss, leading to the avoidance of placing stop-loss orders altogether or setting them too far from the current price. Another emotional challenge is the temptation to frequently adjust stop-loss levels, often moving them away from the market price to avoid the realization of a loss. This behavior can result in even larger losses.
Overcoming Fear of Losses
The fear of losses, or loss aversion, is a powerful emotional force in trading. It can lead to irrational decision-making, such as holding onto losing positions for too long or exiting winning trades too early. To overcome this fear, traders need to focus on the long-term perspective and the overall trading strategy rather than the outcome of individual trades. Accepting that not all trades will be profitable and that losses are a natural part of the trading process is key to managing this fear.
The Discipline of Letting Stop-Loss Orders Work
Discipline is essential when using stop-loss orders. Once a stop-loss is set based on a well-considered strategy, it's important to let it work. Constantly adjusting stop-loss orders in response to market "noise" or short-term price movements can be detrimental. Trusting the strategy and allowing the stop-loss order to play its role in risk management requires discipline and patience. This approach helps in maintaining a clear and consistent trading strategy, free from the impulsiveness of emotional reactions.
In conclusion, the psychological aspects of using stop-loss orders are as important as the technical aspects. By recognizing and managing emotional biases, overcoming the fear of losses, and maintaining discipline in letting stop-loss orders work as intended, traders can make more rational decisions and improve their overall trading performance. Understanding and mastering these psychological elements is a key step towards becoming a successful and resilient trader.
VI. Advanced Concepts and Considerations
As traders become more experienced, understanding the nuanced aspects of stop-loss orders becomes crucial. This section delves into advanced concepts like the implications of tight versus loose stop-losses, the impact of market gaps, and the role of stop-losses in automated trading systems.
Pros and Cons of Tight vs. Loose Stop-Losses
Choosing between tight and loose stop-losses involves a trade-off between risk and opportunity.
1. Tight Stop-Losses:
• Pros: Minimize potential losses on each trade, allow for more controlled risk management, and are suitable for high-volatility environments or short-term trading strategies.
• Cons: Higher risk of premature exits from trades, potentially missing out on profitable moves if the market quickly rebounds.
2. Loose Stop-Losses:
• Pros: Give trades more room to breathe, accommodating normal market fluctuations without prematurely exiting; suitable for longer-term trades or in securities with lower volatility.
• Cons: Expose the trader to larger potential losses and require a larger capital commitment to maintain the same level of risk as tighter stop-losses.
The Impact of Market Gaps on Stop-Loss Orders
Market gaps, where the price of a security jumps significantly from one level to another without trading in between, can significantly impact stop-loss orders. A gap can occur due to after-hours news, earnings reports, or other significant events.
• Gap Down: For a long position, if the market gaps below the stop-loss level, the order will be executed at the next available price, which can be significantly lower than the intended stop-loss level, resulting in larger than expected losses.
• Gap Up: For a short position, a gap up can similarly lead to losses exceeding the planned amount.
Understanding the conditions that lead to gaps and adjusting trading strategies and stop-loss placements accordingly can help mitigate this risk.
The Role of Stop-Loss Orders in Automated Trading Systems
In automated trading systems, stop-loss orders play a vital role in executing risk management strategies without emotional interference. These systems can use complex algorithms to determine optimal stop-loss levels based on historical data and real-time market analysis. Key benefits include:
• Consistency: Automated systems apply stop-loss orders uniformly, adhering to predefined rules.
• Speed: They can execute stop-loss orders faster than manual trading, crucial in fast-moving markets.
• Backtesting: Traders can test different stop-loss strategies using historical data to determine their effectiveness.
However, reliance on automated systems requires careful monitoring and understanding of the underlying algorithms, as these systems may not always account for unusual market conditions or unprecedented events.
In conclusion, understanding these advanced concepts and considerations surrounding stop-loss orders is imperative for experienced traders. Balancing the pros and cons of different stop-loss strategies, being aware of market conditions that can impact their effectiveness, and integrating them into automated trading systems can significantly enhance trading outcomes.
VII. Case Studies and Real-World Examples
Exploring real-world examples and case studies is an invaluable way to understand the practical application and implications of stop-loss orders in trading. This section highlights instances of successful use, analyses failures, and draws lessons from experienced traders.
Successful Use of Stop-Loss Orders in Trading
1. The Protective Trader: In a bullish stock market, a trader bought shares of a rapidly growing tech company. Recognizing the volatility of the sector, the trader set a trailing stop-loss order 10% below the purchase price. As the stock price climbed, so did the stop-loss level, effectively locking in profits. When the market eventually turned, and the stock price dropped by 15% in a week, the stop-loss order was triggered, securing the trader a substantial profit and protecting against a significant downturn.
2. The Strategic Day Trader: Focusing on short-term trades, a day trader used tight stop-loss orders to manage risks. By setting stop-losses just below key support levels, the trader minimized losses on individual trades, allowing them to remain profitable overall despite some trades going against them.
Analysis of Stop-Loss Strategy Failures
1. The Overconfident Investor: A trader, confident in their analysis, set a stop-loss that was too tight on a volatile stock. The stock's normal fluctuations triggered the stop-loss, resulting in a sale. Shortly after, the stock rebounded and continued to rise significantly. The trader's failure to account for volatility and set a more appropriate stop-loss level led to a missed opportunity for substantial gains.
2. The Neglectful Trader: Another trader set a stop-loss but failed to adjust it as the market conditions changed. When a major economic event caused the market to gap down significantly, the stop-loss was triggered at a much lower price than set, resulting in a larger than expected loss.
Lessons Learned from Experienced Traders
1. Flexibility and Adaptation: Successful traders emphasize the importance of adapting stop-loss strategies to changing market conditions and individual trade performance.
2. Balance and Rationality: Experienced traders warn against setting stop-losses purely based on the amount one is willing to lose. Instead, they advocate for a balanced approach, considering technical analysis, market trends, and volatility.
3. Continuous Learning: Even the most seasoned traders underline the need for ongoing learning and refinement of strategies, including the use of stop-loss orders.
In conclusion, real-world examples and case studies of stop-loss orders provide valuable insights into their practical application. Success in using stop-loss orders comes from a balanced approach that considers market conditions, individual trade characteristics, and ongoing adaptation. Learning from both successes and failures is crucial for developing effective trading strategies.
VIII. Best Practices in Using Stop-Loss Orders
Effectively implementing stop-loss orders is a dynamic process that demands diligence, flexibility, and a strategic approach. This section outlines best practices for using stop-loss orders, focusing on continuous learning, regular monitoring and adjustment, and integrating them into overall portfolio management.
Continuous Learning and Adaptation
1. Stay Informed: The financial markets are constantly evolving. Keeping abreast of new trends, tools, and strategies is crucial. This includes understanding market indicators, economic factors influencing stock movements, and advancements in trading technology.
2. Learn from Experience: Analyze past trades to identify what worked and what didn’t. Understanding why certain stop-loss orders succeeded or failed is invaluable for refining future strategies.
3. Seek Knowledge: Engage with trading communities, seek advice from experienced traders, and attend seminars or webinars. Expanding your knowledge base can provide new insights into the strategic use of stop-loss orders.
Monitoring and Adjusting Stop-Loss Orders
1. Regular Review: Consistently review and assess your stop-loss orders. Market conditions can change rapidly, and what may have been a sensible stop-loss level at one point can become obsolete as market dynamics shift.
2. Be Proactive: Don’t hesitate to adjust stop-loss levels if new information or market changes warrant it. However, ensure these adjustments are based on rational analysis and not emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations.
3. Use Technology: Utilize trading platforms and tools that allow for real-time monitoring and alerts. This technology can provide critical updates that inform timely adjustments to stop-loss orders.
Integrating Stop-Losses with Overall Portfolio Management
1. Consistent Strategy Application: Apply stop-loss orders in a manner consistent with your overall portfolio strategy. This includes aligning them with your investment goals, risk tolerance, and the time horizon for your investments.
2. Diversification and Risk Management: Ensure that the use of stop-loss orders complements your broader risk management strategy, which should include diversification across asset classes, sectors, and geographical regions.
3. Balance and Review: Regularly review your portfolio to ensure that the use of stop-loss orders is balanced and in line with the changing values and performances of your investments. This helps maintain an effective risk-reward ratio across the portfolio.
In conclusion, using stop-loss orders effectively requires a blend of ongoing education, vigilant monitoring, strategic adjustments, and integration into the broader context of portfolio management. By adhering to these best practices, traders and investors can use stop-loss orders to not only protect their investments but also enhance their overall trading performance.
IX. Conclusion
As we conclude this comprehensive exploration of stop-loss orders, it's crucial to recap the key points and reinforce the importance of using these tools effectively in trading.
Recap of Key Points
1. Understanding Stop-Loss Orders: We began by defining stop-loss orders and their types, including standard, trailing, and guaranteed stop-losses, each serving unique purposes in different trading scenarios.
2. Setting Stop-Loss Orders: We discussed the critical factors in setting stop-loss levels, such as the volatility of the asset, the trader's risk tolerance, and the trading timeframe. Technical analysis tools like support and resistance levels, moving averages, and Fibonacci retracement levels were highlighted as aids in determining optimal stop-loss placements.
3. Strategic Use and Adjustments: The strategic implementation of stop-loss orders, including balancing risk and reward and adjusting stop-losses in response to market movements, was emphasized as a core component of a successful trading strategy.
4. Psychological Aspects: We explored the psychological challenges in managing stop-loss orders, including emotional biases and the discipline required to let stop-loss orders work effectively.
5. Advanced Considerations: The nuances of tight versus loose stop-losses, the impact of market gaps, and the integration of stop-loss orders into automated trading systems were examined to provide a deeper understanding.
6. Real-World Applications: Through case studies and real-world examples, we demonstrated the practical applications and lessons learned from both successful and unsuccessful uses of stop-loss orders.
7. Best Practices: Finally, we outlined best practices for using stop-loss orders, highlighting the importance of continuous learning, regular monitoring and adjustments, and the integration of stop-loss strategies into overall portfolio management.
Encouragement for Prudent Use of Stop-Loss Orders
The prudent use of stop-loss orders is more than a mere tactic; it's a fundamental aspect of responsible trading. These orders serve as a safeguard, helping to manage risks and protect investments from significant losses. However, their effectiveness hinges on informed decision-making, strategic planning, and emotional discipline.
Final Thoughts on Effective Trading
Effective trading is an amalgamation of knowledge, strategy, and psychological fortitude. Stop-loss orders are a key tool in the trader's arsenal, offering a means to enforce discipline and mitigate risks. As with any trading tool, their power lies not just in their use but in how well they are integrated into a comprehensive trading strategy.
Remember, successful trading isn't just about the profits made but also about the losses prevented. The strategic use of stop-loss orders, combined with continuous learning and adaptation, is central to navigating the complexities of the financial markets. Embrace these practices, and you'll be well on your way to becoming a more skilled and resilient trader.
Lookback into a Yield Seeking Analytics: EUR Hit TargetDear Investors,
Goal
I often hear: "... but I learned from my mistakes." This phrase might be a kind emote of forgiving yourself, but you can learn much more from your successes. Today, I want to write more about an example of a success because I learned from it. I want to explain what I learned from this take profit and conclude the analytics because I know most of you never return to how an analytics you read concluded. In this follow-up analytics, I'll extend the chart of the previous setup and communicate the original data I didn't specify in that analytics. I also want to have this written because some of you prefer reading over watching my videos. In the meantime, I've released an open-source indicator on TradingView, and you'll see how this indicator could have extended or contradicted the analytics.
News & Sentiment Analytics
The initial analytics started with news analytics. I believe news can overwrite technical indicators. So, I usually begin my analytics with the news. For this purpose, I wrote some natural language processing algorithms. Some of you wrote to me, that you don't believe AI can outperform humans in supply/demand location and liquidity detection. Perhaps, that's true, but the fact is, while you commit your attention to one market and limited news, AI simultaneously processes hundreds of thousands of news from thousands of news agencies. From all these data, I emphasized the following in the analytics:
"Beyond technicals, the European Central Bank (ECB) has been cautious in raising interest rates to combat inflation, in contrast to the US Federal Reserve's more aggressive tightening cycle. This divergence in monetary policies has made the USD more attractive to yield-seeking investors."
I often extend news analytics with sentiment analytics. I could have written any combination of news, but I gave one as an example where sentiment analytics estimated a heavyweight.
Technical Analytics & Chart Patterns
In the video analytics, I used daily candles because I wanted to protect your attention from intraday noise. Nevertheless, the price action happens to be smooth. So, in this idea, I used 4-hour candles to better show the projection of how the price went into the take profit area.
Once I got an idea about a possible bearish trend from news and sentiment, I added my humble technical analytics knowledge to the setup. I noted the rising channel chart pattern that statistically, often breaks downward. You find the dotted purple trendlines on the chart. Furthermore, I calculated a demand zone between the two blue trendlines. I guessed the price could seek demand somewhere in this area. That's why you saw a falling arrow in the analytics. The trendlines themselves are the results of candle analytics, which is part of my technical analytics.
Indicators
In the signal idea, you couldn't see my Adaptive MFT Extremum Pivots indicator because I released this TradingView script after my video analytics. However, this script wasn't necessary to get a profitable vision. I added it to the update to note how the level where the price managed to fall aligns with the S3 support level, and the demand zone news-sentiment-pattern estimated aligns with the zone where the supports (S1-S3) are located. You can read the precise values in the indicator's table in the bottom right corner of the chart.
Results: +2.64% ROI, -0.18% drawdown, Trail Profit
Eventually, I added date and range computing arrows to the chart to show the results. It says a +2.64% profit over 45 bars (9 days, 12 hours). You can see the timestamp of the sentiment analytics above the candles: 01 December. You can also read the sentiment analytics idea in TradingView. See the relevant ideas. I used a stop loss at $1.102. In the worst-case scenario, I'd book a -0.18% drawdown, but the price never hit the negative limit. I don't specify the future price in this idea because I moved my stop loss down to act as a trail profit until the price decides to reverse, and I booked my profit.
It's not an investment advice. I don't claim mine was the only possible setup to take a profit from the price action. Historic results don't guarantee future returns. No indicator or analytics is inherently more superb than the others. Do your research. I only hope you learned a few practices from this idea you can use in your analytics, too.
Kind regards,
Ely
The Best Strategy to Apply Trailing Stop Revealed
Hey traders,
In this post, I will share with you my strategy to apply a trailing stop.
Please, note that I am applying a trailing stop only in trend-following trades and only when a trade is opened on a key level. I trade price action patterns, so the following technique will be appropriate primarily for price action traders. Moreover, my entries are strictly on a retest.
1️⃣
Spotting a price action pattern, I am always waiting for its neckline breakout. (if we talk about different channels, then by a neckline we mean its trend line)
Once I see a candle close below/above the neckline, I set my sell/buy limit order on a retest.
Stop loss will strictly lie below the lows of the pattern if we buy and above the highs of the pattern if we sell.
I spotted a horizontal trading range on an hourly time frame on AUDUSD. I set a sell limit order after a breakout of its neckline. Stop loss is lying above the highs of the pattern.
2️⃣
Once we are in a trade, you should measure the pattern's range (distance from its high to its low based on wicks) and then project that range from the entry to the direction of the trade.
In the picture above, the pattern range and its projection are the underlined blue areas.
Once the price reaches the projection of the pattern's range, you should move your stop loss to entry and make your position risk-free.
Move stop to breakeven in traders' slang.
3️⃣
Then you should let the market go.
📈If you are holding a long position, you should let the market retrace and set a higher low and then a new higher high or AT LEAST an equal high. Once these conditions are met, you can trail your stop and set it below the last higher low.
📉If you are holding a short position, you should let the market retrace and set a lower high and then a new lower low or AT LEAST an equal low. Once these conditions are met, you can trail your stop and set it above the last lower high.
In the example above, stop loss was modified when the price set a new lower high. Stop loss is now lying above that.
Catching a trending market you should trail your stop based on new higher lows / lower highs that the price sets. Occasionally you will catch big winners.
How do you apply a trailing stop?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Personal Lookback 💜 November's Profits, Success Rate, RisksGreetings, fellow traders,
As we embark on the second day of December, I'm filled with immense pride to announce that our previous 12 market analytics from November have triumphantly achieved their respective target prices. This remarkable accomplishment spans a diverse spectrum of assets, including precious metals like gold, forex pairs like EUR, and the ever-evolving realm of cryptocurrencies, exemplified by Bitcoin. For your convenience, a comprehensive list of these TradingView analytics will be readily available in the description below.
While we've navigated the market with remarkable precision, avoiding any unfortunate stop loss hits, I wholeheartedly encourage the integration of safety measures into your future trading endeavors. Your well-being and financial security remain paramount, and implementing prudent risk management strategies is an essential cornerstone of success.
As I reflect upon this journey, I extend my deepest gratitude for the unwavering motivation and inspiration you have bestowed upon me. Your unwavering support has been the driving force behind my commitment to providing insightful market analysis and fostering a community of empowered traders.
Together, let us strive to maintain, if not surpass, this exceptional success rate. May our collective passion for market mastery continue to propel us towards new heights of financial prosperity.
I wish you all the very best in your trading endeavors, and may longevity fill your paths.
Happy trading, and long life!
Gold:
Gold Rush with AI: Analyzing a Bullish Trend
Managing Gold Long & SL - A Multi-Indicator Consensus Indicator
Gold's Story of Resilience and Strength
Gold's in the door of Breakout or Fakeout 🧈 EMA Analytics w/ AI
Gold Rush with AI: Is a Bullish Trend broken?
Cross-Checking Gold’s Supertrend Adaptively on MTFA
FOREX:
EUR's Retracement: ECB indicated Yield-Seeking on USD
Factors Contributing to the EUR's Decline Against the USD
An AI Analytics - 💶 EURUSD Trajectory: Bullish Market Dynamics
Video - Powerful EUR Fundamentals - AI suggests Technicals Align
An AI Analytics - 💶 EURUSD Trajectory: Bullish Market Dynamics
Crypto:
Deciphering the Charts: A Closer Look at BTCUSDT's Future
Kind regards,
Ely
How To Use RISK vs. REWARD RatiosHi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫
For today's post, we're diving into the concept " risk reward ratio " by taking a look at practical examples and including other relevant scenarios of managing your risk. What is considered a good risk to reward ratio and where can you see it ? This applies to all markets, and during these volatile times it is an excellent idea to take a good look at your strategy and refine your risk management. Let's jump right in !
You've all noticed the really helpful " long setup " or " short setup " on TradingView chart ideas. This clearly identifies the area of profit (in green), the area for a stop-loss (in red) and your entry (the borderline). It also shows the percentage of your increases or decreases at the top and bottom. This is achieved by using the tool you can find in your toolbar on the left, 7th from the top. The first two options are Long Position and Short Position. It looks like this :
💭Something to remember; It is entirely up to you where you decided to take profit and where you decide to put your stop loss. The IDEAL anticipated targets are given, but the price may not necessarily reach these points. You have that entire zone to choose from and you can even have two or three take profits points in a position.
Now, what is the Risk Reward Ratio expressed in the center as a number.number ?
The risk to reward ration is exactly as the word says : The amount you risk for the amount you could potentially gain. NOTE that your risk is indefinite, but your gains are not guaranteed . The risk/reward ratio measures the difference between the entry point to a stop-loss and a sell or take-profit point. Comparing these two provides the ratio of profit to loss, or reward to risk.
For example, if you're a gambler and you've played roulette, you know that the only way to win 10 chips is to risk 5 chips. Your risk here is expressed as 5:10 or 5.10 .You can spread these 5 chips out any way you like, but the goal of the risk is for a reward that is bigger than your initial investment. However, you could also lose your 5 and this will mean that you need to risk double as much in your next play to make up for your loss. Trading is no different, (except there is method to the madness other than sheer luck...)
Most market strategists and speculators agree that the ideal risk/reward ratio for their investments should not be less than 1:3, or three units of expected return for every one unit of additional risk.
Take a look at this example: Here, you're risking the same amount that you could potentially gain. The Risk Reward ratio is 1, assuming you follow the exact prices for entry, TP and SL.
Can you see why this is not an ideal setup? If your risk/reward ratio is 1, it means you might as well not participate in the trade since your reward is the same as your risk. This is not an ideal trade setup. An ideal trade setup is a scenario where you can AT LEAST win 3x as much as what you are risking. For example:
Note that here, my ratio is now the ideal 2.59 (rounded off to 2.6 and then simplified it becomes 1:3). If you're wondering how I got to 1:3, I just divided 2.6 by 2, giving me 1 and 3.
Another way to express this visually:
If you are setting up your own trade, you can decide at what point you feel comfortable to set your stop loss. For example, you may feel that if the price drops by more than 10%, that's where you'll exit and try another trade. Or, you could decide that you'll take the odds and set your stop loss so that it only triggers if the price drops by 15%. The latter will naturally mean you are trading at higher risk because your risk of losing is much more. Seasoned analysts agree that you shouldn't have a value smaller than 5% for your stop loss, because this type of price action occurs often during a day. For crypto, I would say 10% because we all know that crypto markets are much more volatile than stock markets and even more so than commodity markets like Gold and Silver, which are the most stable.
Remember that your Risk/Reward ratio forms an important part of your trading strategy, which is only one of the steps in your risk management program. There are many more things to consider when thinking about risk management, but we'll dive into those in another post.
_______________________
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We thank you for your support !
CryptoCheck
Minervini’s Specific Exit CriteriaIntroduction
In this tutorial, we delve into the heart of Mark Minervini's trading philosophy—his specific exit criteria. Mastering the art of exiting a trade is as important as knowing when to enter. Minervini, a renowned stock market wizard, emphasizes that the secret to successful trading lies not just in selecting the right stocks but also in understanding when to sell them. This section focuses on three fundamental aspects of his exit strategy: the Stop-Loss Strategy, the Profit Target Strategy, and the Trailing Stop Strategy.
Each part of this section is designed to provide you with a deep understanding of these strategies, integrating the wisdom of Minervini's approach with practical, actionable steps. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting, mastering these exit strategies will empower you to make informed decisions, manage risks effectively, and maximize your trading potential. Let's embark on this journey to unravel the nuances of Minervini's exit strategies and apply them to enhance our trading acumen.
1. Stop-Loss Strategy
Introduction to Stop-Loss Orders
Definition: A stop-loss order is a vital tool in trading, particularly in swing trading strategies like those advocated by Mark Minervini. It is an order placed with a broker to buy or sell a stock once it reaches a predetermined price. The primary function of a stop-loss order is to limit an investor's loss on a security position. By automatically triggering a sell or buy order when the stock price hits the specified level, it prevents further loss.
Importance in Minervini's Strategy: Mark Minervini, a renowned swing trader, places a strong emphasis on risk management in his trading approach. For Minervini, a stop-loss order is not just a safety net; it's a critical component of successful trading strategy. He asserts that controlling losses is just as important as securing gains. By setting a stop-loss, a trader can ensure that their losses are controlled and predictable, which is essential in the volatile world of stock trading.
Setting Stop-Loss Levels
• Percentage-Based Stop-Loss: One of Minervini's key strategies involves setting stop-loss orders at a fixed percentage below the purchase price. This percentage is typically between 7% and 8%. For instance, if you purchase a stock at $100, setting a stop-loss order at 7% would mean placing it at $93. This method is straightforward and can be easily applied to any trade.
• Volatility-Adjusted Stop-Loss: Minervini also advises adjusting stop-loss levels according to the stock's volatility. Volatile stocks, which have larger price swings, may require a wider stop-loss order to avoid being prematurely stopped out. For example, if a stock is known to fluctuate by around 10% regularly, setting a stop-loss closer than this percentage could lead to an unnecessary sale. In such cases, a wider stop-loss, perhaps around 12-15%, might be more appropriate.
Practical Examples
• Example with a Less Volatile Stock: Consider a stable stock, XYZ, trading at $50. Following Minervini's percentage-based strategy, you could set a stop-loss at 7% below the purchase price, which would be $46.50. This level ensures that if the stock unexpectedly declines, your maximum loss will be limited to 7%.
• Example with a Volatile Stock: Now, let's take a more volatile stock, ABC, which is also trading at $50. Given its higher volatility, a 10% stop-loss might be more appropriate, setting the stop-loss order at $45. This wider margin accounts for the stock's normal fluctuations, reducing the likelihood of a sale triggered by ordinary market volatility.
In both examples, it’s crucial to monitor the stock performance and adjust the stop-loss orders as necessary, especially in response to significant market events or changes in the stock's fundamentals.
This section of the tutorial underscores the critical role of stop-loss orders in implementing Minervini's trading strategies. By effectively using stop-loss orders, traders can manage risks, control potential losses, and enhance their overall trading performance.
2. Profit Target Strategy
In Mark Minervini's trading philosophy, setting realistic profit targets is a cornerstone of successful trading. This strategy involves a careful analysis of historical data, chart patterns, and specific criteria established by Minervini. The aim is to identify a potential exit point that maximizes gains while minimizing risks.
Setting Realistic Profit Targets
• Analyzing Historical Data: Start by reviewing the historical performance of the stock. Look for patterns in how much the stock typically moves after breaking out of a base. This gives an insight into what might be a realistic target.
• Understanding Chart Patterns: Chart patterns play a vital role in setting profit targets. For instance, the 'cup and handle' pattern can provide clues about the potential upside. The depth of the cup or the height of the handle can be used to project the upward move.
• Minervini's Criteria: Minervini often looks for stocks with strong fundamentals and a history of robust earnings growth. The idea is to invest in stocks that have the potential to make significant moves.
Risk-Reward Ratio
• Definition and Importance: The risk-reward ratio is a measure used to compare the expected returns of an investment to the amount of risk undertaken to capture these returns. A favorable risk-reward ratio for Minervini is typically around 3:1 or higher. This means for every dollar risked, there is a potential to make three dollars.
• Application in Profit Targets: When setting profit targets, consider the potential downside (or the distance to your stop-loss) and set a target that adheres to this ratio. For example, if your stop-loss is set to result in a $1 loss per share, your profit target should aim for at least a $3 gain per share.
Examples
• Example 1: Stable Stock with Moderate Volatility: Let's say you buy a stock at $100, and based on historical performance and chart analysis, you expect it could rise to $120. If your stop-loss is set at $95 (a $5 risk per share), your profit target of $120 provides a risk-reward ratio of 4:1, aligning with Minervini’s strategy.
• Example 2: High Growth Stock with High Volatility: Consider a high-growth stock purchased at $50. The historical data and chart patterns suggest a potential target of $70. If your stop-loss is at $45 (risking $5 per share), then the profit target of $70 gives a risk-reward ratio of 4:1.
In each example, the key is to align the profit target with the calculated risk-reward ratio, ensuring that the potential gains justify the risks being taken. This disciplined approach to setting profit targets is integral to Minervini’s strategy and can significantly influence the success of your trading endeavors.
3. Understanding Trailing Stops
In the context of Mark Minervini's trading strategies, trailing stops are a dynamic and essential tool for managing positions and protecting profits. They are particularly significant in swing trading, where capturing trends and reacting to market changes promptly is crucial.
Definition and Benefits
• Definition: A trailing stop is a type of stop-loss order that moves with the market price. Unlike a standard stop-loss, which remains fixed once set, a trailing stop adjusts as the price of the stock moves in a favorable direction. The trailing stop is set at a percentage or a specific dollar amount below the market price.
• Benefits: The primary benefit of a trailing stop is its ability to secure profits while allowing room for further growth. As the stock price increases, the trailing stop follows it up, maintaining the set distance. If the stock price falls, the trailing stop remains stationary, and a sell order is triggered if the price hits the trailing stop level. This method effectively locks in profits and limits losses without the need for constant manual adjustment.
Application in Swing Trading
• Importance in Minervini’s Strategy: Minervini, known for his precise swing trading tactics, emphasizes the use of trailing stops for capturing the maximum possible trend movement while safeguarding the gains. In swing trading, where the goal is to capture short- to medium-term trends, trailing stops ensure that traders do not exit a position too early during a favorable trend or too late when the trend reverses.
Setting Trailing Stops
• Methods: There are several methods to set trailing stops:
• Fixed Percentage: This involves setting the trailing stop at a fixed percentage below the market price. For example, a 5% trailing stop on a stock currently at $100 would be placed at $95.
• Specific Dollar Amount: Here, the trailing stop is set at a specific dollar amount below the market price. For a stock at $100, a $5 trailing stop would be placed at $95.
• Technical Indicators: Some traders use technical indicators, like moving averages, to set trailing stops. For instance, setting a trailing stop below a 20-day moving average.
• Dynamic Adjustment: The key to using trailing stops effectively is their dynamic adjustment. As the stock price moves up, the trailing stop moves up accordingly, always maintaining the predetermined distance from the peak price achieved.
Summary
In this tutorial, we have delved into the critical aspects of Mark Minervini's exit strategies, focusing on practical and effective methods to optimize trade exits. We explored the Stop-Loss Strategy, emphasizing the importance of limiting losses and managing risks with carefully placed stop-loss orders. The Profit Target Strategy highlighted the significance of setting realistic profit goals based on a thorough analysis of historical data and chart patterns, always considering the crucial risk-reward ratio. Lastly, the Trailing Stop Strategy showcased a dynamic approach to protecting gains while allowing room for potential upside in a stock's price.
By understanding and applying these strategies, traders can enhance their ability to make informed decisions, effectively manage risk, and potentially increase profitability. These exit strategies, integral to Minervini’s trading philosophy, offer a disciplined framework for closing positions, vital for success in the dynamic world of swing trading.
INJ : 🎨 Art of Liquidity ManipulationEver wondered how some assets, like Injective Protocol (INJ), seem to move with precision, exploiting both bulls and bears? It's not just about market sentiment; it's about the strategic use of liquidity. Let's unravel the art of liquidity manipulation and explore how INJ leverages it to orchestrate its price movements. 📈💧
INJ's Liquidity Utilization:
INJ has mastered the art of leveraging liquidity to dictate its price direction. Liquidity, in the form of stop-loss orders, acts as fuel for significant price movements. The recent breakout from consolidation is a prime example, revealing how INJ strategically accumulates and deploys liquidity.
Gathering Liquidity at Lower Levels:
Before a notable move, INJ often engages in a process of gathering liquidity, especially at lower price levels. This involves triggering stop-loss orders and accumulating buy/sell interest, creating a pool of liquidity that can be used later.
Explosive Moves:
Once the desired amount of liquidity is amassed, INJ has the potential to make explosive moves. Breaking out of consolidation or initiating a strong trend becomes more feasible as the market dynamics shift in its favor.
How Manipulations Work:
Triggering Stop-Loss Orders: INJ often initiates moves to trigger stop-loss orders placed by retail traders. This allows for the collection of liquidity and positions INJ strategically.
Building Momentum: The gathered liquidity serves as the fuel to build momentum in the desired direction. This could be upward for a bullish move or downward for a bearish one.
Precision Timing: INJ's ability to time these movements with precision adds to the effectiveness of the manipulation. This timing is often influenced by market conditions, news, or strategic considerations.
Trading Amid Manipulations:
Awareness: Recognizing patterns of liquidity accumulation can help traders anticipate potential price movements.
Caution with Stop-Loss Orders: Be cautious with placing stop-loss orders at obvious levels, as they might be targeted during liquidity manipulations.
Adaptability: Stay adaptable in your trading strategy, as the market dynamics influenced by liquidity can change rapidly.
Conclusion:
INJ's utilization of liquidity manipulation is a fascinating aspect of crypto trading. As you navigate the markets, understanding these dynamics can provide valuable insights into potential price movements.
May your trades be astute, and your strategies resilient in the face of market manipulations.
Happy trading,
🌐
❗️Get my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE! Link below🔑
How to know when you are wrong and what to do nextThe feeling of ever admitting that one’s action is wrong is something many people never acknowledges, outside the works of trading, you get to see that even in a bilateral misconduct between two sovereign nations, it’s always difficult or maybe impossible for one of those countries to accept that there were at fault( being wrong), it goes on in every aspect of human endeavors, No one wants to take the blame.
Now let’s take a case study into the current invasion of Russia into Ukraine, you will get to see that none of the presidents according to their speech has accepted to be wrong in their actions.
Russian president Vladimor Putin while delivering his annual state state of the nation’s speech at the Gosting Duor conference center on February 21, 2023 did in his statement puts the blames on West and Ukraine for provoking conflicts while the president of Ukraine while replying to his speech did debunked the allegations of the Russian President. So the big question now is who is to be blamed? Who is Wrong?
It’s the same thing that applies to trading, so many beginners and advanced traders can’t really beat their chest to tell when their analysis becomes invalid so that’s the reason am here to fix things up.
What is wrong in forex?
I won’t quote any dictionary or trader but I will simply put it this way that wrong in forex is a level or stage where you find PERSONALLY that the trade setup you had plan to trade or that you had traded is no more valid, useful or won’t be profitable if traded.
The main keywords there are personally, profitability and traded. As far as wrong is concerned, it has to do with one accepting to the fact that a signal won’t yield profit because it had passed a particular level or structure.
How to know that you are wrong
I will like to drop some factors that will help you know that a setup is soar or is wrong.
You have to set up parameters before entering a trade: wheather you use pending orders or market execution, you shouldn’t rush into a trade because of how attractive or how sweet looking the candles are being printed on the chart without knowing firstly where you will consider being wrong in the market. For me, since we are in a very sensitive environment while trading, then I feel identifying where your wrong zone would be is more important travel where your profit target would be.
Use a well backtested strategy that you trust: Using a strategy that you trust would always enable a trader to quickly identify certain trade management levels. Let’s take a case st udy of a driver who uses one route everyday while going to and fro work at night, then unluckily for him, while returning from work at night on a faithful day, his head light malfunctions and then refuses to work, you will notice that with the aid of streetlight, you will be amazed that even under such mysterious circumstance, the driver would still manage to scale through the road successfully back home. Now you will ask how? This is because he has been using this route repeatedly and knows where there could be portholes and bombs so he would avoid those areas. Same thing applies with trading, when you trade a particular strategy day in day out, you will always at the slight of a fingertip be acquainted with where to identify your wrong level(stoploss) and you right level (take profit).
Be psychologically ready to accept that you are wrong: This is one of the major problems encountered by traders because most traders even when their levels or an intending structure they acknowledged as their wrong level are taken out (those who believes in closing trades manually), they rather believe that things could get better (trades will surely reverse) so they keep holding their losses till it gets out of control. As a trader, you must be ready to boldly acknowledge that a setup you saw due to some factors is wrong and then immediately close it without second thoughts.
Some technical tools and indicators to help you be aware of being wrong
Thank God for the recent innovations that has been seen in the world of trading. With this, trading has been made more smart and rewarding because of there sophisticated tools and indicators that have been made available. Here are some of the tools that can help you identify when you are wrong
Support and Resistance indicator by Luxalgo
As we all know, trading is all about identifying key levels and structures which turns to become support and resistance levels. This indicator by Luxalgo makes it more easy to quickly identify market structures and trends on each timeframe so one could use the indicator to set a particular structure which will be used as his or her wrong level.
ATR indicator
You(Mindset) indicator
This indicator surpasses all other technical indicators and tools because it has to do with the trader itself. Having to make use of those mentioned indicators is all dependent on you. This indicator determines the progress that you make in the industry.
After Losing, What Next?
There are some traders that would love to acknowledge being wrong in its dealings( setups or analysis) but their biggest question would be “After I agree that am wrong, what next should I do”?
According to a book titled “Mastering trading psychology “ written collaboratively by Andrew Aziz( founder and CEO, Peak Capital Trading Founder,Bear Bull Traders) and Mike Baehr( Chief training officer , Peak Capital Trading Couch, Bear Bull Traders), one of their est technical analysis trainee who they had in mind to reserve as their full time trader after encountering a loss( wrong) had this to say and I quote “This is embarrassing. I was doing so well alternating between real and simulator this whole week. These were my results:
Monday: 4 green trades out of 4
Tuesday: 3 green trades out of 5 trades
Wednesday: 1 green trade out of 1 trade
Thursday: 2 green trades out of 2 trades
Total: 10 green trades out of a total of 12 trades: nice profits, and feeling on top of the world!
And today it all fell apart in spectacular fashion. I traded like a maniac and finished with a huge loss. It was all a blur, but this is my recollection of the events in question:
After two small losses 10 minutes after the open, I was a bit shook. Then on my 3rd trade, I made a hotkey mistake and doubled up my position rather than exiting. That ended in a huge loss. Shortly after that, I made another hotkey mistake and took another big hit. I was a psycho- logical mess. Rather than walking away, I went on a rampage. I started trading stocks not in play (JD, BABA, MU), and was reckless and vengeful. I said to myself,
‘Fuck it, let’s go!’ (literally out loud) and fired away at my hotkeys like there was no tomorrow. By 10:30 AM ET, I was 0 for 7. By noon, I had made 13 trades. When it was all said and done, I had made 20 trades total (not tickets, but trades). Only 2 of them turned out to be winners. Talk about lack of self-control...
I violated every single rule that I had been following reli- giously all week. I stopped caring about those A+ setups and traded anything that looked marginally good. And since SPY was a roller coaster today, I got destroyed by questionable entries and ‘make-believe’ strategies. I kept trading the same stocks over and over, even after admit- ting they were not in play. I was trading like it was going out of style. I thought I could outsmart the market and get back at it. It wasn’t even about the money anymore. The losses were a foregone conclusion and had evaporated to currency heaven.
The sad part about this whole tirade was that I knew I was breaking the rules while violating them—and I didn’t give a damn about it. In the moment, I turned into the Incredible Hulk and everything switched to autopi- lot mode. I smashed at my keyboard like a savage. Everything I had learned up to this point in my (short- lived) trading career was thrown out the window. I had literally unleashed an animal that I had no control of. I’ve never experienced such poor self-discipline in my normal life—ever.
Today was a reminder of how fragile the trading mindset can be. All it takes is one moment—a FILG one —to send you spiraling out of control. All of these rules and checklists I had been adhering to were useless in the face of such madness. They were nothing but delicate paper walls I had erected to trick myself into believing that my emotions were in check. They came crumbling down under the slightest pressure. It was all an illusion; I was delusional.
I have a lot of reflecting and contemplating to do this weekend. I might take a break from trading to rebuild my psyche. Maybe I’ll visit a monastery to cleanse myself of all these trading sins. But first I need to forgive myself. Now I’m just rambling like a fool.
Thanks for reading, and remember—don’t trade like a crackhead”.
I know being wrong hurts but here are the remedies to do in such circumstances.
Shut down your computer sets for that day: The is a saying that “He who doesn’t bet the farm on one trade lives to trade another day. Setups as far as trading is concerned is a repeatable outcome, as far as your strategy has an edge, then your setups will always come. Move away for that day and return the next day.
Have a source of happiness: It’s not just shutting down the system but what do you do after putting the system off, you must as a trader have something that brings happiness to you naturally, it could be hanging out with friends, playing soccer or having some cool time with your kids or maybe taking some yummy ice cream or whatever. Personally when bad days or wrong days usually comes around, I do play virtual games and this just has its own way of making me happy. After shutting down, make sure you locate your source of happiness immediately.
Return like a baby the next day: The mind of a baby according to research is like a flowing river, it always keeps moving without thoughts of what happened previously, your mind as a trader should be like a baby. You should learn from your mistakes but don’t let it weigh you down. Resume office the next day with joy forgetting what occurred the previous day. Take trading decisions according to your strategy and let the trades play out.
Conclusion
The key take away from this write up is learn to adjust, learn to accept your wrongs and act accordingly to it. Digest this my write up efficiently and still check out for other other resources I will be dropping soon. Always try as much as possible to see how you can improve both yourself and your trading carrier everyday of your life.
SEE YOU AT THE TOP!!
GEVO. Manipulation Short squeeze. How short positions are reset.This example is on paper company Gevo inc - manufacturing. Chemical industry. Specialized chemicals.
I will say that I combined the training idea with the trading one , how the stocks will be relevant for trading now, the potential first profit with confirmation of support can be about + 90%.
Everything that happens now, goals, read below under the description of the manipulation of a short squeeze.
But let's plunge into the past and in order to examine this detective story in order to evaluate this masterpiece of trading art by applying the punishment of the zombie crowd of believers “it should be like that” and “put sure Stop-Loss like a smart uncle wrote to us in a book.”
It was like this ... It seems that the downtrend will last forever. After all, the price over the past 2 years has fallen by almost -99%! Dump from $ 245 to $ 3.30!
This is what happens with real companies, but what about non-existent crypto projects?
After all, almost all crypto projects are built on promises that this “nothing” will cost a lot. Buy and hold, and you and the plant employee will become a millionaire in a couple of months / years. The sweetest lie, the more willing poor John believes in it.
As you understand, in many cryptocurrency projects for lovers of “buy and hold”, to become a millionaire and stop going to the factory is still ahead.
It doesn’t matter whether these assets are pumped up yet or not, but their ultimate fate is the complete disappearance in the near future of the life of poor believing John.
The graph shows a strong downtrend , merciless to investors. But among investors, one must not forget that there are very rich uncles who can also make a mistake. But those who want to fix it. Well, it is clear that after such a fall from $ 240 to $ 3, no sane person believes in growth already, how silly it is. Most traders enter only a short position.
But there are more intelligent people who have thought and decided why we don’t make a lot of money on “100% faith” of people.
The strongest downtrend. Drop from $ 240 to $ 3.30. Minus 99% for 2 years.
As part of this trend, many sellers are going to expect a continued decline in the trend.
But after all, everyone was taught that it is necessary to put Stop-Loss, and if you do not, then you should always close somewhere.
Where will everyone have stops on this chart? Yes, everything of course depends on the point of opening positions, but the generally accepted approach - Stop-Loss who enters a short position will be put for the nearest resistance, that is, we will be interested in the zones above the selected levels on the chart.
If everything is clear and the main crowd has so much faith and become accustomed to the eternal fall, why not take advantage of this and start the domino effect? After all, money is burned only initially to start the process, then only fantastic earnings. How everyone will be "trapped" in a trap. Any inadequate Stop-Loss sizes will be reached. Buy or margin Call.
Gevo inc. Levels where the crowd of "shorts" puts Stop-Loss.
It is in these zones that Stop-Loss of most market participants are behind the resistance.
Large players understand this very well, it’s a sin not to use it if you have enough money on hand for this manipulation.
Perhaps the biggest player is the company itself, which is very interested in getting out of a loss-making situation and making big profits. After all, having for this a certain amount of money you can start an avalanche-like process and get the most unattainable Stop-Loss, thereby moving the market up against the current trend on Stop-Loss. This is an avalanche-like process.
You understand very well what will happen to those traders who have opened a short trend and the price will begin to rise against their position, and even grow rapidly impulse with no chance of pardon. Yes, everything is simple, when we reach a certain zone, the order is executed, that is, the position is closed by Stop-Loss. And we all know that a position is closed by opening a reverse position, which means that if we were on sale, then a purchase is opened to close, that is, we create additional demand for growth. And so on the chain.
And it’s not scary that then the price will return very quickly back to the previous values, because the manipulators will be in big profit, and the trader who caught the margin will no longer enter a short position on this asset. This is what came out of the chart below.
Gevo inc. Growth + 600% at closing short on Stop-Loss.
As we can see, the first strong resistance was + 100% of the minimum value before the short squeeze.
That's how you think who believed that the price will reach these values? It is clear that no one, well, especially since the price will reach the last Stop Loos zone.
For such an action, money was needed only until the first Stop-Loss zone, after which the price moves according to the domino effect. Growth fuel is the closing of short positions. Virtually no one believed in growth, which is why the impulse was + 600%, due to the closure of short positions of those who did not believe.
After a while, the price broke the line of the main downtrend. Price shifted to lateral movement. Wishing to enter the short was less and less, as everyone remembered the previous margin Call.
A year ago, there were two more attempts to punish those wishing to enter a short position in this trading instrument. It was not possible to repeat the short squeeze situation on such a scale. The first short squeeze is + 67% and immediately after it + 27%. It can be seen that there are no more willing traders to enter a short position on this trading instrument.
Gevo inc. The situation is now.
Please note that only on short-squeezes did a large volume go out at the auction. Traders with short positions were squeezed out of the market specifically.
In lateral movement, the price is now drawing a formation that could become a triple bottom. If support is confirmed , the growth potential to the previous local maximum and the first resistance is about + 90%.
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Manipulations.
Someone thinks that manipulations occur only in the crypto market, this is not so, they are everywhere, only in the crypto market they are open and arrogant, as there is no responsibility for this.
In other markets, there is price manipulation, but to a lesser extent, as if the relevant authorities prove guilty there will be huge fines, or the deprivation of a license for trading activities up to the prison.
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What is a squeeze on the exchange. Short squeeze. Long squeeze.
Squeeze (eng. Queeze - squeeze out) - a situation in the financial market when Stop Loss is sharply collected. As a result of the sharp increase, part of the Stop Loss is squeezed out, and part is closed at the “what is” price, this leads to an even greater increase / decrease in the price.
Since positions can be held both in purchase and in sale, both short-squeeze and long-squeeze are possible.
Short squeeze - it happens when sellers (shorts) are forced to close their open positions in order to avoid even greater losses, which only spurs the price even higher. On the graph, the hairpin (shadow) is up.
Long squeeze - exactly the opposite. A sharp decline in the price of assets, forcing buyers (longists) to close their positions. Here, the buyers are already the “victims”, who are forced to close open transactions at a loss in order to prevent even greater losses, which provokes a further drop in the price of the instrument. On the graph, the hairpin (shadow) is down.
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Short squeeze on margin trading.
If it comes to margin trading, the strongest buyer today is yesterday's short. The vicious circle for bears is called "short squeeze" - short squeeze. In order not to be trapped, market participants must understand the principle of short positions, see the potential for a situation that could provoke a “short squeeze”. Experienced traders know how to make a profit with a short squeeze.
The strongest short-term growth waves often occur during periods when a large number of lower players find themselves locked in an unprofitable position due to an unexpected price increase for them. As a rule, these are mid-level traders and so-called “hamsters” market participants with a level of knowledge and experience that is close to zero and close to it. Unfortunately or vice versa, fortunately the bulk of the crowd of the crypto market is precisely this layer of society. In such a situation, in order to get out of the trap they have to actively buy this cryptocurrency in which they are locked at any price in order to save part of their capital and fix the loss. I will explain in more detail so that the mechanism of this phenomenon becomes more clear.
A short position or short-term transaction (from impudent short) is an operation when a trader sells a borrowed coin with the intention of buying it back later at a lower price. After the return of the borrowed coins, the difference between the sale price and the purchase price becomes profit.
You can borrow cryptocurrency from the exchange, which as a guarantee for such a loan requires an adequate amount of guarantee security in the account. As a guarantee, money, bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies, which are valued at a certain discount, can act.
When the value of the coin in which you are in a position increases, the size of the required guarantee for short positions also begins to grow rapidly. If the amount of funds in the account is insufficient to cover the required amount of security, the exchange may forcefully close the position.
Downgrade players usually try to prevent this situation and close the position before submitting a margin call request from the exchange. However, their tactics here are essentially the same - a quick purchase of a coin that has grown in price, and you are in a short unprofitable position on it. If the size of the positions of such participants is large enough, then this situation can lead to skyrocketing prices and the avalanche-like closure of other shorts.
Scalper traders and intraday traders who often open counter-trend trades in the hope of a pullback after active growth can aggravate the situation even more. If the rollback is not realized, then their purchases may become additional fuel for the upward movement.
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The immaturity of the cryptocurrency market provides opportunities for manipulation.
An important feature of the cryptocurrency market, which is often ignored, is its tendency to respond to the actions of individual bidders. By individual bidders, I mean large traders, the creators of individual cryptocurrencies on which manipulations occur, as well as exchanges, which naturally themselves are owners of large cryptocurrency assets. And also, if desired, can affect their price. Roughly speaking, these are market participants who are called “whales” in the slang of traders.
The cryptocurrency market is more affected by the influence of these particular market participants than other markets, due to the lack of maturity and insufficient control of the relevant state financial control bodies.
No fundamental does not work without money support, but money on the exchange without the influence of the fundamental works in such an uncontrolled market perfectly. For example, we are all familiar with such frequent phenomena in the crypto market as "pumps" (artificially pumping prices). Very often they occur even without the release of FUD news on a particular coin.
Also, the entire crypto market is very much tied to the dynamics of bitcoin, which can lead it in the opposite direction to fundamental factors.
In recent years, the market has become more “mature”: instead of the buy-and-hold trading strategy, many have begun to use more advanced methods. Futures contracts, trading with leverage, opening short positions are now available. The more powerful players appear in the industry, the more the community takes on them “tricks” from the field of trading.
More and more traders are using short positions in a falling market, allowing them to earn money in such conditions. And naturally, in such conditions, short squids and long squises often occur. Since the majority of traders take short positions in the bear market, many receive big losses, some especially greedy and not experienced margin calls.
Large investors can begin to behave dishonestly Short-squeeze can be carried out only by a large market participant, such manipulations are beyond the power of ordinary traders. How to do this you need a huge amount. As a rule, such manipulations are done by the exchanges themselves. This is illegal - but everything is legal on the cryptocurrency market!
There are conspiracy theories that such manipulations are carried out by exchanges, thus getting rid of customers who will definitely be in the black due to short positions and withdraw money from the exchange ecosystem.
Learn What is TRAILING STOP LOSS | Risk Management Basics
In the today's article, we will discuss a trailing stop loss. I will explain to you its concept in simple words and share real market examples.
🛑 Trailing stop loss is a risk management tool that allows to protect unrealized profits of an active trading position as long as the price moves in the desired direction.
Traditionally, traders trade with fixed stop loss and take profit. Following such an approach, one knows exactly the level where the trade will be closed in a profit and the level where it will be closed in a loss.
Take a look at a long trade on USDCAD above.
The trade has fixed TP Level - 1.354 and fixed SL Level - 1.341.
Once one of these levels is reached, the trade will be closed.
Even though the majority of the traders stick to fixed sl and tp, there is one important disadvantage of such an approach – substantial gains could be easily missed.
After the market reached TP in USDCAD trade, the price temporarily dropped, then a strong bullish rally initiated and the price went way above the Take Profit level. Potential gains with that long position could be much bigger.
Trailing stop solves that issue.
With a trailing stop loss, the trader usually opens the trade with Stop Loss and WITHOUT Take Profit.
Take a look at a long trade on USDCHF.
Trader expects growth, he opens a long position and sets stop loss – 0.8924, while take profit level is not determined.
As the market starts growing, one decides not to close the trade in profit, but modify stop loss – trail it to the level above the entry.
As the market keeps rallying, one TRAILS a stop loss in the direction of the market, protecting the unrealized gains.
When the market finally starts falling, the price hits stop loss and a trader closes the trade in a substantial profit.
The main obstacle with the application of a trailing stop is to keep it at a distance from current price levels that is not too narrow nor too wide.
With a wide stop loss distance, substantial unrealized gains might be washed out with the market reversal.
Imagine you predicted a nice bullish rally on Bitcoin.
The market bounced nicely after you opened a long position .
Trailing stop loss too far from current price levels, all the gains could be easily wiped out.
While with a narrow trailing stop distance, one can be stop hunted before the move in the desired direction continues.
A trader opens a long trade on EURJPY and the price bounces perfectly as predicted.
One immediately trails the stop loss.
However, the distance between current prices was too narrow and the position was closed after a pullback.
And then market went much higher
In conclusion, I want to note that fixed SL & TP approach is not bad, it is different and for some trading strategies it will be more appropriate. However, because of its limitations, occasionally big moves will be missed.
Try trailing stop by your own, combine it with your strategy and I hope that you will make a lot of money with that!
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
HINDUNLIVER - SUPPORT TRADEHinduniliver is at multi-support level.
This is the level where it took support multiple times in the past and bounced from it.
Considering the previous price action, chances are that prices might bounce from these levels again.
Hence with a small stop loss, a long trade can be taken in this stock.
I have drawn a downsloping trendline along the previous peaks, the break of which can take stock to 2640 levels in no time.
Current levels: 2468
Support levels: 2457- 2421
Target: 2640
Stop: Below 2400 ( as per risk capacity)
Mastering Risk: A Guide to Setting Stop Loss in Forex Trading 🛡
In the world of forex trading, where price fluctuations can be swift and unpredictable, mastering risk is paramount. One of the most crucial risk management tools at your disposal is the stop loss order. In this comprehensive guide, we will explore the ins and outs of setting stop losses in forex trading. We'll provide real-world examples and equip you with the knowledge needed to protect your capital and trade with confidence.
The Importance of Setting Stop Loss Orders
A stop loss order is a predetermined price level at which a trade is automatically closed to limit potential losses. Here's why setting stop losses is vital in forex trading:
1. Risk Management: Forex trading carries inherent risks. Stop losses allow you to define your maximum acceptable loss and protect your capital.
2. Emotion Control : Trading can evoke strong emotions. Stop loss orders remove the need for impulsive decisions during adverse price movements, promoting discipline and reducing emotional stress.
3. Preserving Capital: Successful trading is about longevity. By limiting losses, stop loss orders help you maintain your capital, ensuring you have the resources to seize future opportunities.
Setting Stop Loss: Strategies and Examples
Example 1: EUR/USD Long Position:
Example 2: GBP/JPY Short Position:
Setting stop loss orders is a fundamental aspect of responsible and successful forex trading. By mastering the art of setting stop losses, you can effectively manage risk, maintain discipline, and ensure that your trading journey is characterized by longevity and success. Remember, it's not about avoiding losses entirely, but about controlling them to protect your capital and thrive in the forex market. 🛡📉📊
Let me know, traders, what do you want to learn in the next educational post?
🔹 #XAUUSD Trade Analysis Condition 1: Bearish Movement
If the price movement indicates a bearish trend, we can consider entering a short position between the entry points of 1940-1939 after a pullback. Our first take profit level (TP1) could be set between 1910-1905, while TP2, which serves as a target rather than a fixed TP, could be in the range of 1865-1860. It is crucial to identify a logical level as the stop loss (SL) to manage risk effectively.
Condition 2: Bullish Breakout
In the event of a bullish breakout above the 1905-1910 level, we should exercise caution and wait for a retracement before considering a short position. Once the price retraces to the range of 1953-1951, we can enter a short position. The same set of take profit levels mentioned earlier (TP1 and TP2) can be employed. It's important to adhere to a logical SL level to protect against potential losses.
Please note that given the current downtrend, it is advisable to avoid initiating long (buy) positions during these days. Corrections in a downtrend may provide opportunities for short positions.
Remember to conduct your own analysis and adapt the strategy based on market conditions. Trade wisely and use proper risk management techniques.
#XAUUSD #ShortPosition #BearishTrend #TakeProfit #StopLoss #TradingView
Defend Your Forex Fortunes: The Crucial Role of Stop Loss Orders
Forex trading is an exhilarating endeavor that offers substantial profit potential, but it's also laden with risks. The volatile nature of currency markets means prices can swing swiftly and unpredictably. In this comprehensive article, we'll delve into the compelling reasons why every forex trader needs to implement stop loss orders. We'll provide real-world examples and demonstrate how these protective measures can safeguard your trading capital.
The Imperative of Stop Loss Orders
A stop loss order is a predefined price level set by traders to limit potential losses. It serves as an automatic trigger that closes a trade when the market moves against their position. Here's why stop loss orders are indispensable in the world of forex trading:
1. Risk Management: Forex trading carries inherent risks, and no one can predict market movements with absolute certainty. Stop loss orders allow traders to quantify their risk and protect their capital.
2. Emotion Control: Trading can evoke strong emotions, leading to impulsive decisions during adverse price movements. Stop loss orders remove the need for impromptu choices, promoting discipline and reducing emotional stress.
3. Preserve Capital: Trading is a long-term game. By limiting losses, stop loss orders help traders maintain their capital, ensuring they have the resources to seize future opportunities.
Real-World Examples
Example 1: EUR/USD Trade:
Example 2: USD/JPY Trade:
In the thrilling yet risky realm of forex trading, safeguarding your investments is non-negotiable. Stop loss orders are your protective shield, offering resilience against unexpected market movements and impulsive decision-making. By incorporating stop loss orders into your trading strategy, you can effectively manage risk, maintain discipline, and ensure that your forex journey is marked by longevity and success. 🛡📉💼
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