Ethereum - let’s reassess the situation: new scenarioOur previous scenario on ethereum is linked below (and on the chart above on those cool yellow triangles!). Since then price has not exactly did as we expected, so we haven’t entered any position yet. We’re currently hanging on to our previous invalidation zone, and we got there in a manner that reeks of exhaustion. Let’s have a closer look at the situation and see what new information the market has given us.
Daily
Let’s first just look at the price action and ichimoku. Price has been rejected from the bottom of the thick kumo. but is at the moment being held by the previous low, indicated by yesterdays long wick.We will need to wait for this to be confirmed by another candle. At the moment we’re still inside yesterdays candle, as long as that remains that way, we’re relatively safe…
Kijun and tenkan are flat, so we expect price to bounce back up to them eventually. Chikou span is in open space, indicating there is still bearish potential.
All this being said, we’re still looking for a bullish entry. Ichimoko doesn’t give us any clues to that yet, except perhaps the flattening of all lines and the thinning of the kumo. We expect sideways action, and then eventually a kumo break. Possibly through the flatter part of the kumo.
One of the reasons we’ve been anticipating a move up by ETH is because Bitcoin did. The correlation between these pairs suggests that ETH should make up for the move it didn't have. We’ll get into this more deeply another time. Now let’s look at the setup on a daily timeframe
We’re looking for a retracement of the last move up, towards around 620. We expect some resistance on the way, but before get into projecting more exact targets, we need to see the move start. We holding onto some previous support levels, as well as the 1:1 extension of the previous swing down. Price has maybe some more momentum for a push down to the 1.272 level, so again, we have to wait for confirmation signals to enter. We can enter long in this zone between the 1 and 1.272 extensions, or wait for a breakout of the breakout level. This will give a higher probability that of reaching our target. In either case we’ll have to wait for some kind of signal for this scenario to turn into a trade
2HR
The 2 HR timeframe shows the breakout level around the top of the kumo, and a thick kumo beneath. This tells us that we’re probably going to have a range-behaviour behaviour, waiting for the kumo to flatten out or perhaps reach into the kumo and range there for a while.
Either way, I know it sounds boring, but we have to wait for our signals before we can enter.
If price chooses to move beyond the 1.272 extension level we’ll invalidate the scenario and see how we can reposition ourselves.
Stoploss
Chaikin Volume Indicator Strategy EURUSD 1HThe reason why Chaikin Money Flow is the best volume indicator and it’s better than the classical volume indicator is because it measures institutional accumulation-distribution.
Typically on a rally the Chaikin volume indicator should be above the zero line. Conversely, on sell-offs the Chaikin volume indicator should be below the zero line.
Step #1: Chaikin Volume Indicator must shoot up in a straight line from above zero (minimum +0.15) to below the zero line (minimum -0.15)
When the Volume goes from positive to negative in a strong fashion way it has the potential to signal strong institutional selling power. That’s our base heavy lifting signal!
Basically, we let the market to reveal its intentions.
When the big money steps into the market, they leave a mark as their orders are so big that it’s impossible to hide. When the volume indicator forex goes straight from above zero to below the zero line and beyond it shows accumulation by smart money.
We’re firm believer that you get your maximum bang for the buck when you trade side by side with the smart money. The institutions have more money than you have, more resources than you have and probably they are smarter than you. It’s pretty obvious that the odds are stacked against you, so if you want to change that just follow the smart money.
Step #2: Wait for the Volume Indicator Forex to slowly pullback above the zero line. The price needs to remain below the previous swing high.
Once we spotted the big elephant in the room aka the institutional players we start to look for the first sign of market weakness. Here is how to identify the right swing to boost your profit.
We’re going to let the Chaikin Money Flow indicator slowly move above the zero line. The key word here is “slowly”. We don’t want to see the volume dropping fast because this will invalidate the accumulation noted previously.
Secondly, as the volume decreases and moves above the zero line, we want to make sure the price remains below the previous swing high. This will confirm the smart money accumulation.
Step #3: Sell once the Chaikin Forex indicator breaks back below the zero line. Wait for the candle close before pulling the trigger.
Now that we have observed real institutional money coming into the market, we wait for them to step back in and drive the market back down.
When the Chaikin indicator breaks back below the zero line, it signals an imminent rally as the smart money are trying to selloff the price again.
Obviously that we would need to wait for the candle close to confirm the Chaikin break below the zero line. Once everything aligns together we’re free to open our short position.
Note* The trigger candle needs to have the closing price in the upper 25%.
Step #4: Hide your protective Stop Loss above the previous pullback’s high.
Using a stop loss is crucial if you want to have an idea of how much you’re about to lose on your trade. Never underestimate the power of placing a stop loss as it can be lifesaving.
Simply hide your protective stop loss above the previous pullback’s high. Never use a mental stop loss and always commit a SL right at the moment you open your trades.
Trading with a tight stop loss can give you the opportunity to not just have a better risk to reward ratio but also to trade bigger lot size.
Step #5: You choose your Take profit or Take profit when the Chaikin Volume moves above +0.15
Once the Chaikin volume moves back above +0.15 it indicates that the buyers are stepping in and we want to take profits. We don’t want to risk giving back some of the profits gained so we liquidate our position at the first sign of the smart money stepping in on the other side of the market.
We always can get back into the market later if the smart money show up again.
Note** the above was an example of a SELL trade using the best volume indicator. Use the same rules for a BUY trade – but in reverse.
QTUM/DOLLAR 2H DARVA BOX STRATEGYStep #1: Identify at least two Darvas boxes that are on top of each other
The first trading rule is to let the market develop at least two Darvas Boxes. Basically, the two Darvas boxes are showing that the market is starting to move in steps to the downside. So at this point, the market also should be making lower highs followed by lower lows, which is the basic definition of an downtrend.
In the real world, you’ll notice that the Darvas boxes don’t perfectly stack on top of each other. You’ll rarely find a series of Darvas boxes where the following box has the bottom perfectly aligned with the top/bottom of the previous box.
You will notice that the price range of the second Darvas box can move into the space of the first Darvas box which still qualify for a valid Darvas box.
Note* Big candle wicks are ignored when drawing the Darvas box. Use the closing price instead.
Step #2: Draw a support line in the middle of the first Darvas box
We’ve noted that there is no such thing as perfection when dealing with the price action. And since the Darvas boxes tend to overlap, another characteristic is that in most of the cases the top/bottom of the current box won’t exceed the middle of the previous Darvas box.
In this case, we can anticipate that the third Darvas box will develop its top around the middle or bottom of the second Darvas box.
Step #3: How to sell QTUM: Sell when we test the middle or bottom of the 2nd Darvas Box
We want to buy low and sell high because that’s the rule number one to make consistent profits.
We sell QTUM as soon as the middle or bottom of the 2nd Darvas box is tested this will ensure that we sell on a retracement in an already proven downtrend.
Step #4: Place your protective Stop Loss above resistance level in the second Darvas Box
Our improved cryptocurrency sell strategy comes with the advantage of providing us with a very tight stop loss. We can hide our protective stop loss within or above the second Darvas box.
A break above the second Darvas box will invalidate the whole price structure and it’s wise to get out of the trade as soon as possible.
Two things can measure the success of a trading strategy.
First, how tight the stop loss is and secondly the stop loss placement needs to be logical not just a random price coming out from over-optimization.
Step #5: Take profit needs to be 2 or 3 times more than your stop loss
Opening a trade is just the beginning; you also need an exit strategy to maximize your profits. It’s often said that it’s more important where you take profits than your entry strategy
The professional traders place more weight and attention on the exit strategy because that’s how they make money. Probably, this is one of the oldest trading secrets that smart money doesn’t want you to know.
Note** the above was an example of a SELL trade using the Free QTUM cryptocurrency strategy. Use the same rules for a BUY trade – but in reverse.
Trading Strategy for Parabolic Markets [Part 1]I recently watched this podcast with Tone Vays. Tyler Jenks was the guest and he started out by saying:
"This is the greatest opportunity I have seen in financial markets."
It just so happens that I have been studying parabolic theory as it relates to hyperwaves. I am using that information to develop a trading strategy that is aimed towards capitalizing on parabolic moves. I will be using Tyler Jenks' hyperwave and consensio theories, Welles Wilder’s RSI, ADX and Parabolic SAR indicators, as well as Parabolic theory from Spyfrat’s Call. The TD' Sequential and Ichimoku Clouds will also be used to a much smaller degree. Below I have outlined the indicators/theories that are being used, my approach to entries, four options for a trailing stop loss in a parabolic market and a rudimentary price target calculation.
If you are not interested in the minutia of my approach then feel free to skip straight to part 2 where positions will be outline. I have identified 5 stocks that are currently in a parabolic state and one that is primed to start one. Entries, stop losses and risk:reward calculations are provided for each. Three strategies for implementing trailing stop losses have also been included.
Consensio
Used to identify bull and bear markets. If price is above the MA’s and the shorter term MA’s are all above the longer term MA’s then it is a bull market. If the price is below the MA’s and the shorter term MA’s are below the longer term then we are in a bear market.
Hyperwave
Parabolic Burst Continuation
30-prd RSI is used rather than the more commonly used 14-prd RSI
If 30-prd RSI reaches 70 level, stock is in parabolic status
The best setup is when both Weekly RSI and Daily RSI reach 70 with the weekly RSI > Daily.
If both weekly and daily RSI are in parabolicy state but the daily RSI overtakes the weekly RSI the asset is said to be in a ‘Parabolic High Risk’ (PSR') state. Indicates that asset is at a high risk of a major correction (paraburst)
If both weekly and daily RSI > 80 (regardless if w > d), the asset is said to be in ‘Extreme Parabolic High Risk’ (ePHR) state.
Source
ADX and DI
ADX measures the strength of the trend. If < 20 then no trend exists. If > 25 then strength of trend is building. Horizontal lines can be drawn on the ADX to indicate when the move is becoming exhausted.
Plus Directional Indicator (+DI) and Minus Directional Indicator (-DI), together these measure trend direction. If +DI > -DI then trend is bullish. If +DI < -DI then trend is bearish. Crossover in the -DI and +DI can indicate a change in the market trend.
Entries
I will always line out a minimum of three entries. That is because I believe in entering into positions in thirds or fourths, only adding when the price moves in my favor. This allows me to minimize risk and emotional decision making.
Trailing Stop Losses
Bill Williams Fractals - Set slightly under most recent down fractal (if long).
Parabolic SAR - Set slightly under most recent weekly SAR' or slightly under the previous 2 daily SARs.
ADX - If > 50 on weekly and/or > 60 on daily
RSI - If weekly and daily are > 80
Price Targets
This is still a work in progress. I have noticed that each phase tends to go +90% - +95% from prior phases high. That can be used to give us a rough idea in order to calculate the risk:reward, however there is a lot more backtesting that still needs to be done. If you have significant data about the % ROI' each phase will return on average then I would be very interested in collaborating!
Now that you understand the approach be sure to check out part 2 where 5 possible possible positions are outline
Scenario: up or down? Scenario: up or down?
Ethereum didn’t exactly do as we thought it would. We didn't get a clean break of our breakout level, and went down quite violently while bitcoin remained steady. Let’s stick to the charts and see what they tell us to do.
DAILY
First of all, We see the giant downwards channel we’re working on. We’re hanging on to the median line, and we want to see that hold to consider bullish trades
Second, price is moving in an upwards channel. Second, ichimoku indicates that the downward move is consolidating, as all indicators move into equilibrium.
How to treat this? Our setup remains valid, although we don’t think the move to be as strong as we initially expected (as bitcoin pushed through to the max target, ethereum didn't make it past the breakout level). Now if we get a clean break of the breakout level we’ll probably reach the max target around 565 .
Let’s get a better look on the 2HR chart
2HR
There’s a few interesting things going on here. Let’s break it down.
First, look at the breakout of the prior breakout level. We broke out with an enormous hammer, followed by another enormous hammer, and then down. This was not a clean break, and we did not get in here. Traders getting in on conditional orders should be holding through, as our setup has not been invalidated, and are still on our way to our target.
Now when do we get in? As we can see price is above the kumo, and tenkan and kijun are too. One possibility is getting in off a kijun bounce or kumo bounce around the 465 area. Another possibility is getting in on a clean break of the breakout level around 495, which will give us a much higher probability of reaching our target than entering now. Especially as we’re about to touch the kumo on the daily chart, possibly pushing the price further down in stead of up.
If we do head downwards towards invalidation we may set up for a short trade, but more on that when the time comes
So, again, and again, and again, we wait. We know our breakout level, we know our target, and we know our risk. We’ll see where price moves, do as it tells us to do.
Breakout level: 495
Max target: 565
Invalidation 438
We hope you enjoyed this trade, and as always, remember,
Be patient, only time will bring you profit.
p.s. we regularly update our scenario's, follow us and receive to receive those updates!
EURUSD 30M TDI LONG STRATEGYFind TDIGM under indicator search
Step #1: Look for the Read Line to break above the Yellow Line
The yellow line is regarded as being the most important line of the TDI indicator because it binds together all the other parts and it makes the indicator tradable. Traders also refer to the yellow line as the Market Base line.
The yellow line can be used to determine the long-term trend. We need to see an alignment between the long-term trend and the short-term trend in order to successfully scalp the market.
When we have positive expectation coming into the market, the red line must be above the green and the yellow line. That’s the first signal that the buyers are stepping into the market.
Step #2: Wait for the Green Line to also break above the Yellow Line. The Red Line must not break above the upper blue band.
The second required condition for a valid trade signal is to also wait for the green line to break above the yellow line. Once this happens, we have an alignment between the short-term trend and the long-term trend.
When an alignment in the trend direction occurs, that’s when we have those explosive scalping opportunities.
The catch is that we need the red line to be contained inside the blue Bollinger Bands. When the red line breaks the upper blue band, we know the market is stepping on the gas. This means we have an acceleration in volatility and tells us that the buyers are exhausted.
We don’t want that to happen!
Step #3: Buy at the closing candle after the Green Line breaks above the Yellow Line
When the green line crosses above the yellow line, it tells us that the buyers are buying and the fact that we have positive sentiment.
We’re looking to buy in a market with increasing volatility and in a market where both the short-term and the long-term trend align in the same upward direction.
When the price and the market sentiment align, and they are sharing the same sort of expectation, then that’s the best time to enter the market. So, we buy at the closing candle after the green line crosses above the yellow line.
Step #4: Hide your protective Stop Loss below the respective swing low developed as a result of the red line crossing above the green line.
Find on the chart the last time the red line crossed above the green line and located on the price chart the respective swing low developed as a result of this crossover.
Now, use this swing low to hide your protective stop loss.
Step #5: You choose Take profit or when both the red line and the green line crosses above the 70 level
The real reversal signal is given when the green line also joins the red line and touches the 70 level which signals buyer exhaustion again. When this happens, we want to take profits.
The expectation is that when we get up to these levels to start looking for market reversal because the market it can’t go any higher. And this is the perfect place to get out of our scalping trade and take profits.
Note** the above was an example of a BUY trade using the best traders dynamic index strategy. Use the same rules for a SELL trade – but in reverse.
Closed trade & next scenarioClosed trade & next scenario
A quick update on our trade and what we see happening in the market. Our plan still holds: we reached our second target and reached max target. We expect some to see some range-like behaviour before possibly reaching the 2.618 extension level. Or perhaps we will see a strong bearish reaction and cycle at our max target. As always, we will have to allow time to lead us.
DAILY
While typing this we reached our max target and closed our trade. Now we wait for bearish signs to enter a short, or breaking resistances to consider re-entering a long position. The daily 9 on the TD system indicates this move is exhausted, and we’re probably going to see a pullback, or major correction. We don’t know yet..
As you can see on the chart below the longs are taking profit, we’ll have to see if this is enough to start a new bearish cycle, or if we get a push through to the red box (with the weekly kijun) for a perfect shorting opportunity. As we said, this may take a while, and price will probably not go directly up and then directly down, but range a while before agreeing on a direction.
2HR - Bitfinex longs/shorts
There;s a strong (>10%) drop in longs, so there’s some major profit taking going on at the moment. We’ll have to wait and see if this is enough to usher in a new bearish cycle.
2HR
We can see a nice hammer candle forming as a region from the 0.618 retracement of the last bearish move. As we said before, we closed the trade and are waiting for the market to choose its direction. We suspect a range, and then down, possibly after reaching up once more. We have bulls taking profit, but no bears stepping in yet, so let’s see how this plays out in the coming days.
We hope you enjoyed this trade, and as always, remember,
Be patient, only time will bring you profit.
Weekly market update
Week 30 - Market Update
Hello traders, welcome to your moment of zen :) We had a nice upweek last week, activating our trade. Today we reached our first target, so our members should (and probably did ;)) at least take partial profits. Let’s look at the markets to see how price is developing and we can find possibilities for re-entry towards our max target.
Let’s start with the weekly chart
WEEKLY
We can see that we broke out of the channel today. We’ll have to wait for this to confirm before we take this seriously, the week has just begun. Nothing much has changed on ichimoku, we are still are bearish. Except… chikou span has moved into contact with price after last weeks and this weeks developing move in price. This indicates that the down move has turned into a consolidation. As we’re still below the kumo we can look for short entries when this upwards move ends. Look at the dotted blue line. It is the kijun projected into the future.If no new highs or lows are made in the coming 4 weeks the kijun will remain flat. This sets us up for potential short trades of the weekly kijun bounce.
At the moment we are still in a long trade, and we expect the bullish move to take perhaps a few more weeks. So let us focus on that, time will bring us that short trade.
DAILY
We reached our first target today, and our members should have taken partial profits here, waiting for price to move further or correct. Price is attempting to break out of the kumo today. which is a bullish sign. Yet this signal cannot be blindly traded, kijun is still well within the kumo and the distance between the price and kijun is large. Getting into the trade now would be… stupid.
Momentum shows us that price wants to consolidate, and are expecting bulls to take some profit causing a ranging behaviour. We may consider re-entry after we see what unfolds in the coming few days, perhaps in a break of the ranging movement. We have to allow price and time to guide us..
For now the active traders can tighten their SL to around 7000, sit on their partial profits and wait for the trade to reach our max target. We might see a reaction at the target 2 level. again taking another partial profit there would not be a bad idea, but that depends on how we reach it. If we get a significant pull back or ranging period before reaching it we suspect it to blow through to the max target. After all this develops we can consider short entries in the red box, if we find a confluence of bearish entry signals. But all that in due time, we expect it to take several days if not weeks before that happens.
The 2 hr chart isn’t giving us a clearer picture. Price is working to break through our first target, and the chart looks quite bullish.
We will have to wait, following the action path laid out on the daily timeframe. We will look for some possible re-entry into the bullish trade, but have to see from where the pullback will begin. From there we can look for possible re-entry areas and momentum for the next push.
Invalidation: 7000
First target: 7775 (Reached)
Second target: 8157
Maximum target: 8360
We hope this was helpful! And remember,
Be patient, only time will bring you profit.
Bitcoin - not for meI'm out of it. I'm not getting into FOMO.
Based on my own methodology, I'm not happy with stop-losses. So that's it.
For me, I have to consider my stop-losses as 'gone'. That's money I'm willing to throw away on the chance that I'm wrong. So I'm not happy with the losses between 2H and 1D time frames.
Gamblers who want to win a single trade may get involved. I'm not gambling.
Long setup - short term
ETHUSD Long setup - Short term
Welcome everyone, we have trade setup developing for ETHUSD, following pretty much the same path as Bitcoin (which we looked at yesterday, and our trade got activated ), only looking a bit weaker.
DAILY
We’re still working well within our downward channel. kind of bouncing around the median line. And perhaps this is is a tradable bounce to the upside, we’ll see in a moment on the 2HR timeframe.
We have to recognize, similar to bitcoin, that we are still in a downward trend, and in a bear market. So any bounce to the upside must be treated with caution, as we believe we still have some downwards action to come before the market reaches a bottom.
We can see ichimoku showing us a weak bullish tk cross beneath the kumo. and the kijun is pointing downwards. We will need this to point up to have signs of bullish momentum, and to do that the price needs to make a higher high, which we are waiting patiently for it to do..
Let’s have a look at the 2HR chart now
2HR
The correction from yesterdays up move is a bit more violent than bitcoins, but that is to be expected. For now no panic yet, we need to close convincingly above the breakout level (and break the upwards channel) before we can enter the breakout trade.
breakout level: 495
Invalidation: 400
First target: 564
Second target: 615
Maximum target: 666
Another option is to see where this retracement takes us, we\re seeing no strong reaction yet at the kijun, so perhaps it will find support somewhere between the .5 and .618 fib level. Where the price bounces depends on the strength of the last upmove, if it is strong the .382 level could very well hold. This is much seen in crypto, so let's see if price holds that level, or breaks through.
For now, again, we wait until price tells us where it wants to go, then we will join it.
Zcoin (XZC) Cryptocurrency Strategy – 3L-R Trade PatternZcoin XZC 30m
The 3L-R reversal is a four-bar pattern and it means three lows (3L) followed by a reversal (R).
The main characteristics of this reversal chart pattern are the three consecutive lower low candles. The high price of these three particular candles doesn’t matter; the only thing that matter is that each low is lower than the prior low.
The fourth bar of the reversal chart pattern needs to have the high bigger than the highest high of the previous 3 candles. We’re not concerned about the low of the last bar.
Step #1: Identify Three Consecutive Lower Low Candles
The first component of this reversal pattern is the three consecutive lower low candles. At this point we’re not concerned about the highs of the three candles.
However, you’ll notice that most of the time each consecutive high is also lower than the previous high.
What is great about the Zcoin (XZC) cryptocurrency strategy is the fact that it’s designed to catch market reversals right at the moment they occur.
Step #2: The fourth candle breaks above the first bar high in the reversal pattern
The immediate candle after the three lower lows needs to be a bullish candle and secondly it needs to break above the first bar high in the pattern.
Normally, the highest high of the first three bars is made by the first bar, however, in the event that this is not the highest high we need to wait until the fourth candle breaks above the highest high of the previous 3 candles.
Note* It’s important that the 4th candle breaks above the first candle high, not the 5th or the 6th because that will invalidate the reversal pattern. We need to be very precise when trading reversal patterns like the 3L-R pattern.
Even though we said that we’re not concerned with the low of the fourth bar, it does matter if the low is higher than the third bar’s low. Through our backtesating results we have found out that this yields better trading performance.
Step #3: How to buy Zcoin: Buy if the fourth candle closes above the last three candles highest high
Before we pull the trigger and buy cryptocurrency Zcoin we need for the fourth candle to also close above the first candle high or above the last three candle highest high point, whichever that might be.
Now is the time to convert this reversal setup into profit and buy Zcoin when the fourth candle closes above the last three candles highest high.
Step #4: Place your protective Stop Loss below the 3L-R pattern low
Trading reversals have lots of benefits and among other things it offers us the possibility to really use a very tight stop loss. If the trade doesn’t work the market will tell you very quickly and it will produce only very little damage to your account balances.
Like with any reversal pattern, if you want to keep the stop very tight you need to place your protective SL below the reversal pattern aka below the 3L-R pattern low.
Step #5: Take profit should be at least two times bigger than your Stop Loss
If you trade this reversal pattern on intraday charts, it’s best to simply take profit once the Zcoin price will give you a return that is two times more than your stop loss. In other words, you have a risk to reward ratio of 1:2.
Alternatively, if you use higher time frames the exit strategy should be based on a trailing stop.
Note** the above was an example of a BUY trade using the best Zcoin XZC cryptocurrency strategy. Use the same rules for a SELL trade – but in reverse.
PM me if you would like to read the complete strategy.
EUR/USD - downtrend awaitedLooking at the 4-hour chart we can see that the pair continued its growth towards the main support/resistance level.
Currently we are waiting for the development of a downward correction after which a new upward wave may take place. We advise to set Stop Loss around the mark of 1.1720 and Take Profit at 1.1640
HOW TO TRADE ELLIOTT for BEGINNEERSStep #1 Wait until you can spot at least a 3 wave Elliott Wave sequence
Since we always advocate trading in the direction of the trend, as explained above, we’re only
attempting to catch the last wave 5.
So, in order to find our Elliott Wave entry points we need to let the market tip his hands off and
wait to develop the first 3 waves of a five Elliott Wave pattern
We must verify that each wave complies with the Elliott Wave strategy rules in order to confirm
the validity of our Elliott Wave count. In the figure above, we’ve spotted a bearish Elliott wave
count that complies with the Elliott Wave strategy rules, which means we’re looking for a sell
setup.
Step #2 Sell between 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement of Wave 3
One of the Elliott wave rules states that, ideally, wave 4 should retrace between 38.2% and 50%
Fibonacci retracement of wave 3. Our Elliott Wave entry points are at 38.2% because we never
know for sure how far the market will retrace and we don’t want to miss the move.
We’re pretty much sure that with experience you can fine tune your Elliott Wave entry points and
get even better entries.
Now, we can note that wave four retrace a little bit above the 50% retracement. Since the market
is never a perfect place where rules are respected to the pip there will always be small
variations and the Elliott Wave strategy is no exception from the rule
Step #3 Place the Protective Stop Loss few pips above the Wave 1 Ending Point
In the section “How to trade Elliott Wave” we highlight the importance of wave 4 never entering
into the wave 1 territory. In this regard, it’s smart to place our stop loss exactly where the Elliott
Wave pattern will be invalidated.
Step #4 Take Profit when Wave 5 is equal to Wave 1 or when we break below
wave 3
With the Elliott Wave strategy is all about experimenting new trade ideas and we encourage you
to find your own set of rules because once you have a firm understanding how to trade Elliott
Wave you can develop many Elliott Wave strategies around it.
In this regard, we don’t have a set in stone take profit strategy because the Elliott Wave strategy
looks to maximize profits and the only way you can do this is through flexibility because no two
Elliott Wave structure is the same
Note** The above was an example of a SELL trade… Use the same rules – but in reverse – for a
BUY trade.
PM me if you want to read the complete strategy.
ADAUSD 1h CARDANO STRATEGYStep #1: Cardano ADA price needs to trade BELOW the 200-day moving average
The first condition that Cardano requires to satisfy is to trade BELOW the 200-day moving average.
When price trades BELOW the 200-day moving average we know we have a strong premise for a bearish trend to be put in place.
The more time Cardano price spends below the 200-day moving average and the biggest the distance between the Ada price and the 200-day moving average the stronger the trend is.
Step #2: Volume needs to be above average and twice as much volume compared with previous volume bars needs to come in
We need to look for instances when the volume bars are above the average volume (the red moving average). But this is not all; we also need the buying volume to be twice as much as previous volume bars.
Wait for trading situations where the selling volume is increasing considerably. This really shows institutional buying that has the power to move the Ada coin price.
Step #3: After volume has increased, sell at the opening of the next candle
When to sell Cardano ADA is quite intuitive if you have followed this cryptocurrency step-by-step guide.
The moment we see institutional selling presence we want to be sure we’re not left out. In this regard, after the volume has increased, we sell at the opening of the next candle preceding the big volume candle.
Usually, you’ll be selling right after the first bearish candle that often is the starting point of a new trend. Don’t be afraid to sell on the way down as this will pay handsomely in the long run.
Step #4: Place protective Stop Loss above the 200-day moving average
Hide your protective stop loss above the 200-day moving average.
A market that has a strong bearish trend should not drop above the most powerful moving average aka the 200-day moving average. By hiding your stop loss above the 200 moving average, we’re minimizing risk as much as possible.
Note* as the trend progresses you can also trail your stop loss below the 200-day MA.
Step #5: You decide or Take Profit when we break and close above the 200-day Moving Average
The 200-day moving average can serve us as a significant trigger for our exit strategy.
When we break above the 200 moving average, that’s the first sign that the trend is about to change the tide. When these happen make sure you take profits.
Note** the above was an example of a SELL trade using the Cardano trading strategy. Use the same rules for a BUY trade – but in reverse.
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