Get started

Stoploss

How To Use RISK vs. REWARD RatiosHi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉 Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫 For today's post, we're diving into the concept " risk reward ratio " by taking a look at practical examples and including other relevant scenarios of managing your risk. What is considered a good risk to reward ratio and where can you see it ? This applies to all markets, and during these volatile times it is an excellent idea to take a good look at your strategy and refine your risk management. Let's jump right in ! You've all noticed the really helpful " long setup " or " short setup " on TradingView chart ideas. This clearly identifies the area of profit (in green), the area for a stop-loss (in red) and your entry (the borderline). It also shows the percentage of your increases or decreases at the top and bottom. This is achieved by using the tool you can find in your toolbar on the left, 7th from the top. The first two options are Long Position and Short Position. It looks like this : 💭Something to remember; It is entirely up to you where you decided to take profit and where you decide to put your stop loss. The IDEAL anticipated targets are given, but the price may not necessarily reach these points. You have that entire zone to choose from and you can even have two or three take profits points in a position. Now, what is the Risk Reward Ratio expressed in the center as a number.number ? The risk to reward ration is exactly as the word says : The amount you risk for the amount you could potentially gain. NOTE that your risk is indefinite, but your gains are not guaranteed . The risk/reward ratio measures the difference between the entry point to a stop-loss and a sell or take-profit point. Comparing these two provides the ratio of profit to loss, or reward to risk. For example, if you're a gambler and you've played roulette, you know that the only way to win 10 chips is to risk 5 chips. Your risk here is expressed as 5:10 or 5.10 .You can spread these 5 chips out any way you like, but the goal of the risk is for a reward that is bigger than your initial investment. However, you could also lose your 5 and this will mean that you need to risk double as much in your next play to make up for your loss. Trading is no different, (except there is method to the madness other than sheer luck...) Most market strategists and speculators agree that the ideal risk/reward ratio for their investments should not be less than 1:3, or three units of expected return for every one unit of additional risk. Take a look at this example: Here, you're risking the same amount that you could potentially gain. The Risk Reward ratio is 1, assuming you follow the exact prices for entry, TP and SL. Can you see why this is not an ideal setup? If your risk/reward ratio is 1, it means you might as well not participate in the trade since your reward is the same as your risk. This is not an ideal trade setup. An ideal trade setup is a scenario where you can AT LEAST win 3x as much as what you are risking. For example: Note that here, my ratio is now the ideal 2.59 (rounded off to 2.6 and then simplified it becomes 1:3). If you're wondering how I got to 1:3, I just divided 2.6 by 2, giving me 1 and 3. Another way to express this visually: If you are setting up your own trade, you can decide at what point you feel comfortable to set your stop loss. For example, you may feel that if the price drops by more than 10%, that's where you'll exit and try another trade. Or, you could decide that you'll take the odds and set your stop loss so that it only triggers if the price drops by 15%. The latter will naturally mean you are trading at higher risk because your risk of losing is much more. Seasoned analysts agree that you shouldn't have a value smaller than 5% for your stop loss, because this type of price action occurs often during a day. For crypto, I would say 10% because we all know that crypto markets are much more volatile than stock markets and even more so than commodity markets like Gold and Silver, which are the most stable. Remember that your Risk/Reward ratio forms an important part of your trading strategy, which is only one of the steps in your risk management program. There are many more things to consider when thinking about risk management, but we'll dive into those in another post. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
Education
by CryptoCheck-
35
Minervini’s Specific Exit CriteriaIntroduction In this tutorial, we delve into the heart of Mark Minervini's trading philosophy—his specific exit criteria. Mastering the art of exiting a trade is as important as knowing when to enter. Minervini, a renowned stock market wizard, emphasizes that the secret to successful trading lies not just in selecting the right stocks but also in understanding when to sell them. This section focuses on three fundamental aspects of his exit strategy: the Stop-Loss Strategy, the Profit Target Strategy, and the Trailing Stop Strategy. Each part of this section is designed to provide you with a deep understanding of these strategies, integrating the wisdom of Minervini's approach with practical, actionable steps. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting, mastering these exit strategies will empower you to make informed decisions, manage risks effectively, and maximize your trading potential. Let's embark on this journey to unravel the nuances of Minervini's exit strategies and apply them to enhance our trading acumen. 1. Stop-Loss Strategy Introduction to Stop-Loss Orders Definition: A stop-loss order is a vital tool in trading, particularly in swing trading strategies like those advocated by Mark Minervini. It is an order placed with a broker to buy or sell a stock once it reaches a predetermined price. The primary function of a stop-loss order is to limit an investor's loss on a security position. By automatically triggering a sell or buy order when the stock price hits the specified level, it prevents further loss. Importance in Minervini's Strategy: Mark Minervini, a renowned swing trader, places a strong emphasis on risk management in his trading approach. For Minervini, a stop-loss order is not just a safety net; it's a critical component of successful trading strategy. He asserts that controlling losses is just as important as securing gains. By setting a stop-loss, a trader can ensure that their losses are controlled and predictable, which is essential in the volatile world of stock trading. Setting Stop-Loss Levels • Percentage-Based Stop-Loss: One of Minervini's key strategies involves setting stop-loss orders at a fixed percentage below the purchase price. This percentage is typically between 7% and 8%. For instance, if you purchase a stock at $100, setting a stop-loss order at 7% would mean placing it at $93. This method is straightforward and can be easily applied to any trade. • Volatility-Adjusted Stop-Loss: Minervini also advises adjusting stop-loss levels according to the stock's volatility. Volatile stocks, which have larger price swings, may require a wider stop-loss order to avoid being prematurely stopped out. For example, if a stock is known to fluctuate by around 10% regularly, setting a stop-loss closer than this percentage could lead to an unnecessary sale. In such cases, a wider stop-loss, perhaps around 12-15%, might be more appropriate. Practical Examples • Example with a Less Volatile Stock: Consider a stable stock, XYZ, trading at $50. Following Minervini's percentage-based strategy, you could set a stop-loss at 7% below the purchase price, which would be $46.50. This level ensures that if the stock unexpectedly declines, your maximum loss will be limited to 7%. • Example with a Volatile Stock: Now, let's take a more volatile stock, ABC, which is also trading at $50. Given its higher volatility, a 10% stop-loss might be more appropriate, setting the stop-loss order at $45. This wider margin accounts for the stock's normal fluctuations, reducing the likelihood of a sale triggered by ordinary market volatility. In both examples, it’s crucial to monitor the stock performance and adjust the stop-loss orders as necessary, especially in response to significant market events or changes in the stock's fundamentals. This section of the tutorial underscores the critical role of stop-loss orders in implementing Minervini's trading strategies. By effectively using stop-loss orders, traders can manage risks, control potential losses, and enhance their overall trading performance. 2. Profit Target Strategy In Mark Minervini's trading philosophy, setting realistic profit targets is a cornerstone of successful trading. This strategy involves a careful analysis of historical data, chart patterns, and specific criteria established by Minervini. The aim is to identify a potential exit point that maximizes gains while minimizing risks. Setting Realistic Profit Targets • Analyzing Historical Data: Start by reviewing the historical performance of the stock. Look for patterns in how much the stock typically moves after breaking out of a base. This gives an insight into what might be a realistic target. • Understanding Chart Patterns: Chart patterns play a vital role in setting profit targets. For instance, the 'cup and handle' pattern can provide clues about the potential upside. The depth of the cup or the height of the handle can be used to project the upward move. • Minervini's Criteria: Minervini often looks for stocks with strong fundamentals and a history of robust earnings growth. The idea is to invest in stocks that have the potential to make significant moves. Risk-Reward Ratio • Definition and Importance: The risk-reward ratio is a measure used to compare the expected returns of an investment to the amount of risk undertaken to capture these returns. A favorable risk-reward ratio for Minervini is typically around 3:1 or higher. This means for every dollar risked, there is a potential to make three dollars. • Application in Profit Targets: When setting profit targets, consider the potential downside (or the distance to your stop-loss) and set a target that adheres to this ratio. For example, if your stop-loss is set to result in a $1 loss per share, your profit target should aim for at least a $3 gain per share. Examples • Example 1: Stable Stock with Moderate Volatility: Let's say you buy a stock at $100, and based on historical performance and chart analysis, you expect it could rise to $120. If your stop-loss is set at $95 (a $5 risk per share), your profit target of $120 provides a risk-reward ratio of 4:1, aligning with Minervini’s strategy. • Example 2: High Growth Stock with High Volatility: Consider a high-growth stock purchased at $50. The historical data and chart patterns suggest a potential target of $70. If your stop-loss is at $45 (risking $5 per share), then the profit target of $70 gives a risk-reward ratio of 4:1. In each example, the key is to align the profit target with the calculated risk-reward ratio, ensuring that the potential gains justify the risks being taken. This disciplined approach to setting profit targets is integral to Minervini’s strategy and can significantly influence the success of your trading endeavors. 3. Understanding Trailing Stops In the context of Mark Minervini's trading strategies, trailing stops are a dynamic and essential tool for managing positions and protecting profits. They are particularly significant in swing trading, where capturing trends and reacting to market changes promptly is crucial. Definition and Benefits • Definition: A trailing stop is a type of stop-loss order that moves with the market price. Unlike a standard stop-loss, which remains fixed once set, a trailing stop adjusts as the price of the stock moves in a favorable direction. The trailing stop is set at a percentage or a specific dollar amount below the market price. • Benefits: The primary benefit of a trailing stop is its ability to secure profits while allowing room for further growth. As the stock price increases, the trailing stop follows it up, maintaining the set distance. If the stock price falls, the trailing stop remains stationary, and a sell order is triggered if the price hits the trailing stop level. This method effectively locks in profits and limits losses without the need for constant manual adjustment. Application in Swing Trading • Importance in Minervini’s Strategy: Minervini, known for his precise swing trading tactics, emphasizes the use of trailing stops for capturing the maximum possible trend movement while safeguarding the gains. In swing trading, where the goal is to capture short- to medium-term trends, trailing stops ensure that traders do not exit a position too early during a favorable trend or too late when the trend reverses. Setting Trailing Stops • Methods: There are several methods to set trailing stops: • Fixed Percentage: This involves setting the trailing stop at a fixed percentage below the market price. For example, a 5% trailing stop on a stock currently at $100 would be placed at $95. • Specific Dollar Amount: Here, the trailing stop is set at a specific dollar amount below the market price. For a stock at $100, a $5 trailing stop would be placed at $95. • Technical Indicators: Some traders use technical indicators, like moving averages, to set trailing stops. For instance, setting a trailing stop below a 20-day moving average. • Dynamic Adjustment: The key to using trailing stops effectively is their dynamic adjustment. As the stock price moves up, the trailing stop moves up accordingly, always maintaining the predetermined distance from the peak price achieved. Summary In this tutorial, we have delved into the critical aspects of Mark Minervini's exit strategies, focusing on practical and effective methods to optimize trade exits. We explored the Stop-Loss Strategy, emphasizing the importance of limiting losses and managing risks with carefully placed stop-loss orders. The Profit Target Strategy highlighted the significance of setting realistic profit goals based on a thorough analysis of historical data and chart patterns, always considering the crucial risk-reward ratio. Lastly, the Trailing Stop Strategy showcased a dynamic approach to protecting gains while allowing room for potential upside in a stock's price. By understanding and applying these strategies, traders can enhance their ability to make informed decisions, effectively manage risk, and potentially increase profitability. These exit strategies, integral to Minervini’s trading philosophy, offer a disciplined framework for closing positions, vital for success in the dynamic world of swing trading.
NASDAQ:COINEducation
by JS_TechTrading
INJ : 🎨 Art of Liquidity ManipulationEver wondered how some assets, like Injective Protocol (INJ), seem to move with precision, exploiting both bulls and bears? It's not just about market sentiment; it's about the strategic use of liquidity. Let's unravel the art of liquidity manipulation and explore how INJ leverages it to orchestrate its price movements. 📈💧 INJ's Liquidity Utilization: INJ has mastered the art of leveraging liquidity to dictate its price direction. Liquidity, in the form of stop-loss orders, acts as fuel for significant price movements. The recent breakout from consolidation is a prime example, revealing how INJ strategically accumulates and deploys liquidity. Gathering Liquidity at Lower Levels: Before a notable move, INJ often engages in a process of gathering liquidity, especially at lower price levels. This involves triggering stop-loss orders and accumulating buy/sell interest, creating a pool of liquidity that can be used later. Explosive Moves: Once the desired amount of liquidity is amassed, INJ has the potential to make explosive moves. Breaking out of consolidation or initiating a strong trend becomes more feasible as the market dynamics shift in its favor. How Manipulations Work: Triggering Stop-Loss Orders: INJ often initiates moves to trigger stop-loss orders placed by retail traders. This allows for the collection of liquidity and positions INJ strategically. Building Momentum: The gathered liquidity serves as the fuel to build momentum in the desired direction. This could be upward for a bullish move or downward for a bearish one. Precision Timing: INJ's ability to time these movements with precision adds to the effectiveness of the manipulation. This timing is often influenced by market conditions, news, or strategic considerations. Trading Amid Manipulations: Awareness: Recognizing patterns of liquidity accumulation can help traders anticipate potential price movements. Caution with Stop-Loss Orders: Be cautious with placing stop-loss orders at obvious levels, as they might be targeted during liquidity manipulations. Adaptability: Stay adaptable in your trading strategy, as the market dynamics influenced by liquidity can change rapidly. Conclusion: INJ's utilization of liquidity manipulation is a fascinating aspect of crypto trading. As you navigate the markets, understanding these dynamics can provide valuable insights into potential price movements. May your trades be astute, and your strategies resilient in the face of market manipulations. Happy trading, 🌐 ❗️Get my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE! Link below🔑
by AlexWhale
How to know when you are wrong and what to do nextThe feeling of ever admitting that one’s action is wrong is something many people never acknowledges, outside the works of trading, you get to see that even in a bilateral misconduct between two sovereign nations, it’s always difficult or maybe impossible for one of those countries to accept that there were at fault( being wrong), it goes on in every aspect of human endeavors, No one wants to take the blame. Now let’s take a case study into the current invasion of Russia into Ukraine, you will get to see that none of the presidents according to their speech has accepted to be wrong in their actions. Russian president Vladimor Putin while delivering his annual state state of the nation’s speech at the Gosting Duor conference center on February 21, 2023 did in his statement puts the blames on West and Ukraine for provoking conflicts while the president of Ukraine while replying to his speech did debunked the allegations of the Russian President. So the big question now is who is to be blamed? Who is Wrong? It’s the same thing that applies to trading, so many beginners and advanced traders can’t really beat their chest to tell when their analysis becomes invalid so that’s the reason am here to fix things up. What is wrong in forex? I won’t quote any dictionary or trader but I will simply put it this way that wrong in forex is a level or stage where you find PERSONALLY that the trade setup you had plan to trade or that you had traded is no more valid, useful or won’t be profitable if traded. The main keywords there are personally, profitability and traded. As far as wrong is concerned, it has to do with one accepting to the fact that a signal won’t yield profit because it had passed a particular level or structure. How to know that you are wrong I will like to drop some factors that will help you know that a setup is soar or is wrong. You have to set up parameters before entering a trade: wheather you use pending orders or market execution, you shouldn’t rush into a trade because of how attractive or how sweet looking the candles are being printed on the chart without knowing firstly where you will consider being wrong in the market. For me, since we are in a very sensitive environment while trading, then I feel identifying where your wrong zone would be is more important travel where your profit target would be. Use a well backtested strategy that you trust: Using a strategy that you trust would always enable a trader to quickly identify certain trade management levels. Let’s take a case st udy of a driver who uses one route everyday while going to and fro work at night, then unluckily for him, while returning from work at night on a faithful day, his head light malfunctions and then refuses to work, you will notice that with the aid of streetlight, you will be amazed that even under such mysterious circumstance, the driver would still manage to scale through the road successfully back home. Now you will ask how? This is because he has been using this route repeatedly and knows where there could be portholes and bombs so he would avoid those areas. Same thing applies with trading, when you trade a particular strategy day in day out, you will always at the slight of a fingertip be acquainted with where to identify your wrong level(stoploss) and you right level (take profit). Be psychologically ready to accept that you are wrong: This is one of the major problems encountered by traders because most traders even when their levels or an intending structure they acknowledged as their wrong level are taken out (those who believes in closing trades manually), they rather believe that things could get better (trades will surely reverse) so they keep holding their losses till it gets out of control. As a trader, you must be ready to boldly acknowledge that a setup you saw due to some factors is wrong and then immediately close it without second thoughts. Some technical tools and indicators to help you be aware of being wrong Thank God for the recent innovations that has been seen in the world of trading. With this, trading has been made more smart and rewarding because of there sophisticated tools and indicators that have been made available. Here are some of the tools that can help you identify when you are wrong Support and Resistance indicator by Luxalgo As we all know, trading is all about identifying key levels and structures which turns to become support and resistance levels. This indicator by Luxalgo makes it more easy to quickly identify market structures and trends on each timeframe so one could use the indicator to set a particular structure which will be used as his or her wrong level. ATR indicator You(Mindset) indicator This indicator surpasses all other technical indicators and tools because it has to do with the trader itself. Having to make use of those mentioned indicators is all dependent on you. This indicator determines the progress that you make in the industry. After Losing, What Next? There are some traders that would love to acknowledge being wrong in its dealings( setups or analysis) but their biggest question would be “After I agree that am wrong, what next should I do”? According to a book titled “Mastering trading psychology “ written collaboratively by Andrew Aziz( founder and CEO, Peak Capital Trading Founder,Bear Bull Traders) and Mike Baehr( Chief training officer , Peak Capital Trading Couch, Bear Bull Traders), one of their est technical analysis trainee who they had in mind to reserve as their full time trader after encountering a loss( wrong) had this to say and I quote “This is embarrassing. I was doing so well alternating between real and simulator this whole week. These were my results: ƒ Monday: 4 green trades out of 4 ƒ Tuesday: 3 green trades out of 5 trades ƒ Wednesday: 1 green trade out of 1 trade ƒ Thursday: 2 green trades out of 2 trades Total: 10 green trades out of a total of 12 trades: nice profits, and feeling on top of the world! And today it all fell apart in spectacular fashion. I traded like a maniac and finished with a huge loss. It was all a blur, but this is my recollection of the events in question: After two small losses 10 minutes after the open, I was a bit shook. Then on my 3rd trade, I made a hotkey mistake and doubled up my position rather than exiting. That ended in a huge loss. Shortly after that, I made another hotkey mistake and took another big hit. I was a psycho- logical mess. Rather than walking away, I went on a rampage. I started trading stocks not in play (JD, BABA, MU), and was reckless and vengeful. I said to myself, ‘Fuck it, let’s go!’ (literally out loud) and fired away at my hotkeys like there was no tomorrow. By 10:30 AM ET, I was 0 for 7. By noon, I had made 13 trades. When it was all said and done, I had made 20 trades total (not tickets, but trades). Only 2 of them turned out to be winners. Talk about lack of self-control... I violated every single rule that I had been following reli- giously all week. I stopped caring about those A+ setups and traded anything that looked marginally good. And since SPY was a roller coaster today, I got destroyed by questionable entries and ‘make-believe’ strategies. I kept trading the same stocks over and over, even after admit- ting they were not in play. I was trading like it was going out of style. I thought I could outsmart the market and get back at it. It wasn’t even about the money anymore. The losses were a foregone conclusion and had evaporated to currency heaven. The sad part about this whole tirade was that I knew I was breaking the rules while violating them—and I didn’t give a damn about it. In the moment, I turned into the Incredible Hulk and everything switched to autopi- lot mode. I smashed at my keyboard like a savage. Everything I had learned up to this point in my (short- lived) trading career was thrown out the window. I had literally unleashed an animal that I had no control of. I’ve never experienced such poor self-discipline in my normal life—ever. Today was a reminder of how fragile the trading mindset can be. All it takes is one moment—a FILG one —to send you spiraling out of control. All of these rules and checklists I had been adhering to were useless in the face of such madness. They were nothing but delicate paper walls I had erected to trick myself into believing that my emotions were in check. They came crumbling down under the slightest pressure. It was all an illusion; I was delusional. I have a lot of reflecting and contemplating to do this weekend. I might take a break from trading to rebuild my psyche. Maybe I’ll visit a monastery to cleanse myself of all these trading sins. But first I need to forgive myself. Now I’m just rambling like a fool. Thanks for reading, and remember—don’t trade like a crackhead”. I know being wrong hurts but here are the remedies to do in such circumstances. Shut down your computer sets for that day: The is a saying that “He who doesn’t bet the farm on one trade lives to trade another day. Setups as far as trading is concerned is a repeatable outcome, as far as your strategy has an edge, then your setups will always come. Move away for that day and return the next day. Have a source of happiness: It’s not just shutting down the system but what do you do after putting the system off, you must as a trader have something that brings happiness to you naturally, it could be hanging out with friends, playing soccer or having some cool time with your kids or maybe taking some yummy ice cream or whatever. Personally when bad days or wrong days usually comes around, I do play virtual games and this just has its own way of making me happy. After shutting down, make sure you locate your source of happiness immediately. Return like a baby the next day: The mind of a baby according to research is like a flowing river, it always keeps moving without thoughts of what happened previously, your mind as a trader should be like a baby. You should learn from your mistakes but don’t let it weigh you down. Resume office the next day with joy forgetting what occurred the previous day. Take trading decisions according to your strategy and let the trades play out. Conclusion The key take away from this write up is learn to adjust, learn to accept your wrongs and act accordingly to it. Digest this my write up efficiently and still check out for other other resources I will be dropping soon. Always try as much as possible to see how you can improve both yourself and your trading carrier everyday of your life. SEE YOU AT THE TOP!!
Education
by Officialpipsome
1
GEVO. Manipulation Short squeeze. How short positions are reset.This example is on paper company Gevo inc - manufacturing. Chemical industry. Specialized chemicals. I will say that I combined the training idea with the trading one , how the stocks will be relevant for trading now, the potential first profit with confirmation of support can be about + 90%. Everything that happens now, goals, read below under the description of the manipulation of a short squeeze. But let's plunge into the past and in order to examine this detective story in order to evaluate this masterpiece of trading art by applying the punishment of the zombie crowd of believers “it should be like that” and “put sure Stop-Loss like a smart uncle wrote to us in a book.” It was like this ... It seems that the downtrend will last forever. After all, the price over the past 2 years has fallen by almost -99%! Dump from $ 245 to $ 3.30! This is what happens with real companies, but what about non-existent crypto projects? After all, almost all crypto projects are built on promises that this “nothing” will cost a lot. Buy and hold, and you and the plant employee will become a millionaire in a couple of months / years. The sweetest lie, the more willing poor John believes in it. As you understand, in many cryptocurrency projects for lovers of “buy and hold”, to become a millionaire and stop going to the factory is still ahead. It doesn’t matter whether these assets are pumped up yet or not, but their ultimate fate is the complete disappearance in the near future of the life of poor believing John. The graph shows a strong downtrend , merciless to investors. But among investors, one must not forget that there are very rich uncles who can also make a mistake. But those who want to fix it. Well, it is clear that after such a fall from $ 240 to $ 3, no sane person believes in growth already, how silly it is. Most traders enter only a short position. But there are more intelligent people who have thought and decided why we don’t make a lot of money on “100% faith” of people. The strongest downtrend. Drop from $ 240 to $ 3.30. Minus 99% for 2 years. As part of this trend, many sellers are going to expect a continued decline in the trend. But after all, everyone was taught that it is necessary to put Stop-Loss, and if you do not, then you should always close somewhere. Where will everyone have stops on this chart? Yes, everything of course depends on the point of opening positions, but the generally accepted approach - Stop-Loss who enters a short position will be put for the nearest resistance, that is, we will be interested in the zones above the selected levels on the chart. If everything is clear and the main crowd has so much faith and become accustomed to the eternal fall, why not take advantage of this and start the domino effect? After all, money is burned only initially to start the process, then only fantastic earnings. How everyone will be "trapped" in a trap. Any inadequate Stop-Loss sizes will be reached. Buy or margin Call. Gevo inc. Levels where the crowd of "shorts" puts Stop-Loss. It is in these zones that Stop-Loss of most market participants are behind the resistance. Large players understand this very well, it’s a sin not to use it if you have enough money on hand for this manipulation. Perhaps the biggest player is the company itself, which is very interested in getting out of a loss-making situation and making big profits. After all, having for this a certain amount of money you can start an avalanche-like process and get the most unattainable Stop-Loss, thereby moving the market up against the current trend on Stop-Loss. This is an avalanche-like process. You understand very well what will happen to those traders who have opened a short trend and the price will begin to rise against their position, and even grow rapidly impulse with no chance of pardon. Yes, everything is simple, when we reach a certain zone, the order is executed, that is, the position is closed by Stop-Loss. And we all know that a position is closed by opening a reverse position, which means that if we were on sale, then a purchase is opened to close, that is, we create additional demand for growth. And so on the chain. And it’s not scary that then the price will return very quickly back to the previous values, because the manipulators will be in big profit, and the trader who caught the margin will no longer enter a short position on this asset. This is what came out of the chart below. Gevo inc. Growth + 600% at closing short on Stop-Loss. As we can see, the first strong resistance was + 100% of the minimum value before the short squeeze. That's how you think who believed that the price will reach these values? It is clear that no one, well, especially since the price will reach the last Stop Loos zone. For such an action, money was needed only until the first Stop-Loss zone, after which the price moves according to the domino effect. Growth fuel is the closing of short positions. Virtually no one believed in growth, which is why the impulse was + 600%, due to the closure of short positions of those who did not believe. After a while, the price broke the line of the main downtrend. Price shifted to lateral movement. Wishing to enter the short was less and less, as everyone remembered the previous margin Call. A year ago, there were two more attempts to punish those wishing to enter a short position in this trading instrument. It was not possible to repeat the short squeeze situation on such a scale. The first short squeeze is + 67% and immediately after it + 27%. It can be seen that there are no more willing traders to enter a short position on this trading instrument. Gevo inc. The situation is now. Please note that only on short-squeezes did a large volume go out at the auction. Traders with short positions were squeezed out of the market specifically. In lateral movement, the price is now drawing a formation that could become a triple bottom. If support is confirmed , the growth potential to the previous local maximum and the first resistance is about + 90%. ___________________________________________ Manipulations. Someone thinks that manipulations occur only in the crypto market, this is not so, they are everywhere, only in the crypto market they are open and arrogant, as there is no responsibility for this. In other markets, there is price manipulation, but to a lesser extent, as if the relevant authorities prove guilty there will be huge fines, or the deprivation of a license for trading activities up to the prison. ___________________________________________ What is a squeeze on the exchange. Short squeeze. Long squeeze. Squeeze (eng. Queeze - squeeze out) - a situation in the financial market when Stop Loss is sharply collected. As a result of the sharp increase, part of the Stop Loss is squeezed out, and part is closed at the “what is” price, this leads to an even greater increase / decrease in the price. Since positions can be held both in purchase and in sale, both short-squeeze and long-squeeze are possible. Short squeeze - it happens when sellers (shorts) are forced to close their open positions in order to avoid even greater losses, which only spurs the price even higher. On the graph, the hairpin (shadow) is up. Long squeeze - exactly the opposite. A sharp decline in the price of assets, forcing buyers (longists) to close their positions. Here, the buyers are already the “victims”, who are forced to close open transactions at a loss in order to prevent even greater losses, which provokes a further drop in the price of the instrument. On the graph, the hairpin (shadow) is down. ________________________________________ Short squeeze on margin trading. If it comes to margin trading, the strongest buyer today is yesterday's short. The vicious circle for bears is called "short squeeze" - short squeeze. In order not to be trapped, market participants must understand the principle of short positions, see the potential for a situation that could provoke a “short squeeze”. Experienced traders know how to make a profit with a short squeeze. The strongest short-term growth waves often occur during periods when a large number of lower players find themselves locked in an unprofitable position due to an unexpected price increase for them. As a rule, these are mid-level traders and so-called “hamsters” market participants with a level of knowledge and experience that is close to zero and close to it. Unfortunately or vice versa, fortunately the bulk of the crowd of the crypto market is precisely this layer of society. In such a situation, in order to get out of the trap they have to actively buy this cryptocurrency in which they are locked at any price in order to save part of their capital and fix the loss. I will explain in more detail so that the mechanism of this phenomenon becomes more clear. A short position or short-term transaction (from impudent short) is an operation when a trader sells a borrowed coin with the intention of buying it back later at a lower price. After the return of the borrowed coins, the difference between the sale price and the purchase price becomes profit. You can borrow cryptocurrency from the exchange, which as a guarantee for such a loan requires an adequate amount of guarantee security in the account. As a guarantee, money, bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies, which are valued at a certain discount, can act. When the value of the coin in which you are in a position increases, the size of the required guarantee for short positions also begins to grow rapidly. If the amount of funds in the account is insufficient to cover the required amount of security, the exchange may forcefully close the position. Downgrade players usually try to prevent this situation and close the position before submitting a margin call request from the exchange. However, their tactics here are essentially the same - a quick purchase of a coin that has grown in price, and you are in a short unprofitable position on it. If the size of the positions of such participants is large enough, then this situation can lead to skyrocketing prices and the avalanche-like closure of other shorts. Scalper traders and intraday traders who often open counter-trend trades in the hope of a pullback after active growth can aggravate the situation even more. If the rollback is not realized, then their purchases may become additional fuel for the upward movement. ________________________________ The immaturity of the cryptocurrency market provides opportunities for manipulation. An important feature of the cryptocurrency market, which is often ignored, is its tendency to respond to the actions of individual bidders. By individual bidders, I mean large traders, the creators of individual cryptocurrencies on which manipulations occur, as well as exchanges, which naturally themselves are owners of large cryptocurrency assets. And also, if desired, can affect their price. Roughly speaking, these are market participants who are called “whales” in the slang of traders. The cryptocurrency market is more affected by the influence of these particular market participants than other markets, due to the lack of maturity and insufficient control of the relevant state financial control bodies. No fundamental does not work without money support, but money on the exchange without the influence of the fundamental works in such an uncontrolled market perfectly. For example, we are all familiar with such frequent phenomena in the crypto market as "pumps" (artificially pumping prices). Very often they occur even without the release of FUD news on a particular coin. Also, the entire crypto market is very much tied to the dynamics of bitcoin, which can lead it in the opposite direction to fundamental factors. In recent years, the market has become more “mature”: instead of the buy-and-hold trading strategy, many have begun to use more advanced methods. Futures contracts, trading with leverage, opening short positions are now available. The more powerful players appear in the industry, the more the community takes on them “tricks” from the field of trading. More and more traders are using short positions in a falling market, allowing them to earn money in such conditions. And naturally, in such conditions, short squids and long squises often occur. Since the majority of traders take short positions in the bear market, many receive big losses, some especially greedy and not experienced margin calls. Large investors can begin to behave dishonestly Short-squeeze can be carried out only by a large market participant, such manipulations are beyond the power of ordinary traders. How to do this you need a huge amount. As a rule, such manipulations are done by the exchanges themselves. This is illegal - but everything is legal on the cryptocurrency market! There are conspiracy theories that such manipulations are carried out by exchanges, thus getting rid of customers who will definitely be in the black due to short positions and withdraw money from the exchange ecosystem.
NASDAQ:GEVOEducation
by SpartaBTC
23
Learn What is TRAILING STOP LOSS | Risk Management Basics In the today's article, we will discuss a trailing stop loss. I will explain to you its concept in simple words and share real market examples. 🛑 Trailing stop loss is a risk management tool that allows to protect unrealized profits of an active trading position as long as the price moves in the desired direction. Traditionally, traders trade with fixed stop loss and take profit. Following such an approach, one knows exactly the level where the trade will be closed in a profit and the level where it will be closed in a loss. Take a look at a long trade on USDCAD above. The trade has fixed TP Level - 1.354 and fixed SL Level - 1.341. Once one of these levels is reached, the trade will be closed. Even though the majority of the traders stick to fixed sl and tp, there is one important disadvantage of such an approach – substantial gains could be easily missed. After the market reached TP in USDCAD trade, the price temporarily dropped, then a strong bullish rally initiated and the price went way above the Take Profit level. Potential gains with that long position could be much bigger. Trailing stop solves that issue. With a trailing stop loss, the trader usually opens the trade with Stop Loss and WITHOUT Take Profit. Take a look at a long trade on USDCHF. Trader expects growth, he opens a long position and sets stop loss – 0.8924, while take profit level is not determined. As the market starts growing, one decides not to close the trade in profit, but modify stop loss – trail it to the level above the entry. As the market keeps rallying, one TRAILS a stop loss in the direction of the market, protecting the unrealized gains. When the market finally starts falling, the price hits stop loss and a trader closes the trade in a substantial profit. The main obstacle with the application of a trailing stop is to keep it at a distance from current price levels that is not too narrow nor too wide. With a wide stop loss distance, substantial unrealized gains might be washed out with the market reversal. Imagine you predicted a nice bullish rally on Bitcoin. The market bounced nicely after you opened a long position . Trailing stop loss too far from current price levels, all the gains could be easily wiped out. While with a narrow trailing stop distance, one can be stop hunted before the move in the desired direction continues. A trader opens a long trade on EURJPY and the price bounces perfectly as predicted. One immediately trails the stop loss. However, the distance between current prices was too narrow and the position was closed after a pullback. And then market went much higher In conclusion, I want to note that fixed SL & TP approach is not bad, it is different and for some trading strategies it will be more appropriate. However, because of its limitations, occasionally big moves will be missed. Try trailing stop by your own, combine it with your strategy and I hope that you will make a lot of money with that! ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
9
HINDUNLIVER - SUPPORT TRADEHinduniliver is at multi-support level. This is the level where it took support multiple times in the past and bounced from it. Considering the previous price action, chances are that prices might bounce from these levels again. Hence with a small stop loss, a long trade can be taken in this stock. I have drawn a downsloping trendline along the previous peaks, the break of which can take stock to 2640 levels in no time. Current levels: 2468 Support levels: 2457- 2421 Target: 2640 Stop: Below 2400 ( as per risk capacity)
NSE:HINDUNILVRLong
by manuagarwal21
Mastering Risk: A Guide to Setting Stop Loss in Forex Trading 🛡 In the world of forex trading, where price fluctuations can be swift and unpredictable, mastering risk is paramount. One of the most crucial risk management tools at your disposal is the stop loss order. In this comprehensive guide, we will explore the ins and outs of setting stop losses in forex trading. We'll provide real-world examples and equip you with the knowledge needed to protect your capital and trade with confidence. The Importance of Setting Stop Loss Orders A stop loss order is a predetermined price level at which a trade is automatically closed to limit potential losses. Here's why setting stop losses is vital in forex trading: 1. Risk Management: Forex trading carries inherent risks. Stop losses allow you to define your maximum acceptable loss and protect your capital. 2. Emotion Control : Trading can evoke strong emotions. Stop loss orders remove the need for impulsive decisions during adverse price movements, promoting discipline and reducing emotional stress. 3. Preserving Capital: Successful trading is about longevity. By limiting losses, stop loss orders help you maintain your capital, ensuring you have the resources to seize future opportunities. Setting Stop Loss: Strategies and Examples Example 1: EUR/USD Long Position: Example 2: GBP/JPY Short Position: Setting stop loss orders is a fundamental aspect of responsible and successful forex trading. By mastering the art of setting stop losses, you can effectively manage risk, maintain discipline, and ensure that your trading journey is characterized by longevity and success. Remember, it's not about avoiding losses entirely, but about controlling them to protect your capital and thrive in the forex market. 🛡📉📊 Let me know, traders, what do you want to learn in the next educational post?
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TopTradingSignals
7
🔹 #XAUUSD Trade Analysis Condition 1: Bearish Movement If the price movement indicates a bearish trend, we can consider entering a short position between the entry points of 1940-1939 after a pullback. Our first take profit level (TP1) could be set between 1910-1905, while TP2, which serves as a target rather than a fixed TP, could be in the range of 1865-1860. It is crucial to identify a logical level as the stop loss (SL) to manage risk effectively. Condition 2: Bullish Breakout In the event of a bullish breakout above the 1905-1910 level, we should exercise caution and wait for a retracement before considering a short position. Once the price retraces to the range of 1953-1951, we can enter a short position. The same set of take profit levels mentioned earlier (TP1 and TP2) can be employed. It's important to adhere to a logical SL level to protect against potential losses. Please note that given the current downtrend, it is advisable to avoid initiating long (buy) positions during these days. Corrections in a downtrend may provide opportunities for short positions. Remember to conduct your own analysis and adapt the strategy based on market conditions. Trade wisely and use proper risk management techniques. #XAUUSD #ShortPosition #BearishTrend #TakeProfit #StopLoss #TradingView
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by POUSHEINI
1
Defend Your Forex Fortunes: The Crucial Role of Stop Loss Orders Forex trading is an exhilarating endeavor that offers substantial profit potential, but it's also laden with risks. The volatile nature of currency markets means prices can swing swiftly and unpredictably. In this comprehensive article, we'll delve into the compelling reasons why every forex trader needs to implement stop loss orders. We'll provide real-world examples and demonstrate how these protective measures can safeguard your trading capital. The Imperative of Stop Loss Orders A stop loss order is a predefined price level set by traders to limit potential losses. It serves as an automatic trigger that closes a trade when the market moves against their position. Here's why stop loss orders are indispensable in the world of forex trading: 1. Risk Management: Forex trading carries inherent risks, and no one can predict market movements with absolute certainty. Stop loss orders allow traders to quantify their risk and protect their capital. 2. Emotion Control: Trading can evoke strong emotions, leading to impulsive decisions during adverse price movements. Stop loss orders remove the need for impromptu choices, promoting discipline and reducing emotional stress. 3. Preserve Capital: Trading is a long-term game. By limiting losses, stop loss orders help traders maintain their capital, ensuring they have the resources to seize future opportunities. Real-World Examples Example 1: EUR/USD Trade: Example 2: USD/JPY Trade: In the thrilling yet risky realm of forex trading, safeguarding your investments is non-negotiable. Stop loss orders are your protective shield, offering resilience against unexpected market movements and impulsive decision-making. By incorporating stop loss orders into your trading strategy, you can effectively manage risk, maintain discipline, and ensure that your forex journey is marked by longevity and success. 🛡📉💼 Do you like this post? Do you want more articles like that?
Education
by ProSignalsFx
8
📈Mastering Forex Trading: Your Ultimate Trade Checklist📉 ✅Entering the forex market can be an exciting and potentially profitable endeavor. However, it requires careful planning and diligent decision-making to succeed. One essential tool to streamline your trading process is a trade checklist. In this article, we will guide you through the creation and effective use of a trade checklist, providing practical examples along the way. 📌Preparing for a Trade: Before you pull the trigger on any trade, it's crucial to conduct thorough analysis and set clear objectives. Ensure your trade checklist includes the following elements: ▪️Identify the Market Trend: Determine the overall direction of the currency pair you wish to trade. Consider using various technical indicators, such as moving averages or trend lines, to confirm the trend. ▪️Define Entry and Exit Criteria: Set precise entry and exit points to minimize emotion-driven decisions. Identify key levels of support and resistance, and determine the minimum risk-to-reward ratio you deem acceptable. 📌 Risk Management: A robust risk management strategy is fundamental to long-term success in forex trading. Incorporate the following risk management elements into your trade checklist: ▪️Determine Position Size: Calculate the appropriate position size based on your risk tolerance and account balance. Consider using tools such as position calculators or risk/reward ratio formulas. ▪️Set Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels: Define stop loss points to protect your capital from excessive losses and specify take profit levels to lock in profits once your target is reached. 📌Trade Execution: Executing a trade swiftly and accurately is vital. Include the following checklist items to ensure consistent and disciplined execution: ▪️Double-check Parameters: Before placing a trade, review all the crucial parameters, including currency pairs, position size, entry and exit levels, and stop loss/take profit points. ▪️Timing Considerations: Be aware of upcoming economic releases, news events, or major market sessions that may impact your chosen currency pair, and adjust your trade execution timing accordingly. 💹Conclusion: By incorporating a trade checklist into your forex trading routine, you can significantly enhance your decision-making process and overall trading performance. Remember to adapt your checklist to align with your personal trading style and preferences, continually evaluate its effectiveness, and make necessary improvements. Successful trading is a result of thorough planning, disciplined execution, and a continuous desire to learn and optimize your approach. ☺️I hope this post was helpful to some of our beginner traders😊 Dear followers, let me know, what topic interests you for new educational posts?
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by SignalProvider
9
How To Lose Small When Trading BigLosing trades aren't always bad. It's when you don't manage the trade before you lose that can make losing trades bad. Let me walk you through 4 positions that I stacked week and show you how I avoided losing thousands of dollars and kept the loss to under 1%. Firstly, it's important to understand that I am a swing trader which means I observe a variety of higher timeframes. Secondly, I use my own strategy called TMP. It's based around every pullback within the trend cycles so I can trade the continuation of the trend. Thirdly, This analysis was mostly done on the weekly, daily, 4 hour, and 2 hour timeframe. Lastly, I aim for more than 2:1 reward to risk trades and for these trades I was sure to keep my losses below $500 a trade. Trade 1 s3.tradingview.com This trade was based on the weekly timeframe. The reward to risk was around 4.50 and I knew I'd be in this trade long term. Probably around a month or so, maybe longer. I risked 0.50% in the trade because I needed to build the analysis and I knew I wanted to stack more trades in case price went my way which you will see me begin to build in the new few trades. Trade 2 s3.tradingview.com This trade was based on the 4 hour timeframe. Price made a new higher high on the 4 hour. I set a pending order so when price pulled back it would trigger me into the trade. This trade was a 8:1 reward to risk ratio. I risked 0.50% on this trade. Price began to go my way. I felt good about the trade. Trade 3- Trailing the stop begins s3.tradingview.com Price made a new higher high. I had to drop down to the 2 hour timeframe to get a good view of this trade. My feelings on this trade was neutral. I reminded my self that no matter what I'd follow my rules. So I set another pending order and went about my day. The Reward to risk on this trade was a 16:1. I risked 0.25% on this trade. Now at this time I'm sitting at 1.25% of risk in 3 trades. This was when I decided to move my stop loss on both trades underneath the third trades higher low. I had just a little risk left on both of these trades but nothing heart stopping. I was stoped out of the third position for a for around -0.27%. But my first two trades continued to run. Trade 4- The last stand s3.tradingview.com Then price went my way. I realized I wanted to be long again and the entry sat right where I'd just entered my precious losing trade. The reward to risk was 19:1. Whew! This was the opportunity of opportunities for me this week and I couldn't avoid entering. So I set another pending order to buy. It triggered and a few hours later, I lost the trade. and my other trades were taken out as well. I lost a total of $761. This was only 0.76% loss in my account because of how I managed my trades as price went up in profit. Had I kept my trades at the same risk(1%) and never moved my stop loss I could have lost $4000 this week. The key to losing small is to build out your positions each time price makes a new high or low depending on the direction of the trade. I built 4 positions and I have to say I would do it again. The potential for big rewards to risk got me, and I knew risk 1% on each trade would have meant I'd lose my funded account due to their drawdown rules. I cannot lose 3% in one day. Thats very manageable when you decrease your risk per trade. Thats what had to be done. If you don't think you can pass a challenge by decreasing you risk, your rewards aren't big enough. If you learn anything from the trades I entered this week, the previous statement above is how can lose small while trading big. Do I still believe NZDCAD can go up? Yes! As long as price stays above the weekly higher low. I'll build out this scenario again. Well, I really do pray you enjoyed this recap from my trading this week. I had no other trades on my other currency pair so it was a smooth trading week. Be sure to like this article if you enjoyed it and found it intriguing. If you have any questions do ask them below. Much love and blessing❤️ Shaquan
Long
by ShaquanLopez
2
NZD/JPY Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the NZD/JPY next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 87.48 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Target - 89.00 My Stop Loss - 86.39 About Used Indicators: The average true range ATR plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
Analysis: AUD/JPY Bullish Flag Pattern Breakout TradeAnalysis: AUD/JPY Bullish Flag Pattern Breakout Trade Based on my analysis of a bullish flag pattern breakout in AUD/JPY, i have formulated a trade plan to capture the continuation of the bullish trend. Here is a breakdown of your trade plan: Currency Pair: AUD/JPY Entry Price: 98.827 Stop Loss (SL): 94.093 Take Profit (TP): 108.330 Bullish Flag Pattern Breakout: i have identified a bullish flag pattern, which is a continuation pattern that suggests the resumption of an upward trend. The breakout from this pattern indicates potential bullish momentum in AUD/JPY. By recognizing this pattern, i aim to enter the market in anticipation of the continuation of the upward trend. Entry Point (98.827): i have chosen entry point is at 98.827. This entry price should be determined based on technical analysis, such as the breakout level of the bullish flag pattern or other significant resistance-turned-support levels. Ensure that the entry point aligns with the breakout and provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Stop Loss (94.093): To manage risk, i have set a stop loss at 94.093. The stop loss level is placed below a significant support level or a point that, if breached, would invalidate the bullish scenario. It acts as a protective measure to limit potential losses in case the trade moves against your expectations. Take Profit (108.330): i take profit level is set at 108.330. This level represents your target for closing the trade and taking profits. It should be determined based on resistance levels, Fibonacci extensions, or other technical indicators that suggest potential areas where the price might encounter selling pressure or reach a significant target. Remember to continually monitor price action and adjust your trade management as market conditions evolve. Consider factors such as economic data releases, geopolitical events, and changes in market sentiment that may impact the AUD/JPY pair. It is essential to conduct thorough analysis, implement proper risk management strategies, and adhere to your trading plan. Trading involves inherent risks, and it is crucial to stay disciplined and adapt to changing market dynamics.
Long
by Jazzy_Qmolautsi
7 Expert Risk Management Techniques for TradingRisk management refers to the techniques used to identify, evaluate, and mitigate the potential risks associated with trading and investing. Whether you are a day trader, swing trader, or scalper, effective risk management can help you minimize losses and protect your hard earned money all while maximizing potential profits. Let's take a look at the top 7 risk management techniques for trading! 👌 Have a Trading Plan Many traders jump into the market without a thorough understanding of how it works and what it takes to be successful. You should have a detailed trading plan in place before making any trades. A well-designed trading plan is an essential tool for effective risk management. A trading plan acts as a roadmap, laying out a set of guidelines/rules that can help traders avoid impulsive decisions. It is crucial because it requires you to think deeply about your approach before you begin risking real money. Having a plan can help you stay calm under stress as your plan will have specific steps to take for anything the market throws at you. It is essential to clearly define your trading goals and objectives. Are you aiming for short-term gains or long-term wealth generation? Are you focused on a specific asset class or trading strategy? Setting specific and measurable goals helps you stay focused and evaluate your progress. Another important part is to describe the trading strategy you will employ to enter and exit trades. This includes the types of analysis you will employ (technical, fundamental, or a combination), indicators or patterns you will rely on, and any specific rules for trade execution. Determine your risk tolerance, set appropriate position sizing rules, and establish stop-loss levels to limit potential losses. The Risk/reward ratio When you are planning to open a trade, you should analyze beforehand how much money you are risking in that particular trade and what the expected positive outcome is. Here is a useful chart with some examples to understand this concept: As you can see from the data above, a trader with a higher RR (risk-reward ratio) and a low win rate can still be profitable. Let’s examine this a little more by looking at a profitable example with a 20% success rate, a RR ratio of 1:5, and capital of $500. In this example, you would have 1 winning trade with a profit of $500. The losses on the other 4 trades would be a total of $400. So the profit would be $100. An unprofitable RR ratio would be to risk, for example, $500 with a success rate of 20% and a risk/reward ratio of 1:1. That is, only 1 out of 5 trades would be successful. So you would make $100 in 1 winning trade but in the other 4 you would have lost a total of -$400. As a trader, you need to find the perfect balance between how much money you’re willing to risk, the profits you’ll attempt to make, and the losses you’ll accept. This is not an easy task, but it is the foundation of risk management and the Long & Short Position Tools are essential. You can use our 'Long Position' and 'Short Position' drawing tools in the Forecasting and measurement tools to determine this ratio. Stop Loss/Take Profit orders Stop Loss and Take Profit work differently depending on whether you are a day trader, swing trader or long term trader and the type of asset. The most important thing is not to deviate from your strategy as long as you have a good trading strategy. For example, one of the biggest mistakes here is to change your stop loss thinking that the losses will recover... and often they never do. The same thing happens with take profits, you may see that the asset is "going to the moon" and you decide to modify your take profit, but the thing about markets is that there are moments of overvaluation and then the price moves sharply against the last trend. There is an alternative strategy to this, which is to use exit partials, that is closing half of your position in order to reduce the risk of your losses, or to take some profits during an outstanding run. Also remember that each asset has a different volatility, so while a stop loss of -3% is normal for a swing trading move in one asset, in other more volatile assets the stop loss would be -10%. You do not want to get caught in the middle of a regular price movement. Finally, you can use a trailing stop, which essentially secures some profits while still having the potential to capture better performance. Trade with TP, SL and Trailing Stop Selection of Assets and Time intervals Choosing the right assets involves careful consideration of various factors such as accessibility, liquidity, volatility, correlation, and your preference in terms of time zones and expertise. Each asset possesses distinct characteristics and behaviors, and understanding these nuances is vital. It is essential to conduct thorough research and analysis to identify assets that align with your trading strategy and risk appetite. Equally important is selecting the appropriate time intervals for your trading. Time intervals refer to the duration of your trades, which can span from short-term intraday trades to long-term investments. Each time interval has its own advantages and disadvantages, depending on your trading style and objectives. Shorter time intervals, such as minutes or hours, are often associated with more frequent trades and higher volatility. Traders who prefer these intervals are typically looking to capitalize on short-term price fluctuations and execute quick trades. Conversely, longer time intervals, such as days, weeks, or months, prove more suitable for investors and swing traders aiming to capture broader market trends and significant price movements. Take into account factors such as your time availability for trading, risk tolerance, and preferred analysis methods. Technical traders often utilize shorter time intervals, focusing on charts, indicators, and patterns, while fundamental investors may opt for longer intervals to account for macroeconomic trends and company fundamentals. For example, If you are a swing trader with a low knack for volatility, then you can trade in assets such as stocks or Gold and ditch highly volatile assets such as crypto. Remember that there is no one-size-fits-all approach, and your choices should align with your trading style, goals, and risk management strategy. Here is a chart of Tesla from the perspective of a day trader, a swing trader, and an investor: Backtesting Backtesting plays a crucial role in risk management by enabling traders to assess the effectiveness of their trading strategies using historical market data. It involves the application of predefined rules and indicators to past price data, allowing traders to simulate how their trading strategies would have performed in the past. During the backtesting process, traders analyze various performance metrics of their strategies, such as profitability, risk-adjusted returns, drawdowns, and win rates. This analysis helps identify the strengths and weaknesses of the strategies, allowing traders to refine them and make necessary adjustments based on the insights gained from the backtesting results. The primary objective of backtesting is to evaluate the profitability and feasibility of a trading strategy before implementing it in live market conditions. By utilizing historical data, traders can gain valuable insights into the potential risks and rewards associated with their strategies, enabling them to manage their risk accordingly. However, it's important to note the limitations of backtesting. While historical data provides valuable information, it cannot guarantee future performance, as market conditions are subject to change. Market dynamics, liquidity, and unforeseen events can significantly impact the actual performance of a strategy. There are plenty of ways to backtest a strategy. You can run a manual test using Bar Replay to trade historical market events or Paper Trading to trade real examples. Those with coding skills can create a strategy using Pine Script and run automated tests on TradingView. Here is an example of the Moving Averages Crossover strategy using Pine Script: Margin allocation We are not fortune tellers, so we cannot predict how assets will be affected by sudden major events. If the worst happens to us and we have all of our capital in a particular trade, the game is over. There are classic rules such as the maximum allocation percentage of 1% per trade (e.g. in a $20,000 portfolio this means that it cannot be risked +$200 per trade). This can vary depending on your trading strategy, but it will definitely help you manage the risk in your portfolio. Diversification and hedging It is very important not to put all your eggs in one basket. Something you learn over the years in the financial markets is that the unexpected can always happen. Yes, you can make +1000% in one particular trade, but then you can lose everything in the next trade. One way to avoid the cold sweats of panic is to diversify and hedge. Some stock traders buy commodities that are negatively correlated with stocks, others have a portfolio of +30 stocks from different sectors with bonds and hedge their stocks during downtrends, others buy an ETF of the S&P 500 and the top 10 market cap cryptos... There are unlimited possible combinations when diversifying your portfolio. At the end of the day, the most important thing to understand is that you need to protect your capital and using the assets available to you a trader can hedge and/or diversify to avoid letting one trade ruin an entire portfolio. Thank you for reading this idea on risk management! We hope it helps new traders plan and prepare for the long run. If you're an expert trader, we hope this was a reminder about the basics. Join the conversation and leave your comments below with your favorite risk management technique! 🙌 - TradingView Team
Education
by TradingView
64
Three Effective Commodity CFD Trading Strategies Whether you're a seasoned trader or new to the world of commodities, understanding the various strategies that are available may play an important role in building a successful trading plan. In this article, we’ll explain three types of commodity CFD trading strategies and provide examples of each that you could get started with today. Commodity Trading Explained Commodity trading refers to the buying and selling of raw materials and industrial components in the financial markets. While Forex trading deals with currencies, commodities trading primarily deals with physical goods. Typically, commodities fall into four broad categories: energy, metals, agriculture, and livestock and meat. There are many reasons why people trade commodities. Some trade them as a way of hedging against inflation; this is particularly true of precious metals. Others might use them to take advantage of a booming economy, as demand for energy, metal, and food usually increases in times of economic growth. Commodities trading is a practice that dates back thousands of years. In the past, early civilisations had to buy and store these goods physically, but nowadays, there are many types of commodity trading available. In the 21st century, traders don’t need to buy and store goods; they can trade them as a contract for differences (CFDs). More about commodity CFD trading can be found on FXOpen. Also, traders can gain exposure to commodities through stock and exchange-traded fund CFDs, which you’ll also find on our platform. 3 Examples of Commodity CFD Trading Systems Broadly speaking, commodities CFD trading strategies can be divided into two categories: fundamental, based on economic factors and news, and technical, based on past price movements and market trends. We’ll be looking at three technical strategies. If you’d like to follow along, you can use a risk-free demo account. Please note that given the wide spreads usually seen in commodities, it’s preferable to use at least 15-minute charts. 1. Trading Breakouts A breakout refers to the rapid price movements seen after an area of support or resistance is broken. However, breakout trading may be harder than it seems. A “fakeout” - a move beyond a support or resistance level that quickly reverses - may trap traders and put them in the red. Therefore, some traders prefer to wait for confirmation and enter with a stop-limit order. - Entry: Once an area of support or resistance has formed (A), price needs to break through and create a swing high or low (1). When the price returns to the level, an opposing high or low should form (2). Then, you may set a stop limit order at the previous high or low (1) to catch the confirmed breakout. - Stop Loss: The strategy suggests setting a stop above the swing high or low that creates the retest. - Take Profit: Traders may take profit at a level that gives them a 2:1 risk/reward ratio. Some prefer to trail their stop, while others might move it to breakeven and manually take profits at future areas of support and resistance. 2. Trading Trends Trend-following strategies have a potential to do well with commodities, given that their trends can last weeks, months, or even years. This specific strategy uses moving averages to confirm the direction of the trend with additional confluence from the Relative Strength Index (RSI). - Indicators: RSI (14), Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of 21 (grey) and 50 (orange). - Long Entry: When EMA 21 crosses above EMA 50 and RSI is above 50 (showing bullishness), the first retest of EMA 21 may be considered an entry point (2). - Short Entry: When EMA 21 crosses below EMA 50 and RSI is below 50 (showing bearishness), you may enter on the first retest of EMA 21 (1). - Stop Loss: For longs, you could set a stop just below EMA 50 and trail as the moving average moves up. For shorts, you could set a stop just above EMA 50 and trail as the moving average moves down. - Take Profit: Traders usually start taking profits at a level that gives them a 2:1 reward/ratio. Alternatively, you might take profits when RSI dips below 50 for a long trade or above 50 for a short trade. Trading Ranges While commodities can be highly volatile, like other assets, they also experience ranges. Range trading is another type of planning and trading of commodities. The use of volatility-based indicators, like Bollinger Bands, alongside an indicator that tells you whether price is trending or ranging, like the Average Directional Index (ADX), may be helpful when trading ranges in commodities. - Indicators: Bollinger Bands (20, 2), ADX (14, 14). - Entry: The theory suggests a trader goes long when ADX is below 20 and the price touches the lower Bollinger Band and goes short when ADX is below 20 but the price touches the upper band. - Stop Loss: There are a couple of ways to set a stop loss here. One way might be to use a set number of pips, or perhaps roughly half the size of the entry candle. Alternatively, a trader could set a standard deviation of the Bollinger Bands to 3 and use the newly-formed bands as a stop. - Take Profit: Since this is a range trading strategy, it’s expected that positions are closed on touching the opposing band, but a trader can choose to leave some in and move their stop at breakeven to potentially be involved when the range breaks out. Ready to Start Your Commodities CFD Trading Journey? Now that you have three potential strategies under your belt, you may start thinking about your next steps. If you’re thinking of testing these strategies on a live market, you may try the TickTrader platform. You’ll have the chance to gain valuable experience with these strategies and see what works best for you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by FXOpen
3 Types of Stop LossesToday’s topic is going to be on three types of stop losses . This is a very critical topic because stop losses come under the category of risk management. Risk management is such a pivotal, important and critical topic. Why? Because professional traders and investors, the first thing that they always do and constantly think about before they get into a trade or investment is not how much profit they’re going to make, it’s how much they can afford to lose. The only control that you have when you enter into a trade and you’re in the trade is the risk factor because most of us will not have the capital power to control that trade. It’s a collective pool of people’s thoughts and a lot of other factors that come in which then determines how the price moves in the market, especially how smart money enters the market actually. So in light of all of that, the real power that you have, the real control that you have is your risk management. How much you can afford to lose. In terms of that, we’re going to be looking at the three types of stop losses and how to stop your loss when the market does something which is not favourable to you and not in line with the direction of the trade that you are taking on. The first type is what we call the technical stop . This is the one most people will be familiar with. That’s where all your different kinds of stop losses come under: moving averages, channels, trend lines and so forth. All these are summarised under technical stop losses. Even if you use tier based stop losses, they come under technical stop losses. The second one is called a money stop . A money stop is basically one where you write in your rules, and this is how you execute a trade as well is that you say, for example, you enter a trade and it is going well in profit. You tell yourself to trail your stop loss to break even as soon as the trade is 3% in profit. You don’t care what the moving averages are or where the price pattern is whatsoever, you would just move your stop loss to break even. So that is purely based on money. That is called a money stop because the stop loss is adjusted according to your profits or your losses. Usually it’s to your profits – that’s when you trail and adjust your stop loss. The final one is the time stop . As you’ve already guessed, the time stop is based on time. Especially for intra-day trading it’s very important because you know certain times of the day volume is really high and other times of the day volume starts to dry up. So especially if you want to capture a certain percentage of move, you want to capture it before a certain time and you usually know that after 5pm or 6pm the volume usually dries up. Price movement is not really that much especially towards 9pm. So you can have a rule saying, for example, at 5pm or 6pm you’ll look at exiting a trade if it’s not reached an objective. If you’re a swing trader you start saying things like you know if it’s consolidating for 10-15 days in a row I will possibly exit out of the trade. So all that is basically based on time. Let me ask you a question. Out of all the three stops I’ve talked about: technical, money and time, what do you think is the strongest stop of them all? I think, if my guess is right as we have coached thousands of traders, most of them usually tell me it’s either the technical or the money stop. In fact, let me tell you Traders, the weakest one of them all is the money stop because there’s no basis for it. It’s just based on money and just trailing it. The strongest is the time stop because everything is determined on time and you’re time bound in everything that you do. If you look at daily activities: waking up, going to work, having meals, going to bed – your life is time bound. Here’s the final most critical point. If you actually want to make your risk management really strong, the trick is not to put emphasis on either one of them according to strength, but to make them sync with each other so that they can then adapt to market conditions. It’s basically a confluence of the types of stop losses that can help you to generate the rules which can adapt to market conditions. For example, when you start out if you put in your initial stop loss in a technical place and as time then moves by then you would then get more aggressive with your stop loss and as it’s nearing towards exit, if you’ve reached a certain profit potential as the market price is still hovering around, losing momentum, then you would then start to go into money stop. Money stop is especially useful if you’re in swing trading. For example, when we took the DOW Jones trade and we took that 2,000 point move on a mismatched strategy when it had already done 80% of the move we used a money stop because we don’t want to give back all that profit back to the market. So that’s when we start to us a money stop and a combination of time stop, initially starting with a technical. So that’s how you do it. Do have a good think about this because this is so critical Traders. If there’s only one thing you have total control of, it’s your stop loss, it’s your risk management. So contemplate this, revisit your strategy rules and see how you can optimise that for maximum performance of your strategy. I believe that you have really enjoyed this topic and have some amazing value from this. Until the next time, as we always say, stay disciplined, follow your trading plan and keep trading like a master .
Education
by masterthemarkets2010
Securing Trades: Moving Stop Losses to Breakeven Forex TradersProfitability is the ultimate goal for all traders in the forex market. However, evaluating profitability is not a straightforward task. While many traders rely on comparing the size of their losses to their profits, this single metric alone may not provide enough motivation or a comprehensive understanding of one's success. In fact, solely fixating on this indicator can sometimes trap us in psychological pitfalls. When faced with a series of unsuccessful trades and accumulating losses, the desire to recoup those losses and attain profits can become overpowering. This intense longing often drives traders to take unnecessary risks and make impulsive trading decisions, driven solely by the emotional need to recover their losses. Unfortunately, succumbing to such emotional pressures typically leads to even greater losses, further intensifying the emotional turmoil associated with trading. To mitigate the emotional tension and prevent impulsive decision-making, one effective strategy is to employ a technique known as moving the Stop Loss to breakeven. This technique involves adjusting the Stop Loss level to the trade's entry price once a certain profit threshold has been reached. By doing so, traders can secure their initial investment and eliminate the risk of incurring any further capital losses. Moving the Stop Loss to breakeven serves multiple purposes. First and foremost, it reduces the emotional pressure that traders experience when managing their trades. By eliminating the possibility of incurring additional losses, traders can approach the market with a clearer and more objective mindset. This, in turn, helps to curb emotional biases and impulsive decision-making, which often lead to detrimental outcomes. Furthermore, moving the Stop Loss to breakeven can provide a sense of psychological relief and instill greater confidence in one's trading strategy. Traders can take solace in the knowledge that even if the trade eventually turns against them, they will not suffer any financial loss. This fosters a more disciplined and strategic approach to trading, as the fear of losing capital is significantly reduced. Implementing the practice of moving the Stop Loss to breakeven is ultimately a risk management technique aimed at safeguarding traders' capital and minimizing emotional stress. By adopting this strategy, traders can achieve a higher level of psychological stability and make more rational trading decisions. While it does not guarantee profitability on its own, it serves as an invaluable tool in maintaining a balanced and disciplined approach to navigating the forex market. What Is Breakeven To comprehend the concept of breakeven, let's delve into an illustrative example. Consider two scenarios where we analyze the market and identify an ascending channel. We wait for a test of the upper boundary and observe a bearish absorption reversal pattern, prompting us to sell EUR/USD with targets near the lower boundary of the channel. In the first situation, our short position initially brings a profit of approximately 15-20 pips, and our profit expectations rise. However, instead of continuing in our favor, the price abruptly reverses and triggers the Stop Loss order. As a result, a position that had shown a small profit closes with a loss. At the moment when the price reaches 15-20 pips, which accounts for more than half of the anticipated distance from the order opening point to the Take Profit level, we make a strategic move. We adjust the Stop Loss level below the opening price, effectively securing our position from further loss. The subsequent price movement can unfold in two possible ways: 1) The price continues its descent and reaches the Take Profit level, resulting in a profitable outcome for our position. 2) The price reverses direction and triggers the Stop Loss order. However, since we had moved the Stop Loss to breakeven, the position is closed not at a loss but at a breakeven point, meaning we exit the trade without suffering any financial loss. Based on the given example, we can define the concept of breakeven as follows: Breakeven level refers to the adjustment of the Stop Loss order of an open trade to a profitable area. The objective of implementing this strategy is to exclude potential losses in the current trade, effectively safeguarding our capital. By moving the Stop Loss to breakeven, we ensure that even if the trade turns against us, we exit the position without incurring any financial loss. The Psychology Of Breakeven On Forex The success of traders is influenced by various factors, with trading strategies and money management accounting for 10% and 20% of the equation, respectively. However, a significant portion of success, 70% to be precise, stems from psychology and emotional balance. Therefore, trading is primarily a journey of self-improvement and self-discipline. In this context, breakeven can serve as a stabilizer or a source of calmness, and each trader must decide for themselves whether it aligns with their trading approach. Traders who neglect moving their Stop Loss to breakeven often do so out of a desire to "beat" the market in a particular situation, disregarding risk management principles. They forget that each trade is merely an opportunity to generate profit and that a trader's success hinges on the cumulative outcome of all their actions. By moving the Stop Loss to the breakeven level, traders ensure that their trading account is not exposed to unnecessary risk. This approach allows them to step back temporarily, preserving their capital, and return to trade another day. Breakeven becomes especially valuable when a trade accumulates substantial floating profits. It acts as a safeguard, protecting capital and preventing the unfortunate scenario of a winning trade turning into a losing one. However, it's crucial to note that utilizing the breakeven level requires proper understanding and application. Emotional traders may be tempted to move their Stop Loss to breakeven prematurely, resulting in a high number of breakeven trades. Therefore, it is essential to thoroughly study this tool and evaluate how it can be effectively integrated into your trading strategy. In general, if your next trade concludes without a significant profit or loss, it may be wise to take a break and rest. Achieving a result close to breakeven or closing a trade at breakeven can be viewed as a positive outcome in the long run, contributing to overall trading success. Why Do Traders Move Stop Loss To Breakeven? There are several reasons why traders opt for a breakeven stop in their trading: Psychological Comfort: Moving a trade to breakeven provides a sense of comfort and security. By eliminating the possibility of a loss, traders can view the trade as a risk-free profit. It reduces the emotional stress associated with potential losses and allows traders to stay in the trade with a peace of mind. 1) Expert Opinion: Many experts in the field of technical analysis advocate for protecting earned profits, and a breakeven stop is often recommended for this purpose. By locking in profits, traders can avoid the disappointment of seeing a profitable trade turn into a loss. This helps maintain discipline in following the trading plan and preserves the expected outcome of the strategy. 2) Greed and Fear: Some traders move their trades to breakeven as soon as they have a small profit, driven by greed and fear. They fear losing the profits they have already gained and hope to capture even more gains. However, this approach can backfire if the market retraces and stops the trade out at breakeven, only to continue moving in the desired direction. Fear and greed can cloud judgment and lead to impulsive decisions. Building confidence in both the trading strategy and oneself is essential to overcome these emotions and stick to the trading plan. 3 )To build confidence in the strategy, traders should thoroughly test it on historical data for an extended period. If the strategy demonstrates consistent positive results over several months, the trader can have faith in its effectiveness. Building self-confidence requires a holistic approach, which may include activities like meditation, exercise, and self-reflection. In conclusion, utilizing a breakeven stop can provide psychological comfort, align with expert advice on protecting profits, and help manage the emotions of greed and fear. However, it is essential to understand and apply this technique in the context of a well-tested and proven trading strategy, while also working on building self-confidence. How Do I Correctly Set A Breakeven Level? Moving the trade to breakeven is a decision that should be made with careful consideration. Rushing to set breakeven as soon as the price surpasses a certain number of points from the opening level can lead to premature trade closure and missed profit opportunities. It's crucial to set the breakeven level correctly and at the right time. There are certain scenarios where moving the trade to breakeven is appropriate: 1) According to the rules of your trading system: The decision to move the trade to breakeven should be planned and integrated into your trading system. This ensures consistency in your approach and prevents impulsive decisions based on emotions. 2) When events deviate from your trading scenario: If the price doesn't unfold as expected, such as in cases of flat-lining or lack of momentum, moving the trade to breakeven can be considered. However, it's important to factor in the time element. If you entered a trade during a period of low market activity, such as between sessions, it's advisable to allow more time for the price to develop before making any adjustments. 3) Allowing for price volatility and maneuverability: It's not necessary to move the trade to breakeven immediately after it becomes profitable. Price movements can be erratic, and giving the trade some room to breathe and maneuver within a reasonable range can help avoid premature stop-outs. The decision on when to move the Stop Loss to breakeven level is subjective and depends on various factors, such as the volatility of the currency pair, the timeframe being traded, and the trader's individual preferences. Traders often use technical tools like Fibonacci retracement, fractals, pivot levels, or other indicators to help determine appropriate breakeven levels. Ultimately, finding the right balance between protecting profits and allowing for potential gains requires experience, practice, and continuous refinement of your trading approach. Disadvantages Of Using Breakeven: While applying breakeven can offer certain advantages, it's important to acknowledge the potential disadvantages as well: 1) Impact on mathematical expectation: Triggering breakevens too frequently can negatively impact the overall mathematical expectation of winning trades. Each time a breakeven is triggered, it reduces the potential profit and increases the breakeven rate, which can erode profitability over time. Traders need to carefully consider the balance between protecting profits and allowing trades to run for maximum potential gains. 2) Effect on trading statement: If a trader consistently closes positions at breakeven, it can impact the overall trading statement. This becomes significant when traders showcase their results to potential investors or when assessing their own performance. A high number of breakevens may give the impression that the trader is risk-averse or lacks confidence in their trades. It's important to strike a balance between breakevens and profitable trades to maintain a positive perception. 3) Comparison with initial stop loss: Statistically, breakevens are triggered more frequently than initial stop losses. Some traders choose to close a portion of their position at a profit level equal to the initial stop loss level. This approach allows them to secure some profit while letting the remaining portion of the trade run for potential further gains. By doing so, they aim to strike a balance between locking in profits and giving trades room to develop. Ultimately, the decision to apply breakeven or its variations should be based on careful analysis of individual trading strategies, risk tolerance, and desired trade outcomes. Traders should consider both the advantages and disadvantages to make informed decisions that align with their overall trading goals. Trailing Stop: In addition to the standard breakeven closure, another option to consider is the trailing stop. This order type allows the stop loss to automatically trail the price at a certain distance as it moves in your favor. To set a trailing stop, you can right-click on the open position and specify the trailing stop size in points. Here's how it works: Let's say you've bought the EUR/USD pair at 1.1000 and set a trailing stop of 50 points. As the price moves in your direction, reaching 1.1100 and giving you a profit of +100 pips, the trailing stop will also adjust accordingly. If the price retraces by 50 pips to 1.1050, your position will be closed with a profit of +50 pips. This type of order is particularly useful for medium-term trading or during large market movements when it's uncertain when the trend might end. When used correctly, the trailing stop allows you to capture maximum profit from an open position. However, it's important not to set the trailing stop too tightly in volatile instruments to avoid premature closing of the position based on minor price fluctuations. Trailing stops offer flexibility and the potential to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor. They can be a valuable tool for managing trades and protecting gains, especially in trending markets. Traders should consider their trading style, risk tolerance, and market conditions when deciding whether to use a trailing stop and how to set the appropriate distance to maximize potential profits. Conclusion. n summary, one of the primary goals for traders is to avoid incurring losses. The concept of breakeven is rooted in this principle, as it allows traders to protect their positions and prevent losses. By moving the stop loss to the breakeven level, traders ensure that even if the trade does not result in a profit, they will not experience a loss either. However, it's important to recognize that breakeven can be a double-edged sword. While it protects traders from losses, it also carries the risk of giving up potential profits. This is because once the stop loss is moved to breakeven, the trade is essentially locked in at a break-even point, and any further upward movement in price will not be captured as profit. Traders need to carefully consider the trade-off between protecting against losses and potentially sacrificing profits when deciding whether to apply breakeven. It ultimately comes down to individual trading strategies, risk tolerance, and market conditions. It's crucial to find the right balance and use breakeven judiciously. Traders should assess the specific circumstances of each trade and make informed decisions based on their analysis and risk management plan. By doing so, traders can navigate the complexities of breakeven and strike a balance between safeguarding their profits and maximizing their trading outcomes.
Education
by FOREXN1
18