How much should I risk per trade? See below..* Trading is risky. Please don't rely solely on my financial advice.
* If you do take any of my trades, I suggest you only ever risk 0.25% - 0.5% of your total Capital on any given trade.
My trades have fantastic RR. Not this 1:1 crap you will get from a subscription service. But it's much more than my ego.
Here is why:
Say you risk 2% per trade like the gurus tell you.
If you have a 20K account & have 10 losing trades in a row, your account diminishes by $4000, so you now have a 16K account.
If you risk 0.25% per trade as I suggest. Here is the maths.
If you have a 20K account & have 10 losing trades in a row, your account diminished by a mere $500 compared to losing $4000 when you risked 2%.
You now still have $19,500 and you have not ruined your Psychology.
I have been trading a long time & 0.25% to 0.5% seems to be the sweet spot.
Stoplosshunt
The Unspoken Mystery behind SL Hunting - Example: EaseMyTripThe Unspoken Truth & Mystery behind Stop-Loss Hunting:
*** The Most Important Point ***
Many Training Academies & Experts say it is Most Critical to have SL, but where ? How much % ? In Equity Delivery Trading (Not F&O / Not Intraday) – when you have done thorough analysis of stock and sector, more than SL, patience is key. Understand the Unspoken Truth – In Trading, Money is not grown organically – the Loss of one person gets to another one as Profit.
If Everyone knows a scrip will bounce from a Strong Support – then how will Big Players make money ? By Cheating us, By Faking a Breakdown Scenario, By Stretching beyond our SLs. Although no one knows where we have placed our SLs, Big players know for the fact that a Retail trader won’t have their SLs beyond 10-15%. That’s the normal capacity. So, they try to shatter your patience, break your SL by a Fake Breakdown just beyond an average Retail player. Once our SLs have been hit, then they will pump in money aggressively to take the price Higher. This will hit the SLs of other set of Retail players who may have Shorted the scrip Intraday / F&O when the support was broken.
Voila – the Big Players now have hit SLs of Retail players on both sides and will take the price much higher. On a Chart – this will appear as “Wick” on higher timeframe. A proper Breakdown of Support on Daily timeframe will appear as Wick on Weekly and weekly breakdown appears as Wick on Monthly.
2) Pattern Negation:
While Taking a trade using Breakout patterns (Rounding Bottom, Inverted H&S, Cup & Handle etc…), the Pattern is Deemed as Negated when the price re-enters below the BO zone. But watch carefully on higher timeframe to ensure it is not a Fake Negation. At least we need to have patience to confirm negation of Pattern on Weekly Close. Even if it gets negated on Weekly – do not exit the trade on SL. Understand where the next major support is. Only if it is far down below – take a calculated decision to exit the trade on SL. Else hold patiently for the price to take support from the next Demand zone and bounce back. 9 out of 10 times (unless the sector itself is in negative sentiment) the price will bounce back / goes sideways accumulating power from the Demand zone.
In the case of EasemyTrip - The Falling Parallel Channel / Flag Pattern breakout happended on Weekly and it had to cross the resistance at 46 to be deemed a successful Breakout. But even after Breakout, the scrip started falling down sharply below the 46 Resistance zone on Daily. But look at the Weekly Candle - Only Wick below. for 2 Weeks Big Players tried to scare-off weak hands by faking Breakdown again and again on Daily Timeframe. But on Weekly - for both the weeks only Wick is below 46 and candle ended above 46 zone confirming the Flag Pattern Break-Out as Successful and Still Valid
Disclaimer:
Stocks-n-Trends is NOT a SEBI registered company. We do not provide Buy / Sell recommendations - rather we provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi--timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes. We strongly suggest our followers to "Learn to Ride the Tide" and consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions.
If you like our detailed analysis, please do rate us with your Likes, Boost and share your comments
-Team Stocks-n-Trends
HOW TO IDENTIFY STOPLOSS HUNTER AND TAKE PART ON IT - SETUP - HI BIG PLAYERS!
Today I want give you smart WAY to take part on stoploss hunters. I know everyone of us hate it to be stopped out. But to be honest, stoploss levels means a huge volume level, that institutions use for cheap entries.
This is why I want explain how I take part on stoploss hunting. I look on 4h chart for high demand and supply zones. On touching these area we all can expect more trade exchange and more volume.
If the price bounce of this zone and break with CHOCH (change of character ) the last trend, a lot of trader try to trade early as they can and the stoploss becomes calculatable .
As soon as the old trend is resumed, but in a narrow form, so that it is almost a sideways phase, then I identify stoploss hunter. The setup looks similar like this structure:
The good news: the stoploss to the last local point is very close and Risk-Return-Ratios of 1:3 are possible.
Comments are welcome!
Best regards
NXT2017
Idea about IDEA !?!Ever since Vodafone IDEA made headlines breaking out of the 20% circuit limit to 25% - there has been Rumors & Speculations on different lines
a) Govt converting their debt into Equity
b) Govt Planning to sell stake to Elon Musk's Starlink
c) Amazon, Verizon in talks with Idea for potential takeover
d) Idea declining the above speculations....
We need to understand one thing - "NEWS" is usually Hyped, Sudden, aimed at creating a situation of FOMO (Buy) or Panic Selling . The Power of News 99% of times is very short-lived unless and until its an authentic news that the company has officially declared itself as Bankrupt.
So How do we Trade such Stocks:
Positive or Negative - whatever be the News - we always have to review the Charts to look at the Immediate Supports & Resistances. Yes - sometimes, a News is so powerful and Hyped that it might demolish one or more Support or Resistances, but that's all. After that, the Support and Resistances take the opposite side and starts to show their magic.
In the case of IDEA - On Monthly Chart - there was a Candle Body level Resistance at 16.1 and Wick level Resistance at 16.9. At the end of the day - the Price could not break 16.1 - though it just formed a small wick above - the price ended just lower
Dynamics for Tuesday:
a) 16.1 resistance is still Alive
b) Vodafone IDEA - denied all speculations - so 99.99% buyers will give up
c) At 16.1 the price has formed a Rounding Bottom Pattern but BO failed
d) So next likely pattern is Cup & Handle - How far can the Handle come down ???? 12.15 is the next major support and also 0.382 on FIB Retracement scale
Beware of SL Hunting:
a) Now if the above message is undeniable and everyone will go on Sell side - how will Operators & Big players make money ???? - SL Hunting
b) I expect the a Gap up / sudden big GREEN Candle to start on Tuesday - Luring retailers to Go Long - may be until 16.9 and there will be a Sudden Crash - gobbling all our SLs
Be Aware....Be Prepared...."Learn to Ride the Tide - Irrespective of its Side"....
- Team Stocks-n-Trends
Avoid getting trapped and hunted by market sharks!Stop Loss Hunt, Liquidity Sweep, Market Manipulation - all of these are fancy names of a highly frequent act performed by big sharks of the market to target the retailers.
- "Oh, do you think they care about my 0.01 lot size?"
Individually, not.
In big volumes, yes.
Textbook chart patterns that are so prominent to us are all subject to going through a liquidation phase. Hence, let's look at some graphical examples that will also be supported by real-market instances:
1) "Head&Shoulders" liquidation
Upon forming a right shoulder and showing initial bearish moves, market participants tend to execute short positions and place their Stop Loss order above the freshly formed shoulder. In that case, there is a high probability that the price will get driven towards the Stop Loss pool, grab liquidity, then continue impulsing in the pre-determined destination.
A live-market example: EUR/GBP Daily Timeframe (period: 28/06/2023 - 16/08/2023)
2) Double Top liquidation
Similar to the previous point, upon forming two tops/heads/reversal points, the price shows some bearish moves and invites sellers to take action before we witness the price impulse towards the upside and grab liquidity where masses have set their Stop Loss levels before resuming its bearish moves
A live-market example: USD/CHF Weekly Timeframe (period: 09/05/2022 - 07/11/2022)
3) Parallel Channel liquidation
Trading within two boundaries of a parallel channel, oftentimes, we may witness how wick spikes are printed and liquidity is grabbed.
A live-market example: USD/CHF Weekly Timeframe (period: 16/01/2023 - 21/08/2023)
4) Ranging Market liquidation
Being stuck in a sideways-moving liquidation box, it is commonly evident how the price triggers the sea of retail Stop Loss orders to both sides of the rectangle with a sole purpose of taking out early entrants before moving in the pre-orchestrated destination.
A live-market example: USD/CHF 8H Timeframe (period: 16/06/2023 - 10/07/2023)
To put all in a nutshell, be careful in order to not fall into the Liquidity Aquarium.
BTCUSD: Flow to $32KPrice lured buyers in after breaking out of the trend line.
Once it has trapped retail as well as SMC buyers.
Price liquidated them both to fuel the aggressive move to the upside.
Now that buyers are out of the market the focus is to liquidate sellers.
I predict that this liquidity lies around $32k
Price should continue to flow to this area before any signs of reversal.
TBT Stop Loss Hunting Alert in actionThe TBT Stop Loss Hunting Alert is our proprietary indicator that does one simple- yet extremely important- job: to notify traders when Bitcoin might be experiencing unexpected volatility in the next 24-48 hours. The chart says it all, folks.
Note that the TBT Stop Loss Hunting Alert isn't going to trigger just before every drop- nothing and no one is that good. But for an automated solution, we're pretty happy with these results.
Day Trade: ShortKing W. Harbmayg's Journal Entry #5
1. Review: I’m going with the trend. I have a proclivity to counter trend, sometimes without even knowing it. I’ve endured a series of losers of small losses in the past few days due to my lack of awareness of market structure. I have some bad habits that I am still rooting out. Here forth, I aim to be 'perfect' my ability to read market structure and to consciously take more trend trades which are to be held. Also my stop losses were not placed at the above all highs and under all lows and so this too led to me being stopped out before my TP was reached.
2. Performance: (1 out of 5)
Confidence— 5
Discipline— 4
Communication— 5
BANKNIFTY 15min INTRADAY PLAN (20 FEB)Hello TradingView community and my followers, please if you like the ideas, don't forget to support them with likes and comments, thank you very much and here we go.
.
BANKNIFTY
Daily : On daily it has swept liquidity from below of range.
15 min : Plan of 15 min I've explained on chart. It can break PSY level 41000 below and then can go up by trapping lot of seller and it can go for upside SL hunting.
*Wait & look for an opportunity and we could see an upside movement.
THANK YOU !!!
BTC short term scenario- 18.5K or 22.5KHi everyone, I'm looking at daily timeframe. To tell the truth I would like to see this scenario to play out. When BTC pullbacks to 20.1-20.3K zone I will try long position with tight stop loss.
When BTC rejected at 21.3-21.5K zone, 90% opened short positions, Will be ideal if BTC pumps to 22.3-22.5K zone and liquidates enormous amount short positions before retrace to 18.5-19K zone.
Let's follow and see how BTC behaves))
USDCAD: Trading @ Monthly Supply ✅Price has been delivered to the supply with a compression format, which leads me to believe the zone will not hold.
When we see compression delivery, we tend to see a liquidity grab of the area before sells or complete disregard for the zone.
I will be avoiding sells until dollar bulls calm down and liquidity from the order block is taken.
57% of traders are currently net short on this position, don't get caught in the liquidity grab.
Wait and then execute after! ⚠️
How to spot and avoid Stop Loss hunting: a complete guide Stop Loss hunting happens every trading day, and it's not something you would want to let fly under the radar.
We have carefully orchestrated some examples on the graph to give a clear picture of what this phenomenon really is, and listed some tips on how to avoid getting into this mouse trap.
In basic terms, Stop Loss hunting is the strategy of the price action spiking above/below key levels to enter the pool of Stop Loss orders and take the masses out of their positions before moving the price in the destined direction.
Looking at the first example, we can observe that a nice double top pattern has been formed. This is one of the clear indicators that the price might potentially drop after failing to rise above and forming a new top. Thus, a trader would most likely go short and set his Stop Loss a few pips above the freshly formed area of resistance. What happens next is obvious - a trader gets liquidated. Why? because him and tens of thousands of other market participants had set their Stop Losses at a very obvious key level - above the local zone of supply. After successfully spiking up and grabbing some liquidity, the price peacefully continues its bearish movements in the predetermined direction.
The second example is a similar one as well. "What a beautiful ranging market. Let's buy at support and sell at resistance." Only if it was that easy...
What happens next, the price spikes below the lower boundary of the sideways-moving range and grabs liquidity before moving in the upside direction.
Stop Loss hunting scenarios will always happen, and to be honest, we cannot really avoid them all. However, there are some tips that we can follow in order to evade these traps.
Firstly, you should never rush into entering positions. Eventually, the price will come to your levels and develop into some patterns (Double Top, Head&Shoulders etc.) before starting its big moves.
With that being said, no FOMO either. There will always be fish in the sea, just like there will always be opportunities in the market. Be patient, cold-blooded, and wait for your time.
Do not set a tight Stop Loss, because you will most likely get taken out immediately. Either set a wide one so you can escape hunting in case the price starts spiking up and down, or wait for cases of a fake breakout a.k.a liquidation before entering a position.
Last tip is a pretty smart one: set your entry orders at levels where masses would put obvious Stop Loss orders. Then, you will notice how many times the price goes in that direction.
Hope you enjoyed this Educational Post, dear TradingView community members! If you have any suggestions or recommendations for the next educational idea, feel free to let us know in the comment section below.
EURUSD - Trap Sellers Then Sell 🚨Price is approaching the trendline breakout zone without fully mitigating the supply above which suggests to me a potential false breakout.
Ideally, I would like to see sellers get trapped and liquidated. before I join swing sells.
I have illustrated what I would like to see.
if you have other ideas, let me know in the comment section. 💬
BTC stop-loss hunt is highly expected soonFriends,
reviewing the 1D BTC chart, I noticed that we had at least 2 SL hunts with massive pullback and global uptrend channel continuation.
Now we're in a very similar situation and I expect the 3rd SL hunt to the are around 36000.
What do you think, may this happen?
Share your thoughts in the comments!
Simple Explanation of Stop Loss Hunting Stop Loss Hunting, a manipulative tool, that is used by Market Makers and Whales to manipulate market every day and to take away money from Retailers.
This is a basic yet advance topic to discuss. For simplicity sake, Let's break down this discussion in five parts :-
1) What is Stop Loss Hunting ?
2) How does it work ?
3) Why does it work ?
4) Why they do it ?
5) How to avoid It ?
---------------- 1) What is Stop Loss Hunting ? ----------------
Stop Loss Hunting is a process in which "A KEY LEVEL" is broken on either side in order to trap Retailers and to take Stop losses of either bears or bulls and trap them in that Trade.
----------------- 2) How does it work ? -------------------------
It works only when we have a level that is SO OBVIOUS to everyone that majority of RETAILERS put there Stop Loss underneath that level.
Stop Loss Orders are clearly observable in ORDER Book and ESPECIALLY to Market makers.
However, Key Levels in Range Trading become so obvious to Market makers or some Support levels that Whales/ Institutions or Market Makers can clearly observe where most Stop Losses of Majority of Retailers will be.
Thus they can overwhelm that range or level with Demand or Supply to take out Bears or Bulls Respectively.
----------------- 3) Why does it work ? -------------------------
We all are HUMANS and are bounded by our Emotions. We are EMOTIONAL BEINGS at the end of the day and we are not machines.
Inherently, We share an emotional domain and there are two key emotions in that domain :- Fear, Greed.
These emotions are involved and determine out actions most of the times in any Financial Market.
Therefore, These emotions are used as trigger points for Buying and selling and thus, Market Makers manipulate the Market by Controlling the masses by using these as Trigger points.
In Bear Trap , thus, when an obvious support level is broken then Retailers sell and Whales/Institutions buy and Bears are trapped. Then market makers Push the price up and that is how BEAR TRAP Works.
On the other side, In Bull Trap when Resistance level is broken then Break out traders buy at Breakout and then Bears Stop Loss is mostly taken out then Many Bulls are trapped. Therefore, Price takes a dump on failure of a breakout.
----------------- 4) Why they do it ? -------------------------
Answer is pretty simple for this :- To make more Money and Get better ORDER FILLING PRICE for their BIG ORDER Trade.
Whales/ Instituions do get have a BIG ORDER SIZE and Especially when they have INSIDER News or Information before it becomes available to public.
They always seek to get their BIG ORDER SIZE FILLING in Blocks at better Price.
For that reason, they do overwhelm a Support level with Supply to take out Retailers out of that trade and fill their BIG ORDER SIZE in Blocks.
Also, sometimes, when Market Makers see good Opportunity to take out Retailers out of trade they do same as well by Breaking Key Level on Either side.
---------------- 5) How to avoid It ? ----------------------
This can be done in TWO WAYS. By having Either your Stop Loss Wide Enough OR Look out for a key Level is so obvious to everyone and thus Expect Stop Loss Hunting at that level.
What i do sometimes is that when a key Level is broken and it is coming back to support then you can trade from that level where AN OBVIOUS KEY LEVEL is broken and most Retailers are taken out of the trade.
Let us use an example for this :-
You can clearly see how an OBVIOUS level of 30K majority was watching and it was taken out and many Retailers would def had been Liquidated or their SL must had been taken out.
I really hope that my Stop LOSS Hunting Explanation would be good enough and if i made any mistake please do lemme know anout it.
Diagram in the chart is an example only and is not meant to taken for any financial advice.
gbp nzd scalping new york bullish price action !! . waiting for volumen when ny opens for price 1.9235 1.9250 . there are a lot liquidity from sellers !!!
EURUSD: Could Bulls Return?Looking at the weekly chart you can clearly see that we had a fluid break away from the head and shoulders pattern but we never came back to mitigate price at the equal highs created.
We have now wiped the low to the left, could this be the catalyst to see some bullish pressure to capture stop losses?
I think it could well be! What do you guys think? Let me know in the comments below.
Stop loss raid on UPS I don't have an idea here but wanted to highlight the obvious manipulation that these institutional crooks get away with everyday. How many call options were hit by this stop loss raid today? How much money did retail traders lose? If you got mugged on the street and had proof of who did it, the mugger would go to jail. Why does wall street get a pass? I was a beneficiary of this raid, got in calls as soon as I seen that long lower shadow but it still aggravates me that this is allowed to happen. This isn't a free market, they are rigged.
GBPUSD: Take Sellers & CollapseThe trend has shifted into a bearish market, for this to continue we must retrace to mitigate positions before we can sell-off strongly again.
I would like to see a pullback to wipe out the breakout sellers, once this is out of the way we can look to enter our sells as illustrated.
Leave a comment and/or message us on how we can improve and provide better content, we are open to suggestions to create a better experience for you!
Keep in mind that the analysis provided is not 100% accurate and that you can never be certain of the markets. This information given is not financial advice, always do your own research.
Thank you for reading,
Cheers to many pips!
ONE/USDTWhen market already move up quite high, many novice traders will jump into try to make a few bucks from believing that its gonna continue like it did before. \
market is now dropping in price due tto thos who bought at the bottom before the rally are out of the market.
better to wait for the market to really bleed down before entering in. when everyone thinking it is going to drop in value, and start selling massively thats when you have to buy from them at a discounted price.