DASHUSD: Up 80% + in 13 days:Time to raise stops/watch this flagDASHUSD Update
We were so lucky to get filled at 305 back on November 10th
just an hour or two after the last Dash forecast went live
and trade is still live and going well, so far.
But it could be fading here, it's falling away from the top of
the flag and needs buyers to push higher and trigger the next
addition to longs. If we see this the stop on all positions can
be raised to just under the upper parallel at the point of
break out.
If at any point buyers fade away and sellers are able to drive
price below the lower parallel all longs must be closed out as
quickly as possible to trap in 240 points of gains, up 80% in 13
days so far. Bitcoin eat your heart out.
Stops
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Grinding Higher: Stops for day tradersBitcoin Update
Grinding higher still. Day-traders can raise stops to just under
8230-8320, under the small dynamic underpinning today's
rally. If this line fails Bitcoin should fall back to 8005 where it
becomes a buy again with stop under 7970.
Swing traders and long term holders stay long, as below.
On Watch for Wednesday, November 22First close over the 50 day EMA since July. Some resistance @ $3.40 and $3.61 then it's smooth sailing to $4.50. Targeting $4.50 first, $5.00 second and then the 200 day EMA around $5.75. Some weak support @ $2.89 and more solid support @ $2.55. Watch List @ TraderPix.com
On Watch for Wednesday, November 22Bounce off of support on it's way to the 200 day EMA. Targeting $0.75 with Resistance on the way @ $0.55 and $0.65. Stop set below support @ $0.47.
Watch List @ TraderPix.com
On Watch for Wednesday, November 22Upside move and a break of the 50 day EMA after hours. Entry over $1.02 targeting $1.30 first and on the break of $1.40 new target will be $1.80. Support @ $0.82 could be a spot for a stop.
Watch List @ TraderPix.com
On Watch for Wednesday, November 22Close above the 50 day EMA could be the beginning of the gap fill. Targeting $2.27 first with resistance on the way @ $2.01 and $2.13. Looking for the gap fill @ $2.94 on the break of $2.27. Tight stop below $1.80 and a looser stop below $1.70. Watch List @ TraderPix.com
On Watch for Tuesday, November 21Big move today, watching for continuation tomorrow. First target of $4.68 with a second target of $5.50. Support @ $3.45 and $3.22.
Watch List @ TraderPix.com
On Watch for Tuesday, November 21Triangle / Pennant forming looking for a break to the upside in the coming days. Targeting $1.80 with resistance @ $1.60. Stop could be set below support @ $1.35.
Watch List @ TraderPix.com
On Watch for Monday, November 20Showing signs of breaking out of this month long consolidation. Possibly on it's way to test $2.00 in the upcoming week. Resistance on the way to $2.00 @ $1.48 and $1.72. Support for stop placements @ $1.28 or $1.20.
Watch List @ TraderPix.com
On Watch for Monday, November 20Big move through the 50 day EMA on Friday. Watching for continuation on Monday with a target of $4.00. Some resistance @ $3.80 on the way to target. Support @ $3.08 and the 50 day EMA around $3.39.
Watch List @ TraderPix.com
On Watch for Monday, November 20Looks like the bulls are regaining control and trying to make a push to the 200 day EMA. Entry over $1.40 with resistance @ $1.55 before hitting a target of $1.70. Stops could be placed below support @ $1.26 or $1.21.
Watch List @ TraderPix.com
On Watch for Monday, November 20This curl off the bottom finally closed above the 20 day EMA on Friday. Could be the beginning of a run to the 50 day EMA. Targeting $4.00 with resistance on the way @ $3.11 and $3.46. Depending on your risk tolerance stops could be placed below support @ $2.73 or $2.50. Watch List @ TraderPix.com
On Watch for Friday, November 17Flag break through the 50 day EMA today. Could easily see the 200 day EMA tomorrow. Some resistance @ $0.83 and $0.89 before hitting a target of $0.95. Support for stop placements @ $0.76 or $0.74.
Watch List @ TraderPix.com
On Watch for Friday, November 17Wasn't able to close above the 50 day EMA on yesterday's spike but the bulls managed to do it today. Seen this pattern ahead of big moves many times. Possible test of the 200 day EMA in the next few days. Targeting $4.64 tomorrow with resistance on the way around $4.28. Tight stop could be set below the 50 EMA around $3.66 or $3.10 for the looser stop.
Watch List @ TraderPix.com
On Watch for Friday, November 17A close back above the 50 day EMA could mean the bulls are finally back in contorl. Looking for a pre-earnings spike to $0.60 with resistance on the way @ $0.50. Stops could be placed below support @ $0.41, $0.39 or $0.37 depending on your risk tolerance. Watch List @ TraderPix.com
On Watch for Friday, November 17Big move through the 50 day EMA today. If it stays above the 50 EMA tomorrow target will be $1.59. Support at the 50 EMA around $1.12, $1.00 or $0.83. Place stops according to risk:reward strategy.
Watch List @ TraderPix.com
Bitcoin: BTCUST Need to raise stopsBitcoin: BTCUSD
Hate raising stops before China opens, especially after yesterday, but it could be that it gets sold off to begin with. If so look to buy from lower, having locked in profits
We are long from 3 buy points today:
!st was the break and hold above key resistance at 6950
(after closing out a 230 point gain as this level was hit and then
losing 50 points on the ensuing short from the same level)
2nd on first touch of the lower parallel at 7090 (stop 50 points lower)
3rd on the break above the continuation pattern highlighted earlier today at 7170.
Need to put a stop under some fairly hard-won gains and also put a limit level on
for exit, if we see it, before the stops get hit.
The stop on all positions can placed just under 7200. Bitcoin
has been good to day traders again, pinging off support and
resistance lines, though the lows were 13 points higher at
7090 than we could have done with as the perfect entry point
if 6950 break had been missed earlier.
That spike off the 7346 resistance line is the first for a while
and so it could be that when far Eastern markets open it could
get sold off...if so, look to buy back at 7134 and below down
to 7090 with stops under 7060.
On the upside, providing we don't get stopped out first,
we should look to exit at 7540, or just under.
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Stops need raising to protect weekend gainsBitcoin Update
Don't want this to turn over here now before China opens
but it could do without some buying power from 7460 level
to hold it up and then propel it through to a new high.
Want to protect gains by raising stop to just under 7450 on
at least half the position, if not all, according to risk profile.
Ideally it will trade sideways between high and 7460 and
then China could arrive to propel it substantially higher.
However it will need that power to take it higher from here.
So just in case it doesn't arrive, and it can only be deemed
50/50 chance in reality, we should protect the 400 points
made so far this weekend just in case the Chinese don't
come in to keep momentum going.
Also need to remain aware of just how high this has risen
and therefore just how low it could fall when buying power
wanes again. probably back to 6312, if not to 6165. If it
does we need to be flat and ready to buy again from lower
down. If 7450 gives way day traders will step in on short
side with stops above 7460 looking to drive prices lower still.
Smart Execution, intelligently use stops to maximize profitThis post is for all those who are asking about the progress of the holy grail project. There are many ideas that are being poured into the project that are making it more and more effective, but this is proving to be one of the more interesting ones.
The idea of an adaptive stop loss is nothing new, trailing stops are super common, and many low latency methods employ some linear envelopes in the core of their stop loss methods. What the Holy Grail project is employing and may be somewhat new to the trading world is the idea of a stop loss function whose functional dependencies are dynamic in nature and rely on non-linear combinations. This is naturally accomplishable with the help of exponential smoothing. The Holy grail project had a problem that it would have too many neutral entries and exits, but now these can even lock in profits as they go. The next step will be to look at functional behavior that would warrant reentries, or some sort of stationary stochastic selection process of when to exit trades.
Take a look at the plot above. The red line is the reference line, crossovers represent when to enter and exit a trade. The lime and teal lines are the Smart Execution Traces (SETs) and suggest when to exit.
Exciting times!
Brent Crude Oil: UKOIL long stops raised to 59.94UKOIL: Crude Oil Brent Update
With WTI pushing up against clear resistance and Brent's latest
350 pip spurt looking in need of consolidation am raising the
stop here to just under 60 to lock in $14 of profit from the 46
entry level in late June.
If Brent falls below 60 it should come back to 59.18 at least,
and more likely to 58 before rallying again off the lower parallel.