Quickpost: Dash to more than double before next major pullbackGreetings, a lot is shown on the main chart and there will be one more chart in the post.
Analysis
Nested structures are performing
Falling wedge target is Hight of the wedge
Triangle target is just shy (measured moved not shown for simplicity sake)
Flagpole Target will get us most of the way to full target at the orange trendline
9 Season Rainbow explained on the chart. Deeper explanation found here
Wider Shot (monthly)
MACD EMAs about to cross bullishly
My training and experience leads me to see a rejection/consolidation at the orange trendline
Likewise, expect the orange trendline to be broken and then tested as support
Closing remarks
Money is:
Store of value
Divisible
Fungible
Unit of Account
Bitcoin seeks to be money with an emphasis on store of value. Other coins want to be money but don't empahsize the store of value, they focus on the the fungible/divisible aspect. These are the currency coins and when BTC slows down they will take off as a replacement currency for failing fiat. Just as the normal pattern is for Gold to move first and then silver to over-perform, BTC moves first and then the currency coins like Dash move later.
Storeofvalue
Will BCHSV volatility bolster robust support accumulation? BCHSVBTC volatility has challenged my personal indicator wrangling skills -- almost as much as NMR (whatever the pairing) or YFIUSDT, and it's got me to thinking about whether such price movements as we've seen during this recent BTC resurgence are receiving the attractive support the market seeks to sustain value into the mid-term.
PAID will do the trick to keep my head clipping waves, tall and short. But the cadre of my 'veloccilators' alone does not a fundamentals analysis make, so I have to ask the community if value will hold this time, or for how long? Can mildly choppy waters satisfy hodlers of the otherwise overwhelming urge to surge with others through each proverbial stadium (in this case, internet) wave, and bring on the tidal force of long term store of value at much higher registers over the long term?
GOLD: just some thoughtsHi Guys,
since Gold crossed into negative sentiment at the end of February, RSI has yet to be oversold. Last time it has been oversold it was in the summer of 2018 between June and August.
Remember the Bull Run starded on Aug.16th, 2018? That was the last day Gold has been oversold.
Having said that, please note the 3S representing areas of supports for the correction of the bull run.
The 3rd S met with support of the 569SMA and pulled back when NFP were released between Powell's and Draghi's speaches in week17 and week18.
The pullback helped Gold to breach the hypotenuse of the descending triangle and regain positive sentiment.
Fundamentals supporting gold IMHO at the moment may be:
1) US China Trading negotiations not progressing;
2) US rising tensions with Iran;
3) People are not buying the dip in the stock markets that is on the hedge of a cliff watching an abyss below 2800;
4) DXY fell briefly below 97;
Please also note that the pullback was stopped at 1300 which is psycological and may hide strong resistance.
For further information on previous structures please refer to related ideas links below:
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Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
Is Bitcoin truly a Store of Value?This study intends to point out an obvious attribute of Bitcoin that is often neglected. Its quality as a Store Of Value.
Historically this attribute is distorted as Bitcoin is subject to heavy speculation creating the Bubbles that mainstream media and short term traders pay much attention too. But on market that is such psychologically driven one aspect remains a constant. The parabolic curve which has been very steady throughout BTC's historic volatility and where the price always return to find support after the speculative Bubbles. We can call this the "Store of Value Curve". We can argue that this curve represents Bitcoin's true attribute.
Most traders are missing the big pictures and Bitcoin's fundamentals as a Store of Value are better seen by looking at the Yearly Candles that show tremendous growth but most importantly the Yearly Lows which represent the safety and security characteristics of a store of value asset through time.
The purpose of this short study is purely informative but the question remains. If Bitcoin is on its true store of value fundamental levels, why would anyone miss this opportunity to invest?
We welcome arguments on both sides of this debate in the comments section!
Below is a strong argument on why investors should buy BTCUSD on the current level:
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GOLD: follow up week Feb 25thHi Guys,
I've adjusted the periods of the SMAs by adding 50 to both.
Price crossed the blue horizontal line and is encountering various supportive elements from a technical point of view.
If it crosses back the blue horizontal line in the next 2 to 4 candlesticks I will set up short-term trades targetting the red line when it crosses the 103SMA.
If it does not cross back the blue horizontal line within the next 2 to 4 hours I would set up short entries below the 451SMA targetting the green line.
Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas.
Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.