STOXX 50, Flag-Formation Forming, Here Is What To Consider Now! Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this analysis where we are looking at the EURO STOXX 50 INDEX, its recent events, the current formational structure, what to anticipate the next times, and how to handle the upcoming situation. Major global markets have recovered from the huge corona-breakdowns seen this year but the big question now is if this recovery is sustainable as there are still big divergences between the real economy and the stock market, therefore it is important to note that the bear market is still not confirmedly over yet and that increase in corona rumors can lead to increase of bearishness in the long-run, as the S&P is near its all-time-high-conditions where the next times will be crucial and will prove if new highs in the major indices can establish sustainably or bearishness settles again, so is also STOXX 50 forming a bullish formation in the short-term which can lead it to test crucial higher levels.
When looking at my chart you can watch there that the index is trading in this huge possible bull-flag-formation which is marked in blue where it already several times confirmed the upper and lower boundary, as such a formation is normally bullish it can confirm as those when it happens properly, therefore, it is from high importance to not only hold the lower boundary of the flag sustainable but also the 40-EMA marked in red and the 300-EMA marked in black to form an EMA-bounce here before it can move on to confirm the flag when this doesn't happen and the index fails at the EMA-structure and the lower boundary to fall below it this will cause bearish pressure where lower levels will be reached within the high possible spectrum. Currently, the wave D and E can form which will finish the wave count and possibly also the big bull-flag which will activate higher targets with a decisive move above the upper boundary.
The current situation is a situation where the index has to show if the flag-formation holds and confirms properly or shows to invalidate it which can happen when price closes below the lower boundary. When the bullish scenario plays out accordingly the index can move to its targets but there are still important resistance-clusters lying which first need to be taken out before considering any further substantial bullishness in the middle-to-long-run before this does not happen the index can still reverse and as there are already big divergences in the real economy and stock where many retailers rushing into while smart-money staying out the rallies are highly speculative backed and therefore the bearish scenario should not be kept aside when considering the longer-term perspective and in this case, it is important to not get too overly speculative of possible upcoming rallies and keep the reverse perspective in mind before there isn't validation.
In this manner, thank you for watching, support for more market insight and have a good day!
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Stoxx50
EURO STOXX 50 (SHORT)EURO STOXX 50 - the opportunity is a SHORT with pricing collapsing to the BLUE zone and then huge potential falling of the cliff to the blue zone. as the crash unfolds and i have more data i will have a better outlook in prices falling to the YELLOW zone
Short corona VirusMarket is reacting to Corona virus. Virus is likely to spread all over Europe in next 2-3 weeks.
Market already broke the channel. Next target for shorts is the green box on the chart 3200. Will close the position when vaccines is made available to the market. Until then, not closing my shorts :)
Shorting timeThe Euro Stox 50 is near a big resistance at 3817 and couldnt break it after many days of trying but now , the Index is going down and unless we break 3817 I think the downside will continue to 3660
So keep an eye on 3817 level and try to short now at 3768 with a stop loss at 3811 and a first take profit at 3734 then 3680
Daily Europe STOXX forecast analysis 08-JUL
Price trend forecast timing analysis based on pretiming algorithm of Supply-Demand(S&D) strength.
Investing position: In Rising section of high profit & low risk
S&D strength Trend: In the midst of an adjustment trend of downward direction box pattern price flow marked by limited rises and downward fluctuations.
Today's S&D strength Flow: Supply-Demand(S&D) strength flow appropriate to the current trend.
read more: www.pretiming.com
D+1 Candlestick Color forecast: RED Candlestick
%D+1 Range forecast: 0.0% (HIGH) ~ -0.4% (LOW), -0.2% (CLOSE)
%AVG in case of rising: 0.8% (HIGH) ~ -0.2% (LOW), 0.6% (CLOSE)
%AVG in case of falling: 0.3% (HIGH) ~ -0.7% (LOW), -0.4% (CLOSE)
EURO STOXX 50 forecast timing analysis by Supply-Demand strength21-Jun
Stock investing strategies TVC:SX5E
Investing position about Supply-Demand(S&D) strength: In Rising section of high profit & low risk
Supply-Demand(S&D) strength Trend Analysis: About to begin an adjustment trend as a upward trend gradually gives way to a slowdown in rises and falling fluctuations
Today's S&D strength Flow: Supply-Demand(S&D) strength flow appropriate to the current trend.
View a Forecast Candlestick Chart Analysis of 10 days in the future: www.pretiming.com
(You can easily create a trading plan.)
D+1 Candlestick Color forecast: RED Candlestick
%D+1 Range forecast: 0.1% (HIGH) ~ -0.7% (LOW), -0.2% (CLOSE)
%AVG in case of rising: 0.8% (HIGH) ~ -0.2% (LOW), 0.6% (CLOSE)
%AVG in case of falling: 0.3% (HIGH) ~ -0.8% (LOW), -0.4% (CLOSE)
Price Forecast Timing Criteria: Price forecast timing is analyzed based on pretiming algorithm of Supply-Demand(S&D) strength.
BRUTAL: US vs EU stock market comparison.This is no news to anyone who follows the stock market but this is just to put it in perspective how bad the EU is doing.
The euro is lagging, getting close to parity with the dollar and the stock market in Europe has gone nowhere for decades.
If you took all your money out of the Eurostoxx in '07 and put it in the S&P you would have had 3,5 times as much if you had held on.
You would have doubled your money even if you made the decision at the worst point prior to this decade.
The EU is a sinking ship and rapidly declining to 2nd world economic minipower.
Megalomaniacs try to desperately band Europe together with stitches claiming to make the EU relevant on the global stage.
Well they are failing, meanwhile Australia, New Zealand, Israel, Norway, South Korea and many others are proving that you do not need to be big to grow fast.
The election is in May, throw the bums out.
Absolute failure.
Euro Stoxx 50 approaching resistance, potential drop!Euro Stoxx 50 is approaching our first resistance at 3261.7(horizontal overlap resistance, 50% Fibonacci retracement ,100% Fibonacci extension ) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 3090 (50% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal overlap support)
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching resistance where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Stoxx50 Reversed Off Resistance, Potential Further Drop!Stoxx50 reversed off its resistance at 3281 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) where it could potentially fall to its support at 3196 (horizontal swing low support).
Ichimoku cloud shows signs of bearish pressure that contributes to our bearish bias.
Eurostoxx is showing signs of breaking downLast week I was cautiously optimistic that the EuroStoxx would move higher to 3500, and possibly break from there to complete the mini (inverted) head and shoulders that can be identified since the 30th October 2017. However this week's action adds to a more bearish, alternative path.
The blue support zone is a loosely defined price range of significance; this area has repeatedly acted as a support over the last 12 months. Since the January 2018 correction, all subsequent rallies from this range have failed. The index is now for the sixth time in this blue support zone. Moving averages, RSI and price are all negatively aligned.
Today's price movement is also completing a head and shoulders pattern that has developed since January 2017.
SX%E - Long term bearish outlook - 300 point drop!Very bearish market geometry on display in the Euro Stoxx 50 chart. Bearish are certainly in control with bulls failing to create new highs this years and also a recent failed to re-enter the trading range.
P&F count for this one brings us down the 3100, this ties up nicely with a the previous horizontal resistance developed in 2016.
Good luck!
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EuroStoxx below 3410/05 risks a slide to the May low at 3385/80EuroStoxx below 3410/05 risks a slide to the May low at 3385/80. A break below the 50% Fibonacci at 3374 targets 3366 & 3359/55.
Holding 3410/05 allows a recovery to 3428/30 with strong resistance at 3439/42. Shorts need stops above 3450. A break higher meets strong resistance at 3461/64. Shorts need stops above 3470.
Spanish politicians reduce yield % of IBEX 35BME:IBC FX:ESP35 BME:IBC
Fear, unconfidence, uncertainly and anothers negative sentiment have come back?
Since 2016 we seeing a negative spread between Spanish index #Ibex35 and another European indexes like DY1! #Dax30 FX1! #EuroStoxx50 FY1! #Stoxx600
December 21st, 2015 starts the negative performance of the index (Starts RED BASELINE on daily chart), one day after the mixed results in that first elections.
Almost one year to elect a Mariano Rajoy as a president after many elections and hours to discuss to "nowhere" in parlament congress, finally October 29th 2016, Rajoy got the votes to have investiture.
On 14 June 2017, FIRST motion of no confidence in the government of Mariano Rajoy requested by Podemos after a string of corruption scandals, was defeated 170 to 82, with PSOE abstention.
Then came the Catalunian crisis on second semester of 2017 and STILL continues, with many former funtionaries in jail, anothers in exile like Carles Puigdemont former Catalunian's president of Generalitat.
Finally on 25 may 2018, SECOND motion of no confidence requested by main oppositions party (PSOE)... starts a new political crisis increasing the negative performance reaching maximun levels again...
Adittionaly, context may not help= Italy case, bonds, ECB politics, debt, euro weak...
www.bloomberg.com
www.bloomberg.com
STOXX 50 DAILY LONG 2618 Very good high probability setup for change in direction. Strong level of support. RSI oversold with divergence and last leg sign of a retracement. Bears couldn't break lower that lever last week. If Italian election ends well and Merkel do her job for Germany things might go pretty well.Relatively cheaper equities in EU makes me think 2018 EU may overperform US indices. Will see. Expecting appreciation further of the EUR. 2:1 RRR. DAX CAC BEL will tell the story. Good Luck
Is europe due to outperform american stocks for a while?Based on numerous conditions: CFTC euro dollar extreme values (long crowed), CFTC dollar index extreme values (short crowed), german bonds 2y/10y vs us 2y/10y bonds spreads, american and europe inflation divergences (5y5y swaps), quantitative tightening (america fed hikes) vs esasing (europe ECB bond purchase), trump fiscal dollar multinational repatriation (buying dollar and sell other currencies) ...