USD/JPY Under Pressure: Yen Strengthens Amid Bearish MomentumThe USD/JPY pair exhibits a clear bearish inclination, driven by a combination of economic and market factors that are strengthening the Japanese Yen and weakening the US Dollar. Currently, the pair has dropped to approximately 155.60, recording a 0.44% loss for the day, with sellers evidently attempting to push the price further toward critical support levels between 154.90 and 153.15. The downward pressure is amplified by rising expectations of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan, further supported by recent positive data such as improvements in Japan’s core machinery orders, signaling a recovery in capital expenditure. Simultaneously, uncertainty surrounding the economic policies of the Trump administration contributes to a negative climate for the US Dollar, which is already under pressure from a recent slowdown in buying flows.
From a technical perspective, the pair has encountered significant resistance in the 156.55-156.60 region, a level that halted previous recovery attempts and now acts as a key barrier. For a meaningful trend reversal, a sustained breakout above this resistance, followed by consolidation above 157.00, would be necessary to pave the way toward recent highs at 158.00 or even 158.85. However, the likelihood of a downward breakout seems more tangible, considering that the support at 155.25 represents the last defense before a drop toward the psychological level of 155.00 and further toward 154.60 and 153.30.
The current market environment, characterized by reduced trading volumes due to Martin Luther King Jr. Day in the US, suggests caution for traders, as dynamics could quickly shift with the return of liquidity and the announcement of potential monetary or political decisions in both Japan and the US. The combination of positive economic data for Japan and expectations of higher rates positions the Yen in a place of strength, while the Dollar may continue to struggle without a clear positive catalyst. Holding below 155.00 would be a significant signal for bears, indicating an extended downward trajectory toward deeper support levels.
Strategy
DOTUSD Plunge Alert Precision Short Targeting 10%+ Gains !The asset, DOTUSD, is showing a sharp bearish momentum with a decline indicating strong selling pressure.
The current price is 6.905, while the short entry position aligns with a retracement after a peak profit zone
1. Trend Direction
The price has broken below green channel, signaling a trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
Red zones around the moving averages confirm the presence of downward momentum.
2.Entry Confirmation
The short position appears to be placed after the market failed to hold its highs (Peak Profit 10.14%) and created lower highs, validating the short trade setup.
Entry aligns with the rejection of resistance levels, suggesting a good risk-to-reward setup.
3. Risk Management
Stop-loss is placed slightly above the sell zone, covering the recent swing high. This limits risk in case of price retracement.
The profit target extends well below the entry, suggesting confidence in further downside potential.
4. Aetos Indicators
A potential momentum-based or moving average indicator is being used to highlight peak profit areas, confirming optimal trade execution.
The bearish engulfing candles in the sell region validate the short bias.
Projection
Target Zone: The profit target aligns with the 6.230 support level, indicating expectations of a 10% drop from the entry point.
Downside Risk: If bearish momentum continues, there could be a breakdown below 6.230, extending losses toward 6.000 or lower.
Analysis
DOTUSD is experiencing a sharp bearish reversal after failing to hold its highs. The short entry capitalizes on lower highs and rejection near the resistance. Stop-loss is strategically placed above recent highs, while the target aligns with key support levels. This trade setup is supported by
Bearish momentum.
Clear breakdown below the moving average channel.
High risk-to-reward ratio for short-term traders.
Strategy
Stay short below 6.905, targeting 6.230. If price retraces above 7.00, consider exiting the position. Always book profits partially and move SL to BE
SPX: MTF Cluster Support at 5,810 with EMA Confirmation StrategyCurrent Technical Setup
The SP:SPX is testing a significant cluster support level at 5,810, identified by FibExtender Pro with multiple timeframe confluence. The price has shown a clear reaction at this level, making it a potential launching point for a bullish move.
Entry Conditions
Primary Triggers Required:
8 EMA crossing above 34 EMA on 30-minute chart (currently bearish)
Price breaking above last swing high at 5,850
Price holding above cluster support at 5,810
Price Targets
First target: 6,000 (psychological level and major cluster resistance - 4 levels)
Second target: 6,170 (cluster resistance - 3 levels)
Risk Management
Stop Loss Parameters:
Place stops below 5,810 cluster support
Exit if price fails to hold above EMAs after entry
Cancel setup if entry triggers aren't activated
Timeframe Analysis
30-Minute Chart:
Currently bearish configuration
8 EMA below 34 EMA
Waiting for bullish crossover and Price breaking above last swing high at 5,850
Weekly Chart:
Strong bullish structure
Moving averages stacked positively
5,810 cluster support adds confluence
50 EMA > 200 EMA (bullish)
Time-Based Considerations
The January 13 time cluster provides an additional layer of confluence for potential trend reversal. This timing aligns with Fibonacci principles suggesting higher probability setups when time and price zones converge.
Special Notes
The mixed signals between timeframes require patience. The weekly chart provides a strong bullish foundation, but entry must wait for 30-minute confirmation signals to align. The setup becomes invalid if price breaks below cluster support without triggering entry conditions.
XAU/USD Analysis: Gold's Bullish Momentum Eyes $2,790The analysis of XAU/USD highlights a strong bullish momentum in the short term, with gold prices reaching a one-month high above $2,700 on January 16, 2025. This rally was supported by contrasting U.S. economic data: while consumer spending showed strength, the increase in unemployment claims contributed to a decline in U.S. Treasury yields, enhancing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Optimism regarding a possible Federal Reserve rate cut, driven by cooling inflation, has further strengthened positive sentiment toward gold, which has posted three consecutive sessions of gains. From a technical perspective, the breakout above the key resistance level of $2,697 opens the door to a potential target of $2,740, reinforcing the current bullish trend. However, traders remain focused on upcoming economic events, including the Federal Reserve's rate decision at the end of January and the release of CPI and Non-Farm Payrolls data in early February, which could significantly impact market sentiment. Expectations suggest that a potential rate cut or weak macroeconomic data could continue to support gold prices, while signs of economic strength or a rate hike might trigger bearish pressure. In the medium term, gold could fluctuate between $2,650 and $2,800, with the market remaining sensitive to monetary policy developments and inflation dynamics. In the long term, potential geopolitical stabilization and a global economic recovery could reduce interest in gold as a safe-haven asset, bringing prices to a range between $2,500 and $2,600.
The Prop Trader’s Secret: How to Trade for Real MoneyTrading for Profit vs. Trading to Make Money
There’s a critical difference between trading to be profitable and trading to make money. While they may seem like the same thing, they’re not—and as a trader, you must decide which approach you want to take. If your goal is to be a prop trader who actually makes money, here’s 3 ways you shift your mindset and strategy.
1. Make Frequent Withdrawals
Traders focused on making money consistently withdraw profits. I learned this the hard way during my early trading days, seven years ago. Back then, I was obsessed with being "profitable." My focus was on hitting arbitrary profit targets—green months, green quarters, and a green year. While that mindset works for hedge funds, it’s not ideal for prop traders.
To succeed in the prop trading space, you need to prioritize frequent withdrawals.
Hit a strong run and make 2.5%? Withdraw.
Have a profitable day and the withdrawal window opens tomorrow? Even if you’re only up 1%, withdraw.
Frequent withdrawals create a feedback loop: the more often you secure profits, the more motivated and disciplined you’ll be to continue nailing winning trades. Prop trading comes with inherent uncertainty, so obsessing over 10% profit targets or arbitrary milestones only sets you up for disappointment.
2. Follow the 1-1-1 Rule
Stick to the 1-1-1 rule:
Take 1 trade per day.
Risk 1% per trade.
Focus on 1 financial instrument.
Adhering to this rule will transform your trading. You’ll avoid overtrading, reduce your exposure to losing streaks, and eliminate the emotional tilt that often leads to blowing accounts.
This discipline has kept me consistently profitable over the years. Whether you’re trading GBPUSD, EURUSD, XAUUSD, or US30, pick one instrument and master it. The path to trading success is as much about mastering yourself as it is about mastering the market.
3. Focus on Small Risk-to-Reward Ratios (R:R)
Small R:R trades may not sound exciting, but they’re the backbone of consistent profitability. Catching a 1:10R move might feel like the ultimate trading achievement, but are you here to be "profitable" or to make money? Make up your mind.
Most traders chase high R:R setups, only to give back 80% of their gains after one emotional mistake. Instead, focus on smaller, attainable targets:
Learn to consistently spot 1:2, 1:3, and occasionally 1:4 R setups.
On a $200k account, a single 1:3R trade at 1% risk generates $6,000.
After locking in a winning trade, withdraw your profits and repeat the process. Over time, these smaller, consistent gains will make you far richer than grinding for massive R:R setups and risking it all in the process.
The Bottom Line
Prop trading is about discipline, consistency, and the ability to extract real money from the markets—not just hitting arbitrary profit goals. By making frequent withdrawals, following the 1-1-1 rule, and focusing on attainable R:R setups, you can trade with confidence, avoid burnout, and get make real money! Isn't that why we're all here?
Happy Trading
XRP is flying. How much further?I published this chart a few weeks ago showing the potential for a gorgeous fratcal that's appearing for XRP. Do we dare to dream to see if reach three figures as we continue to soar? There's a few other alternatives that I'll also share some ideas around. But, this could be the best uptick we've seen from any coin... ever.. Good luck and follow and share for more.
WFC Wells Fargo & Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought WFC before the breakout:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WFC Wells Fargo & Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 70usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-3-21,
for a premium of approximately $2.82.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
EURUSD: Pullback before the crash!The EUR/USD continues its downward trend, recently touching a new cycle low around 1.0176 as the US Dollar maintains its relentless rally, fueled by rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated for an extended period. The Greenback’s strength has been amplified by a fifth consecutive bullish session, with the DXY surpassing the critical 110.00 level. Investors have sharply revised their outlook on Fed policy, reducing the probability of significant rate cuts in the near term. This shift in sentiment follows a robust Nonfarm Payrolls report and hawkish remarks from Fed officials, emphasizing the priority of taming inflation before contemplating further easing.
On the policy front, while the Fed recently trimmed its benchmark rate to 4.25%-4.50%, Chair Powell’s cautious tone during the final press conference of 2024 left markets in little doubt that any future rate cuts will be gradual. Powell underscored the need to anchor inflation closer to the 2% target and pointed out that despite some softening, the labor market remains resilient. This narrative has bolstered USD demand and widened the divergence with the European Central Bank’s stance.
In contrast, the ECB faces mounting pressure to sustain its easing cycle amid a deteriorating economic outlook across the eurozone, particularly in Germany, where industrial performance has been lackluster. Despite a marginal rise in inflation figures for December, ECB policymakers seem committed to prioritizing growth over inflation control in the short term. This divergence in central bank policies has created a headwind for the euro, further weakening EUR/USD and increasing the likelihood of a test of parity.
Adding to the complexity, potential trade policy shifts under the incoming US administration could inject additional volatility. Proposals for renewed tariffs could stoke inflationary pressures in the US, compelling the Fed to adopt a more aggressive tightening stance. Such a scenario would exacerbate the euro’s struggles, as a stronger USD and continued ECB easing would widen the interest rate differential between the two economies.
Looking ahead, the focus will remain on key data releases, including US CPI and Retail Sales, alongside eurozone Industrial Production and German inflation data. These reports will offer crucial insights into the respective economic trajectories and may set the tone for future price action. However, in the current context, the EUR/USD appears poised to remain under pressure as the fundamental backdrop heavily favors the Greenback. Until there is a significant shift in economic or policy expectations, the pair may continue its march towards parity.
top 8 simple steps to successful trading
1- Determining the trend
Before looking for entry points, it is important to clearly determine whether the market is in a trend or a sideways movement (flat). After all, it is in the continuation of the trend that signals usually work best.
Moving averages (EMA) and other trend indicators help to visually understand whether the price is rising, falling or “sleeping” in a sideways trend.
Regression channels and Bollinger Bands can further clarify the direction of movement and market volatility.
An example of trend visualization:
In this screenshot we can see how the moving averages are located above each other (bullish trend) or below each other (bearish trend). This is the first step: to understand where the river is “flowing”.
2- Identify levels and zones of interest
Support and resistance levels are a fundamental element of technical analysis. Prices often “walk” from one level to another, and large volumes visible in the horizontal profile of the market signal zones of interest for players.
Support/resistance levels are formed based on historical price extrema.
The horizontal profile of volumes shows where the greatest buying/selling activity is located.
Market participants' stop-losses (approximate levels) help to understand where a liquidity spike may occur.
Example of defining levels:
On the screenshot we can see the highlighted price areas and horizontal volume levels, which are worth paying attention to in order to find an entry.
3. finding entry points
When the trend is already defined and the main levels and zones of interest are marked, it is time to look for specific entry points. This is where signals from smart technical analysis indicators are especially important:
Smart signals help you recognize the beginning of a trend movement or a possible reversal.
Evaluating the strength of signals gives you an idea of the reliability of the current pattern according to many criteria (for example, on a trivial scale from 1 to 10).
Built-in technical analysis (“auto-trading” or “auto-marketing”) can confirm your observations.
An example of searching for an entry point:
In this example, you can see how buy signals (Long) appear at the moment of the beginning of an upward impulse when bouncing off supports.
4. Confirm the set-up with additional factors
There is no Golden Grail, so it is always desirable to have as many confirming factors as possible. These can be divergences, indicators of buyer/seller pressure, as well as signs of manipulation by big players.
Divergences in several indicators (RSI, MACD, etc.) often foreshadow a trend reversal or slowdown.
Buyer/seller pressure shows who controls the current market (bulls or bears?).
Manipulations by big players form false breakdowns, reversals and “knocking down stops”.
Example of setup confirmation:
On the screenshot you can see an example of divergence, as well as areas where, judging by the volumes, there was obvious activity of the “big hand”.
5. Confirming the trend we have identified via Midas Up
After the first trend analysis, it is useful to double-check it with additional indicators. There may be new signals of reversal or impulse movement that we missed.
Money supply movement: figure out how active the participants are and in which direction the volumes are flowing.
Trend tape and oscillators: filter market noise and confirm the start/end of a momentum move.
Price momentum: Often heralds powerful upward or downward spurts.
An example of a trend confirmation:
Note how several indicators confirming the same direction are combined in the screenshot.
6. Analyzing the behavior of large players
Large players (market makers, funds, etc.) have money and influence enough to significantly change the price. Observing their actions is one of the key aspects of successful trading.
The pressure of the big players shows who is entering the market and in what volumes.
Large whale buys/sells indicate points where significant liquidity is exchanged.
Whale buying/selling in the market confirms a powerful price movement.
Example of major player analysis:
In the screenshot we can see indicators of large trades, which often become triggers for reversals or acceleration of the movement.
7. Confirm the entry point by analyzing the current momentum
Even after knowing the general trend and observing the activity of big players, it is important to evaluate the moment of entry itself - especially when the market has already started moving in the chosen direction or is slowing down.
Pulse reversal points indicate the optimal moment to enter or exit.
Evaluation of the signal strength level (for example, 6 out of 10 or 9 out of 10) indicates the probability of successful execution.
The built-in technical analysis can additionally generate “Long” or “Short” signals.
Example of impulse analysis:
You can see how the combination of signals (candlestick patterns, volumes, indicators) indicates a possible long upward impulse.
8. Confirm the setup with additional factors
If one indicator gives a signal, it does not always guarantee a profitable trade - you need to look for confirmation from different sources. Here we can use:
Volume candlestick detailing - determining the true strength of the movement.
The weighted average price helps to smooth out sharp fluctuations and better navigate the trend.
Overheating by oscillators (RSI, Stoch) warns of a possible correction.
Example of additional factors:
In the screenshot we can see how several indicators of overheating and volume simultaneously indicate a high probability of correction, which can save from false entry or late entry into the market.
Conclusion
Consistent market analysis is a step-by-step process that requires a comprehensive approach:
We identify the trend and try to trade in its direction.
We look for key levels and zones with high liquidity and increased attention of big players.
Find entry points based on smart signals, candlestick patterns and volumes.
Confirm the set-up using factors like divergences, activity of big players and buying/selling pressure.
We double-check the trend with indicators, analyze the dynamics and momentum of the movement.
We study the behavior of major players, because they are the ones who form the main market movements.
We confirm the moment of entry by analyzing the current momentum and strength of signals.
We add finishing touches - analyze volumes, market overheating by oscillators and other factors.
Use various tools in a complex - and then the probability of closing a deal with a profit will increase significantly.
Have a good trade!
GBP/USD Holds Key Level Amid US Data WatchCurrently, GBP/USD is attempting to hold above the 1.2500 level after hitting an intraday high of 1.2575, but pressure from a strengthening US Dollar, driven by positive economic data, has capped further gains. A sustained move above this level could pave the way for new bullish targets, with the first resistance area at 1.2620-1.2630, corresponding to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, followed by 1.2700, which aligns with the 78.6% retracement level. On the downside, the first significant support stands at 1.2302. The recent strength of the Pound has been supported by broad-based USD weakness earlier this week, driven by improved market sentiment, which reduced demand for the greenback as a safe-haven currency. However, risk flows could be influenced by upcoming US macroeconomic data. Traders are focused on December’s ISM Services PMI and JOLTS job openings data. A reading above 50 has strengthened the Dollar, signaling expansion in the services sector.
STZ Constellation Brands Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold STZ before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of STZ Constellation Brands prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 230usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $2.07.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Brent Oil Poised for a Rally!Brent crude prices are currently influenced by a combination of strong geopolitical and climatic factors. At present, WTI is trading around $73.30 per barrel, nearing its highest levels since October 2024, as investors closely monitor the potential impact of colder weather in the United States and Europe. Seasonal demand for heating oil is expected to rise, providing additional support to crude prices. Simultaneously, China’s economic policy plays a crucial role in shaping the global energy market, given its status as the world’s largest crude importer. Recent stimulus measures announced by Beijing, including ultra-long-dated treasury bonds and initiatives to boost investment and consumption, have heightened expectations for increased fuel demand. Support from the People’s Bank of China, which anticipates a potential interest rate cut in 2025, along with the Shanghai Stock Exchange’s commitment to further open capital markets to foreign investors, strengthens the country’s economic recovery outlook.
In addition to these dynamics, the outlook for Iranian exports remains a critical factor for the Brent market. Goldman Sachs forecasts a decline in Iranian production by approximately 300,000 barrels per day by the second quarter of 2025, lowering the country’s total output to 3.25 million barrels per day. This drop is attributed to the anticipated tightening of sanctions under the new Trump administration, which could curtail global supply and support higher prices. The combination of rising seasonal demand for heating oil, growing demand from China, and reduced Iranian supply could sustain an upward trend in Brent prices in the short to medium term. However, it remains essential to closely monitor geopolitical developments and major central bank policies, as any significant changes could alter the current outlook.
USD/JPY: After Testing 158.07, Ready for a Bearish Move?The analysis of the USD/JPY exchange rate reflects a complex combination of macroeconomic, monetary, and geopolitical factors influencing the pair's performance. During the Asian session on January 3, 2025, USD/JPY dropped toward 157.00, highlighting bearish pressure driven by a deterioration in risk sentiment and weak Chinese PMI data, which increased demand for the Japanese yen as a safe-haven currency. Reduced activity due to Japanese holidays amplified exchange rate movements. Nonetheless, Japan’s December manufacturing PMI showed a marginal improvement to 49.6 from November’s 49.0, although it remained in contraction territory for the sixth consecutive month.
Recent dynamics have been influenced by declining U.S. Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield at 4.62% and the 2-year yield at 4.32%, temporarily weakening the U.S. dollar. However, the greenback’s resilience is supported by expectations of fewer rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2025. The DXY remains near 108.00, reflecting the dollar's intrinsic strength, further corroborated by solid U.S. economic data and persistently high inflation, with Tokyo's CPI rising to 3.0% year-over-year in December.
In Japan, the government and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintain a cautious stance. The BoJ has emphasized that potential adjustments to monetary policy will depend on wage dynamics and inflation, which is expected to approach the 2% target in 2025. While the minutes of the latest meeting left room for gradual rate hikes, the likelihood of significant actions in the short term appears limited. This strengthens the expectation that the interest rate differential will continue to favor the dollar over the yen in the medium term.
The global geopolitical and macroeconomic context also adds to uncertainty. Recent statements from Japan’s Finance Minister expressing concerns over unilateral and sharp currency market moves suggest potential FX interventions in the event of further yen depreciation. However, such interventions would likely have only a temporary impact, given that structural monetary policy dynamics remain favorable to the dollar.
Investors are closely monitoring upcoming macroeconomic events, including U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (January 10, 2025), which could confirm further strengthening of the U.S. labor market, and the U.S. CPI release (January 15, 2025), which will provide insights into the Fed’s future monetary policy trajectory. The BoJ’s monetary policy meeting is another key event, as any signal of monetary normalization could trigger yen strengthening.
In the short term, the pair is expected to remain near current levels, with a potential test of the 158.07 resistance. In the medium term, the trend remains bullish, supported by the interest rate differential and the strength of the U.S. economy. In the long term, however, potential economic reforms in Japan and global monetary policy normalization could reduce the dollar's appeal against the yen, pushing the exchange rate lower.
EUR/USD: Key Levels to Watch!EUR/USD stabilizes around 1.0400, with low volumes and a cautious market favoring a resilient US Dollar. The technical setup remains bearish: the 20-period moving average acts as dynamic resistance at 1.0470, while the 100 and 200-period moving averages confirm the downward trend. Technical indicators are weak and lack clear direction, highlighting the absence of bullish momentum. Key support is at 1.0370, with immediate resistance levels at 1.0440 and 1.0470.
Fundamentally, the Dollar benefits from a stronger US economy and expectations of less accommodative monetary policies, while the Euro faces pressure from weak sentiment and uncertain economic prospects in the Eurozone. Key events, such as the Global Outlook Report and the FOMC meeting in January, could increase volatility.
In the short term, the outlook remains bearish with the risk of approaching parity. However, the medium and long term could offer buying opportunities, supported by potential economic recovery in Europe and a weaker Dollar after the peak in US interest rates.
Gold Price Consolidates Near $2,620The gold price (XAU/USD) is in a consolidation phase around $2,620.00, showing a recovery session from previous declines, although trading volumes remain light due to the upcoming New Year holiday.
On the support side, key levels are found at the exponential moving averages ($2,625 and $2,630), with a risk of further bearish pressure if these levels are breached, potentially driving the price toward the monthly low of $2,580. Uncertainties tied to the economic policies of the incoming Trump administration and the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on rate cuts for 2025 represent a mix of potential bullish and bearish catalysts. The precious metal could benefit from safe-haven demand in the context of escalating geopolitical tensions, such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict and ongoing unrest in the Middle East, which continue to fuel risk aversion sentiment.
Gold closed 2024 with a 27% gain, driven by central bank purchases, geopolitical tensions, and accommodative monetary policies. However, the strengthening dollar and higher U.S. Treasury yields have capped further advances. The Dollar Index (DXY) remains near its highs, but the decline in 2- and 10-year Treasury yields could support the metal despite the outlook for more limited rate cuts in the coming year.
#Nifty50 Outlook for upcoming week 30-3rd Jan 2025The Nifty roared this week, gaining a solid 226 points, closing at a strong 23813! It reached a peak of 23938 before dipping to 23647. As predicted, the Nifty stayed within the 24100-23000 range, forming an interesting inside candle pattern. Excitingly, a bullish "W" pattern has emerged on the weekly chart!
If the Nifty can hold above the crucial 23900 level next week, we could see it trading between 24300 and 23400 . However, while a bounce is expected, the bearish Monthly chart might tempt big players to unload their positions. Stay alert!
Across the pond, the S&P500 took a 2.5% hit, closing at 5970 after reaching a high of 6049. The 5870-5850 support zone is critical. A breach could trigger a faster selloff, potentially testing the 5637/5551 support levels. For an upward move, the S&P500 needs to conquer 6050, paving the way for resistance levels at 6094/6142/6225.
Bottom line: Use any bounce next week as an opportunity to lock in profits. Stay informed and trade wisely!"
Wishing everyone a very happy & prosperous New Year.
HAWK - Full speed decline, what a piece of junkWhat a trajedy. Sorry if you're one of the unlucky ones who have lost money here. It just shows that technical analysis, a steady hand and an a total side-stepping of FOMO is critical when trading. This coin is trash and I'll give anyone who has lost any money a number of free signals and charts to support them in their journey back to the big city lights. So sad, but it's going to plump 0 where it'll most likely be delisted and sold for spare parts. Follow for more.
Master High-Probability Breakouts with the GOLDEN Trading SystemWelcome to the GOLDEN Trading System (GTS) – a custom-designed strategy tailored for traders seeking high-probability breakout opportunities. Built on the foundation of TradingView's powerful indicators, GTS focuses on leveraging Camarilla Pivot Levels (H3-H4 and L3-L4) to spot and act on potential market trends. Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, this system simplifies the complexity of technical analysis, giving you an edge in the markets.
Core Elements of the Strategy.
1. Key Levels to Watch:
Green Band (H3-H4):
Represents a resistance zone where bullish breakouts are likely to occur. A confirmed breakout above H4 often leads to a strong upward trend.
Red Band (L3-L4):
Acts as a support zone, signaling potential bearish moves when broken. A confirmed breakdown below L4 generally triggers a downward trend.
2. The Breakout Concept:
When the price crosses either of these bands, it indicates a potential shift in market dynamics:
Bullish Breakout: Price breaks above the Green Band, suggesting buyers have gained control.
Bearish Breakout: Price breaks below the Red Band, signaling sellers have the upper hand.
Why This Strategy Works?
High Probability: Camarilla Pivot Levels are widely respected by traders, making breakouts from these zones more reliable.
Trend Confirmation: The system minimizes false signals by focusing on specific breakout levels instead of broader zones.
Clear Entry/Exit Points: You can easily determine when to enter a trade and set stop-loss or take-profit levels.
How to Use the GOLDEN Trading System?
Identify the Bands: Look for the Green Band (H3-H4) and Red Band (L3-L4) on your chart.
Watch for Breakouts:
Enter a long position when the price closes decisively above the Green Band (H4).
Enter a short position when the price closes decisively below the Red Band (L4).
Manage Your Risk:
Use the opposite band (L3 or H3) as a stop-loss level to protect your trade.
Consider trailing your stop-loss as the trend progresses.
Add Confirmation: For greater accuracy, combine this strategy with other tools such as volume spikes, candlestick patterns, or higher timeframe trend analysis.
Case Study Example:
Take a closer look at the chart provided:
The price broke below the Red Band (L3-L4), confirming a bearish breakout.
Post-breakout, the price continued its downtrend, offering a high-reward opportunity for short-sellers.
By adhering to the system's clear breakout rules, you could have entered the trade early and capitalized on the trend with confidence.
Benefits of the GOLDEN Trading System:
Simplicity: Focuses on straightforward rules, making it beginner-friendly.
Consistency: Reduces emotional trading by adhering to defined breakout zones.
Scalability: Works across multiple timeframes and markets, including indices, stocks, and commodities.
Pro Tip for Advanced Traders:
Combine GTS with volume analysis, RSI divergence, or moving averages to add layers of confirmation to your trades. This helps filter out false breakouts and improves your win rate.
Join the GTS movement and elevate your trading game today! Share your feedback, results, and tweaks to make the strategy even better. Happy trading! 🚀
Potential Bullish Cypher on GBPUSD Daily Chart
Hello guys, hope you guys are doing great.
I see a potential bullish cypher on GBPUSD daily chart. All the measurements are checked.
Price is reacting from a Weekly and Daily Key Level with multiple touches and Rejection showing bullish momentum.
Considering the date and period price is reacting from this Key level is very important to me based on my strategy and how I swing trade.
The potential downside to this setup is that, we might continue to see the pound going lower and testing key levels below. then we review and look out for another trading opportunity.
Till that happens. the above setup still holds to at atleast 0.382 TP1 (___ Price Level).
I will keep you guys updated going forward on this pair into the month of January 2025.
All the best guys
Bitcoin Santa rally' buyers step in to drive BTC price to $98K
Bitcoin Santa rally' buyers step in to drive BTC price to FWB:98K and Open Entry Trade.
Bitcoin (BTC) passed $98,000 after the Dec. 24 Wall Street open as "large spot buyers" lifted deflated BTC price action.The latest data from monitoring resource CoinGlass put 24-hour BTC short liquidations at nearly $40 million at the time of writing, with the cross-crypto total at $150 million.
"Nice strength in bitcoin today," fellow analytics account Bitcoindata21 continued alongside a chart showing necessary volume-weight average price (VWAP) levels to reclaim next. Santa rally talk returns as BTC price gains $5,000 Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTCUSD hitting new local highs of $98,020 on Bitstamp.
Up by more than 3% on the day, Bitcoin attracted fresh bids after a shaky start to the week saw a retest of December lows."Yesterday, Bitcoin showed some signs of a relief rally after which price was rejected to almost new lows. Today, Bitcoin is rebounding yet again and once again into the old support," he wrote. "Overall, as long as the previously lost supports turn into new resistance additional downside should be expected. Conversely, a reclaim of these previously lost supports would obviously be bullish."
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