Get started

Strategy!

GBP/CAD at a crossroads: this key level could trigger the drop!My visual analysis highlights a strong multi-timeframe resistance zone (weekly and monthly) between 1.8662 and 1.8779, where price has reacted sharply multiple times. This area, marked in dark burgundy, signals a significant supply zone. Currently, price is trading back in the 1.8350–1.8400 region. Based on my note on the chart ("Looking for a short opportunity on H1"), I’m anticipating a potential short entry from lower timeframes—likely triggered by a structural break or bearish candlestick confirmation. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: If I get a short confirmation around the current area, I’ll be targeting the 1.7900–1.7677 demand zone (highlighted in deep blue), which has previously shown strong bullish reactions. The RSI is also showing signs of potential divergence or overextension, adding weight to the bearish thesis. 🟢 Alternative Scenario: If price decisively breaks above the 1.8780 monthly resistance, we could see an extended bullish move towards levels not currently visible on this chart. 📌 Operational Note: I’ll be looking for entry confirmations on lower timeframes (like H1), with valid reversal patterns or price action triggers, and will manage the position dynamically depending on how price behaves around the 1.79 zone.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
EUR/USD at Key Decision Zone – Breakout or Smart Money Trap?🟢 Current Context Price: 1.13820 USD Trend: Strong bullish structure, with impulsive moves especially in April. Main timeframe: Appears to be daily or weekly, with multi-timeframe zones (1W, 1M marked). 🧱 Key Zones 🔴 Supply Zone (1.13000–1.15000) Well-defined area of historic selling pressure. Price reacted with a temporary drop but bounced right back into it. 🟦 Demand Zone (1.08500–1.10000) Major order block where the current rally was initiated. Price used this as a base to launch higher. ⚫ Lower Supports 1.03600: Weekly support 1.02838: Monthly support Broad accumulation zone (grey box) from which this trend began. 📈 Price Structure Strong breakout above 1.10–1.11 resistance. Currently pulling back inside the supply zone – the dashed arrows hint at potential liquidity sweeps before a continuation to 1.15+. 🔍 Momentum Indicator (likely RSI/CCI) Currently elevated, but not yet in extreme overbought. No clear divergence. Momentum favors bulls. 📊 Scenarios ✅ Bullish: Clean break above 1.14500–1.15000 opens the door to 1.1600 and 1.1800. Wait for a structural retest for safer long entries. ⚠️ Bearish (corrective): Strong rejection from the supply zone → potential pullback to 1.10–1.0850 (blue zone). Only below 1.0850 would a deeper bearish structure toward 1.03600 be confirmed. 🧠 Strategic Note This is a zone of clear smart money activity: liquidity grabs on both ends. Watch how this weekly candle closes – we’re either validating above 1.13 or setting up a trap for late longs.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
2
Crypto Risk Management: The Most Overlooked EdgeIn the thrilling yet unforgiving world of crypto, profit potential is massive—but so is the risk. Every trader or investor enters the space with dreams of 10x gains, but without a solid risk management strategy, many exit just as fast—with a trail of losses. Risk management is the art of protecting your capital while giving yourself the best shot at long-term profitability. It’s not just a skill; it’s a survival strategy. What Are the Risks in Crypto? Crypto markets are unique—24/7, global, and driven by emotion, hype, and tech disruption. With that come several risk categories: Market Risk – Volatile price swings can wipe out unprepared traders. Liquidity Risk – Low-volume coins can be hard to exit during dumps. Regulatory Risk – Government crackdowns or bans (e.g., Binance or XRP cases). Security Risk – Hacks, rug pulls, phishing scams, and smart contract bugs. Operational Risk – Mistakes like sending funds to the wrong address or using faulty bots. These risks aren’t just theoretical—think of the LUNA/UST collapse or the FTX debacle. Billions were lost due to poor risk management at multiple levels. 🧠 Core Principles of Risk Management To stay in the game long-term, you need to adopt some fundamental principles: Preserve capital first, profit later. Risk small, aim big. Never risk more than you can afford to lose. Think in probabilities, not certainties. Be consistent, not lucky. Even the best traders lose—but they survive because they manage their downside better than the rest. 🛠️ Tools & Techniques That Can Save Your Portfolio 1. ✅ Position Sizing Don’t bet your whole stack on one trade. A common approach is to risk 1–2% of your portfolio per trade. That way, even a streak of bad trades won’t destroy your capital. 2. 🛑 Stop-Loss & Take-Profit Always have predefined stop-loss levels to cut losses, and take-profit targets to lock in gains. Trading without a stop-loss is like driving without brakes. 3. 📊 Diversification Spread your investments across different sectors (DeFi, AI, Layer 1s, etc.). Don’t rely on one narrative or one coin. 4. ⚖️ Leverage Control Leverage can amplify gains—and losses. Avoid high leverage unless you’re an experienced trader with a tight plan. 5. 🔁 Portfolio Rebalancing Adjust your allocations periodically. If one asset balloons in value, rebalance to lock in gains and manage exposure. 6. 💵 Using Stablecoins Stablecoins like USDT, USDC, or DAI are great for hedging during volatility. Park profits or prepare dry powder for dips. 🧠 Psychological Risk: The Silent Killer Many traders don’t lose due to bad analysis—they lose to emotions. FOMO leads to buying tops. Fear leads to panic selling bottoms. Revenge trading after losses leads to bigger losses. Greed blinds you from taking profits. The key is discipline. Create a plan, follow it, and review your mistakes objectively. 🚫 Common Mistakes to Avoid Going all-in on one trade or coin Holding through massive drawdowns hoping for a recovery Ignoring stop-losses Overleveraging small positions to “win it all back” Risk management is about avoiding unnecessary pain, not killing your gains. 🧭 Final Thoughts The best traders in crypto aren't those who win big once—they're the ones who survive long enough to win over and over. Risk management is your edge in a market that respects no one. Whether you’re a scalper, swing trader, or long-term HODLer, never forget: capital is your lifeline. Guard it with your strategy, protect it with your plan, and grow it with patience. ✍️ By Green Crypto Empowering traders with analysis, tools, and education. Stay sharp. Stay profitable.
Education
by GreenCryptoTrades
Do You Know the Difference Between an Indicator and a Strategy?A lot of traders jump into Pine Script or apply a script on TradingView without understanding one key difference: Indicators and Strategies are not the same — especially when it comes to real-time performance and backtesting. --- What’s the Key Difference? Indicators Indicators are visual tools designed to help you analyze price action in real time . They do not track trade performance or simulate trades automatically. You can use them to: - Generate signals - Stack confluences - Set custom alerts - Overlay custom visuals on charts Best for: Chart analysis, signal confirmation, and manual or semi-automated alerts. --- Strategies Strategies are built for backtesting . They simulate how your trade logic would have performed historically, using `strategy.entry`, `strategy.exit`, and related functions. They automatically calculate: - Hypothetical P&L - Win/loss ratio - Drawdowns Best for: Validating trade logic, optimizing entries and exits, performance tracking. --- But Here’s the Catch Many traders assume that once a strategy backtest looks good, it will behave exactly the same in live trading. This assumption can lead to poor decision-making. ❌ Why Forward Testing Isn't Perfect When you set alerts based on a strategy, you're asking a backtest engine to behave like a live trading engine — and that’s not what it was designed for. TradingView strategies: - Only execute on candle close - Do not simulate intrabar price action - Do not account for slippage - Do not reflect real-time market volatility So: - Your strategy alert may fire late compared to actual price movement - Your SL/TP may be hit within a candle, but the strategy won’t know until close - You may see better backtest results than what happens live --- Takeaway If you're using strategies with alerts, it’s critical to understand these constraints: TradingView’s strategy engine is optimized for historical testing, not for real-time execution. It provides insight into the validity of your logic — but it’s not a replacement for a live execution engine. Best Practice Recommendations: - Always forward-test on a demo or paper account first - Monitor how alerts perform in real-time - Be ready to adjust parameters based on your asset and timeframe If you need better responsiveness or real-time adaptability, consider using indicators to generate your alerts. Indicators react to price in real time and are often more suitable for live market conditions. --- Final Note Some strategies are built with these limitations in mind. They can still be useful in real-time trading as long as you're aware of how they work. Transparency is key. Backtesting is a guide, not a guarantee. Trade smart, stay informed. Feel free to reach out if you have questions or insights to share!
Education
by infinity3168
Nifty50 Wkly Anlysis – Strong Reversal, But Volatility AheadThe Indian stock market closed the week on an interesting note. The Nifty 50 index ended at 22,828, just 70 points lower than last week's close, after forming a significant bullish reversal from a low of 21,743 to a high of 22,923. As we mentioned in last week's market outlook, a base formation was underway—and this week's price action confirmed it. With the next week being truncated due to market holidays on Monday and Friday, traders should expect increased volatility and sideways movement. Key Technical Levels: Support: 22,200 – This is 50% of this week's candle; a break may bring bearish momentum. Resistance: 23,400 – A close above this could ignite a rally toward 23,900, 24,100, and possibly 24,414. On the global front, the S&P 500 respected the 4,800 support level, rebounding sharply to close at 5,363. However, underlying market weakness remains, so it's a sell-on-rise situation in U.S. equities. Pro Tip: Indian investors should keep an eye out for quality, fundamentally strong stocks. Any correction in the market may offer excellent long-term buying opportunities.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
NeiroETH — Strong Rebound Zone Hit. Big Move Loading?We just tapped into a major demand zone at 0.01532–0.01607, and the reaction was immediate — strong bounce straight off the level. From here, I’m looking for at least a recovery into the mid-range of the descending channel, with potential for much more. Main target — a breakout above the local ATH at 0.01993. More thoughts in my profile @93balaclava Personally I trade on a platform that offers low fees and strong execution. DM me if you're curious.
Long
by Balaclava_Crypto
GBP/JPY at the Edge! Bounce or Breakdown? The weekly chart of GBP/JPY reveals a highly volatile scenario, with a recent bearish expansion pushing the price back toward a key support zone between 185.00 and 188.30 — an area that has been defended multiple times in the past. After an attempted recovery toward the supply zone between 194.00 and 195.00, the pair encountered heavy selling pressure, failing to break out and sharply reversing. From a technical perspective, the move suggests a possible swing failure above local highs, with the current weekly candle confirming a return below resistance. Price action is now within a critical area: if the current support holds, we could see a technical rebound with interim targets at 191.40 and potentially back toward 194.00. However, a breakdown below 185.00 would open the door to deeper correction, with possible extensions toward 182.00 and 180.00 — both zones marked by previous accumulation. The RSI, after dipping into oversold territory, is now attempting a reaction, indicating that buyers are trying to regain control, though the structure remains fragile. Strategically, this phase demands caution: aggressive longs may seek confirmation of reversal above current lows, while bearish traders should closely watch for a confirmed breakdown below support. The 188.30 to 191.40 price range will be key to monitoring the next directional move.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
EUR/GBP: Monthly Resistance Test, Rising Risk of PullbackEUR/GBP has recently shown a strong bullish acceleration, breaking decisively above the consolidation zone between 0.8285 and 0.8480, and reaching the monthly resistance area around 0.8580–0.8600. This zone, highlighted on the chart with a marked red and grey band, represents a historically significant selling area—already tested earlier this month and revisited again today. The strong upward expansion has been accompanied by an RSI nearing extreme levels, indicating a possible and imminent loss of bullish momentum. From a technical perspective, the current setup reveals an active supply zone that could trigger a pullback, especially if the price fails to close decisively above the weekly and monthly highs. Potential profit-taking may drive the pair back toward the intermediate balance zone around 0.8450–0.8480, which would serve as the first dynamic support level. Only a clear and confirmed breakout above 0.8600 would open the door for further bullish continuation, with targets toward 0.8650 and beyond. Strategically, caution is advised at this stage: traders already long may consider scaling out near resistance, while those eyeing short entries could find opportunities on reversal signals or confirmation of rejection from the current zone.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
XAUUSD NEXT MOVE 1. Double Top Resistance Breakdown The chart suggests a strong double top resistance zone around 3,160 USD. Disruption: If price tests this zone and fails again (creating a third top), a sharp reversal could occur. Implication: Bearish pressure may increase, potentially invalidating the long-term bullish target. 2. Failure to Hold the Bullish Zone Price is hovering above the support for bullish zone (~2,980–3,000 USD). Disruption: A break below this level, especially with volume, could signal trend reversal or deeper correction. Implication: Price might head towards the next unmarked support area below 2,960 USD. 3. Weak Rebound from Current Level The chart projects a “V-shaped” or “W-shaped” recovery. Disruption: If market sentiment is weak, the price may consolidate sideways or drift lower instead of rebounding. Implication: Delayed bullish momentum, potential accumulation phase or even distribution. 4. Fundamental Catalyst Risk Several U.S. economic event icons are marked (likely NFP, CPI, FOMC). Disruption: Any unexpectedly hawkish data or Fed speech can strengthen the USD and suppress gold prices. Implication: Technical patterns may get overridden by macro volatility. 5. Over-Reliance on Horizontal Levels The analysis is heavily based on horizontal S/R zones. Disruption: If market dynamics shift (liquidity hunts, news-driven spikes), price could fake out these zones. Implication: Stop hunts and liquidity grabs could trap traders expecting clean technical moves.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
EUR/USD: What to Expect - Trump vs FED!The EUR/USD has recently shown a recovery phase after reaching the late-September high near 1.1150 last Thursday, initially supported by the weakness of the US dollar following fears of stagflation in the United States, fueled by tariff announcements from President Trump. However, the scenario changed rapidly after the release of Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data and Jerome Powell’s speech last Friday. Employment data showed NFP growth in line with expectations, but also an increase in the unemployment rate, signaling a less solid labor market than anticipated. During his speech, Powell expressed concerns about the resilience of the US economy, highlighting the risk of an economic slowdown while at the same time reiterating the focus on inflation, maintaining a cautious approach regarding further monetary easing policies. From a technical perspective, the chart shows that the area around 1.0980-1.1000 represents a crucial zone to assess the sustainability of the bullish trend. A daily close above this level could trigger a new upward push towards the highs of 1.1100 and subsequently 1.1150, especially if supported by further signs of dollar weakness or positive European economic data. If the EUR/USD fails to hold above 1.1000, we could see a pullback towards the support at 1.0950 and subsequently 1.0900. The critical support area on the chart is identified between 1.0360 and 1.0280, and a break below these levels would indicate a significant change in market sentiment.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
Secure profits of SHORTAbsolutely — let’s dig in **properly** now. You’re right: the **last active signal is SHORT**, not long, and that **matters a lot** right now. Let me break this down with full precision and give you exactly what’s happening, why it matters, and what **smart money and miners might be scheming** right now. --- ## 🔥 **BitcoinMF PRO Market Analysis – April 6, 2025** **Chart: BTCUSDT (1D) | Bybit | BitcoinMF PRO ver 2.4 + Fisher + Linear Regression + Error Bands** --- ### 📍 **1. Most Recent Signal: SHORT** - ✅ **Last BitcoinMF PRO Signal:** **Short** - 🎯 Entry was likely between **$84,000–$86,000** - 📉 Current Price: **$79,723** - ✅ **Trade is in Profit** - 📛 But here’s the catch: **price is sitting just above the LR channel bottom** and **volume is drying up** — **do NOT get greedy here.** --- ## 💣 Why It’s **CRUCIAL to Secure Profits Now** We're bouncing **near the lower band of the long-term Linear Regression (LR) channel**, which has: - 🔹 Rejected price in mid-2023 (as resistance) - ✅ Caught price cleanly in **Nov 2023**, **Jan 2024**, and **March 2025** This level is not just “technical fluff” — it’s where **smart money buys** and **weak shorts get wrecked** if they overstay. 🧠 **Bottom Line:** If you're short from $84K+, you're already +5–6%. Secure partials, trail your SL, or exit. **Smart money doesn’t wait for a full reversal to stop them out.** --- ## 📉 **Fisher Transform Analysis (Bottom Indicator)** - 🟦 Current Fisher Signal: Crossing upward - 🔻 Fisher Level: **Oversold** - 📊 Qualitative Reading: **Super Low** ➡️ This means momentum **is already shifting**, and a **bounce** is becoming increasingly likely. It’s not an entry zone for fresh shorts — it's where you **prepare for a bullish fakeout or reversal**. --- ## 📏 Linear Regression Channel (Macro Bull Trend Still Intact) - Price **hasn’t broken below** the long-term LR channel. - This is a **critical inflection zone**. - A decisive break below $76,600 would flip **macro trend structure** bearish. So unless you believe we’re entering **a full bear cycle**, this is the **lowest-probability area to initiate fresh shorts.** --- ### ⚒️ **MINERS: Strategy Watch** Here’s where it gets interesting. With **Trump’s new proposed tariffs on China and crypto hardware components**, miners are under pressure: #### 🇺🇸 Trump’s Tariff Impact: - New **25% import duties** on mining rigs, ASICs, and cooling units could: - Inflate **capex costs** for American miners - Force miners to **shift operations overseas** or **delay hardware upgrades** #### 🧠 What Smart Miners May Do Now: 1. **Dump some BTC here** to shore up liquidity before summer tariffs take effect. 2. Use **OTC desks** to sell without crashing market. 3. **Pause major expansions** → reduce network hash → reduce mining difficulty → short-term pressure release on price. 💥 Miners selling **just before key support zones** (like where we are now) often triggers short traps → **fueling bounces**. --- ## 🔮 Fibonacci Zone Breakdown | Level | Type | |--------------|-----------| | $102,148 | Major Resistance (1.618 ext) | | $96,190 | Heavy Supply | | $91,082 | Pre-breakdown Zone | | $85,000 | Immediate Resistance | | **$78,314** | ⚠️ Stop Loss Zone | | $76,687 | LR Bottom Support | | $71,739 | Max Drawdown Zone | | $69,967 | Flash Crash Catch | We’re hovering **right above $78,314–$76,687** → this is **liquidity magnet territory**. --- ## 🐋 Whale Activity & Volume Psychology - 📉 Volume = Decreasing - 🧠 Smart money never sells heavy near the bottom of trend channels. - Likely outcome: **Sideways compression → fake breakdown → bounce → liquidity sweep** Contrarians are already scaling into **early longs** with tight SLs below $76K. --- ## ✅ Market Setup Summary | Aspect | Status / Insight | |---------------------------|--------------------------------------------------| | 🟢 Signal | ✅ **Short** (Active, Profitable) | | 🎯 Fisher | Oversold → **Reversal Zone** | | 📉 Volume | Declining = Potential Bear Trap | | 📏 LR Channel | Testing Macro Bull Support | | 🪓 Trump Tariffs | Pressuring Miners → Strategic Sell Risk | | 💰 Miners | May hedge or dump here before tariff damage | --- ## 🤖 Most Probable Move: Bounce or Fake Breakdown 📊 **Probability Rating:** **6.5/10 for Bullish Reversal** (Bounce or sideways grind before decision at $76.6K) **Why?** - Profitable short signals - Oversold Fisher - Near LR support - Shrinking volume - Potential miner hedge flows for more checks links in profile.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitcoinMF
1
WOW Two +2,000% stocks during crash week? $ICCT and $AREBNASDAQ:ICCT from $0.33 to $7.60 🚀 NASDAQ:AREB from $1.15 to $22.80 🚀 🚨 7 Buy Alerts sent out on ICCT this week, first two at $0.75! Wrote and posted about them continually through the week 14 Trades made total this week 12 Wins ✅ 2 Losses ❌ TOTAL Week: +121.4% realized profit 💯 Not counting CBOE:UVXY swing pick buy alert at $21.65 reaching $41+ also posted many times in trading view chats Monday: +46.2% Tuesday: +17.7% Wednesday: +34.1% Thursday: +14.4% Friday: +9.0% Total March: +358.0% awesome month thanks to many big movers triggering. The overall market turn is helping bring more volume to our type of stocks which showed nicely with AREB, normally when you see a stock like that do $4 to $20 in a day and drop to $10 it's over, but with all green-hungry traders out there they bought it right back up to new highs bove $20 again. Expect more of such power next week. All of trade alerts fully verified with timestamps in chat ✅
NASDAQ:ICCT
by ProfitTradeRoom
BTC 4H Technical & Fundamental AnalysisTRUMP EFFECT & RESISTANCE DENIAL CRYPTOCAP:BTC 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis As we expected, Bitcoin reached the upper band of the falling channel (approximately $88,000), touched the red resistance circle and then experienced a strong rejection. The timing of this technical rejection is no coincidence. Last night, former US President Donald Trump's announcement that he would impose new customs duties on all countries of the world created a risk-off mood in the markets . In particular, global uncertainty and protectionist policies triggered selling pressure in risk assets such as Bitcoin. Technically: 🔸RSI still has no obvious negative mismatch. 🔸However, since the price cannot break the upper band of the falling channel, this region continues to work as a selling zone for now. If this retracement movement deepens, the first major support level of $73.777 , followed by the $69.000 line may come to the agenda. On the other hand, if the price manages to regain strength and break this zone in volume, there may be a rapid movement to the GETTEX:92K - $95K band. In short, Technical resistance + Trump news effect combined, we can say that the market has stepped back for now. From now on, volume and news flow will be directional. #btc #Bitcoin #crypto #cryptocurrency
by ugurtash
1
VISUAL INVESTOR: An Investing Tutorial for EveryoneToday is a wonderful day! I am overwhelmed with positive emotions, like a racer who has crossed the finish line. My first book, The Visual Investor, is out on TradingView. It's written for everyone, from those just starting out in the stock market to experienced investors. You could say you're holding it in your hands now. The idea for this book came to me a long time ago, thanks to the influence of one person, as well as my invisible teachers: Benjamin Graham, Warren Buffett, Charles Munger, Peter Lynch and Mohnish Pabrai. Day after day, I worked on the content of chapters, charts, tables, and drawings to take you from theoretical foundations to applied knowledge that allows you to answer the key questions of any investor: What? When? And how much? My motivators, namely you, dear subscribers and the TradingView editorial team, also made an invaluable contribution to the creation of this book. Every kind word, constructive criticism and award in the form of “Editors’ Picks” made me happier and helped me to create further. Why “Visual Investor”? This is my reverence for the technologies we have come to now. The modern investor has incredible opportunities compared to our colleagues, even from the beginning of the 21st century. Access to companies' financial data has become an order of magnitude easier, and their visualization allows for fundamental analysis to be done much faster than before. Global financial centers are now much closer to investors from different countries, thanks to the development of local regulation, active work of financial institutions and services. All this has expanded the range of investment instruments and formed a new way of life for our savings. A modern person may not be a passive observer of fluctuations in the purchasing power of his own capital. On the contrary, he can independently make decisions to increase this capacity, using technology and a systematic approach. Unfortunately, unmanaged savings will suffer the unenviable fate of the hundred dollar bill from the beginning of the last century. This chart shows how the $100 bill has depreciated since 1914 due to inflation. By the beginning of the First World War, the monthly salary of a highly skilled worker or employee could reach exactly this amount. If your super-rich great-great-grandfather buried a chest of these bills, and you found it, you'd probably be furious with him. Because $100 now is like $2 then. “Dear Grandpa, why didn’t you buy something from that list ?” you might say in your heart. However, we must give credit to our hero, as the propensity to save is a skill that any investor should start with, and something I talk about in the early chapters of my book. As Charles Munger said, “I was a cautious little squirrel who hoarded more nuts than I needed and didn’t climb into my own pile of nuts.” The book is divided into three parts, allowing you to start with any of them, depending on your current level of knowledge. Part One This part will be interesting to anyone who wants to understand why we need investments, what a joint-stock company and a stock exchange are, how the price and its schedule are formed. Duration of study: 3 hours 15 minutes. Part two This part will be of interest to anyone who already knows the basics of stock trading but wants to understand the fundamental analysis of a company's business. Duration of study: 5 hours. Part three This part will be of interest to anyone who understands the financial statements of companies and wants to build a decision-making system on the stock market based on this knowledge. Duration of study: 11 hours. I recommend reading the book “Visual Investor” thoughtfully, with pauses to understand each chapter. It is precisely with this measured pace in mind that the estimated duration of study for each block and each article has been calculated. You can move faster if you like. If you devote 1 hour a day to the book, then after 20 days you will be able to master the entire theory. Don't rush to apply the knowledge immediately you've gained in real life. TradingView has great tools for hands-on research, such as the Market Simulator and Paper Trading, that will help you solidify your knowledge without risking your capital. Similarly, civil aviation pilots train on a flight simulator before their first flight. Remember that your knowledge, systematic approach, persistence and a pinch of luck can transform everything around you. But if you still need my support, I'm here. Yours, Capy. Part One 1. Investing is the ability to say "no" so that you can say "yes" The reader will learn that investing is a conscious skill of foregoing immediate spending in favor of greater value in the future, based on strategy, patience, and an understanding of the difference between investing and speculation. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 2. Raising initial capital: 4 approaches, of which one is not good The reader will learn about four ways to form start-up capital for investments, and why borrowed money is the least sensible of them. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 3. The lifestyle of your savings, and why Big Mac? The reader will learn that investing is a conscious way to preserve and increase the purchasing power of savings, in which the level of potential profit is always proportional to the risk taken. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 4. What is a stock? Let me tell you a story Using the example of a shoe workshop owner, the reader will learn how companies issue shares to raise capital and expand their business. Duration of study: 15 minutes.​​ 5. Stock Company. Selling something that no one will buy piecemeal Using the same example, the reader is explained the process of transforming a company into a joint-stock company and conducting an IPO to attract investment. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 6. I dream of entering the stock market. The question is: What for? The reader learns that going public is a way for a company to make its shares available to a wider range of investors, increase liquidity, and simplify the process of raising capital. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 7. How is the share price formed on the stock exchange? We do it The reader will learn how the price of a stock is formed on the stock exchange through the mechanism of bids from buyers and sellers, reflecting the balance of supply and demand. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 8. Bid/Offer: The Yin and Yang of Stock Prices The reader will learn how buy (bid) and sell (offer) orders from the order book on the exchange, determining the mechanism for concluding transactions and the formation of the market price. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 9. Market order or the hunger games of stock trading The reader will learn that market orders allow shares to be bought or sold immediately without specifying a price, satisfying the current demand or offer at prices available in the order book. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 10. The birth of the chart. The evolution of the tape The reader will learn how price movement charts are formed from the stock exchange quotes feed and will see historical examples of the evolution of methods for displaying market data. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 11. Japanese Candlesticks: Game of Body and Shadows The reader will learn how Japanese candlesticks are constructed, including determining the opening, closing, high, and low prices for a selected time interval, as well as the importance of the candlestick body and shadows in analyzing price movements.​ Duration of study: 20 minutes. 12. A little bit about volumes and the master of all averages The reader will learn how to analyze trading volumes and use a 252-day moving average to evaluate stock price movements. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 13. My Three Comrades: the Chart, the Screener, and the Watchlist The reader will learn step-by-step how to use the TradingView platform's chart, screener, and watchlist features to find and track stocks even if he doesn't know the company's ticker. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 14. Two captains of the same ship The reader will learn how to use fundamental analysis to assess a company's financial strength by adding financial indicators to a chart in TradingView, and why the author prefers this method over technical analysis. Duration of study: 15 minutes. Part two 15. My crazy partner is Mr. Market! The reader will learn about the concept of "Mr. Market" introduced by Benjamin Graham, which illustrates the irrationality of market behavior and emphasizes the importance of fundamental analysis in making sound investment decisions. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 16. Picking rules - the Lynch method The reader will learn about Peter Lynch's investment principles, including the benefits of private investors, the importance of a financial safety net, the need to understand a company's performance before investing, and the importance of analyzing its earnings.​ Duration of study: 15 minutes. 17. A pill for missed opportunities The reader will learn how to set up alerts in TradingView to react promptly to changes in stock prices, thereby avoiding missing profitable opportunities to buy or sell. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 18. Man on the shoulders of giants The reader learns the story of an Indian engineer who, after starting to invest in his 30s, achieved significant success, emphasizing the importance of self-education and inspiration from eminent investors. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 19. Price is what you pay, but value is what you get The reader will learn about Warren Buffett's approach to investing based on the difference between price and the intrinsic value of a company, and the importance of fundamental analysis in making investment decisions. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 20. Balance sheet: taking the first steps The reader will learn about the structure of the balance sheet, including the concepts of assets, liabilities, and equity. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 21. Assets I prioritize The reader will learn which balance sheet items are most important for assessing a company's sales performance, and why the author focuses on cash, accounts receivable, and inventory when analyzing current assets. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 22. A sense of debt The reader will learn about the structure of liabilities and shareholders' equity on a company's balance sheet, including the differences between short-term and long-term debt, and will understand how to analyze debt burden when assessing a company's financial health. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 23. At the beginning was the Equity The reader will learn about a company's capital structure, including the concepts of retained earnings and return on investment, and will understand how these items are reflected in the balance sheet. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 24. The income statement: the place where profit lives The reader will learn about the structure of a company's income statement, including key indicators: revenue, cost, gross and operating profit, as well as the importance of these metrics for assessing the financial condition of the enterprise and their impact on the dynamics of stock prices. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 25. My precious-s-s-s EPS The reader learns that earnings per share (EPS) is calculated as net income available to common shareholders divided by the number of common shares outstanding, and that diluted EPS considers potential increases in the share count due to employee options and other factors that affect earnings distributions. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 26. What should I look at in the Income statement? The reader will learn which key income statement metrics — such as revenue, gross profit, operating expenses, debt service expense, net income, and diluted earnings per share (EPS Diluted) — the author believes are most important for assessing a company's financial health. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 27. Cash flow statement or Three great rivers The reader will learn about the structure of the cash flow statement, which includes three main flows: operating, financial and investing, and will understand how these cash flows affect the financial condition of the company. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 28. Cash flow vibrations The reader will learn how to analyze a company's operating, investment, and financial cash flows to assess its sustainability, strategy, and ability to effectively manage resources. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 29. Financial ratios: digesting them together The reader will learn that financial ratios are relations between various financial reporting indicators that allow an objective assessment of the financial condition and value of a company, and will understand how to use key multiples to analyze the investment attractiveness of a business. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 30. What can financial ratios tell us? The reader will learn about key financial ratios such as Diluted EPS, Price/Earnings Ratio (P/E), Gross Margin, Operating Expense Ratio, Return on Equity (ROE), Days Payable and Days Sales Outstanding, and Inventory to Revenue Ratio, and will understand how to use these metrics to assess a company's financial health and investment attractiveness. Duration of study: 30 minutes. Part three 31. Price / Earnings: Interpretation #1 The reader will learn how the P/E (price to earnings) ratio helps assess the value of a company by determining how many dollars an investor pays for each dollar of earnings, and will understand why a lower P/E may indicate that a company is undervalued. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 32. Price/Earnings: amazing interpretation #2 The reader will learn an alternative approach to interpreting the P/E ratio by viewing it as the number of years it takes to break even on an investment, assuming the company's earnings are stable. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 33. How to apply an indicator that is only available upon request? The reader will learn how scripts written in Pine Script work on the TradingView platform and what levels of access there are to them: from completely open to requiring an invitation from the author. The article explains how to request access to an indicator if it is restricted, and what steps to take to add it to a chart once permission is granted. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 34. How to assess the fundamental strength of the company? The reader will learn about the approach to assessing the financial stability of a company through the aggregation of key financial indicators and multipliers, allowing a visual and quantitative assessment of the dynamics and current state of the business. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 35. How to evaluate the work of company management? The reader will learn about the approach to assessing the effectiveness of a company's management through the prism of the concept described by Eliyahu Goldratt in his book "The Goal", which focuses on three key indicators: throughput, inventory and operational expenses, and will understand how these indicators affect the financial results of the enterprise. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 36. How to evaluate the state of a company's cash flows? The reader will learn about the importance of cash flow analysis in assessing a company's financial health, including the interpretation of operating, investing, and financing flows. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 37. How to catch the rainbow by the tail? The reader will learn how to determine optimal price ranges for buying stocks based on the principles of fundamental analysis and the idea of investing with a margin of safety. Duration of study: 40 minutes. 38. How to convert craziness into results? The reader will learn how to navigate market volatility, make smart stock selling decisions, and use a fundamental approach to turn emotional market swings into rational investment actions. Duration of study: 35 minutes. 39. How to use Replay to study indicators? The reader will learn how to use the Market Simulator feature on the TradingView platform to analyze historical data and test indicators, including step-by-step instructions for activating the simulator, selecting the start date, adjusting the playback speed, and interpreting the results when analyzing NVIDIA Corporation stock. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 40. How to explain my decision-making system? The reader will learn about the author's approach to choosing stocks for investment, which includes an analysis of the fundamental strength of the company, cash flow dynamics, news, P/E multiple and other aspects of the decision-making system. Duration of study: 35 minutes. 41. The most subjective facet of my decision-making system The reader will learn how news, although difficult to formalize, influences the investment decision-making process and why its interpretation is the most subjective aspect in stock evaluation. Duration of study: 35 minutes. 42. Full instructions for studying the fundamental strength of a company The reader will learn how to use applied tools to evaluate a company's financial results, visually track their dynamics over time, and analyze the movement of key cash flows, which accelerates the process of selecting companies with strong fundamental indicators. Duration of study: 90 minutes. 43. Full instructions for determining price ranges for opening and closing positions The reader will learn how to determine optimal price ranges and trade sizes when investing in stocks, based on the principles of value investing and Benjamin Graham's "margin of safety" concept. Duration of study: 120 minutes. 44. 10 tricks for developing discipline or here was Warren The reader will learn ten practical methods to help investors develop discipline, including using alerts, keeping a trading journal, and developing good habits, and will understand how discipline affects the achievement of investment goals. Duration of study: 40 minutes. 45. The Inside Out Investor The reader will learn how emotional states such as fear, excitement, and fear of missing out (FOMO) influence investment decisions and will understand how awareness of these emotions helps an investor stick to their chosen strategy and make informed decisions. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 46. Effective inefficiency The reader will learn about the different approaches to using Stop Losses in investment strategies, their impact on the profit/loss ratio, as well as the concept of market efficiency and strategies in it. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 47. Institute of Intermediation and 24 Coffee Lovers The reader will learn about the factors that create market inefficiencies, such as delays in the dissemination of information, high volatility, the actions of large players and participant errors, as well as the role of intermediaries - brokers and exchanges - in ensuring the efficiency and convenience of trading in financial markets. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 48. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind The reader will learn about the life of Charles Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, his investment philosophy based on common sense and discipline, as well as his views on the importance of personal relationships and moderation in achieving success. Duration of study: 5 minutes.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by Be_Capy
BTC PoV - 48.000$?Bitcoin has recently gone through a period of strong volatility, dropping from a peak of $109,000 in January 2025 to around $85,000, showing a significant decline from its all-time highs. Predictions for Bitcoin’s future are mixed: some analysts, like Geoffrey Kendrick from Standard Chartered, foresee a potential price increase reaching an all-time high of $112,000 to $130,000 in the coming months, driven by factors like evolving regulatory policies and improvements in the macroeconomic environment. However, there are also more pessimistic forecasts warning of a continued decline, primarily linked to uncertainty in trade policies and global instability. In this context, i have identified several strategic support areas for a potential Bitcoin purchase, such as the zones around $76,000, $65,000, $58,000, and $48,000. These levels could represent buying opportunities if the market continues to drop, awaiting a potential rebound. However, if Bitcoin were to fall further below these levels, we could see a greater weakness in the market, leading to devastating losses not just for Bitcoin but for the entire cryptocurrency sector. Larger declines could undermine investor confidence and cause increased volatility, affecting the entire crypto ecosystem. Therefore, while there are bullish scenarios for Bitcoin, it’s crucial to carefully monitor support levels and take into account the uncertainty surrounding the market, adopting a thoughtful investment strategy and weighing the risks carefully.
VANTAGE:BTCUSD
by Generazione_X
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless MindHere you have Charles Thomas Munger, the permanent vice president of one of the most successful companies in the world, Berkshire Hathaway. He was not at the origins of this business, but it was Charles, together with Warren Buffett, who turned a dying enterprise into a star of the world stock market. It didn't take a Master's degree in Business Administration or incredible luck. As Mr. Munger said, to succeed you don't necessarily have to strive to be the smartest, you just have to be not stupid and avoid the standard ways of failure. He worked as a meteorologist, then a lawyer, and finally as someone we know well - an investor who inspired many to take a smart approach to business and their own lives. “I don’t think you should become president or a billionaire because the odds are too great against you. It is much better to set achievable goals. I didn't set out to become rich, I set out to be independent. I just went a little overboard”, Charles joked. Wake up every morning, work hard, be disciplined and surprisingly, everything will work out very well. This commandment sounds a little archaic in times of rapid rise and easy money. However, for anyone who thinks years and decades ahead, it is difficult to come up with something better. Speaking to students at his hometown University of Michigan, Mr. Munger said the most important decision you make in life is not your business career, but your marriage. It will do more good or bad for you than anything else. He attached such great importance to human relationships. This correlates strongly with a study of human happiness that has been ongoing for over 85 years under the auspices of Harvard University. The scientists' main conclusion was that everything we build (portfolios, businesses, strategies) is worthless if there is no person in our lives to whom we can say a simple “I'm here”. Or “Thank you”. Or “I love you”. The healthiest and happiest in old age were not those subjects who earned the most. And those who have maintained good, trusting relationships. Marital. Friendly. Related. And in this light, Charles Munger's words about caution, moderation and common-sense sound quite different. It's not about money. It's about a life that can be lived with the feeling that you have enough. That you don't have to be a hero. That you can just be a reasonable person. Loving. Healthy. Calm. Perhaps this is the main secret of Mr. Munger's success in the stock market? In the long run, the one who has already won achieves a positive result. November 28th, 2023, was the last day of the cheerful Charlie's life. There were 34 days left until his 100th birthday.
NYSE:BRK.AEducation
by Be_Capy