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Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless MindHere you have Charles Thomas Munger, the permanent vice president of one of the most successful companies in the world, Berkshire Hathaway. He was not at the origins of this business, but it was Charles, together with Warren Buffett, who turned a dying enterprise into a star of the world stock market. It didn't take a Master's degree in Business Administration or incredible luck. As Mr. Munger said, to succeed you don't necessarily have to strive to be the smartest, you just have to be not stupid and avoid the standard ways of failure. He worked as a meteorologist, then a lawyer, and finally as someone we know well - an investor who inspired many to take a smart approach to business and their own lives. “I don’t think you should become president or a billionaire because the odds are too great against you. It is much better to set achievable goals. I didn't set out to become rich, I set out to be independent. I just went a little overboard”, Charles joked. Wake up every morning, work hard, be disciplined and surprisingly, everything will work out very well. This commandment sounds a little archaic in times of rapid rise and easy money. However, for anyone who thinks years and decades ahead, it is difficult to come up with something better. Speaking to students at his hometown University of Michigan, Mr. Munger said the most important decision you make in life is not your business career, but your marriage. It will do more good or bad for you than anything else. He attached such great importance to human relationships. This correlates strongly with a study of human happiness that has been ongoing for over 85 years under the auspices of Harvard University. The scientists' main conclusion was that everything we build (portfolios, businesses, strategies) is worthless if there is no person in our lives to whom we can say a simple “I'm here”. Or “Thank you”. Or “I love you”. The healthiest and happiest in old age were not those subjects who earned the most. And those who have maintained good, trusting relationships. Marital. Friendly. Related. And in this light, Charles Munger's words about caution, moderation and common-sense sound quite different. It's not about money. It's about a life that can be lived with the feeling that you have enough. That you don't have to be a hero. That you can just be a reasonable person. Loving. Healthy. Calm. Perhaps this is the main secret of Mr. Munger's success in the stock market? In the long run, the one who has already won achieves a positive result. November 28th, 2023, was the last day of the cheerful Charlie's life. There were 34 days left until his 100th birthday.
NYSE:BRK.AEducation
by Be_Capy
BTC PoV - 48.000$?Bitcoin has recently gone through a period of strong volatility, dropping from a peak of $109,000 in January 2025 to around $85,000, showing a significant decline from its all-time highs. Predictions for Bitcoin’s future are mixed: some analysts, like Geoffrey Kendrick from Standard Chartered, foresee a potential price increase reaching an all-time high of $112,000 to $130,000 in the coming months, driven by factors like evolving regulatory policies and improvements in the macroeconomic environment. However, there are also more pessimistic forecasts warning of a continued decline, primarily linked to uncertainty in trade policies and global instability. In this context, i have identified several strategic support areas for a potential Bitcoin purchase, such as the zones around $76,000, $65,000, $58,000, and $48,000. These levels could represent buying opportunities if the market continues to drop, awaiting a potential rebound. However, if Bitcoin were to fall further below these levels, we could see a greater weakness in the market, leading to devastating losses not just for Bitcoin but for the entire cryptocurrency sector. Larger declines could undermine investor confidence and cause increased volatility, affecting the entire crypto ecosystem. Therefore, while there are bullish scenarios for Bitcoin, it’s crucial to carefully monitor support levels and take into account the uncertainty surrounding the market, adopting a thoughtful investment strategy and weighing the risks carefully.
VANTAGE:BTCUSD
by Generazione_X
XAUUSD SELL NEXT MOVE STRATEGY DOWN Potential Bullish Scenario The analysis assumes a strong downward move, but buyers could defend key support levels, especially near strategy support and double-top strong support. If the price holds above these levels and forms a reversal pattern (like a double bottom or bullish engulfing candle), we could see a rally back to sell zone and double top resistance. 2. Market Structure Shift The assumption here is a continuation of the downtrend, but a breakout above the resistance zones could invalidate this bearish bias. A fake breakdown below support could trap sellers and fuel a short squeeze rally. 3. Fundamentals & News Events If there’s any fundamental catalyst (e.g., Fed announcement, inflation data, geopolitical tension), the market could reverse direction unexpectedly. Gold tends to react strongly to macroeconomic events, so technical analysis alone might not be enough to predict the next move
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
XAUUSD BUY again all time high 1. Resistance Zones: The chart identifies multiple resistance levels, including a double-top resistance. However, if gold strongly breaks above the resistance, it may invalidate the bearish double-top pattern 2. Trendline Support: The trendline support is correctly identified, but trendlines are subjective. If broken, it could signal a trend reversal rather than a bounce. 3. Expected Price Movement: The projected price action assumes a pullback before continuing upwards, which is reasonable. However, the red arrow suggests a potential drop, which contradicts the bullish expectation. 4. Fundamental Factors: Gold is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical risks). Ignoring these could make the analysis incomplete
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
Institute of Intermediation and 24 Coffee LoversWhen the market is efficient, the most efficient strategy will yield zero financial return for the investor. Therefore, firstly, it is necessary to strive to find inefficiencies in the market itself to apply a strategy that will be effective for it. What creates market inefficiency? First, there are delays in disseminating important information about the company, such as the approval of a contract with a major customer or an accident at a plant. If current and potential investors do not receive this information immediately, the market becomes inefficient at the time such an event occurs. In other words, objective reality is not considered by market participants. This makes the stock price obsolete. Secondly, the market becomes inefficient during periods of high volatility. I would describe it this way: when uncertainty hits everyone, emotions become the main force influencing prices. At such times, the market value of a company can change significantly within a single day. Investors have too many different assessments of what is happening to find the necessary balance. Volatility can be triggered by the bankruptcy of a systemically important company (for example, as happened with Lehman Brothers), the outbreak of military action, or a natural disaster. Third, there is the massive action of large players in a limited market - a "bull in a china shop" situation. A great example is the story of 2021, when the Reddit community drove up the price of GameStop shares, forcing hedge funds to cover their short positions at sky-high prices. Fourthly, these are ineffective strategies of the market participants themselves. On August 1, 2012, American stock market trading company Knight Capital caused abnormal volatility in more than 100 stocks by sending millions of orders to the exchange over a 45-minute period. For example, Wizzard Software Corporation shares rose from $3.50 to $14.76. This behavior was caused by a bug in the code that Knight Capital used for algorithmic trading. The combination of these and other factors creates inefficiencies that are exploited by trained traders or investors to make a profit. However, there are market participants who receive their income in any market. They are above the fray and are engaged in supporting and developing the infrastructure itself. In mathematics, there is a concept called a “zero-sum game”. This is any game where the sum of the possible gains is equal to the sum of the losses. For example, the derivatives market is a perfect embodiment of a zero-sum game. If someone makes a profit on a futures contract, he always has a partner with a similar loss. However, if you dive deeper, you will realize that this is a negative-sum game, since in addition to profit and loss, there are commissions that you pay to the infrastructure: brokers, exchanges, regulators, etc. To understand the value of these market participants and that you are paying them well, imagine a modern world without them. There is only a company issuing shares and investors in them. Such a company has its own software, and you connect to it via the Internet to buy or sell shares. The company offers you a quote for buying and selling shares ( bid-ask spread ). The asking price ( ask ) will be influenced by the company's desire to offer a price that will help it not lose control over the company, consider all expected income, dividends, etc. The purchase price ( bid ) will be influenced by the company's desire to preserve the cash received in the capital market, as well as to earn money on its own shares by offering a lower price. In general, in such a situation, you will most likely get a huge difference between the purchase and sale prices - a wide bid-ask spread . Of course, the company understands that the wider the bid-ask spread , the less interest investors have in participating in such trading. Therefore, it would be advisable to allow investors to participate in the formation of quotes. In other words, a company can open its order book to anyone who wants to participate. Under such conditions, the bid-ask spread will be narrowed by bids from a wide range of investors. As a result, we will get a situation where each company will have its own order book and its own software to connect to it. From a portfolio investor's perspective, this would be a real nightmare. In such a world, investing in not one, but several companies would require managing multiple applications and accounts for each company at the same time. This will create a demand from investors for one app and one account to manage investments in multiple companies. Such a request will also be supported by the company issuing the shares, as it will allow it to attract investors from other companies. This is where the broker comes in. Now everything is much better and more convenient. Investors get the opportunity to invest in multiple companies through one account and one application, and companies get investors from each other. However, the stock market will still be segmented, as not all brokers will support cooperation with individual companies, for technical or other reasons. The market will be fragmented among many brokerage companies. The logical solution would be to create another market participant that would have contracts with each of the companies and universal software for trading their shares. The only thing is that it will be brokers, not investors, who will connect to such a system. You may have already guessed that this is an exchange. On the one hand, the exchange registers shares of companies, on the other hand, it provides access to trading them through brokers who are its members. Of course, the modern structure of the stock market is more complex: it involves clearing, depository companies, registrars of rights to shares, etc.* The formation of such institutions and their licensing is handled by a regulator, for example, the Securities and Exchange Commission in the United States ( SEC ). As a rule, the regulator is responsible for legislative initiatives in the field of the securities market, licensing of market participants, monitoring violations in the market and supporting its efficiency, protecting investors from unfair manipulation. *Clearing services are activities to determine, control and fulfill obligations under transactions of financial market participants. Depository services - services for the storage of securities and the recording of rights to them. Thus, by making a transaction on the exchange, we contribute to the maintenance of this necessary infrastructure. Despite the fashion for decentralization, it is still difficult to imagine how one can ensure speed, convenience and access to a wide range of assets due to the absence of an intermediary institution. The other side of the coin of this institution is infrastructure risk. You can show phenomenal results in the market, but if your broker goes bankrupt, all your efforts will be nullified. Therefore, before choosing an intermediary, it is useful to conduct a mental survey of the person you will be dealing with. Below you will find different types of intermediaries, which I have arranged according to their distance from the central elements of the infrastructure (exchanges, clearing houses, depositories). Prime broker Exchange Membership: mandatory License: mandatory Acceptance and accounting of your funds/shares: mandatory Order execution: mandatory Clearing and depository services: mandatory Marginal services: mandatory Remuneration: commission income from trades, clearing, depository and margin services This category includes well-known financial houses with history and high capitalization. They are easily verified through lists of exchange members, clearing and depository companies. They provide services not only to individuals, but also to banks, funds and next-level brokers. Broker Exchange membership: mandatory License: mandatory Acceptance and accounting of your funds/shares: mandatory Order execution: mandatory Clearing and depository services: on the prime broker side Margin services: on the prime broker side or own Remuneration: commission income from trades and margin services This category includes intermediaries with a focus on order routing. They delegate participation in depository and clearing services to a prime broker. However, such brokers can also be easily verified in the lists of exchange members. Sub-broker Exchange Membership: no License: mandatory Acceptance and accounting of your funds/shares: mandatory Order execution: on the broker or prime broker side Clearing and depository services: on the prime broker side Margin services: on the broker or prime broker side Remuneration: commission income from trades This category includes brokers who have a brokerage license in their country, but do not have membership in foreign exchanges. To provide trading services on these exchanges, they enter into agreements with brokers or prime brokers from another country. They can be easily verified by license on the website of the regulator of the country of registration. Introducing Broker Exchange Membership: no License: optional, depending on the country of regulation Acceptance and accounting of your funds / shares: no Order execution: on the side of the sub-broker, broker or prime broker Clearing and depository services: on the prime broker side Margin services: on the broker or prime broker side Remuneration: commission income for the attracted client and/or a share of the commissions paid by them This category includes companies that are not members of the exchange. Their activities may not require a license, since they do not accept funds from clients, but only assist in opening an account with one of the top-tier brokers. This is a less transparent level, since such an intermediary cannot be verified through the exchange and regulator’s website (unless licensing is required). Therefore, if an intermediary of this level asks you to transfer some money to his account, most likely you are dealing with a fraudster. All four categories of participants are typical for the stock market. Its advantage over the over-the-counter market is that you can always check the financial instrument on the exchange website, as well as those who provide services for its trading (membership - on the exchange website, license - on the regulator's website). Pay attention to the country of origin of the broker's license. You will receive maximum protection in the country where you have citizenship. In case of any claims against the broker, communication with the regulator of another country may be difficult. As for the over-the-counter market, this segment typically trades shares of small-cap companies (not listed on the exchange), complex derivatives and contracts for difference ( CFD ). This is a market where dealers rule, not brokers and exchanges. Unlike a broker, they sell you their open position, often with a lot of leverage. Therefore, trading with a dealer is a priori a more significant risk. In conclusion, it should be noted that the institution of intermediation plays a key role in the development of the stock market. It arose as a natural need of its participants for concentration of supply and demand, greater speed and security of financial transactions. To get a feel for this, let me tell you a story. New Amsterdam, 1640s A warm wind from the Hudson brought the smell of salt and freshly cut wood. The damp logs of the palisade, dug into the ground along the northern boundary of the settlement, smelled of resin and new hopes. Here, on the edge of civilization, where Dutch colonists were reclaiming their homes and future fortunes from the wild forest, everything was built quickly, but with a view to lasting for centuries. The wooden wall built around the northern border of the town was not only a defense against raids, but also a symbol. A symbol of the border between order and chaos, between the ambitions of European settlers and the freedom of these lands. Over the years, the fortification evolved into a real fortification: by 1653, Peter Stuyvesant, appointed governor of New Netherland by the West India Company, ordered the wall to be reinforced with a palisade. It was now twelve feet high, and armed sentries stood on guard towers. But even the strongest walls do not last forever. Half a century after their construction, in 1685, a road was built along the powerful palisade. The street received a simple and logical name - Wall Street. It soon became a bustling commercial artery for the growing city. In 1699, when the English authorities had already established themselves here finally, the wall was dismantled. She disappeared, but Wall Street remained. A century has passed Now, at the end of the 18th century, there were no walls or guard towers on this street. Instead, a plane tree grew here - a large, spreading one, the only witness to the times when the Dutch still owned this city. Traders, dealers, and sea captains met under its shadow. Opposite the buttonwood tree stood the Tontine Coffee House, a place where not just respectable people gathered, but those who understood that money makes this world go round. They exchanged securities right on the pavement, negotiated over a cup of steaming coffee, and discussed deals that could change someone's fate. Decisions were made quickly - a word, backed up by a handshake, was enough. It was a time when honor was worth more than gold. But the world was changing. The volume of trades grew, and chaos demanded rules. May 17, 1792 That spring day turned out to be decisive. Under the branches of an old buttonwood tree, 24 New York brokers gathered to start a new order. The paper they signed contained only two points: trades are made only between their own, without auctioneers, and the commission is fixed at 0.25%. The document was short but historic. It was called the Buttonwood Agreement, after the tree under which it was signed. Here, amid the smell of fresh coffee and ink, the New York Stock Exchange was born. Soon, deals were being concluded under the new rules. The first papers to be traded were those of The Bank of New York , whose headquarters were just a few steps away at 1 Wall Street. Thus, under the shade of an old tree, the history of Wall Street began. A story that will one day change the whole world. Buttonwood Agreement. A fresco by an unknown artist who adorns the walls of the New York Stock Exchange.
NYSE:BACEducation
by Be_Capy
XAUUSD TRADING STRATEGY BULLISH False Breakout Possibility: The breakout above the resistance level could be a fake-out, leading to a sharp reversal instead of a continued upward movement. A double top at the resistance level may indicate a stronger bearish reversal rather than further bullish momentum. 2. Overextended Trend: The previous strong bullish move could be overextended, leading to exhaustion. A correction or retracement back to trendline support is highly likely. The market could enter a consolidation phase instead of continuing the uptrend immediately. 3. Liquidity Grab Before Drop: Market makers often push prices above key resistance to trigger stop-loss orders before reversing the trend. The price could break resistance temporarily but then drop significantly back into the support zone. 4. Fundamental Factors: If economic news or central bank policies favor the USD, gold (XAUUSD) may weaken instead of continuing its bullish run
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
1
USD/JPY Direction 151 After the BoJ📊 Market Context As of March 18, 2025, the USD/JPY exchange rate stands around 149.38, reaching its highest level since March 5. This movement is driven by expectations regarding upcoming monetary policy decisions from both the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the U.S. Federal Reserve. 🔍 Technical Analysis The technical analysis of USD/JPY highlights the following key points: Current Trend: USD/JPY shows a moderate recovery, with a 0.49% increase on March 17. Key Resistance: The area between 150.00 and 151.00 represents a significant resistance level. A decisive breakout above this zone could pave the way for further gains. Important Supports: Support levels are found at 148.00 and 146.50. A drop below these levels could indicate a deeper correction. Technical Indicators: Moving averages and key oscillators suggest a short-term bullish trend. 🌍 Fundamental Analysis Several fundamental factors are influencing the USD/JPY exchange rate: BoJ Decision: The Bank of Japan recently raised its key interest rate from 0.25% to 0.5%, citing higher wages and rising inflation. However, for today's meeting, the BoJ is expected to keep rates unchanged while assessing the impact of global trade tensions on the Japanese economy. U.S. Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates stable in the upcoming meeting, with the Fed Funds rate projected to remain between 4.25% and 4.5%. Trade Tensions: U.S. trade policies under the Trump administration are creating economic uncertainties, influencing central bank decisions and currency markets. 🎯 Conclusion USD/JPY is currently in a consolidation phase near recent highs. If the BoJ maintains an accommodative monetary policy and the Fed keeps rates stable, the dollar could continue strengthening against the yen, targeting the key resistance level of 151.00. However, uncertainties related to trade tensions and future central bank actions require close monitoring by investors.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
2
Behind the DCA Strategy: What It Is and How It WorksWho invented the Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) investment strategy? The concept of Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) was formalized and popularized by economists and investors throughout the 20th century, particularly with the growth of the U.S. stock market. One of the first to promote this strategy was Benjamin Graham , considered the father of value investing and author of the famous book The Intelligent Investor (published in 1949). Graham highlighted how DCA could help reduce the risk of buying assets at excessively high prices and improve investor discipline. When and How Did Dollar Cost Averaging Originate? The concept of DCA began to take shape in the early decades of the 20th century when financial institutions introduced automatic purchase programs for savers. However, it gained popularity among retail investors in the 1950s and 1960s with the rise of mutual funds. Overview The core principle of DCA involves investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals (e.g., every month. This approach allows investors to purchase more units when prices are low and fewer units when prices are high, thereby reducing the impact of market volatility. Why Was DCA Developed? The strategy was developed to address key challenges faced by investors, including: 1. Reducing Market Timing Risk Investing a fixed amount periodically eliminates the need to predict the perfect market entry point, reducing the risk of buying at peaks. 2. Discipline and Financial Planning DCA helps investors maintain financial discipline, making investments more consistent and predictable. 3. Mitigating Volatility Spreading trades over a long period reduces the impact of market fluctuations and minimizes the risk of experiencing a significant drop immediately after a large investment. 4. Ease of Implementation The strategy is simple to apply and does not require constant market monitoring, making it accessible to all types of investors. Types of DCA Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) is an investment strategy that can be implemented in two main ways: Time-Based DCA → Entries occur at regular intervals regardless of price. Price-Based DCA → Entries occur only when the price meets specific criteria. 1. Time-Based DCA How It Works: The investor buys a fixed amount of an asset at regular intervals (e.g., weekly, monthly). Entries occur regardless of market price. Example: An investor decides to buy $200 worth of Bitcoin every month, without worrying whether the price has gone up or down. 2. Price-Based DCA How It Works: Purchases occur only when the price drops below a predefined threshold. The investor sets price levels at which purchases will be executed (e.g., every -5%). This approach is more selective and allows for buying at a “discount” compared to the market trend. Example: An investor decides to buy $200 worth of Bitcoin only when the price drops by at least 5% compared to the last entry. Challenges and Limitations 1. DCA May Reduce Profits in Bull Markets If the market is in an bullish trend, a single trade may be more profitable than spreading purchases over time or price dips. 2. Does Not Fully Remove Loss Risk DCA helps mitigate volatility but does not protect against long-term bearish trends. If an asset continues to decline for an extended period, positions will accumulate at lower values with no guarantee of recovery. 3. May Be Inefficient for Active Investors If an investor has the skills to identify better entry points (e.g., using technical or macroeconomic analysis), DCA might be less effective. Those who can spot market opportunities may achieve a better average entry price than an automatic DCA approach. 4. Does Not Take Full Advantage of Price Drops DCA does not allow aggressive buying during market dips since purchases are fixed at regular intervals. If the market temporarily crashes, an investor with available funds could benefit more by buying larger amounts at that moment. 5. Higher Transaction Costs Frequent small investments can lead to higher trading fees, which may reduce net returns. This is especially relevant in markets with fixed commissions or high spreads. 6. Risk of Overconfidence and False Security DCA is often seen as a “fail-proof” strategy, but it is not always effective. If an asset has weak fundamentals or belongs to a declining sector, DCA may only slow down losses rather than ensure future gains. 7. Requires Discipline and Patience DCA is only effective if applied consistently over a long period. Some investors may lose patience and leave the strategy at the wrong time, especially during market crashes.
Education
by thequantscience
EUR/USD Direction 1.10 - Technical and Fundamental Analysis📊 Market Context As of March 18, 2025, EUR/USD is in a strong bullish expansion phase, with the price testing significant resistance levels. The US dollar remains solid, but market attention is focused on the Federal Reserve and the ECB, with expectations of more accommodative monetary policies in the coming months. 🔍 Technical Analysis The chart analysis reveals a bullish trend with the following key points: Main Resistance: 1.0912 - 1.10 area (potential reversal zone highlighted in red on the chart). Key Supports: 1.0822 (former resistance now acting as support), 1.0360, and 1.0283 (deeper support levels highlighted in yellow). Market Structure: The price has tested the monthly resistance around 1.0912 and entered a potential reversal zone where significant price reactions are expected. Bullish Momentum: The trend shows strong bullish candles, indicating a possible continuation toward 1.10. 📌 Possible Scenario: If EUR/USD decisively breaks 1.0912 and closes above 1.10, there could be room for a further rally toward 1.12. 📌 Alternative Scenario: A rejection at resistance and a close below 1.0822 could trigger a bearish correction toward 1.0360. 🌍 Fundamental Analysis US Data: Consumer confidence in the United States has dropped to its lowest level since November 2022, increasing the likelihood of a Fed rate cut by June. Monetary Policy: The ECB is maintaining a more neutral stance, while the Fed may be forced to cut rates faster to support the economy. Capital Flow: The market is anticipating US dollar weakness due to the outlook for rate cuts, supporting a possible euro appreciation. 🎯 Conclusion Main Bias: Bullish above 1.0822, targeting 1.10 and beyond. Trend Invalidation: Below 1.0360, the bullish trend would weaken. EUR/USD could consolidate in this area before breaking above 1.10. The future direction will depend on upcoming central bank statements and macroeconomic data.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
The Two-Faced Market: The Truth Behind Trend Reversals!🎭 The Two-Faced Market: The Truth Behind Trend Reversals! 📊🚀 📢 Ever entered a trade thinking you caught the perfect trend , only to get stopped out as the market reversed? You're not alone. The market has a way of fooling traders—but if you understand its “two-faced” nature, you can stay one step ahead. 🔥 Why Trends Reverse (and How to Catch It Early!) Most traders believe trends reverse due to "news" or "randomness." But in reality, the market gives signals long before the turn happens. Here’s what to watch for: 🔹 Momentum Divergence: The price makes a new high, but indicators like RSI/MACD don’t. 🔹 Volume Anomaly: The trend continues, but volume dries up—a sign of weakness. 🔹 Failed Breakouts: Price breaks a key level, only to fall back inside—trapping traders. 🔹 Candlestick Clues: Reversal patterns like engulfing candles or wicks rejecting key levels appear. 🚀 Mastering these signals can put you ahead of 90% of traders. 📊 Real Example: XAU/ USD Trend Reversal in Action 🔎 Breakdown of the setup: ✅ Step 1: Identify a trend (through market structure, trendline or moving average). ✅ Step 2: Look for failed breakouts against the trend ✅ Step 3: Look for trend-following setups 🎯 The Market’s Game: Recognizing The Shift Trends don’t die suddenly—they fade before reversing. The best traders spot the early signs and position before the crowd. 💡 Have you spotted these reversal signs before? Drop a comment with your experience! 👇🔥 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by TheSignalyst
3
Never Miss An Entry! Layered Crossover Strategy Explained🚀 Over 6000% Profit in 8 Months? Mastering Layered Entries with the Multi Crossover Strategy! 📈 Getting the perfect entry is key to maximizing profit. The Multi Crossover Strategy uses a layered entry system to ensure no opportunity is missed—delivering over 6000% profit in backtests with a 77% win rate on DOGEUSDT (15-minute chart). 🔹 The Layered Entry Approach: Not all trends are the same. Whether it’s a bottom reversal, a bullish retracement, or a small pullback, setting the right long entry criteria is crucial. This strategy dynamically adapts using three key crossovers: ✅ Stochastic Crossover – The first signal, designed to catch the lowest point of a bullish reversal. ✅ 9 SMA Crossover – If the Stochastic entry is skipped, this crossover captures the move early. ✅ MACD Crossover – If both previous crossovers are missed, MACD serves as the final confirmation to enter before it’s too late. By layering these crossovers, the strategy increases the chances of entering strong trends while minimizing false signals. 📊 Backtest Results (DOGEUSDT 15M Chart): 📌 Win Rate: 77% 📌 Profit Factor: 3.5 📌 Max Drawdown: 11.81% 📌 Avg Win: 2.2% | Avg Loss: 1.67% 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1.33 📌 Profit Factor: 3.79 🚀 Can be Fully Automated with CryptoHopper – No manual execution needed! Just set a strategy alert and link to your preffered signal handler, like CryptoHopper. 🔍 Want to see it in action? Check out the strategy here:
Education
by Broyeriko
MSTR📊 MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) – Technical & Simple Fundamental Analysis 1️⃣ Technical Analysis 🔍 Overall Trend Analysis Long-term uptrend remains intact, but the stock is currently in a pullback phase from its $500 peak. Testing 50-day EMA support ($238.91) – a key level for bulls to defend. Short-term momentum is bearish, with declining RSI and a bearish MACD crossover. 📌 Key Levels ✅ Support Zones: $230 - $240 → Testing 50-day EMA, crucial support. $180 - $200 → Stronger demand zone if $230 fails. $120 - $140 → Near 200-day EMA ($118.00), deeper correction level. Below $120 → Supports at $100, $80, $60, $40 (historical levels). 🚀 Resistance Zones: $280 - $300 → Immediate resistance after rejection. $340 - $360 → Next resistance from recent peaks. $420 - $500 → All-time high resistance. 📉 Indicators & Volume 📊 Moving Averages: 9-day EMA: $297.18 (short-term resistance). 20-day EMA: $297.58 (confirming short-term bearish trend). 50-day EMA: $238.91 (being tested as support). 200-day EMA: $118.00 (long-term uptrend remains intact). 📉 RSI (43.94) → Approaching oversold territory. 📉 MACD → Bearish crossover, showing downward momentum increasing. 📊 Volume → Selling volume increasing, but not extreme yet. 🔭 What to Watch Next (Technical) ✅ Bullish case: Price holds $230-$240 & reclaims $280. ⚠️ Bearish case: Break below $230 → Potential drop to $200 or lower. 2️⃣ Fundamental Analysis NASDAQ:MSTR (Simplified) 📌 Revenue: $57.53M (-3% YoY), Net Loss: -$670.8M in Q4 2024. 📌 Bitcoin Holdings: 478,740 BTC (~$45.1B market value, acquired for $31.1 billion). 📌 Capital Raising: Issuing $21B in preferred securities to fund further Bitcoin purchases. 📌 Stock Performance: Down last 3 months 📌 Workforce Cuts: Laid off 20.7% of employees in 2024. 📌 Rebranding: Now officially called "Strategy", symbolizing its Bitcoin-focused direction. 🔭 What to Watch Next (Fundamental) ✅ Bitcoin price movement – heavily influences MSTR. ✅ Earnings improvements – need to reduce losses. ✅ Institutional buying trends – support or sell-off? 🔥 Final Thoughts: MSTR is at a critical support zone. If Bitcoin remains strong, a bounce is possible. However, a breakdown below $230 could trigger deeper downside. 🚀📊
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by monkreet
XAUUSD long term 1. Weakness at Support Zone (Bearish Risk) The price is hovering around the identified demand zone (blue box), but buyers are not showing strong defense yet. If this zone breaks, we could see a deeper correction toward $2,840 - $2,800, invalidating the bullish projection. The dotted red line suggesting an immediate bounce might be premature without a bullish confirmation candle or volume spike. 2. Trendline Breach (Bearish Confirmation) The ascending trendline (starting from February lows) has already been broken and retested. This typically signals a trend reversal or deeper pullback. If price remains below this trendline, the bullish continuation becomes less probable. 3. Possible Bear Flag Formation (Bearish Pattern) The recent sideways action (consolidation within the demand zone) could be forming a bear flag, which is a continuation pattern for a move down. A breakdown below $2,860 (flag bottom) would confirm this bearish pattern, targeting potentially $2,800 or lower. 4. Momentum Shift RSI/MACD (if checked) may show bearish divergence from recent highs or weakening momentum, suggesting buyers are losing control. Alternative Bearish Scenario (Disruption Path): If price breaks and closes below $2,860 - $2,840: Short-term target: $2,800 - $2,760. Invalidates bullish target of $3,000 for now
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
$1.51 to $3.25 casually DOUBLED while rest of the market crashes$1.51 to $3.25 casually DOUBLED today after being mentioned in chat many times Sweet catch on NASDAQ:HMR 👏🤑 All while the rest of the market continues to hits new lows on a big red day NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:DIA NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:GOOG Got to love these type of stocks AEON 1.26 - 1.33 (+5.5%) HMR 3.02 - 3.16 (+4.6%) Total profit today: +10.1% Nice profit today again while the rest of the market goes into deeper red. Bulletproof strategy delivers again, no matter the overall market conditions. Congrats! See you in the morning!
NASDAQ:HMR
by ProfitTradeRoom
Goldman Sachs - Too Cheap to Ignore?NYSE:GS and the general financial services sector as a whole has faced extreme trauma over this past month. However, one that particularly stands out is the "bad guy" of the industry who has taken the equivalent to a roundhouse kick to the face, and the chart shows it. But does this mean that someone looking for a dip shouldn't pick up strong equity on a discount? I say no, lets be greedy while other are fearful just like that one guy said. Warren something... I don't really remember his name. Let's examine the numbers before we do the finance equivalent of astrology. This means that value investing and it's rather elementary techniques are going to give us some sort of indicator of a buy or a sell. Here's what you need to know. 1. Sachs has an attractive dividend yield of 2.14% ($11.50/share) and a gleaming dividend payout ratio (DPR) of 21.50%. 2. It is far from its high annual EPS sitting at 41.21 sliding from its high last December at 60.35. 3. It's price to earnings ratio (PE) is lounging nicely at 14.00 meaning we are at a generally cheap share price. This metric is what we're looking for. 4. Unfortunately, it has a rather higher price to book ratio (PB) at 1.64 which somewhat contradicts the PE ratio examined in #3. 5. Other metrics to keep in mind is an EV/EBITDA at 53.90 and a PEG at 16.23 which are both considered undesirable to investors. So as far as statistics are concerned, Goldman is sending some mixed signals making a decision difficult at the moment. This means we're going to have to examine the general sector sentiment and general outlook. Firstly, I'd like to point out Goldman's enterprise value. Sachs' EV is currently reported at 855.93 billion, 673 billion (78.63%) being debt (long term or short). This means NYSE:GS is a debt heavy company and we all know how debt works (the entity taking on the debt owes principal + interest). Well, this means that NYSE:GS is heavily going to be influenced by interest rates even considering their strong revenue. So, if we plan on interest rates being lowered long term (which I'm sure we all do), Goldman will be able to borrow from the Fed at a cheaper interest price while simultaneously owing account holders and bond holders less in interest (or APY yield for that matter). However, in the event that inflation runs wild and the Fed raises rates, NYSE:GS will face some turmoil along with the other commercial investment banks. Great, so now for the fun part. Let's see what the charts have to say about this and what it could be implying. Here is the 4H chart looking back into last October. As you can see, Goldman posted a sweet rally followed by our current pullback. However, we are being flashed with various bullish technical patterns and a strong explanation for the drop (even considering the tariffs threats and indices pullback). In summary, we are examining a stock in gradual freefall towards what appears to be several safety nets. On a psychological level, I find that most investors in the business of "smart money" wont let Goldman drop too low before they put their boot down. I also imagine this will happen pretty soon, but we need to hold the $540 price level. As far as the MACD is concerned, we are experiencing weakness from the buyers are the bears are clearly on offense. And lastly, the GS implied volatility shows that options traders aren't pricing in anything particularly unusual, and the most usual movement for the market is to climb higher so that's good news. So, what's the conclusion. In my humble opinion, I believe that Goldman Sachs' stock is trading too low to not buy. Financially, the company is not showing anything particularly concerning and may just need to show some strength before the mass cash chases this play. As of right now, I am long on NYSE:GS considering the financial statistics, general industry sentiment, and technical analysis which was used as an assistance tool. This trade could be last anywhere from 1 day to 1 year, but I am prepared to hold for much longer.
NYSE:GSLong
by addatheriver0808
Lunar Signal Generator My Lunar signal generator uses a sinusoidal wave which is matched in frequency to the sinusoidal motion of the moon. The indicator is based on research which suggests that there are increased returns on days surrounding the new moon and decreased returns on days surrounding the full moon. The indicator represents a two week trading strategy and prints buy signals before the new moon, and prints sell signals on the full moon. If used as a trading strategy the 5 & 10 year win rates are 70%, profitability is dependent on your choice of stoploss. I suggest a 9% Stoploss however this is discretionary. Can be used on any financial product, however it works best on large cap equities. Just place on any chart, and trade according to the buy and sell signals Check out my website, (press the little globe below my profile description) Please reach out for any questions/concerns
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Kinetic-Capital