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MSFT Microsoft Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought MSFT when they announced the 49% stake in OpenAI: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MSFT Microsoft Corporation prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 550usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-12-19, for a premium of approximately $14.75. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:MSFTLong
by TopgOptions
BTCUSD 8H – Long Triggered on Cloud Flip, Can This Trend Keep?This BTC 8H setup highlights how the Enhanced Ichimoku Cloud Strategy V1 caught a +27% move using clean trend confirmation and a low-noise entry. 📊 Setup Breakdown: Major Support Zone held 5+ times between March and April — confirming buyer interest. Entry triggered once: Ichimoku Cloud flipped bullish Price crossed the 171 EMA Strategy alignment confirmed by Ichi + EMA + Cloud filters Entry candle: ~$93,400 Current price: ~$119,000 → +27% trend continuation. 📈 Strategy Logic: This system combines: Custom Ichimoku (7 / 255 / 120 / 41) for cloud confirmation A 171 EMA filter to block noise A trend-following “state memory” logic to avoid premature reversals This BTC move is a textbook example of how the strategy avoids second-guessing and holds strong trends without constant recalibration. ⚠️ What to Watch Next: Price is currently ranging near prior highs Cloud remains bullish, but RSI and momentum divergence should be monitored If support holds above ~112K, continuation is likely — break below could shift structure ✅ Backtest this strategy on your charts to see how it handles your favorite assets. It’s best used on high-timeframe trends where precision and conviction matter most.
by Quant_Trading_Pro
Gold 29 July – H4 Demand Holds, M15 Structure ShiftsGold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 29 July The Mirror is Forming at 3310: Structure + Reaction in Focus The market has successfully held the H4 demand zone, particularly near the critical level around 3310. This level is not just another number on the chart — it’s an inflection point. A possible first higher low or swing low, from which the next directional leg in gold could emerge. Yesterday’s price action swept liquidity beneath this zone and then showed a strong bullish reaction. This isn’t just a bounce. It’s a behavioral shift — one that hints at absorption of selling pressure and the re-entry of aggressive buyers. 🔍 Structure Alignment: H4 + M15 On the H4 timeframe, price has stabilized within the demand zone. Zooming into M15, we now see internal price action beginning to shift: • First, a Change of Character (ChoCH) — the earliest clue that momentum is starting to turn. • Then, a Break of Structure (BoS) to the upside — signaling potential bullish intent. This multi-timeframe alignment — H4 support holding + M15 structure shifting — builds a strong case for a potential reversal and continuation of the uptrend. 📍 What Next? The next step is to mark a refined M15 Point of Interest (POI) — a zone where price may pull back before making its next move upward. We don’t chase price. We let it come to us. ✅ Look for Lower Timeframe Confirmation Once price returns to your POI, it’s time to observe. You’re not looking for obvious signals. You’re watching for subtle behavior — a sharp reaction, a psychological flush, or a precise candle footprint that reveals intent. The deeper signals aren’t always visible to the untrained eye — but they’re there for those who’ve studied the mirror. ( For those who know what to look for — this is where the sniper entry reveals itself. ) 🎯 Summary • Bias: Bullish — structure and reaction support long setups • Plan: Wait for price to retest the M15 POI • Execution: Only enter on confirmed lower timeframe intent and confluence • Target: 120 pips (fixed, as per system) • Stop Loss: 40 pips (always 1:3 R:R minimum) 📚 This is the kind of structure-based clarity we teach in The Chart is the Mirror . Let the chart speak. Let the structure guide you — not your emotion. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartIsMirror
CHTR Charter Communications Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought CHTR before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CHTR Charter Communications prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 387.5usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-7-25, for a premium of approximately $22.55. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:CHTRLong
by TopgOptions
Excellent profits booked [500 pips SECURED ]As I mentioned throughout yesterday’s and Today's commentary session: My strategy is still the same – sell from 3430-3435. Gold around my key level yesterday at 3432-3435, which the market respects well and as our first target was 3405 then 3495 Very happy with the profits so far. My medium-term targets remain 3390 & 3380 which is achieved alhumdulliah .I sold gold from every local high. Also I mentioned 3420 turns retest and i opend my another sell trades on down side All I say thanks to those who followed us and made profits.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Forexmaestro121
Buying TMO sharesI am buying TMO shares according to my strategy for stocks, ETFs, and precious metals. This strategy shows 100% performance on this stock on a weekly timeframe. Therefore, I am investing a small percentage of my deposit in it and will wait for it to perform. I hope that everything will work out this time too :) Of course, the price may go even lower, but I will buy more if the strategy shows a buy signal. In the long run, I think there will be an excellent profit. DYOR
NYSE:TMOLong
by IQTrend_Dev
GBPJPY - Trading The Range!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GBPJPY has been hovering within a big range. This week, GBPJPY is retesting the upper bound of the range and $200 round number. As long as the resistance holds, we will be looking for shorts on lower timeframes, targeting the lower bound of the range. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
8
DG Trading Setup: Capitalizing on RangeDollar General has experienced a stabilization phase following its Q1 2025 results, with same-store sales increasing 2.4% and revenue growing 5.3% to $10.4 billion. The company has regained traction in the discount retail space, mitigating previous challenges related to shrink and operational inefficiencies. Institutional Flow & Market Positioning Recent institutional flow highlights large orders in DG’s 115 call and 110 put, signaling either: - A range-bound setup, where smart money expects the stock to stay between $110-$115 in the near term. - Potential volatility, with institutions hedging both directions ahead of an unexpected move. Considering the ATR (18) and standard deviation (7.353), this aligns with a low-breakout probability, making range-based strategies the optimal play. The absence of earnings between now and July further supports sideways movement expectations. Options Trade Setup: Iron Condor To capitalize on premium decay and IV contraction, I’m structuring an iron condor: - Sell 115 Call / Buy 120 Call - Sell 110 Put / Buy 105 Put This strategy ensures limited risk while collecting premium in a high-probability range trade.
NYSE:DG
by Wiiso
BTC - Breakout, Fakeout… or Loading Zone?BTC is back inside the $116K–$117K demand zone — same level that launched the last breakout. But this time? Consolidation. Stoch RSI stuck mid-range. Unclear momentum. The Hull Suite Strategy nailed the previous breakout with clean stacked buys — but it’s showing hesitation now. This is where strategy testing really matters. Not every system handles chop the same. 📊 We test these setups across multiple variations — especially in zones like this where most signals lose edge. Support flip or breakdown brewing? Watching closely. — #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #HullSuite #StrategyTesting #BacktestBetter #QuantTradingPro #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Quant_Trading_Pro
GBPAUD: Weekly Reversal | COT & Seasonality Support Bullish📊 Technical Outlook Price strongly reacted from a key weekly demand zone between 2.0400 and 2.0500, showing clear absorption of bearish pressure. The RSI is rebounding from the 30 area, signaling early reversal potential. The next technical target lies between 2.08900 and 2.10000, within a well-defined supply zone. An early bullish reversal is in progress, with potential for a swing move toward the red zone. 🧠 Commitment of Traders (COT Report – 08/07/2025) GBP: Non-commercial traders are net long, with positioning growing across the board: +869 longs / -926 shorts. Commercials reduce shorts and increase longs → Bullish bias. AUD: Non-commercials are clearly short (-2,267 longs / +1,957 shorts). Commercials are increasing long exposure (+2,629), but still in the minority → Bearish bias. ➡️ The COT spread confirms a GBP long vs AUD short bias. 📅 Seasonality (July) GBP: Historically strong in July, with average monthly gains across all timeframes (especially the 2Y window). AUD: Less favorable seasonal profile in July; flat to slightly negative across all time horizons. ➡️ Seasonality supports GBP strength. 📉 Retail Sentiment 58% Long / 42% Short on GBPAUD ➡️ Retail traders are still heavily long → a shakeout of weak long hands is possible before the real rally begins. 🎯 Strategic Conclusion GBP shows bullish convergence across technical, COT, and seasonal factors. AUD presents clear weakness. The current price zone offers a clean entry point for longs, targeting the 2.08900–2.10000 supply zone.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
10
Smart Money Reloading: Will EUR/USD Explode from Demand Zone?📊 Technical Context (Daily) EUR/USD is currently in a corrective phase following the strong June rebound from the 1.1450 area, which culminated in a high near the 1.1850 supply zone. The recent bearish move has pushed the pair back into a key demand area between 1.1450 and 1.1550, a zone that has acted as support multiple times in the past. The latest weekly candle shows a potential bullish exhaustion signal (long lower wick), with the RSI hovering in oversold territory. 📌 Primary scenario: Possible consolidation above 1.1550 followed by a bullish continuation toward 1.1750–1.1800. 📌 Alternative scenario: Break of the recent lows could lead to a deeper retest of the 1.1350 zone. 📈 COT (Commitment of Traders) Non-commercial positioning shows growing bullish interest in the euro: EUR: +971 new longs, -6,654 shorts → strong increase in net long exposure. USD Index: -267 longs, +92 spreads → signs of institutional indecision on the dollar. This suggests a favorable shift toward the euro by smart money. 💡 Retail Sentiment Retail traders remain heavily short on EUR/USD (63% short) with an average entry price of 1.1579. This reinforces the contrarian bullish case, as retail traders are trapped short in a potential reversal zone. 📆 Seasonality Historically, July has been a bullish month for EUR/USD: ➕ 2Y average return: +0.0287 ➕ 5Y average return: +0.0166 This supports a seasonal bullish bias aligning with the current technical setup. ✅ Operational Outlook EUR/USD is trading at a technically and macroeconomically significant area. The confluence of: Weekly demand zone being tested RSI in oversold conditions COT positioning favoring the euro Retail sentiment skewed short Bullish seasonality …makes a bullish bounce plausible in the coming weeks, with a first target at 1.1750. Invalidation level below 1.1450. 📌 Bias: Moderately Bullish 📍 Technical Activation Zone: Above 1.1550 with confirmed bullish price action
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
2
Smart Money Sell Setup on Gold (15-Min TF)# Smart Money Sell Setup on Gold (15-Min TF) ### 🔍 Market Context: Gold has recently formed a strong bullish retracement after a sharp impulsive bearish move. Now, price has returned to a critical zone — the **Equilibrium level (EQ)** — which also aligns with a **valid supply zone** and **bearish trendline resistance**. This zone is often considered the "decision point" where Smart Money evaluates whether to continue upward or resume the previous bearish trend. --- ## 📉 Strategy: Sell Limit Based on Structure + Liquidity ### ✅ Entry Zone: **3341.500 – 3343.000** (At the EQ zone + premium pricing area) ### 🛑 Stop Loss: **Above 3345.000** (Just beyond the last liquidity wick and top of supply) ### 🎯 Take Profit Targets: - **TP1:** 3338.000 → First demand zone - **TP2:** 3332.500 → Liquidity sweep target under previous lows ### 📐 Risk to Reward Ratio: **1:3 or higher**, depending on execution precision. --- ## 🔎 Confluences Supporting the Setup: | Factor | Confirmation | |--------|--------------| | EQ Zone (50% of previous move) | ✅ | | Supply Zone | ✅ | | Bearish Trendline Resistance | ✅ | | Liquidity above EQ | ✅ | | CHoCH + BOS (Market Structure Shift) | ✅ | --- ## 🧠 Why This Setup Works: This is a classic **"Premium Price Rejection"** in a bearish environment, combining: - Institutional logic (EQ level) - Structural resistance (previous BOS) - Liquidity traps above --- ## 🧵 Summary: - **Sell Limit:** 3341.5 – 3343 - **SL:** 3345 - **TP1:** 3338 - **TP2:** 3332.5 - **RR:** 1:3+ - **Style:** Smart Money / Liquidity + Structure Based --- 🔔 **Disclaimer:** This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis and manage risk accordingly. #gold #XAUUSD #smartmoney #tradingview #liquidity #supplydemand #priceaction #forex #structure
TVC:GOLD
by mmozafari1357
ASML Holding Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on ASML: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ASML Holding prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 800usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-7-25, for a premium of approximately $32.00. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:ASMLLong
by TopgOptions
Soybeans Loading a Bounce? Demand Zone + COT1. Price Action & Technical Structure Price has bounced off a strong daily demand zone (1011–969). Today’s daily candle shows a clear rejection wick from the low, and RSI is signaling a potential reversal. The market is trading inside a falling channel, currently near the lower boundary — setting up a possible breakout move. Technical Targets: • First upside target: 1039–1049 Invalidation: daily close below 990, which would confirm structural breakdown. 2. COT Report – Soybeans Futures (as of July 9, 2025) • Non-Commercials:  +11,539 spreads | +7,017 shorts | –7,520 longs → Slight bearish pressure, though spreads suggest growing speculative complexity. • Commercials:  +7,876 longs | –9,084 shorts → Moderate commercial bullish bias. • Open Interest:  +8,076 contracts → Market activity increasing. Overall COT positioning is neutral to slightly bullish, with growing signs of accumulation around the 1000 level. 3. Seasonality – MarketBulls Historically, July is one of the weakest months for Soybeans: • –44.82 (20Y avg) • –36.86 (15Y avg) • –34.74 (10Y avg) However, early August shows signs of seasonal recovery, and price action is already diverging from typical seasonal behavior. This makes a deeper breakdown less likely — we could be nearing the end of the seasonal weakness. Operational Takeaway Current Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish Confluence of signals supports the idea of a technical rebound: ✅ Bullish reaction candle in demand ✅ Fibonacci support + lower trendline touch ✅ COT data stabilizing with rising open interest ✅ Seasonal weakness possibly exhausted
CBOT:ZS1!Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
4
EUR/USD Reversal Ahead? COT + DXY Strength Signal Price has broken below the ascending channel that started in mid-May. The current candle is rejecting the weekly supply zone (1.17566–1.18319), leaving a significant upper wick. Daily RSI is losing strength but has not yet reached extreme levels. A key daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) lies between 1.1600 and 1.1480, with the first potential downside target at 1.14802, which aligns with support and the FVG zone. A deeper bearish continuation could push price towards 1.1350, but only if the FVG lows are clearly broken. 📊 COT Data (CME - Euro FX & USD Index) Euro FX Net long: +15,334 Commercials increased both longs (+13,550) and shorts (+9,913) → mild divergence. Non-Commercials (speculators) increased shorts (+4,786) more than longs (+1,188) → speculative bias tilting bearish. USD Index Strong net long accumulation across all trader types: +4,597 net. Non-Commercials added +3,590 longs, with only a minor increase in shorts. → USD strength continues, reinforcing potential weakness in EUR/USD. 🧠 Retail Sentiment 67% of retail traders are short EUR/USD → typically a contrarian bullish signal. However, the price is already showing distribution, not accumulation, so we may see price push lower first to trap remaining retail longs, invalidating the contrarian signal in the short term. 📅 Seasonality July is historically bullish, especially on the 2Y (+0.0142) and 10Y (+0.0106) averages. However, the 15Y and 20Y averages show a much more moderate performance (+0.007 / +0.0025). Based on current price action, the seasonal rally may have already played out with the run-up to 1.1830. A correction now seems likely, even if the broader macro remains supportive mid-term. 🧩 Conclusion Despite historically bullish seasonality for July, both price action and COT data indicate distribution with early signs of reversal. Retail sentiment is too skewed short for a major breakdown just yet, but the technicals support a short-term pullback toward more balanced levels. USD strength from COT and DXY structure reinforces a corrective short bias for now.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
11
The Power of Confluence: Building Trade Setups Using 3 Indicator🔵 INTRODUCTION Many traders fall into the trap of relying on a single indicator to make trading decisions. While one tool might work occasionally, it often leads to inconsistent results. The key to consistency lies in confluence — the strategic combination of multiple indicators that confirm each other. In this article, you'll learn how to build high-probability trade setups by combining three essential components: trend , momentum , and volume . 🔵 WHY CONFLUENCE MATTERS Confluence refers to multiple signals pointing in the same direction. When different indicators agree, your trade idea becomes much stronger. It helps reduce noise, avoid false signals, and increase confidence in your entries. Think of it like crossing a busy road: you wait for the green light, check both sides, and make sure no cars are coming. The more confirmations you have, the safer your move. 🔵 WHAT IS CONFLUENCE IN TRADING? Confluence means agreement. In trading, it’s when different methods, indicators, or tools all point toward the same outcome. Think of it like this: One green light? Maybe. Two green lights? Worth watching. Three green lights? That’s a trade worth considering. Imagine you're planning a road trip. You check the weather forecast (trend), Google Maps traffic (momentum), and ask a local for advice (volume). If all three say “go,” you’re more confident in your decision. Trading works the same way — using multiple tools to validate a setup reduces risk and removes guesswork. Important: Confluence is NOT about cramming 10 indicators onto your chart. It’s about using a few that each offer different types of information — and only acting when they align. 🔵 THE 3-STEP CONFLUENCE SETUP 1️⃣ Identify the Trend (Using EMAs) Before entering any trade, you need to know the market direction. You can use: Moving Averages (e.g., 21 EMA and 50 EMA crossover) Structure-based analysis (e.g., higher highs = uptrend) Trade only in the direction of the prevailing trend. 2️⃣ Check Momentum (Using RSI, MACD, or Stochastic) Momentum tells you whether the market supports the current trend or if it's weakening. RSI above 50 → Bullish momentum MACD histogram rising → Acceleration Stochastic crossing above 20 or 80 → Momentum shifts Avoid entering when momentum is fading or diverging from price. 3️⃣ Confirm with Volume (To Validate Participation) Volume reveals the strength behind the move. A breakout or trend continuation is more reliable when it's backed by volume. Look for: Volume spikes at breakout points Increasing volume in the direction of the trend Volume confirmation after pullbacks or retests No volume = no conviction. Watch how the market "votes" with actual participation. 🔵 EXAMPLE TRADE SETUP Let’s say you spot a bullish trend with 21 EMA above 50 EMA. RSI is above 50 and rising. A pullback forms, and volume picks up as price starts to push higher again. That’s trend + momentum + volume lining up = a confluence-based opportunity. 🔵 BONUS: HOW TO ENHANCE CONFLUENCE Add price action patterns (flags, wedges, breakouts) Use support/resistance zones for cleaner entries Combine with higher timeframe confirmation Wait for retests after breakouts instead of chasing Confluence doesn't mean complexity — it means clarity. 🔵 CONCLUSION The best traders don’t guess. They wait for the market to align. By combining trend, momentum, and volume, you filter out weak setups and focus only on the highest-probability trades. Start testing confluence-based setups in your strategy. You’ll likely find more consistency, fewer fakeouts, and greater confidence in your execution. Do you trade with confluence? What’s your favorite trio of indicators? Let’s talk in the comments.
Education
by BigBeluga
22