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XAU/USD: Ready for a Pullback!The price of gold (XAU/USD) has recently retreated from an all-time high of around $2,560 and is currently trading slightly below $2,720, complicated by the strength of the US dollar and rising US Treasury yields. Technically, the $2,750 level has shown signs of rejection, making it a key resistance, while immediate support is located at $2,725, near the lower boundary of a two-week ascending channel. A convincing break below this support could trigger technical selling, pushing the price down toward $2,700 and subsequently to $2,680-2,675, where the 100-period simple moving average resides. Despite overbought conditions and pressure from the dollar, political uncertainty and the risk of escalating tensions in the Middle East continue to support demand for gold as a safe haven. That said, gold seems poised for a correction toward $2,675, and we will see in the coming days if it gives us a signal for a short entry. Good evening and happy trading to everyone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
GBP/USD: Is the Dollar Weakness Back?After a brief two-day recovery, GBP/USD reversed course on Monday, losing 0.5% and continuing to show signs of weakness on Tuesday morning, trading slightly below the 1.3000 level. Market sentiment was cautious at the beginning of the week due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which bolstered demand for the US Dollar as a safe haven. The US economic calendar features the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for October, though it is not expected to significantly impact the market. Additionally, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will deliver a speech at the Bloomberg Global Regulatory Forum in New York, but without expected comments on monetary policy, the event could have a minimal effect on the pound. The next important data releases for GBP/USD will be on Thursday, with the preliminary PMI Manufacturing and Services Index data for the UK and the US, which could provide further direction for the pair. It is also worth noting that on Tuesday, the market closed the day with a doji candle, opening up a potential bullish opportunity. We will see if today, during the London session, the market provides a clear confirmation to go long. Happy trading, and have a great day!
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
MIDCPNIFTY Hits 3 Targets in Short Trade – TP4 Awaiting!In this short trade on the MIDCPNIFTY, three targets have already been met, reaching up to TP3 at 12605.25. We are currently watching for TP4 at 12499.35 to be achieved. Key Levels Entry: 13053.70 – A strong bearish signal triggered this short entry. Stop-Loss (SL): 13139.35 – Positioned above the entry to protect from upward movements. Take Profit 1 (TP1): 12947.85 – Achieved as part of the initial downward momentum. Take Profit 2 (TP2): 12776.55 – Hit following sustained selling pressure. Take Profit 3 (TP3): 12605.25 – Reached as bearish momentum continues. Take Profit 4 (TP4): 12499.35 – The final target, currently awaited. Trend Analysis The price remains comfortably below the Risological Dotted Trendline, confirming a strong downward trend. Three targets have already been hit, and further downward momentum could see TP4 being reached.
NSE:MIDCPNIFTY1!Short
by ProfitsNinja
1
EUR/USD: Watch for the Rebound!EUR/USD began the week on a bearish note, hitting 12-week lows near 1.0800 as the US dollar remains strong, supported by solid economic fundamentals and rising US yields. Key support levels are at 1.0811 and 1.0775, while major resistance is seen at 1.0930 and 1.1040. The macroeconomic backdrop favors the dollar, with the Fed remaining cautious on rate cuts, and the ECB, despite a recent rate cut, facing weak growth and declining inflation. A drop below 1.0800 could accelerate losses, while a recovery above 1.0875 would be the first positive signal.
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
IBM International Business Machines Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought IBM before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IBM International Business Machines prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 250usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-3-21, for a premium of approximately $8.35. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:IBMLong
by TopgOptions
1
USD/JPY Towards 160 if the Fed doesn’t cut!USD/JPY is currently trading near the 150.00 level, under pressure due to verbal intervention from Japanese authorities and a pullback in the US Dollar. The pair is navigating a cautious environment, as mild risk aversion strengthens the safe-haven Japanese Yen. However, despite this pressure, the pair maintains its broader upward trend after breaking a key resistance level. Fundamentally, USD/JPY continues to find support from strong US retail sales data and a resilient labor market, along with rising US Treasury yields. This has led investors to reduce the likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve at the November meeting, keeping the dollar supported and the pair on a bullish trajectory.
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Gold Nears $2,700 on Election UncertaintyThe price of gold continues its bullish run, nearing $2,700 per ounce due to uncertainty surrounding the U.S. elections, despite the strength of the dollar and rising Treasury yields. Political uncertainty is increasing demand for the precious metal, considered a safe haven, as polls show a tight race. Additionally, the recent decision by the ECB to cut interest rates temporarily strengthened the dollar, but this has not prevented gold from maintaining its positive momentum. Better-than-expected economic data in the U.S., such as increased retail sales and the Philadelphia Manufacturing Index, also supported the dollar, but these factors were not enough to reverse gold’s trend. From a technical standpoint, moving averages, particularly the 20-day SMA around $2,649.50, continue to provide support to the bullish trend, while the 100-day and 200-day SMAs remain far below, confirming persistent buyer interest. Technical indicators suggest further upside, though minor short-term corrections may occur, potentially offering new buying opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Kava Heavy Bearmarket- This analysis is presented as a tutorial. Some of you may already be familiar with MACD, but for those who aren’t, I’m happy to guide you through it. - Today, I’d like to share some insights on how to determine whether a token is still in a bear market or if it's on the verge of changing direction. - As always everything is noted in the graphic, so lets go : 1 . First, focus on the orange line, which is the most crucial one, sitting around $1.20. Did you notice that in 2020, Kava bounced off this line? Back then, it served as strong support. Now, take note that Kava was rejected twice in 2023 and 2024 at this exact same price level, this support just turned as a strong resistance. 2. Take a look at the MACD indicator Lines. During Kava's bull market in 2020, the MACD was consistently moving in the positive zone (bullmarket green area). After Kava's crash, observe how Kava have been repeatedly rejected at this exact middle line and continued to evolve in a negative zone (bearmarket red area). 3. Finally, take a closer look at the "hammer Emoji" and the bearish trendline. You will observe that everything is interconnected. At times, Kava gets "hammered" at the $1.20 level along the middle line, while at other times, it encounters resistance on its bearish trendline. None of this is coincidental. Conclusion : - Kava remains is still in a heavy bear market. As a relatively young token, it's difficult to analyze long-term historical data. However, with time, extending the timeframe to 1 or 3 months can help reduce noise and potentially detect a bullish reversal. - Kava's key level is $1.20. When it stays below this, it's better to step back, touch some grass, and wait for a breakout before considering any long positions. - If you’re looking to trade profitably, always go with the flow. Don’t try to long something that’s trending downward or short something that's rising. It’s simply a matter of logic. Happy Tr4Ding !
KRAKEN:KAVAUSD
by thecryer
EURUSD Daily Analysis - Consolidation day ahead of key data fromEURUSD Daily Analysis - Consolidation day ahead of key data from both sides of the Atlantic. Since the beginning of October, the dollar has strengthened steadily and smoothly against the Euro. For half of the month, EURUSD movement is only in a downward direction with a gain of 300 pips for the dollar. The dollar is currently in its strongest position since August 2024. Technical analysis shows that the dollar will continue to accumulate new pips against the Euro. Among the fundamental analysis for today Wednesday, the most important is the ECB's President Lagarde speech very late in the evening, in general the focus will be on the decision on Thursday, where the ECB is expected to cut the main interest rate by 25 basis points. In general, very important data are expected on Thursday, both for the Eurozone and for the United States. This would mean that currency trading will consolidate in anticipation of the next day's data. We at World-Signals expect the trend to remain today with a slight consolidation at the levels around 1.0865 - 1.0910.
Short
by World-Signals
1
EUR/USD: Bearish Trend Driven by Diverging Monetary Policies!The EUR/USD continues to face bearish pressure, nearing two-month lows around 1.0890, driven by a strengthening U.S. dollar supported by increased risk aversion and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The dollar also benefited from the release of the minutes of the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which revealed that a majority of members supported a monetary easing policy, though without a clear timeline for future rate cuts. The diverging monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB) are strongly influencing the exchange rate. While the Fed is leaning towards further rate cuts, with an 84% probability of a 25-basis-point reduction next month, the ECB is more cautious. Despite inflation in the Eurozone falling below the 2% target, the ECB is closely monitoring economic data before taking new measures, leaving the euro vulnerable. The economic weakness in the Eurozone, with stagnant GDP growth, could continue to weigh on the euro, further favoring the dollar, which is in a position of strength thanks to the resilience of the U.S. economy. In conclusion, the EUR/USD is in a bearish context, with a possible break of key support levels that could lead to further declines. Only a recovery above the 1.0996 resistance could reverse the negative trend, but current economic and monetary conditions suggest the dollar will continue to dominate in the short term.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Potential Bullish Breakout for SAGA/USDT: Cup and Handle PatternCup and Handle Pattern: The pink curve outlines a "Cup" formation, which is a bullish reversal pattern. This is typically formed when there is a gradual rounded bottom, followed by a breakout to the upside. The cup's depth is marked by a large percentage gain (272.58%), reflecting the potential move from the bottom of the cup to the breakout point (the green line at approximately $3.30). Price Levels: Current Price: Around $3.30. Resistance Levels: There’s a projected upward target of $6.5010, which aligns with the height of the cup pattern and indicates where the price might go following a successful breakout. Support Level: The lower green line at $1.7944 shows a significant support area in case the price reverses downward. Measured Moves: The text "2.3628 (272.58%)" and "4.7561 (272.57%)" indicates that this chart predicts a possible price movement of around 272% from the breakout point if the cup-and-handle pattern plays out correctly. These values reflect the price movements from the bottom of the pattern to the top. Blue Area: The blue dashed line and area likely represent a possible consolidation zone or retracement (the "Handle" of the Cup and Handle pattern) before the price potentially continues upwards. In summary, this chart suggests a bullish outlook for the SAGA/USDT pair, with a potential breakout from the cup-and-handle pattern leading to a significant price increase. However, the handle could form before the price reaches the predicted target of $6.50. Keep in mind that while this is a bullish technical setup, it’s important to manage risks and consider market conditions.
Long
by alemicihan
Weekly GEX of QQQ | Option Chain AnalysisI’d like to share my thoughts below after analyzing the QQQ option chain. In this analysis, I focus exclusively on the weekly time range, examining the QQQ option chain and the changes in top-tier options metrics. 🟨 Decline in Put Pricing Skew and Increase in IVx The decline in put pricing skew on Options Oscillator suggests that put options are becoming relatively cheaper , signaling a shift in market participants' expectations. This indicates increased call buying and put writing activity in the options chain . Along with the decrease in implied volatility (IV), this often points to a lower demand for downside protection strategies, which could be interpreted as a bullish sentiment. Currently, the QQQ’s IVRank stands at 31.5, reflecting a moderate volatility environment. However, with an average IVx of 19.2, trading volumes could increase, and interest in volatility-based strategies may rise further. 🔶 Backwardation in 4-7 DTE and Time Spreads Backwardation in the 4-7 DTE (days to expiration) period can be ideal for time spread (calendar, diagonal) option traders , as near-term options show higher volatility than longer-term ones. This creates a favorable environment for time spread strategies, especially if this backwardation persists. 🟨 Gamma Levels and Open Interest-Based Levels Call high OI gamma walls (or call resistance levels) typically act as resistance points. However, once these levels are broken, the bullish movement can accelerate due to positive gamma exposure. Put gamma walls (or put support levels), on the other hand, act as support. If broken, downward moves can intensify due to the high negative gamma exposure. While the current largest gamma wall was for today at 495, the upcoming expiration on 10/14 could shift this level to 500, where the greatest gamma exposure will likely be after the Monday expiration (due to the large amount of open interest expiring at 495). If the price breaks above this level, it could further bolster bullish prospects to 505 (last ATH). Additionally, the 500 strike plays a critical role as a major level in the Options Grid System, representing the 8/8 level. 🟨 OTM 16 delta probability cloud in Options Overlay The blue Delta Curves on the Options Overlay show the 16-delta levels, helping traders identify potential price ranges. According to current data, on the call side, the 505 strike is still within the 16-delta range, reinforcing its bullish potential. This represents the 68% probability range defined by OTM 16 delta PUTs and OTM 16 delta CALLs, showing a clear directional expected move value. It provides an insightful view of the expected price movement’s directional range, often used by delta-neutral strangle traders like those at TastyTrade. 🟨 Time Spread Strategies The aforementioned backwardation and gamma wall situation may present an advantage for time spread traders. Backwardation between 4-7 DTE provides an optimal window for those favoring time spreads, as the higher short-term volatility offers better premiums. 🟨 TanukiTrade Options Oscillator values The TanukiTrade Options Oscillator indicates that the combination of declining put skew and decreasing IV suggests potential volatility growth on the bullish side of the market. This could be a valuable signal for both long and time spread strategies. ⅀ QQQ Summary The decline in put skew and increase in IVx imply that market participants are anticipating an increase in bullish volatility. Backwardation between 4-7DTE supports time spread strategies, while the call gamma wall at 500—and soon 505—is likely to serve as significant resistance/target. (NOTE: GEX levels is not part of the TanukiTrade Options Overlay indicator yet. The automatic GEX levels will be available soon, by the end of October!)
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by TanukiTrade
4
Weekly GEX of SPX | Option Chain Analysis for Option TradersI’d like to share my thoughts below after analyzing the SPX option chain. In this analysis, I focus exclusively on the weekly time range, examining the SPX option chain and the changes in top-tier options metrics. 🔶 Breakout and Bullish Outlook Last Friday's price action saw the SPX break through the 5800 call gamma wall, generating strong bullish momentum . This breakout opens the door for further upward movement throughout the week, especially if buying pressure persists. Breaking through a call gamma wall often leads to a rapid price increase, as these levels act as resistance, but once broken, they support further upward moves. However, caution is advised, as additional call gamma levels (around 5850 and 5875) could act as resistance, where the price may stall. These levels can reverse roles and, if the price falters, could act as significant resistance, potentially leading to a pullback toward the 5800 level. 🔴 Put Skew and IVx Changes The put pricing skew on the Options Oscillator shows a declining trend, meaning that while put options are still more expensive than calls at equivalent strikes, this trend is softening when looking at the November expiration. This indicates a weakening of put options relative to calls, which could be another bullish signal as demand for puts may be declining. The five-day IVx average declining , indicating a decrease in market volatility = VIX is melting down. 🟨 Backwardation and Diagonal/Calendar Strategy Opportunities It's also worth noting the 10.5% backwardation based on the IV skew for the expirations between 10/18 and 10/21 (4/7DTE). This backwardation (downward sloping volatility curve) could benefit calendar and diagonal spread strategies, as options with different expirations have varying volatility conditions. 🔶 GEX Wall Levels: Where Is Support and Resistance? 🔹Gamma Exposure (GEX) levels continue to play a crucial role in the market’s movements: 🔹On the upside, the largest call gamma wall for the next 7 days is at 5850, while the 5875 level may also act as significant resistance. The 5875 is a more likely a realistic bullish target, supported by the Options Overlay’s blue OTM delta 16 probability curve. 🔹On the downside, the 5750 put support level currently offers strong support, with sellers forming a barrier here. The 5800 level is also interesting because it was the largest call gamma level last week, meaning there could be significant volatility as bulls and bears battle around this point. (NOTE: GEX levels is not part of the TanukiTrade Options Overlay indicator yet. The automatic GEX levels will be available by the end of October.) 🟨 How Delta 16 Curves Define My Rational Price Range in Options Trading The blue OTM Delta 16 curves from the Options Overlay define the rational probability range for me based on a lognormal distribution. This is important because there’s a 68% chance the price will stay within this range by expiration. These values are also visible in the Overlay Expiry table. This represents the 68% probability range defined by OTM 16 delta PUTs and OTM 16 delta CALLs, showing a clear directional expected move value. It provides an insightful view of the expected price movement’s directional range, often used by delta-neutral strangle traders like those at TastyTrade. ⅀ SPX Summary The SPX options chain is showing a bullish direction with the breakout above 5800, but it will be key to watch the gamma levels where the market might stall this week. The rising IV and declining put skew trend could provide further signals that the bull market might continue, but the possibility of resistance or a pullback remains. For those considering diagonal strategies, the backwardation may offer interesting opportunities to capitalize on. (NOTE: GEX levels is not part of the TanukiTrade Options Overlay indicator yet. The automatic GEX levels will be available soon, by the end of October!)
SP:SPXLong
by TanukiTrade
Gilead Sciences (GILD): Will Support Hold or Will We See a Drop?We've neglected Gilead Sciences for a while, but it's time for an update. Unfortunately, our entry looking back wasn't ideal, as the stock has fallen below the 61.8% retracement level. It found support just below the 78.6% level, which marks the bottom of our range. This level was precisely touched, and we saw a relatively good movement upward from there. However, the outlook remains uncertain. We hope that the stock does not fall below this range bottom, as it would prompt us to consider cutting it. Our first take-profit target is at the range high around $86.5, but reaching this level will take time as Gilead Sciences is currently underperforming. Unlike most other stocks, Gilead Sciences operates in the research sector, not the tech sector. This means it follows a different cycle and is influenced by different capital flows. It tends to perform well when tech stocks do poorly. If tech stocks remain bullish, Gilead Science might continue to struggle. However, if there's a shift, Gilead Science could reverse and potentially reach up to $123, though this is quite far off. We are holding our position for now, hoping not to cut if the stock falls out of the range. If it does, we will take necessary action.
NASDAQ:GILDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
TIGR UP Fintech Holding Limited Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought TIGR before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TIGR UP Fintech Holding Limited prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 4usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-1-17, for a premium of approximately $0.72. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NASDAQ:TIGRLong
by TopgOptions
EURUSD Daily Analysis - A downward movement is expected towards Throughout the first day of the new week EURUSD remained consolidated at the levels of 1.0960/85. Today at 6 o'clock GMT we expect data on Industrial Production for the month of August in Germany, with expectations for a growth of 0.8% compared to the previous month, where we had a drop of -2.4%. The Eurogroup Meeting is another key event of the day that is likely to have an impact on currency markets. A little later in the day, however, the Bank of New Zealand is expected to cut interest rates more aggressively by 0.5% following the new trend of interest rate cuts around the world. From World-Signals.com, we expect a slight strengthening of the Euro, but it is very likely that the downward trend will continue towards the end of the week. Bet on a strategy to sell on slight bounces up to 1.1010+ with daily gains of 20-35 pips or short positions with bigger gains towards the end of the week.
Short
by World-Signals
GBP/USD Faces Continued Bearish PressureThe GBP/USD pair continues to experience downward pressure, primarily due to the resilience of the US Dollar. After breaking the key psychological level of 1.3100 following the release of stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, GBP/USD remains in a corrective phase. The NFP report showed a job growth of 254K in September, significantly surpassing the 140K forecast. Additionally, the Unemployment Rate dropped to 4.1%, further strengthening the US labor market outlook and reducing the likelihood of aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). As a result, the US Dollar has extended its gains, limiting any upward momentum for GBP/USD. Fundamentally, the Pound remains under pressure due to the dovish rhetoric from Bank of England (BoE) officials. Early Thursday, Governor Andrew Bailey's comments triggered a selloff in the Pound as the market interpreted his remarks as signaling imminent monetary easing. Although BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill struck a more cautious tone, stating that policymakers must avoid cutting rates "too far or too fast," this has done little to offset the bearish sentiment. In conclusion, the combination of a stronger US Dollar, resilient US labor market data, and the dovish BoE rhetoric creates a challenging environment for GBP/USD. Unless the pair can break through key resistance levels, the path of least resistance remains to the downside, with potential targets at 1.3050 and 1.3000 in the short term.
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Daily analyzes of EURUSD - Dollar regains lost positionsAmong the important fundamentals from Monday is Factory Orders for the month of August in Germany from 8am GMT. It is very likely that we will see another contraction that will negatively affect the Euro. In general, the industry in Germany has started to shrink and there are no chances for growth. The other important news is related to retail sales in the Eurozone at 11am GMT. Although we expect levels around zero or very little growth in retail sales. Among the world events that affect the currency markets are the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, where mainly the Euro may suffer due to disrupted supplies of both goods and fuels. Overall, the Dollar will be in a stronger position this week and we at World-Signals.com expect the Dollar to strengthen against the Euro. In the last week, the Dollar has taken about 200 pips on the Euro. In retrospect, the Dollar had 3 losing weeks, and only in the last one did it regain some of the lost positions. Use the 1.1010 levels to open short positions with a 6-8 business day closing target.
Short
by World-Signals