Multi-Timeframe Volume Profile and Divergence StrategyObjective:
To combine multi-timeframe analysis, volume profile insights, and divergence patterns for identifying high-probability trades.
1. Strategy Components
A. Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
Use three timeframes for analysis:
Higher timeframe (HTF): To identify the overall trend (e.g., Weekly/4H).
Intermediate timeframe (ITF): For spotting critical support/resistance zones (e.g., Daily/1H).
Lower timeframe (LTF): For precise entry and exit signals (e.g., 15M/5M).
B. Volume Profile:
Incorporate Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR):
Identify key areas: Point of Control (POC), High Volume Nodes (HVN), and Low Volume Nodes (LVN).
Use these levels as dynamic support and resistance.
C. Divergence Patterns:
Look for Bullish Divergence and Bearish Divergence on oscillators like:
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
MACD
Stochastic RSI
Combine divergences with price action near significant volume levels.
D. Additional Tools:
200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): For trend direction.
ATR (Average True Range): For stop-loss and take-profit levels.
Fibonacci Retracement: For confluence with volume profile levels.
2. Trading Plan
Step 1: Higher Timeframe Trend Identification
Use the HTF to establish whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or range.
Mark key swing highs, lows, and supply/demand zones.
Step 2: Intermediate Timeframe Analysis
Apply the Volume Profile on the ITF to find:
POC: Indicates price consensus.
HVN/LVN: Potential zones for reversals or continuation.
Watch for price approaching these levels.
Step 3: Lower Timeframe Execution
Monitor LTF for:
Divergence signals on oscillators.
Candle patterns like pin bars, engulfing candles, or inside bars at significant levels.
Confirm trades using:
Price breaking out of LVN or rejecting HVN.
Crossovers of EMA for extra confirmation.
3. Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profi t
Entry:
Long Position:
Price reacts at HVN/LVN near a support level.
Bullish divergence on LTF.
Short Position:
Price tests HVN/LVN near resistance.
Bearish divergence on LTF.
Stop Loss:
Place just beyond recent swing high/low or above/below the LVN/HVN zone.
Use ATR (1.5x) for volatility-based placement.
Take Profit:
First target: Nearby POC or Fibonacci levels.
Second target: HTF supply/demand zone
Strategy!
Nifty50 Trade Setup – February ExpiryAnalyzing the 7th Feb settlement prices using my proprietary OptionSigma model, a key level emerges: 23,698.80.
📌 Bullish Scenario: A clean breakout above 23,698.80 signals strength—potential long opportunities in Nifty February Futures or Monthly Call options.
📌 Bearish Scenario: Failure to breach this level? Shorting is the only play—either via futures or buying put options.
⚡ Stay sharp. Watch the price action around this level for confirmation!
#Nifty50 #OptionsTrading #IndexTrading #OptionSigma #FNO #TradingStrategy
GBP/JPY: Finally, the Rate Cut Has Arrived!GBP/JPY is facing significant bearish pressure, with the price dropping to around 188.40 in the recent sessions on February 6, 2025. The main catalyst behind this trend has been the Bank of England’s interest rate cut of 25 basis points, bringing it down to 4.5%. This decision has intensified the weakness of the British pound, prompting investors to liquidate long positions and fueling the strong decline in the pair. The market is now pricing in the possibility of further rate cuts in the coming months, which keeps sentiment firmly bearish.
From a technical perspective, the breakdown below the key level of 190.50 has confirmed the loss of bullish momentum. Even the recovery attempts seen in previous days, such as the rebound to 193.00 on February 4, have proven weak and incapable of reversing the primary trend. The current phase of weakness could lead the pair to test further lower support levels, with 187.50 and then 185.80 as possible bearish targets unless there is a positive reaction from the pound.
On the macroeconomic front, the divergence between the BoE and the Bank of Japan could theoretically provide some medium-term support for the pound, given that the BoJ continues to maintain an ultra-loose monetary policy. However, the market currently seems more focused on the deteriorating economic outlook for the UK and the increasing likelihood that the BoE will continue cutting rates, enhancing the yen’s appeal as a defensive asset. If risk-off sentiment intensifies, we could see an acceleration of the bearish trend in GBP/JPY, especially if the global market enters a more pronounced risk-averse phase.
EUR/USD: Between Rebound Hopes and Tariff TensionsThe EUR/USD pair experienced a strong rebound on Tuesday, rising by 0.8% and breaking a six-day losing streak, although it failed to reclaim the 1.0400 threshold. Despite this recovery, bullish momentum remains fragile as the euro is heavily influenced by broader market flows and the anticipation of upcoming US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data. The pair found initial support at the weekly low of 1.0209 on February 3, with a potential decline towards the 2025 bottom of 1.0176 if this support fails. A break below this level could pave the way for a test of the psychological parity threshold. On the upside, resistance is identified at 1.0532, the year’s high recorded on January 27. The pair’s recovery was driven by a weakening US dollar, as the Dollar Index (DXY) fell below the 108.00 support, influenced by market reactions to President Donald Trump’s plans to delay a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican goods while maintaining a 10% levy on Chinese imports. Although the US dollar has weakened, the tariff issue is expected to strengthen its position in the long term, potentially supporting a bullish outlook for the currency. Central banks also play a crucial role: the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged last week, signaling a cautious approach amid strong economic growth, persistent inflation, and low unemployment. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut rates by 25 basis points, hinting at possible further easing while expressing optimism about controlling eurozone inflation. ECB President Christine Lagarde emphasized a data-driven approach, ruling out the possibility of aggressive rate cuts. Trade tensions, particularly those linked to US tariffs, could further complicate the euro’s outlook. Prolonged tariffs could fuel inflation in the United States, prompting the Fed to adopt a more hawkish stance, which could strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the euro, potentially pushing the EUR/USD pair toward parity. Looking ahead, the euro faces challenges from the resilience of the US dollar, divergent monetary policies between the ECB and the Fed, and structural issues within the eurozone, such as Germany’s economic slowdown. While short-term rallies are possible, the overall outlook for the euro remains uncertain, with persistent risks related to geopolitical tensions and tariff policies likely to shape the pair’s trajectory.
GBP/AUD: The Impact of Tariffs on MarketsThe GBP/AUD exchange rate showed mixed movements from January 27 to February 4, 2025, closing at 1.99489 on February 4 with a decline of approximately 0.42% compared to the previous session. Despite a modest rally on February 3, with an increase of about 0.58%, the subsequent downturn signals prevailing bearish sentiment. This fluctuation highlights a cautious market environment influenced by several key factors. A technical report dated February 4 highlighted a symmetrical triangle pattern where, despite a bullish crossover of the 9-period moving average above the 14-period moving average, the price remains confined between a resistance level around 2.0050. This range-bound behavior reflects traders' hesitation as they await a decisive breakout to confirm the next directional trend. Additionally, geopolitical factors have significantly impacted volatility. The announcement of new U.S. tariffs by President Trump temporarily pushed GBP/AUD above 2.012. However, this rally was short-lived, with the rate retracting shortly after due to market adjustments, demonstrating the pair's sensitivity to external economic policies. Furthermore, risk-off flows have contributed to intermittent strength in GBP/AUD, but the overall sentiment remains mixed. Technical indicators and the persistent narrow trading range indicate ongoing uncertainty, applying continuous downward pressure on the pair.
DIS The Walt Disney Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on DIS:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DIS The Walt Disney Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 140usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-6-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Strategy 2025. Introducing Palantir, BTC Killer Of The Year 2024It's gone 3 months or so since Palantir stock has joined on Friday, September 20 Stock Top Club, also known as S&P 500 stock index SP:SPX .
Palantir was one of the strongest contenders for inclusion in the broad market S&P500 Index.
This inclusion, as well as Dell (DELL), came after tech companies Super Micro (SMCI) and Crowdstrike (CRWD) also joined the index earlier in this year 2024.
Since that, Palantir stock became the best (i.e. #1) S&P500 index performer this year, with current +375% YTD return in 2024, being highlighted at 80.55 USD per share - the new all the history peak reached last Friday, December, 19 at regular session close.
What is most important also, even recent Federal Reserve (The US Central Bank) hawkish projections on monetary policy in 2025 were not able to stop the only game in the city, or even make a pause on Palantir leadership.
Since Palantir stock is rallying 7th month in a row, the stalkers remain decently far away, swallowing the galactic dust of Palantir shares.
Judge for yourself.
One of the nearest pursuer, Nvidia Corporation NASDAQ:NVDA (# 4 out of all S&P500 index performers in 2024) is nearly to finish the year of 2024 with +170% return, i.e. lagging against Palantir behind twice.
The quite similar things happen with the most popular and heavy c-coin, also known as Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD that is currently +130% YTD return in 2024.
What is most important also, Palantir stock outperforms both - S&P500 index, Nvidia Corp. and Bitcoin 7th straight month in a row.
In human words that means, Palantir stock monthly returns (every single month from May to December 2024) were better against each of mentioned above assets.
What is Behind this?
On November 4, 2024 Palantir Technologies has announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024.
“We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won’t slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,” said Alexander C. Karp, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Palantir Technologies Inc.
Q3 2024 Highlights
• U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year and 14% quarter-over-quarter to $499 million
• U.S. commercial revenue grew 54% year-over-year and 13% quarter-over-quarter to $179 million
• U.S. government revenue grew 40% year-over-year and 15% quarter-over-quarter to $320 million
• Revenue grew 30% year-over-year and 7% quarter-over-quarter to $726 million
• Closed 104 deals over $1 million
• Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% quarter-over-quarter
• GAAP net income of $144 million, representing a 20% margin
• GAAP income from operations of $113 million, representing a 16% margin
• Adjusted income from operations of $276 million, representing a 38% margin
• Rule of 40 score of 68%
• GAAP earnings per share (“EPS”) grew 100% year-over-year to $0.06
• Adjusted EPS grew 43% year-over-year to $0.10
• Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities of $4.6 billion
• Cash from operations of $420 million, representing a 58% margin and $995 million on a trailing twelve month basis
• Adjusted free cash flow of $435 million, representing a 60% margin and over $1 billion on a trailing twelve month basis.
Is the stock growth fundamentally deserved? Definitely, "Yes".
Palantir stock Alpha
What is Alpha?
Alpha (a) is a term used in investing to describe an investment's ability to beat (outperform) the market, or its “edge.” Alpha is thus also often referred to as excess return or the abnormal rate of return in relation to a benchmark, or any other asset (even against simple sitting in a cash) when adjusted for risk.
The main graph represents a comparison across Bitcoin and Palantir stocks. Since Palantir outperforms BTC twice over the past 12 months (watch lower "percent bar chart" subgraph), so why isn't to continue the play, by staying in a long with Palantir, and kill "the new oranges" respectively.
USD/JPY: Will the Fed or BoJ Dominate the Tug of War?The USD/JPY exchange rate has shown both resilience and vulnerability in recent trading sessions, shaped by competing factors from monetary policy shifts to global economic developments. On the positive side, the U.S. dollar remains underpinned by Federal Reserve rate decisions, with market expectations of steady rates in the near term supporting its strength. Tariff threats from the U.S. administration further bolster the dollar’s safe-haven appeal, particularly as external economic pressures persist. Additionally, the pair has demonstrated an ability to recover from lower levels, such as rebounding to 155.50 during Tuesday's Asian trading, aided by softer Japanese service-sector inflation data. However, the Japanese yen has also gained momentum due to the Bank of Japan’s recent 25 basis point rate hike, which reflects a confident stance on inflation and wage growth trends. This decision has increased the yen’s attractiveness as a safe-haven asset, exacerbating pressure on the USD/JPY pair, particularly as global uncertainties and shifts in risk sentiment encourage investors to diversify into safe havens like the yen and the Swiss franc. Market sentiment surrounding U.S. economic vulnerabilities, including concerns over tariffs and a potential dovish shift by the Federal Reserve, has further weighed on the dollar. Traders are now pricing in a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed later this year, a factor that could erode the dollar’s appeal if realized. Overall, while USD/JPY has displayed moments of strength, the competing influences of U.S. dollar dynamics, Japanese yen strength, and global market sentiment create a volatile environment where traders must remain vigilant of economic data and central bank decisions.
MSFT Microsoft Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought MSFT when they reported 49% stake in OpenAI:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MSFT Microsoft Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 430usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $15.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Time to "ZOOM" back to winnings ways?On Thursday afternoon, the King Trading Momentum Strategy triggered alongside eleven other alerts, followed by five more on Friday. This flurry of signals doesn’t exactly indicate a “bearish” sentiment, but as always, the market has its unpredictable ways! With markets approaching all-time highs, I’ve been cautious, limiting my positions to just a few with low allocations in TNA, ADBE, PYPL, and XYZ.
When I analyzed Zoom (ZM), I noticed that it experienced a strong rally from July through the end of the year, gaining over 50%. Now, the key question is: has it finished consolidating, or is there more downside ahead?
Looking back to July, ZM’s performance suggests a classic bull flag pattern. It’s retraced to the 38% Fibonacci level, and during a two-hour window when the signal fired, the impressive “wick” formed caught my attention. Now, after a short-term pump, it’s retracing again, and I’m eyeing the 50% Fibonacci level as a potential entry point.
Unless Monday brings a major selloff due to concerns over the Fed meeting on Wednesday or the PCE data on Friday, I’ll likely use the usual morning volatility to position myself in this trade. Let’s see how this one unfolds!
The King Trading Momentum Strategy employs a robust combination of indicators: the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum measured by ADX+, and MACD confirmation. ZM, along with over 100 other equities, is integrated into this script with optimized backtested take-profit and stop-loss levels. Activating these parameters is as simple as checking a box (they’re off by default), making this strategy both powerful and user-friendly.
Scenario on XAUUSD 23.1.2025 [update]This analysis will only be about adjusting the level from the previous analysis, because my longivy setup turned out better than I expected, but now the question is what will happen next, I personally would like the scenario as I displayed it with sfp above high and then a proper correction to lower levels is important sr the level is at the price of 2730, if the market holds it then there could be a movement of gold to a new ath, but if this level were to break, my scenario would be fulfilled
SHOP Go Long! Will it break out this time?Recently SHOP has retraced and held the 50% Fib level and has been trading within a channel where it is about at the mid point of it. The King Trading Momentum Strategy yesterday issued a buy signal. This strategy combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes. It has been forming a bull flag on the hourly and pre-market suggests this may be ready to break out. I followed the signal and bought a half position, looking to protect the trade at take-profit of 4%. During backtest this proved to be an optimum area and a stop-loss of 3% is warranted. SHOP and over 100 equities are built into this script. If trade protects at 4%, a trailing stop-loss of 2% will be adhered to in order to lock in as much profit as possible if this stock breaks out of the descending channel! I'm thinking its not too late for me to add to this position given typical morning volatility.
GBP/USD: BOE Is Ready for the Big Cut!GBP/USD shows mixed signals, remaining below 1.2350, influenced by economic and political factors in both the UK and the US. After a strong rally on Monday, the pair lost momentum on Tuesday, driven by the recovery of the US Dollar and overall disappointing UK labor market data. The rise in the unemployment rate to 4.4% and a slowdown in employment growth weigh on the Pound, despite an annual wage increase of 5.6%. From a technical perspective, the RSI on the 4-hour chart signals a loss of bullish momentum, approaching the neutral level of 50 after being in the overbought zone. Key support levels are located at 1.2230 and 1.2200, while resistances are seen at 1.2350.
The Pound is also affected by an uncertain macroeconomic context, with Trump's comments indicating potential tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada, supporting a recovery in the Dollar due to its safe-haven status. In the absence of significant US economic data, investor focus shifts to stock market performance: a negative opening on Wall Street could support the Dollar, exerting additional bearish pressure on GBP/USD. In the short term, the pair may remain under pressure, with a potential test of key support levels, unless more solid signs of Pound strength or Dollar weakness emerge.
VZ Verizon Communications Options Ahead of EarningsIf you didn’t exit VZ before the selloff:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of VZ Verizon Communications prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 38.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-1-31,
for a premium of approximately $0.68.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
USD/JPY Under Pressure: Yen Strengthens Amid Bearish MomentumThe USD/JPY pair exhibits a clear bearish inclination, driven by a combination of economic and market factors that are strengthening the Japanese Yen and weakening the US Dollar. Currently, the pair has dropped to approximately 155.60, recording a 0.44% loss for the day, with sellers evidently attempting to push the price further toward critical support levels between 154.90 and 153.15. The downward pressure is amplified by rising expectations of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan, further supported by recent positive data such as improvements in Japan’s core machinery orders, signaling a recovery in capital expenditure. Simultaneously, uncertainty surrounding the economic policies of the Trump administration contributes to a negative climate for the US Dollar, which is already under pressure from a recent slowdown in buying flows.
From a technical perspective, the pair has encountered significant resistance in the 156.55-156.60 region, a level that halted previous recovery attempts and now acts as a key barrier. For a meaningful trend reversal, a sustained breakout above this resistance, followed by consolidation above 157.00, would be necessary to pave the way toward recent highs at 158.00 or even 158.85. However, the likelihood of a downward breakout seems more tangible, considering that the support at 155.25 represents the last defense before a drop toward the psychological level of 155.00 and further toward 154.60 and 153.30.
The current market environment, characterized by reduced trading volumes due to Martin Luther King Jr. Day in the US, suggests caution for traders, as dynamics could quickly shift with the return of liquidity and the announcement of potential monetary or political decisions in both Japan and the US. The combination of positive economic data for Japan and expectations of higher rates positions the Yen in a place of strength, while the Dollar may continue to struggle without a clear positive catalyst. Holding below 155.00 would be a significant signal for bears, indicating an extended downward trajectory toward deeper support levels.
DOTUSD Plunge Alert Precision Short Targeting 10%+ Gains !The asset, DOTUSD, is showing a sharp bearish momentum with a decline indicating strong selling pressure.
The current price is 6.905, while the short entry position aligns with a retracement after a peak profit zone
1. Trend Direction
The price has broken below green channel, signaling a trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
Red zones around the moving averages confirm the presence of downward momentum.
2.Entry Confirmation
The short position appears to be placed after the market failed to hold its highs (Peak Profit 10.14%) and created lower highs, validating the short trade setup.
Entry aligns with the rejection of resistance levels, suggesting a good risk-to-reward setup.
3. Risk Management
Stop-loss is placed slightly above the sell zone, covering the recent swing high. This limits risk in case of price retracement.
The profit target extends well below the entry, suggesting confidence in further downside potential.
4. Aetos Indicators
A potential momentum-based or moving average indicator is being used to highlight peak profit areas, confirming optimal trade execution.
The bearish engulfing candles in the sell region validate the short bias.
Projection
Target Zone: The profit target aligns with the 6.230 support level, indicating expectations of a 10% drop from the entry point.
Downside Risk: If bearish momentum continues, there could be a breakdown below 6.230, extending losses toward 6.000 or lower.
Analysis
DOTUSD is experiencing a sharp bearish reversal after failing to hold its highs. The short entry capitalizes on lower highs and rejection near the resistance. Stop-loss is strategically placed above recent highs, while the target aligns with key support levels. This trade setup is supported by
Bearish momentum.
Clear breakdown below the moving average channel.
High risk-to-reward ratio for short-term traders.
Strategy
Stay short below 6.905, targeting 6.230. If price retraces above 7.00, consider exiting the position. Always book profits partially and move SL to BE
SPX: MTF Cluster Support at 5,810 with EMA Confirmation StrategyCurrent Technical Setup
The SP:SPX is testing a significant cluster support level at 5,810, identified by FibExtender Pro with multiple timeframe confluence. The price has shown a clear reaction at this level, making it a potential launching point for a bullish move.
Entry Conditions
Primary Triggers Required:
8 EMA crossing above 34 EMA on 30-minute chart (currently bearish)
Price breaking above last swing high at 5,850
Price holding above cluster support at 5,810
Price Targets
First target: 6,000 (psychological level and major cluster resistance - 4 levels)
Second target: 6,170 (cluster resistance - 3 levels)
Risk Management
Stop Loss Parameters:
Place stops below 5,810 cluster support
Exit if price fails to hold above EMAs after entry
Cancel setup if entry triggers aren't activated
Timeframe Analysis
30-Minute Chart:
Currently bearish configuration
8 EMA below 34 EMA
Waiting for bullish crossover and Price breaking above last swing high at 5,850
Weekly Chart:
Strong bullish structure
Moving averages stacked positively
5,810 cluster support adds confluence
50 EMA > 200 EMA (bullish)
Time-Based Considerations
The January 13 time cluster provides an additional layer of confluence for potential trend reversal. This timing aligns with Fibonacci principles suggesting higher probability setups when time and price zones converge.
Special Notes
The mixed signals between timeframes require patience. The weekly chart provides a strong bullish foundation, but entry must wait for 30-minute confirmation signals to align. The setup becomes invalid if price breaks below cluster support without triggering entry conditions.
XAU/USD Analysis: Gold's Bullish Momentum Eyes $2,790The analysis of XAU/USD highlights a strong bullish momentum in the short term, with gold prices reaching a one-month high above $2,700 on January 16, 2025. This rally was supported by contrasting U.S. economic data: while consumer spending showed strength, the increase in unemployment claims contributed to a decline in U.S. Treasury yields, enhancing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Optimism regarding a possible Federal Reserve rate cut, driven by cooling inflation, has further strengthened positive sentiment toward gold, which has posted three consecutive sessions of gains. From a technical perspective, the breakout above the key resistance level of $2,697 opens the door to a potential target of $2,740, reinforcing the current bullish trend. However, traders remain focused on upcoming economic events, including the Federal Reserve's rate decision at the end of January and the release of CPI and Non-Farm Payrolls data in early February, which could significantly impact market sentiment. Expectations suggest that a potential rate cut or weak macroeconomic data could continue to support gold prices, while signs of economic strength or a rate hike might trigger bearish pressure. In the medium term, gold could fluctuate between $2,650 and $2,800, with the market remaining sensitive to monetary policy developments and inflation dynamics. In the long term, potential geopolitical stabilization and a global economic recovery could reduce interest in gold as a safe-haven asset, bringing prices to a range between $2,500 and $2,600.
The Prop Trader’s Secret: How to Trade for Real MoneyTrading for Profit vs. Trading to Make Money
There’s a critical difference between trading to be profitable and trading to make money. While they may seem like the same thing, they’re not—and as a trader, you must decide which approach you want to take. If your goal is to be a prop trader who actually makes money, here’s 3 ways you shift your mindset and strategy.
1. Make Frequent Withdrawals
Traders focused on making money consistently withdraw profits. I learned this the hard way during my early trading days, seven years ago. Back then, I was obsessed with being "profitable." My focus was on hitting arbitrary profit targets—green months, green quarters, and a green year. While that mindset works for hedge funds, it’s not ideal for prop traders.
To succeed in the prop trading space, you need to prioritize frequent withdrawals.
Hit a strong run and make 2.5%? Withdraw.
Have a profitable day and the withdrawal window opens tomorrow? Even if you’re only up 1%, withdraw.
Frequent withdrawals create a feedback loop: the more often you secure profits, the more motivated and disciplined you’ll be to continue nailing winning trades. Prop trading comes with inherent uncertainty, so obsessing over 10% profit targets or arbitrary milestones only sets you up for disappointment.
2. Follow the 1-1-1 Rule
Stick to the 1-1-1 rule:
Take 1 trade per day.
Risk 1% per trade.
Focus on 1 financial instrument.
Adhering to this rule will transform your trading. You’ll avoid overtrading, reduce your exposure to losing streaks, and eliminate the emotional tilt that often leads to blowing accounts.
This discipline has kept me consistently profitable over the years. Whether you’re trading GBPUSD, EURUSD, XAUUSD, or US30, pick one instrument and master it. The path to trading success is as much about mastering yourself as it is about mastering the market.
3. Focus on Small Risk-to-Reward Ratios (R:R)
Small R:R trades may not sound exciting, but they’re the backbone of consistent profitability. Catching a 1:10R move might feel like the ultimate trading achievement, but are you here to be "profitable" or to make money? Make up your mind.
Most traders chase high R:R setups, only to give back 80% of their gains after one emotional mistake. Instead, focus on smaller, attainable targets:
Learn to consistently spot 1:2, 1:3, and occasionally 1:4 R setups.
On a $200k account, a single 1:3R trade at 1% risk generates $6,000.
After locking in a winning trade, withdraw your profits and repeat the process. Over time, these smaller, consistent gains will make you far richer than grinding for massive R:R setups and risking it all in the process.
The Bottom Line
Prop trading is about discipline, consistency, and the ability to extract real money from the markets—not just hitting arbitrary profit goals. By making frequent withdrawals, following the 1-1-1 rule, and focusing on attainable R:R setups, you can trade with confidence, avoid burnout, and get make real money! Isn't that why we're all here?
Happy Trading
XRP is flying. How much further?I published this chart a few weeks ago showing the potential for a gorgeous fratcal that's appearing for XRP. Do we dare to dream to see if reach three figures as we continue to soar? There's a few other alternatives that I'll also share some ideas around. But, this could be the best uptick we've seen from any coin... ever.. Good luck and follow and share for more.
WFC Wells Fargo & Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought WFC before the breakout:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WFC Wells Fargo & Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 70usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-3-21,
for a premium of approximately $2.82.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.