USDJPY What will happen now?The USD/JPY pair is gaining momentum on the charts after the Federal Reserve's rate decision and update on inflation projections. It has surged to new highs near the 148.00 mark as the US dollar (USD) benefits from increasing inflation expectations set by the Fed. Starting at 147.50, the USD/JPY has gained a strong 50 pips following the Fed's rate decision. The Fed opted to maintain its benchmark rate at 5%, aligning with market expectations. However, the latest economic projections by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) indicate a higher-than-anticipated rise in near-term inflation. The FOMC's one-year forecast predicts inflation reaching 5.1%, surpassing the previous projection of 4.6%. This has caused market movements as they position themselves ahead of the Federal Reserve's upcoming press conference scheduled for the next hour. The USD/JPY has reversed its Wednesday's downward trend and surged towards the 148.00 mark during the early session.
Strategy!
How to trade Liquidity Sweeps 🌊 Trading liquidity sweeps 🌊 and identifying fake liquidity grabs 🕵️♂️ can be valuable skills for traders. These strategies involve capitalizing on market inefficiencies and understanding how institutional traders and algorithms influence price movements. In this guide, we'll explore what liquidity sweeps and fake liquidity grabs are and how to trade them effectively.
Understanding Liquidity Sweeps:
A liquidity sweep occurs when a trader executes a large market order that "sweeps" through the order book, clearing out available liquidity at various price levels. These sweeps often signal strong buying or selling interest, potentially leading to significant price moves.
Identifying Fake Liquidity Grabs:
Fake liquidity grabs 🎭 are market manipulation techniques used to deceive traders. Market makers or large players might place large orders on the order book to give the illusion of significant interest at a specific price level. However, they often cancel these orders before they get executed, leading to sudden reversals in price.
Trading Liquidity Sweeps:
Monitor Order Flow: Keep an eye on order flow and trade volume to identify sudden surges in trading activity. Liquidity sweeps are often accompanied by spikes in volume.
Identify Key Levels: Look for important support or resistance levels where liquidity sweeps are likely to occur. These levels can be based on technical analysis, such as previous highs or lows.
Entry and Stop-loss: Enter a trade when you spot a liquidity sweep that confirms your bias. Set stop-loss orders to manage risk in case the market moves against you.
Take Profits: Take profits when the market reacts as expected, but be prepared for quick price reversals. Liquidity sweeps can be followed by retracements.
Trading Fake Liquidity Grabs:
Be Cautious: Approach price moves driven by apparent liquidity grabs with caution. These moves can be short-lived.
Confirm Price Action: Wait for confirmation of the direction after the fake liquidity grab. Look for signs that real market sentiment is driving the price.
Risk Management: Place stop-loss orders to protect your capital in case the market reverses quickly. Avoid chasing the initial price move.
Use Additional Indicators: Combine your analysis with other technical indicators or market sentiment tools to increase your confidence in your trading decisions.
Conclusion:
Trading liquidity sweeps and fake liquidity grabs can offer opportunities for profit, but they also come with risks. It's essential to have a clear strategy, strict risk management rules, and the ability to adapt to rapidly changing market conditions. As with any trading strategy, practice and experience will help refine your skills in identifying and capitalizing on these market dynamics. 🚀📈🌊
🥶 FACT: Most traders quit year one. Hmm, but why? 🤔You all heard the statistic, "gambling is more profitable than trading - 13 out of 100 gamblers leave the casino with gains compared to 1 out of 100 traders". Yeah yeah. Nice story. Now tell us the real story. The market is not a casino. Don't compare. What about the thousands of traders making consistent gains?
It's a FACT that most traders quit their trading "hobby" or "career" within their first year of trading.
But what's ALSO a FACT is most traders:
Don't take profits when they see them (keep holding for more).
Go too heavy on a single trade.
Go all in on a single trade.
HODL for glory, even when they're super green on a trade.
Are too bullish/ bearish and turn a blind eye to the other bias.
Are over-speculating all the time (i.e. " NASDAQ:AMD 120 tomorrow. All in calls"
Trade without a chart.
Have no risk management.
Don't follow their own rules.
Have no trading strategy.
One cannot state the first "fact" without stating the other; the real reason. Otherwise, that's a shallow statistic. That's like looking at a 15 min chart and not realizing that each candle is constructed of 1,000+ mini candles.
Here's a 15 min NASDAQ:AMZN chart:
Here's the same chart in 15 second candles:
Zooming in to the chart gives you a clearer picture. Digging deep into the "quitting" traders' psychology, you'll get the answer. Also, I wouldn't say they quit. It's possible that the energy they were putting in wasn't paying off, and they didn't want to waste their time any further.
Treat your trading like a job. Be strict. You see quick +20% profit? Take it. But you believe it's going higher? Still take it. Find another trade. Baby gains add up!
Most traders who got burned on NYSE:AMC NYSE:GME , kept HODLing.
This is coming from someone who bought NYSE:AMC at $2.13 pre-split in 2021 and sold around $25 and $70:
ACHIEVING SUPER GAINS WILL RUIN YOUR MENTALITY!
You will start treating the market like a casino.
You will stop appreciating the smaller 20 to 40% gainers that you can do once per day or week.
You will see yourself starting to go heavy because you "believe" that "this is the next banger".
To avoid all this headache, build a strategy slowly over time, use the right tools to plan your trade, find a community to trade with, use proven strategies (i.e. support/ res, supply/ demand, patterns), go light in your first 1,000 trades, and so on. Happy to help if you have any questions below.
Follow for more insight and for live trade swing & day-trade ideas! Good luck trading! Trade safe and don't go all in.
Baby gains add up.
Nasdaq Outlook waiting the FED!On the Nasdaq, we have a bearish setup with the price breaking a swing low at the level of 15400. The price has reached a resistance/support zone. So, at this point, I expect two scenarios: a short and a long position. I've highlighted on the chart the potential path the price could take... we'll see tomorrow if the Fed can move the markets. Let me know what you think. Happy trading, everyone, from Nicola.
The JXY: Will It Continue to Rise?My first analysis about the JXY. It will be done periodically from now on to keep a fresh perspective over one of the most important currencies in the world.
The Japanese Currency Index (JXY) is a stock market index that measures the performance of the Japanese yen against a basket of six other major currencies: the US dollar, the euro, the British pound, the Swiss franc, the Canadian dollar, and the Australian dollar. The JXY is calculated by weighting the currencies in the basket according to their relative importance to the Japanese economy.
Technical Analysis
On the 30-minute chart, the JXY is currently trading around its 50-day moving average (MA) and its 200-day MA. This suggests that the index will most likely reverse the trend on this smaller timeframe soon. However, the JXY is also facing resistance at its 50-day MA. If the JXY cannot break through this resistance level, it could fall back to its 200-day MA.
On the 4-hour chart, the JXY is also trading around its 50-day MA and its 200-day MA. However, the JXY is also facing resistance at its 50-day MA. If the JXY cannot break through this resistance level, it could fall back to its 200-day MA.
Fundamental Analysis
The Japanese economy is the third-largest in the world, but it has been struggling in recent years due to a number of factors, including an aging population and a declining birth rate. The Japanese government has implemented a number of policies to stimulate the economy, but these have not been successful in boosting growth.
The Bank of Japan has also taken steps to support the economy by keeping interest rates low. However, this has led to a weakening of the Japanese yen. The JXY has fallen by over 20% against the US dollar in the past year.
I hope this post is helpful.
This analysis represents my thoughts at the date it is posted.
This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice.
You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information.
Guide: SMA and RSI for Trend ReversalsWelcome, traders! In this comprehensive guide, we'll explore a long-term trading strategy that leverages two powerful technical indicators: the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). By the end, you'll have a solid understanding of how to use these tools to identify trend reversals and make informed trading decisions with a focus on the bigger picture. 📉📈
Educational Objectives:
Understand the concept of long-term trading and its benefits.
Learn how to use the Simple Moving Average (SMA) to identify trends.
Master the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for spotting overbought and oversold conditions.
Combine SMA and RSI for a comprehensive long-term trading strategy.
Recognize key points of trend reversal for well-timed entries.
📌 Part 1: The Foundation of Long-Term Trading
Long-term trading focuses on capturing significant price movements over extended periods.
It requires patience, discipline, and the ability to ignore short-term noise.
📌 Part 2: Understanding the Simple Moving Average (SMA)
SMA is a trend-following indicator that smooths price data to reveal the underlying trend.
The 200-day SMA is particularly useful for long-term analysis, indicating the overall trend direction.
An upward-sloping 200-day SMA suggests a bullish trend, while a downward slope indicates a bearish trend.
📌 Part 3: Mastering the Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI measures the speed and change of price movements, helping identify overbought and oversold conditions.
An RSI above 70 suggests overbought conditions and a potential trend reversal.
An RSI below 30 indicates oversold conditions, potentially signaling a trend reversal to the upside.
📌 Part 4: Combining SMA and RSI for Long-Term Trading
Look for confluence: Confirm trend reversals when the 200-day SMA aligns with RSI overbought or oversold signals.
A bearish signal could be an overbought RSI crossing below the 200-day SMA, signaling a potential downtrend.
A bullish signal might be an oversold RSI crossing above the 200-day SMA, suggesting a potential uptrend.
📌 Part 5: Identifying Points of Trend Reversal
Key points to recognize trend reversals include:
Divergence: When the price makes new highs or lows but RSI doesn't, it signals a potential reversal.
Crossovers: Pay attention to the 200-day SMA crossing above or below the price chart.
Volume: Increasing trading volume often accompanies trend reversals.
🚀 Conclusion:
Long-term trading can be highly rewarding, but it requires a deep understanding of market trends and the right tools. By combining the SMA and RSI indicators, you gain a powerful strategy for identifying trend reversals and making well-informed trades with long-term potential. Remember that no strategy is infallible, so always employ proper risk management techniques and continuously refine your trading skills.
❗See related ideas below❗
Like, share, and leave your thoughts in the comments! Your engagement fuels our crypto discussions. 💚🚀💚
XAUUSD: Investors' Post-Fed Outlook?On XAUUSD, we have a bullish setup as the market is gaining strength in anticipation of a new monetary tightening by the Fed. I noticed a breakout of a significant swing high, leading to the creation of a demand zone at the level of 1920-1930. I'll await a bounce within this range, where I'll assess the presence of at least one structural change at the 15-minute timeframe, which could prompt me to enter a long position targeting the supply area at 1940-1945 for a short-term trade. For a long-term trade, I might seek the support/resistance level at 1950-1960. Let me know what you think. Greetings from Nicola.
Is EUR/USD ready for the Fed?On the EUR/USD pair, we have a bullish setup in anticipation of this Wednesday's Fed meeting. The H4 bias is long after a breakout in the afternoon at the level of 1.0690. My objective will be to look for a short opportunity with a slight bounce in the 1.067 area where we have a buying zone, and subsequently seek a long opportunity with a target of 1.0750 where we have a supply zone. Let me know what you think. Happy trading to everyone.
Will GBP/USD manage to rise?On GBP/USD, we have a price that is within a buying range, between the levels 1.2340 and 1.24. Currently, my objective is to look for a structural breakout on M15 during the London session at opening and closing, and during the New York opening. The price could reach the selling range at the 0.38% Fibonacci level at 1.2435 and then test the second selling range at level 1.25, which is the 0.5% Fibonacci level. Let me know what you think. Happy trading to everyone, from Nicola.
EUR/USD: Will the FED Surprise by Raising Rates?On EUR/USD, we have a bearish setup in anticipation of the FED meeting this week, specifically regarding the interest rate decision. The market has broken seven swing lows from the 1.07 - 1.0670 level, demonstrating its explosive strength. However, I continue to emphasize this simple concept: a break of a swing low signifies a show of strength, but at the same time, it's an excellent opportunity to look for long positions, essentially at the lows. In this case, on Monday during the London session, I will look for a falling wedge pattern at the 15-minute chart with a possible entry at a Falling Wedge Breakout (FVG) and a potential target at the 0.62% Fibonacci retracement level, which is at 1.071. Let me know what you think. Greetings and happy trading to everyone, from Nicola.
SCHL Scholastic Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SCHL Scholastic Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 40usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-12-15,
for a premium of approximately $3.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
CASY Casey's General Stores Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CASY Casey's General Stores prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 260usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $2.02.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Role of Risk Management in Trading and How to calculate riskThe Foundations of Solid Risk Management 🛡️📊:
Risk management in trading involves a series of strategic decisions aimed at minimizing potential losses. It revolves around understanding the risks associated with each trade and employing measures to mitigate them. Whether you're a novice or an experienced trader, risk management remains a non-negotiable aspect of sustainable trading.
👍 Pros of Effective Risk Management:
Shields your trading capital from significant losses.
Provides a structured framework for decision-making.
Fosters discipline and rationality in the face of market fluctuations.
👎 Cons of Neglecting Risk Management:
Exposes your portfolio to undue risks that can lead to substantial losses.
Increases the likelihood of emotional decision-making driven by fear and greed.
The Emotional and Financial Benefits of Risk Management 🧘♂️❤️:
Effective risk management isn't just about preserving your financial resources; it's also about maintaining emotional equilibrium. When traders implement robust risk management strategies, they reduce the psychological stress and anxiety that often accompany trading. This enables traders to make more logical decisions, avoiding impulsive actions triggered by heightened emotions.
Calculating Position Size and Setting Stop Losses 📈🛑:
Two key elements of risk management are calculating the appropriate position size and setting stop-loss levels. These practices are integral to controlling the amount of capital at risk in each trade. By determining the position size based on a percentage of your capital and setting stop-loss orders to limit potential losses, traders ensure that no single trade can significantly erode their account balance.
Comparing Potential Losses and Gains for Different Risk Management Scenarios 💹📉:
Let's explore how the 2% rule affects potential outcomes for different risk management scenarios:
Risking 2% of a $1000 Deposit:
Maximum Risk per Trade: $20 (2% of $1000)
Potential Loss: Limited to $20 per trade
Potential Gain: Can vary, but the focus is on maintaining risk control
Risking 5% of a $1000 Deposit:
Maximum Risk per Trade: $50 (5% of $1000)
Potential Loss: Larger at $50 per trade
Potential Gain: Higher, but the risk of significant losses is elevated
Risking 10% of a $1000 Deposit:
Maximum Risk per Trade: $100 (10% of $1000)
Potential Loss: Considerably larger at $100 per trade
Potential Gain: Higher compared to 2% risk, but risk of capital depletion is significant
How to calculate your position size ?
You can easily calculate risk directly in TradingView using the built-in calculator!
Choose the direction of your position - long or short.
The next step is to set up according to your deposit and risk per trade.
After that, simply drag it onto the chart in line with your stop loss and take profit (more on this in the upcoming article), and it will automatically calculate the position size for you!
GBP/USD Will Today be the Big Day?On GBP/USD, we have identified a bearish setup following the Eurozone data and the data on the dollar. During this morning, the market began to change its structure on a 15-minute timeframe, creating an important entry zone at the level of 1.2412. This trade will be confirmed today during the London ink hour, that is after the release of US data, which could affect this idea in case of significant results for the dollar. Naturally, looking at the chart, it is noticeable that the price has broken several swing lows, thus creating two selling zones: one at the level of 1.2480 and another at the level of 1.2550. The first one will be used as a target in case of a long entry. Let me know what you think. Greetings and happy trading to all.
Battle-tested through the ups and downs of Etherium historyA trading strategy that's been battle-tested through the ups and downs of Eth's history. This strategy doesn't blink in the face of market chaos or get swayed by emotions. It's a calculated game plan that knows when to step in and when to step back.
Compare that to emotional investing, where fear and greed call the shots. Imagine making decisions when you're on an emotional rollercoaster—buying high in excitement and selling low in panic. That's a recipe for disaster.
A backtested risk-managed strategy, though, is like a cool-headed coach that sticks to the game plan no matter what. It's about discipline, rules, and consistency. So, do you want to ride the emotional wave or play the long game with a strategy that has been consistently profitable year on year since 2016 (start of Eth - substantiated by backtest data).
Average annual net profit (substantiated by the backtest)
196% (No Leverage) & 661% (3x leverage)
This year (Jan 2023 to Sep/15th/2023) has already generated
45.21% (no leverage) 144.93% (3x leverage) in net profit.
This strategy does Not re-paint, No-look ahead bias. and 100% forward tested. Tradingview has a default caution for strategies that use the multitimeframes data. This does not apply to this strategy as all calculations are based on closed bars.
So how does it work?
Postions are entered based on RSI Divergence on Higher Timeframes and confirmed by the ATR.
Stop Loss and Trailing ATR-based Take Profit:The strategy incorporates a risk management mechanism with a built-in stop loss set at 8%. Additionally, it employs a trailing take profit mechanism based on ATR. This means that as the trade moves in the desired direction, the take profit level adjusts itself based on the current volatility, allowing for gains to be secured as the trend progresses.
SMI-based Re-entry after Stop-out:
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) is used as a re-entry signal if the trade is stopped out (i.e., the stop loss is triggered). This re-entry is contingent on higher timeframes and ATR still supporting the original trend, indicating that the initial stop-out may have been a false signal.
Portfolio Reinvestment for Compound Growth:
The strategy allocates 95% of the portfolio's capital to each trade.
This approach maximizes the potential for compound growth, as a significant portion of the available capital is reinvested in each trade, provided that risk management rules are satisfied. This approach is appropriate for this strategy as strict risk management is applied and the winrate is almost 50%
Accounting for Exchange Fees:
Exchange fees, set at 0.1%, are factored into the strategy's calculations.
This ensures that trading decisions take into account the cost of executing trades on the exchange.
Avoiding Lookahead Bias and Repainting:
The strategy is designed to prevent lookahead bias by making calculations based only on closed bars of price data. Lookahead bias occurs when future data is used to make past trading decisions, potentially leading to unrealistic expectations.
Mechanical Consistency Weekly Review 8; +8% Return.04 Sep to 08 Sep 2023
TL;DR
Total Profit of approximately $800 (around +800%) for the 1st week of September 2023.
Total 8 trades, 6 wins & 2 loss.
1-hour Timeframe, Oanda, XAUUSD(Gold), $10,000 Capital, $200/ 2% per trade.
Mechanical Consistency Trading Strategy; Purely rule-based strategy, zero guesswork, zero analysis.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The content for this article is purely for educational/research purposes only and is merely based on my personal opinions.
Please note: There will be affiliate links in this article. But it will only benefit both of us. If you do not wish to participate under my affiliate links, please feel free to Google them separately. Cheers!
I'm truly thankful for yet another successful week employing my mechanical consistency strategy. My retracement trades are consistently delivering the expected results, while any losses I've incurred can be attributed solely to my mean reversion trades on Tuesday. Let's review every day.
Monday (04 September 2023)
1x Win Trade
Daily bias: Downtrend
I was only able to trigger a retracement trade on Monday, but it turned out to be a highly profitable one. Despite the slowing down at night, I was fortunate that the price continued its downtrend the following day, reaching my desired profit level.
Tuesday (05 September 2023)
2x Lose trades
Daily bias: Downtrend
The only losing days I've had this week were both due to my mean reversion trades. These trades carry significant risk since they go against the prevailing trend, relying on a rebound to reach my 21 SMA+EMA level. Unfortunately, the downward trend proved to be stronger, resulting in losses.
Wednesday (06 September 2023)
1x Partial win & 1x full win trades
Daily bias: Downtrend
Contrastingly, I managed to secure a profit with my two mean reversion trades on Wednesday. Fortunately, the price did rebound successfully in both cases, albeit with the first trade yielding a partial profit and the second trade lasting until Friday morning. Nonetheless, I'm quite satisfied with the overall outcome.
Thursday (07 September 2023)
0x trade
Daily bias: Downtrend
There were no trades on Thursday as my mechanical consistency strategy did not trigger any of my limit orders. It was yet another stress-free day for me.
Friday (08 September 2023)
1x partial win 2x solid win trades
Daily bias: Uptrend
Friday turned out to be quite a rollercoaster day for me, with three consecutive trades triggering throughout the day. Fortunately, all of these trades ended in profit. The first mean reversion trade yielded a partial win, the second mean reversion trade was an immediate victory with zero drawdowns, and the third retracement trade delivered a profit by Monday morning.
Endnote
While I encountered some losses with my mean reversion trades due to their inherent risk of going against the trend, I also enjoyed significant profits from retracement and mean reversion trades that went as planned. Despite the fluctuations, my mechanical consistency strategy helped maintain a stress-free approach to trading, and I ended the week on a positive note, with successful trades on Friday. This experience reinforces the importance of a well-rounded trading strategy and the need to adapt to market conditions while remaining disciplined and focused on long-term goals.
Learn My Strategy For Free
As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look for the "perfect" trading opportunity. This is why I adopted the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money. This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making.
If you want to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in bio. Thank you!
Will the ECB push up the EURGBP price?On EURGBP, we have a bullish setup, as can be seen from the highlighted trendline. The price is within an H4 demand box where it recorded an FVG/Imbalance at the level of 0.8580 this morning, and where we could look for a long entry with the target being the yellow box at the level of 0.8620. This represents another area for a GVG imbalance where we could instead look for a short entry. Let me know what you think. Happy trading to everyone.
EURUSD CPI has confirmed the story already written!On EURUSD, we have a bullish setup with the price currently in a buying zone, within which there are two more. The price retraced to an uptrend line and is gearing up for a significant upward movement. This movement has been confirmed by the market after the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, despite positive data for the dollar, showing that an algorithm is actually pulling the strings, and the story has already been written. In fact, the CPI only caused a temporary downward volatility to further validate the entire area. So, what can we say? We're awaiting the European Central Bank (ECB) tomorrow, but the setup is bullish, and there's little more to add. Target at 1.08 with a stop below 1.07. Let me know what you think. Leave a like and comment to support our work. Happy trading, everyone.
EURJPY Is it time to go short?On EURJPY, we can observe a bullish setup following a breakout of a bearish trendline. The price has breached a significant swing high at the 157.70 level, creating a buying zone, as seen on the chart. This zone might also lead the price to retest the trendline. Furthermore, the price around 158.44 appears to have made highs during the Asian session and seems to have made a false breakout with the last 4-hour candle at a swing high level of 158.50. My objective will be to look for short-term trading opportunities during the London session. I'll keep an eye on this currency pair only in the morning and it will be the only one I'll monitor at least until noon when we have the U.S. CPI data. Let me know what you think, happy trading, everyone.
AUD/JPY - The Price of PatienceThe AUD/JPY pair is trading in a sideways range on the 30-minute chart, with the price currently consolidating between the 94.20 and 94.40 levels. The pair has been trading in this range for the past few days, and it is unclear which way it will break out.
Fundamental Analysis
The fundamental factors that are affecting the AUD/JPY pair include the following:
The Australian economy is growing at a slower pace than expected, which is weighing on the Australian dollar.
The Japanese economy is also growing at a slower pace, but the Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates low, which is supportive of the Japanese yen.
The risk appetite of investors is declining, which is making them less willing to hold riskier assets like the Australian dollar.
Technical Analysis
The technical indicators on the 30-minute chart are mixed. The RSI is neutral, while the MACD is bearish. The stochastic oscillator is also bearish, but it is starting to turn up.
Conclusion
The AUD/JPY pair is trading in a sideways range on the 30-minute chart. The fundamental factors are mixed, and the technical indicators are also mixed. The pair is likely to remain range-bound for the time being, but it could break out to the upside or downside if there is a significant change in the fundamental or technical factors.
EURUSD Long BIAS + Pre-CPI Accumulation!On EURUSD, we have a bullish setup with the price located in a buying zone, within which there are two more. The price has retraced on a bullish trendline and is gearing up for a significant upward impulse. Everyone is awaiting tomorrow's data on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), while the price is accumulating in the meantime. It will be important to prepare for the distribution phase tomorrow. Furthermore, in the case of a long trade, one could target the level of 1.08, where we have a previous swing high, with a possible stop below 1.07 for now. Let me know what you think. Leave a like and comment in support of our work. Happy trading to all.
USDJPY Waiting CPI + Long Bias!On USDJPY, we have a bearish setup with the price, which, after the structural break of two swings at the level of 146, has started to show signs of a change in direction, from short to long. On the 15-minute chart, during the London session, I identified an entry box, which is an area of inefficiency or FVG at the level of 146.15. In this zone, we might consider entering long tomorrow if there is a retracement during the American session. In addition to this zone, tomorrow I will look for further confirmations to continue in the long direction. Let me know what you think, leave a like, and comment. Happy trading to all.
GBPJPY Will tomorrow be the big downturn?On GBPJPY, we have a bullish setup after a bearish start to the week. The price, reaching the level of 184.26, broke a swing high on Friday, signaling a potential downturn. Furthermore, the price is getting closer to a supply area, specifically the range of 184.50 - 184.80, where we could look for a short opportunity. My goal for tomorrow, at the opening of the London session, will be to seek a potential bearish setup on a 15-minute chart (M15). I'll wait for a structural change followed by a liquidity pickup in a specific market phase, and then I'll enter the market. I'll only consider trading GBPJPY during the London trading session, and only if my setup occurs. Otherwise, I'll remain on the sidelines and monitor the situation. Let me know what you think, comment, and leave a like to support our work. Greetings and have a great Sunday.