GBPNZD SHORT SETUP AFTER EURO NEWSOn gbpnzd, we have a bearish setup after the trendline breakout this morning following the Eurozone PMI data. The price is heading towards the 2.0485 area, where we have a POC (Point of Control), which is a specific entry point for a long trade if the price reaches and bounces from the POC, representing the highest concentration of orders. In that zone, the market could rebound with a target at 2.0850. Leave a like to support our work, comment, and share your analysis. Greetings from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
Strategy!
EUR/CAD TRADE LONG AFTER NEWS - H1In the EURCAD pair, we have a long setup with the price about to break a supply zone, starting from a demand zone at 1.47. After the breakout, I expect a bounce as the price could form a pattern of our invention, called Forex48 Block. Here, we could enter long with a target around 1.4870. Let me know what you think, share your analysis, give a like to support our work, and have a great day of trading from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
AUD/USD SHORT TRADE H1 - WAITING FEDOn AUD/USD, we have a bearish setup, with the price possibly bouncing back to the 0.6745 area before further descending, as we have a FVG there, which means a point of high probability of reversal. The price could then drop to the 0.6670 zone, where, in addition to a bullish FVG, we also have a Forex48 block, providing two points of reversal that the price could use to consolidate for a few hours/days before pushing upward. This is assuming confirmation on M15 + H1 timeframes. Let me know what you think. Have a great day and happy trading from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy
USD/CAD BULLISH SETUP H1- FED RATES!!!On USDCAD, we have a bullish setup with the price in the 1.3224 zone. There's a bullish trendline with a double bounce, and we're anticipating a third bounce around 1.32020, where we also have a Volume Profile Gap (FVG). This presents excellent opportunities for the price to rebound at that point and go long, with a potential target around 1.327, which is a sell area due to the presence of a Forex48 block – an area with a high reaction if the price approaches it with the right confirmations on the M15 timeframe. The important thing is not to let FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) take over but always stick to your own trading plan. Have a great weekend and happy trading to everyone from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
THIS IS THE REASON YOUR STRATEGY DOESN'T WORKThe title is brash, I know. But before you click away, answer these two questions:
1) How many strategies have you tried?
2) How many strategies have you backtested through several years and thousands of trades?
If you have tried more strategies than you've backtested rigorously, then stick around because that's probably the reason why you're losing money.
Imagine this. Florence is a novice trader. He's seen the thousands of dollars in profit a kid 10 years younger than him can generate. He's seen the kid flexing his Lambo on Instagram. The kid mentions RSI a few times, so Florence assumes the RSI indicator is the secret to insane profits. Florence is chomping at the bits and loads up a fresh Webull account with $3,000. Every time the RSI is above 70 on a stock, he shorts that stock.
Lo and behold, after 5 trades, Florence's account now sits at $2,300. He concludes the indicator does not work.
Florence perseveres and is determined to find the secret strategy to quick profits. He scraps the RSI and studies "support and resistance" trading from a few youtube mentors. He reloads his Webull account back up to $3,000. With a refreshed vision, he shorts anytime a stock is at resistance and longs anytime a stock hits support. Sadly, after 10 trades, his account is down again, this time to $2,600.
Florence is flabbergasted.
The story goes on. He attempts implementing strategy after strategy and continues to lose money. Unfortunately, many of us are Florence. We did what he did. We got into the game without a blueprint or game plan.
And this is why my title is brashly stated, "If you don't read this you are going to lose money," because it's true. If you resemble Florence even in the slightest, basing the success of your trading strategy on a handful of trades, then how do you expect to know what strategy is actually successful?
I don't blame you for approaching trading like Florence. In today's age, we are seeing the market oversaturated with traders and trading coaches, or even worse, "trading influencers". As with any influx of the masses, we are going to get the scumbags trying to get you to buy their image and product by falsifying the simplicity and ease of trading.
If you are jumping between strategies without quantifying its success and failure rates over thousands of scenarios, then stop trading right now because you are going to continue losing money. Find a backtesting service or at the least log every single trade you take. Whatever it is, slow down and find proof of failure before declaring failure. I don't want you to fall into a never-ending hole of searching for the "right" indicator/strategy. The truth is, most of the strategies you've thrown away probably work and you don't even know it.
VZ Verizon Communications Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold VZ here:
Then analyzing the options chain and chart patterns of VZ Verizon Communications prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 31usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $1.08.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
GBP/USD BULLISH SETUP DURING FED WEEKRegarding GBP/NZD, we have identified a bearish setup with decreasing highs and lows. It's immediately noticeable that the price has dropped over 320 pips, equivalent to 2.5%, in the last two weeks, indicating that the market is already pricing in the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike.
In my view, I expect the price to potentially reach the level of 1.2812, where we have a Fibonacci level, which could be a possible reversal point with the necessary confirmations, of course. Subsequently, the price could turn long with a target of 1.31. This is also supported by the fact that the pound is expected to recover economically in the coming months, bringing in very positive macroeconomic data for the currency.
Let me know what you think in the comments. Happy trading and have a great weekend, everyone, from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
EUR/USD BEARISH SETUP - 2 ENTRIESRegarding EURUSD, we have a bearish trend starting from 1.1230, with the price heading towards the 1.10 zone. At the moment, there are two potential zones where the price could reverse, one at the level of 1.1070 and another at the level of 1.0970. In both cases, we have a very high-value FVG, which means a significant gap. If we receive confirmations on both the H1 and M15 timeframes, it might be considered to enter a long position. However, it is crucial to wait for the right confirmations and avoid trading during significant news events. Risk management and capital preservation should always be a priority. Greetings to everyone from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy, and have a great weekend!
HOW TO START BUILDING A STRATEGY?As it is said, A strategy is a reflection of a trader’s character . Whatever sentiments/emotions you have, reflect in your trading decisions. At first, people think that, ‘I will use xyz indicator and buy here and sell there’, thinking it’s easy to have a method that is simple. But when reality hits, all the simplicity runs out of the window with your money. Trading is not for those who take it lightly. You have to respect the market before coming up with a strategy that suits your personality/mindset/character.
One might ask, what does personality have to do with trading? And that’s where all the secrets are. Newbie traders often run after YouTube channels, Twitter handles of some high MTM traders and try to copy them. They keep hopping from one setup to another. Because in the beginning, traders do not have the knowledge of risk management, importance of back testing etc. You should test your strategy for at least 100 trades before scrapping it. And that’s where they lack. But in my experience, you may learn the method from another trader but you cannot learn the mindset . You have to develop that on your own. There are certain ways of self-assessment when it comes to finding the right approach towards trading. Just because some day trader is making a killing in the market every day, doesn’t mean you can replicate the same performance too. You might be well suited for positional/swing trading. Just like that if someone is better in swing trading, you may be crafted for long term investing if not that even for scalping. There is a vast array of segments to choose from. From intraday to swing and scalping to options writing.
You can decide any segment as per your patience level. The only goal should be to make money. You are not here to be right or wrong. You are here to make a living.
Choosing a trading style is completely based on your patience level. If you are a patient trader then you can go for short to long term trading. Find the good setups, take the trade and sit tight. Your actions should be either target or stop loss. You can manage the trade as per your style e.g. , pyramiding or averaging.
If you are an adrenaline junkie, then intraday, scalping & F&O trading is your cup of tea. But remember that the lesser the trade duration, more the chances of losses . Because these segments are much more risky than those of others. You need the skill of a sniper & the eye of an eagle to execute such trades and come out of it profitably.
Now the question is how to decide? There are some ways you can shorten the learning curve, some of them are as follow…
1.Mentor👨🏫:
Mentor is the person who is willing to share his experience to those who seek to shorten the learning curve. Warren Buffet had Benjamin Graham, Rakesh Jhunjhunwala had Radhakishan Damani . Everyone needs a mentor, be it in the form of books or a person . Learning what not to do is more important than learning what to do? And that is the biggest lesson I’ve learned from my mentors . A mentor teaches you that in the most practical ways by showing some real-life examples. He will also tell you when to trade and when not to. Because compulsive trading is one of the major reasons why traders lose big. So, finding a good mentor should be your priority.
2.Self-Learning🎓✍️:
There are some successful self-made traders who learned from trial and error. But you need to check the time they took to be successful. It’s not impossible but it’s time consuming. Also, you need to have lots of patience and money as well. Because self-learning is like flying a plane by reading manuals. You have to do all the work from developing a strategy to back testing it and it's too lengthy process to start with. You can self-learn trading, but be ready to give it time.
3.Books📚:
Aahh books… the first love of any trader. For me it still is. I read as much as possible. The very foundation of my trading journey is based on reading. I read many books in my initial days. Some of them still help me today. But textbook knowledge is not sufficient in real time trading . You can learn patterns such as triangle, channel, cup and handle and head and shoulders. But textbook patterns are so rare that it’s exhausting to spot them on charts let alone trade them, unless you have a knack for them. It’s a good start but not the best process.
Above information should give you some perspective on how to approach the market and build your strategy. Strategy doesn’t just mean a trading setup (Entry & Exit). It includes everything from trade setup to your mindset. Find the best possible way, stick to it and follow the path. Eventually you will reach the destination.
Keep learning, keep growing…!! 💗✨
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EUR/CAD DOUBLE SHORT ENTRY SETUPS H1On EURCAD, we have a bearish setup with the price forming a supply zone yesterday during the American session, effectively creating a FOREX48 BLOCK and an FVG (Force Vector Group). In the first case, if there is a re-test of the 1.4690 level, we could look for confirmations for a short trade. In the second case, the FVG in the 1.4680 area, where, with confirmation on the H1 and M15 timeframes, we could look for a short trade. We enter with a target at 1.4560. Let me know your thoughts in the comments. Happy trading to everyone and have a great day from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
CHF/JPY SHORT ENTRY - SETUP H1On CHF/JPY, we have a bearish setup with the price breaking through a Forex48 block at the level of 161.88. That will be the point of interest to consider a short position if the market provides a double confirmation at M15 timeframe. The target will be 160.90. Let me know your thoughts. Happy trading to all from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
EUR/CAD BULLISH AND BEARISH ENTRY SETUPSOn EURCAD, we have a bearish setup. The price, following today's news and the tight monetary policy in the Eurozone, has reached a Forex48 Block, which is a zone around 1.4690, where we could look for a short trade entry point. Furthermore, if it continues to decline, we have another entry point at the level of 1.4570, where the price could potentially change direction and resume a bullish trend.
Let me know what you think about this trading scenario. Regards and happy trading from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
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GBP/NZD POSSIBLE SETUP H1 - SHORT TRADERegarding GBPNZD, we have a bearish market with a very strong New Zealand dollar after negative data on AUD overnight. Currently, the market is retracing towards 2.0550, where we have a forex48 block, our personal strategy. In this area, it will be crucial to wait for a confirmation on the M15 chart before entering a short position with a target at 2.0495. Let me know what you think. Greetings from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
USD/JPY TRADE LONG - FVG SETUP H1 On USDJPY, the market is showing an upward trend with the price forming a FVG (Failure of the Graph Down) in the 139.10 area. In this area, the price could easily retrace and create a reversal, confirmed on both M15 and H1 timeframes. In that case, I would opt for a long entry with a target of 141. I would like to know what you think. Happy trading to everyone from Nicola, CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
NEM Newmont Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain of NEM Newmont Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 42.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 9/15/2023,
for a premium of approximately $1.11.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NZD/CAD GOOD FVG - LONG ENTRY SETUP H1On NZDCAD, we have a bearish setup where the price has reached the 0.8245 zone, where we have a Fibonacci Voltage Gauge (FVG), indicating a potential price reaction zone that could lead us to enter a long position with a target of 0.8363. Moreover, the target itself exhibits the same characteristics as the previously mentioned zone, as we have an excellent FVG for a short trade. Let me know what you think, and I wish you successful trading. Nicola, CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
GBPAUD POTENTIAL LONG TRADE - UK NEWS
We have a potential trade on GBPAUD. The market has an uptrend after the NZD CPI, and I anticipate a retracement during the London session following the momentum of the Asian session, with price returning to the 1.9140 zone where we have a Fibonacci confluence. We should wait for proper confirmation on the H1 and M15 timeframes while managing the risk. Greetings and have a great day to everyone from Nicola, CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
GBPUSD LONG SETUP AFTER UK NEWSIn GBPUSD, we have a bearish setup with the price reaching the 1.3018 area, where we have a Forex48 block, which is a highly sensitive point for a price reversal and therefore an opportunity for a long entry. Additionally, we have an FVG (Fractal Vertical Gap) that, if confirmed on the M15+H1 timeframe, would provide an opportunity to enter long.
In the first case, the Forex48 block is already validated, but I will wait for an entry at the 50% Fibonacci level of the block in question. Furthermore, I will wait for the entry during tomorrow's London session after the news if there are further confirmations.
Greetings and happy trading to everyone from Nicola, CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
NZDCAD DOUBLE FVG LONG AND SHORT ENTRYWe have identified a bearish setup on NZDCAD, with the price bouncing four times in a full Asian session. Personally, I don't consider entries during that session to be good, so I will look for confirmation in the London or New York session. Therefore, we will see if at M15 + H1 the price manages to provide confirmation at the level of 0.8360; if so, we could enter a short position with a target of 0.83. However, please note that the market has another strong level at 0.8235, so it might drop directly to that zone as it is a highly significant price level and may not retrace to our key point. I wish everyone successful trading, and greetings from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
USDJPY - WILL THE FED INCREASE INTEREST RATES?USDJPY is currently showing a bullish trend, supported by the increase in sentiment among American consumers over the past month. At the moment, the price is at an interesting zone around 138.70, where it could retrace to the level of 137.60. At this level, we have a Forex48 block, which represents a potential entry point for a long trade. Alternatively, the price could reach the zone of 141.60, where we have another Forex48 block, indicating a possible reversal and an entry point for a short trade. The upcoming week looks promising with some significant macro data, especially considering the perspective of the Federal Reserve. Wishing everyone successful trading, and greetings from Nicola, CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
🐼Mastering the Art of Forex Trading Strategies🐼
Key words:
,,,,, , ,,
🐼The world of forex trading is as fascinating as it is dynamic. To thrive in this fast-paced market, developing a robust trading strategy is paramount. In this article, we will explore the key points that can help you identify and refine your trading strategy, bringing you closer to success.
🐼Identifying Market Trends:
Understanding market trends is crucial in making informed trading decisions. By analyzing moving averages, trend lines, and price patterns, you can identify the prevailing market direction and potential opportunities.
🐼Implementing Effective Risk Management Strategies:
Mitigating risks is a vital aspect of any trading strategy. Set appropriate stop-loss orders, determine suitable position sizes, and manage leverage wisely to protect your capital and minimize exposure to potential losses.
🐼Incorporating Technical Analysis Tools:
Technical analysis tools provide valuable insights into market behavior. Use oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify overbought or oversold conditions, Fibonacci retracement levels to pinpoint support and resistance levels, and Bollinger Bands to gauge market volatility.
🐼Staying Informed about Market News and Economic Calendar Events:
Keeping up with the latest news and economic events can provide valuable context for your trading strategy. Monitor economic indicators such as GDP releases, central bank meetings, and geopolitical events to understand potential impacts on currency movements.
🐼Conclusion:
Crafting a successful forex trading strategy requires a comprehensive approach that covers market trend identification, risk management, technical analysis, and staying informed about market news. By incorporating these key points into your strategy, you can enhance your trading skills and increase your chances of long-term success in the forex market. Remember, forex trading is a continuous learning journey, so adapt and evolve your strategy as the market evolves.
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USDCAD TWO POSSIBLE SETUPS H1On USD/CAD, we have a bullish setup with the price establishing a strong demand zone around 1.3128 and rising by breaking through the supply zone around 1.3177. Within this zone, the price has defined a Forex48 block, which is a potential entry point for a long trade in case of a pullback. In addition to this point, the price has identified another one in the zone of 1.3260-1.3270, where the price could retrace for a short entry. Let me know what you think, share your opinion, and leave a like to support our work. We would be truly grateful. Greetings from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.