EURJPY Long Setup H1On this pair, a bearish setup has emerged after the price created a supply zone in the 149 area. The FOREX48 strategy involves waiting for the price to drop down to the 146.50 area, where a POI zone has been identified, namely a demand zone within a larger demand zone. The objective is therefore a long trade with a target to be evaluated at the time of opening.
Let me know what you think.
Happy trading to everyone.
Forex48 Trading Academy
Strategy!
GBPNZD Long before BOE newsOn this pair, we have a price that appears to have bounced after a false breakout in the demand zone at 1.989. The target is in the 2.2031 zone with a risk-reward ratio of 1:9. The scenario was identified with the Forex48 strategy. However, the scenario is still uncertain since there will be a decision on interest rates by the BOE on Thursday.
Let me know what you think.
Happy trading to everyone.
Forex48 Trading Academy.
RBLX Roblox Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain of RBLX Roblox Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 35usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-6-16,
for a premium of approximately $2.46.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
CHFJPY Ready for the short?On this pair, we have a price that has created a supply zone, starting a bearish run by testing a very weak demand zone. According to the Forex48 strategy, I think the price could bounce on the supply zone at 151.87 and then descend to the level of 150, where there is a very strong demand zone.
Let me know what you think.
Good trading to everyone.
Forex48 Trading Academy
Strong Up Trend of XAUUSD in monthly timeframeIn 1M timeframe,the price bar is still above Fast Trendline (blue line), it means that the trend is still strong.
Gold made strong resistant zone at 2070 price level. The price made a pin bar in Mar 2022 with high strong volume but reversed. The volume is now low, under MA20.
In my opinion, there are two scripts:
- (1) Price will break the 2070 resistant zone. After that, price will come back and retest the resistant zone.
- (2) Price will touch resistant zone and reverse. Price won't break Slow Line (The thick green line), and come back and break the resistant zone.
We need to wait the bar close in May and June to confirm trend.
I prefer first script, because the up trend is still strong.
GOLD - Long after filling the imbalance ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on XAUUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs from discount zone. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance and then to reject from 1990.
Fundamental analysis: Next week we have news on USD, on Wednesday will be released CPI and on Thursday PPI, these 2 are very important news, so we have to pay attention to the results.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
How you can make 6 figures a month using prop fundsFirstly you need to be able to acquire one account such as a 100k account. Assuming your target is $110000 you start by risking $500 a trade until you reach $3000. if you take losses you continue risking the same until you're back at the starting point. once you reach $3000 of profit you now up your risk to $1000 until you get to $6000 and then $2000. This should easily allow you to pass phase 1 of the challenge, you then repeat the same for phase 2.
Once you receive your first funded account, you are now going to purchase another challenge and copy trade your funded account (master acc) onto the challenge. Repeating the above and considering you have a strategy with a good win rate, you are now able to make money while passing the challenges without having to trade 2 accounts manually. You continue this process and max your funding with one prop fund, and then move on to a second and so on until you have 7 figures in funding under your belt.
The key is to remain focused and have your psychology and mindset on point. making a mistake on your master account is going to reflect on all accounts. The same goes with profits however. If you have 1 mill in funding and make 1% in a week on one of your 100k accounts, then the other 9 will also make 1% bringing you to a total of 10% ($100000) in one week.
My favourite prop fund atm is properfunded.com
LUCKILY THE TEST TACTIC SUSTAINEDIT TOOK MONTHS OF PREPARATION.
A LITTLE OVER A YEAR AGO... NOTICED VERY PECULIAR PATTERNS ON A LOT OF VERY STURDY CHARTS. EXAMINED NEARLY 400 TICKERS... SOMETHING VERY IMPORTANT STOOD OUT.
DID SOME CALCULATIONS AND TESTED THE THEORY WITH A LIVE PORTFOLIO.
WHEN THE BANKING CRISIS STARTED PACKING IN, THE PORTFOLIO WAS RED AT FIRST. THEN EVERYTHING WENT GREEN... AND STAYED GREEN. LIKE M A G I C.
THE BANKING CRISIS WAS PERFECT FOR THIS PORTFOLIO TYPE.
VERY TUNED IN. EVERYTHING WORKED JUST AS PLANNED.
THERE ARE PLENTY MORE TO GO...
WILL TEST OUT THE LONGEVITY NOW.
WE ARE IN A CYCLE AND IT'S CLEAR AS DAY.
Strange things can and will happen.
The performance of our markets are extraordinarily fascinating!
Watched the market throughout the 2020 fallout... iT was nothing short of miraculous.
We are all lucky.
Count your blessings.
Take care.
P.S. Let's not get too excited. We have work to do!
EURJPY Waiting for a LongThe ECB raises interest rates and what does the euro do? It drops drastically, especially against the EURJPY exchange rate, as we have the yen as the second safe haven currency after the CHF. My objective is to wait for the price to reach the 146.50 zone where there is an excellent demand zone. The area was identified through the 3H + 45M strategy. We will see if the market meets expectations. The objective is Long with a target of 150.
Let me know your thoughts.
Good trading to everyone.
Forex48 Trading Academy
NZDCHF Short Setup?NZDCHF presents a slightly bullish scenario yesterday and today. Personally, I saw the price return to a supply zone where a false breakout was recorded. The objective is to look for a short position, we will see if the market creates a bearish scenario. Patience is the key.
Let me know your thoughts.
Good trading to everyone.
The Breakout Trading Strategy of Trendlines | OKXIDEAS
Hello traders,
In this post i am just showing you a very simple and easy trading strategy especially for beginners, in this strategy i am just using two basic things trendlines and 50 simple moving average which is you can also see in the charts above.
What you will be doing in this strategy just simply go to the 1hr timeframe see the clear trend draw the trendline wait for the breakout when breakout happen now wait for price to retest or just place a buy limit or sell limit order.
I hope you like the strategy this is the trendlines breakout trading strategy.
The one good thing about this strategy is the risk to reward ratio because in this strategy you will have potential to have around 1/3 risk to reward ratio so this means if you placed 10 trades and you lose 7 trades out of 10 and you just won 3 trades out of 10, you will be still profitable so meanwhile you just need to have a 30% wining ratio to be profitable in a long run.
I just advise you that try the strategy open the chart and back-test your chart and trade it on demo live market condition at least for one month and see the results ask the question to yourself can you be profitable? if the answer is yes so probably you know that what to do next but if the answer is no then look it your one month data that you have, make sure to journal your one month data record and try to analyze what mistakes you do what wining ratio you have can you have a little deference to between 30% see your taken trades you will be seeing some bad trades and you don't wanted to trade next time avoid those trades in the next month and just repeat the process be patient one day you will be consistently profitable but if not then don't lose the hope and just try again again and again learn from your mistakes come back and don't do that mistakes again, remember every strategy is good if you practice and managed it.
Just find the strategy that you suit and start the process.
I hope you liked the post, i wish you good luck and good trading.
PINS Pinterest Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold PINS here:
Then analyzing the options chain of PINS Pinterest prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 25usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-9-15
for a premium of approximately $2.17.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
I am interested to hear your thoughts on this strategy.
#hindalco looking good for upcoming day#Hindalco... ✅▶️
Intraday as well as swing trade
All levels given in charts ...
IF good potential seen then we work in options also
if activate then possible a huge movement Keep eye on this ...
We take trade only when it activates...
Possible to give good target
TRADING FACTS
WBD Warner Bros Discovery Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain of WBD Warner Bros Discovery prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 15usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $2.00.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY Ready for the short?On this exchange, we can see a fairly congested market. My idea is that the price may return to the demand zone next week, predicting a stronger yen at the expense of the dollar, which has been losing ground for weeks now. However, the price could also violate the supply zone.
Let me know what you think.
Happy Trading to all.
Forex408 Trading Academy
My today idea of Gold's possible moves 27042023A mixed trading session dominated gold prices yesterday after it achieved the first target that needed to be touched, located at the price of 1978, recording its lowest price of 1976, to start an upward rebound due to touching the support represented in the target.
Technically, and despite the stability of trading above the 1992 resistance level, we still tend in our trading to be negative, relying on the clear negative signs on the stochastic indicator, in addition to the regular trading within a technical formation that indicates the possibility of continuing the corrective decline.
Therefore, the bearish scenario remains valid and effective, and that is achieved by breaking 1992, targeting 1978 as the first target, and then 1964 as the next station, considering that the official target for the bearish correction is located around 1952.
Activating the proposed scenario requires the stability of daily trading below 2006, and its penetration can enhance the chances of gold prices rising again with the goal of 2018.
Price/Earnings: amazing interpretation #2In my previous post , we started to analyze the most popular financial ratio in the world – Price / Earnings or P/E (particularly one of the options for interpreting it). I said that P/E can be defined as the amount of money that must be paid once in order to receive 1 monetary unit of diluted net income per year. For American companies, it will be in US dollars, for Indian companies it will be in rupees, etc.
In this post, I would like to analyze another interpretation of this financial ratio, which will allow you to look at P/E differently. To do this, let's look at the formula for calculating P/E again:
P/E = Capitalization / Diluted earnings
Now let's add some refinements to the formula:
P/E = Current capitalization / Diluted earnings for the last year (*)
(*) In my case, by year I mean the last 12 months.
Next, let's see what the Current capitalization and Diluted earnings for the last year are expressed in, for example, in an American company:
- Current capitalization is in $;
- Diluted earnings for the last year are in $/year.
As a result, we can write the following formula:
P/E = Current capitalization / Diluted earnings for the last year = $ / $ / year = N years (*)
(*) According to the basic rules of math, $ will be reduced by $, and we will be left with only the number of years.
It's very unusual, isn't it? It turns out that P/E can also be the number of years!
Yes, indeed, we can say that P/E is the number of years that a shareholder (investor) will need to wait in order to recoup their investments at the current price from the earnings flow, provided that the level of profit does not change .
Of course, the condition of an unchangeable level of profit is very unrealistic. It is rare to find a company that shows the same profit from year to year. Nevertheless, we have nothing more real than the current capitalization of the company and its latest profit. Everything else is just predictions and probable estimates.
It is also important to understand that during the purchase of shares, the investor fixates one of the P/E components - the price (P). Therefore, they only need to keep an eye on the earnings (E) and calculate their own P/E without paying attention to the current capitalization.
If the level of earnings increases since the purchase of shares, the investor's personal P/E will decrease, and, consequently, the number of years to wait for recoupment.
Another thing is when the earnings level, on the contrary, decreases – then an investor will face an increase in their P/E level and, consequently, an increase in the payback period of their own investments. In this case, of course, you have to think about the prospects of such an investment.
You can also argue that not all 100% of earnings are spent paying dividends, and therefore you can’t use the level of earnings to calculate the payback period of an investment. Yes, indeed: it is rare for a company to give all of its earnings to dividends. However, the lack of a proper dividend level is not a reason to change anything in the formula or this interpretation at all, because retained earnings are the main fundamental driver of a company's capitalization growth. And whatever the investor misses out on in terms of dividends, they can get it in the form of an increase in the value of the shares they bought.
Now, let's discuss how to interpret the obtained P/E value. Intuitively, the lower it is, the better. For example, if an investor bought shares at P/E = 100, it means that they will have to wait 100 years for their investment to pay off. That seems like a risky investment, doesn't it? Of course, one can hope for future earnings growth and, consequently, for a decrease in their personal P/E value. But what if it doesn’t happen?
Let me give you an example. For instance, you have bought a country house, and so now you have to get to work via country roads. You have an inexpensive off-road vehicle to do this task. It does its job well and takes you to work via a road that has nothing but potholes. Thus, you get the necessary positive effect this inexpensive thing provides. However, later you learn that they will build a high-speed highway in place of the rural road. And that is exactly what you have dreamed of! After hearing the news, you buy a Ferrari. Now, you will be able to get to work in 5 minutes instead of 30 minutes (and in such a nice car!) However, you have to leave your new sports car in the yard to wait until the road is built. A month later, the news came out that, due to the structure of the road, the highway would be built in a completely different location. A year later your off-road vehicle breaks down. Oh well, now you have to get into your Ferrari and swerve around the potholes. It is not hard to guess what is going to happen to your expensive car after a while. This way, your high expectations for the future road project turned out to be a disaster for your investment in the expensive car.
It works the same way with stock investments. If you only consider the company's future earnings forecast, you run the risk of being left alone with just the forecast instead of the earnings. Thus, P/E can serve as a measure of your risk. The higher the P/E value at the time you buy a stock, the more risk you take. But what is the acceptable level of P/E ?
Oddly enough, I think the answer to this question depends on your age. When you are just beginning your journey, life gives you an absolutely priceless resource, known as time. You can try, take risks, make mistakes, and then try again. That's what children do as they explore the world around them. Or when young people try out different jobs to find exactly what they like. You can use your time in the stock market in the same manner - by looking at companies with a P/E that suits your age.
The younger you are, the higher P/E level you can afford when selecting companies. Conversely, in my opinion, the older you are, the lower P/E level you can afford. To put it simply, you just don’t have as much time to wait for a return on your investment.
So, my point is, the stock market perception of a 20-year-old investor should differ from the perception of a 50-year-old investor. If the former can afford to invest with a high payback period, it may be too risky for the latter.
Now let's try to translate this reasoning into a specific algorithm.
First, let's see how many companies we are able to find in different P/E ranges. As an example, let's take the companies that are traded on the NYSE (April 2023).
As you can see from the table, the larger the P/E range, the more companies we can consider. The investor's task comes down to figuring out what P/E range is relevant to them in their current age. To do this, we need data on life expectancy in different countries. As an example, let's take the World Bank Group's 2020 data for several countries: Japan, India, China, Russia, Germany, Spain, the United States, and Brazil.
To understand which range of P/E values to choose, you need to subtract your current age from your life expectancy:
Life Expectancy - Your Current Age
I recommend focusing on the country where you expect to live most of your life.
Thus, for a 25-year-old male from the United States, the difference would be:
74,50 - 25 = 49,50
Which corresponds with a P/E range of 0 to 50.
For a 60-year-old woman from Japan, the difference would be:
87,74 - 60 = 27,74
Which corresponds with a P/E range of 0 to 30.
For a 70-year-old man from Russia, the difference would be:
66,49 - 70 = -3,51
In the case of a negative difference, the P/E range of 0 to 10 should be used.
It doesn’t matter which country's stocks you invest in if you expect to live most of your life in Japan, Russia, or the United States. P/E indicates time, and time flows the same for any company and for you.
So, this algorithm will allow you to easily calculate your acceptable range of P/E values. However, I want to caution you against making investment decisions based on this ratio alone. A low P/E value does not guarantee that you are free of risks . For example, sometimes the P/E level can drop significantly due to a decline in P (capitalization) because of extraordinary events, whose impact can only be seen in a future income statement (where we would learn the actual value of E - earnings).
Nevertheless, the P/E value is a good indicator of the payback period of your investment, which answers the question: when should you consider buying a company's stock? When the P/E value is in an acceptable range of values for you. But the P/E level doesn’t tell you what company to consider and what price to take. I will tell you about this in the next posts. See you soon!