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EURUSD Daily Analysis - A downward movement is expected towards Throughout the first day of the new week EURUSD remained consolidated at the levels of 1.0960/85. Today at 6 o'clock GMT we expect data on Industrial Production for the month of August in Germany, with expectations for a growth of 0.8% compared to the previous month, where we had a drop of -2.4%. The Eurogroup Meeting is another key event of the day that is likely to have an impact on currency markets. A little later in the day, however, the Bank of New Zealand is expected to cut interest rates more aggressively by 0.5% following the new trend of interest rate cuts around the world. From World-Signals.com, we expect a slight strengthening of the Euro, but it is very likely that the downward trend will continue towards the end of the week. Bet on a strategy to sell on slight bounces up to 1.1010+ with daily gains of 20-35 pips or short positions with bigger gains towards the end of the week.
Short
by World-Signals
GBP/USD Faces Continued Bearish PressureThe GBP/USD pair continues to experience downward pressure, primarily due to the resilience of the US Dollar. After breaking the key psychological level of 1.3100 following the release of stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, GBP/USD remains in a corrective phase. The NFP report showed a job growth of 254K in September, significantly surpassing the 140K forecast. Additionally, the Unemployment Rate dropped to 4.1%, further strengthening the US labor market outlook and reducing the likelihood of aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). As a result, the US Dollar has extended its gains, limiting any upward momentum for GBP/USD. Fundamentally, the Pound remains under pressure due to the dovish rhetoric from Bank of England (BoE) officials. Early Thursday, Governor Andrew Bailey's comments triggered a selloff in the Pound as the market interpreted his remarks as signaling imminent monetary easing. Although BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill struck a more cautious tone, stating that policymakers must avoid cutting rates "too far or too fast," this has done little to offset the bearish sentiment. In conclusion, the combination of a stronger US Dollar, resilient US labor market data, and the dovish BoE rhetoric creates a challenging environment for GBP/USD. Unless the pair can break through key resistance levels, the path of least resistance remains to the downside, with potential targets at 1.3050 and 1.3000 in the short term.
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Daily analyzes of EURUSD - Dollar regains lost positionsAmong the important fundamentals from Monday is Factory Orders for the month of August in Germany from 8am GMT. It is very likely that we will see another contraction that will negatively affect the Euro. In general, the industry in Germany has started to shrink and there are no chances for growth. The other important news is related to retail sales in the Eurozone at 11am GMT. Although we expect levels around zero or very little growth in retail sales. Among the world events that affect the currency markets are the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, where mainly the Euro may suffer due to disrupted supplies of both goods and fuels. Overall, the Dollar will be in a stronger position this week and we at World-Signals.com expect the Dollar to strengthen against the Euro. In the last week, the Dollar has taken about 200 pips on the Euro. In retrospect, the Dollar had 3 losing weeks, and only in the last one did it regain some of the lost positions. Use the 1.1010 levels to open short positions with a 6-8 business day closing target.
Short
by World-Signals
UBISOFT REKT- What happens when you're one of the biggest video game companies in the world and you rest on your laurels? You sink. - That said, as traders, we can always attempt to capitalize on a dead cat bounce. - Right now, nothing to buy, if Ubisoft not down more and bounce before, just forget it. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Trading Parts : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ - Buy around 10€ ( 30% invest ) - DCA Rebuy to 8.5€ ( 70% invest ) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ - TP1 : 17.9€ - TP2 : 29.9€ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SL : 5.9€ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Stay S4fe Happy Tr4Ding !
EURONEXT:UBILong
by thecryer
7 Ways to Optimize Your Trading Strategy Like a ProYou’ve got a trading strategy—great. But if you think that’s where the work ends, think again. A good strategy is like a sports car: It’s fast, fun, and dangerous… unless you keep it tuned and under control. And given how volatile modern trading is, yesterday’s strategy can quickly become tomorrow’s account-drainer. So, how do you keep your trading strategy sharp and in profit mode? Let’s dive into seven ways to fine-tune your setup like a pro. 1️⃣ Backtest Like Your Profits Depend on It (Spoiler: They Do) Before you let your strategy loose in the wild, backtest it against historical data. It’s not enough to say, “This looks good.” Run the numbers. Find out how it performs over different time frames, market conditions, and asset classes — stocks , crypto , forex , and more. If you’re not backtesting, you run the risk of trading blind — use the sea of charting tools and instruments around here, slap them on previous price action and see how they do. 💡 Pro Tip : Make sure to backtest with realistic conditions. Don’t cheat with perfect hindsight—markets aren’t that kind. 2️⃣ Optimize for Risk, Not Just Reward Everyone gets starry-eyed over profits, but the best traders obsess over risk management. Adjust your strategy to keep risk in check. Ask yourself: How much are you willing to lose per trade? What’s your win-loss ratio? A strategy that promises massive returns but ignores risk is more like a ticking time bomb than a way to pull in long-term profits. 💡 Pro Tip : Use a risk-reward ratio of at least 2:1. It’s simple: risk $1 to make $2, and you’ve got a buffer against losses. Want to go big? Use 5:1 or why not even 15:1? Learn all about it in our Asymmetric Risk Reward Idea. 3️⃣ Diversify Your Strategy Across Markets If you’re only trading one asset or market, you’re asking for trouble (sooner or later). Markets move in cycles, and your strategy might crush it in one but flop in another. Spread your strategy across different markets to smooth out the rough patches. 💡 Pro Tip : Don’t confuse this with over-trading. You’re diversifying, not chasing every pop. 4️⃣ Fine-Tune Your Time Frames Your strategy might be solid on the 1-hour chart but struggle on the 5-minute or daily. Different time frames bring different opportunities and risks. Test your strategy across multiple time frames to see where it shines and where it stumbles. 💡 Pro Tip : Day traders? Shorten those time frames. Swing traders? Stretch ’em out. Find the sweet spot that aligns with your trading style. 5️⃣ Stay Agile with Market Conditions No strategy is perfect for every market condition. What works in a trending market could blow up in a range-bound one. Optimize your strategy to adapt to volatility, volume, and trend shifts. Pay attention to news events , central bank meetings, and earnings reports — they can flip the script fast. 💡 Pro Tip : Learn to identify when your strategy isn’t working and take a step back. Not every day is a trading day. 6️⃣ Incorporate Multiple Indicators (But Don’t Go Overboard) More indicators = more profits, right? Wrong. It’s easy to fall into the trap of loading up your charts with a dozen indicators until you’re drowning in lines and signals. Keep it simple — combine 3 to 5 complementary indicators that confirm your strategy’s signals, and ditch the rest. 💡 Pro Tip : Use one indicator for trend confirmation and another for entry/exit timing. 7️⃣ Keep Tweaking, But Don’t Blow Out of Proportion Here’s the rub: There’s a fine line between optimization and over-optimization. Adjusting your strategy too much based on past data can lead to overfitting — your strategy works perfectly on historical data but crashes in live markets. Keep tweaking, but always test those tweaks in live conditions to make sure they hold up. 💡 Pro Tip : Keep a trading journal to track your tweaks. If you don’t track it, you won’t know what’s working and what’s not. Get familiar with the attributes of a successful trading plan with one of our top-performing Ideas: What’s in a Trading Plan? 💎 Bonus: Never Stop Learning The market’s constantly changing and your strategy needs to change with it. Keep studying, keep testing, and keep learning. The moment you think you’ve mastered the market is the moment it humbles you. Optimizing a trading strategy isn’t a one-and-done deal—it’s an ongoing process. By fine-tuning, testing, and staying flexible, you can keep your strategy sharp, profitable, and ahead of the curve. Optimize smart, trade smart!
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
7
NiftyBees Trading Strategy Using EMA LevelsObjective: This strategy outlines a simple approach to buying NiftyBees based on 50EMA, 100EMA, and 200EMA levels, and how to gradually increase your position. Key Steps: 50EMA Buy: Buy 1/3rd of your total planned investment when the price hits the 50EMA. Reason: Signals short-term bullish momentum. Example: If your total budget is ₹90,000, buy ₹30,000 worth at 50EMA. 100EMA Buy: Buy 2/3rd of your total planned investment at the 100EMA. Add 25% to your previous 50EMA position. Reason: Shows stronger medium-term momentum. Example: Buy ₹40,000 at 100EMA and add ₹10,000 (25% more from 50EMA purchase). 200EMA Buy: Buy 2/3rd of your total planned investment at the 200EMA. Add 50% to your previous 100EMA position. Reason: Indicates potential long-term reversal. Example: Buy ₹60,000 at 200EMA and add ₹20,000 (50% more from 100EMA purchase). Conclusion: This strategy helps you build your position in stages, reducing risk and improving your average price over time. It uses key EMA levels to guide when and how much to invest, helping you benefit from market dips while maintaining a disciplined approach.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by AngshumanSaikia
Gold is ready for NFP!Gold (XAU/USD) has shown resilience, bouncing back to around $2,640 per ounce after hitting a daily low of $2,638 on Thursday. This recovery was fueled by growing concerns over a potential conflict between Israel and Iran, as well as a stronger US Dollar. On the fundamental side, gold remains influenced by expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy. Last week, the market predicted with over 60% probability a 50 basis point rate cut by November. However, stronger-than-expected US labor market data have reduced these expectations to 35%, boosting the US Dollar and applying bearish pressure on gold, which tends to lose appeal as the dollar strengthens. Technically, gold is in a phase of uncertainty. A break above $2,673, the weekly high, could signal a resumption of the uptrend, with a potential target of $2,700. Conversely, a break below $2,625 could lead to a test of support at $2,600. In the medium to long term, gold maintains a general bullish trend, supported by its traditional role as a safe-haven asset and the global low-interest rate environment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Bitcoin Drops Dock Workers Strike Key Support Levels to WatchToday marks the start of the dock worker strike, which isn't great news for the stock market, and as a result, we're seeing Bitcoin drop significantly. I don't think the strike will last too long maybe around two weeks or so but we'll have to wait and see. It's important to be cautious in the stock market during this period. Currently, Bitcoin is finding support at $60,100.00. If it weren’t for the strike, I’d say this is a solid level for a potential bounce, but due to the current situation, I’m a bit more cautious. Let's see if Bitcoin holds this support or breaks through it. If it does break, the next support level is $58,600, though it's not as strong. Alright, everyone, please hit the like button, and if you have any questions, drop them in the comments below. Have a great day!
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
Bear or Bull? We got bothAMEX:SPY 📊 AMEX:SPY Options Range: $572 to $574.73 📜 $574 CALL 10/18 Entry: 15-30 min CLOSE ABOVE $574.73 Target: $578 📜 $574 PUT 10/18 Entry: Rejection and 15-30 min CLOSE BELOW $574.73 Target: $572, Trend support (Currently at $571) A rare occurrence of a green September. We expect extremely high volatility over the next 4-6 weeks, especially considering the election and the polarizing nature of the candidates. We could see heavy volatility within the semiconductor space. A 10-15% pullback in semiconductors would also bring down the major indices as they are a heavy component. We have seen how fragile this market is (8/5/24). Last week, our call went for 60%+. This week, let's see.
AMEX:SPY
by PennyBois
EURNZD Maintains Bearish TrendJust a simple TA using conventional wave length projections. This pair wasn't able to hold onto the 78.6% fib pullback level so now I anticipate this pair first retesting around the 1.74 handle. Following the retest I would expect a natural bounce from profit taking and buyers heading into the market, but then I can foresee this pair breaking support heading towards the 1.7170 area in the days ahead. How to trade this you ask? First wait for bullish action, then follow the bullish candles on a small timeframe (5 or 15min) then wait for the bullish momentum to stall out for the best entry on the sell side. That's it - That's all Trade Safe
Short
by Michael_Harding
Ford (F): Waiting for the right moment after recent bounceAfter being stopped out at break-even with profits already taken on NYSE:F , we are now observing the chart again. We're pleased that we didn't buy any shares as the anticipated bounce did not materialize. However, Ford did bounce almost exactly at point X, which is where wave 2 should not have dropped below—it briefly wicked under before pumping back up. This is something we can respect, as we haven't been stuck below the designated level for an extended time. From a technical perspective, the plan is clear, but Ford is highly impacted by the current political climate, as car companies are in the spotlight right now. Despite this, we are planning for a push upwards after the recent dip. Ideally, we should not revisit the $9.64 level or, even better, avoid the wave (ii) level. Multiple levels need to be flipped for us to be confident that there's enough strength for future success. We've marked the "Ideal Entry Point" with a green dot, and it should be clear what we want to see. For now, we're standing on the sidelines, letting it develop and play out. If our scenario unfolds as anticipated, we can capitalize on it. Plan the trade and trade the plan.
NYSE:FLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Salesforce (CRM): Potential bearish flag formingOne of our members asked for an analysis on Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ), and we've taken a closer look at it. Initially, it's a bit challenging to see the full picture, but if our Elliott Wave count is accurate, we marked the end of wave (2) at $115.29 after establishing wave B, which was exactly between the 127.2% and 138% Fibonacci levels. It appears that wave 1 was put in with a new high slightly above wave B, taking out the resting liquidity (likely due to profit-taking and closing of long positions). Following this, there was a 33% drop, and here's where it gets tricky. Normally, we would expect this decline to continue, suggesting that the current rise is merely a relief pump. However, wave ((a)) perfectly touched the HVN POC, which indicates a slight chance that this could be the bottom. That said, we still believe that a continuation down to the 61.8-78.6% Fibonacci level is more likely. Zooming in on the blue-circled area, we notice a textbook bear flag pattern developing. While we don't typically trade based on chart patterns, it is difficult to ignore this one given its clear structure. It becomes even more significant if there is a wick above the upper trend line of the flag, which could trigger another sell-off by taking out the liquidation levels. Such a wick would also fully close the gap and enter our targeted area where we anticipate a possible reversal. To be clear, we are not trading this bear flag pattern or the targeted area just yet. Instead, we are using this setup as a means to validate whether our bearish outlook is correct or not. We’ll continue to monitor the development closely and provide updates as we gain more clarity.
NYSE:CRMShort
by freeguy_by_wmc
2
USD/JPY Under Pressure: Weak Yen and Anticipation of US GDP!USD/JPY is receiving particular attention due to the weakness of the Japanese Yen (JPY), influenced by expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will delay further rate hikes. The minutes of the BoJ’s July monetary policy meeting revealed a consensus among members on the need to remain vigilant regarding inflation risks. While some members indicated that a rate hike to 0.25% might be appropriate, others suggested a moderate adjustment to monetary support. From a macroeconomic perspective, traders are focused on the release of the annualized US GDP for the second quarter, scheduled for Thursday. The dollar's performance is being hindered by the increasing likelihood of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve by the end of the year. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is about a 50% chance that the Fed will reduce rates by 75 basis points, bringing them to the 4.0-4.25% range. In terms of resistance, the level of 149.40, the highest in the past six weeks, represents a potential target for the USD/JPY rally. On the support side, the first significant level is around 144.00, which coincides with the upper boundary of the previous descending channel. A break below this level could restore the bearish bias, with the next target around 139.58, the lowest point since June 2023.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
USDJPY / EXPECTED RISING % 5.01 - 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS 1. Trend Analysis: - July: The prices showed a clear downtrend, declining by 14.25%. - August: The trend was unstable, indicating high volatility. There were alternating movements: - A rise of 5.01%, followed by - A decline of 6.60%. - September (Mid-Month): An expected uptrend is indicated, with a projected rise of 5.01%. 2. Volatility: - The description of price movements in August suggests significant volatility. The lack of a clear trend could indicate market uncertainty or fluctuations due to external factors. Technical Analysis: 1. Current Market Condition: The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 142.231, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. 2. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price trades above 142.231, it's expected to rise to 147.179. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 147.179, the next target is 149.345. 3. Downward Condition: - If the price falls below 147.179 , it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 139.713. - Target 2: If it breaks below 139.713, further decline is expected to 137.306.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
WTI Price Outlook: Key FactorsThe price of WTI is hovering around $69.60 per barrel, remaining at relatively low levels compared to recent peaks. However, several signals suggest a potential reversal towards an upward trajectory. The reduction in U.S. crude oil inventories, reported by the EIA, was significantly larger than expected, with a drop of 4.471 million barrels compared to the forecasted 1.2 million. This signal of shrinking supply could exert upward pressure on crude oil prices. On the other hand, the effectiveness of recent economic stimulus measures adopted by China, the world's largest oil importer, remains uncertain. If these measures fail to stimulate demand, crude prices could face downward pressure. Additionally, rising tensions in the Middle East, particularly after an Israeli airstrike that killed a Hezbollah commander, increase the risk of a potential supply disruption from the region. From a technical standpoint, WTI is currently in a consolidation phase. If prices manage to break through the key resistance level around $70-72 per barrel, a bullish breakout could occur, supported by increased trading volumes.
TVC:USOILLong
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Our operational philosophy[EN]The strategy is based on measuring how prices spread apart or come together using volatility. It adjusts the investment mix accordingly, aiming to maintain the best balance of positions for each time frame. - Credibility Customer assets are synonymous with trust. We establish a transparent and trustworthy operational system, embracing a culture of community with investors based on a strong ethical conscience. - Consistency In order to adapt to the constantly changing financial market, the best approach is to keep trying new things. Junda doesn't settle for its past successes but continues to quietly and steadily move forward, always looking for new ideas. We also strongly believe in making the right decisions based on solid evidence and facts. - Safety Control signifies the safety of assets. We exercise thorough control over all risks that can affect investor assets. - Profitability Enjoy overwhelming profits with minimal effort. Junda will continue to pursue alpha and provide you with optimized returns tailored for those who aspire to be winners in the market.
by JUNDA_Official
GBPUSD: The bullish run continues!The analysis of GBP/USD highlights a strong upward phase, with the pair holding above 1.3300, close to its 31-month high. The pair has extended its positive trend for five consecutive sessions, driven by various technical and economic factors. The current resistance level is around 1.3350, representing the upper boundary of the ascending channel. If this level is breached, the next resistance would be around 1.3400, a significant psychological barrier. Should the pair retreat below 1.3300, it could drop toward 1.3230, the lower limit of the channel. This would signal a possible correction, likely due to overbought conditions. The Bank of England (BoE) decision to keep interest rates unchanged, with only one policymaker favoring a cut, positively surprised markets. The overall tone was seen as "hawkish," with Governor Bailey expressing optimism that rates could fall but stressing the need for more inflation data. Positive retail sales data (+1% in August vs. a forecast of +0.4%) further supported the British pound, showcasing the UK's economic resilience, a positive factor for the currency. The US dollar, on the other hand, showed signs of weakness, especially following volatility in US equity markets, which could bolster GBP/USD’s rise.
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Gold's Surge on Fed Cuts and Geopolitical Tensions!Fundamental Trend and Macroeconomic Factors: Gold is continuing its bullish trend, supported by expectations of further interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed). Lower rates make gold, a non-yielding asset, more attractive compared to interest-bearing financial instruments. Geopolitical tensions between Israel and Lebanon are also boosting demand for safe-haven assets like gold, further driving up the precious metal’s price. Technical Data and Trend Indicators: Gold has risen for the third consecutive day, with the price reaching a new record high of $2,634.74 per ounce. Daily technical indicators show signs of stabilization, although they remain in overbought territory, indicating that the bullish momentum might start to slow down. 4-Hour Chart Analysis: Technical indicators have begun to pull back from their recent highs with neutral-to-bearish slopes, signaling a potential retracement. However, gold continues to trade above rising moving averages, with dynamic support around $2,600. Future Outlook: Upcoming economic data, such as the August PCE Index, could influence the Fed’s future direction, determining whether interest rate cuts will become more aggressive. This factor will be crucial in assessing whether gold can continue its upward trajectory, bolstered by an expansive monetary policy.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1