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Streling

GBP/USD -17/4/2023-• Picture doesn't look so bright for the Sterling • Odds are turning in favor of the bears for the following reasons: 1: The Ascending parallel channel has been broken for the first time today 2: Recent rally failed to print a new high above the previous one at 1.2540 and a potential double top is being formed 3: Bears are approaching the double top neckline at 1.2340 (April 10 low) and a break of that level exposes lower prices 4: US strength doesn't seem to be fading soon, adding pressure on the pair • Long term, picture is still neutral to bullish as long as we are trading above the ascending trend line drawn from the October all time low
by RamziAbouAbdallah-CMT
GBPCHF what if reports are better then forecast/previous...??!!Sterling could be in for additional volatility as the U.K. jobs figures are due and might set the tone for BOE policy expectations. If the actual figures beat expectations, however, it could spark a strong bounce for pound pairs as this would likely dampen BOE rate cut hopes. The pair is floating around 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, which coincides with an area of interest, weekly pivot level, and the 100 SMA dynamic inflection point. In my opinion, we may not see a further deep or retracement around 50-61.80% Fibonacci if we have a surprise better than the expected report where consensus is better then what it is hoped by the economist. The faster-moving MA is above the 200 SMA to indicate that support is more likely to hold than to break at the moment and also, stochastic is indicating oversold conditions or exhaustion among sellers, so buyers might take over soon but as we said everything depends on the upcoming outlook from the UK and global risk sentiment. The average daily volatility of GBP/CHF is around 82 pips a day so decide wisely entries and exit levels after knowing the reports. Stay careful friends!
by jessi061
2
GBPUSD: Market Outlook, Plan and Probabilities Future Price MoveU.K.’s first GDP reading, which is expected at 0.0% after a 0.4% reading in Q3 2019. If weak expectations then we could see GBP/USD drop below its 1.2875 weekly lows (weekly pivot s1 level) and maybe even make a run for the lower s2 or beyond. This is still possible given Cable’s daily ATR and its move so far today. If today’s data dump allows the BOE to avoid the dove camp for a while longer, then Cable could revisit its 1.2970 broken support before submitting to other economic catalysts. Speaking of, Fed’s Powell will talk economy in D.C. during the U.S. session. He will likely repeat the Fed’s growth optimism and concerns over low inflation but traders will also want to hear about the impact of Coronavirus and maybe his reaction to Trump’s latest calls for lower interest rates.
by jessi061
EURGBP Short Trade Strategy EUR/GBP is currently retesting the broken support zone which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. I assume the pound has some more strength left comparing to euro and there may be some pullback scenario (continuation of downtrend) seeing the market structure and price behavior. If price pullback from 38.2% Fibonacci and we plan our short idea from that level then we can put stops in between 50% to 61.80% as the daily ATR of this pair is only 30-40 at the moment and if price rally above 38.2% next larger retracement could be the 50% Fib, which is closer to the .8500 major psychological mark. If the price reaches that level and we still get a short opportunity favorable stop point should be above 61.80% Fibonacci retracement level.
Short
by jessi061
Cable: so called bullish but weakeningEven a human being need to die before they have to reach in heaven. This is just a currency pair all those pumping news from UK and European has to somehow seem to lose steam for now while the pair seems to be getting exhausted for now to carry on further upward. Even if it's a bullish market in perspective of long term some pullback in intraday is enough to book some profit in the short term trades. Cable indicating somehow pullback for now IMO.
Short
by jessi061