SPY overview - Jan 19Yesterday after gapping up, the market tested the Jan-17 High/Close. Then broke through 8EMA and closed strong.
Now the nearest support level is the short-term moving average - 8EMA.
The nearest resistance levels are now at 478.60, together with TRL.
It's important to note that yesterday's move was driven by strength in the semiconductor sector as well as the leadership of megacaps.
The big question for me now is which other groups of stocks the cash will flow into and whether it will flow anywhere else besides megacaps.
Strength
BTC : RSI Macro-TREND Market Hack 😎Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
As I've said before, I love the logarithmic view of BTC. It gives a clearer indication of price increases alongside growth. Although inflation and value factors aren't physically calculated into the price, seeing the upwards curve makes more sense from a "holistic view" that would include things such as growth and inflation.
A logarithmic chart view displays price changes as a percentage of the previous price. This means that equal vertical distances on the chart represent equal percentage changes, regardless of the absolute price level.
This is in contrast to a regular chart view, which displays price changes on an arithmetic scale. This means that equal vertical distances on the chart represent equal absolute price changes.
With help of technical indicator RSI, we can use the macro logarithmic together with the RSI as a sort of "roadmap" to identify the current dominant macro trend .
If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets.
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COINBASE:BTCUSD
How RSI Alerts Can Supercharge Your Long-Term Crypto PortfolioBuilding a long-term portfolio demands a strategic approach that goes beyond random buys and impulsive decisions.
Instead, savvy investors employ tools like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify advantageous entry points and navigate the market cycles effectively.
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Here’s a step-by-step guide on how to harness RSI alerts to fortify your long-term crypto holdings.
Step 1: Spotting Entry Opportunities with RSI < 35
When aiming for long-term crypto accumulation, the goal is to buy assets at opportune prices. Setting up your charts with the RSI indicator and adjusting the lower band to 35 enables you to pinpoint instances where cryptocurrencies in your portfolio might have experienced an unwarranted dip. This can be a golden opportunity to acquire assets for the long run, aligning with the principle of buying low.
Step 2: Steering Clear of Overbought Zones with RSI > 70
Conversely, an RSI reading surpassing 70 signals potential overbought conditions. In such instances, it's prudent to exercise caution. Holding off on new purchases during these periods or even considering exiting certain positions that have seen significant price surges allows you to safeguard your returns. Converting gains into stablecoins during overbought phases enhances liquidity, positioning you strategically for future opportunities.
Step 3: Confirm with Other Indicators & DYOR
RSI functions most effectively when complemented by other indicators. Incorporating tools like Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, and MACD provides a more comprehensive view of market conditions. Remember, thorough research is crucial. Rely on multiple indicators to reinforce your decision-making process and mitigate risks associated with single-point analyses.
Step 4: Get Timely RSI Alerts On Your Email & TradingView App
Time is of the essence in the volatile crypto market. Instead of constantly monitoring prices across various platforms, set up RSI alerts on TradingView to receive timely notifications. This ensures you don’t miss critical market movements and can respond promptly to favorable conditions or potential risks.
How to Create RSI Alerts on TradingView
Open TradingView: Log in to your TradingView account.
Select the Chart: Open the chart of the cryptocurrency you're monitoring.
Add RSI Indicator: Click on "Indicators" at the top, search for RSI "Relative Strength Index", and add it to your chart.
Set RSI Levels: Adjust RSI levels by clicking on the RSI label on the chart, then edit the Upper and Lower Band levels to your preferred values (e.g., 35 for Lower Band, 70 for Upper Band).
Create Alert: Click on the alarm bell icon at the top of the chart, then select "Add Alert." Choose the condition (crossing above/below RSI level), set the desired RSI level, and customize the notification settings.
Save Alert: Confirm and save your alert. You’ll now receive notifications via email or within the TradingView platform when the specified RSI conditions are met.
Effectively utilizing RSI alerts is a game-changer for long-term crypto investors. By intelligently identifying entry points, avoiding overbought conditions, confirming signals with other indicators, and staying informed with timely alerts, you position yourself for success in the dynamic world of cryptocurrencies. Enhance your portfolio strategy with RSI – a tool that brings precision and efficiency to your crypto investment journey.
Tips on Adjusting the RSI (Part 2) Although the standard setting for the RSI is 70 (overbought) and 30 (oversold), I prefer to adjust the levels to 80 and 20. The purpose of this is to identify the extremely overbought/oversold regions.
In addition to adjusting the levels, I would pay attention to the chart when the RSI enters in the overbought/oversold region (but would hold back on entering a trade)
I would only enter a trade when the RSI turns down/up from the overbought/oversold region.
This would signal that the price is likely to fall/rise as the RSI reverses from the extremes and back within range.
Learning to use the RSI (Part 1)The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a popular momentum oscillator used in technical analysis to identify overbought or oversold conditions in the market. The RSI is measured on a scale from 0 to 100,
RSI values above 70 are often considered overbought, suggesting that the price may be due for a reversal or pullback.
RSI values below 30 are often considered oversold, indicating that the price may be due for a bounce or recovery.
A common mistake most traders will make is to assume that once RSI signals an overbought/oversold condition, the price should drop/rise, hence leading to a sell/buy decision.
In the 2 examples highlighted (solid blue lines), you will notice that although RSI signaled an overbought/oversold condition, the price continued to climb/drop despite being overbought/oversold.
Remember: Prices can be overbought/oversold for an extended period of time
When using any indicator, always remind yourself of what it is measuring and remember that it is just math (not magic). The indicator is supposed to help quantify and help you see things clearer on the chart (rather than numbers).
Check out Part 2 for Tips on Adjusting the RSI
ALT Season Is Starting - Total Market Cap 2MartyBoots here. I have been trading for 16 years and I am here to share my ideas with you to help the Crypto space.
This video and chart helps show you ALT Season is about to start.
The ALT Market is in its bottoming phase, be prepared. ALT Season is coming. This is the time when its possible to make life changing money .
Do NOT miss out on this coming bull market
CryptoCheck Team
SPX and NQ - are we there already?I am cautiously optimistic that the the correction that started since mid July could be finally over and we could begin to see more ups rather than downs going into the final 2 months of this year.
SPX did come very close to its H&S target while NQ was 4% shy of its H&S "target" (close enough though!) before we had a bullish reversal this week.
One could still argue that this could just yet another "sucker's rally" (aka bull trap) that we have seen numerous times in the past 3.5 months.
However, there are a few factors that gave hope for medium term bullish bias this time:
1. A pretty bullish (large body with almost no wicks) weekly reversal candle, though still in the making for this week
2. Both SPX's and NDX's Weekly RSI could be breaking out of their downward trendline, which often could be an "early" signal of strength in the coming weeks.
Non-technical aspects:
3. More earnings announced this week have been beating market expectations and their stocks are now bouncing off a lower base.
4. Fed announcing a pause in in interest rate hike yesterday.
That said, we still need to see the indices breaking above their strong trendline resistences (shown in Red) for a confirmation that the "correction" could be over, plus there is always a chance that the trend going forward could remain sluggish despite no longer "bearish".
Let's see!
Disclaimer:
This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is NOT a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management (ie trailing stop loss and position sizing) is (probably the most) important!
Take care and Good Luck!
How we have been trading EURUSD D1How we have been trading EURUSD D1 (Daily chart) with our indicators + hand-drawn trend lines.
After 10 years of R&D (we have been testing different indicators every day for a decade), we have developed our own Suite of 26 indicators. Here are just a few of them.
Indicators names (from top to bottom):
- Strength
Shows the strength of the market, the direction, pullbacks, equilibrium, and flats.
- Bear&Bull Powers
Shows the battle between the bears and the bulls.
- Angle
Indicates the direction and angle of the trend and the pullbacks.
- Template
Our main central indicator simplifying charts and bringing clarity.
- Steepness
Displays how steep the trend is and comments:
Going Up/Down | Trending | Strong/Weak | Pulling Back | Retracement | Flat | 75% Blue Background | ...
- Odds
11 indicators calculating the odds.
- Probability
75 indicators calculating the probabilities.
How we have been trading Bitcoin D1How we have been trading Bitcoin (Daily chart) with our indicators + hand-drawn trend lines.
After 10 years of R&D (we have been testing different indicators every day for a decade), we have developed our own Suite of 26 indicators. Here are just a few of them.
Indicators names (from top to bottom):
- Strength
Shows the strength of the market, the direction, pullbacks, equilibrium, and flats.
- Bear&Bull Powers
Shows the battle between the bears and the bulls.
- Angle
Indicates the direction and angle of the trend and the pullbacks.
- Template
Our main central indicator simplifying charts and bringing clarity.
- Steepness
Displays how steep the trend is and comments:
Going Up/Down | Trending | Strong/Weak | Pulling Back | Retracement | Flat | 75% Blue Background | ...
- Odds
11 indicators calculating the odds.
- Probability
75 indicators calculating the probabilities.
Super Swing Strategy - Bollinger Bands, RSI, and ADX Strategy"Super Swing Strategy" - Bollinger Bands, RSI, and ADX Strategy
Indicators Used:
- Bollinger Bands
- Relative Strength Index (RSI)
- Average Directional Index (ADX)
Bollinger Bands for volatility, RSI for overbought and oversold conditions, and ADX for strength of the trend.
How it Works:
Add Bollinger Bands, a 14-period RSI, and a 14-period ADX to your chart.
When the price touches the upper Bollinger Band, the RSI shows overbought conditions (above 70), and the ADX is above 20, it's a potential bearish signal.
A bullish signal occurs when the price touches the lower Bollinger Band, the RSI shows oversold conditions (below 30), and the ADX is above 20.
You can use additional indicators or price action analysis to confirm signals.
ASAHI INDIA - Moving out of the accumulation zone and gearing upThe stock was going through almost six months of accumulation. Then it broke above the accumulation zone and moving into the markup Phase. The Relative strength is also positive. Moneyflow and Absolute strength is also positive. The stock is likely to move move up and test the 690 levels. It may face some supply around 620 levels.
USDCHF - Retracement Complete? Possible Bullishness?Analysis:
As we're clearly able to see price was in this downwards trend however we've recently broken out of that trend showing a market shift, indicating possible bullishness. Price tried to push higher over the last month but we've since seen price pullback to the area where price broke out of and we expect that this will be a key level which will hold as support and price will continue its upwards reversal. To add to our idea at this level we also have the 61.8% fib level which is often regarded as the most important fib level as it's the one that is respected the most often, so this gives us more confluence to be long, especially from this area. Fundamentally as well the USD is the 2nd strongest major currency where as the CHF is the 5th strongest major currency so fundamentally this already favours our idea. Looking further though we've seen a decrease in long positions on the USD but we saw an even bigger decrease on short positions for the USD by institutions signalling again that there could be more bullishness for the USD to come. The CHF on the other hand had a huge decrease in long positions and an increase in short positions by institutions so this is telling us that we don't want to be going long on the CHF. Institutions have access to a lot more data then retail traders so if they are shorting a currency then there is usually a good reason behind it that the retail traders may not see. Institutions are also the "big money" in the markets so going against the "market movers" is a difficult game to win which is why we take into account institutional positioning. Overall we have a technical and a fundamental bias to be going long on USDCHF which is why we have a bullish bias.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all.
Stay Safe - JPI
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
TSLA - turned the corner?TSLA had been on a wild ride down since peaking on 4th Nov 2021, with many strong bear rallies in between. It finally hit the bottom on 6th Jan this year and began a rather strong rally until early Feb where it started to churn violently for the next 2.5 months, shaking out any weak bulls.
A sustainable rally emerged again from 27 Apr and more signs have been emerging that the longer term trend have changed to bullish (short term pullbacks not withstanding):
1. a close above the 200 day moving average on 31 May and continued to propel higher for more than a week now
2. a break above a longer-term neckline in the region of 200-215 this week and
3. RSI line on it's MONTHLY chart has crossed above the 14 SMA line (signifying the likely emergence of a longer-term bullish trend).
However, TSLA has been traditionally a volatile stock, hence it is safer to wait some dips to go long. Any retracements in the near term should preferably not breach the neckline support (200 - 215), although it is not up to us to decide how far it would pull-back .
Wait to see the stock finding possible support (after a retracement) to go long (with stop loss below the most recent pivot low).
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. I may have an opinion but I do not hope. Cut loss (sooner rather than later) and move on if wrong. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
CHFJPY - New Highs Being Formed!!!Analysis:
As we can see from price action we're in a clear upwards trend, price is forming higher highs and higher lows which confirms the trend direction. We've seen price break above a previous high and now we're retesting that area for support and we expect that it will hold. At this level we've got the 38.2% fib retracement level which we'd expect buyers to be sat at wanting to push price higher. Also at this level we've got an upwards trendline which has been respected recently, showing that it could be respected again. This pair is forming new highs which just shows the strength and bullish pressure we're seeing. Fundamentally the CHF ranks 5th out of all of the major currency pairs where as the JPY ranks 8th being the weakest major currency pair so this goes in our favour which is why we are bullish.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all.
Stay Safe - JPI
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
NCR road to around 30The decline seen in the stock in April and early May was halted by the 30 level of the 14-day RSI (purple line) and better-than-expected news. Currently, it is on an upward trajectory, crossing the 50-day EMA (gray line) and retesting this level. This provides support for attempting to surpass the 200-day EMA (turquoise line) at around 25.5. The question is whether we can sustainably stay above it.
In the first instance, the target price is $26, and if it successfully retests the 200-day moving average, it could strengthen up to $30 by the end of June.
In the analysis, the yellow line represents the 20-day BB (Bollinger Bands).
Relative Strength Index/RSI Made SimpleThe RSI (Relative Strength Index) is like a tool that helps people who buy and sell stocks and other things to figure out how strong the price of something is. It works by looking at the prices of that thing over a certain period of time, like 14 days, and then putting those prices on a scale from 0 to 100.
🔸When the RSI is high, like over 70, it means the price has gone up a lot and might be too high. When the RSI is low, like under 30, it means the price has gone down a lot and might be too low.
But just looking at the RSI by itself is not enough.
While many traders do use the RSI to buy at the 30 level and sell above the 70 level, this is not the only way to use the indicator. (As shown below)
🔸The RSI should be used in conjunction with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis to make informed trading decisions. In fact, relying solely on these levels can lead to missed opportunities and suboptimal trading decisions.
🔸It's also worth noting that the RSI can be used to identify bullish and bearish trends. When the RSI is above 50, it is considered bullish, indicating that the market is trending upwards. When the RSI is below 50, it is considered bearish, indicating that the market is trending downwards.
🔸While the 70 and 30 levels are popular levels to buy and sell, traders can also use other points based on how price reacts at those levels. For example, if the RSI reaches 80, it may indicate an especially strong upward trend, while a drop to 20 may indicate an especially strong downward trend. Traders should use their own judgment and analysis to determine which levels are most appropriate for their trading strategy. You can also find that as the name suggest (Relative Strength) traders should look for levels in price action where there is a strong reaction and then check to see at what level on the RSI this occurred because it might happen again once we got to that RSI value. (As seen below )
So as you can see in the image above you do not need to wait for price to go to levels 80 or 20 in order to look for reactions you can look at how price has reacted at previous levels before and monitor those levels in the future.
Finally lets talk about divergence.
🔸RSI divergence is a trading strategy that involves looking for differences between the movement of the price of an asset and the movement of the RSI indicator.
When there is RSI divergence, it means that the price of an asset is moving in a different direction than the RSI indicator, which can signal a potential change in trend.
There are two types of RSI divergence: bullish and bearish. Bullish divergence occurs when the price of an asset is making lower lows, but the RSI indicator is making higher lows. This can suggest that the price of the asset is oversold and may be due for a rebound.
Conversely, bearish divergence occurs when the price of an asset is making higher highs, but the RSI indicator is making lower highs. This can suggest that the price of the asset is overbought and may be due for a correction.
Traders can use RSI divergence to help them make trading decisions. For example, if they see bullish divergence, they may consider buying the asset, while if they see bearish divergence, they may consider selling the asset. However, traders should always use RSI divergence in conjunction with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis to make informed trading decisions.
Example is shown below:
🔸Settings of the RSI:
Traders can customize the settings of the RSI to suit their trading style and preferences. They can adjust the number of periods used in the calculation, which can range from as low as 2 to as high as 200 or more, depending on the timeframe being analyzed.
In addition to the default settings, traders can also adjust the overbought and oversold levels of the RSI. By default, the RSI is considered overbought when it is above 70 and oversold when it is below 30. Traders can adjust these levels to suit their trading style and the specific asset being analyzed.
Traders can also add other indicators on top of the RSI to help them analyze the market. For example, they may add a moving average to the RSI to help them identify trend direction and potential areas of support and resistance.
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Also keep in mind that the RSI can be used as a reversal tool and also a trend trading tool. For example, when the RSI reaches extreme levels of overbought or oversold, it can signal a potential reversal in the price trend. When the RSI reaches these levels, traders can look for other confirming indicators or price action to help them decide whether to enter a trade in the opposite direction.
On the other hand, as a trend trading tool, traders can use the RSI to identify the strength of a trend and to help them decide when to enter or exit a trade. When the RSI is above 50, it can indicate a bullish trend, and when it is below 50, it can indicate a bearish trend. Traders can use the RSI to help them identify potential areas of support and resistance within the trend and to enter trades in the direction of the trend.
It's important to note that traders should not rely solely on the RSI to make trading decisions. The RSI should be used in conjunction with other technical indicators, such as moving averages, and fundamental analysis to get a complete picture of the market. By using the RSI as both a reversal tool and a trend trading tool, traders can better identify potential trading opportunities and make more informed trading decisions.
Watchlists of SPX Sector ComponentsUse RSC indicator to spot strong stocks in related sector.
Useful watchlists of SPX sector components:
AMEX:XRT : www.tradingview.com
AMEX:XLY : www.tradingview.com
AMEX:XLV : www.tradingview.com
AMEX:XLU : www.tradingview.com
AMEX:XLRE : www.tradingview.com
AMEX:XLP : www.tradingview.com
AMEX:XLK : www.tradingview.com
AMEX:XLI : www.tradingview.com
AMEX:XLF : www.tradingview.com
AMEX:XLE : www.tradingview.com
AMEX:XLC : www.tradingview.com
AMEX:XLB : www.tradingview.com
$NVDA - Long Trade Idea$NVDA
This ticker popped up on my screener set based on strength.
As long this is trading outside/ above the range, I am targeting $275 as an initial target.
I am keeping the stop loss tight below the 192.75 pivot high zone (neckline)
Noticeable pattern: inverse head/ shoulder