INCEPTION BTC EDITIONStudent of the game!
TRIANGLES FOR DAYYYYYSSS. INSIDE OF TRIANGLE INSIDE OF TRIANGLE!
It looks like the power is in the hands of the bears as is to me. A pop upwards would rally shortly with a bigger fall. As you can see, what I was saying in the video I posted earlier....theres stronger sell presence than there is buy (arrows). BTC is playing a game inside of our minds at the moment.
Manipulation has to stop somewhere before 11,7 for sure. I am willing to hold out on gains though it is very tempting to jump in but why gamble in a market you can try to read. Better to play chess while everyone else is playing checkers. I refuse to buy until the language of the charts clears up and we have established a confirmation on which direction is which.
I don't like blaming whales for things on the charts but the reality is that they do carry power and either we play into what looks like a pop higher every time until they burn us bad or we wait out their game and sacrifice minor gains for safer major ones coming up.
Alts I am also looking to get into other than BTC : NEO and NCT (polyswarm)
Stay Frosty, Keep the Patience
Strength
FOX slowstoch is coming out the 20 zone.FOX slowstoch is coming out the 20 zone.
Title touched a support at 35.32 for two consecutive days and slowstochastic crossing above 20 could be a good signal of reversing.
Stock strenght is above 65.
Watch the stock and lets see on lower timeframes if there is a entry signal.
Disclaimer:
This is just my tought: don't invest based on this idea.
CAD / CHF strong against the weakTrade is based on rising strength of Canadian dollar on monthly currency strength chart and the correspondent ultimate weakness of Swiss frank right now. Though within daily strength / weakness perspective those currency pairs are on about same level though, slowly they are moving in opposite directions in terms of weakness / strength and this separating move is going to intensify as its just starting. Good buy opportunity.
Facebook, roots don't grow to the center of the earthHere we can see a very scary drop off a cliff. Bears are clearly in control of this market. The industry XLK is not looking great on the short term. I am bearish Facebook but I'd be wary of those lows , lets see what price does there. ZOOM or SUPPORT
ADA (daily) -- 1st sign of strength in months*Disclaimer--I follow ADA but am not trading it currently and have no immediate intentions to do so.
1. Bearish impulsive wave. More often than not, impulsive waves are followed by milder corrective waves in the opposite direction.
2. But buyers came in strongly at support.
3. And instead of the anticipated corrective wave, a bullish impulse wave pushed ADA back up to test upper resistance and the trend line.
4 & 5. Price has so far failed to break resistance..
This is still a bear market but this is also the first time ADA has shown any sign of strength this year. Keep a close eye on price action and the upper trend line
How Weak Is The KIWI This Week?The New Zealand Dollar has been losing a lot of strength these past weeks after achieving a new high of .74 and above. Upon review on a 4H time frame there are some key levels to realize. The nearest target price also the most magnetizing level being the .73116 for its reputation of price revisiting it quite often upon its rise and demise. When tested, we may see a breach to the upside and a continuation of the bullish momentum gained upon its open to test the .735 level and higher the .74 level. As unlikely as it may seem these levels should be considered. However we see a bearish trend on this pair and the .73116 level makes for a very attractive selling opportunity with our targets retesting the low of .72 and perhaps continue lower to .7125 level. The Kiwi needs a lot of bull momentum that it has lost over the past couple weeks to break through the resistance to surpass its previous high and continue higher. Which leads to the conclusion that we will be heading to lower levels unless proven otherwise. The levels provided provide for very attractive risk reward ratios being above a 2/1.
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NZDUSD Where are we heading next?With 4 recent tests of the .74 Resistance level indicates a strong psychological barrier for The Kiwi. A possible correction can be anticipated to gain some strength. A few areas of support that NZD needs to break for a correction to become evident are .72911 and .72746 which dangle below an ascending wedge pattern. Price action currently is resting at the bottom of this formation with a lot of indecision. A bounce off this trend can lead price to reach .734 possibly even .7372 resistance levels which are very attractive levels given the Fibonacci confluence . However patience is key, although a bullish bias can be a more probable option. Price action is at such a fragile level that a watchful eye for a breakout would be beneficial to making a correct decision that produces maximum gains.
Dollar Strength Ahead ?! Looking Like A Longterm Long
We looking on the Dollar Index (DXY), and i love to trade these trend changes.... We see a nice divergence forming down there near a strong support line. Also there is a first daily engulfing pattern formed. Im already in there with a small lot size because stops are 100 pips away and under the lowest swing on the daily chart.
NZD/USD: Minimum 100 pip NZD bounce before USD strength resumesNZD/USD: This pair should offer a nice each way trade this week coming...looking for a minimum 100 pip bounce for
NZD which may extend to 180 pips at limit late Monday/early Tuesday before shorting NZD again as per the comment.
(See also DXY comment for further confirmation and help on timing entry/exit points across most USD pairs. )
Dollar StrengthAs we were looking for decline on the DXY , bulls took over control. Here we go with my weekly analysis on the U.S. Dollar Index;
A (orange)( closed ) : Price clearly bounced on our bullish trendline. Blue area as been broken in the beginning of the week, my bearish bias was completely canceled. No break and no resistance, this direction bias is now closed.
A (blue) : Previously our plan C, I see the DXY showing some significant strength signs;
Blue area as been broken which was our resistance. Next area to watch for a break through is the yellow one.
Price bounced on the bullish trendline.
A nice reverse head and shoulder is forming, looking for a break of the neckline.
Price found support right at the retest level after the trend line breakout, red area.
Support found on both 50(aqua) and 200(gray) exponential moving averages after a bullish crossover.
A nice regular bullish divergence also indicates a nice trend reversal, highlighted by the purple arrows on data and indicator window.
Target is 96.00, optimal trade entry area for shorting.
B (red) : Fake bullish move to the yellow area and by dropping back resulting as a price ranging.
Only price action can determine those bias, even none of them could occur.
Bias as changed for now but still bearish overall, I am currently looking for bullish move on this index, driving all USD based pairs.
Dollar strengh = USDXXX UP / XXXUSD DOWN
Dollar weak = XXXUSD UP / USDXXX DOWN
BTCUSD Higher Highs & Higher LowsBITFINEX:BTCUSD
BTC since the last bottom of the bear run that saw prices down to $2900, we've witnessed several rallies continuing along a macro positive trend. In the days since 15th September last month we can see a trend of higher highs and higher lows with a converging upper/lower boundary.
There has also been a trend of decreasing volume throughout the past few weeks with a couple of upticks signalling interest followed by a downturn in volume. These factors coupled together collectively represent a rising wedge and this is known as a generally bearish trend that signals weakening bullish pressure as each rally point becomes smaller.
At the time of writing this, our latest rally hit a level of $4960+ to revisit a resistance zone witnessed at the end of the Month of August. A subsequent breakdown in price could see the price drop back toward $4200 levels before a clean break and strong show of support above the $5000 mark. A shorting opportunity may present itself in that situation.
That being said, there still seems to be significant strength in the market at the moment. On a macro level, the sentiment weighs more in favor of bullish exhaustion in play however the current market trend from a micro time-frame perspective is holding above the 50 MA which as many of you know and trade upon is representative of a trending bullish market.
RSI is currently also displaying some sideways action with upward trend signals gathered from the MACD.
Completion of bullish exhaustion will be evident in the MACD & RSI but the current sentiment displays some strength. In the event of a breakdown, we can rely on the fibonacci retracement level of 0.786.
It should be noted that even with my sentiment being that of an impending breakdown before a clean break past the $5000 level these predictions are on a macro scale so a show of support above that level for a few days will confirm the breakout. The immediate trend is showing good support and will remain bullish until proven otherwise. Remember, the trend is your friend.
If you are uncertain about opening a new position at the moment, whether long or short pay attention to and search for confirmation throughout a number of indicators before you make your decision.
In summary:
BTC is finding good support in the long term especially after the recent price corrections couldn't be more positive.
A possible breakdown would most likely not make it past the 0.786 retracement level of $4200 & a breakout above $5000 would require a good show of support before any more long positions should be considered. On the macro level, the market is pushing upward and a break out of the rising wedge will see quick correction before price rallies back up above $5000.
Investing and/or trading in digital assets like BTC is highly speculative and risks are involved due to a high market volatility difficulty level that doesn't favor new traders and new investors. The analysis expressed here is purely for informational purposes only and should not in any way be considered to be investment and/or trading advice.
DGBBTC Price Sentiment & ReversalPOLONIEX:DGBBTC
After a +1000% price increase in June, DGB has been going through a long-term correction phase with key support holding significantly at 250 Satoshis. This presents a potential entry position for a long play whether short or long term.
BITTREX:DGBBTC
RSI also shows us an interesting pattern replaying. Strength responds in kind after a weak cycle. Consolidation from the month of August shows great uncertainty but this also signals a strong potential uptrend development incoming based on DGB history. A short term play with a buy order at 260 Satoshis and a T.P of about 600 & 800 Satoshis would be reasonable. Potential for DGB to break below its key support level is existent however the trend is our friend and in this case DGB price history tells us that the incoming bottom of 250 Satoshis to complete 100% retracement from the month of June before price reversal is the most potential play.
ETHUSD Perspective And Levels: Stability And Trigger.ETHUSD Update: Stability forming now that two higher lows are in place at the 267 and 276 levels. This allows for a clear definition of risk and a scenario that can lead to a new long position.
At the 267 level there is a bounce that retraces back to 276. This formation is a broad higher low which indicates strength returning to this market. The bearish momentum has failed to push new lows. Plus there is a smaller higher low at the 287 level which signals further stability because higher lows often lead to? Higher highs. Two formations like these within the 296 support level which I have been writing about for a few reports now, are the signs of stability I have been patiently waiting for.
If you observe the ETHBTC market which has been a great source for additional clues, it also has a clear higher low formation in place which adds to the stability argument even more.
What is most important about these structures besides where they appearing is that fact that the market has offered clear reference points to define risk from: The 267, 276 and 287 lows. With this information I can determine if a long swing trade is worth taking. The next question is where is the entry and the target?
A break above 310 is a new long signal because that indicates bullish momentum returning. A long position at 310 with a stop in the mid 280s and a target in the mid 340s offers just over 1:1 reward/risk (and that is being extremely conservative). If there is any positive catalyst along the way, that can push prices further, but for now I am going to use the 350 area as the initial target. The beauty of this kind of trigger is if price never breaks 310, then that means bullish momentum is still limited and there is no trade and no risk taken.
IF instead price decides to break below the key support levels relative to these higher low structures, like 287 or 276, then that would signal bearish momentum is still present and I would wait and see where the market stabilizes again before any further evaluation. Also a break below the 267 low will negate the possibilities of the present stability completely, and open the door to the 230 support zone. This is why it is very important not to take a position too early and wait for a trigger. (Unless you enjoy pain).
Another point I want to make is this: my previous reports have been bearish, and now this one is much more bullish. I do not base my observations on feelings, or my opinion, or what anyone says or writes. I base my outlook on what clues the MARKET provides and I am flexible enough to recognize new information while not getting stuck on ANY opinions. The market doesn't care what I think. So I don't, I "listen" instead.
In summary, this is the kind of price action that my plan forces me to WAIT for before taking a new position after a sell off. It is very challenging because it requires a ton of patience to wait for (it has been a number of days). The only way to achieve this kind of patience is with a well defined plan, and not getting sucked in by the hype, the price noise and your own impulses, fears, and bias. If the context of these market conditions were more bullish, (like they used to be) then the entry criteria would be less restrictive so this is why context is so important for the analytical elements that I employ.
Comments and questions welcome.
Which way ETHUSD will choice?ETH is going to choice its way between #1, #2, #3 and #4 in its up trend. 388$ is working as strong strength point. In my opinion it will choice #3. Because indicators already become balloon they must become normal levels before healthy go up. No need open position until see test of support lines or before broken 388$ strength.
Lisk Showing A Completed Correction; More Upside In ViewLisk made a three wave pullback into blue wave (4) correction and later found some support at the region of the former wave four at 0.00079674 level. We know former corrections can usually act as turning points and in our case as a support. That said current rally can now be start of a new impulsive leg higher, with price currently trading at the beginning of sub-wave 3. That said more gains can follow on the cryptocurrency.
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All our work is for educational purposes only.
$V continuation pattern breakouthigher time is in strong uptrend and showing strength
intermediate time frame also in uptrend and rising moving averages with the shorter time moving average slightly flattening showing consolidation with price trading around it
price is seen here forming a resistance at the 96.16-96.17 area with the three price rejection candles
forming a ascending triangle possibly looking for more retests of the resistance and higher lows to show buyers conviction
this is mostly a monitoring situation not a play yet
on the lower time frame- it is showing a bullish rectangle pattern- longer it stays in the range more energy will be built for the possible breakout move
just have to watch what price does in the upcoming couple days
measured move is a .33 move if broken out of resistance which will bring price to 96.50 area and extension level .618 at the 97.1x area
AUDJPY - Easy Money LongThis trade has taken forever to develop. The Hekin Ashi Candles suggest a completed retracement pattern, while the price action has finished a breakthrough and retest of an important price level. These factors, combined with the appropriate RSI - primed for a breakout - are all positive signs. The confluence of 3 important factors, plus the overall strength of Gold and the AUD, give me reason to believe that this pair will be moving much higher very soon.
Trade Safe.
AW
AUDCAD - Easy Money ShortThis trade right here is a textbook short. The price level just bounced with decent rejection off of a long term, important price level, and with the weak attempt strength, its doubtful that this trade will be going higher than lower in the next week. I'm shorting to .98104, although I may get out sooner if I sense price turning around quicker than expected.