NFP & Port Strikes: Why Jobs Matter This Week Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) are projected to rise by 140,000 in September, matching August's pace and pushing the three-month average job gains to the weakest level since mid-2019. The NFP data is due this Friday.
At the same time, a major labor disruption is underway. Dockworkers at 14 key ports, handling roughly half of U.S. trade, have launched an indefinite strike. The walkout could disrupt trade and strain the economy ahead of the presidential election and the crucial holiday shopping season.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee expressed concern that a prolonged strike could worsen supply chain bottlenecks, exacerbate inflation, and alter expectations for the Federal Reserve's next move on interest rates.
Strike
CRWD Potential for Bullish Continuation | 2nd February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CRWD is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a buy entry at 107.57, where the overlap support is. Stop loss will be at 92.32, where the previous swing low is. Take profit will be at 125.48, where the market gap and resistance level is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
CNI Transportation Infrastructure Swing LongCNI is a Canadian Rail company. With the possible strike in the US, this
company can help take goods from China to the east part of North America.
Technically it is a solid performer with good recent earnings. This is
a slow but steady mover low beta ignores the general stock market and
a recession will have little impact. In the past month no matter any
bear market rally overall, CNI has had relative strength.
I will go long with a far-out call option to grind out some profit with
low risk of unexpected volatility.
option.
ZAP - I am buying this TODAYI like this coin and their new , very promising project called STRIKE (i have a link in my signature below)
Strike, a popular bitcoin (BTC) banking service by US-based Bitcoin Lightning startup Zap, aims to have their Strike Cards rolled out in countries on two continents in the first half of 2021.
Sending euros or dollars or pounds or bitcoin instantly and globally at zero cost ??????
COUNT ME IN!!!
New strikes = bad newsDespite the fact that GM is expectin things to be back to normal in a few more weeks, the strike cost General Motors has already reached $2 billion in production and cost employees nearly $1 billion in wages.
One of the custimers said one vehicle was in the shop for 28 days waiting on one part to come in.
Quick reminder: United Automobile Workers (UAW) has called strike against General Motors on September 15. The union represents some 46,000 auto workers who are striking for “fundamental rights of working-class people of this nation,” according to UAW vice president, Terry Dittes. The decision to strike came after a meeting Sunday morning at GM’s Detroit headquarters where nearly all of the 175 local union leaders present voted to strike. The strike does not affect Ford or Fiat Chrysler, which extended contracts with workers before the meeting...
GM strike starting this evening - Short opportunityAnother big news story this weekend: GM employees begin strike this evening (Sunday). I think fundamentally this will hurt GM short term, and provide for some good shorting opportunities. I will watch it in the morning, as I expect a gap down. I then may enter on a retest to ride it down further ... Possibly to the next big support area.
Citigroup (C) A Great Candidate For A Downside SpreadAlthough the banking sector has largely had a rally since the Presidential election, regulatory headwinds and near-term fundamental outlook and projections have seemed bleak for Citigroup’s growth potential. Long-term, the stock is a great purchase at a somewhat discounted price to its recent trading, but for our swing strategy, the latest break to the downside into a possible downtrend or consolidation is an opportunity for us.
If you’re looking for a 1:1 risk/reward trade with a skewed probability curve starting at roughly 62% chance of success to earn 100% ROI, then Citigroup is a gem in this turbulent market. Actually, we found this trade while scanning due to possibly having to close for a loss on our recent Alphabet (GOOG) trade due to management’s screw-up on an epic scale regarding extremist videos and advertisements on Youtube .
Anyways, here’s the trade we see:
Current stock price $58.46
Buy X Puts; 13 Apr 17 Exp; 58.50 Strike
Sell X Puts; 13 Apr 17 Exp; 58 Strike
Max Return on Risk/ROI: ~100%
Fun times.
Copper huge long opportunity!If weekly candle closes at 2.67+, the weekly downtrend ( from 2013 !!) will be broken, and with the 4H stoch-rsi turning up, its very possible. The weekly Stoch RSI is also turning back up, so momentum is yet to come. Daily indicators are neutral.
Right now, the big resistance area is obviously 2.74. IF we pass this level the algo's will probably pop it to $2.8+ very quick. Copper has been consolidating between $2.5-2.7 for the last 2 months and looks primed for a breakout to $3.
Combined with Trump's pledge for more infrastructure and his wall, demand will only go up. Short term, union workers at BHP Escondida, the world's largest copper mine in Chile, are also likely to strike next week over their low pay, which would be a catalyst for the breakout (thru supply disruption). Here is an article about it: www.mining.com
Am currently long 5 contracts but might reduce because of possibly scary weekend gap. Good luck :)