Options Blueprint Series [Intermediate]: Optimal Options StrikesI. Introduction
Options on futures offer traders a flexible way to participate in market movements while managing risk effectively. The Japanese Yen Futures (6J) market provides deep liquidity, making it a preferred instrument for options traders. In this article, we will explore how to optimize Bull Call Spreads in Yen Futures (6J) by understanding price equivalency and strike selection.
One of the most critical aspects of trading options on futures is recognizing that continuous futures charts and contract-specific charts display different prices. This discrepancy must be accounted for when setting up trade entries and exits. Additionally, strike price selection significantly impacts the reward-to-risk ratio, breakeven price, and probability of profitability.
By identifying key support and resistance levels (UFO), we will define trade setups that likely align with market structure, targeting precise entry and exit points. We will also compare different Bull Call Spread variations to understand how adjusting the strike selection impacts risk and potential reward.
II. Understanding the Japanese Yen Futures Contract
Before diving into the options strategy, it is essential to understand the specifications of the CME-traded Japanese Yen Futures (6J) contract:
Contract Size: Each futures contract represents 12,500,000 Japanese Yen
Tick Size: 0.0000005 USD per JPY (equivalent to $6.25 per tick)
Trading Hours: Nearly 24-hour trading cycle with short maintenance breaks
Margin Requirements: Currently $2,900 (varies through time).
For this article, we focus on December 2025 Yen Futures (6JZ2025). Since the market price displayed on continuous charts (6J1!) differs from contract-specific charts, we need to establish price equivalencies to align our trade analysis.
III. Price Equivalency Between Continuous and Contract-Specific Futures
Futures traders commonly use continuous charts (such as 6J1!) for analysis, but when trading options, it is crucial to reference the specific futures contract month (such as 6JZ2025). Due to roll adjustments and term structure variations, prices differ between these two charts.
In this setup, we identify key UFO-based support and resistance levels and adjust for contract-specific price equivalency:
Support Level Equivalency: 0.0066325 (6J1!) = 0.0068220 (6JZ2025)
Resistance Level Equivalency: 0.0069875 (6J1!) = 0.0072250 (6JZ2025)
These adjusted price levels ensure that the trade is structured accurately within the December 2025 contract, aligning option strikes with meaningful technical levels.
IV. The Bull Call Spread Strategy on Yen Futures
A Bull Call Spread is a vertical options spread strategy used to express a bullish outlook while reducing cost and limiting risk. This strategy involves:
Buying a lower-strike call (gaining upside exposure)
Selling a higher-strike call (reducing cost in exchange for capping maximum profit)
This setup provides a defined risk-reward structure and is particularly useful when targeting predefined resistance levels. Given that we identified 0.0068220 as support and 0.0072250 as resistance, we will structure multiple Bull Call Spreads to compare strike selection impact.
Now that the trade structure is established, let’s explore how different strike selections affect risk, reward, and breakeven prices.
V. Strike Selection and Its Impact on Risk-Reward Ratios
Selecting the appropriate strike prices is crucial when structuring a Bull Call Spread, as it directly affects the breakeven price, maximum risk, and maximum reward. To illustrate this, we compare three different Bull Call Spread variations using December 2025 Yen Futures (6JZ2025).
1. 0.00680/0.00720 Bull Call Spread
Breakeven: 0.006930
Maximum Risk: -0.00013
Maximum Reward: +0.00027
2. 0.00680/0.00750 Bull Call Spread
Breakeven: 0.0069789
Maximum Risk: -0.00018
Maximum Reward: +0.00052
3. 0.00680/0.00700 Bull Call Spread
Breakeven: 0.006879
Maximum Risk: -0.00008
Maximum Reward: +0.00012
Observing these variations, key insights emerge. The 0.00680/0.00750 spread offers the highest potential reward but comes with the highest breakeven and greater risk. Meanwhile, the 0.00680/0.00700 spread minimizes risk but provides a lower profit potential. Strike selection, therefore, becomes a balance between profitability potential and probability of success.
A wider spread (such as 0.00680/0.00750) has a higher reward-to-risk ratio, but it requires the price to move further before generating profits. Conversely, a narrower spread (like 0.00680/0.00700) has a lower breakeven price, increasing the probability of profitability but limiting potential upside.
VI. Trade Plan for a Bull Call Spread
Based on the analysis of strike selection, a balanced trade plan can be structured using the 0.00680/0.00720 Bull Call Spread, which offers a favorable reward-to-risk ratio while maintaining a reasonable breakeven price.
Market Bias: Bullish, expecting a move toward resistance
Selected Strikes: Long 0.00680 call, short 0.00720 call
Breakeven Price: 0.006930
Target Exit Price: 0.0072250
Maximum Risk: -0.00013
Maximum Reward: +0.00027
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 2.08:1
This setup capitalizes on the previously identified UFO support to define the entry point, while the UFO resistance provides a target for exit. The breakeven price remains at a reasonable level, ensuring a greater probability of the spread moving into profitability.
VII. Risk Management Considerations
While the Bull Call Spread limits risk compared to outright long calls, proper risk management is still necessary. Traders should consider the following:
Using Stop-Loss Orders: If price breaks below the UFO support level at 0.0068220, traders may exit the position early to avoid excessive losses.
Hedging with Puts: If volatility spikes or market sentiment shifts, a put option or put spread can serve as a hedge against adverse movements.
Position Sizing: Adjusting contract size ensures that total exposure remains within acceptable risk limits based on account size.
Time Decay Considerations: Since time decay negatively impacts long call options, traders should monitor the spread's profitability as expiration approaches and adjust positions accordingly.
By implementing these risk management techniques, traders can optimize their Bull Call Spread strategy while mitigating unnecessary exposure.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Strike
NFP & Port Strikes: Why Jobs Matter This Week Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) are projected to rise by 140,000 in September, matching August's pace and pushing the three-month average job gains to the weakest level since mid-2019. The NFP data is due this Friday.
At the same time, a major labor disruption is underway. Dockworkers at 14 key ports, handling roughly half of U.S. trade, have launched an indefinite strike. The walkout could disrupt trade and strain the economy ahead of the presidential election and the crucial holiday shopping season.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee expressed concern that a prolonged strike could worsen supply chain bottlenecks, exacerbate inflation, and alter expectations for the Federal Reserve's next move on interest rates.
CRWD Potential for Bullish Continuation | 2nd February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CRWD is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a buy entry at 107.57, where the overlap support is. Stop loss will be at 92.32, where the previous swing low is. Take profit will be at 125.48, where the market gap and resistance level is.
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CNI Transportation Infrastructure Swing LongCNI is a Canadian Rail company. With the possible strike in the US, this
company can help take goods from China to the east part of North America.
Technically it is a solid performer with good recent earnings. This is
a slow but steady mover low beta ignores the general stock market and
a recession will have little impact. In the past month no matter any
bear market rally overall, CNI has had relative strength.
I will go long with a far-out call option to grind out some profit with
low risk of unexpected volatility.
option.
ZAP - I am buying this TODAYI like this coin and their new , very promising project called STRIKE (i have a link in my signature below)
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New strikes = bad newsDespite the fact that GM is expectin things to be back to normal in a few more weeks, the strike cost General Motors has already reached $2 billion in production and cost employees nearly $1 billion in wages.
One of the custimers said one vehicle was in the shop for 28 days waiting on one part to come in.
Quick reminder: United Automobile Workers (UAW) has called strike against General Motors on September 15. The union represents some 46,000 auto workers who are striking for “fundamental rights of working-class people of this nation,” according to UAW vice president, Terry Dittes. The decision to strike came after a meeting Sunday morning at GM’s Detroit headquarters where nearly all of the 175 local union leaders present voted to strike. The strike does not affect Ford or Fiat Chrysler, which extended contracts with workers before the meeting...
GM strike starting this evening - Short opportunityAnother big news story this weekend: GM employees begin strike this evening (Sunday). I think fundamentally this will hurt GM short term, and provide for some good shorting opportunities. I will watch it in the morning, as I expect a gap down. I then may enter on a retest to ride it down further ... Possibly to the next big support area.
Citigroup (C) A Great Candidate For A Downside SpreadAlthough the banking sector has largely had a rally since the Presidential election, regulatory headwinds and near-term fundamental outlook and projections have seemed bleak for Citigroup’s growth potential. Long-term, the stock is a great purchase at a somewhat discounted price to its recent trading, but for our swing strategy, the latest break to the downside into a possible downtrend or consolidation is an opportunity for us.
If you’re looking for a 1:1 risk/reward trade with a skewed probability curve starting at roughly 62% chance of success to earn 100% ROI, then Citigroup is a gem in this turbulent market. Actually, we found this trade while scanning due to possibly having to close for a loss on our recent Alphabet (GOOG) trade due to management’s screw-up on an epic scale regarding extremist videos and advertisements on Youtube .
Anyways, here’s the trade we see:
Current stock price $58.46
Buy X Puts; 13 Apr 17 Exp; 58.50 Strike
Sell X Puts; 13 Apr 17 Exp; 58 Strike
Max Return on Risk/ROI: ~100%
Fun times.
Copper huge long opportunity!If weekly candle closes at 2.67+, the weekly downtrend ( from 2013 !!) will be broken, and with the 4H stoch-rsi turning up, its very possible. The weekly Stoch RSI is also turning back up, so momentum is yet to come. Daily indicators are neutral.
Right now, the big resistance area is obviously 2.74. IF we pass this level the algo's will probably pop it to $2.8+ very quick. Copper has been consolidating between $2.5-2.7 for the last 2 months and looks primed for a breakout to $3.
Combined with Trump's pledge for more infrastructure and his wall, demand will only go up. Short term, union workers at BHP Escondida, the world's largest copper mine in Chile, are also likely to strike next week over their low pay, which would be a catalyst for the breakout (thru supply disruption). Here is an article about it: www.mining.com
Am currently long 5 contracts but might reduce because of possibly scary weekend gap. Good luck :)