Bearish Divergence| S/R Flip Retest| Long Structural Support Evening Traders,
Today’s Analysis – NZDJPY – breaking a key level where an S/R flip will confirm structural support.
Points to consider,
- Impulse bull move (breaking key level)
- Bearish Divergence evident (allowing for a retest)
- Structural Resistance (immediate target)
- RSI putting in lower highs
- Stochastics sell cross
NZDJPY broke resistance with an impulse move, currently trading at its range median with a valid bearish divergence.
A retest of structural support well let the bearish divergence play out – will also confirm the S/R flip retest.
The RSI is putting in lower highs whilst the stochastics is projecting a sell cross – putting more emphasis on the bearish divergence.
Overall, in my opinion, NZDJPY is likely to confirm support with a retest. A long trade will be valid with defined risk below structure.
What are your thoughts?
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And remember,
“In order to succeed, you first have to be willing to experience failure.”
― Yvan Byeajee
Structural
NZDUSD The coming weeksAs its a new Week I have been reviewing the weekly chart to get a better idea of the overall move.
On the lower time frames my Initial thoughts were short but looking here I think we could see a rise.
Short term I do think we may see a retest of 0.70000 area the fib retracement on the most recent Daily impulse leg up gives us a 618 at one of my weekly key levels of 0.68745, this is the area id be looking for Bullish signs to buy, we could see a move before this but this would give the best RR.
Longer term we have got a Bullish Flag pattern forming on the Weekly chart. Using the Fib inversion on the recent pull back it gives us the 1.618 up at previous structure, the fib extension also gives us a 1.27 at this area, one last bit of confluence is the fib retracement on the big impulse leg down gives us a 618 at this same level.
would use the lower time frames for entry and would be watching the 0.73000 level for possible resistance.
USDCAD Ideas on the lower time framesSo on the Daily I have a bearish outlook and have a few patterns Im watching,
We have seen a break below the daily trend line, how low will we continue?
Here are a couple of ideas a gartley and a Bat, presonally the bat for me offers a better rr but will watch and see
USDCAD 2618 tradeAfter the 2 targets hit on the bullish bat this has now brought us to the 618 area of retracement following the recent double top impulse leg down and retracement for a 2618 trade.
as for tragets seeing as the 1.29993 level is the most recetn bit of strucutre/reversal point will see if we continue down to this area first
gbp/usd: 2 ways we can attack the marketAfter the brexit, the GBPUSD has been consolidating, trading sideways, that is a great scenario to trade between the structures, in this case in particular we have a 115 pips wide range where we can either buy at @1.2968 or sell at @1.3084.
Depends on which gets filled first
The best opportunity for us is the short one, because it has a significantly major level of structure
EURAUD: Looking for a Bearish RunIf we end up getting a LLLC here on the EURAUD, my prediction for the next place that we'd see some buying pressure at is down at the 1.5050's-1.4950's level.
As a buyer, that's where I would look next if I'm interested in trying to catch a pullback. If I'm a seller, then I'm looking for a retest of previous structure & a chance to hop on the downward move in anticipation of the level mentioned above.
Akil Stokes
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EURJPY Weekly Double bottom PossibleI have been watching the 4hr and Daily Time frames and felt that we had reached the bottom, the pair has pushed a bit further lower as we can see with the wick on this weeks candle
If the cande doesn't close outside of this box I feel we could see a reversal in the coming weeks
EURGBP 4hr Double Top So was a little bit early on my entry as we moved almost 55 pips higher!
But what we have seen is the pair come back up into recent highs and form a Double top. This are is well into the oversold area of the RSI
How there are 2 possible outcomes we could come back down to the 0.77743 level and bounce
or
If we break structure there is a possible 2618 set up, which given the previous lower support I see this as an area to watch