EUR/USD - SHORTING OPPORTUNITYHey Traders,
On the EUR/USD 4HR time frame we have a lower low lower close, since then price action rallied into resistance which was once support providing us with a double top, first test RSI was extremely overbought as I have my settings at 80/20, conventional is at 70/30. On the second test, we have bearish divergence.
We can get involved in two ways:
1. Aggressive - Short now with stops above double top and take profit at structure lows.
2. Conservative - Use the 2618 strategy, wait for a break and close below the V of the double top, then enter at the 61.8 fib level again stops above the double top and take profits at structure levels ensuring minimum 1:1 R/R for target 1's.
Structure-trade
EURUSD 4HOUR CHART - KEY ZONE FOR POTENTIAL SHORTSI haven't had a lot of interest in the $EURUSD higher timeframes this year mainly because we've been dealing with an extended period of consolidation. In fact, all 3 of my trading opportunities have been pattern trades or short-term day trades on the hourly timeframe and lower.
Until we break out of our range & I get a clear idea of which way i believe the market is likely to go, I'll continue looking for similar opportunities & a current level that is on my radar to look for potential short opportunities is the structure zone between 1.1285-1.1324
USDCAD 4 HOUR PULBACK TRADE WITH A CAUTIOUS APPORACH The $USDCAD or The "Loonie" as it's called has been just that for me this year... Loonie. Due to the vast differences in overall trend direction based on what timeframe you're looking at, I've had a very difficult time getting a read on this pair & making any type of longer-term projection,
With that being said I do have a shorter-term projection on my radar & that would be a pullback into previous structure, followed by a retest of the highs & a potential extension up to the 1.3600's level.
Unfortunately, due to the directness of the most recent move higher, it's difficult for me to determine a quality level for entry which also has the protection that I desire for my stops. Therefore I will be taking a very cautious approach & waiting for the market to provide more confirmation that usually before deciding whether or not to get involved.
It's been a slower year of trading for me thus far only firing off 26 trades (I typically average about 20 per month). BUT that's no reason to become reckless. I've done a good job of sticking to quality trading opportunities only and although my execution numbers are down, everything else is on a good path.
Your Trading Coach - Akil
structure based trade and top down analysis
hey guys,
one more example on how we can apply a combination of multiple timeframes for market analysis and trading.
on a daily timeframe we see that the market is very close to a decent level of structure,
and continues bearish movement in a small parallel channel.
on a 4h chart what we do is we identify a potential reversal zone:
a range between upper and lower levels of support.
In this zone we will anticipate the change of the sentiment.
For confirmation, we will be looking for a bullish violation of this channel.
Initial target will be based on structure.
Your stop will be below the potential reversal zone.
good luck!
Gold (XAUUSD) Short on the 30min timeframe This is the first trade idea I have posted on tradingview and is the beginning of many. The artistic nature of technical analysis means that only through constant focus and discipline will my abilities improve, therefore I do not post this for anybody else except myself. I am on way to becoming a skilled chartist that is consistently profitable and this is my service to the universe in which I will compensated with that which I seek.
The reason I believe a short once the level indicated by the white horizontal line has been reached is a good idea is because it corresponds with a previous level of structure I drew but did not post with a rising trend line which was broken. The stop loss level has been set to just above recent highs and the take profit near the 50-61.8% Fib level that gives a 2:1 risk reward. Lets see how this works out.
GBP/CAD: Swing-Setup !K-48 Nr.5Hey tradomaniacs,
welcome to another signal!
Type: Swingtrade
Buy-Stop: 1.69952
Stop-Loss: 1.68937
Target 1: 1.71
Target 2: 1.715
Targt 3: 1.725 - 1.7276
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Leave a like and a comment - I appreciate every support! :-)
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me.
Any questions? PM me. :-)
EUR/JPY 1HR SHORT We have a corrective pattern forming this looks to be a contracting flat however cannot confirm this as of yet so will watch closely for confirmation, with this is mind will be looking for the third wave down to complete a 3 wave pattern using the 1hr 270 fib as a target profit at a price of 126.819..
GBPJPY Short ScenarioWE have a beautiful stall around the 150.00 - 147.00 area and that to me means
Price is making a decision as to where She wants to head to next, Adding up all confluences
to including Harmonic Pattern, Supply and Demand, Market Structure and a Form of Harmonic Elliot Wave
theory.
With an ascending triangle Violated, I strongly suggest to wait till Sunday Monday and wait for retest and
Place your Orders...
Happy Trading!
#OzarkTrader
GBPJPY 4HR - Double Top at Previous Structure Resistance This is a follow up on a trading idea that we looked at this past Thursday as "Super Thursday" pushed the GBP up to a level of previous structure resistance before reversing.
IF price action were to put in a retest of structure and once again be rejected...
THEN it would open up the door for traders to take advantage of a double top formation.
With this being a countertrend trading opportunity the target projection is simply a retest of our previous level of structure support.
Akil
For more information on this trading opportunity please use the link below to check out the video "Lessons I've Learned From Losing"
GBPJPY LONG TRADE POST ANALYSIS GBPJPY POST ANALYSIS
This was another trade I did analysis for and didn't post on TradingView. The market had caught my interest when I had seen the very strong buyer push to the upside on August 29th. Once I had seen this type of momentum the market had caught my interest. At this point I waited for the pullback to make sure the sellers were weaker than the buyer was, to show control. REMEMBER TRADING IS ALL ABOUT PROBABILITY, this is why I trade with who is in control by reading the momentum the market shows me. So once I had seen the very weak re-test by the sellers, compared to the buyer, I was waiting for that buyer interest to come back in at structure for me to be able to participate in a opportunity in the market. Let me tell you guys something, I don't usually give this type of information away for free but I value all of my followers; when you see this type of momentum by the buyer, then that weak of momentum by the seller, the buyer is basically getting a 100% DISCOUNT for purchasing this currency. Once the buyer interest was displayed at structure, the risk/reward was fantastic on this trade.
I hope this helped! Cheers!
EURUSD -This Chart Perfectly represents what trading isSo if you've been following my posts on the EURUSD then you know that I've had a short-term bullish view within a longer-term bearish view. The bullish move from earlier this week worked out perfectly and now the market has reached a level in which it will have to make a key decision point.
BULLISH SIDE - The market is forming another head and shoulder bottom pattern which is a classic reversal pattern providing a bullish outlook. The confirmation of this pattern would be a violation of the nextline and IF we were to get that, THEN I would project a continuation higher to 1.17-1.1750's level.
BEARISH SIDE - If previous structure resistance holds at this level then we could see the end of our relief rally and a continuation lower to retest previous structure lows and a possible extension down to my longer-term bearish projection of 1.110-1.08's.
This chart represents what trading is, multiple parties, having multiple opinions while looking at the same chart. Something I always tell the traders I work with is "to be predictive in your analysis, but reactive in your execution" and essentially what that means is wait for the market to give you confirmation that one thing is more likely to happen than the other.
Good luck traders and if this post was helpful, please let me know by leaving a comment below.
Akil
GBP/AUD Short: Structure OpportunityFirst of all, these trades are my own analysis and opinion. Every trader should do his or her own research and decide whether or not to execute on their own.
My purpose in sharing these trades is to educate newer traders and to show my trading strategy in hopes of receiving constructive feedback. If you want me to continue posting my trades here then a comment, like or follow will mean a lot to me.
A picture is worth a thousand words.
I've included a position that shows the entries, stops, and limit that I am taking, so I won't explain it here.
Follow me on social media to get in touch with me. I respond to all DMs on Twitter, unless you're selling something.
GBPUSD - Potential Bearish OpportunityHey guys,
GBPUSD on 15M is in a trend rotations - market broke higher, than current OR, so I'm looking for a potential selling opportunity.
If we look left - we can clearly see the previous structure level and right up that level, I've made a zone based off the AB=CD and the Fibo Extension.
I'll be waiting the market to enter in the zone and then will be waiting for an entry reason - stops above the OR, Target at the retest of the low.
EURGBP Daily potential bear Gartley patternThe EURGBP looks like it's in a bearish momentum at the moment. Looking at previous structures, there are a lot of wicks, suggesting that the market has trouble breaking above. In the yellow circle, there's also the same scenario, where market is running out of bullish steam. So, if market can rally just a little higher, there will be a potential bearish Gartley pattern completing for a sell opportunity. Plus the Gartley pattern is completing at previous structure looking left.