EJ Potential Trading Opportunity. Here's a breakdown of my structure analysis for EURJPY. I am expecting a rejection of the price 121.100. (Confirmation needed)
If this price rejection a short opportunity to 120.000 will present itself.
Another trade opportunity may present its self after the short. Which would be a long. But I dont expect the price to retest the previous structure low of 118.00 This may be a good pair to keep in mind for market opening.
Structure-trade
EURJPY: Where Previous Support Turns to Potential ResistanceAfter breaking down from a 2 month consolidation. The EURJPY is now returning to the level that at one point proved to be a significant level of support. After the violation we are now looking for this previous level of structure to potentially flip and act as resistance, offering a bearish trading opportunity with a very positive risk reward.
On the right of the chart are the 3 potential levels of profit taking that we discussed ranging from the conservative to the more aggressive.
My apologies for being absent, but between a rough start to the trading year and the launch of a new course, sharing on Trading View was a very low priority. Hopefully as things start to slow down towards the spring & summer, I can return to positing more consistently.
Either way i appreciate your continued support as we have a GREAT community of traders on this site!
Harmonic trading on USDJPYHi guys,
just wanted to share with you this Cypher pattern that i'm going to take. It completes near the previous resistance and the RSI is in overbought condition.
Stops above X, targets as usual with advanced patterns.
If you want to share your view or ask questions, feel free to write below.
Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
Advanced pattern formation on USDJPYHi guys,
just wanted to share with you this Cypher pattern that i'm going to take. It completes near the previous resistance and the RSI is in overbought condition.
Stops above X, targets as usual with advanced patterns.
If you want to share your view or ask questions, feel free to write below.
Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
Gartley pattern at market at Daily StructureHey guys,
as you can see above in this pair price has recently created new lows, breaking structure to the downside. This tells us that price wants to go lower, therefore we can look for shorting opportunities at structure level, such as the broken support that should act as resistance once it was violated.
In this zone it happens to be the D point of a Gartley formation that provides a nice short entry.
Stops above the X, targets as usual for patterns.
If you have any question, feel free to comment below.
Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
EURJPY: Nice structure and long opportunityWhat a nice structure at FX:EURJPY … Three sell-offs of almost exactly same length. As the last candle was an indecision candle, I'd suspect a great opportunity to go long. First retracement stopped at 0.5, the second was fully bought back before the sell off continued. In my opinion it's targets T1 at the 0.618 retracement of the last move (RR 1:2.3), T2 at the 0.5 (RR 1:3.3) and probably T3 at the 0.382 (RR 1:4.2) which is also last weeks S2 pivot.
Only the resistance between 0.786 and 0.618 might be a problem? What do you guys think?
Are We Breaking Out?Here on the GBPJPY we have a very big triangle pattern that appears to be breaking out. No if you don't trade breakouts, missed the breakout or just want a little more confirmation, you can wait for a pullback and then enter on a simple trend continuation style trade. Now minimum stops need to be above the previous swing high, and you can take targets a multitude of different ways. Even with the conservative targets I have here on the chart, you are still looking at more than 500 pips of potential profit. Now the risk:reward ratio is still very good, but make sure this meets your risk profile, because GBPJPY has a high ATR and it can have some massive stops.
If you would like to see the video I just put out on this setup along with a couple of other potential setups, here is the link: youtu.be
As always,
Good luck and good trading.
AB=CD completed right at Daily StructureHey guys,
very simple trade, price has completed an AB=CD pattern on this pair, right at the most previous structure level. Also, it has created a nice long wick to the top candle that closed as engulfing, with RSI overbought condition in our support.
Waiting for a little pullback in order to short the market and get at least a 1:1 RR on the first target that would be placed on the first AB=CD target (at the 382 retracement).
Stops above the highest highs.
Good trading!
If you want to share your standpoint or ask questions, feel free to write below.
Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
Possible LONG on this pair with bullish Cypher ConfirmationIt seems we have a probable LONG trade possibility on this pair, based on the following factors:
Elliott wave count suggests a wave 3 has almost been completed and is on the last price action through to the wave 3 target. Pattern structure has been broken for a small upwards move (to target 1 and/or 2) before it continues downward. Stochastic suggests a possible downward move, however looking at previous performance (around the 7th to 10th of February) seems to suggest a possible upward move before a downward move. RSI suggests more upwards movement before a downward move.
Additionally, we have what seems to be a BULLISH Cypher harmonic pattern forming, confirming an upwards move, where I have marked 2x targets. First target is at a channel trendline and the second target is at a conservative cypher pattern target. Either target could be hit, prior to a downwards move towards the completion of a wave 3 count.
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DISCLAIMER: This chart is for sharing and educational purposes only and is not intended to be a signal service or similar.
This chart analysis is only provided as my own opinion, based on my own analysis and comes with absolutely no warranty that this analysis is correct, whatsoever. Do not trade this chart if you do not have your own strategy. Trade only with your own strategy at your own risk.
Plan your trade and trade your plan... and IF in doubt, stay out.
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Long Opportunity. Breaking down AUDJPY i was able to observe that the high was tested at 87.425 earlier today and was not able to break the price. That is a structure being held from DEC12th It doesnt lead me to believe a reversal is next. I believe a retest in this price will occur; Or consolidation will occur between the the structure price range given in the graph. I am seeking a possible long opportunity.
I will update with coordinates.
2618 on EURNZDHey guys,
this evening i'd want to share a setup that i will closely look at in the next few hours and probably on Monday opening. This is a 2618 trade that's forming on EURNZD. If you're not familiar with this kind of formation, it basically consists in selling/buying the 618 retracement of the leg that breaks the double top/bottom's neckline. Essentially it should be a conservative way to trade double top/bottom after the confirmation of the reversal (break of structure).
This analysis also aligns pretty well with higher timeframe analysis: on the daily price has created a new structure low (bearish trend confirmation) and it's now back retesting a 4hr structure level (black line) that could stop the price's rally and starts the new downtrend movement.
This is what i look for when trading: additional higher timeframe confirmation! It's very important to have bigger perspective.
That's why i'd split my position in two parts in order to follow the bigger trend in case i'm right. The first position should be taken at the retest of the new low. Stops above the highest high.
If you have any question, feel free to comment below.
Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
Have a good weekend!
2618 on Gold! Ready to short!Hey guys,
i've been watching closely to gold lately and i've found out that it basically respect structure like any other pair i'm trading. So i've decided to apply some analysis to this instrument in order to give you my particular view about it.
The black line represents a daily structure level that i pointed out last week, after the first test price action fell forming a double top that has been recently broken to the downside.
This means my bias is now short, and this may be the startinig point of a new downtrend.
In order to hop on the trend with a nice risk to reward ratio, i've outlined two "Killzones" where i'm going to pay attention to candlestick formations.
The first one is the double top's neckline and the support that's been broken ultimately, thus it's considered to be the first possible turning point.
The second one is the 2618's completion that you could take as a trade alone.
My conservative style of trading tells me to wait till i see a weakness signal on price action.
Good luck!
If you want to share your standpoint or ask questions, feel free to write below.
Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
Flag pattern on EURGBPHey guys,
another simple pattern on my radar today. This time i'm right on time because the break has just happened. You can see the big impulsive leg that broke multiple structure levels on the 4hr chart. Like i said on the previous idea usually after impulses like this price put brief form of consolidation like flag, triangles and pennants.
You can trade in two different ways: the first is to sell the close of the breaking candle, but in this case in order to have a better than 1:1 RR you have to set your target1 below structure (maybe lining up with 1.27 extension), the other way (the one i'm using) is to wait for a pullback and then sell as soon as you get a 1:1 RR at the retest of the lows. And then maybe you can split your position and take target2 at the extension.
It's up to you.
Feel free to comment below if you want to share your viewpoint or ask some questions.
See you in the next chart!
Long Term Short on GOLD Very nice trend continuation setup on XAUUSD. This is definitely a longer term hold, but if you have the discipline and patience to hold on to it, this could be a very good trade.
Price action is putting in a double top right at the 38.2 Fibonacci retracement level which happens to line right up with a nice support level to the left. Now we know structure acts like a magnet, so if this level will hold, my prediction is that we will roll over and continue lower ultimately reaching 1054.00
Now before I get a bunch of comments about how crazy I am due to some fundamental reason or analysis, just know that this is a prediction based purely on the technical of the chart in front of you and nothing else.
As always follow your plan
Good luck and Good Trading!
Basic structure trade on NZDJPYHey guys,
this is a very basic concept of a structure trade. As you can see above on NZDJPY price just came out from a consolidation period and put new structure highs. At this moment i know my bias would be long; but i can't enter a trade long on the top of the movement, i should wait for price to give me a better entry in order to catch the upward move.
My analysis on higher timeframe tells me that price should test 83 flat and that's why it would be my second target. Anyway, the previous resistance should now becomes support and it lines up with .618 retracement of the impulsive move that break the consolidation pattern.
For all those reasons i'm going to wait for the close of the current candle and see what it tells me. If it'll hold i'm buying this up, hoping for, at least, a retest of the highs and then maybe a move further on.
If you have any question. feel free to comment below.
Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
EURJPY: Previous Structure Resistance Well if you've been following my daily trading blog then you know that I've been on a pretty good streak as of late. Funny how that goes hand in hand with me NOT posting to Tradingview for a week. of course that means that I've probably jinxed this trading opportunity..oh well too late now.
Similar to the AUDUSD, GBPUSD, NZDUSD & Silver trades that we've been looking at this week, price is at a point where it is retesting a previous level of structure support. Although we've had a bullish rotation here on the hourly, this is the first real test of the lows of our previous sideways channel.
Seeing how we traded in that channel for a good period of time I would anticipate some selling pressure at that level both from new sellers entering the markets and bulls taking profits.
Hard to see on this chart because it's zoomed out, but we also have the same type of price action leading up into the zone as we did with the GBPUSD meaning the high momentum move followed by the fading rising wedge.
USDJPY: Potential 2618 & Advanced Pattern Formation & a voteHappy Friday traders! Great to see everyone survive another week in these wild wild markets! Last night we were looking for a potential bullish 2618 trade to occur here on the USDJPY as a more conservative approach for those looking to get long.
If we get a completion, it would also represent the "C" leg of a potential advanced gartley formation providing traders with the opportunity to ride price up and then stop & reverse for a move back down (assuming it fits your plan).
We had a nice move on the previous 2618, but now it's pretty difficult for me to get a read on what Yen's next move is. There's not clear level of major support present so when talking to traders about this pair, we've been going over using a cautious approach.
Have a great weekend and also, lately I've been taking votes for what pair you'd like me to analyze in my Forex market Preview video. So if you have one that you like shoot it in the comment section below before Sunday!