GBPJPY 1 Hour: Potential CTS Shortthis was a potential opportunity that I had on my radar yesterday, unfortunately the markets decided to do absolutely nothing but go sideways creating a channel. If we breakout of this channel to the upside I'll be looking at a third harmonic move setting up a potential selling opportunity as we come into previous structure resistance starting at the 187.40's level.
Syndicate members, i just emailed out a video going over this one in a little more detail.
Also Check out my latest Periscope Video "3 Questions From A Prospective Trader" www.youtube.com
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst & Trading Coach
www.TradeEmpowered.com
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Structure-trade
EURGBP - Structure and Fibonacci Cluster indicating a move downBased on structure we can see a down trend in this pair as we are creating Lower Highs and Lower Lows
We are now at the point where the previous high is tested. Also at this level we have a nice fibonacci cluster of the last 3 moves down. All of this for me points in the direction that the pair will move down.
Entry : 0.7165
SL : > 0.7200
Target : 0.7060
Potential risk : +- 35-40 pips
Potential profit : +- 100 pips
Reward-Risk : > 2.5
BEARISH EURUSD 15 Min. Sell channel top. Buy supportNov 3 2015: BEARISH EURUSD 15 Min. Sell channel top. Buy support
(Analysis Based on 15 min chart)
Observations
1. Long term down channel
2. Short term down channel
3. Price at support
4. 15Min RSI oversold at swing low
NOTE: Wait for price action to confirm the importance of these levels.
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BEARISH EURUSD 1H: Sell channel tops; Buy BAT patternNov 3 2015: BEARISH EURUSD 1H: Sell channel tops; Buy BAT pattern
(Analysis Based on 1 hour chart)
Observations
1. Long term down channel
2. Short term down channel
3. Bullish BAT pattern
4. Oversold RSI at 1H swing low
NOTE: Wait for price action to confirm the importance of these levels.
NOTE: This is a counter trend opportunity based on my daily outlook
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BEARISH EURUSD 1H: Support becoming resistance.BEARISH EURUSD 1H: Support becoming resistance. Wait for bearish price action.
(Analysis Based on 1 hour chart)
Criteria
1. Sell at daily Support/Resistance
2. Sell at daily swing low
3. Sell at channel high
NOTE: Wait for price action to confirm the importance of these levels.
NOTE: This is a counter trend oppertunity based on my daily outlook
GBPAUD SELL SETUPWe could clearly see bearish impulse legs with lower lows with lower highs, We never know whats going to be happen next but with logic I can explain if this bat bat pattern works we might see a LL or a retest of lows.
Unbreakable Rules
1. Never add to a losing position.
2. Never risk more than 5 percent of your trading capital on any one trade.
3. Always have a protective stop in the market.
Guidelines
1. Never close a trade without a reason.
2. Take responsibility for your trades.
3. Markets that have higher lows are in uptrends. Markets that have lower highs are in downtrends.
4. Always do your analysis prior to the market open
EURUSD: My FED Day OutlookAs many of you know today is FED day as the FOMC has its Interest rate Decision & Statement coming out today at 2pm (New York). The expectation is that there will be no changes made at this particular time so most of the “volatility” and “reaction” will be based off of the tone of the statement as trader hunt for any clues of when the rate hike may occur.
This is one of those fundamental events that I stay away from as we can potentially see some massive moves and larger spreads during those moves. Ever been stopped out of a position without your stops actually being hit? Yup!
Although I won’t be trading during it, I still like to perform my technical analysis and see if I can predict where price action may shoot too after all of the madness is said and done. After all I firmly believe that the technicals tell you where the market will go and the fundamentals just help push it there faster.
To the bearish side I have a potential Gartley pattern on the daily along with a level of previous structure support which could prove to be a good holding area. While to the bullish side I’m still eying up the intermediate level of resistance that we were looking at in yesterday’s trading session. (Here’s the video in case you missed it www.youtube.com
There’s more resistance to the upside but its way too far to be attacked today as it’s over 400pips away….but hey you never know, that’s why I don’t try and predict these things.
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst at Trade Empowered
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BUY GBPUSD at channel bottomBUY GBPUSD at channel bottom
(Analysis Based on 4H and 1H charts)
Criteria
1. Up trend on the 4H chart
2. At channel bottom
3. At daily support level
4. RSI was oversold at channel bottom
5. Slight hidden divergence
NOTE: Wait for price action to confirm the importance of this level.
NZDCAD. Retest of lows with at market Gartley patternHey, traders. This week starts with NZDCAD setup. As usual I look for a trend and enter in it's direction using advanced patterns such as gartley, cypher and bat. On the chart above you see a series of lower lows and lower highs wich is a definition of a trend. I already entered it and while I was typing this message priceaction went a bit away from my entry point wich is exactly 1,272AB extention. Don't hesitate to enter short if priceaction pulls back to entry point before it hits 0,382AD - in this case Gartley remains valid. I place my stops above X and my target is a retest of A-point. Look at the related ideas links to see how this setups work. Press like if you find the information interesting. Follow me on Tradingview to never miss my ideas
NZDUSD: Get ready for mondaySo, here on FX:NZDUSD there is a very good trend following opportunity that should be monitored during the next trading week.
I am looking the market to do the following moves:
As we are in a bear market right now I look for the retest structure, price should enter the reversal zone and then fall down. As you see we have fibs confluence of 38.2 right at the resist level and 61.8 little bit higher which is a critical reversal level.
If price does these moves we should be looking for the short entry and potential ABCD pattern formation, due to we have no structure below, we should use fibs extension tool and form ABCD pattern for your profit targets, depending the pullback is at 38.2 or 61.8.
Target 1 is the least aggressive setup.
USDJPY Potential Bat pattern completion above structureHere at last we got a Bat pattern to look out for during the night, it got very good R:R but what worries me is that price have to come above structure before it gets to our buy zone! I only take this trade because we have a pretty high completion rate of Bat patterns on this pair. RSI is moving into overbought area so its good and you know the rules for Stops, Entry and Targets. If price goes south before hitting our entry the setup becomes invalid at the close below C point.
Its been a busy night analysing i got 9 pending orders on my 10 pair portfolio and its 2AM right now so its going to be a busy nigt and day tomorrow with news and all. Its the name of the game! Please comment if you like these simple sharings from me.
Kind Regards
Thomas Jeff
EURUSD: Counter Trend @ 1.12s or TCT In Anticipation of the moveA lot of my radar today going around my trading portfolio including the EURUSD. After being stopped out for a loss on yesterday’s bullish Bat pattern, we re-did our IPDE process and started making predictions for our next opportunities. I still don’t see a structure level that I’m a fan of on this pair that is until/unless we get down to the 1.1000 area, but the next potential speed bump may come around the 1.1200 even handle number.
Aside from it being a psychological number, we have multiple harmonic moves setting up in that area, some Fibonacci extensions, and most importantly, looking left we’ve got structure leaving clues.
As discussed in yesterday’s live session, the question just isn’t “where will we go?” but “how will we get there?” And this offers yet another trend continuation (TCT) opportunity if the market were to retrace in anticipation on that 1.1200 level being hit. Of course counter trend (CT) traders, this makes no difference to you as you’re only waiting for the next structure level.
We’ve got the Jackson Hole Symposium going on today which may provide some movement along with Pre-GDP and our normal Thursday Unemployment Claims out at 8:30am & Pending Home Sales at 10:00am. I don’t even try to pretend that I can predict the outcome of these events, but keep those in mind while trading today. We’ll be keeping an eye out for this one in our live trading room today along with potential trades on the GBPUSD, EURJPY, GBPJPY & USDCAD which are all high on my radar.
Also it’s THURSDAY so make sure you check out my Youtube page later for my weekly Forex Trading Video www.youtube.com
Have a great day of trading gang!
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analysis at Trade Empowered
Click here for 20+ hours of FREE Training
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EURUSD: Looking for Shorts at this decision pointIf you saw my post yesterday then you know that I’ve been waiting for a potential short on this pair. (Here’s the video link explaining the trade www.youtube.com) My initial killzone was pretty large and after a brief test of the bottom levels of it, price has rallied back to the top providing me with the opportunity that I was waiting for.
The reason I didn’t enter the trade yesterday was strictly due to the fact that I wouldn’t get the risk reward that I wanted. Risk reward will still be difficult at this level because of how close the structure levels are but if I’m able to get the entry that I want, my stops may be short enough to make it work.
The London session extension gave us another equal measured move back into structure looking left and some Fibonacci extensions. The bulls gave a nice test of the highs and were beaten back after the first attempt to break through. As I type I’m watching this on the 15 minute chart waiting for a reason to enter, all depending on how this current candle completes. For targets I’ll be looking for a move back down into our previous new structure highs, and certainly looking to aggressively manage this one during my live trading room hours. We’ll see how this one pans out
“Plan Your Trade, Trade Your Plan”
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analysis at Trade Empowered
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EURJPY: Potential 2618 Trade with (How to video in description)Here on the EURJPY we have a potential 2618 setup in the works. I say potential because I have no clue what the future of this current leg is, all I can do is Identify, Predict, Decide & then Execute. Here’s a link where you can take the FREE training on this particular strategy (tradeempowered.com ) but essentially, what I’m looking at is a double bottom signaling a reversal and a retest of that that simple pattern as a way to hop on the next leg of the move.
Slow trading this morning were you guys over in London fast asleep? Anyway, aside from this setup all I’ve got is the GBPUSD, EURAUD and GBPAUD on my radar this morning. I think GBPAUD is a steal of an opportunity, hopefully I’ll have a reason to get involved this week before I head out of town. The last thing I want to do is be worried about how my trade is going while up in the air.
As always good luck today traders and below are some links if you’re interested in any more free trading content.
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Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst at www.TradeEmpowered.com
Click the link below to subscribe for more FOREX TRADING videos
www.youtube.com
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NZDUSD: New Structure Low, Outside Return, New Structure Low?Hey gang, first of all thank you for all of the great comments on yesterday's youtube video "How Do Know If My Trading Strategy Is Failing" (www.youtube.com) You guys said that you've learned a lot and please continue to let me know exactly what that was in the comments section on Youtube.
Today I've got bearish cypher patterns on both EURJPY and EURAUD on my radar, but felt like sharing a structure based trade with you this Friday to mix things up. Similar to the AUDUSD (but not the same), the Kiwi has just broken and closed below a level of structure, with a much more significant level resting below. I like to say that structure acts like a magnet so I'm predicting that the market will be pulled towards that lower level. Therefore I'll be looking for reasons to short the Kiwi this morning in the Live Room as the market creates a pullback.
Obviously there;s no way to tell now if I'll actually get involved in the trade or not, but my eyes will be glued to this one on the lower timeframes. Wishing all of you a great weekend and do me a favor, if you liked the video above, make sure you subscribe to my channel. I'd like to inspire as many traders as possible so tell your trading buddies to check it out!
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM /
Forex Weekend Review Videos: www.youtube.com
EURUSD: Been Waiting All Week & Finally Got My ReasonAfter stalking the EURUSD this entire week, price action has finally made its way down into my kill zone and has also given me a reason to get long in the form of a bullish bat pattern that completed during the early London session.
There are so many ways to take targets on this trade and instead of laying them all out I’ll just ask you these questions. Why are you involved in the trade (advanced pattern or trend continuation)? And (of course) What do your rules say to do?
I know you guys hate hearing that, but hey, that’s the reality of trading. Each of us are different and as I tell my clients, your trading style should match your personality making it fit you like a fine tailored suit.
BIG NEWS OUT AT 8:30 eastern! We’ve got USD: Advance GDP, Trade Balance & Unemployment. This should certainly give us some action early on in the New York session so be careful. The underlying market sentiment still looks to be very bullish the USD especially since yesterday’s (lack of hawkish tone) FOMC statement showed little movement before being shaken off my the market.
Yesterday’s USDCAD didn’t go my way and if you’d like to read about it here’s the link to my trading blog. tradeempowered.com
Also it’s Thursday so that means my weekly video is coming out so make sure you head over to YouTube and SUBSCRIBE to my channel, that way you don’t miss it. I’ll most likely be talking about dealing with failing strategies and looking at equity curves…we’ll see. Good luck today traders and let’s ROCK the markets on this wonderful Thursday!
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM /
Forex Weekend Review Videos: www.youtube.com