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EURUSD 29 Feb 2024 W9 - Intraday Analysis - US PCE/JoblessThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 29 Feb 2024 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE: Nothing changed again from yesterday, 4H no changes and 15m just created INT to INT Structure. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. After Bullish iBOS confirming Swing Pullback Phase started, We are expecting INT Pullback. Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and showed solid reaction from there. This reaction is starting the Bullish INT Structure Pullback. We didn't do a Bearish CHoCH to confirm INT High yet. So, there is a probability that price could tap into the CHoCH. Also we tapped into a Daily Demand (Not a HP zone) which is currently containing price. As the 4H Swing is bearish, the Swing pullback could be done after reaching the 4H Supply, Bearish CHoCH will be the initial weak conformation and a Bearish iBOS will be the solid confirmation for that scenario. Other scenario is a deeper Swing Pullback and 4H INT will stay Bullish to facilitate that view. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish INT INT Bearish INT Continuation Phase 2. Swing turned bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. After BOS we expect a pullback. Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and from there started the 15m INT Structure Pullback. With the ranging behavior of price we created INT to INT Structure which turned bearish and currently challenging to maybe targeting the INT Structure Pullback low (ii Low @ 1.0803). Price is currently bearish within the Bullish INT/Swing structure. Expectations that the INT to INT Structure will continue bearish and target the INT to INT Low. But be mindful that there is a HP that price can create a bullish iiBOS to continue the Bullish INT Structure.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 28 Feb 2024 W9 - Intraday Analysis - US GDPThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 28 Feb 2024 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE: Nothing changed again from yesterday, 4H no changes and 15m just created INT to INT Structure. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. After Bullish iBOS confirming Swing Pullback Phase started, We are expecting INT Pullback. Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and showed solid reaction from there. This reaction is starting the Bullish INT Structure Pullback. We didn't do a Bearish CHoCH to confirm INT High yet. So, there is a probability that price could tap into the CHoCH. Also we tapped into a Daily Demand (Not a HP zone) which is currently containing price. As the 4H Swing is bearish, the Swing pullback could be done after reaching the 4H Supply, Bearish CHoCH will be the initial weak conformation and a Bearish iBOS will be the solid confirmation for that scenario. Other scenario is a deeper Swing Pullback and 4H INT will stay Bullish to facilitate that view. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish INT INT Bearish INT Continuation Phase 2. Swing turned bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. After BOS we expect a pullback. No HTF POI price tapped into yet to start the pullback. Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and from there started the 15m INT Structure Pullback. We reached the INT Structure extreme and price started a bounce. Price created a Bullish CHoCH after ranging which indicates that the INT Pullback is over and expectation is to target the Weak INT High. With the ranging behavior of price we created INT to INT Structure which turned bearish and currently challenging to maybe targeting the INT Structure Pullback low (ii Low @ 1.0803).
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 27 Feb 2024 W9 - Intraday Analysis - US Cons. ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 27 Feb 2024 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. After Bullish iBOS confirming Swing Pullback Phase started, We are expecting INT Pullback. Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and showed solid reaction from there. This reaction is starting the Bullish INT Structure Pullback. We didn't do a Bearish CHoCH to confirm INT High yet. So, there is a probability that price could tap into the CHoCH. Also we tapped into a Daily Demand (Not a HP zone) which is currently containing price. As the 4H Swing is bearish, the Swing pullback could be done after reaching the 4H Supply, Bearish CHoCH will be the initial weak conformation and a Bearish iBOS will be the solid confirmation for that scenario. Other scenario is a deeper Swing Pullback and 4H INT will stay Bullish to facilitate that view. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish INT Continuation Phase 2. Swing turned bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. After BOS we expect a pullback. No HTF POI price tapped into yet to start the pullback. Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and from there started the 15m INT Structure Pullback. We reached the INT Structure extreme and price started a bounce. Price created a Bullish CHoCH after ranging which indicates that the INT Pullback is over and expectation is to target the Weak INT High.
by Amr-Sadek
8
EURUSD 26 Feb 2024 W9 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 26 Feb 2024 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE: Nothing major changed since last Friday analysis. Price still within a tide range. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. After Bullish iBOS confirming Swing Pullback Phase started, We are expecting INT Pullback. Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and showed solid reaction from there. This reaction is starting the Bullish INT Structure Pullback. We didn't do a Bearish CHoCH to confirm INT High yet. So, there is a probability that price could tap into the CHoCH. Also we tapped into a Daily Demand (Not a HP zone) which is currently containing price. As the 4H Swing is bearish, the Swing pullback could be done after reaching the 4H Supply, Bearish CHoCH will be the initial weak conformation and a Bearish iBOS will be the solid confirmation for that scenario. Other scenario is a deeper Swing Pullback and 4H INT will stay Bullish to facilitate that view. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish INT Continuation Phase 2. Swing turned bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. After BOS we expect a pullback. No HTF POI price tapped into yet to start the pullback. Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and from there started the 15m INT Structure Pullback. We reached the INT Structure extreme and price started a bounce. Still we are in Bearish Fractal and the CHoCH is high and this will lead to 2 scenarios, Scenario 1: Price respecting the 15m INT Structure and continue up. Scenario 2: Price will target the 4H CHoCH (15m INT Low) initiate a move to the up side from the 4H Demand. (Bearish iBOS, 4H Demand will initiate a Pullback)
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 26-1 Mar 2024 W9 Weekly Analysis - US PCE/GDP WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 26-1 Mar 2024 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. Price reached the INT Extreme and tapped the Weekly Supply Zone and as expected we are targeting at least the CHoCH and then the Weak INT Low. Price did the Bearish ChoCH and formed a fresh Supply zone which will be potential for shorts once reached to continue the Bearish INT structure and Swing too. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from which resulted in a Bearish CHoCH. Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Pullback 2. Within the Daily Bearish Swing we reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone and formed a bearish iBOS confirming the Swing Pullback is over and we are Pro Bearish Swing and starting the Continuation Phase targeting the Weak Swing Low. 3. After the iBOS we expect a Pullback. After mitigating the Daily Demand zone we formed a Bullish CHoCH which confirmed the INT Structure Pullback Phase started. Expectations is set now for the INT Structure Pullback Phase to continue to the INT EQ up to the Daily/Weekly Supply. But be mindful that the Swing continuation can continue at any time. There is no HP POI for Shorts up to the Daily/Weekly Supply Zones. IMO Price could continue up to sweep LIQ from the INT Momentum Phase that leaded to the iBOS before we continue down. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. After Bullish iBOS confirming Swing Pullback Phase started, We are expecting INT Pullback. Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and showed solid reaction from there. This reaction is starting the Bullish INT Structure Pullback. We didn't do a Bearish CHoCH to confirm INT High yet. So, there is a probability that price could tap into the CHoCH. Also we tapped into a Daily Demand (Not a HP zone) which is currently containing price. As the 4H Swing is bearish, the Swing pullback could be done after reaching the 4H Supply, Bearish CHoCH will be the initial weak conformation and a Bearish iBOS will be the solid confirmation for that scenario. Other scenario is a deeper Swing Pullback and 4H INT will stay Bullish to facilitate that view. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 23 Feb 2024 W8 - Intraday Analysis - German GDP/IFOThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 23 Feb 2024 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. After Bullish iBOS confirming Swing Pullback Phase started, We are expecting INT Pullback. Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and showed solid reaction from there. This reaction is starting the Bullish INT Structure Pullback. We didn't do a Bearish CHoCH to confirm INT High yet. So, there is a probability that price could tap into the CHoCH. Also we tapped into a Daily Demand (Not a HP zone) which is currently containing price. As the 4H Swing is bearish, the Swing pullback could be done after reaching the 4H Supply, Bearish CHoCH will be the initial weak conformation and a Bearish iBOS will be the solid confirmation for that scenario. Other scenario is a deeper Swing Pullback and 4H INT will stay Bullish to facilitate that view. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish INT Continuation Phase 2. Swing turned bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. After BOS we expect a pullback. No HTF POI price tapped into yet to start the pullback. Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and from there started the 15m INT Structure Pullback. We reached the INT Structure extreme and price started a bounce. Still we are in Bearish Fractal and the CHoCH is high and this will lead to 2 scenarios, Scenario 1: Price respecting the 15m INT Structure and continue up. Scenario 2: Price will target the 4H CHoCH (15m INT Low) initiate a move to the up side from the 4H Demand. (Bearish iBOS, 4H Demand will initiate a Pullback) 3. 15m/4H Demand to initiate a bullish continuation after sweeping the 4H LIQ (CHoCH) if we didn't confirm Bearish 15m iBOS. If Bearish iBOS confirmed, it will be risky and the 4H Demand will provide imo a pullback only. Waiting for more price development.
by Amr-Sadek
NZDCAD - Top-Down Analysis 📹 From Weekly To H1Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for #NZDCAD. NZDCAD is hovering around a weekly resistance, so we will be looking for sell setups on lower timeframes. On H1, we are waiting for a break below the last major low to sell. Once the sell is activated, the stop loss would be above the previous high, and we will target double our stop loss size to have an edge over the market. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good Luck!. All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Short
by TheSignalyst
EURUSD 22 Feb 2024 W8 - Intraday Analysis - EU CPI / US JoblessThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 21 Feb 2024 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. After Bullish iBOS confirming Swing Pullback Phase started, We are expecting INT Pullback. Price managed to tap into the previous Bearish INT Structure range which acted as a Sell to Buy Range (Demand Range) and price bounced and imo in the direction to target the 4H Supply Zones. Still Bullish momentum of the pullback is intact and continuation up to 4H Bearish Swing EQ is a HP. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish INT Continuation Phase 2. Swing turned bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. After BOS we expect a pullback. No HTF POI price tapped into yet to start the pullback. Most probably price will continue bullish till the 4H Supply zone. Bearish iBOS will confirm 15m Swing High and Start of Swing Pullback. Continuing my bullish Bias on EURUSD till we reach the 4H Swing EQ/HP Supply zones.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 21 Feb 2024 W8 - Intraday Analysis - EU Conf. US FOMCThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 21 Feb 2024 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 3. After Bullish iBOS confirming Swing Pullback Phase started, We are expecting INT Pullback. We are currently within a previous Daily Supply that is partially mitigated but with the current Bullish momentum an INT Pullback most probably will start from the 4H Supply/Swing EQ based on the LIQ on the left. 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish INT Pullback Phase 2. Swing turned bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. After BOS we expect a pullback. No HTF POI price tapped into yet to start the pullback. Most probably price will continue bullish till the 4H Supply zone. Bearish iBOS will confirm 15m Swing High and Start of Swing Pullback. Continuing my bullish Bias on EURUSD till we reach the 4H Swing EQ/HP Supply zones.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 20 Feb 2024 W8 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 20 Feb 2024 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m - Scenario 1 15m - Scenario 2 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish INT Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Also be mindful that there is also a pullback required for the 4H Swing so there is a HP if price going to stay bullish we will take the Strong INT High. Bullish iBOS will signal a Swing Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis - Scenario 1 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Bearish Continuation Phase 2. Price is at the 15m Swing Extreme, mitigating the 4H Supply. As the Swing is Bearish, expectations is set to continue Bearish. Price created a Bearish iBOS signaling that that the Swing Pullback is over and we started the Swing Bearish Continuation Phase to target the Swing Low. But also be mindful that the 4H Swing Pullback still required so there is a HP that we may take the 15m Swing High. 3. 15m/4H Demand zones that can provide only reaction and not a buy opportunity. 15m Chart Analysis - Scenario 1 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish INT Pullback Phase 2. Price is at the 15m Swing Extreme, mitigating the 4H Supply. As the Swing is Bearish, expectations is set to continue Bearish. Price created a Bearish INT to INT structure and tuned bearish to facilitate the INT Structure Pullback. As the INT is Bullish there is a HP we are going to target the Swing High. Bearish iBOS will signal that the Swing Pullback Phase is over and we are starting the Swing Bearish continuation Phase. But also be mindful that the 4H Swing Pullback still required so there is a HP that we may take the 15m Swing High. 3. 15m/4H Demand zones that can provide only reaction and not a buy opportunity.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD - Trend-Following Short ↘️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 EURUSD has been overall bearish, trading within the falling wedge pattern in red. At present, EURUSD is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. Moreover, it is retesting a strong resistance zone marked in blue. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the blue resistance and upper red trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a top bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
1
EURUSD 19 Feb 2024 W8 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 19 Feb 2024 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish INT Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Also be mindful that there is also a pullback required for the 4H Swing so there is a HP if price going to stay bullish we will take the Strong INT High. Bullish iBOS will signal a Swing Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 15m Chart 1 15m Chart 2 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing / INT Pullback Phase Swing Extreme 2. Price is at the 15m Swing Extreme, mitigating the 4H Supply. As the Swing is Bearish, expectations is set to continue Bearish. Bearish iBOS will be the signal that the Swing Pullback is over and we may start the Bearish 15m Swing Continuation Phase. But also be mindful that the 4H Swing Pullback still required so there is a HP that we may take the 15m Swing High. 3. 15m/4H Demand zones that can provide only reaction and not a buy opportunity.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 19-23 Feb 2024 W8 Weekly Analysis - EU CPI/PMI WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 19-23 Feb 2024 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. Price reached the INT Extreme and tapped the Weekly Supply Zone and as expected we are targeting at least the CHoCH and then the Weak INT Low. Price did the Bearish ChoCH and formed a fresh Supply zone which will be potential for shorts once reached to continue the Bearish INT structure and Swing too. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from which resulted in a Bearish CHoCH. Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Pullback 2. Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS. For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low. Price confirmed a Bearish iBOS and this signals the Swing continuation phase. 3. After the iBOS we expect a Pullback. Price is currently within the Daily demand on the left which is partially mitigated and approaching a Weekly Demand Zone which could provide reaction to facilitate the Bearish INT Structure Pullback. Bullish CHoCH will confirm INT Low and INT Structure Pullback maybe starting. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish INT Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Also be mindful that there is also a pullback required for the 4H Swing so there is a HP if price going to stay bullish we will take the Strong INT High. Bullish iBOS will signal a Swing Pullback. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 16 Feb 2024 W7 - Intraday Analysis - US PPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 16 Feb 2024 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish INT Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Also be mindful that there is also a pullback required for the 4H Swing so there is a HP if price going to stay bullish we will take the Strong INT High. Bullish iBOS will signal a Swing Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing / INT Pullback Phase Swing Extreme 2. Price reached the last Supply and Extreme of the 15m Swing / 4H Supply and initiated the Bullish INT Structure Pullback after. As the Swing is Bearish, expectations is set to continue Bearish. INT to turn bearish will be the signal that the Swing Pullback is over. But also be mindful that the 4H Swing Pullback still required so there is a HP that we may take the 15m Swing High. 3. 15m/4H Demand zones that can provide only reaction and not a buy opportunity.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 15 Feb 2024 W7 - Intraday Analysis - US Retail SalesThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Feb 2024 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish INT Pullback Phase 2. Swing formed Bearish iBOS signaling that the Daily Bearish Swing Pullback Phase is over and we are currently in the Daily Bearish continuation phase. 3. After a BOS we expect a Swing Pullback. Internal Structure is also Bearish with iBOS, So 4H Swing and INT are expecting a pullback which could start at anytime from the current Daily Demand which is partially mitigated and we are below that mitigation or from the 4H Demand nested within the Daily Demand. Price created a Bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low and we are currently in the INT Structure Pullback Phase. Expectation is set to pullback to the 4H/Daily Supply zones and continue Bearish after. Bullish iBOS will signal a Swing Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing / INT Pullback Phase 2. Previous Swing Pullback ended with the Bearish iBOS and price created another Bearish iBOS with the CPI news which created a Bearish BOS. 3. After a BOS we expect a Swing Pullback. Price created a Bullish iBOS to facilitate the the 15m Swing Pullback. Expectations is set now to continue bullish to the 15m Swing EQ / the 4H-15m Supply zones to continue the Bearish Swing. But be mindful also that the 4H is requesting a Pullback so there is a HP that the 15m Swing could be broken too.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 14 Feb 2024 W7 - Intraday Analysis - EU GDPThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 14 Feb 2024 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Daily 4H 15m Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish 2. Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS. For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low. Price confirmed a Bearish iBOS yesterday and this signals the Swing continuation phase. 3. After the iBOS we expect a Pullback. Price is currently within the Daily demand on the left which is partially mitigated and approaching a Weekly Demand Zone which could provide reaction to facilitate the Bearish INT Structure Pullback. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish OF Bearish 2. Swing formed Bearish iBOS signaling that the Daily Bearish Swing Pullback Phase is over and we are currently in the Daily Bearish continuation phase. 3. After a BOS we expect a Swing Pullback. Internal Structure is also Bearish with iBOS, So 4H Swing and INT are expecting a pullback which could start at anytime from the current Daily Demand which is partially mitigated and we are below that mitigation or from the 4H Demand nested within the Daily Demand. A Bullish CHoCH will confirm the INT Low and may start he INT Structure Pullback. But be mindful that we the Bearish momentum we are in, Price can continue Bearish with minor Pullbacks. Current CHoCH is high for price to reach so i'm expecting price to create a new low first before we start the INT Pullback. Bullish iBOS will signal a Swing Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish 2. Previous Swing Pullback ended with the Bearish iBOS and price created another Bearish iBOS with the CPI news yesterday which created a Bearish BOS. 3. After a BOS we expect a Swing Pullback. Price currently approaching a 4H Demand Zone that can provide reaction for the Pullback. Most probably i'll wait for a Bullish iBOS to signal the Swing Pullback.
by Amr-Sadek
5
EURUSD 13 Feb 2024 W7 - Intraday Analysis - US CPI DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 13 Feb 2024 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE: As i came to chart today it had the confusion for the first time since months in a clear view on the 15m Time Frame. This is because the Price behavior since Jan 2024 is not trending clearly specially in the past 2 to 3 weeks. I decided to have 2 Scenarios for the 15m and will see which is the result after. I lean more Scenario 1 but lets see the at the end of the day what will be the results. It's one of these days that the market is telling you go do something else 😃 especially it's US CPI Day and one of the most waited news events since last FOMC meeting. 4H Chart Analysis (Nothing major changed since yesterday) 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bearish In Swing Discount / Possible LiQ Sweep 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range and formed a Bullish INT Structure iBOS. This Bullish iBOS failed to continue Bullish and we changed to Bearish INT Structure which means that the Swing Pullback Phase is not over. We are also within the 4H Swing Demand/Discount so keep in mind that at anytime the Swing Continuation could start. More price development needed with the current PA. 3. Bearish momentum still active with a Bearish iBOS. With the current series of bearish INT Structures, there is a HP that the 4H Swing Low will go as there is no much demand zones and the current demand is fully mitigated and every move up is just a sell opportunity. After the iBOS we would expect a pullback. Price failed to close below the 4H Low which could be a sweep of LIQ. As per previous days analysis, i was waiting to see at least a bullish CHoCH in order to see a possibility of a Pullback of the 4H Bearish iBOS and the 4H Swing is still Holding. From the Fractal CHoCHs happening after Sweeping the LiQ below the 4H Swing Low showing that demand in control. We are currently in the Pullback Phase of the Bearish iBOS and expectations to continue Bullish till the INT Structure EQ and maybe extending to the INT Extreme Supply. 15m Chart Analysis - Scenario 1️⃣ 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Pullback Phase 2. INT Structure turned Bullish with iBOS confirming that the 15m Swing Pullback started as expected and we may have a deeper pullback. After iBOS we expect a pullback which already started after a Bearish INT to INT Structure iiBOS. As we didn't reach the Swing EQ or any HP POI we will have still the probability to continue up to maybe the 4H Supply Zone. 3. The INT Structure had finished after the Bullish iiBOS. Price is currently mitigating the INT to INT structure and expectations set to the target the Weak INT to INT high and then the INT High. 15m Chart Analysis - Scenario 2️⃣ (Correction INT Bearish) 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Continuation Phase 2. INT Structure turned Bearish signaling that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the continuation phase targeting the Swing Low. After iBOS we expect a pullback which is already started after a Bullish CHoCH reaching the INT Premium area but didn't mitigate any HP POI. Expectations is set to targeting the Weak INT Low and continuation to target the Weak Swing Low. 3. Demand Zone formed on the INT Pullback which is currently providing reaction and expectations is set to take out the current Weak INT Low.
by Amr-Sadek