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EURUSD 17 Nov 2023 Intraday Analysis - EUR CPI DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 17 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Bullish Swing continuation happened as expected and we created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH. We just formed IMO 1 demand zone within the Swing that it's also a FLIP to the supply formed. So most probably if we reached that level we will have potential longs. 3. After reaching the Daily/4H Supply, price started to show some reaction. Yesterday the CHoCH was below the 4H Demand (FLIP) down, which is far away for price to reach to indicate that the 4H is starting a pullback. Put price yesterday with US news created a new high and for that the CHoCh is moved to the upside. If price did the CHoCH today and hold the supply formed that then there will be a better probability that that pullback is starting. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish 2. Price did another Bullish BOS yesterday with US news. This means that in order for price to start the Swing pullback on the 4H, we want to see a break of the Swing Low in order to have a Bearish Structure on the 15m and the 4H will have the CHoCH which is an indication for the pullback. Buys makes sense because the 15m Swing in still bullish but the HTF are looking for a pullback so there is more probability we will have this pullback soon. 3. There are no unmitigated POIs in this Bullish Swing for longs. So the ChoCH on the 4H idea and the current 15m Swing low being near is adding for me a probability that we will take out the 15m Swing Low / 4H CHoCH to initiate the pullback. Most probably Monday will be interesting to see the setup. Have all a nice weekend.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 16 Nov 2023 Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Bullish Swing continuation happened as expected and we created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH. Currently the CHoCH is far away and i'm expecting price to create a higher CHoCH to initiate a sign that the pullback maybe starting. We just formed IMO 1 demand zone within the Swing that it's also a FLIP to the supply formed. So most probably if we reached that level we will have potential longs. 3. After reaching the Daily/4H Supply, price started to show some reaction. Still there is no Fractal CHoCH to indicate that may be the Pullback is starting. So we may have another push to the upside to mitigate the 4H Supply up before we start the Swing Pullback. If price didn't create a new high, then we can look on the LTF to guide us for potential Pullback from the current Daily Zone. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish 2. After a BOS we expect a pullback, with the Bearish iBOS, we confirmed 15m Swing High and the start of the Pullback. Currently price in a series of bearish structures to facilitate the 15m Swing Pullback. Following that bearish structure till we reach the Swing EQ or the INT Structure turns bullish to confirm that the pullback is over and we are in the Bullish Swing Continuation. 3. Potential Supply zone for Shorts if we are continuing the Swing Pullback.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 13 Nov 2023 Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 13 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish OF Bearish 2. After a BOS we expect a pullback, As we did a CHoCH on the 4H and iBOS on the 15m the pullback started and tapped into a 4H Demand Zone. Price had swept the Liq below the 4H zone and we could be now targeting the previous high formed. Failure to break the previous high will put us in a deeper pullback within the 4H Bullish structure. Always will let the LTF (15m) to guide me. 3. 4H Demand zone could hold the price to continue up after sweeping liquidity on the left. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish 2. Price is in a series of unclear INT structures moving from bearish to bullish to bearish to bullish to bearish which is a clear indication of indecision and ranging. Recent structure is bearish so most probably we will have the selling pressure from the 4H Supply zone and most of the 15m zones are mitigated there. I'll be on the sideline until we turn INT bullish (iBOS) then will be looking to play the longs again. Shorts are not currently in my plan as 4H Swing and Daily OF are both still bullish, so will not play against. 3. 15m Demand is mitigated and most probably the INT low will be taken as we are in a bearish INT Structure.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 13 - 17 Nov 2023 Weekly Analysis - CPI WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 13 - 17 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expect pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a demand zone which showed a reaction that the pullback of the internal bearish structure maybe starting but still the OF is bearish 3. Potential flip supply zone to continue the INT bearish structure and Swing bearish leg. Price didn't tap it yet and was close to it and started to move down. Possibly that price had pulled back and in the continuation down which i don't prefer. Instead i prefer that price is targeting the Liq above the Flip zone for better move to the down side. 4. Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish OF Bullish 2. After BOS we expect a pullback OF turned bullish to facilitate the Swing pullback and most probably we will continue bullish till we sweep Liq on the lift which reside below the Weekly and Daily Supply zones before we see bearish continuation. Price swept the Liq above the Daily Flip zone and and didn't tap the Weekly/Daily supply zones yet. The pullback after sweeping the liq is currently in progress and price could pullback to the daily demand before continuing up. I don't like price to deeply pullback as it's for me a sign of weakness, but f we did pullback deep i'll watch how price will develop to continue bullish if possible. 3. Weekly/Daily supply zone and the extreme of the bearish INT Structure which could provide a short opportunity if we are going to react from these zone. Let's watch LTF to guide us for potential shorts. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish OF Bearish 2. After a BOS we expect a pullback, As we did a CHoCH on the 4H and iBOS on the 15m the pullback started and tapped into a 4H Demand Zone. Price had swept the Liq below the 4H zone and we could be now targeting the previous high formed. Failure to break the previous high will put us in a deeper pullback within the 4H Bullish structure. Always will let the LTF (15m) to guide me. 3. 4H Demand zone could hold the price to continue up after sweeping liquidity on the left. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 8 Nov 2023 Intraday Analysis - Powell Speaks This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. After a BOS we expect a pullback, As we did a CHoCH on the 4H and iBOS on the 15m the pullback started and tapped into a 4H Demand Zone. Expectations that as long this demand zone holds and the 15m OF stay bullish we can resume the bullish move and target the INT High. The only concern that we didn't pullback to the 50% of the Swing which is something to pay attention to as we could visit the Swing 50% before we continue up. 3. 4H Demand zone could hold the price to continue up after sweeping liquidity on the left. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish 2. After the 15m BOS we expect a pullback. Confirmation that the pullback is starting when we have the bearish iBOS. INT turned bearish confirming Swing High and the pullback is starting. Price taped into the 4H Demand and created a bullish iBOS which indicate that the 15m Swing pullback is finished and we will continue the bullish move targeting the Swing High. 3. 4H Demand zone which includes 15m Demand that can provide potential buys to continue bullish. 4. 4H Demand zone which includes 15m Demand zones at the 15m Swing extreme that can provide potential buys to continue bullish.
by Amr-Sadek
4
Possible GBPUSD movementsEnglish First of all, I looked at the market structure, we have a very clear bearish structure since the 70´s and I looked at the last fractal to see the possible movements and debts the price may cover in his path. I saw the last movements during (The LL and LH) that last bearish movement that the price didn´t get at least the 50% Fibo´s, it happened with the two bearish movements. I took a look as well at the possible debts and I used the Fibo extension and noticed a debt in the level 1 (100), so we still have a zone to cover right down (A possible LL). So, we have two possible movements and two debts that we need to pay attention, one in the 1.86648 price to look for bearish movement and another one waiting for the price to go down and get the debt in the 1 (100) zone of our Fibo extension in the price 0.95397. Let´s see what the market does to "refresh" my analysis. *THIS IT NOT INVEStMENT RECOMMENDATION OR SOMETHING LIKE THAT, THIS IS ONLY FOR ANALYSIS AND EDUCATION PURPOSE* Español Primero que todo, miramos la estructura de mercado, tenemos una estructura claramente bajista desde los 70s y me enfoqué en su último fractal bajista para identificar posibles movimientos y deudas del precio en su camino. Vi los últimos movimientos (alto más bajo y bajos más bajos) en su último movimiento a la baja e identifiqué que el precio no cubrió en ninguno de sus retrocesos al menos el 50% del Fibo, por lo que tenemos vacios donde el precio tiene que subir en algún momento. También vi lo que serían posibles deudas en la zona baja e identifiué una deuda en la zona del 1 (100), justo por debajo del último precio a la baja, por lo que tenemos un posible bajo más bajo que cubrir. Por lo tanto, tenemos dos posibles movimientos y dos deudas a las que debemos prestarle atención, uno en el precio 1.86648 para buscar posibles ventas y otra esperando un nuevo movimiento a la baja hasta el precio 0.95397 buscando posibles compras. Ya veremos qué hace el mercado para actualizar nuestro análisis. *ESTO NO ES RECOMENDACIÓN DE INVERSIÓN NI NADA QUE SE LE PAREZCA, ESTO ES SOLO PARA ANÁLISIS Y EDUCACIÓN*
Short
by DarkTradingCapital
EURUSD 7 Nov 2023 Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 7 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. As expected, price continued bullish and did a bullish BOS after sweeping the Liq from the previous Swing lows. After a BOS we expect a pullback, but be mindful that all TFs are bullish in Structure or OF so most probably that bullishness will continue. As we did a CHoCH on the 4H and iBOS on the 15m we can expect the pullback is starting after the BOS. 3. 4H Demand zone could hold the price to continue up after sweeping liquidity on the left. 15 Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish 2. After the 15m BOS we expect a pullback. Confirmation that the pullback is starting when we have the bearish iBOS. INT turned bearish confirming Swing High and the pullback is starting. expectation is that the pullback will continue to the 4H POIs and from there we can expect a change in the bearish OF and the INT will change to bullish. 3. 4H Demand zone which includes 15m Demand that can provide potential buys to continue bullish. 4. 4H Demand zone which includes 15m Demand zones at the 15m Swing extreme that can provide potential buys to continue bullish.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 6 Nov 2023 Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 6 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Bullish Swing Bullish INT 2. As expected, price continued bullish and did a bullish BOS after sweeping the Liq from the previous Swing lows. After a BOS we expect a pullback, but be mindful that all TFs are bullish in Structure or OF so most probably that bullishness will continue. Will be looking for pullback to start once we tap into the Weekly/ 4H Supply zones that is price is approaching currently. Will wait for LTFs to guide for maybe the Swing pullback is starting. 3. 4H Demand zone could hold the price to continue up after sweeping liquidity on the left. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish 2. After the 15m BOS we expect a pullback. Confirmation that the pullback is starting when we have the bearish iBOS. INT still bullish so we can continue longs but be mindful that the 15m Swing pullback could start at any time. 3. 4H Demand zone which includes 15m Demand zones at the 15m Swing extreme that can provide potential buys to continue bullish.
by Amr-Sadek