EURUSD Trade Recap 11th August 2023Breakeven taken on EURUSD last Friday, very happy with the management. Full explanation in the recap.
🧠Emotional Log
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**Pre-Trade**
I understand all the confluences within my thesis, I accept this risk as I know if it is a loss I clearly understand exactly why I took to the trade. My stop is protected and if price takes me out there is a chance it is forming something else anyway. Do not be greedy, but also do not hesitate. These are the trades I must allow myself to take.
**During Trade**
My stop is protected, allow price to do its thing. My entry is valid, and I understand structure over candlesticks. I utilised the timeframes as best I could, working from the 1H structure filtering down to the 15M without jumping in. Do not choke the trade, mini 90% rule is in play so let price do its thing.
**Post-Trade**
I understand that price created a mini scoop for a much sharper entry, however, how can we guarantee this will always happen. My entry was valid, and stop was protected, I understood the 90% rule kicking in and managed risk accordingly to price action on the 1H. Nothing more I could have done in this situation and capital was protected.
Structure
GMXUSDTGMXUSDT is trading in bearish channel and smoothly following technical pattern of break and retest of structure. currently the instrument is retesting the broken support level and seems like it is getting ready for another sell off.
VGXUSDTVGXUSDT has broken very important support zone and currently retesting that support. As the price is under 50 EMA pressure it seems like after successful retest of broken structure price may head even lower.
EURUSD I Approaching previous structureWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
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Harmonic + OB + IMB + OTE: Failed1. I used the Previous OTE ZONE as my entry area when it has already been tapped a few times...
2. I did not plot a fib ret on the latest swing low/high for some reason despite there being a ChoCh present.
One thing to note about this though, is that the FIBRET is Reversed. Seeing the non-reversed version meant there was no OB + OTE confluence anywhere.
Maybe that's why I didn't bother with it.
Here's the thing though.. and what is probably a crucial information that I wouldn't have learned if I didn't lose this trade:
Putting fibret on reverse, meant it confluenced with the FVG.
So what I've learned:
1. OTE + FVG MIGHT JUST BE AS VIABLE AS OTE + OB.
2.Try out both reversed and non-reversed versions of fib ret. There might be a confluence you are not seeing.
ALSO, VERY IMPORTANT NOTE:
If price left your entry point, and reached target take profit (liquidity, fvg, s/r levels, etc) first...
Close the trade.
Reaching the target take profit means the market maker move is done.
It means the intention has been fulfilled, and it's time to make a new price action setup.
So the next time it reaches your target entry point, the price has a higher chance of not bouncing, because price is already moving with different intent.
CANCEL COMPLETED TRADES.
SAVE YOUR CAPITAL.
DON'T GIVE IT UP EASILY.
BUY limit XAUUSD at 1937-1940 | Target 1960 to1980I use the Elliott wave and wave structure at H4 timeframe to come up with the following OANDA:XAUUSD trading plan below:
On the H4 time frame, I have found wave 3, and am waiting for wave 4 to form at the 38.2 Fibonacci price zone ( 1937-1940).
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My Setup:
Entry BUY: 1937-1940
Stoploss: 1925
TP1: 1960
TP2: 1980
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Thank you for your cmt and boost
GBP/JPY Potential Forecast|HTF Analysis| Wednesday, 12 July 2023Hi everyone!
-GBP/JPY give us a nice bullish price delivery previous week and for now is changin the direction (switch in orderflow)
-It have a lot of liquidity and IMB below him so that can be your potential target.
-If you are gonna enter on supply use confirmations.
I hope you will have a great trading day.
EURCAD I Key resistance broken and more upsideWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURCAD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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BTC Long-Term Outlook/Analysis + Life GoalsI've charted this since last year, maybe since May, idk.
It shows two possible directions depending on what structure breaks.
Well, it broke Market Structure towards the upside, and has been following the price path that I laid out almost to a T/tee/tea(whatever).
So yeah. It just might follow it, or it might not and just straight up dumps on the higher timeframe, but that's unlikely?
Like, what could cause a worldwide massive sell off that would plummet the BTC price?
Well, of course, if the people and organizations that hold the massive BTC wallets would just randomly sell off their holdings. That would crash BTC.
But why would they do that?
So, in the end, my point is, if you think about it...
The dollar and current worldwide economy is crashing... so where do they turn to?
Bitcoin.
Not gold, not USD, but Bitcoin.
I think gold is also a "stablecoin", something you can rely on to hold value.
I think, going forward, I would like to keep accumulating bitcoin and gold, when I have the money to accumulate.
My goal in my financial life would be, to keep accumulating cash daily(through business, work, and trading), and keep DCA'ing into Bitcoin and Gold regardless of the market.
AUDUSD – LONGThe bullish momentum confirmed with ChoCH on D1. Liquidity was grabbed at the IDM level. Opportunity to buy on a false breakout of the Gann line. The target is the next Supply Zone.
AUDUSD – LONG
ENTRY PRICE - 0.66720
SL - 0.65900
TP - 0.69820
Always follow the 6 Golden Rules of Money Management:
1. Protect your gains and never enter into a position without setting a stop loss.
2. Always trade with a Risk-Reward Ratio of 1 to 1.5 or better.
3. Never over-leverage your account.
4. Accept your losses, move on to the next trade and trust the software.
5. Make realistic goals that can be achieved within reason.
6. Always trade with money you can afford to lose.
Please leave your comment and support me with like if you agree with my idea. If you have a different view, please also share with me your idea in the comments.
Have a nice day!
USDJPY uptrend scalp to higher highThe daily closed bullish but with some buy exhaustion which led me to believe that there still some bullish momentum but not much. The 1H made a clear higher high and decided to hold at its lows but created some bullish reversal signals on top of support. The moving avergae plays as support as well. Upon the breach of a 30min correction trendline. I believe price is on its way back to test its high or create a new one. Afterall, this is an overall uptrend.
Market Structure + Orderblock + Fibonacci Retracement = FailedMarket Structure + Orderblock + Fibonacci Retracement = Failed
Here's why:
Trendlines, S/R Levels, Chart & Candlestick Patterns are still relevant.
Trade could have worked. It passed all the other criteria (market structure downtrend + bearish fib ret ote zone + bearish ob).
It was just a right trade at the wrong level.
Virgin Galactic - SPCE outlook showing signs of strengthLooking a the SPCE chart from a birds eye view it shows the company is overdue for a run. For months it's been trading sideways. It almost looks like it's break out of an inverse head and shoulders pattern. Until recently a spike caused by bullish news sending the stock from around 4.04 to 6.50.
On the run up it rejected the 6.50 price and came back mid day to the 4.50 level. The Fixed range volume profile showed from 4.04 to 6.50 on the initial the point of control was shifted to 6.50 where most volume was traded at the top. It showed a new level of support based on the visible range volume profile after it was rejected in the 4.81 - 4.63 range which to me was a buy zone. Even if it drops a little bit im okay with the risk to reward ratio with calls out to July 7th.
I wanted to get in it but I wasn't going to buy in at the top. The visible range volume profile showed me that most the volume came from these price levels. The fixed So I took the trade and look for a momentum run up in anticipation of the commercial flight between june 27th and june 30th.
The blue horizontal lines represent my take profit levels with the first retesting the 6.50 level. If price moves agressive I'm looking for it to close gaps from the prior months. The closer to launch date I can see it running up because people don't want to miss the run and a lot of buying pressure should be coming in up to these dates. Not to mention there's another flight shortly after in July I believe if there are no delays.
We will see how this plays out. My calls don't expire until July 7th after the first flight if there are no delays.
Thanks for taking the time out to read this.
Trade responsible,
Jay
#TradeTheWave