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EURUSD 29 Apr 2024 W18 - Intraday Analysis - GER CPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 29 April 2024 W18 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment No major economic data releases are scheduled for Monday, limiting significant movement in the pair. However, the intervention in JPY leading to a USD weakness which will provide support for EURUSD some Bullish stand. Also note that the current week includes EU CPI and US FOMC / NFP which most probably result in a volatility and investors are positioning for that upcoming news events. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Sub-Internal Bullish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the Weekly demand and initiated the Swing Pullback Phase. With the Bullish OF and as expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there. 4. With Sub-INT / OF is holding Bullish, I Still see more upside as long we hold the recent Sub-INT Low (Green Line). A break of the Sub-INT Low, this will confirm that the Pullback Phase maybe is over and we will continue down targeting the INT Low. On the other side if the Sub-INT Structure will stay Bullish, there is a HP we are targeting the mitigation of the Daily Supply. More Price development from Intraday analysis to confirm a scenario. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Sell: Phase B (HP) Long: Phase C (LP) 2. Swing turned Bearish signaling the probability that the 4H Pullback is maybe over and we may resume the 4H Bearish continuation move. Currently price at a 15m/4H Supply zones that could initiate the Swing continuation phase. Possible Phase B Shorts but be mindful that the 4H INT Structure still Bullish and we may see another deep Swing pullback which will reflect on a Bullish 15m Swing BOS. 3. 15m Demand within the INT Structure as it could provide a Low Probability Long Phase C trade.
by Amr-Sadek
1
EURUSD 29-3 May 2024 W18 Weekly Analysis - FOMC / NFP Week!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 29-3 May 2024 W18 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment Potential EUR Upside: Weaker Dollar: The recent US economic data, particularly the lower than expected GDP growth, has weakened the US dollar. This trend could continue if upcoming data disappoints. Eurozone Data: Key Eurozone data releases (flash GDP and CPI) could show signs of improving economic health, boosting the Euro. Potential EUR Downside: Strong US Jobs Report: The highly anticipated US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday could show strong job growth, strengthening the dollar. Hawkish Fed: The Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday is a key event. If the Fed signals a more aggressive rate hike path to combat inflation, the dollar will likely strengthen. Overall: The EUR/USD sentiment is currently uncertain. The direction will depend on the outcome of key data releases and the Fed meeting. Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak INT Low and the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. 4. Price currently within a Weekly demand zone that can initiate a minor Pullback for the continuation down to the Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. Internal Structure continuing bearish following the Bearish Swing. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price is within the Weekly Demand and swept Liq from the left. Price in a clear corrective move to the upside after tapping the Weekly Demand Zone. We didn't mitigate any HP Supply to initiate the INT Structure continuation phase so the scenario will be that price still could continue to mitigate the Daily Supply Zone. Other scenario that with the corrective more currently we are in price will continue down without the mitigation of a Supply zone. More price development required / LTF confirmations for the 2 scenarios. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions to fulfill the INT Pullback Phase. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Sub-Internal Bullish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the Weekly demand and initiated the Swing Pullback Phase. With the Bullish OF and as expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there. 4. With Sub-INT / OF is holding Bullish, I Still see more upside as long we hold the recent Sub-INT Low (Green Line). A break of the Sub-INT Low, this will confirm that the Pullback Phase maybe is over and we will continue down targeting the INT Low. On the other side if the Sub-INT Structure will stay Bullish, there is a HP we are targeting the mitigation of the Daily Supply. More Price development from Intraday analysis to confirm a scenario. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 26 Apr 2024 W17 - Intraday Analysis - US PCE Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 26 Apr 2024 W17 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15 Chart Analysis Market Sentiment PCE as the next hurdle: The release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data is the key event today. This data is a crucial inflation indicator for the US Federal Reserve. Potential scenarios based on PCE: Higher than expected PCE: This suggests stronger US inflation, which could bolster the USD. Investors might anticipate a more hawkish stance from the Fed (raising interest rates), making the USD a more attractive investment. This scenario could weaken the Euro. Lower than expected PCE: This suggests cooling inflation, potentially weakening the USD. If inflation is under control, the Fed might be less aggressive with rate hikes, making the USD less appealing. This scenario could strengthen the Euro. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the Weekly demand and initiated the Swing Pullback Phase. With the Bullish OF and as expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there. Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. 4. With Sub-INT / OF is holding Bullish, I Still see more upside as long we hold the recent Sub-INT Low (Green Line). Current Sub-INT structure doesn't have any clear Demand and we are currently within the Supply Zone formed during the news yesterday and with PCE today, i'd expect high volatility similar to yesterday. Today for me is a day to analyze and not to trade 😃 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish 2. With the Swing containing Bullish and Swing Low did hold the volatility yesterday, I couldn't find a clear POI within the Swing to continue Bullish except the Demand down. Expectations with the current PA is that the Weak Swing High will get run. But be mindful that today US PCE news will have the market ranging till the news. As indicated in the 4H analysis, Today is the day where you analyze and don't trade as more clear setups will be available next week. 3. 15m Demand for possible longs if we are continuing Bullish.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 25 Apr 2024 W17 - Intraday Analysis - US GDP / JoblessThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 25 Apr 2024 W17 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Euro's recent strength: The Euro has gained some ground against the USD lately, fueled by weaker US data and supporting the Pullback Phase after the YTD lows. US data as a game changer: The upcoming US GDP and Jobless Claims reports are the main event. Strong numbers could significantly strengthen the USD, reversing the Euro's recent gains. Cautious market: Investors are holding back until the data is released, creating a wait-and-see sentiment that could limit the Euro's upside potential specially with US PCE Inflation Report tomorrow. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the Weekly demand and initiated the Swing Pullback Phase. With the Bullish OF and as expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there. Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. 4. As price reached the 4H Supply with Bullish OF, price showed a bearish reaction as expected to facilitate a Pullback to recent Demand. Price tapped into the 4H Demand and currently in the momentum to create a new high. As indicated previously, the Liquidity on the left above the 4H Supply and possibly the Swing EQ are the targets. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Long: Phase A Short: Phase C (Require Bearish iBOS) 2. Price mitigation to the 4H Demand. 3. Price turned bullish after mitigating the 4H Demand turning INT structure to Bullish. With INT structure is Bullish, expectations are set that we are going to target the Weak Swing High. But be mindful that we are still within the 4H Supply Zone that is partially mitigated yesterday so Phase A2 after the BOS will be tough. But Phase C will be applicable if we have a Bearish iBOS.
by Amr-Sadek
1
EURUSD 24 Apr 2024 W17 - Intraday Analysis - US Durable GoodsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 24 Apr 2024 W17 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment EURUSD is slightly bullish: The Euro is currently showing some strength, having gained yesterday strong Euro data and on weaker US data. Market is cautious: Upcoming US inflation data is keeping investors cautious, potentially limiting gains for the Euro. US Durable Goods will be the watch today for volatility. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. As expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there. Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. 4. 4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone. Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign fora bearish reaction from the 4H Supply. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Long: Phase A2 Short: Phase C (Require Bearish iBOS) 2. Price had created another Bullish Swing BOS aligning with the HTF requirements for a Pullback. Price had reached 4H Supply zone which could initiate the Swing Pullback Phase. For a PB phase to start we need a Bearish iBOS. 3. Current INT Low is the 4H Fractal CHoCH
by Amr-Sadek
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by Yelli_trades
EURUSD 23 Apr 2024 W17 - Intraday Analysis - EU/US PMI Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 23 Apr 2024 W17 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Today's EUR/USD Forex market is going to be influenced by big economic news. This includes updates on the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for both the Eurozone and the USA. Right now, the EUR/USD pair is ranging as we get ready for today PMI updates. Both the US and Europe will be releasing their PMI numbers today. These PMI numbers tell us a lot about how well the economy is doing and can really impact the EUR/USD. If the numbers come in higher than expected, it's likely good news for the currency, but if they're lower than expected, it could mean trouble for the currency. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. With the INT Structure Pullback Phase initiated after the Bullish CHoCH, Price is ranging within the Fractal High/Low. No clear direction and price is ranging between Weak Supply / Demand but expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H INT and Swing Pullback Phases. 4. 4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Swing Continuation Phase 2. Price is ranging within the Bullish 15m Swing with INT structure is shifting between Bullish/Bearish. This is clear that we have a complex INT Structure which shows uncertainty of clear direction. 3. With the current INT Structure is Bullish, Expectations is set to continue Bullish and run the Weak INT High to target the Weak Swing High as long the INT Strong Low holds.
by Amr-Sadek
1
EURUSD 22 Apr 2024 W17 - Intraday Analysis - EU ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Apr 2024 W17 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment The sentiment for the EUR/USD pair today is largely influenced by macroeconomic factors. On one hand, the Eurozone economy has been sluggish, which is holding back the Euro. On the other hand, the US Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance is keeping the US dollar underpinned. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. With the INT Structure Pullback Phase initiated after the Bullish CHoCH. Price had a deep PB to the 4H Demand formed. Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H INT and Swing Pullback Phases. 4. 4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish Swing Continuation Phase 2. INT Structure turned Bearish after mitigating the 4H Supply zone. Sub internal is currently Bullish and there is a HP that the Strong INT High will get run based on the Bullish Swing Objective and the current Swing Continuation Phase. 3. 15m Demand Zones nested within a partially mitigated 4H Demand. Wouldn't be much confident to look for long entries from here if we didn't have a Bullish BOS as when price is here it will mean that INT is so bearish that the current 15m Swing Low / 4H Low will be run.
by Amr-Sadek
4
EURUSD 22-26 Apr 2024 W17 Weekly Analysis – EU PMI / US PCEThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 22-26 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment In light of the recent passage of an aid bill for Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan by the U.S. House of Representatives, it is anticipated that this could escalate geopolitical tensions. This, in turn, may prompt investors to seek refuge in safe-haven assets, thereby bolstering the strength of the U.S. dollar. This trend is likely to be further reinforced by the divergent monetary policies of the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. The market will also be looking at the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation. Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak INT Low and the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. Internal Structure continuing bearish following the Bearish Swing. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price is within the Weekly Demand and swept Liq from the left. Price could initiate a PB at anytime or after reaching the Daily Extreme Demand. CHoCH is currently away from current price so maybe we can create a new low before we initiate the INT PB Phase. More price development required. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions to fulfill the INT Pullback Phase. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. With the INT Structure Pullback Phase initiated after the Bullish CHoCH. Price had a deep PB to the 4H Demand formed. Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H INT and Swing Pullback Phases. 4. 4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
2
EURUSD 19 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - Middle East TensionThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 19 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m Prior to delving into the Intraday Analysis, I emphasized the significance of the ongoing Weekly Analysis, particularly in light of heightened tensions in the Middle East following Iran's strike on Israel. Monitoring these tensions and the subsequent reports from Israel regarding a response to Iran's strike, it's crucial to anticipate the potential for another volatile weekend, prompting investors to seek refuge in safe havens such as the US Dollar, GOLD, JPY, and CHF. Stay alert to any shifts towards safe havens today amid the uncertain situation in the Middle East leading into the weekend. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. With the Pullback Phase initiated after the Bullish CHoCH. Price had a deep PB to the 4H Demand formed with the Middle East Tension. Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. 4. 4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish / Sub Internal Bearish Swing Continuation 2. After a BOS we expect a PB. INT Structure turned Bearish to facilitate the Swing Pullback. 3. With the tension in Middle East. Pulled back to the Swing extreme mitigating the last 15m Demand zone within the 4H Demand. Expectation is set to the 15m Swing Low to hold and target the Weak Swing High to facilitate the 4H Pullback Phase.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 18 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - US Jobless ClaimsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 18 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. As expected the PB started after the Bullish CHoCH forming a new Demand Zone and confirming the Bearish INT Structure Low. Expectations is set for continuing Bullish till a HP POI. 4. 4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. As expected, price created a Bullish BOS based on the 4H/Daily need for a Pullback. After a BOS we expect a PB. As INT structure is Bullish, a Bearish iBOS will be the confirmation that the 15m Swing PB is starting. But be mindful that price in a Bullish momentum and a deep Swing PB is not often happen on the start of the move. Following the Bullish Phase we are in, looking for longs is the best option till the mitigation of the close 4H Supply zone. 3. Extreme Demand zone within the 15m Swing for possible Longs if reached. But be mindful if we reached this Demand, PA is not looking in Bullish momentum and there will be a HP that the Swing low will be run.
by Amr-Sadek
1
EURUSD 17 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - EU CPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 17 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. Possibly that PB Phase could start at anytime with at least a Bullish CHoCH but preferably mitigating a HP POI. Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After BOS we expected a pullback. INT Structure turned Bullish to initiate the 15m Swing Pullback. 3. As price reached the 15m Swing Premium and mitigated the 1H/15m Supply, Price initiated the Swing Bearish continuation and INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the Swing Low and failed to break. So current PA is ranging. I'll wait for Bullish BOS to confirm that the 4H Swing PB started instead of following the Shorts which could end at anytime.
by Amr-Sadek
1
EURUSD 16 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - EU ZEW / US PowellThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 16 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. Possibly that PB Phase could start at anytime with at least a Bullish CHoCH but preferably mitigating a HP POI. Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Pullback Phase 2. After BOS we expect a pullback. Bullish iBOS will be the first sign that Swing Pullback maybe starting. But as we didn't mitigate any HTF POI any PB could be limited. Also the 4H Swing requires a Pullback so there is a HP that the 15m will be run at least as a 4H CHoCH.
by Amr-Sadek
1
EURUSD 15 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - US Retail SalesThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and at a 4H Demand Zone. Possibly that PB Phase could start from here and the first weak confirmation would be a Bullish CHoCH. Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish - Pullback Phase 2. After the Bearish iBOS, price continued bearish till the 4H Demand. With the mitigation of the 4H Demand we formed a Bullish iBOS which confirmed the Swing Low and the initiation of the 15m Swing Pullback Phase. Expectations is set for price to continue bullish to facilitate the PB till a HP 4H Supply Zone. 3. 4H Supply zone for possible Shorts. Be mindful that the 4H supply is having Liq above it so there is a HP that this supply will fail to sweep the Liq above.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 15-19 Apr 2024 W16 Weekly Analysis - Middle East Tension!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 5-19 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. Internal Structure continuing bearish following the Bearish Swing. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expect a pullback. Currently price is within the Weekly Demand and swept Liq from the left. Price could initiate a PB at anytime or after reaching the Daily Extreme Demand. More price development required. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions to fulfill a Pullback Phase. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and at a 4H Demand Zone. Possibly that PB Phase could start from here and the first weak confirmation would be a Bullish CHoCH. Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 12 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 12 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish 2. Expectations are met for the INT Structure with the Bearish iBOS. Currently price targeting the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price tapped the 4H Demand but as we are in Pro Swing/INT the reaction from this demand will be limited. Price now in a bearish momentum targeting the Weak Swing Low. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish 2. Considered this as Swing due to the Bullish iBOS. With the Swing bearish, expectations is set for bearish continuation. This 15m Supply is the only clear supply for Shorts. 3. Following the 4H Swing, expectation is set to continue bearish and the 15m Swing will hold bearish to fulfill the 4H Swing targets.
by Amr-Sadek
4
EURUSD 11 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis - EU Rate / US PPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 11 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish 2. As price formed a Bearish CHoCH before the CPI news, it was a nice signal for INT Structure to continue bearish. Expectations is set to target the Weak INT / Swing Lows. 3. Price tapped the 4H Demand but as we are in Pro Swing/INT the reaction from this demand will be limited. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Swing Pullback Phase 2. CPI news had a solid push causing a bearish BOS. No HP POI except the 4H Supply with a 15m nested within it. IMO i've doubts that price will pullback to this supply. Expectations is set to continue bearish to fulfill the 4H INT/Swing continuation phase. 3. After a BOS, we expect a pullback. Price is currently within the 4H Demand but no momentum. CHoCH will be the first sign that Swing Pullback maybe starting but be mindful that we are not well positioned within the HTF structure. Following the bearish move would be the optimum decision.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 10 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis - US CPI/FOMC DAY!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 10 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg and currently close to mitigate the 4H Supply. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. As expected, price reached the Weak Swing High and created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we expect a pullback. We didn't mitigate a HP/HTF POI. Price will continue bullish till the mitigation of the 4H Supply or Till we have the Bearish iBOS to confirm the Swing Pullback Phase is starting. 3. 15m/4H Demand would be potential for longs once reached after confirmation to continue the bullish swing.
by Amr-Sadek
2