Structure
PEPE ANALYSIS (update)🔮 #PEPE Analysis - Update 🚀🚀
💲 As we said earlier #PEPE performed the same. More than 48% move already done in #PEPE. Now we can see a little retest towards it's major support zone and after that a bullish move would be seen
💸Current Price -- $0.00001109
📈Target Price -- $0.00001670
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#PEPE #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
🧈 GOLD MACRO FLAT 📈Hey guys,
FXOPEN:XAUUSD Has created a macro regular flat structure with a lower degree impulse/correction and has broken out.
Now this may take a long time to play out but I definitely see this being very high probability.
I personally won't be holding on to one position for that long, but I will be taking smaller time frame positions that are bullish riding the trend/current.
How To Trade Off Liquidity Levels Following A Structure BreakoutGrasping how to trade around liquidity levels is crucial. The fundamentals of technical analysis revolve around identifying and leveraging these points.
One common mistake that new traders make is not choosing the right price levels for trades. This can lead to inadequate risk-reward setups and inconsistency in trading results.
What Are Liquidity Levels?
For large institutions and traders needing to execute substantial orders, locating sufficient liquidity is vital. A market’s liquidity significantly influences price volatility. When major players enter the market, they aim to achieve the best possible prices. However, due to the size of their orders, they need ample counter-orders to fill their trades while minimizing slippage. If a trader attempts to enter a position in a low-liquidity area, the resulting volatility can negatively impact their average entry price. Conversely, entering at a high-liquidity level usually means less price fluctuation, leading to a more favorable average price.
So, where can you find these liquidity levels? Look at where stop-loss orders are likely placed. This is where the concept of “stop-loss hunting” comes from—large players need liquidity to accumulate significant positions, which makes these areas of interest since they help reduce slippage.
A liquidity level arises from an initial imbalance in supply and demand, forming what we know as swing highs or lows. As more traders take positions, these levels become historical reference points for placing stops. When these levels are revisited, a decision point occurs, leading to either a breakout or a reversal.
A useful guideline is to watch for rejections that don’t reach a 50% retracement of the previous high or low, as this might indicate a lower-quality liquidity level. Strong rejections tend to indicate better chances of holding during retests. I personally look for rejections that result in a breakout into new highs or lows. Other factors, such as market conditions (risk-on/risk-off), broader market structure, and relevant economic data, also play a crucial role in assessing whether a level will hold.
Trading EUR/USD Using Liquidity Levels
To illustrate how to identify potential buying or selling opportunities based on liquidity levels, draw a horizontal line from the latest wick or swing high/low and extend it until it meets price again.
In the EUR/USD hourly chart example below, I selected a month’s worth of data, marking blue lines for liquidity levels that led to market structure breakouts (higher highs or lower lows) and red lines for levels where retests failed to break the structure. I recommend a strategy of targeting a 2:1 risk-reward ratio, setting stop-loss orders at half the size of the previous swing, moving to break even at 1:1.
By the end of this exercise, it should be clear that trading on liquidity levels with a breakout condition (blue lines) significantly increases your chances of success compared to trades that go against the prevailing market structure (red lines). If you focused solely on the blue levels, you might have experienced 6 winning trades and only 1 loss at a 2:1 risk-reward ratio.
By combining this approach with additional factors like aligning with higher timeframe cycles, considering fundamental analysis, and practicing disciplined risk management, you may find this strategy aligns with your trading style. I encourage you to explore this methodology through your own backtesting and see how it can enhance your trading arsenal.
REFIXED !!! Wait for lower time frame change of character !.Hello everyone, hope we are all having a wonderful day !.
I still strongly believe price is going to continue its sell.
Wait for a change in character in M5 to M15 then wait for a retest after the CHOCH before selling...these are the confirmations i'm mainly looking forward to before risking my money.
Do not forget to use proper risk and money management if and when you decide to tag in for the sell.
This Simple Strategy Could Make You a Fortune in the Gold Marketprice action of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) in relation to the trendlines and patterns indicated.
Chart Analysis
1. Weekly Flag Trendline:
- The first chart shows a trendline forming a "flag" pattern on a higher time frame (possibly weekly or daily). This flag appears to be a bullish continuation pattern, indicating that after the consolidation within the flag, the price might continue in the direction of the prior trend, which seems to be up.
2. Price Action Inside the Flag:
- Within the flag, there is a period of consolidation marked by the parallel trendlines. The price has been respecting these lines, creating higher lows and lower highs, indicating indecision or preparation for a breakout.
3. Potential Breakout Zones:
- Key breakout zones are marked by the upper resistance of the flag pattern around the 2,530 level and the lower support trendline of the flag around the 2,470 level. A breakout above the upper resistance could signal a continuation of the prior uptrend, while a break below the lower support could indicate a reversal or deeper pullback.
4. Smaller Patterns:
- On the second chart (1-hour time frame), there's a more detailed view of recent price action with a potential bearish flag or pennant forming, suggesting a temporary pullback or consolidation within the larger flag. This smaller pattern appears to be within a trading range bounded by the horizontal support and resistance levels.
5. Key Support and Resistance Levels:
- The charts show horizontal support around the 2,433.301 level, which aligns with a historical low that could serve as a significant support level. Similarly, the resistance level is around 2,530, where the price has repeatedly failed to break above.
6. Current Market Context:
- The price is currently hovering around 2,497, near the middle of the trading range, suggesting indecision. This midpoint could be a neutral zone where the price could move in either direction based on upcoming market momentum or news.
Trading Strategy and Considerations
- Entry Points:
- If considering a bullish scenario, a long entry could be planned near the lower support line of the flag, around 2,470, with a stop loss slightly below the flag's support to manage risk. A breakout above the 2,530 resistance could also provide a good entry point for a continuation of the uptrend.
- For a bearish scenario, a short entry could be considered if the price breaks below the 2,470 support level, confirming a breakdown from the flag pattern.
- Risk Management:
- The proximity of the price to both upper and lower boundaries of the flag pattern provides clear levels for stop placement. This helps in managing risk effectively, keeping losses contained if the trade goes against the initial bias.
- Monitoring Price Action:
- Watch for potential breakouts from the smaller patterns within the flag, as these could provide early signals of the larger move's direction. It would also be essential to keep an eye on volume changes, as increased volume could confirm the validity of a breakout or breakdown.
By aligning your trades with these patterns and key levels, you can take advantage of the potential setups provided by the price action within these consolidating formations. Ensure to adapt to new market conditions and stay disciplined in executing your trading plan.
Natco Pharma Breakout Retest! 🚀
Hey Dosto! 👋
🔍 Chart Analysis: Natco Pharma - CMP 980 📊
🚀 Reasons for Trade:
Strong Uptrend
Cup and Handle Breakout Retest
💹 Trade Details:
CMP: 980
SL: 918
Targets: 1090, 1188
🌟 Why Natco Pharma? After a cup and handle breakout, Natco Pharma has retraced for a retest, indicating potential upward momentum.
💡 Trade Strategy:
📈 Enter after retest confirmation.
⚖️ Set SL at 918.
🎯 Targets at 1050, 1110, and 1200.
📈 Disclaimer: I'm not a SEBI registered analyst. Trade at your own discretion.
🚀 Excited about this trade? Share your thoughts below! Let's discuss! 🤝💬
#NatcoPharma #StockMarket #TradeAlert #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutRetest 📈✨
XAU/USD Technical Analysis: Ascending Channel with Multi-TouchThese charts depict an evolving market structure for XAU/USD (Gold Spot) and highlight significant zones and patterns across multiple timeframes.
1. Key Patterns and Channels:
Ascending Channel:
A dominant ascending channel is visible on multiple timeframes. This is a classic continuation pattern, suggesting that as long as price remains within this channel, the prevailing trend (upward) is intact.
The channel's lower boundary has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its validity as a support level.
Weekly Flag:
The “Weekly Flag” mentioned is a larger pattern that might suggest a continuation of a broader trend. Flags typically form after strong moves and consolidate before a potential continuation in the direction of the initial move.
The flag is being “correctively broken,” which hints at a potential retest of the lower boundary or a reversal if the flag fails to hold.
2. Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
15M LQZ / Reversal Zone:
This zone is near the current price and is a high-probability area for a reversal or significant price reaction. The price reacting to this level could determine the short-term direction.
1HR and 4HR LQZ:
These zones are lower and represent potential targets or areas where the price might find support if it breaks down from the current structure.
Daily and Weekly LQZ:
These are even broader zones of interest. Their distance from the current price indicates that if the price moves toward these levels, a significant trend change or a large corrective phase could be unfolding.
3. Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation:
If the price holds within the ascending channel and breaks above the “corrective break” in the weekly flag, this could lead to a continuation of the upward move, targeting new highs.
Bearish Reversal:
If the price breaks below the ascending channel and breaches the 15M LQZ, it might move towards the lower liquidity zones (1HR, 4HR), indicating a deeper correction or a trend reversal.
Multi-Touch Confirmation and Advanced Pattern Recognition:
Multi-Touch Confirmation :
The chart shows multiple touches on the trendlines, especially on the ascending channel's lower boundary. These touches reinforce the trendline's validity and increase the likelihood of a significant move upon the next touch.
ADVANCED Pattern RECON:
The "corrective break" within the weekly flag and the smaller internal channels within the larger ascending channel provide a "pattern within a pattern" scenario, which often precedes significant moves.
Conclusion:
Monitor the 15M LQZ closely as it's a crucial area that could determine the short-term direction of the market. If price reacts strongly at this level, consider the implications for either a continuation (bullish scenario) or a breakdown (bearish scenario).
ATH being madeWe see that price shot up and created a new 4h range that we can play with.
We also see the 61.8% range lines up perfectly with an unmitigated zone with a FVG and a demand zone that price will gravitate towards in the next few weeks before moving higher.
Long term we're certainly bullish and it seems like price will continue this trajectory the next couple of months and this indication has started.
A1+ setup, lets catch 100pips tomorrow while risking just 10pipsSwitch to a lower timeframe (M15/M39) to properly see the change of character with the breaker block that took the low. Price is now trying to push up to the order block which it should reject from then push down to give us our 100 pips setup which is highly probable considering this week is CPI !.
The stop is just 10 pips, look for entries before or during London session tomorrow.
Apply proper risk and money management !.