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STXFIN

JSE:SATRIX FINI Don't Get Swept Up in the ExcitementLast week the JSE Financials were on the move but before jumping on the train a word of caution. If one looks back to 2015 we see a long distribution range that formed with investors getting out of South African financial stocks. The recent rise on the back of the covid drop is likely to only be a backup to this distribution range and not longer-term interest in the financials. Using SATRIX Fini as a proxy we see the volume has been declining since the upthrust (UT) that took place at the end of 2017 / beginning of 2018 highlighting the lack of interest. The relative strength to the Top40 is also declining. We are now spiking into the an area of previous high volume so it is rather time to watch and see what the reaction will be than just jumping in.
JSE:STXFINShort
by SteynTrade
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JSE:STXFIN JSE Financials Markdown or MeltdownFollowing the Wyckoff logic of the markets the distribution trading range (Started in 2015) of the JSE financial index has been broken and the markdown (meltdown) has started. The upward stride has also been broken. The financial index is also performing poorer than the Top40 index. We could have a backup to the trading range with price finding support as previous support levels of 1200 / 1100. After the backup, we can expect the markdown to continue.
JSE:STXFINShort
by SteynTrade
JSE:STXFIN Financial Index Signs of WeaknessThere has been a change of character (CoC) with two of the largest delining pushes since the uptrend started. Price has broken the upward stride. Volume is higher during the downward pushes and delines on the rallies. Currently, the Volume RSI is oversold and the price has reached the bottom of the trading range. So we can expect a pause before the markdown begins in earnest. This does not just seem like a correction but potentially there is more downside to come.
JSE:STXFINShort
by SteynTrade
JSE:STXFIN JSE Financial Index (J212) Effort without ResponseUsing the Satrix Fini as a proxy for the financial index we notice that we are at an important decision point. There has been a declining interest in buying the index. Buying volume in 2016, 2017 and 2018 has failed to push the index to new highs and in 2019 volume has been low. Price has reached the long term oversold trend line and a break lower could open significant downside. Early in 2020 we will watch for signs of a change of character to indicate the markets bias but this looks bearish to me.
JSE:STXFINShort
by SteynTrade