Phemex Analysis #22: SUI _ A Tale of Potential and Uncertainty!PHEMEX:SUIUSDT.P , the Layer 1 blockchain backed by industry giants like a16z and Samsung Next, has emerged as a promising contender in the cryptocurrency landscape. With its impressive speed and efficiency, SUI offers a compelling alternative to established platforms like Ethereum and Solana.
Price Structure
The token's journey has been marked by both highs and lows. From its initial launch price of $1.4038 in April 2023 to its all-time high of $2.1841 in March 2024, SUI has demonstrated significant growth potential. However, the cryptocurrency market's volatile nature has also seen SUI experience downturns, with its recent low reaching $0.4631 in August 2024.
As we analyze SUI's price structure, it becomes evident that certain levels act as pivotal points. The initial support level at $1.00 serves as a crucial barrier to prevent further declines. If SUI were to break below this level, it could signal a potential downward trend reversal. On the other hand, the initial resistance level at $1.43 represents a hurdle that, if breached, could indicate a bullish uptrend.
Intermediate support and resistance levels at $0.86, $0.78, $1.72, and $2.00 provide additional insights into potential price movements. These levels can act as temporary points of support or resistance, influencing the token's short-term trajectory.
Possible Scenarios:
Given SUI's strong backing and technical capabilities, it is reasonable to anticipate a potential upward trend. However, the cryptocurrency market is subject to various factors, including broader economic conditions, regulatory developments, and market sentiment. Therefore, it is essential to approach investments in SUI with caution and consider both potential gains and risks.
1. Upward Trend Continuation: If SUI consistently breaks above resistance levels, accompanied by increasing trading volume and positive technical indicators, it could signal a continuation of the upward trend. Investors might consider buying SUI near the intermediate support levels or after a pullback from the initial resistance level.
2. Downward Trend Reversal : If SUI breaks below support levels, with decreasing trading volume and negative technical indicators, it could indicate a potential downward trend reversal. Investors might consider shorting SUI near the intermediate resistance levels or after a breakout below the initial support level.
Conclusion
SUI, with its strong backing and promising technical capabilities, presents an intriguing opportunity for investors. While its future price movement is influenced by various factors, including market sentiment and overall economic conditions, the potential for significant growth remains. However, it is crucial to approach investments in SUI with a cautious and informed mindset, considering both the potential rewards and risks involved.
Tips:
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SUI
9/17 Expectation of two bases points cut increased to 65%. Overview:
The VANTAGE:SP500 closed higher despite forming a red daily candle, signaling potential intraday weakness or selling pressure, but the broader trend remains positive since the overall price closed higher than the previous day. This pattern suggests buyers were active, but sellers took control after the market opened, creating a bearish candle even with upward movement. Similarly, the NASDAQ:QQQ didn’t break previous highs but printed a similar candle.
While BlackRock and Grayscale stayed on the sidelines, all other major funds loaded up on BINANCE:BTCUSD , pushing the day’s total to $186.8 million, 84% higher than the average BTC ETF volume of $102.3 million. Ethereum ( BINANCE:ETHUSD ) continues to struggle, with Grayscale selling ETH even on today’s green market day.
Retail sales rose again, showing that the U.S. economy remains on solid ground, keeping recession fears at bay. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the number of traders expecting a 0.50% rate cut has risen to 65%, compared to 50% at the end of last week and just 10% in early August.
Technical Analysis:
W: Despite recent gains, BTC remains in bearish territory, trading below the BB MA. Price touched the $61.4k weekly level during the Asian session but retraced. A rate cut could be a positive event, keeping BTC in its current range without major sell-offs. Some altcoins may see 10-20% gains.
D: BTC held the $58.4k level and bounced, signaling possible growth after the rate cut.
4h: BTC briefly hit overbought RSI at the $61.4k resistance level but was rejected. MACD shows a bearish divergence, but this may be overshadowed by the upcoming rate cut.
1h: Overbought RSI is cooling off now.
Altcoins vs. BTC:
Another day of divergence among altcoins. BTC grew by 3.6%, while ETH followed with 2%. SOL printed a doji candle, but NEAR outperformed with a 6.4% gain, bouncing off its support. SUI and TAO saw strong gains of 12.2%.
Bull Case:
The lack of a large sell-off by whales suggests confidence heading into the rate cut. BTC has been climbing since September 6th, and if the rate cut injects liquidity into the markets, some of that money may flow into risky assets like crypto. A postponement of recession fears could also lead to higher interest rates for longer, but this means more disposable income available for speculative investments.
Bear Case:
Despite the rate cut, the economy is slowing down, and a 0.50% rate cut represents only a 10% decrease in the current rate.
Fear and Greed Index:
The index rose slightly to 37.91, reflecting cautious optimism ahead of the rate cut.
Prediction:
Short-term bullish for BTC, but expect range-bound movement or a drop in October.
SUI, the poseidon of the seas SUI, SUI, it falls like a water-fall and trend up like a tsunami.
Breakout successful of the recent downtrend from $2
Aggressive recovery after an 80% drop
If we break $1.17 we should be looking north of $2.5 somewhere close to or $3
Will the earthquake break $1.17 and a tsunami induces taking us to $3 ? let's see !
Team behind = Ex meta engineers
Tokenomics are not the best but we can live with that
22 million holder !
Solid project with potential
See you up there, somewhere !
"That's it, that's the idea" - Good night !
SUI/USDT 1D SUI has been one of the better performing L1's and altcoins in general in the last 6 months that BTC has been chopping/ranging.
There are a few key points on the SUI chart that catch my eye:
- 1D 200EMA is now flipped bullish with a strong reaction after flipping the level, this shows buyers are confident in the project and happier to buy at higher levels, instead of waiting for a pullback for example.
- Clear Higher high and higher low structure indicating a bullish trend on the daily. Invalidations are more obvious when a structure like this is broken.
- Plenty of room to grow going into Q4, the range is clearly mapped out with key Orderblock levels that will more than likely be resistance levels and so they are the targets to take profits, hedge or de-risk while assessing where SUI will go.
With this being SUI's first Bullrun history shows the newer projects do better off in terms of ROI that's if they survive, from what we have seen so far this cycle I believe SUI will be a strong project going forward.
Sui (SUI) may be poised for long-term gainsIn a recent update, the Circle is announcing native USDC on SUI, which has kept up the bullish momentum. Moreover, yet another big announcement is expected to happen shortly, which may bring a huge retail brand onto the platform. The SUI price has risen back into a technical HTF uptrend again, forming consecutive higher highs and lows while the key level has been taken out already. Hence, the price is expected to surprise many in the next few weeks or months.
The latest upswing has triggered a breakout from the descending parallel channel and the bulls are successfully holding the rally above the gains. The price has failed to break the crucial resistance at the 200-day MA at $1.099 over the past couple of days. However, after testing multiple times, the resistance could have become slightly brittle. As the volume has gained some momentum, the bullish continuation appears to be imminent. Moreover, the DMI is approaching a bullish crossover as the ADX initiates a bullish rebound.
Therefore, the price remains consolidated for a while, which may bring the +Di & -Di closer to each other for a bullish crossover. Once this move materializes, the SUI price rally may gear up and secure a rise above $1.5, confirming a rise in bullish dominance. The current trade setup does not show a bearish possibility and if it occurs, the resistance of the channel may offer strong support & push prices towards $2.
#SUI/USDT#SUI
We have an uptrend pattern on the 4-hour frame, the price is moving within it and adhering to its limits well and heading to touch you again
We have a resistance area in green at a price of 1.12 if the price touches it and rebounds from it
We have a trend to touch the moving average 100
We have an uptrend on the RSI indicator that supports further decline
Entry price 1.09
First target 1.062
Second target 0.9757
SUI price gains 139% in 42 Days: can it reach $2.07? Becoming one of the top-performing cryptos last week, the SUI price continued a bullish trend for two weeks. As the demand for altcoins grows and the broader market recovery chances improve with the rate cut possibilities, buyers are lining up for SUI.
Will a new breakout run and the price jump of 50% Fibonacci level result in a new all-time high for SUI this year? Let’s find out.
With a falling channel pattern in the daily chart, the SUI price is on a bullish recovery rally. Following the channel breakout, the SUI consolidated between the 23.60% and 50% Fibonacci level, ranging from $0.73 to $1.05.
With broader market crypto recovery last week, the SUI price reclaims the $1.00 psychological mark and surpasses the 50% Fibonacci level. Further, the SUI recovery creates a rounding bottom in the daily chart with a neckline at the 50% Fibonacci level.
Currently, the SUI price is trading at $1.1079 with an intraday gain of 2.73%. From its recent bottom at $0.46 on 5th August, the SUI price is up by 139% in just 42 days.
As the recovery rally gains momentum with the recent rounding bottom reversal, the channel breakout rally is likely to exceed the 61.80% Fibonacci level at $1.2371.
With three consecutive bullish candles and the breakout rally gaining momentum, the SUI price is just 49.20% away from its previous swing high at $2.1816. Based on the Fibonacci levels, the upcoming target levels for the SUI token are $1.55 and $2.07.
Optimistically, the logarithmic price chart and the Fibonacci levels present $4.8051 as an ideal year-end target. Hence, with a massive upside potential of more than 300% and an ongoing recovery crossing $1, the SUI token is one of the fastest altcoins to watch in the crypto market.
$SUI is getting closer to a massive breakoutGrayscale officially launches SUI Trust for accredited investors seeking exposure to SUI.
After the news, SUI beats the market with a nearly 20% jump.
Since Raoul Pal mentioned SUI a month ago, the trend has shifted, with SUI now attracting more of the value, and the difference is now substantially in its favor.
SUI just had $83 million worth of token unlocks.
Technical Outlook:
SUI is getting closer to a massive breakout
On the 4-hour timeframe, it's starting to look very interesting as it's trading above 4hema200 and it's now challenging a psychological resistance $1 for the third time.
If it manages to close above $1, SUI could pump to $1.70 to $2 in the coming days.
SUI price smashes through $1 with 18% daily growthOver the last week, despite the increased volatility in Bitcoin and Ethereum before the CPI data release, SUI maintained a bullish trend. SUI price upheld a 15% rise then to rank among the top weekly performers.
Will the new recovery run and the price jump above $1 result in a new 52-week high for SUI this season? Let’s find out.
As the broader market sentiments are improving, the bull run in the SUI token price is expected to gain momentum. With the bullish narrative of SUI, the crypto analyst BMOON tweets about the upcoming rally with a potential target of $3.6.
Reflecting a positive channel in a weekly time frame, BMOON expects the bull cycle in SUI price within the channel to hit $3.6552.
Adding credibility to the project, Grayscale’s new Trust adds credibility to SUI, reinforcing positive market sentiment.
Currently, it has reclaimed the psychological mark of $1 and is trading with a 14.48% jump in the past 24 hours. With the recovery rally in motion, the past seven days for SUI price have been profitable, with a surge of 26.17%.
As per our technical analysis, the Logarithmic daily chart reveals a bullish cycle from the 23.60% Fibonacci level. The recovery run gains momentum as the retest of the falling channel breakout reveals massive demand at lower levels.
The bull cycle is now accounting for a price jump of 36.25% in the last ten days. With this, the SUI price is now challenging the crucial resistance of 50% Fibonacci level at $1.0541.
With a bullish engulfing candle of 11.4% intraday jump completing a morning star pattern, the sentiments are improving. Hence, the chances of a bullish breakout rally in SUI prices are significantly increasing. In the near term, before SUI reaches BMOON’s expected $3.65 target, the near-term resistances are at 61.80% and 78.60% levels at $1.23 and $1.55, respectively.
9/11 CPI Surprises, but What’s Next for the Market?Overview:
The latest CPI data is out, showing a slightly better-than-expected 2.6%, beating estimates by just 0.1%. It may not seem like much, but in a market where key metrics are constantly revised, even small improvements matter. It has been exactly a year since July 26, 2023, when the Federal Reserve finished raising rates to the current 5.25% to 5.50% range. Yet, over the past 12 months, prices have still risen by 2.5%, even with those high interest rates.
However, the Federal Reserve favors another metric—Core CPI. This measure excludes volatile food and energy costs that can fluctuate in the short term. And what about Core CPI? Month-over-month, it increased by 0.3%, which was 0.1% higher than expected. Year-over-year, it sits at 3.5%, which is still well above the Fed’s target. So, wave goodbye to any hopes of a 25 basis point rate cut anytime soon.
By the time the Fed substantially cuts rates, crypto could very well experience not just one, but two bull cycles. As we mentioned yesterday, lower CPI is good for the markets and has historically brought green candles. Initially, the VANTAGE:SP500 opened with a big red candle, trading below Monday and Tuesday's opening prices. But once the Fed's report was released, it began to rally. On the daily timeframe, the S&P 500 remains below the Bollinger Band's moving average (BB MA).
Cryptocurrencies reacted positively as well, with Bitcoin bouncing off the weekly support level of $55.9K and now pushing toward the upper boundary of its trading range at $58.4K. Interestingly, ETF flows were net negative. A closer look reveals that Fidelity was buying both BTC and ETH, while ARK, Grayscale, and VanEck were selling. It’s important to remember that not all ETFs are created equal. Fidelity might represent everyday retail investors, while funds like Grayscale and Blackrock tend to cater to more sophisticated entities.
W: Bitcoin is actively forming the top wick of this week's candle, currently touching the upper boundary of $58.4K but still far from the BB MA.
D: Bitcoin is testing both weekly resistance levels and the BB MA.
4h: This is the third attempt to break $58.4K. Failure to break and remaining within the range would signal a bearish turn.
1h: No divergences detected.
Alts Relative to BTC: No divergences across the board, except for BINANCE:SUIUSDT , which saw a massive 8.28% pump, breaking through the $1 resistance level. This marks its third peak in the last month, though the most recent valley was lower than the previous one.
Bull Case: The Fed continues to deliver positive data, fueling a five-day pump. Selling pressure has eased, as most who could sell have already done so.
Bear Case: This could be a temporary rally before the real turmoil begins.
Fear and Greed Index: 37, indicating a return to Fear territory.
Prediction: Bitcoin is likely to reject at the weekly resistance level and bounce downward.
Alikze »» STRK | Trading range🔍 Technical analysis: Trading range
- It is in a downtrend on the 1D daily time frame.
- Currently, it is in the area between 0.33 and 0.42 as a trading range.
- In case of support in the 0.39 area, it can grow up to the supply area.
🛑 The most important resistance: 0.586
- Due to the fact that there is demand in the current area, this failure can happen from above.
- He has tested the swing several times. According to the momentum, there is an expectation of failure from above.
- But if there is consolidation below the 0.39 area and there is a break from the bottom, the bearish scenario will gain strength.
💎 Alternative scenario: Considering that the formation of a bearish flag pattern is given, if the 0.39 area is not maintained and stabilizes below the area, we can expect confirmation of the bearish flag pattern, which with the breaking of the trading range area can be a correction as much as the previous leg. experience another.
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BINANCE:STRKUSDT
SUI: Weak MomentumSUI is trading near $0.9138, after a pullback from a high of $0.9865. The price is testing support near the lower Bollinger Band ($0.9023), following a cooldown after the recent spike in activity. Sui recorded 41 million transactions in 24 hours, surpassing Solana, showcasing growing interest and network utility.
Bollinger Bands and Price Compression
The Bollinger Bands are tightening, with the basis at $0.9339 and the upper band at $0.9655, signaling reduced volatility. A break below the lower band ($0.9022) could trigger further declines, while a reclaim of $0.9339 might lead to a recovery.
RSI and Stochastic: Oversold Conditions
The RSI is at 41.69, showing weak momentum, but the Stochastic Oscillator is deep in oversold territory, suggesting a potential short-term bounce if buyers return.
MACD Bearish, But Flattening
The MACD histogram (-0.0029) remains negative, but the lines are converging, indicating that bearish momentum might be weakening. A bullish crossover could signal a reversal, especially with ongoing positive developments, including recent institutional inflows and network upgrades.
On-Balance Volume (OBV) Decline
The OBV has dropped by -97.42M, indicating sustained selling pressure. However, the Sui blockchain has seen $310 million in inflows recently, suggesting a longer-term bullish outlook.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support: $0.9023 (Lower BB), $0.8800 (psychological level)
Resistance: $0.9339 (BB Basis), $0.9655 (Upper BB)
Short-Term Outlook
SUI is at a critical point near support. If $0.9022 breaks, further downside toward $0.8800 could unfold. However, with oversold conditions, a short-term bounce is possible, especially with Sui’s role as the official partner of Korea Blockchain Week, boosting its visibility and adoption. Watch for a move above $0.9339 as a sign of recovery.
Alikze »» BTC | Ascending diamond pattern🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending diamond pattern
- According to the latest analysis presented , Bitcoin made a correction based on the predicted path to the second green box area of the $50,000 correction range.
- In the recent modification, a double zigzag has been formed. The second zigzag is a flat correction.
According to the formation of an ascending diamond pattern in the green box area, after the failure of the dynamic trigger, the diamond pattern will be confirmed and it can expect to climb up to the specified areas according to the previous analysis.
💎 Note: Also, if a failure occurs from the bottom of the template, this template is invalid and must be checked and updated again.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
SUI - Bullish times ahead?
SUI has been seeing very bullish action as of late. On the very long timeframe SUI has formed a possible double bottom with an almost full retrace of the last wave up. Creating a possible Low, Higher High and Higher Low structure on a macro-level (see pic1).
When we zoom into the current view, we are holding the range after forming the first higher high on the daily timeframe in weeks. Right now, we are consolidating and probably creating a W-structure with a first broad target between 1.20-1.40$ after price successfully breaks the 1.12$ price (see pic2).
Finally, SUI’s price is also moving within a downward parallel channel after a major pump, meaning this can be considered a Bull Flag (Bullish) (see pic3).
P.S. This is my first post to try things out, sorry if it is still a bit rough around the edges.
Zeddit
Sept 6. Start DCA'ing these altsOverview:
The FRED:SP500 is down, NASDAQ:QQQ is down even more, and COINBASE:BTCUSD has dropped. Everything is red! Or wait… BINANCE:SUIUSDT is up! Could this still be the effects of the Grayscale Trust, and how much longer can SUI defy the overall market? Previous Grayscale picks like BINANCE:NEARUSDT and BINANCE:TAOUSDT aren’t performing as well on red days like yesterday.
The Fed reported fewer new jobs added in August—lower than expected, even after multiple revisions. This was also fewer than the job additions in August of the past few years. Quantitative tightening is in full swing! These metrics signal a potential path to a rate cut, but large economies like the U.S. don’t pivot easily, especially not with just a move from 5.50% to 5.25%. Higher unemployment and fewer job openings will likely persist for months, possibly even quarters.
Yet, no federal bailouts? No major bankruptcies? Meanwhile, commercial real estate is still struggling, with San Francisco’s office vacancy rate rising to 37%, up from 36.7% in Q1 2024.
BTC ETFs are seeing 9 consecutive days of outflows. BINANCE:ETHUSD has seen consistent selling throughout August, except for a slight uptick on August 28th when Blackrock bought slightly above the original Grayscale Trust level.
Believe it or not, this is when whales start dollar-cost averaging (DCA) back into the market. So why is the market falling if big players are buying? These deep pockets unloaded their portfolios and secured profits early in the year when green candles were stacking up. The current selling pressure is from retail traders, as reflected in ETF trends.
If you still have cash (or those precious paychecks), this could be a good time to spread it out into 10-15 weekly buy orders. Don't try to catch the exact bottom—just remember the old adage: "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."
W: It’s only the first week of a bloody September, and BTC is already nearing the $52.15k weekly level. Sunday might be calm, with a potential bounce back to $55.9k. But watch out for Sunday evening (U.S. Eastern time) when the Asian bears wake up.
D: Friday closed lower than August 5th. This is the third time we’re testing the $52-54k range—July 5, August 5, and now September 6. History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes. The worrying sign: yesterday’s volume was much lower than the previous two occurrences. No need to look far; volume has been rising over the last 7 days, confirming bearish sentiment.
4h: RSI dipped below 30 at 4 PM Eastern, but since then it’s bounced back 1.5%. Looking back at July 5 and August 5, we can see a key level around $54.4k (though this doesn’t hold on the daily chart). This is the point where decisions must be made.
1h: Price action is moving sideways.
Alts relative to BTC: ETH has dropped more than BTC and other altcoins, falling to levels not seen since January 11th when the BTC ETF was approved. The argument that Layer 2 solutions diminish ETH’s "sound money" status isn’t helping. Bearish. On the bright side, APT has been trading below BTC ETF demand for 91 days and could be a good option for DCA. SUI shrugged off the recent sell-off and posted a 5.13% green candle, making it another solid contender alongside APT, as both are already below BTC ETF price levels.
Bull case: Everyone who could sell has already sold. Now, only the diamond hands remain.
Bear case: The capital allocators have finished realizing gains, and retail traders are finally waking up to the fact that the bull run has been canceled.
Fear and Greed Index: 25.97 – an all-time low for 2024 and 2023.
Prediction: A short-term rebound over the weekend, followed by further declines next week.
Opportunities: Check out weekly and 4-hour divergences in major altcoins. Are you shorting TON yet?
Mistakes: The bullish MACD divergence didn’t play out for BINANCE:SOLUSD , BINANCE:ARUSD , and BINANCE:AVAXUSDT . When big brother (BTC) makes a move, it doesn’t matter what the technical analysis says for altcoins.
Trade Setup: SUI Long Position (Support Breakout) Market Context: SUI has broken above the prior support level from August and is showing strength by not fully retracing. This breakout provides a promising opportunity for a long trade.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Long spot position around $0.79.
Take Profit:
First target: $0.88
Second target: $1.00
Final target: $1.155
Stop Loss: $0.71
📊 This setup capitalizes on the breakout, with multiple profit targets to capture gains, and a stop loss to manage downside risk. #SUI #CryptoTrading #Breakout
Alikze »» TIA | Ready to pullback to the broken structure🔍 Technical analysis: Ready for a pullback from the liquidity zone to the broken structure
- According to the analysis of the previous post , TIA currency is moving in a downward channel.
- As can be seen, lower floors and ceilings are forming, which further reinforces the bearish view.
- Currently, in the 1D time frame, it is in the liquidity zone, which can target 3.17 with a pullback to the neckline and then the green box zone.
- Therefore, in the case of a pullback to the broken structure and selling pressure in the Fibo area of 1.618, it can touch the mentioned targets.
💎 Alternative scenario: In addition, if it can break the neck line, it will have the ability to grow up to the supply area of the previous ceiling and the ceiling of the channel.
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BINANCE:TIAUSDT
Alikze »» SUI | Daily FVG gap🔍 Technical analysis: Daily FVG gap
- According to the analysis presented in the previous post, after creating demand in the green box area, it grew to the supply area.
- Currently, according to the structure formed in the supply area, a twin roof with a shorter roof is observed.
- But in the 8H time frame, it is moving in a descending channel. Demand has also been met at the bottom of the channel.
- Therefore, according to the FVG gap in the 1D time frame, if the selling pressure continues, it can make a correction to the green box area and retest it to fill the gap.
💎 Alternative scenario: also, if he can break the middle of the channel upwards, he can retest the supply area again.
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BINANCE:SUIUSDT
Alikze »» BNB | Support zone failure🔍 Technical analysis: Support zone failure
- In the 4H time frame, after not being able to break the supply area, it has faced selling pressure.
- Currently, a bullish pattern is observed, which has extended to the supply area.
- Therefore, any pullback to a broken structure can face selling pressure again.
- So we should see an increase in selling pressure in the supply area to continue the corrective lag until the liquidity area.
- In addition, in case of breaking the liquidity area, the correction can continue up to the specified areas and Fibo 2.618.
Alternative scenario: In addition, if it can break and stabilize the supply area upwards, it can have a retest to the next supply area.
🛑Range of resistance or supply area: 531-547
🟢 Support area: 468-464
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BINANCE:BNBUSDT
SUI Diamond Pattern Formation will Break to Downside (SHORT)I am Seeing a price crash and "V-Shape" recovery in the cards for the SUI price chart. Diamond pattern formation will break to the downside for a measured move down to the 1.618 fib extension. Fed emergency rate cut will reverse the markets back upwards into the US Elections.
Lower buy target @ or around 0.272