Suncor - A Tale of Two TrapsFor 20 years, the market has never had anything but dips to buy. Even the 2008 "Financial Crisis" was just a dip to buy. Even the March illusion of a pandemic was just a dip to buy. However, a pendulum always swings from one side to another. What throws people off and makes trading so difficult is that you can know:
Where the market is going
What direction the market is going
But what you don't know is when the market is going to do it. Only the makers know that, and that's why they're rich and retail is not.
But, one thing you should be clear on is that this is the end of the line and the party is over. The world is not in good shape. Trouble is only just beginning, and it won't be a brief flash in the pan this time.
The presence of a huge number of people practicing socialism (Communism) all over North America, and the world, has already shown itself to be a huge problem to the future of this world, and is about to show its economic consequences. After all, the biggest players can trade short and make even more money than they do during bull runs, while everyone's portfolio, 401K, and life savings gets wiped out.
The ultimate purpose is to cause people to capitulate their holdings at the bottom, actualizing huge losses that cannot be regained.
Once you're poor, you're easy to buy off. Once you're poor, people will do anything, including betray their friends, family, and country. In all the other areas of the world where poverty is common, prostitution, arms, and drugs all become booming industries. What else are people going to do when they need to eat?
That is, unfortunately, the endgame for the human race.
But before all good guillotines drop, you must raise the blade high into the air so it can fall in dramatic fashion. That is what our good friend Suncor is about to do, and likely WTI Crude Oil along the way.
So, this is a long trade, but it is a scalp. This isn't for you to pack a bag for your portfolio thinking that you're going to see a new all time high in 12 or 24 months. People are no longer allowed to live like human beings, which means travel has been destroyed, which means the energy industry is in big trouble.
After it is complete, take your profit and stay cash heavy. Consider getting out of the market and buy yourself something nice. Spend some time with your family. Maybe take up meditation or spiritual practice.
When the rivers of blood begin to show themselves in the streets, wait a few months before you start buying.
Every rally will be for suckers and the pullback will be in the 80% range on all asset classes. Perhaps gold and silver will be the only exceptions, in the end.
Suncor
SU SUNCOR OVERSOLDSU SUNCOR is oversold, and I'm using 3 indicators to confirm that.
The reasons why I bought now:
Warren Buffett added SU
George Sorros added SU
and lastly, because it is oversold.
It is also a common consensus that this company will flourish if JB wins the US election.
Happy trading and hit like if you found this useful and helpful.
Thanks, E
Suncor Small Analysis-Head and shoulder, failed at new high, sign of weakness.
-Overall bullish, Suncor's assets alone are worth around 16$.
-Short term, Oil taking a hit with consumer's sentiment shifting towards renewable energy + OPC cuts.
-Pre-COVID levels indicated regular increase in Oil consumptions, we're far from being OIL free.
-If 17.47 small support breaks, I'm out.
Thank you
SUNCOR: Will Hit At-Least $55 by 2021Part of my latest series of posts has been on Canadian Energy (and certain parts of US energy) for 2020 and the strong rebound for 2020 and likely lingering into or through 2021.
I've posted my reasons behind this as per my related ideas below so to refrain from excessive repetition I kindly encourage the reading of my other ideas.
Except Suncor to break out of a rising triangular wedge and target 46 then 55. Near the beginning of 2022 it is certainly possible Suncor tops $70.
Top picks: Diamondback Energy, Suncor, Canadian Natural Resources, Tourmaline Oil and Enbridge.
- zSplit
Crude Will Surprise Everyone in 2020 Contrary to what people have been talking about for the past, really, 12 months about crude plummeting to 30 bucks, in reality, this will not happen and Crude will steadily rise in 2020 and perhaps even a good portion of 2021. Of course, there will ALWAYS be good short opportunities but I focus on mid/long-term trends for those who follow my ideas.
There are several reasons for this and to capitalize on this Crude push, people should invest in Canadian energy stocks such as: Enbridge, TRP, Canadian Natural Resources and Suncor. In fact, many of these stocks I have listed are up over 15-20% this month alone and will continue to surge in 2020.
It is important to realize Crude will NOT rise based on demand, but rather other key factors. Demand is still imperative (most cars, planes, military equipment, trains, etc), but obviously, the demand is lesser compared to a decade ago. However, other things are in play.
Key Points:
1) Saudi Aramco IPO has created international interest again in the sector
2) Saudi's will decrease oil production to inflate crude prices again which will decrease US surplus inventories
3) Weakness in the DXY will continue to drive commodities up quite steadily in 2020 and likely even in 2021 as a result of further QE/liquidity in the markets & weakening economic conditions again from Q2 2020 & further rate cuts in 2020 contrary to what people ignorantly believe
4) There is no recession happening in 2020 which in-turn will drive commodities up inherently
Why Canadian Energy will be a Winner:
1) Many of the finest energy stocks are of Canadian descent
2) Many top Canadian companies have announced a significant increase in cap-X for 2020 (and increase in dividends - hikes)
3) There has been an astronomical flood of volume in these stocks over the past 1-2 months
4) Low P/B and low P/E ratios will push international and domestic investment into the sector as big money searches for strong value as it acknowledges we are in a "melt-up" which will last for the next 8-12 months
5) This acknowledgment of the US (and world) equity markets being in a melt-up continuation for most of 2020 will be a reason why Precious Metals will also be a bonafide winner alongside crude and other commodities. This can be seen with a strong finish in the metals in 2019 and why options traders show significant volume for the long-term contracts in the metals for a continued bull run several months out
I focus on the mid and long-term trends. Not day-to-day trading. Day-trade at your own risk.
- zSplit