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Sunday

Sunday Prep 7/25 - $TTD Like to see pullbacks hold some supportBig volume day with a nice big green candle. Technically it broke out over that 82 level, so now I would like to see pullbacks hold some support. You can see the dips on Friday held around 79.40s, which also is right at the 61.8% fib level. Thinking any early flush to that area on Monday can be watched to see if they support it. If they gap it up, you can always look to join trend, but keep in mind that if they gap the broader market up as well, I would be very hesitant to get long anything until we get a backfill of the gap and we see buyers show up. TV chart link:
NASDAQ:TTDLong
by TrueTraderOfficial
Sunday Prep 7/25 - $NQ/$QQQ Overall MarketSo like the S&P, the Nasdaq pulled back as well. But unlike the S&P, the Nasdaq’s pullback was shallow. It just made it back to the 20d, and I really wanted to see it closer to the 50d. So again, I think that the higher we go without a pullback to deeper areas, the more likely I am to look for short setups. Keep in mind, if at any time this week we DO pullback to much better areas and start to find support (for NQ or the ES), then I will be willing to look for some nice long setups as well. Notice, the Nasdaq HAS had plenty of months that lost the previous month’s lows. So there have definitely been times where the Nasdaq has had some decent resets. Tradingview Chart link: Tradingview Chart link:
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by TrueTraderOfficial
Sunday Prep 7/25 - $SPY/$ESThe market gave the retrace back to the 50d like we were thinking it could. But the problem for me is that it didn’t spend any real time down there. Instead, it immediately bounced and we are already back at new ATHs. It really gives me concern about whether it can actually hold. Only time will tell, but moving forward, I will be pretty cautious with longs. As always, the higher it goes without any consolidation, the more I will lean towards looking for short setups. Starting to wonder if 4500 is in the books for this week at some point. Butttttttt………..remember, this is arguably the biggest week of earnings season, so if certain names miss on numbers and get smoked, so too might the market. Interesting thing is that we haven’t lost the previous month’s lows since last September, almost a year ago. Obviously we will see signs of weakness well ahead of ever losing the previous month’s lows, but once we start to see signs of cracking, this would be something I look for to get confirmation that we may very well be starting to roll over. But please don’t misinterpret this as me being bearish. I’m merely doing the necessary prep work to always be ready for anything. Till then, laissez les bons temps rouler. To the moon!!! TV Chart link: TV Chart link:
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by TrueTraderOfficial
Dollar Index Fundamental Weakness Ahead!Welcome everyone for another trading idea! Im doing my weekly analysis currently and there is one thing i see when im going trough the currency pairs: There is a lot of selling pressure on the US DOLLAR. Every other currency crossed with the dollar is getting a lot of strength right now. The Euro against the Dollar made a huge bullish candle this week and also other pairs like the AUDUSD or NZDUSD are gaining strength. Looking at these fundamentals and also the technical point of view i see the dollar in a huge correction the next weeks or maybe months. In my last dollar trading setup, which i linked below, we discussed the peak high and other technical tools for the DXY. The markets will open soon again and im wishing everyone of you guys a great trading week!
TVC:DXYShort
by darian_fx
5
USDMXN: Happy Easter! Hey everyone first i want to wish everyone and their family a great easter weekend! We are looking at the USDMXN pair a second time after we were anticipating a great short from the last idea. I will link it below. We clearly see that the bearish trend line is broken and retested on the 1h timeframe. The red horizontal line is a key support level, where price did change before. Divergence is also in play around this area. We are looking for long in this area only and aiming for the last highs at least. I will keep you guys updated and have a great trading week!
Long
by darian_fx
USDJPY: Market Opening Trade Hey everyone, you see right - a new idea! Been busy playing poker and doing some other stuff and not focused on trading so much, but guess what ? we are back! Back with a trading idea on USDJPY hoping right into the market opening. We saw a nice peak high on this pair last week with a divergence happening. Price did break down and now is in consolidation mode pretty much. Maybe we expect a peak to the range for another time and then a price break down. Otherwise it is below the larger trend line and could also break down from here. Lets see - the risk reward is in our favor.
Short
by darian_fx
Bitcoin sell off on SundayI am not a licensed financial adviser. Now that that is out of the way, let's look at Bitcoin. It is currently trading below the Ema25 , Ema 50 , Ma 50 , 100 and 200. Rsi has fallen to 39.6, and it is a Thursday. Repeated rejections of 4k have caused BTC to be tightly range bound these past few days , but today, for now at least, it has a direction, and that direction is south. It is my belief that tomorrow and or Saturday it will enter a demand zone, and a rally will be attempted, but the repeated rejections of 4k have very likely left a psychological imprint on the emotional sector of the market , which sadly comprises maybe 65% of it. The rest of us know that it could rise if it were allowed to. 2018 was a brutal year for the crypto sector in general , and it has been only in the past few months that a sleeping bear has awakened and changed into a bull costume. The problem is, it is a costume. Factor in the crypto press. Despite almost always being wrong, the emotional sector and the newbies haven't realized that yet. Many people seem to still take CCN , Nulltx etc. seriously. They will learn. One big hope has been institutional commitment , yet in order for that to happen en masse , Bitcoin needs to show stability and or upward movement in a sustained fashion. Something it has failed to do time and time again. Despite this there have been tentative but timid moves by Fidelity and other big names , perhaps part of what led to this latest rally, there has been news from the sec , another positive - but the community is deeply scarred and full of F.U.D. Weekends being what they usually are, I suspect that Sunday is going to be a bad day for bitcoin , and by proxy altcoins in general. I'm keeping my trades tight, small, and careful at this point. Best of luck out there. Fortis fortuna adiuvat Caveat Emptor.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Cryptocautious
1
EURAUD: Bullish Cycle StartedHi! I hope everyone enjoyed their weekend! We are looking at the EURAUD today, where we closed our short profit from earlier analysis (linked below) a little bit to early. The trend went a lot more deeper, but anyways we also passed a good long entry for now. We can see a nice divergence at the low and 2 levels of correction on the bear cycle, so we are waiting for a first level consolidation/ retrace for a better long entry during the week. Lets start this week strong!
Long
by darian_fx
EURCHF: You See This ? Hey traders, hope everyone enjoyed their weekend. Coming up with a quick educational post about our market theory on a lower 1h timeframe. We are in a short on EURCHF since a few days. Looking at the lower time frame setups we can clearly see how a bullish run with two corrections (marked in yellow boxes) happened. On the other side this is a nice chart for price action education. Grey boxes mark prize zones where huge amount of positions are - on both sides. You see how these zones are touched from the top and the bottom ? Let that sink. Wishing everyone a great week!
by darian_fx
EURUSD: Perfect Short Term Cycle Hey guys, i hope everyone enjoyed their weekend. Just saw a very nice cycle on the 4h EURUSD chart. Please be aware that this is for educational purpose only. You can see how ever short term trend is starting with a divergence and has two correction waves (marked in yellow boxes). After the first wave down there is a reset (marked in the grey box) with another divergence exactly on the 0.5 fib level. Then price continues with another cycle down, which has ended now. So we are looking for a bullish cycle. I will keep you updated in the comment section if we take a trade here through the day.
by darian_fx
EURCAD: Daily SwingTradeHappy Sunday Traders, We are looking at the EURCAD in the daily chart. Who remembers my last idea about GBPCAD ? EURCAD is pretty much looking the same right now. We are in a daily downtrend along the trend line, price touched it often in the last days. On Friday there were CAD News which was strong for the Canadian Dollar so we saw every XXX/CAD pair falling, means the trend is holding. We are waiting for another move up near the line to enter the short position. We will keep you updated. Wishing everyone a good trading week.
Short
by darian_fx
BTCUSD Sunday Chart Update and Key Trade-Points TodayBitcoin Sunday Chart Update and Key Trade Points So far this looks like a good Reverse/Inverse Head and Shoulders in classic formation with a perfect retest of the neck-line yesterday at 7600 (even more so because no one seems to have really mentioned it - the low today here is 7600 precisely). It carries with it a minimum implied upside target at 8163 on Bitfinex. But in the near term Bitcoin has made an 07:30gmt break higher from the 7644 line as it did yesterday too -before spending 24 hours moving sideways again. The new normal. Sheesh. Every break higher is getting faded now for hours and hours after the intial impulse. £0 minutes of action followed by 24 hours of continuation. Just like fishing on a slow day :( But this break today is still potentially significant. We now have a technical battle emerging between the power of the RHS on upside and the power of the upper dynamic of a loosely defined rising wedge-like formation on the downside, both in opposition to each-other, one a positive force and the other negative. So we can spend quite some time today in yet another continuation pattern with support at 7700 and extending to the lower parallel of the newly forming pattern from the intra-day high. Both these opposing patterns are powerful. Which pattern will prove stronger ? Well, so long as the dynamic which forms the lows of the right shoulder holds up on retests today the likelihood is that eventually the break will be higher and not lower. If so other than buying the dip to 7700 and below to 7768 and maybe to the 7644 line the only other option is to buy the break above the upper small falling dynamic from the intra-day high when and if it comes later on - need a volume spurt to follow it to know it's good - but the pattern is still overall positive at this point and the uppermost risng dynamic which capped the high today so far, is beginning to lose its power and on the 5th strike it should break too. That will open the way for a RHS to take control and begin to drive price towards the upside target at 8163. Returning to the downside Bitcoin has to break below the risng dynamic underpinning the lows of the right shoulder of the RHS to start flipping longs out back to 7644 and if this then fails to the neck-line itself again at 7600. This level must hold up throughout the day from here. Any failure by more than 15 points will flip Bitcoin back into bear hands, signalling ultimate failure of the RHS and trigger a short from this point with stops 50 points or so higher if struck later.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by sumastardon