Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Is This the Greatest Comeback?Could this truly be the greatest comeback of 2024 & 2025? The decision for NASDAQ:SMCI is imminent, and it’s crucial to remain open to all potential scenarios.
Over the past month, NASDAQ:SMCI has risen by an impressive 83% and is now trading just below a significant resistance level. Flipping this resistance would mark the first shift from a bearish to a bullish structure since the beginning of the decline. Such a reclaim would also indicate a remarkable V-shaped correction, which holds substantial significance on the weekly chart.
It’s likely that NASDAQ:SMCI may experience a slight pullback this week to accumulate more buying momentum before pushing above the $50 mark. However, the stock must not fall below $25, as this remains the Point of Control (POC) since 2022—a critical level that must be respected to maintain the bullish potential.
Supermicrocomputer
SMCI, the worst is likely behind usSMCI has crashed from this years highs, a good 80%.
To me it sounds like the worst has happened. And while we may see some positivity this EOY that can help us reach new ATHs, we must remain aware of the risk the broad economy poses.
Target is 130+ short term, with one more 50%+ drop coming right after.
I would make sure I have the funds ready to scoop up shares if such a scenario happens. As the second dip doesn't look as bad as the first one.
After that SMCI will resume its lifetime bullish climb, and keep on going for as long as the bull market lasts.
SMCI This is why investors should always keep a clear mindset.It was only a month ago (November 07, see chart below) when we gave a very strong long-term buy signal on Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI), in the midst of a price collapse following the resignation of their auditor (Ernst & Young) and compliance delays with stock index requirements:
Putting the fundamentals aside, we made this bold call by purely looking at the technicals, which in turbulent times like these (market fear on news) tend to deliver a clearer and more objective picture.
The price had just hit the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), for the first time in 4 years (since October 26 2020), while reaching Fibonacci level 1.0, which was the former top of the Channel Up for 4 years until it broke and the stock turned parabolic from January 2023 to March 2024. At the same time, the 1W RSI touched the oversold barrier (30.00) for the first time since March 16 2020 and second since October 01 2018, which was the start of the Fibonacci Channel.
As a result, that gave us a very strong buy signal combo, which as you saw was immediately translated into a price rebound. Less than a month after, the stock is about to close the gap of the October 28 2024 1W candle, which was the week of the Ernst & Young collapse. This amount of buying pressure indicates that there were a lot of long-term buyers waiting on the buy zone we identified and assuming SMCI continues to restore faith in their reported accounting practices, are looking for a new multi-year rally.
Our $122.50 Target remains intact for Q3 2025, which is basically the stock's All Time High (ATH). Technically there is room for a 2025 extension within the 3.5 - 4.0 Fibonacci Zone.
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Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Shares Surge Nearly 30%Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Shares Surge Nearly 30%
Yesterday, the S&P 500 (tracked as US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) hit another record high for the year, with Super Micro Computer (SMCI) leading the charge. SMCI shares soared by 28.50% during the session.
SMCI has been highly volatile this year. In the first 2.5 months, its stock price skyrocketed over 300%, breaking the psychological $100-per-share mark, fueled by the AI boom.
However, this rally was followed by a period of consolidation and then a sharp downtrend, partly driven by accounting concerns. According to Investing, the company failed to file its 10-K form for the fiscal year 2024 due to accounting issues, leading Nasdaq to threaten delisting. Meanwhile, Ernst & Young (EY), the company’s auditor, announced it was unwilling to associate itself with the financial statements prepared by Super Micro Computer’s management.
As a result, SMCI shares dropped below $20 earlier this month. Fortunately for shareholders, it was revealed yesterday that:
→ No errors were found in Super Micro Computer's financial reports.
→ The company will not need to amend its previously filed reports.
→ The CFO will be replaced.
These developments sparked bullish momentum, propelling the stock from Friday’s closing price of $32.50 to yesterday’s close of $41.91.
Technical Analysis of SMCI Shares
Since 2022, the stock's wide price swings have formed an ascending channel (marked in blue). Key observations include:
→ The consolidation from late August to late November suggests the median of this channel is an equilibrium zone for supply and demand.
→ A mid-November bounce off the channel’s lower boundary (indicated by an arrow).
Will SMCI Continue Its Rally?
This week’s strong momentum may sustain further gains, potentially enabling bulls to break above the resistance line (uppermost of the three red lines) and push towards the median of the blue channel before the holiday season begins.
According to TipRanks:
→ Only 2 of 9 analysts recommend buying SMCI shares.
→ The average 12-month price target for SMCI is $38. However, these forecasts may be revised upwards in light of the latest positive news.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Pullback long, target 42Following in different time frames.
Daily, I got a long signal from my power indicator.
For weekly, I got a bottom signal. If I combine these 2 signals, I can see that it might be a pull-back signal in a monthly timeframe.
Then I put fibo levels and that shows me 42.18
My target is 42.
I'd stop under 20.
I hope it'll not open with a huge gap. If it occurs, I'd need to wait for lows.
$SMCI surged by 78% ! A comeback or final rally?
Technically, NASDAQ:SMCI is overall moving in a bearish market, and it just be rejected by the resistance level of downtrend line and the high price of previous gap down candle with high volume.
In this case, the price may continue to go bearish if it could not break above the resistance level.
From the aspect of fundamental analysis, there is also a high possibility for NASDAQ:SMCI to go bearish due to the two reasons below.
Evident 1:
SMCI’s drop was driven by financial fraud, with its auditor, Ernst & Young, resigning. Additionally, NVIDIA is shifting its orders away from SMCI. And the price had a short-term callback since the company only recently found a new auditor, BDO, and submitted a compliance plan to Nasdaq.
It’s worth mentioning that NASDAQ:SMCI has experienced a similar situation before. Back in 2019, SMCI faced multiple delisting warnings from Nasdaq for failing to submit its 10-K report and other financial documents on time. Ultimately, SMCI was delisted for not meeting reporting requirements and moved to the over-the-counter market to continue trading. After improving its internal controls and financial reporting, SMCI was able to rejoin the exchange in 2020.
Evident 2: NASDAQ:SMCI doesn’t have any monopolistic products and its offerings are highly replaceable. Several auditing firms have been gradually lowering their ratings and pricing since August, and SMCI has long been heavily dependent on NVIDIA's GPU chips. This dependence is evident, as about 70% of SMCI’s production costs rely on NVIDIA components. Now that NVIDIA is shifting its orders to other suppliers, even if SMCI has found a new auditor and successfully submits a strong Q3 report, its future will largely depend on whether NVIDIA decides to return its orders.
Therefore, the recent surge over the past few days could be due to NASDAQ:SMCI creating a breathing space for itself, namely by submitting a compliance plan to Nasdaq. Regardless of whether it can meet the requirements, submitting the plan serves as a temporary measure to buy time. This move has sparked market enthusiasm, but that enthusiasm is likely to fade. If NVIDIA does not shift its orders back and if SMCI ultimately fails to submit compliant financial reports as outlined in its plan, the recent rise in stock price may turn out to be a short-lived rally, or what could be called a final dance.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Could this be 2024’s comeback?Could we be witnessing one of the most remarkable comebacks of the year?
NASDAQ:SMCI surged an incredible 123% in just eight trading days, turning our position back into profit—a scenario that seemed unlikely not long ago. This highlights how patience in trading often pays off. The key reclaim of the Point of Control (POC) at $26.59 is a pivotal development. It’s crucial that NASDAQ:SMCI remains above this level as the week ends, which could also mark a significant monthly close.
On the technical side, NASDAQ:SMCI was oversold on the 3D timeframe for the first time since March 2020, which may partly explain the rapid recovery and increased buying pressure.
Fundamentally, last week marked the stock’s best five-day stretch on record following the appointment of BDO as its new independent auditor. This move, combined with a submitted compliance plan to Nasdaq, aims to address the delayed filing of its annual 10-K and quarterly 10-Q forms—previously threatening delisting.
If NASDAQ:SMCI successfully files these reports, investor confidence could soar, potentially driving the stock much higher. However, failure to meet these requirements could result in a sharp sell-off. While we could have added at the bottom, patience remains critical as the situation evolves. ✅
Can a Tech Giant Rewrite Its Future While Racing Against Time?In a remarkable display of corporate resilience, Super Micro Computer stands at the intersection of crisis and opportunity, navigating regulatory challenges while simultaneously revolutionizing the AI infrastructure landscape. As the company addresses its Nasdaq compliance requirements through comprehensive reforms, including the strategic appointment of BDO USA as its new independent auditor, it hasn't missed a beat in its technological innovation trajectory - a feat that has left critics and supporters watching intently.
The numbers tell a compelling story of growth amidst adversity: a staggering 110% revenue surge to $15 billion in FY2024, coupled with a nearly 90% increase in adjusted earnings. But, perhaps more impressive is Supermicro's technical leadership, maintaining an 18-24 month advantage over competitors in liquid-cooled AI rack technology and demonstrating the capability to deploy 100,000-GPU liquid-cooled AI data centers. This technical prowess, combined with strategic partnerships with industry giants like NVIDIA, positions Supermicro at the forefront of the AI infrastructure revolution.
Looking ahead, Supermicro's journey represents more than just a corporate turnaround story - it's a masterclass in organizational agility and strategic focus. While many companies might have faltered under the weight of regulatory scrutiny, Supermicro has instead used this moment as a catalyst for transformation, strengthening its corporate governance while accelerating its innovation pipeline. With analyst projections indicating 40%+ earnings growth for FY2025 and revenue expected to surge over 70%, the company's trajectory suggests that sometimes, the most significant opportunities for growth emerge from the crucible of challenge.
SMCI is -85% a buy opportunity while accounting issues continue?Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) still haven't found a new Auditing Firm, after it was announced last week that Ernst & Young left them raising governance and management communication issues. Yesterday's Low represents almost a -85% drop from the March $122.50 All Time High (ATH). So is this level a bargain and a buy opportunity for long-term investors?
Well while the company hasn't filed the necessary paperwork to meet the regulatory requirements to remain listed on the stock market and no auditor is hired to confirm and signs their reports, investor confidence will remain low (to say the least). It appears that SMCI has turned into the new short favorite for Hedge Funds and that's never ideal.
Technically though, the stock hit yesterday its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 4 years (since October 26 2020)! With that contact, the price initiated a strong multi-week rally that made a new High. This is a textbook buy for long-term investors. Of course it is all about risk and money management and since regulatory risks remain, the capital invested best to be less than usual.
Another technical factor supporting a buy on these levels is the 1W RSI, which got oversold (<30.00) for the first time since the weeks of March 16 2020 (almost 31.50) and October 01 2018 (U.S. - China trade wars). Both these times, SMCI kick-started enormous rallies.
The October 01 2018 bottom in particular is the starting date of the Fibonacci Channel Up on this chart, which encompasses SMCI's logarithmic growth these past years. As a result the company has only experienced 3 major long-term buy opportunities with the most recent 4 years ago.
At the same time, yesterday's Low didn't only make contact with Fibonacci 1.0 of the Channel Up (i.e. the initial top until the price turned parabolic and broke-out) but also almost touched the 0.382 horizontal Fib level, starting all the way from October 2018.
It is obvious that purely from a technical perspective such levels are as good as a buy can get. Proper risk management and an exit strategy are needed (in case of delisting) and long-term investors can be patient and take their time to target the $122.50 High again for enormous gains (could take even 1 year).
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Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Strong Entry After Stock SplitSo far, we’re seeing a strong entry on NASDAQ:SMCI following the 1:10 stock split at the beginning of October. The stock has experienced a relief pump of about 20%, which is a solid move in the right direction. 🔥
Super Micro Computer announced on Monday that it’s currently shipping over 100,000 graphics processors per quarter. Additionally, the company introduced a new suite of liquid cooling products, which further fueled its shares, pushing them up 14% after weeks of slumping. If these gains hold, Super Micro is on track to add more than $3 billion to its market value.
At this point, the first resistance level has been met, and we are closely monitoring how the stock reacts. If NASDAQ:SMCI can reclaim and stay above this level, it will likely move toward the next resistance area, offering more potential for upside.
As always, we’re keeping a close eye on developments and will update you with any new moves.
SMCI Is it a buy after -35% dip and the leave of their auditors?Super Micro Computer is oversold on all timeframes and is approaching that level even on 1W (RSI = 35.160, MACD = -7.190, ADX = 44.214). The reason for the -35% daily collapse is of course the resignation of their auditors, Ernst & Young, which have raised concerns over SMCI's governance since late July. News have even hit the market that there are fears of delisting. Now fundamentally, even though the street has seen its fair share of accounting frauds in the past, those make up only a tiny minority.
Normally when such pessimistic news hit the market, long term investors should be viewing the dynamics objectively. Is it worth buying despite all the negatives? A quick answer can be given by just looking at the technicals. Any high cap stock that falls roughly -75% from its All Time High (ATH) is objectively a great long term investment opportunity.
For SMCI in particularly it has almost lost -75% of its value in 8 months, with the company absorbing almost any negative news there could be out there. The price is right now at $33.00 with its 1W MA200 currently sitting at $22.95 (and rising), which is the long term support since April 20th 2020. Before that trendline, there is the HL 2 to consider that started on July 5th 2022. In the meantime, the 1W RSI is testing sideways the S1 Zone, a buy level that is holding since July 2015.
It has to be said that the -75% decline is SMCI strongest within such period of time, with the most recent before it being during the U.S.-China trade wars (October 1st 2018 at -68.30%). That collapse recovered in 6 months as it reached its 0.786 Fibonacci level.
If SMCI announces soon their new auditing firm and calm the market about their practices, there is a strong probability to see the price testing the current 0.786 Fib (TP = 90.00).
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IS SUPER MICRO COMPUTERS ($SMCI) FINALLY BOTTOMING?! IS SUPER MICRO COMPUTERS ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) FINALLY BOTTOMING?!
3 REASONS WHY:
1⃣ We have DIVERGENCE on the Weekly Chart
2⃣ It's almost a "High Five Setup"
3⃣ Take a BREAK and find out by watching. 👇
Stay tuned for more!🔔
Like ❤️ Follow 🤳 Share 🔂
Will Super Micro finally get back on track after the insane negative sentiment and news articles?!
Not financial advice.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Time to buy in after a -70% drop!Since our first analysis a while ago, we've been inching closer and closer to our target area on $SMCI. Since then, we've seen a price drop of 40%, which is far from irrelevant, with the stock retracing nearly 70% from its peak. We're witnessing a clear and recurring pattern here—what we call the "staircase to hell." Each push to a level has been met with rejection, which is exactly why we see a buying opportunity forming.
We are now making our first bid here as a market entry. This is intended to be a swing trade that we plan to carry into 2025, with a target of reaching previous highs again. Therefore, we're not worried about getting a "perfect" entry within 1-2% but instead setting a DCA bid a bit lower for an optimal position if NASDAQ:SMCI comes down further.
Below the market entry, there's an important Fibonacci cluster that combines the 200% target of Wave C, the 78.6% retracement of Wave (2), and a target for Wave ((v)), all aligning well. With these multiple levels coinciding, there's a strong possibility we will see the price reach this zone. If so, we’ll place another bid to buy more shares.
If NASDAQ:SMCI manages to flip the first resistance, we expect it to move up quickly. As we always say, patience is the key to successful swing trading—don’t let greed or fear cloud your decisions 🤝.
SUPERMICRO. BUY WHEN THERE'S BLOOD IN THE STREETS.The worse the market - the greater the opportunity to profit it gives.
This seems to be the credo of contrarian, or counter investing.
Nathan Rothschild, a 19th-century British financier and member of the Rothschild banking family, is credited with saying:
“The time to buy is when there’s blood in the streets.”
Whether or not Rothschild actually uttered this famous line, it reveals an important truth about betting against market psychology. When prices are falling and markets are shaky, bold contrarian investing can yield big returns.
Key Takeaways
👉 Contrarian investing is a strategy that goes against prevailing market trends or sentiment.
👉 The idea is that markets are subject to herd behavior, fueled by fear and greed, which causes markets to periodically overprice or underprice.
👉 “Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful,” said Warren Buffett. This phrase embodies a similar philosophy, perhaps just in a slightly more succinct form.
Historically, market panics can be a great opportunity for cheap investing.
Most d̶u̶m̶b̶a̶s̶s̶ ̶ people want to have ONLY WINNERS in their portfolios, but as Warren Buffett warned, “In the stock market, you pay a very high price for a happy consensus.”
In other words, if the crowd is unanimous in agreeing on an investment decision, it’s probably NOT A GOOD ONE.
Going Against the dumbass Crowd
Contrarians, as the name suggests, try to do the opposite of the crowd. They get excited when a good company’s stock price drops sharply and unfairly. They swim against the tide and assume that the market is usually wrong at both extreme lows and highs. The more prices fluctuate, the more delusional they think the rest of the market is.
Contrarian investors believe that people say the market is going up when and why they are fully invested and have no further buying power.
At that point, the market is peaking and should be going down. When people predict a decline, they are already sold out, and at that point, the market can only go up.
For this reason, contrarian thinking is great for figuring out whether a particular stock has actually bottomed.
Bad times build wealth
😬 Contrarian investors have historically made their best investments during times of market turmoil. During the 1987 crash (also known as Black Monday), the Dow Jones Industrial Average in the US fell 22% in one day.
😬 During the 1973–74 bear market, the market lost 45% in about 22 months.
😬 The September 11, 2001 attacks also caused the market to fall significantly.
I AM CERTAINLY NOT AN ADVOCATE OF VIOLANCE
But the list of facts goes on and on. And these were the times when contrarians found their best investments.
😬 The 1973–1974 bear market gave Warren Buffett the opportunity to buy a stake in the Washington Post Company, an investment that subsequently rose more than 100 times its purchase price. That’s before dividends.
Buffett said at the time that he was buying the company’s shares at a deep discount, as evidenced by the fact that the company could “sell (the Post’s) assets to any of 10 buyers for at least $400 million, probably considerably more.” more." Meanwhile, the Washington Post's market cap at the time was just $80 million. In 2013, the company was sold to Amazon CEO and founder Jeff Bezos for $250 million in cash.
😬 After the 9/11 attacks, the world stopped moving for a while. Let's say you were investing in Boeing (BA), one of the world's largest commercial aircraft makers, during that time. Boeing's stock bottomed out just a year after 9/11, but since then, it has more than quadrupled in the next five years. Clearly, while 9/11 may have temporarily soured market sentiment on the airline industry, those who had done their research and were willing to bet on Boeing's survival were well rewarded.
😬 Sir John Templeton ran the Templeton Growth Fund from 1954 to 1992, when he sold it. For every $10,000 invested, into an A-share fund in 1954 would have grown to $2 million by 1992 with dividends reinvested, or an annual return of about 14.5%.
Templeton was a pioneer of international investing. He was also a serious contrarian investor, buying into countries and companies when, according to his principle, they reached their "POINT OF MAX. PESSIMISM."
Four years later, he sold the stock for a huge profit.
The Risks of Contrarian Investing
While the most famous contrarian investors bet big money, went against the grain, and succeeded, they also did a lot of research to make sure the crowd was wrong.
So when a stock takes a big dive, it doesn't prompt the contrarian to place an immediate buy order, but to figure out what caused the stock to fall and whether the price drop is justified.
Knowing which distressed stocks to buy and sell once the company recovers is a major concern for contrarian investors. This can lead to stocks that deliver much higher returns than usual. However, being overly optimistic about hyped stocks can have the opposite effect.
Final Points.
👉 While each of these successful contrarian investors has their own strategy for evaluating potential investments, they all have one thing in common: they let the market give them deals instead of chasing them.
👉 What's next for Supermicro stock? Who knows, who knows..
It's very individual and depends on what you're looking for... opportunity or denial.
👉 The current 6-month return on investment in Supermicro stock is -58.44% - a pretty rare occurrence for SMCI.
This has never happened before.. even in times of WFC, Covid-19 or smth else.
Indeed, several times 6-months returns were quite negative for SMCI. Then Supermicro shares doubled or even tripled in price in just several next years.
What principle and style of investing do you adhere to?! Please share your comments and feedback in the box below! 👇👇
SMCI: Are we back in business??Super Micro Computer just broke over the LH 1 trendline holding since July 15th and is about to turn bullish again on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.296, MACD = -2.380, ADX = 24.033). Coming off a double bottom (DB), the only resistance left before the bullish trend is resumed, is the 1D MA50 (untested since July 17th). The 1D RSI already made its breakout over its own R level. When the 1D MA50 breaks, target the LH2 trendline (TP = 78.00).
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Super Micro Computer Stock up 16% Amidst AI DemandSuper Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) has recently been thrust back into the spotlight after announcing a surge in shipments of its advanced graphics processing units (GPUs). These GPUs, driven by the ongoing artificial intelligence (AI) revolution, are powering some of the largest AI factories globally. The company revealed that it has deployed over 100,000 GPUs utilizing its proprietary liquid cooling technology, designed to help AI data centers cut down on energy costs while improving operational performance. The news has given NASDAQ:SMCI a fresh momentum, with the stock soaring 16.37% as of Monday’s trading.
AI Boom Fueling Growth
The ongoing boom in AI is playing a pivotal role in NASDAQ:SMCI ’s resurgence. The company, which supplies critical server infrastructure used for AI model training, data storage, and large-scale cloud operations, has been a significant beneficiary of the rising demand for GPU-powered AI systems. Partnering with Nvidia (NVDA), NASDAQ:SMCI leverages Nvidia’s cutting-edge $30,000 chips to service the growing AI sector. The company's ability to deploy more than 100,000 GPUs per quarter could translate into billions of dollars in potential revenue.
Additionally, NASDAQ:SMCI 's latest innovation—its direct liquid cooling products—has opened new avenues for reducing the overall energy footprint of data centers. CEO Charles Liang noted that these solutions are already being adopted by "state-of-the-art" AI factories, further solidifying the company’s standing in the green technology landscape.
Despite this growth, NASDAQ:SMCI has faced its share of challenges. The company is currently about nine weeks behind on filing its annual report, citing ongoing assessments of its internal controls over financial reporting. Furthermore, a recent investigation by the Department of Justice, following allegations of accounting manipulation by Hindenburg Research, caused shares to drop 12% last month. Still, with AI demand continuing to fuel orders, NASDAQ:SMCI ’s fundamentals remain strong.
Technical Outlook: A Bullish Flag in the Making?
From a technical standpoint, NASDAQ:SMCI is showing signs of a potential rebound after weeks of decline. The stock's 16% jump on Monday suggests that investors are starting to recognize the company’s growth potential once again. Currently, NASDAQ:SMCI is trading within a presumed falling trend channel, but with the latest bullish momentum, it appears ready to break out of this bearish pattern.
One of the most encouraging signs on the daily price chart is the early formation of a bullish flag pattern, a signal typically associated with the continuation of an upward trend. The stock has also avoided hitting overbought or oversold territory, as reflected in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is primed for further gains.
However, NASDAQ:SMCI is still trading below key moving averages (MAs), which serves as a point of caution for traders. A sustained move above these MAs could indicate a more stable reversal, suggesting that the stock might migrate from its current bearish trend into a more balanced state.
Outlook: Hope in the Midst of Uncertainty
While the stock remains down by over 50% from its March highs, the recent surge and new product innovations offer a glimmer of hope. If NASDAQ:SMCI can clear its regulatory hurdles and capitalize on the ongoing demand for AI infrastructure, the stock may continue to rise. The combination of fundamental strength in AI growth and the promising technical setup offers a compelling case for long-term investors.
The next key for investors to watch will be NASDAQ:SMCI 's ability to regain ground above its moving averages, solidifying the bullish reversal. If the bullish flag pattern plays out, the stock could see further gains as AI demand and liquid cooling innovation continue to drive its growth.
Supermicro and Fujitsu Collaborate on Green AI ComputingSupermicro stock (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) Shows Bullish Potential Despite Stock Dip
Supermicro, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) and Fujitsu have recently announced a long-term strategic collaboration to develop cutting-edge green AI computing technology and liquid-cooled datacenter solutions. This partnership, which will focus on future AI, HPC, and next-generation data centers, aims to provide more energy-efficient solutions for the growing demand in AI and data infrastructure while minimizing environmental impact.
Strategic Collaboration Overview
The collaboration includes developing platforms using Fujitsu's upcoming **Arm-based “FUJITSU-MONAKA” processor**, targeted for release in 2027. This processor will be designed for high-performance computing while also being energy-efficient. Supermicro’s liquid-cooling technology will play a vital role, helping to address the challenge of rising data center power consumption and environmental concerns. Together, the companies aim to create green IT architectures that align with global sustainability goals.
Supermicro CEO Charles Liang stated, “These systems will be optimized to support a broad range of workloads in AI, HPC, cloud, and edge environments.” The companies’ combined technical capabilities are expected to enhance performance across several industries while reducing the ecological footprint of data centers.
The liquid-cooled systems, which Supermicro is already leading in, will be central to this effort. The companies aim to bring rack-scale liquid cooling solutions that offer not just high-performance processing, but also **green AI infrastructure** that meets the global demand for scalable, energy-efficient AI and computing platforms.
Strengths and Future Outlook
Supermicro has continued to position itself as a leader in IT infrastructure. The company's focus on energy efficiency and green computing aligns with broader market trends, especially as environmental concerns become central in technology development. The new FUJITSU-MONAKA processor promises to deliver excellent performance and power efficiency, crucial for AI workloads and data centers of the future. This processor, using cutting-edge 2-nanometer technology, will strengthen Supermicro’s competitive edge in both the AI and broader HPC market.
In addition, the partnership will extend globally with the inclusion of Fsas Technologies Inc., a subsidiary of Fujitsu, providing AI platforms based on Supermicro's GPU servers. This move will allow both companies to offer top-tier AI solutions on a global scale, aiding enterprises and data center operators in leveraging AI-driven digital transformation (DX).
Technical Analysis
As of the time of writing, NASDAQ:SMCI stock is down 1.07%, but the technical indicators point to a potential bullish reversal. The daily chart reveals the formation of a bullish flag pattern, which signals a potential upward breakout. A move above the $75 pivot would confirm this bullish momentum and could trigger a substantial rally in the stock, given the broader AI and tech stock trends this year.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) currently sits at 38, which indicates that the stock may be in oversold territory. This could present an excellent buying opportunity for investors who believe in the long-term potential of Supermicro (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ), especially with its involvement in green AI and liquid-cooling technologies.
Conclusion
Supermicro’s collaboration with Fujitsu marks an important step forward in creating a sustainable and high-performance AI infrastructure, essential for the future of data centers. Despite the stock’s current dip, the technical analysis suggests a potential bullish reversal on the horizon, fueled by favorable industry conditions and the company’s focus on innovative, green technologies. Investors might view the RSI level as an opportunity to enter or accumulate positions, given the long-term promise of this partnership and the growing demand for AI-driven solutions.
Supermicro is well-positioned to benefit from both its focus on sustainability and the growing demand for AI infrastructure, making it a stock to watch closely in the near term and beyond.
SMCI Is it a by after the stock split??Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) just had their 10-for-1 stock split and what's on everyone's mind now is this: Is it a buy? Well after a fresh 8-month Low last Thursday, the market certainly doesn't look at its best, quite the contrary, it is on the worst position it could be after the July 15 High and the start of a Channel Down with series of Lower Highs and Lower Lows.
There is a certain level though, where all of SMCI corrections came to an end since the March 23 2020 bullish break-out during the COVID flash crash, and that is the 1W MA100 (green trend-line).
As you can see, before the stock turned completely parabolic in May 2023, it was trading within a Channel Up since the October 01 2018 market bottom. With the use of the Fibonacci Channel levels, we can accurately put into context the subsequent parabolic move too, which extended all the way to almost the 4.0 Fibonacci extension on the week of March 04 2024 and the All Time High (ATH), before starting its correction.
In the meantime, notice the excellent Buy Signal that the 1W RSI is giving in the last 6 years, every time it approaches the 30.00 oversold barrier.
So as long as the 1W MA100 keeps closing the stocks weekly candles above it, we will be bullish, targeting $125.00 (the ATH). If that fails to support though, expect further downside to the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), where we will place a second long-term buy.
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Super Micro Computer Stock Plunges Amid Federal Accounting ProbeSuper Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ), a prominent player in the AI hardware space, saw its stock tumble by 15% on Thursday after reports surfaced that the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) has opened a federal investigation into the company. The probe, sparked by allegations of accounting manipulation and other improprieties, has sent shockwaves through the market. For a company that had been riding high on the back of the AI boom, this investigation poses serious questions about its future trajectory.
The Backstory: Short-Seller Allegations and Federal Involvement
The DOJ's investigation follows a damning report by Hindenburg Research, a well-known short-seller, which was released in August. In the report, Hindenburg alleged that Super Micro Computer engaged in accounting manipulation, sibling self-dealing, and sanctions evasion. The short-seller also pointed to undisclosed related-party transactions, export control violations, and suspicious customer issues.
The allegations didn’t just arise from external analysis—internal turmoil has also surfaced. A former employee of Super Micro filed a whistleblower lawsuit earlier this year, accusing the company of improper accounting practices. The lawsuit also names Charles Liang, the CEO of Super Micro, who has been a central figure in the company's rise during the AI boom. These combined factors appear to have prompted federal officials to begin looking into the server manufacturer’s business practices.
According to reports from *The Wall Street Journal*, prosecutors from the U.S. Attorney’s Office in San Francisco are now involved, and early-stage inquiries have been made regarding the whistleblower’s accusations. While Super Micro has declined to comment on these developments, the stock market reacted swiftly to the news, with NASDAQ:SMCI leading the day's decliners in the S&P 500.
Delayed Annual Report and Market Fallout
This isn't the first time Super Micro’s accounting practices have raised concerns. In August, the company announced that it would be delaying the filing of its annual report, citing the need to assess its internal controls over financial reporting. That announcement caused the stock to fall nearly 20%, hinting that investors were already skittish about the company’s financial transparency.
Super Micro’s inability to file its annual report with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on time coincided with Hindenburg's allegations, further fueling speculation that all may not be well behind the scenes. While the company has not provided clear explanations for the delay, the timing raises questions about whether the two events are linked.
The Impact on Super Micro: From AI Boom to Uncertainty
Super Micro (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) had been one of the major beneficiaries of the artificial intelligence boom, with its server technology being a critical component for companies such as Nvidia, AMD, and Intel, all of whom are at the forefront of AI development. The company specializes in manufacturing high-performance servers used for data storage, website hosting, and AI-driven applications.
Earlier this year, NASDAQ:SMCI shares hit an all-time high, having quadrupled in value thanks to the skyrocketing demand for AI hardware. As a key supplier to some of the biggest names in the tech world, Super Micro positioned itself as a crucial cog in the AI machine. The company's meteoric rise seemed unstoppable, with shares still up by 38% in 2024, even after recent setbacks.
However, this latest development puts the company in a precarious position. With a federal probe underway, the future looks uncertain. Even if the company manages to clear its name, the mere specter of an accounting scandal is enough to dent investor confidence.
A Look Ahead: Can Super Micro Rebound?
As the federal probe unfolds, the critical question for investors is whether Super Micro can recover from this blow. While the company’s technological prowess and strategic positioning within the AI sector remain intact, the financial and legal challenges could significantly impact its future performance.
Analysts are likely to keep a close watch on how the company handles the accounting investigation and whether it can restore trust with its shareholders. For now, the stock’s sharp decline serves as a reminder that even the most promising companies can face turbulence when financial transparency is called into question.
With no comment from either the company or the DOJ, much remains unknown about the exact scope of the investigation or how long it will last. Super Micro's success has largely been built on its reputation as a reliable provider of server technology in the booming AI market. However, if the allegations prove to be true, the fallout could be severe, leading to deeper market losses and potentially legal consequences.
Conclusion
Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) now finds itself at a critical juncture. After riding high on the AI boom, the company must now contend with a federal investigation that could unravel the confidence investors have placed in it. While Super Micro’s role in the AI revolution is undisputed, the outcome of the DOJ probe will likely determine the company's future trajectory.
Investors should brace for continued volatility as the investigation progresses. For those considering a stake in NASDAQ:SMCI , caution is advisable until more information is available about the probe's findings and Super Micro’s financial health. Until then, the company remains in a precarious position, teetering between its past AI-driven success and an uncertain legal future.
SMCI DROPSuper Micro Computer (SMCI) is currently under scrutiny as it faces multiple probes and class-action lawsuits. These legal issues primarily stem from allegations of accounting manipulation and concerns over corporate governance. The investigation has been sparked by a report from Hindenburg Research, which raised serious questions about the company's financial reporting, including accusations of overstating sales, understating expenses, and engaging in "round-tripping" practices to inflate revenues
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Faces Securities Fraud LawsuitSuper Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) is navigating turbulent waters as the company faces a class action lawsuit alleging violations of federal securities laws. The Schall Law Firm, a national shareholder rights litigation firm, has filed a lawsuit against Super Micro for potential violations of Sections 10(b) and 20(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as well as Rule 10b-5. The litigation involves accusations of misleading investors and possibly inflating financial figures. Shareholders who purchased SMCI securities between August 10, 2021, and August 26, 2024, are urged to contact the law firm before the October 29, 2024, deadline.
Despite the legal headwinds, Super Micro’s stock is making waves ahead of a highly anticipated 10-for-1 stock split, which is scheduled to take effect after the closing bell on September 30, 2024. On the technical side, the stock has rebounded by 4% in recent trading, signaling renewed investor interest. However, the company has lost nearly half of its value over the past three months, weighed down by disappointing fiscal Q4 earnings and allegations of “accounting manipulation” by short seller Hindenburg Research.
Legal Troubles and Market Sentiment
The class action lawsuit represents a major challenge for Super Micro Computer as it grapples with accusations that could severely damage investor confidence. Violations of securities law can lead to significant penalties, reputational damage, and a prolonged legal battle, all of which could negatively affect the company’s stock price.
Adding to these troubles is Hindenburg Research’s scathing report, which alleges that the company engaged in improper accounting practices, contributing to the stock's volatility in recent months. This report has stirred skepticism among some investors, although others remain focused on Super Micro’s long-term potential, particularly in the fast-growing artificial intelligence (AI) server market.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Despite these setbacks, NASDAQ:SMCI stock is attempting to recover from its sharp decline and has recently shown some signs of life. On Monday, the stock rose by 1.78%, trading at a relative strength index (RSI) of 43, indicating that it is emerging from an oversold condition, but still showing some weakness. The RSI remains below 50, suggesting that NASDAQ:SMCI is still working to overcome bearish momentum.
SMCI’s price movement has been oscillating within a descending broadening wedge formation since reaching its all-time high in March 2024. This pattern is often viewed as a bullish reversal signal once a breakout occurs, but so far, the stock has struggled to maintain upward momentum. The lower trendline of the wedge around $357 has held as key support in recent weeks, and a failure to defend this level could send shares tumbling toward $230, where previous troughs were established between August and October of last year.
On the upside, the stock faces significant resistance around $700, a level that aligns with the 200-day moving average. A breakout above this resistance could trigger a rally toward $975, a price level that corresponds with several swing highs from earlier in the year.
AI Server Demand and Innovation
While Super Micro (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) grapples with its legal issues, the company still holds substantial promise as a first mover in AI server infrastructure. The demand for AI server technology, particularly liquid cooling rack systems, is expected to surge as artificial intelligence applications grow. This market opportunity has led analysts at Needham to issue a “buy” rating for SMCI, with a price target of $600, which represents a potential upside of 31% from the stock's current price of $457.27.
Super Micro’s expertise in high-performance computing solutions positions it well to capitalize on the rising demand for AI servers. The company's AI-focused products, including its liquid cooling rack systems, are seen as cutting-edge technology that could play a crucial role in addressing the growing data needs of AI workloads.
The Path Forward: Legal Risks vs. Market Potential
As SMCI prepares for its stock split and navigates its legal battles, investors will be watching closely to see how the company balances the risks of the lawsuit with its promising opportunities in the AI server market. The ongoing legal challenges could weigh on the stock in the short term, but the company’s innovative technology and growing demand for AI infrastructure offer long-term growth potential.
For investors, key technical levels such as $357 and $700 will be important markers for determining whether the stock can regain its footing or continue to slide. With the stock split and lawsuit on the horizon, Super Micro Computer remains a stock to watch closely in the coming weeks.
Conclusion
Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) finds itself at a critical juncture. The class action lawsuit for potential securities fraud, coupled with accusations from Hindenburg Research, presents significant risks. However, the company’s forward-looking focus on AI servers and liquid cooling systems provides a compelling case for long-term growth. As the stock split nears and legal proceedings unfold, investors should keep a close eye on both the technical price levels and any updates on the lawsuit, as these factors will heavily influence SMCI’s trajectory in the near future.
SMCI - Can Super Micro Computer regain trust of investors?Super Micro Computer received non compliance note from Nasdaq for failing to timely file its annual report for the period ending June 30 by the Aug. 29 deadline.
The company said it had 60 days to file the report or submit a plan to regain compliance.
After Hindenburg short report and notice from Nasdaq, much negativity already priced in. If they can file their report for ending June 30, rebound started from just below 400 , might reach 530-usd (61.8%). In the end, revenue growth for fiscal year is expected at 80%.
Article Title: Is AI Just Hype?In the whirlwind of AI's rapid ascent, a critical question emerges: Is the hype surrounding AI justified, or are we witnessing a bubble fueled by inflated valuations and limited innovation? Let's delve deep into the AI industry, separating the signal from the noise and providing a sobering reality check.
The Super Micro Cautionary Tale
The financial woes of Super Micro Computer serve as a stark warning. Despite the soaring demand for AI hardware, the company's internal challenges highlight the risks of investing solely in market enthusiasm. This case underscores the importance of **industry openness** and **due diligence** in the face of AI's allure.
A Landscape of Contrasts
The broader AI landscape is a tapestry of contrasting narratives. While pioneers like DeepMind and Tesla are pushing the boundaries of AI applications, a multitude of companies are capitalizing on the hype with products lacking substance. This proliferation of **AI hype** has created a toxic environment characterized by inflated valuations and a lack of substantive innovation.
Market Dynamics and Future Prospects
As the market for AI hardware matures, saturation and potential price drops loom. NVIDIA's dominance may be challenged by competitors, reshaping the industry landscape. The future of AI, however, lies in the development of more sophisticated systems capable of collaboration and learning. The integration of **quantum computing** could revolutionize AI, unlocking solutions to complex problems that are currently beyond our reach.
Conclusion
The AI industry is a complex landscape, filled with both promise and peril. While the hype surrounding AI may be tempting, it's imperative to scrutinize each company's core innovation and value. As the market matures and competition intensifies, those who can deliver **real value** and **technological advancements** will ultimately prevail. The Super Micro case serves as a stark reminder that in the realm of AI, substance, not hype, is the true currency of success.