SMCI is -85% a buy opportunity while accounting issues continue?Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) still haven't found a new Auditing Firm, after it was announced last week that Ernst & Young left them raising governance and management communication issues. Yesterday's Low represents almost a -85% drop from the March $122.50 All Time High (ATH). So is this level a bargain and a buy opportunity for long-term investors?
Well while the company hasn't filed the necessary paperwork to meet the regulatory requirements to remain listed on the stock market and no auditor is hired to confirm and signs their reports, investor confidence will remain low (to say the least). It appears that SMCI has turned into the new short favorite for Hedge Funds and that's never ideal.
Technically though, the stock hit yesterday its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 4 years (since October 26 2020)! With that contact, the price initiated a strong multi-week rally that made a new High. This is a textbook buy for long-term investors. Of course it is all about risk and money management and since regulatory risks remain, the capital invested best to be less than usual.
Another technical factor supporting a buy on these levels is the 1W RSI, which got oversold (<30.00) for the first time since the weeks of March 16 2020 (almost 31.50) and October 01 2018 (U.S. - China trade wars). Both these times, SMCI kick-started enormous rallies.
The October 01 2018 bottom in particular is the starting date of the Fibonacci Channel Up on this chart, which encompasses SMCI's logarithmic growth these past years. As a result the company has only experienced 3 major long-term buy opportunities with the most recent 4 years ago.
At the same time, yesterday's Low didn't only make contact with Fibonacci 1.0 of the Channel Up (i.e. the initial top until the price turned parabolic and broke-out) but also almost touched the 0.382 horizontal Fib level, starting all the way from October 2018.
It is obvious that purely from a technical perspective such levels are as good as a buy can get. Proper risk management and an exit strategy are needed (in case of delisting) and long-term investors can be patient and take their time to target the $122.50 High again for enormous gains (could take even 1 year).
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Supermicrocomputersignals
IS SUPER MICRO COMPUTERS ($SMCI) FINALLY BOTTOMING?! IS SUPER MICRO COMPUTERS ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) FINALLY BOTTOMING?!
3 REASONS WHY:
1⃣ We have DIVERGENCE on the Weekly Chart
2⃣ It's almost a "High Five Setup"
3⃣ Take a BREAK and find out by watching. 👇
Stay tuned for more!🔔
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Will Super Micro finally get back on track after the insane negative sentiment and news articles?!
Not financial advice.
Supermicro and Fujitsu Collaborate on Green AI ComputingSupermicro stock (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) Shows Bullish Potential Despite Stock Dip
Supermicro, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) and Fujitsu have recently announced a long-term strategic collaboration to develop cutting-edge green AI computing technology and liquid-cooled datacenter solutions. This partnership, which will focus on future AI, HPC, and next-generation data centers, aims to provide more energy-efficient solutions for the growing demand in AI and data infrastructure while minimizing environmental impact.
Strategic Collaboration Overview
The collaboration includes developing platforms using Fujitsu's upcoming **Arm-based “FUJITSU-MONAKA” processor**, targeted for release in 2027. This processor will be designed for high-performance computing while also being energy-efficient. Supermicro’s liquid-cooling technology will play a vital role, helping to address the challenge of rising data center power consumption and environmental concerns. Together, the companies aim to create green IT architectures that align with global sustainability goals.
Supermicro CEO Charles Liang stated, “These systems will be optimized to support a broad range of workloads in AI, HPC, cloud, and edge environments.” The companies’ combined technical capabilities are expected to enhance performance across several industries while reducing the ecological footprint of data centers.
The liquid-cooled systems, which Supermicro is already leading in, will be central to this effort. The companies aim to bring rack-scale liquid cooling solutions that offer not just high-performance processing, but also **green AI infrastructure** that meets the global demand for scalable, energy-efficient AI and computing platforms.
Strengths and Future Outlook
Supermicro has continued to position itself as a leader in IT infrastructure. The company's focus on energy efficiency and green computing aligns with broader market trends, especially as environmental concerns become central in technology development. The new FUJITSU-MONAKA processor promises to deliver excellent performance and power efficiency, crucial for AI workloads and data centers of the future. This processor, using cutting-edge 2-nanometer technology, will strengthen Supermicro’s competitive edge in both the AI and broader HPC market.
In addition, the partnership will extend globally with the inclusion of Fsas Technologies Inc., a subsidiary of Fujitsu, providing AI platforms based on Supermicro's GPU servers. This move will allow both companies to offer top-tier AI solutions on a global scale, aiding enterprises and data center operators in leveraging AI-driven digital transformation (DX).
Technical Analysis
As of the time of writing, NASDAQ:SMCI stock is down 1.07%, but the technical indicators point to a potential bullish reversal. The daily chart reveals the formation of a bullish flag pattern, which signals a potential upward breakout. A move above the $75 pivot would confirm this bullish momentum and could trigger a substantial rally in the stock, given the broader AI and tech stock trends this year.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) currently sits at 38, which indicates that the stock may be in oversold territory. This could present an excellent buying opportunity for investors who believe in the long-term potential of Supermicro (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ), especially with its involvement in green AI and liquid-cooling technologies.
Conclusion
Supermicro’s collaboration with Fujitsu marks an important step forward in creating a sustainable and high-performance AI infrastructure, essential for the future of data centers. Despite the stock’s current dip, the technical analysis suggests a potential bullish reversal on the horizon, fueled by favorable industry conditions and the company’s focus on innovative, green technologies. Investors might view the RSI level as an opportunity to enter or accumulate positions, given the long-term promise of this partnership and the growing demand for AI-driven solutions.
Supermicro is well-positioned to benefit from both its focus on sustainability and the growing demand for AI infrastructure, making it a stock to watch closely in the near term and beyond.
SMCI Is it a by after the stock split??Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) just had their 10-for-1 stock split and what's on everyone's mind now is this: Is it a buy? Well after a fresh 8-month Low last Thursday, the market certainly doesn't look at its best, quite the contrary, it is on the worst position it could be after the July 15 High and the start of a Channel Down with series of Lower Highs and Lower Lows.
There is a certain level though, where all of SMCI corrections came to an end since the March 23 2020 bullish break-out during the COVID flash crash, and that is the 1W MA100 (green trend-line).
As you can see, before the stock turned completely parabolic in May 2023, it was trading within a Channel Up since the October 01 2018 market bottom. With the use of the Fibonacci Channel levels, we can accurately put into context the subsequent parabolic move too, which extended all the way to almost the 4.0 Fibonacci extension on the week of March 04 2024 and the All Time High (ATH), before starting its correction.
In the meantime, notice the excellent Buy Signal that the 1W RSI is giving in the last 6 years, every time it approaches the 30.00 oversold barrier.
So as long as the 1W MA100 keeps closing the stocks weekly candles above it, we will be bullish, targeting $125.00 (the ATH). If that fails to support though, expect further downside to the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), where we will place a second long-term buy.
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Technical Analysis of Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI)Upon analyzing the stock SMCI , we observe a significant turning point starting in 2022, following a long period of sideways movement where the stock struggled to break above the $40 level.
After this prolonged sideways phase, the stock broke out with a clear upward trend, highlighted by the ascending trendline (green), characterized by higher highs and higher lows.
Following a year of gains, the stock entered a consolidation phase but then broke out again to the upside with strength, accompanied by a substantial increase in volume.
After reaching a peak in March 2024, the stock began a downward phase that is still ongoing.
Potential long entry points, where the stock might bounce or change trend direction, are found in the following two support areas:
Support area S1;
The POC 1 area.
If the stock begins to rally again, it will be crucial to monitor its behavior as it approaches the descending trendline (green), which could serve as a more conservative initial target.
More ambitious targets are POC 2 and resistance R1, both within a price range of $900 to $1,000.
SMCI This is honestly the last stand.Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) suffered yet another brutal sell-off following the announcement of a delay in filing its 10-K annual report. This may prove to be a catastrophic one as technically not only did it fail exactly on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but also saw the stock test the bottom of its multi-year parabolic support, the Higher Lows Zone since the week of July 05 2022.
This was basically the last time the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) got tested with the current week coming the closest since then. The 1W MA100 last broke during the unexpected COVID flash crash in March 2020, so technically it is the stock's longest Support. If it fails to hold and SMCI closes a 1W candle below it, the long-term parabolic growth pattern is invalidated and we will risk testing the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) at a price potentially around $250.00.
If on the other hand the 1W MA100 holds (and we will need the news sentiment to drastically reverse in order to achieve that, something that currently can't be seen on the horizon), then we can see another +400% long-term rally, in which case we estimate a Target around $2000, the stock's next critical psychological growth level.
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SMCI rebounding on its 2-year Support Zone. $2000 next stop.Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is on its strongest 1W green candle since May 22 2023, recovering the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which was broken last week amidst the general market panic on a potential economic slowdown.
This rebound happens to take place just inside the 2-year Higher Lows Zone that started back in July 2022. The ultimate Support, the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) is exactly on that Zone's bottom and as long as it holds, we will stay bullish on SMCI long-term. Even the 1W RSI marginally broke below its 2-year Support Zone, but immediately recovered it.
As a result, we expect the new Bullish Leg (green Channel Up) to start. Every single one of the previous Legs of this 2-year pattern has been higher than the previous, so since the last rally completed a +344.40% rise, we expect at least a repeat of this. Our long-term Target is $2000.
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SMCI You won't be able to catch this rally after it starts.Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has so far followed to near perfection our last long-term analysis (May 13, see chart below) where we called for a prolonged accumulation (red Rectangle) of at least another 2-months before the real cyclical rally started:
We called then that 'patience will be rewarded' and the stock is finally close to rewarding your patience on the long-term. As you can see, every time in the past 18 months that the stock formed an Accumulation Phase this long, it then posted an incredible rally of +417%.
Throughout this process, the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) always remained intact and supported. The rally started when the 1D MA200 got to its closest with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the exact situation we're at right now.
As a result, we expect the parabolic rally to start any day now and as the title says, once it starts it will be difficult to catch. Typically entries within the Accumulation Phase should be done while it lasts. Our long-term Target is intact at $3500 (exactly +417% from the recent Low).
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SMCI Excellent short-term buy opportunity.Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the April 22 Low, with every Bullish Leg registering at least a +35.80% rise. The price is now just below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and the final technical confirmation that's needed is for the 4H MACD to form a Bullish Cross.
As a result, this is an excellent short-term buy opportunity. Or Target is $1050 (just below the +35.80% mark).
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SMCI accumulation phase. Patience will be rewarded.Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) gave us an excellent sell opportunity two months ago (March 08, see chart below) that allowed us to short on time and target perfectly the 1D MA100 (red trend-line on the chart below, green trend-line on the one above):
The 1D MA100 has so far held twice successfully but even if it breaks, don't be alarmed as this will most likely be part of the standard multi-month Accumulation Phase when the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) breaks, which when completed sends SMCI as high as +417.86% from the bottom (that was the % rise during the last two mega rallies).
As a result, the time to buy this stock is now. Hold and you will be rewarded. It can potentially reach as high as $3500, even though $1500 certainly is good enough and more plausible on the medium-term.
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SMCI Super Micro Computer Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the SMCI 10X call:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SMCI Super Micro Computer prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 750usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-8-16,
for a premium of approximately $209.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Super Micro Tanks 19% After Failing to Provide Financial ResultsSuper Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) experienced a significant drop in its stock price after failing to provide any preliminary financial results. The data center computer specialist announced the date for its next quarterly earnings report, which is scheduled for release after the market close on April 30. However, unlike in recent quarters, SMCI did not offer an early look at its results. As a result, SMCI stock plunged below a key support level, flashing a huge sell signal.
NASDAQ:SMCI is based in San Jose, California, and is better known as Supermicro. The company has been the beneficiary of hyperscale cloud service providers investing in servers for artificial intelligence applications. SMCI stock was added to the S&P 500 last month.
In recent years, Super Micro has released preliminary results with the announcement of its quarterly earnings date, including the last two fiscal third quarters. However, this time, the company did not offer any early look at its results.
In morning trades on the stock market, SMCI stock's value dived 18% to 757.51. With this move, it gapped below its 50-day moving average line, a key support level, in above-average trading volume. SMCI stock had been holding to that level during the recent market turmoil. Super Micro stock is 19% below its 10-week moving average, which is a sell signal for a longtime winner even if it's just 2% below the 10-week line.
On Jan. 19, Super Micro shares skyrocketed 35.9% to close at 423.36 after the company disclosed preliminary results with its fiscal-Q2 earnings report date. That sparked a run that finally peaked at 1,229 on March 8.
Analysts are predicting Super Micro earnings of $5.84 a share on sales of $4.01 billion for the fiscal third quarter ended March 31. If this is accurate, it would translate to year-over-year growth of 258% in earnings and 212% in sales.
SMCI Has it topped?Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is about to complete a 10 straight green week streak if the 1W candle closes bullish today. This is a highly impressive feat that not only it hasn't done before but only a few stocks have managed to do historically. On the other hand, this may be a signal that yet again, SMCI is time to take a breather.
Why? First because it has completed a +417.86% price increase since the October 30 2023 Low, which is the exact % rise the stock did during its previous Bullish Leg from January 27 2023 to July 31 2023. At the same time, the 1W RSI is testing the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up that started in June 2018.
If rejected today, we expect the stock to correct by -35.55%, which might be significant, but nothing compared to the rise it has achieved. In fact as you can see on the chart, such % decline has been very common in the past 4 years. Amidst the correction, we expect it to make contact with the 1D MA100 (red trend-line). As long as the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holds as a Support, the long-term bullish trend is intact, and every such correction is a long-term buy opportunity.
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