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AMC To end March just shy of $6Looking at the rising tops & bottoms, and also seeing the news of Amazon considering buying AMC (again) as well as the most recent $3MM buy, somebody knows something and is willing to put some money on it. I'll help sell them their calls as high up as they're willing to go. MacD is overextended, and the end of the week is quickly approaching. There's also a historical level of resistance against the 5.50 line, which tends to make it hard to get past.
NYSE:AMCLong
by tankingtomawar
4
GME Headed for Double Bottom Reversal as Market SlidesRegardless of what /r/Superstonk says, GME is headed for a Technical Double Bottom, which will lead to a "go-up". There's a bunch of other factors (go read what Superstonk has to say) that are probably going to make this stock rocket, but technically it should go up at this point. We may see it play up to nearly 30$ by the end of May. At this price point of about 15, you can double your money in two months. Keep an eye on it. I personally just bought in I'm so confident.
NYSE:GMELong
by tankingtomawar
The next $GME Bull Run is hereTLDR: November 23 is the day where the first big mega candle appears. The runups happen every 90 days like clockwork for all meme stocks, but have a bigger impact on the 2-3 main meme stocks with the most options volume. In this case it's GME & Popcorn stock. Fundamentals don't matter here. This is purely market mechanics at work. Usually there's just 1 mega candle 2 days after the 3'rd Friday of February, May, August and November and then the strength of the runup slowly diminshes over the time period of 1-2 weeks where it eventually gets shorted down to a price slightly above it's previous trading average where it stays for another 90 days until this cycle repeats itself. Not going to go into the technical on why this happens here. It's a long subject on which i've written over 40 pages worth of a "thesis" on to explain on reddit. I'm just here to tell you that the next runup here here. The last chance to get calls is Nov 19 and possibly if we're lucky, on Nov 22. I've already gotten my calls for this runup early even against my own advice. Friday may be the last day before the next runup or it may be Monday. I've already gotten my own calls early on the off chance things pop-off early and i'm going to pay a lot of theta for it. Buying early just guarantees you getting low IV calls if that's what you're looking for. In any case, godspeed. This is not financial advice and nor am i a financial advisor. I'm just a guy here to tell you when the meme stocks & specifically GME are going to move. I'm not claiming the MOASS here, only a runup like what happens every 90 days. If the MOASS comes along with this cycle, all the better.
NYSE:GMELong
by leenixusu
6
An early gift for your Christmas Superstonk. Bullish to $290I love me some $GME. We've got some technical 'scallops' forming here. It's going to pop, but the intensity will depend on the 'catalyst narrative'. Typically, timeframes to hit targets for triangles is 1/3 the base forming (puts us at $290 w/in 80 calendar days. aka CHRISTMAS). Wait until $180 to buy on the pullback, or you could wait for the technical breakout (with volume). Buying stocks at the pullback you'd have a stop at $164.45, and a price target of $285, with a Risk/Reward of $15 loss V 110 gain = 7:1. Options will be a good play, but I'll wait for the technical breakout first, or see what the candles are doing on a breakdown. No matter what this is a buy in that red zone. I'm at the point in my career where I'm not interested in playing weekly or monthlies so I'd buy the January monthly $210C (for about $15). Good luck out there!
NYSE:GMELong
by TMoneyBidness
3
$GME - Next GME Bull Cycle is hereThe next GME bull cycle is here. Aug 24 - Sept 02 bull run, to unknown price range. Possible continuation until the 8'th of Sept. 9'th of September futures rollover we will either MOASS or drop down significantly as we did in March and June and wait until the next cycle and repeat. All in all, the general floor is increasing by $10-20 every cycle so if you held for a few years at a good price (let's say $150, you'd be golden). The ceiling for the other side of the trade is decreasing which is why i have doubts we'll touch $300's again. If we go beyond $260 in my opinion, that's margin call territory. On September 1, their margin requirements for SWAPS/Futures increase x 25 due to Phase 5 of UMR. That will put significant strain on "them" and perhaps deny them the ability to rollover the GME Swap Future position into the next quarter. Regardless they will take a loss on it and we will runup to 'some' price in the next 2-3 weeks. If the margin requirements are too hard on them which they should unless they are exempt, this should/could be marge calling, but regardlesst of that, there WILL be a runup, it's just a question of whether this is the one or not. If its not this one, it could be the next one. Buy & Hold www.reddit.com
NYSE:GMELong
by leenixusu
8
$GME - Alt T+21-35 cyclesHere's what i think the cycles really look like. I don't like it when people just arbitrarily pick a place and start counting equidistant T+21 and T+35 forever and call it "The Cycle". Instead i've gone ahead and arbitrarily picked my own dates and have drawn my own sort of equidistant T+21 and T+35's. Believe what you want in the end. I've come to the conclusion that this is what the cycle looks like and not exactly like how everyone else visualizing it. I've used option flow data to find anomalous option data and based some of these cycles on those, on the 2 ATM offerings, DFV's exercise as well as the 2 market buy ins that happened sometime in Feb/March. Tldr: I didn't pull these out of my arse. I'd love to sit and write my whole thesis here on how i've come up with this, but because i've in fact already written it elsewhere, i'm just going to link to there... www.reddit.com www.reddit.com I'd paste this content here but the format would break a lot so... if you wanna know how i come up with this stuff, just read those 2 links or whatever. Anyway i think that people are counting T+21 and T+35 from the wrong place and are also too adamant about things happening on exactly T+21 and T+35 where that shouldn't be people's expectation. The T+'s are deadlines. People should be expecting things to happen BEFORE a deadline, not exactly on the day of the deadline and that's the mistake everyone is making when trying to visualize T+21 and T+35. In reality, the cycles are much more dynamic than people are making them up to be. There's things like ATM offerings for more shares happening which just disrupt any existing cycles. For whatever reason, people aren't even taking these real life / fundamental things in consideration when counting T+21 and T+35. It's like doing raw technical analysis on a company you don't know, yes the technical analysis might show a bullish wedge, but you didn't consider the real life news that the company released saying they're going bankrupt... So yeah, if you don't factor these things in, you're just counting T+21 and T+35 from random meaningless points on a chart to other random meaningless points on the chart. My visualization of the cycles whilst looking complete, it's really not. There's a lot more micro cycles i would've loved to add, but the chart would be come too convoluted for anyone to understand. The idea however is that within the T+35's, there's also multiple T+21's ending. You can identify these by the Short at T+18 and cover at T+21 patterns all over the chart. You'll see a lot of random large downward daily spikes, then an equal spike 1-3 days later which is the net 0 short cover. The only reason they drop the price here is to kick the can with options by hiding FTD's in far OTM puts in the $0.5 - $5 range (and maybe in the $0.5 - $50 range) then proceed to cover their net 0 short a few days later. The behavior of the shorts is extremely visible on the chart, you just need to be able to identify their patterns correctly and i think i've for the most part done that.
NYSE:GMELong
by leenixusu
4
An Explanation of the Symmetrical Triangles and Price TargetsGME is currently in a pattern known as a symmetrical triangle in which, following a move (up or down), there is a battle between bears and bulls to establish dominance on the market. We'll focus on a symmetrical triangle that starts with a move up like GME , but the same applies to a move down, just vice versa. This is visualized on a chart as a move up followed by a series of lower highs and higher lows which form two converging trend lines that form a triangle shape. As far as market psychology goes, this represents a few things. You should know, three parties are usually considered in market psychology analysis of individual securities, but four parties are considered when there is an influx of people who were not previously involved in that market. I think in GME 's case we can say that there are four parties. Those parties can be identified as bulls, bears, undecided, and uninterested. The uninterested party becomes interested, and therefore accounted for in analysis, when there is a lot of attention surrounding a security. The move starts with a lot of volume (which is relative, but mostly can be based on the average volume over a long period) as a result of a shift or reversal in sentiment and newfound attention on that security. The bullish party increases their position as their bullish thesis is proven correct. The bearish party closes their positions (and may even reverse their position to bullish) once their bearish thesis has been proven wrong. The undecided party becomes decidedly bullish. And finally, the uninterested party becomes interested and bullish. Following the move up, buyers and sellers are going back and forth increasing and decreasing their entry and exit points which creates a series of peaks and troughs. At the first peak, where the triangle starts, there has been bullish sentiment because bears realized they were wrong and the stock is getting attention because of the price increase, so all parties have turned bullish. GME is a tricky case because there probably would have been continued bullish sentiment if there wasn't interference with the market, but even though the price action has been interfered with, the chart still paints a picture of market psychology for us - whether it's unprecedented or not. At some point, the stock will hit the bulls price target and they will start selling their shares for profit (and possibly reversing their position to bearish, but this is less likely in a market that's trending up). At this point, bears take over and start shorting again, bulls become dormant until they see another price they like, undecided parties may stay undecided or move with the trend, and uninterested parties are again no longer interested or are also moving with the trend. This process continues in a series of a total of 5 peaks and troughs (combined) to form a wave (this ties into Elliot Wave principles, but I'm not well versed in that yet). Each peak will be lower and each trough will be higher as buyers and sellers compete for dominance. In other words, moves up should have decidedly more volume than moves down in a symmetrical triangle, because all parties have turned bullish where the opposite is not true for moves down. The overall volume from the beginning to the end of the triangle should also decrease. Symmetrical triangles are intermediate patterns which means they typically last 1 to 3 months. In the event that the patterns continues past 3 months, if the volume profile is still indicative of a continuation, the breakout will likely be more significant. During this 1-3 month period, the breakout generally occurs between 2/3 and 3/4 of the overall length of the triangle starting from its beginning (the base) to the point where the trend lines converge (the apex). If there is no breakout by the time that 3/4 of the triangle has passed, the continuation pattern weakens and it becomes more likely that the sideways trading will continue. If there is a break out, it's generally on higher volume than the past 10 days and in what's known as a gap up, or an opening price one day that is much higher than the previous days closing price. There are a few types of gap ups, but we'll focus on breakaway gaps because that's what we're dealing with in this instance. A breakaway gap typically occurs when breaking through or out of a prominent support, resistance, or pattern. The breakaway gap indicates the start of a strong trending move, is typically a large gap, and the price tends to follow through in the gap direction over the next few weeks. In order to confirm a gap up, you want to see increased volume and you absolutely do not want to see that gap filled in the following days. We just had a gap up to break out of the symmetrical triangle in GME and we partially filled it, but have not filled it all the way. If the gap is filled it usually indicates prices will go lower. Now that we've broken out of the triangle, the upper resistance line will likely become a prominent support line. So if the breakaway gap is filled we can expect a bounce somewhere around $195. If it's not filled, we can expect to continue moving higher to the price targets set by the symmetrical triangle. There are a few way to set price targets, but two methods are most common. The first is to measure the height of the base of the triangle. Use that same height going up from the breakout point to determine a price target to be met by the apex of the triangle. The second method is to draw a line parallel to the triangle's support line. Your price target will be where that line ends at the apex of the triangle. The end of the symmetrical triangle is on 11 June and my two price targets are $588.87 and $634.24. I'll post the chart now so you can see that this is a nearly perfect symmetrical triangle continuation pattern that follows every single one of those parameters that I just explained. This is a very high accuracy pattern.
NYSE:GMELong
by EricIker
2
$GME - Next FTD Reset or Bleed DatesHi ya'll, By now i hope you all know what an FTD is and what an FTD Reset is and what the general cycle of these is. If not, that's too bad. Anyway here's some dates on which i personally expect GME FTDs to be reset or to be let to bleed out as price increases. Here's one of my few DD's explaining how i come to the conclusion for these dates amongst other things. I'd love to post these here but the format won't really paste well, so here's the link... www.reddit.com
NYSE:GMELong
by leenixusu
1
$GME - Is it go time? (Not a DD post)Hey all, Not a DD post as i think the rocket is on it's way up already, so what's the point right? I think we're in fact trading on Max Pain even though many people (including myself previously) are now convinced that we're not. I've collected my own Option Flow data and compiled it and realized that the max pain for the OI of the past 2 days is $290. For the price to drop significantly today there must have been new excessive call/put buys or actually contracts being closed due to the new OCC-003 coming to effect today which increases market makers collateral requirements for options. This would mean it would be much harder for them to keep kicking the can down the road using deep ITM puts and married puts. I speculated that there would be a sort of flash crash when wer'e near $300 on one of my reddit posts 1 day before the actual mini flash crash from $292 down to $260 happened. This assumption was based on the HUGELY uncommon amount of ITM puts at $300 purchased on the 23'rd of May for $61 million premium dated to expire in 2022 and 2023 January (lmao). My assumption was that somehow exercising these would flash crash GME, but i think that's completely wrong, i think what actually happened was that they dumped/closed those contracts yesterday with something like 95% loss which caused the other side of the trade (algo) to dump the shares it was hedged with and this was likely the reason behind the drop from $292 to $250 ish yesterday. Today 3'rd of June i assume the reason why we're a bit down is that because more contracts are being dumped due to OCC-003 coming into effect today EOD. If they don't dump them, it'll mean insta-margin call tomorrow, so they have to dump them or at least that's the assumption i'm making. By dumping those contracts they're severly affecting the Max Pain point between call / put open interest for GME which is likely the reason why we're moving so erratically. Jefferies has also restricted short sales on GME today which is quite funny because of it's timing with OCC-003's arrival today. It says a lot. I think the rocket is off and is only a few meters/feet off the ground right now. If these levels at $240-$250 hold and we bounce off upwards from here then that's fantastic news because the GME chart is likely to be fully vertical by the end of June as the price is moving up logarithmically right now and that's bloody insane. ~$250 is the bottom of this logarithmic/exponential curve. Let's see what happens, strap up, lay back and relax and prepare yourself for a generational wealth transfer. I'll be doing a DD write-up later on as i have too many theories on how they've been able to game the system for this long and how it's coming to an end for them due to the recently introduced new regulations under the SEC, FICC, DTC, OCC, NSCC etc. I've contacted the SEC in regards to the deletion of regulation SR-DTC-2021-005 and requested a FOIA update on it. This should get the wheels turning and questions asked on who deleted this 1 regulation that literally kills share rehypothecation.
NYSE:GMELong
by leenixusu
4
[STOCK] GameStop (GME) Cheat-SheetThis chart is basically saying that the price of the GameStop stock is still accumulating with decreasing volume on the NYSE. We see the price reacting to either the Support ($140.00) or the Resistance ($190.00). From a technical perspective, there is no advantage in trading within the pattern. You will have a great Risk/Reward ratio after the price breaking out of the structure. There are (obviously) two possible scenarios. The current sentiment is pointing towards a bullish scenario, which can be confirmed be looking at the MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence) and the RSI (Relative Strength Index). The average price is increasing while the price is going in a sideways movement. In this case, we see buyers being active on the market without being able to spot it in the first sight. For a proper breakout of the horizontal channel, we want to see increasing volume and a strong reaction at the support/resistance. This is my personal confirmation for loading more stocks. If the price moves past the $140.00 level, I will look for a lower entry around the $100 level. Feel free to check out my previous GME analysis as well
NYSE:GME
by Anton_XBT
8