Supertrend
Bitcoin using Supertrend to guide buy back. TF=2hr1.Sold off to 50% holding (marked roughly by red arrow
and blue cross) waiting for prices
to go south and touch the green superTrend
turning it red
2.THEN wait for further southward movement
of prices till it makes the superTrend into
redHorizontal at which time buy in at
lower prices (undetermined at moment, just eyeball it)
ps: guide to sell was takeProfit indicator TF=1hr
pps: this is my idea that I am using
blind stratsupertrend relaxed long short monitorOpen analysis only, no formal reccommendations, no investment signals.
please be aware that are incomplete analyzes, missing money management strategy like DCA, etc.
The idea is to investigate and evaluate returns beyond bear and high volatility trend through supertrend strategies.
No further details about this blind strategy, publishred as personal monitoring tool.
FM
WELCOME TO THE BITCOIN SUPERCYCLEDear Traders and Hopeaholics alike,
as the self-proclaimed President and Founder of HOPEAHOLICS ANONYMOUS (or HA for short), I gave you this chart...
Which has hit with the most EPIC precision! If I don't toot my own horn... who will do it... Let's hope the market doesn't humble me and continues to grow... HA HA yes, I can laugh at myself.
And I am about to tell you why I think we are only at the beginning...
One day... a long long time ago in a faraway land (Australia) there was a man who called himself Satoshi Nakamoto... now he invented Bitcoin, and gave it a limited supply, of 21million coins, to date about 18.5million have been mined... It is estimated one-third of those mined coins are forever out of circulation, being forgotten about, lost wallets or passwords... but cannot be accessed ever again... There is also increased mining difficulty.
This process has adapted overtime...
On launch, miners received 50 BTC
in 2012 it halved to 25 BTC
then 2016 again halving to 12.5 BTC
and last year on 11th May 2020 we are now down to a mere 6.25BTC (as of today's writing this that is approximately $300,000.00 USD)
Bitcoin's inflation rate is lowered effectively at the 4year mark, and the algorithmic math difficulty increased, making it harder for the computers to "guess" or "crack" 64-digit hexadecimal number (a "hash") this can take trillions of attempts. With this, mining difficulty increased, it is estimated the last BITCOIN may not be mined until 2140 long after we have all left this Earth or if the network no longer continues to exist.
Post 21 million coins mined - Bitcoin is designed to function as a closed market/economy, with transaction fees similar to taxes. At some stage for long-term survival, these fees will need to be capped or managed.
So where is all this going you may ask...
What Satoshi Nakamoto failed to take into consideration in this model, was SUPPLY AND DEMAND , in a closed market when demand is high and supply is limited, PRICE can increase in large increments, causing the price to rise in significant amounts in short periods. As we are seeing on the chart now.
Over the next few months more and more you will hear, the term SUPER CYCLE , which I explain here.
it is an Elliott Wave term that explains the strong demand and growth within a market in a short period of time.
Why BITCOIN is not a PONZI is the strong demand within the market currently, and with demand we achieve growth.
It is explained from an except www.britannica.com
Supply and demand, in economics, the relationship between the quantity of a commodity that producers wish to sell at various prices and the quantity that consumers wish to buy. It is the main model of price determination used in economic theory. The price of a commodity is determined by the interaction of supply and demand in a market. The resulting price is referred to as the equilibrium price and represents an agreement between producers and consumers of the good. In equilibrium, the quantity of a good supplied by producers equals the quantity demanded by consumers.
So in essence when the demand curve grows (the parabola is shown on the chart) the price grows with this, sometimes breaking away with increased high demand. These regions will always be tested (a correction) and then usually continue higher. It is only when this curve is broken the demand is waining that supply becomes abundent, hence causing the price to decrease.
In summary, as long as DEMAND is high and increasing, and Bitcoin SUPPLY which we know is fixed or limited, the price will continue to grow.
Again a more serious post from me, just alerting you to the fact CRYPTOCURRENCY is here to stay, and this is only the beginning!
**********************************************
When trading, always know you are in control 100% as you are pushing the buttons, and it is YOUR money/cryptocurrency you are trading. BUT let me tell you this... at HOPEAHOLICS ANONYMOUS and in my world... ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE!!!
SHOOT FOR THE MOON - EVEN IF YOU MISS YOU'LL LAND AMONG THE STARS, BUT AT THIS STAGE I AGREE WITH ELON AND THINK WE ARE ALL HEADED TO MARS!!!
**********************************************
If you are unsure of direction or feel you are over trading I have a moto. IF IN DOUBT SIT IT OUT! There is no shame in not being in a trade. Stick to your game plan, wait for a set up to be confirmed, and ONLY take a trade if it all aligns.
So please I welcome your comments and CONSTRUCTIVE FEEDBACK - ALL HATERS WILL BE FLAGGED AND REPORTED!
And remember, there is NO RIGHT OR WRONG in trading - just money management!
REMEMBER IF YOU ARE PRACTICING SAFE... TRADING ALWAYS USE PROTECTION
(minimize your risk, use a stop loss. Especially in Margin Trades) ALWAYS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
<3 Lisa
DISCLAIMER:
The Legal stuff - I'm not a financial adviser. Just a few quick thoughts - remember you sit at your computer, you push the buttons...
PS make sure you give me a like, that way you get updates as I post them.... :) <3
IS CRYPTOCURRENCY & BITCOIN ENTERING A SUPER CYCLE?Dear Traders and Hopeaholics alike,
It seems I am having the last laugh with my charts hitting targets, and it is now time to update my long term predictions, so as the self-proclaimed president of HOPE-A-HOLICS ANONYMOUS (HA for short) I give you the TOTAL CRYPTO MARKET CAP SUPER CYCLE!!!
Before I hear you shouting HA HA HA, and I do appreciate your support :) Hear me out...
WHAT IS A SUPER CYCLE?
As many of you know, I am an ELLIOT WAVE ANALYST, and I have adapted this successfully for cryptocurrency, which moves in highly volatile movements, sometimes not following the rules exactly, but what we do know is that my system works, as I have shown. Wave measurements hit pivot points, allowing the analyst to know the direction, or eliminate potential wave movements as targets confirm.
AND CONFIRM IS WHAT THESE PATTERNS HAVE DONE!!!
After charting the #CRYPTOTOTALMARKETCAP for some time, I decided to strip it back and start counting the waves and subwaves of subwaves and DUN DUN (insert Law & Order sounds) and this is what I've found...
In the book by Ralph Nelson Elliott, he describes this wave formation as a SUPERCYCLE or a GRAND SUPERCYCLE.
The Grand Supercycle is the longest period, or wave, in the growth of a financial market as described by the Elliott wave principle. Like all Elliott waves, Grand Supercycle waves are subdivided into smaller generations of waves. The next smaller generation of waves are those of Supercycle degree. Modern applications of the Wave Principle also describe waves of larger degree spanning larger periods of time. In this case after a BEAR MARKET 2-4years. With this in mind, we are almost one year into this cycle which commenced in March 2020 with the bottom forming in BITCOIN at this point.
AND IF YOU DOUBT ELLIOTT WAVE WORKS IN CRYPTO... CLICK THE PLAY BUTTON ON THIS CHART
In the chart above I quote
THE TECHNICAL STUFF
Taking current ATH as WAVE 1 - we have a complete ABC corrective structure and currently in WAVE 3 - Potential high $27,000 and as much as $32,000 with some added FOMO. This chart is a 12month chart showing greater movement and showing GRAND SUPER CYCLE IN ELLIOTT WAVE .
While it is still very possible that this could be the top, looking at the volume entering the market here on this TOTAL CRYPTO MARKET CAP CHART and confirmation of TECHNICAL PIVOT to take us higher, BITCOIN AND THE ALTCOIN MARKETS are about to go into wave extensions taking us into the GRAND SUPER CYCLE!!!!
RSI shows in the previous cryptocurrency bullrun we can stay in this region for extended periods of time, previously 2 years, and being as this is the 3rd wave, it is likely for this period to be the same if not longer.
It seems this is one of my more serious posts, just alerting you to the fact CRYPTOCURRENCY is here to stay, and this is only the beginning!
**********************************************
When trading, always know you are in control 100% as you are pushing the buttons, and it is YOUR money/cryptocurrency you are trading. BUT let me tell you this... at HOPEAHOLICS ANONYMOUS and in my world... ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE!!!
SHOOT FOR THE MOON - EVEN IF YOU MISS YOU'LL LAND AMONG THE STARS, BUT AT THIS STAGE I AGREE WITH ELON AND THINK WE ARE ALL HEADED TO MARS!!!
**********************************************
If you are unsure of direction or feel you are over trading I have a moto. IF IN DOUBT SIT IT OUT! There is no shame in not being in a trade. Stick to your game plan, wait for a set up to be confirmed, and ONLY take a trade if it all aligns.
So please I welcome your comments and CONSTRUCTIVE FEEDBACK - ALL HATERS WILL BE FLAGGED AND REPORTED!
And remember, there is NO RIGHT OR WRONG in trading - just money management!
REMEMBER IF YOU ARE PRACTICING SAFE... TRADING ALWAYS USE PROTECTION
(minimize your risk, use a stop loss. Especially in Margin Trades) ALWAYS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
<3 Lisa
DISCLAIMER:
The Legal stuff - I'm not a financial adviser. Just a few quick thoughts - remember you sit at your computer, you push the buttons...
PS make sure you give me a like, that way you get updates as I post them.... :) <3
NZD/USD skyrockets towards the targetsIt's a daily chart of NZD/USD. From the 19th of March 2020, it started to rise and still moving upward. For an easy understanding of the trend, I have applied the DMI and SuperTrend.
Let's take a look at indicators,
DI+ is above DI- that means the trend will continue to move upside. ADX is greater than 25, which also indicates the upside movement.
Now talking about the trend,
At present, the trend is moving upward, and it's marching towards the targets, which are 0.7160 - 0.7260 . But if the trend crosses the control price and successfully makes consecutive candles, then targets for the fall will be 0.6900 - 0.6800 .
SPX short term weakness. Target 3455.A short signal has been issued on 191120 at 3559. The target is on the Kijun line of the Daily charts at 3455.
A break below 3455 will test 3399.
A break above 3576 will test 3674.
The SPX is bullish on LT/MT and facing short term correction in the very short term.
Watch for price action within the 4hr cloud to be ranging and volatile. A clear break below the SSSB line must take place for 3455/3399 to materialize.