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Supply_and_demand

NAS100USD: Bearish Setup Builds as Price Retests Key Supply ZoneGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we continue to observe bearish institutional order flow, and as such, our objective is to align our trading opportunities with this directional bias. Key Observations: 1. Bearish Break of Structure and Retracement: Following a clear bearish break of structure, price has retraced into a mitigation block. This zone represents an area where institutional buying previously occurred. As price trades back into it, institutions often mitigate those earlier positions and reintroduce sell-side interest—offering us an opportunity to follow their lead. 2. Confluence at the Mitigation Block: The mitigation block is further reinforced by the presence of a bearish order block, adding strength to the resistance zone. This alignment suggests the area may serve as a high-probability reversal point for bearish continuation. Liquidity Sweep Scenario: There remains a possibility that price may take out nearby buy-side liquidity (buy stops) before continuing downward. If this occurs, we will wait for confirmation before entering short positions, maintaining alignment with the overall bearish narrative. Trading Plan: Upon confirmation of rejection at the mitigation zone, we will seek to engage in short setups targeting liquidity pools in discount pricing zones. Remain patient, disciplined, and ensure each trade aligns with your strategy. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
1
AUDJPY at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 92.850?OANDA:AUDJPY is approaching a key resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move. If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 92.850 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction. Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management. Best of luck!
Short
by TrendDiva
47
CHFJPY - Sell Setup at Key Resistance LevelOANDA:CHFJPY has reached a significant resistance zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong selling pressure. This level has historically acted as a key supply area, increasing the likelihood of a bearish bounce if sellers regain control. With the price now testing this resistance, I anticipate a potential downward move toward the 172.650 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. Traders should watch for confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or rejection wicks, to validate the potential for a reversal. Do you agree with this analysis? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by DanieIM
52
NZDCAD at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 0.81608?OANDA:NZDCAD is approaching a key resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. This zone also aligns with prior supply areas where sellers have stepped in, making it a potential point of interest for those looking for short opportunities. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move. If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 0.81608 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction. Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management. Best of luck!
Short
by TrendDiva
47
XAUUSD/GOLD | 4H | SWING TRADEHey There, Guys, I advise you to just wait for the breakout in gold. This is swing trading. I am just waiting for a breakout; if this breakout is to the downside, the target will be at least 3.215 level. I hope this matches your desired tone. Don't forget to click the like button at the bottom of this post to stay up to date with the latest changes! Dear friends, your likes are always the biggest motivation for me to share my analysis. Therefore, I would like to ask each and every one of my followers; please keep your likes coming. I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes.
FX:XAUUSD
by TraderTilki
No Bottom Yet: Gold’s Technical Targets Point LowerSince Monday, I’ve been saying that Gold hasn’t finished correcting, and the price action is now confirming that view. The drop continued with breaks below two key levels: the 3300 figure and the 3270 support, which was the recent low. After some sideways action (a bit of a limbo), we finally got the clean breakdown. At the time of writing, price sits at 3248, having just bounced slightly from the 3240 support, which aligns with mid-April’s ATH. Now comes the big question: Is Gold done correcting? In my opinion, not yet – and here’s why: Technical reasons for further downside: 1. The break below 3270 is significant and opens the door to deeper correction. 2. We now have two measured targets: 📉 Measured range target: ~1000 pips → puts price below 3200. 📉 First leg down: ~2500 pips → could push price closer to the 3000 zone. Trading Plan: The strategy remains unchanged: sell the rallies. As long as price stays below 3270-3290 zone, downside continuation is the base case. A move towards at least 3200 looks very probable – and deeper levels can't be ruled out. Don’t rush to call a bottom – let the market show when the correction is really done. Until then, the bias stays bearish. 🚀 P.S: Expect great volatility to remain Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Buy Fear, Not Euphoria: The Trader's EdgeWhen you look back at the greatest trading opportunities in history, they all seem to share a common element: fear. Yet, when you're in the moment, it feels almost impossible to pull the trigger. Why? Because fear paralyzes, while euphoria seduces. If you want to truly evolve as a trader, you need to master this fundamental shift: buy fear, not euphoria. Let's break it down together. ________________________________________ What Fear and Euphoria Really Mean in Markets In simple terms, fear shows up when prices are falling sharply, when bad news dominates the headlines, and when people around you are saying "it's all over." Euphoria, on the other hand, is everywhere when prices are skyrocketing, when everyone on social media is celebrating, and when it feels like "this can only go higher." In those moments: • Fear tells you to run away. • Euphoria tells you to throw caution to the wind. Both emotions are signals. But they are inverted signals. When fear is extreme, value appears. When euphoria is extreme, danger hides. ________________________________________ Why Buying Fear Works Markets are pricing machines. They constantly adjust prices based on emotions, news, and expectations. When fear hits, selling pressure often goes beyond what is rational. People dump assets for emotional reasons, not fundamental ones. Here’s why buying fear works: • Overreaction: Bad news usually causes exaggerated moves. • Liquidity Vacuums: Everyone sells, no one buys, creating sharp discounts. • Reversion to Mean: Extreme moves tend to revert once emotions stabilize. Buying into fear is not about being reckless. It’s about recognizing that the best deals are available when others are too scared to see them. ________________________________________ Why Chasing Euphoria Fails At the peak of euphoria, risks are often invisible to the crowd. Valuations are stretched. Expectations are unrealistic. Everyone "knows" it's going higher — which ironically means there's no one left to buy. Chasing euphoria often leads to: • Buying high, selling low. • Getting trapped at tops. • Emotional regret and revenge trading. You’re not just buying an asset — you're buying into a mass illusion. ________________________________________ How to Train Yourself to Buy Fear It's not enough to "know" this. In the heat of the moment, you will still feel the fear. Here's how you build the right habit: 1. Pre-plan your entries: Before panic strikes, have a plan. Know where you want to buy. 2. Focus on strong assets: Not everything that falls is worth buying. Choose assets with strong fundamentals or clear technical setups. 3. Scale in: Don’t try to catch the bottom perfectly. Build positions gradually as fear peaks. 4. Use alerts, not emotions: Set price alerts. When they trigger, act mechanically. 5. Remember past patterns: Study previous fear-driven crashes. See how they recovered over time. Trading is a game of memory. The more you internalize past patterns, the easier it is to act when everyone else panics. ________________________________________ A Recent Example: April 2025 Tariff Panic Very recently, at the start of April, Trump’s new tariff announcements sent shockwaves through the market. Panic took over. Headlines screamed. Social media was flooded with fear. But if you looked beyond the noise, charts like SP500 and US30 told a different story: the drops took price right into strong support zones. At the time, I even posted this : support zones were being tested under emotional pressure. If you had price alerts set and reacted mechanically, not emotionally , you could have bought into that fear — and potentially benefited from the rebound that followed just days later. This is the essence of buying fear. ________________________________________ Final Thoughts In trading, you are paid for doing the hard things. Buying when it feels terrible. Selling when it feels amazing. Remember: Fear offers you discounts. Euphoria offers you traps. The next time the market feels like it's crashing, ask yourself: • Is this fear real, or exaggerated? • Is this an opportunity hiding under an emotional fog? If you can answer that with clarity, you're already ahead of 90% of traders. Stay rational. Stay prepared. And above all: buy fear, not euphoria. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:US500Education
by Mihai_Iacob
USDCHF | 15M | Needs to break for uptrendHey there my friend; I’ve prepared my analysis of USD/CHF for you. For USD/CHF to move into an upward trend, it needs to break out of the parallel channel. Once it breaks out of the parallel channel, I’ll share the target levels with you. Dear friends, your likes are always my biggest source of motivation for me to share analysis. For this reason, I would like to ask each and every one of my followers; please do not miss your likes. I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes.
by TraderTilki
XRP / RIPPLE | 30M | IMPORTANT LEVELSFriends, I valued your requests and prepared the following Ripple analysis: If Ripple drops below the level of 2.1807 for 30 minutes, the target will be the 2.1424 level. This level holds a very significant support zone. The most critical support level is located at 2.1085. If Ripple does not fall below this support zone, my target level for Ripple will be 2.2495. Please don't forget to like. Thank you to everyone who supports with likes.
by TraderTilki
AUDNZD at Key Support Level: Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:AUDNZD has reached a major support level, marked by prior price rejections and strong buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if buyers step in again. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support level, there is a high probability of an upward move. I anticipate that, if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 1.07940 level, which serves as a logical target within the current structure. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further downside. This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by DanieIM
37
INTEL DROP --- FIELD COMM LOG #02242025🪖 WAR ROOM DISPATCH — FIELD REPORT FROM CAMP JARVIS & CAMP LIVERMORE Date: 4/24/2025 Status: STANDBY Volume: Normal Current Order: HOLD ⚔️ SUMMARY OF ENGAGEMENTS – LAST 30 DAYS The battlefield has been blood-red. Abnormal reactions litter the map. Morale was tested—but our troops never broke. The Red Army pushed hard, exploiting weakness, creating chaos. Yet we held. 📍Camp Jarvis Coordinates: 115.10 ☑️ Status: HOLD 📈 Trend: UPTREND 📊 ATR: Tightening (3.39) 🟩 Zone: Top of box: 115.10 | Bottom: 86.62 📢 Latest: “We’re nearing breakout. Position secure. Scouting volume now.” Jarvis is seeing a shift—momentum is whispering beneath the soil. There's life stirring. But RSI is low (sub-45). This isn't the time for heroes—it’s a time for patience. Let the weak exhaust themselves. 📍Camp Livermore Position: Natural Reaction Zone ☑️ Status: HOLD 📉 Trend: Weak uptrend but too early to act 🔄 Recent movement: Mixed signals, sporadic action, no confirmation. Livermore's forces are strong in discipline, but not yet in numbers. They report: “Volume’s stable, but not convincing. We’ll move when the field confirms it—not before.” 📛 INTEL WARNING The maps are clear—we are not in breakout yet. There’s a false calm in the air. Do NOT chase. Do NOT preempt. This is how armies get slaughtered in the fog. 💡 Key Quote from Command: “The Red Army still has strength. We’re holding—but holding isn’t winning. We wait for the flinch. The break. The rally cry. That’s when we move.” 🎖️ Current Position: HOLD 🛡️ Camp Jarvis: Monitoring breakout zone 🧭 Camp Livermore: Awaiting troop confirmation 📉 RSI low, Trend early 🔕 No All-Signal-Go confirmed 🚨 Mixed Signals = DO NOT ADVANCE The war is not over. But neither are we.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by dburgos0127
1
NZDCAD Discretionary Analysis: Bounce at 0.83Hello traders and happy Easter Monday! I'm expecting a bounce on NZDCAD. I'm interested in this 0.83 zone. It might turn into a strong bounce point. If the signs are there, I'm jumping in with a short. Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure. There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you. At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
Short
by davidavasalcai
43
EURCAD Approaching Major Resistance - Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURCAD is approaching a key resistance level, marked by significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reaction if sellers step in again. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance level, there is a high probability of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 1.57500 level, which serves as a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside. This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by DanieIM
48
NAS100 - Will the stock market go bullish?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, one can look for the next Nasdaq long positions with a good risk-reward ratio. Economists remain divided over whether President Donald Trump’s tariff policies are weakening the economy enough to trigger a recession. Some believe the possibility of a recession is significant, citing the rising costs of tariffs that are burdening both businesses and consumers. Others argue that the U.S. economy is strong enough to weather the trade war without falling into recession, pointing to resilient employment levels and consumer spending. Forecasting experts also express differing views regarding the risk that Trump’s tariff campaign could tip the economy into a downturn. A Wall Street Journal survey conducted in April among 57 economists revealed that, on average, participants estimated a 45% chance of a recession occurring within the next 12 months—up from just 20% in the January survey. The economic outlook took a notable downturn in February, when Trump began announcing tariffs against key U.S. trading partners. Many forecasters, who had expected a “soft landing” from post-pandemic inflation, are now preparing for a possible recession, as these tariffs and other economic barriers are forcing both households and businesses to tighten spending. A separate survey of financial professionals working with businesses found that many companies have recently faced greater difficulty in collecting payments from clients, indicating growing financial strain among key economic players. The Credit Managers’ Index, overseen by the National Association of Credit Management and monitored by economist Chris Kuehl, still showed growth in March, though at a slower pace than before. On the more optimistic side is Allen Sinai from Decision Economics, who assigns only a 20% probability to a recession within the next year. Although this is an increase from his January estimate of 10%, he still considers it an unlikely scenario. Sinai’s primary reason for optimism is the strength of the labor market, which has remained stable since recovering from the massive layoffs during the COVID-19 lockdowns. March’s unemployment rate was 4.2%—close to historic lows—and not indicative of an economy in recession. One major point of disagreement between recession pessimists and optimists lies in the interpretation of consumer sentiment data. Surveys have shown that people are increasingly worried about inflation, the job market, and their personal finances. If such concerns lead to more cautious consumer spending, it could weigh heavily on the overall economy. The upcoming week is expected to begin quietly in terms of economic data releases, particularly due to global markets being closed on Monday in observance of Easter. However, midweek brings key reports that could significantly influence market expectations. On Wednesday, the preliminary S&P Global composite purchasing managers’ index for April and March new home sales figures are due. Thursday will feature a packed slate of indicators, including durable goods orders, jobless claims, existing home sales, and the final reading of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index. Alongside the data releases, investors will closely monitor remarks from Federal Reserve officials. Following Jerome Powell’s firm stance last week, upcoming speeches by Kashkari, Goolsbee, and Harker could shape or reinforce market expectations regarding the Fed’s future policy path. Meanwhile, Apple is grappling with mounting challenges in the global marketplace. In China, the company has lost a significant portion of its market share, with sales declining by 9%, while Huawei’s sales have grown by 10%, and Xiaomi now holds the top spot with an 18.6% market share. These shifts reflect a notable pivot in Chinese consumer preferences toward domestic brands. Furthermore, U.S.-imposed tariffs on Chinese goods have put additional pressure on Apple’s profit margins in its home market, placing the company in a tough position.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
USDCHF Discretionary Analysis: Bounce at 0.85Hello traders. I'm anticipating the momentum on USDCHF to carry on. Got my eyes locked on the 0.85 area. It might turn into a strong bounce point. If the signs are there, I'm jumping in with a short. Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure. There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you. At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
Short
by davidavasalcai
44
GBPUSD Discretionary Analysis: Bounce at 1.33Hello traders. On GBPUSD, I'm watching this 1.33 zone closely. It's where I'll be looking for a reaction. It can be a solid bounce spot if it shows signs. Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure. There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you. At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
Short
by davidavasalcai
29