Sell NZD/CAD Triangle BreakoutThe NZD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.8240
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.8210
2nd Support – 0.8195
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Supply_and_demand
Buy AUD/JPY Bullish ChannelThe AUD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 101.04, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 101.94
2nd Support – 102.54
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Nov.12-Nov.18(BTC)Weekly market recapAs the cryptocurrency market continues to expand, several factors will influence the sustainability of the current upward trend.
Firstly, the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is crucial. If inflation resurges and leads to a tightening of monetary policy, it could pose a significant obstacle to market gains. Additionally, the implementation of specific policies by the Trump administration, including the establishment of regulatory frameworks and strategic reserves, will also play a vital role.
Moreover, the ongoing participation of institutional investors is a key factor, as their capital flows often have a substantial impact on market trends. Currently, the cumulative net inflow for BTC ETFs stands at $27.714 billion, while ETH ETFs have seen a net inflow of $139 million.
It is noteworthy that since August 5 of this year, Tether has minted over $7 billion USDT on the Ethereum blockchain. Changes in the supply of stablecoins have become an important market indicator; an increase in stablecoin supply not only reflects market confidence in cryptocurrencies but also provides potential support for subsequent price increases.
Last week, BTC exhibited a volatile trend, with significant price fluctuations. The WTA indicator shows the appearance of blue bars representing whales, indicating the presence of large capital. The purple wave area on the ME indicator is widening, suggesting a strengthening bullish sentiment.
In summary, we believe BTC may experience an upward movement this week, but caution is warranted regarding price volatility risks. We have adjusted the resistance level to $95,000 and the support level to $85,000.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
Nov.12-Nov.18(ETH)Weekly market recapAs the cryptocurrency market continues to expand, several factors will influence the sustainability of the current upward trend.
Firstly, the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is crucial. If inflation resurges and leads to a tightening of monetary policy, it could pose a significant obstacle to market gains. Additionally, the implementation of specific policies by the Trump administration, including the establishment of regulatory frameworks and strategic reserves, will also play a vital role.
Moreover, the ongoing participation of institutional investors is a key factor, as their capital flows often have a substantial impact on market trends. Currently, the cumulative net inflow for BTC ETFs stands at $27.714 billion, while ETH ETFs have seen a net inflow of $139 million.
It is noteworthy that since August 5 of this year, Tether has minted over $7 billion USDT on the Ethereum blockchain. Changes in the supply of stablecoins have become an important market indicator; an increase in stablecoin supply not only reflects market confidence in cryptocurrencies but also provides potential support for subsequent price increases.
After retreating to around $3,000 last week, ETH has been experiencing fluctuations. The blue bars of the WTA indicator, which represent whale activity, are still present. The orange wave area of the ME indicator has shifted to purple, indicating a strengthening of bullish sentiment.
In summary, we believe that ETH may rise this week, but it is essential to remain cautious of price volatility risks. We maintain a resistance level at $3,400 and a support level at $3,000.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
XAGUSD. Trading opportunityHello traders and investors!
On the hourly timeframe, it's a long trend. In the last impulse, the key bar is in the middle at the 50% level of the impulse (!).
Locally, you can look for buying opportunities from the buyer’s defense of the 31.272–31.2 range. It’s better to set close targets, like the local high, or trail the trade. The buyer may be able to reach 32.16.
On the daily timeframe, the seller's vector 9-10 within the range is still relevant.
Good luck with your trading and investments!
Alikze »» FTM | Wave 3 or C super cycle scenario - 2D🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C super cycle scenario - 2D
- In the analysis presented in the previous post in the weekly time frame, it was mentioned: it is suspicious of a head and shoulders pattern.
- So far, according to the previous analysis, the first target (supply zone) has been touched and it is currently above the target zone.
- In the analysis presented in the 4-hour time frame, it had a zigzag pattern, which is in wave one of three.
- In the daily time frame, it is located in an ascending channel, the previous corrective wave was able to form a reversal pattern in the range of 0.23 fibo.
- Therefore, I expect that it will face demand in the Buyer Zone and continue its growth with the failure of the middle of the channel up to the ceiling of the ascending channel.
In addition, after breaking the ascending channel, it will have the ability to reach the red box area (supply area).
So this bullish wave is wave 3 or big C, which will have the ability to grow up to the indicated ranges.
💎 Alternative scenario: If the Buyer Zone is broken and stabilizes below it, it can touch the 0.23 Fibo range again.
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OKX:FTMUSDT
DXY. When to Expect a Weak Dollar?Hello traders and investors!
At the end of September and the beginning of October, I analyzed AUDUSD and EURUSD, where the technical picture predicted a decline in these currencies against the dollar. You can find these posts in related ideas. There were discussions with colleagues about how many countries' economies need a weaker dollar. I wouldn’t mind profiting from a dollar decline either, but a month and a half ago, there were no signs of a DXY drop. Let's take a look at what the chart suggests and when this might happen.
Weekly Timeframe
A sideways range formed on the weekly chart in March 2023 (point 4 was established). The lower boundary is 99.099, and the upper boundary is 106.952. The buyer's vector 11-12 has reached its obligatory target — the price level of point 10 within the range (106.169). This means we can start watching for seller activity on the weekly timeframe. If the sellers show up, the seller's vector 12-13 becomes relevant, with potential targets of 99.807 and 99.099.
Note that the key bar (with the highest volume) of the buyer’s vector 11-12 is the bar from November 4.
Daily Timeframe
There’s a long trend on the daily chart. The last buyer's impulse ranges from 103.86 to 106.734. The key bar of the impulse (highest volume) is the bar from November 14.
Hourly Timeframe
On the hourly chart, a sideways range has formed. The lower boundary is 106.037, and the upper boundary is 106.734. The current buyer's vector 8-9 has potential targets of 106.681 and 106.734. From there, it's not far to 106.952 (the upper boundary of the weekly range).
Summary
The price has approached levels on the weekly TF where a reversal may begin. For now, there are no signs of a reversal on the weekly and daily TF. We need to see signs of seller activity on the weekly chart to look for short positions with the goal of realizing the seller's vector 12-13 in the weekly range.
You can look for long or short positions on the hourly chart by trading within the range from boundary to boundary (if the boundary holds).
Until the DXY reverses, looking for long positions in other currencies against the dollar is risky.
Good luck with your trading and investments!
Alikze »» SOL | wave 3 out of 5 bullish scenario - 8H🔍 Technical analysis: The second bullish channel - wave 3 out of 5 bullish scenario
- According to the analysis presented by Solana in the previous post , the targets specified in the ceiling of the channel (the range of the first red box) were touched.
- It has now entered the second bullish channel with the break of the red box, which can continue with a pullback to the broken structure of this movement cycle.
- Therefore, according to the upward trend and the continuation of Solana's movement cycle, which is in wave 3 out of 5, the targets specified in the chart are within reach of the upward trend of Solana's currency.
💎 Objectives: The middle of the second ascending channel and then the ceiling of the channel and the specified supply area will be.
It is currently in wave 3 out of 5, which can crown the mentioned targets.
⚠️ In addition: if the Invalidation LVL area is updated and touched, the continuation of the upward scenario will be invalidated and must be checked and updated again.⚠️
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BINANCE:SOLUSDT
Alikze »» TRX | Wave 3 or C bullish scenarioIn time 2W, after an ascending wave and a double correction at the bottom of the channel, after successfully exiting the concentration, it is moving towards the specified targets. This upward wave is due to the structure in wave 3, whose micro waves will be presented in the next updates. But this upward move will have the ability to reach at least $0.58 and $1.2 in the long term. If no candlestick penetrates below 0.5177, this analysis will be valid for the specified purposes.
🟩Sup:0.097
⛳️Tp 1:0.177
⛳️ Tp2 : 0.58413
⛳️ Tp3 :1.23008
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Alikze »» EDU | Descending channel🔍 Technical analysis: Descending channel
- It is moving in a descending channel in the 8H time frame.
- At the bottom of the channel, a strong buying pressure candle has been encountered.
- Currently, we have to wait for the failure of the supply zone to exit the downward channel.
- If the supply zone breaks, it can have the targets of 0.9769 and 1.1719.
💎 Alternative scenario: In addition, if it encounters selling in the middle of the channel and below the supply range, it can retest the bottom of the channel. The first target of the downtrend will be the 0.39 range.
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Gold Update (Elliott Wave Analysis)Gold’s been in a downtrend since late October, wrapping up Elliot Wave 5.
But here’s the kicker: on the 4H chart, we’re spotting a possible inverse Elliot wave cycle. 📉
We’re nearing the end of this correction phase and gearing up for a bullish breakout! 🚀 Currently, we’re trading in a robust Daily demand zone, eyeing a reversal that could kickstart a fresh Elliot cycle. Targeting the supply zone at $2762-$2790. 📈
Plan: Enter at the end of Wave 2 to ride Wave 3 and hold until Wave 5 wraps up, with a trailing stop loss to lock in those gains. 🤑
Get ready to ride the wave! 🌊💰
BTCUSDT. Daily and Hourly Timeframe AnalysisHello traders and investors!
Let’s see where to expect a buyer's resumption.
Daily Timeframe
On the daily TF, the upward movement has significantly slowed down. The last buyer's impulse consists of just one bar and only slightly exceeded the previous all-time high. The bar itself has decreasing volume, indicating a lack of interest from both buyers and sellers at these price levels. The starting level of the last buyer's impulse is 85,072. A period of sideways movement might be ahead.
It is advisable to look for buying opportunities from the buyer’s defense of the last impulse starting level at 85,072.
Hourly Timeframe
On the hourly TF, a range has formed. The lower boundary is 85,072, and the upper boundary is 89,940. The seller’s vector 7-8 is currently relevant, with a potential target of 86,128.
It is advisable to look for buying opportunities from the buyer’s defense of 86,128 or 85,072, aiming to realize the buyer’s vector 8-9 (with potential targets at 89,940, 91,790, and 93,265). The 85,072 level is more important as it is also a daily level.
Good luck with your trading and investments!
Sell XAU/USD (Gold) Bearish ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2560, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2524
2nd Support – 2501
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XAUUSD. Daily and Hourly timeframes analysisHello traders and investors!
Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily timeframe, there is a short (downward) trend. The price has corrected to the 50% level of the last buyer's impulse on the monthly TF at 2538.5. There have been three consecutive daily bars with increasing volume. The last bar shows a large selling wick, which began after the price interacted with the 2538.5 level. And for today, this is the key bar of the seller's impulse in the forming new impulse. The level marking the start of the last seller's impulse on the daily TF is 2710.52.
At the 50% level of the last buyer's impulse on the monthly TF, we can expect the formation of reversal patterns.
The current priority is selling. Selling opportunities can be considered from the seller’s defense at 2581 and 2589.
Hourly Timeframe Analysis
On the hourly TF, aggressive buying can be considered from the buyer’s defense at 2559.89. The key bar (highest volume, "KC" on the chart) of the buyer's impulse is exactly at the 50% level of the impulse. Additionally, a buyer's zone has formed at the base of the impulse (green rectangle on the chart). However, it’s better to set nearby targets. A similar situation occurred recently with silver, where after reaching the nearest target for long positions, the price reversed and updated local lows.
For conservative purchases, there is no context yet. Ideally, the price should return above 2604.39, and then look for a pattern for buying.
The previous detailed analysis is available in the related post.
Good luck with your trading and investments!
Buy NZD/JPY Descending Triangle The NZD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 91.65
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 92.11
2nd Resistance – 92.34
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
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NAS100USD / UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Action:
The price is currently close to the ATH at 21,250,As long as it remains below this level, it is expected to decline further.
Expected Decline:
If the price does not break above the ATH, it may drop towards a “Fair Value Gap” (FVG) between 20,482 and 20,324, which may represent a target or support zone.
Upward Scenario:
If the price breaks above the ATH, specifically by closing a 4-hour (4H) candle above 21,250, it could indicate a bullish momentum, potentially leading to a new ATH around 21,381.
Overall Sentiment:
The overall outlook is bearish if the price remains below the ATH, suggesting that trading pressure is downward until there’s a clear breakout.
US30 / UNDER CPI PRESSURE / 4HUS30 /4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The analysis begins by noting a profitable decline of 590 pips, indicating that the asset has experienced a significant downward movement recently, which has been profitable for traders taking short positions.
The price is approaching an FVG zone between 43,381 and 42,984. A Fair Value Gap typically represents an area where the price may experience consolidation, or a period of sideways movement, before it makes a decision to either move higher or lower.
If consolidation occurs within the FVG, the price may rise toward a supply zone (44,252 to 44,532), which suggests a resistance area where selling pressure could occur, preventing the price from moving higher.
The analysis highlights a bearish sentiment, meaning the overall expectation is for the price to continue moving downward unless there is a breakout above the supply zone , If the price fails to stabilize above the FVG, further decline is expected. The target for this decline is a support zone between 42,716 and 42,335, where buyers might enter, potentially halting the downward move.
The downward pressure is noted as the dominant force unless the price manages to break above the supply zone ,Traders will need to watch whether the asset stabilizes within the FVG, as this will determine whether the bearish trend continues or a reversal occurs.
XAUUSD / TRYING TO REACH NEXT DEMAND ZONE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Demand Zone and Initial Price Decline, After a recent decline, gold prices have reached a demand zone, providing an opportunity for a 600-pip profit. A demand zone is a price range where buying interest typically increases, suggesting potential support.
Current Price Movement ,Gold is now aiming for a new demand zone between $2,527 and $2,500. As long as prices stabilize above this zone, there’s potential for an upward push towards higher levels.
Potential Price Levels , Next Supply Zone: Between $2,606 and $2,618. If gold reaches this range, selling pressure could increase, potentially slowing or reversing the uptrend.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) Area, Between $2,636 and $2,664. This level may act as a magnet for prices if the trend continues upwards, as traders may look to close gaps in the price , Further Supply Zone, Between $2,687 and $2,708, where resistance is expected to be strong.
Support Levels and Downside Risk, If gold breaks below the $2,527-$2,500 demand zone, it could decline further to a support level around $2,485, where additional buying interest might emerge.
Market Sentiment , The market is generally under upward pressure (bullish sentiment), though it is currently experiencing a decline.