EUR USD - the battle of parityG'day traders,
Welcome back to a new trading year.
First up, i'll be taking a look at the EURO/USD as it is still in a strong downward to the right pattern respecting the strong curve of the weekly trendline.
Please see below the Daily and weekly charts marked up.
Follow along the video and hope it assists with your trading.
I'll be looking for sells upon daily closes, weekly set and forget supply limits. Demand limits.
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily)
Orange = Daily
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual.
Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed.
Previous charts
Daily Chart
Weekly Chart
Updated in line with the video:
Daily
Weekly
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Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Focus on investing for long term positional moves
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
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Supply_and_demand
AUDCHF - Potential Short Opportunity from Key ResistanceOANDA:AUDCHF is currently testing a significant resistance zone. Historically, this area has seen strong selling pressure, leading to notable bearish moves. The recent bullish push into this resistance zone suggests a potential for sellers to regain control.
A bearish confirmation, such as rejection candles, bearish engulfing patterns, or long upper wicks, would increase the probability of a downward move. If this scenario unfolds, the price could head toward the 0.56623 level.
Traders should remain cautious and wait for clear signs of selling pressure before considering short positions. Proper risk management is essential, given the possibility of a break above the resistance zone.
What are your thoughts on this setup?
CADCHF - Bearish Setup at Key ResistanceThe CADCHF pair is currently trading near a significant supply zone, where prices have previously encountered strong resistance and reversed lower. This suggests a potential bearish scenario as sellers might regain control in this region.
A bearish confirmation, such as a rejection candlestick pattern (e.g., a bearish engulfing or long upper wick), would strengthen the case for further downside movement. If this scenario unfolds, the next target to monitor is around 0.63202, which aligns with a key support level.
Traders should wait for clear confirmation of selling pressure before entering short positions to ensure alignment with the broader market sentiment.
AUDJPY: Potential Long from Key Support ZoneOANDA:AUDJPY is currently trading near a significant support zone which previously led to bullish reversals. The recent bearish move into this zone suggests a potential for buyers to step in and drive prices higher.
A bullish confirmation, such as rejection patterns, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would increase the likelihood of a rebound. If buyers regain control, the price may rise toward the 96.650 level, where sellers could potentially re-emerge.
This setup aligns with a possible short-term recovery within the broader bearish trend. Traders should wait for confirmation of buying pressure before considering long positions.
GOLD - Potential Bearish Rejection at ResistanceGold is approaching a key resistance zone, which aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This area has the potential to act as a strong barrier, leading to a bearish pullback if sellers regain control.
A rejection at this resistance could push the price back toward the $2,698-$2,700 level. If this level holds, it may provide a base for buyers to attempt another rally.
However, a failure to hold above the $2,698 level could signal further bearish momentum, potentially targeting lower areas within the channel. Traders should watch for confirmation, such as bearish candlestick patterns or strong rejection wicks, at the resistance zone.
EURNZD - Potential Short from Resistance ZoneOANDA:EURNZD is currently approaching a significant supply zone near the 1.84500–1.85000 level. Historically, this area has acted as strong resistance, leading to bearish reversals. The recent bullish move into this zone suggests a potential for sellers to regain control and push prices lower.
A bearish confirmation, such as rejection patterns, bearish engulfing candles, or long upper wicks, would support the likelihood of a reversal. If the scenario materializes, the price may head toward the 1.83150 level, where buyers might step in again.
This setup aligns with a potential short-term retracement within the broader market structure. Traders should wait for confirmation of selling pressure before considering short positions.
EURAUD - Potential Short from Resistance ZoneThe EURAUD pair is approaching a significant resistance zone. The current bullish momentum into this area may provide an opportunity for sellers to regain control.
A bearish confirmation, such as rejection patterns, bearish engulfing candles, or signs of slowing momentum, would increase the likelihood of a pullback. If the resistance holds, the price could target the 1.66150 level.
Traders should monitor for confirmation of selling pressure before initiating short positions. This setup aligns with a potential corrective move within the broader market structure.
Alikze »» MOVR | Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Super cycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D
📣 MEXC:MOVRUSDT currency has encountered demand after a zigzag correction in the 3.61 range, which has had a rapid upward rally
🟢 After that, the price has had a double complex zigzag correction to the origin of the third upward wave.
🟢 Again, in the origin of the third movement, with a three-wave movement, it has encountered demand again in the area of the bottom of the ascending channel.
🟢 Currently, selling pressure is also observed in the ceiling of the ascending channel and the supply area.
💎 If this correction is broken in the form of a zigzag to the minor ceiling, it can be extended to the minor ceiling. It can again encounter demand and an upward rally to the minor ceiling of the previous rally.
💎 Depending on the momentum, this cycle can be a super cycle wave 3 or C to touch the red box area.
⚠️In addition, if the area touches the bottom of the previous wave, the bullish scenario is invalidated and should be re-examined and updated.⚠️
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USDCAD - Potential Short from Key Resistance ZoneThe USDCAD pair is testing a significant supply zone, a level that has consistently acted as resistance in the past. The strong upward momentum approaching this area may lead to a reversal as sellers look to regain control.
A bearish confirmation, such as rejection candles (e.g., shooting stars), bearish engulfing patterns, or long upper wicks, would strengthen the case for a short position. If this setup plays out, the price could head toward the 1.43928 level.
Traders should monitor price action closely for signs of selling pressure before entering short positions.
GOLD - Potential Bullish Break & Retest SetupGold is currently trading above the $2,700 level, which previously acted as resistance and could now serve as support. If the price pulls back and buyers defend this level, it could confirm bullish momentum, leading to a continuation toward the next target at $2,712. However, failure to hold above the zone may invalidate this setup and signal potential bearish pressure.
This scenario aligns with the broader ascending channel structure, suggesting the potential for further upside if key support holds.
CADCHF – Potential Short Opportunity on RetestCADCHF has broken below a key support zone, indicating a shift in momentum to the downside. This zone previously acted as support and may now turn into resistance, aligning with the break-and-retest strategy.
A bearish confirmation, such as rejection candles, a bearish engulfing pattern, or slowing bullish momentum, would strengthen the case for continued downside. Should this scenario play out, the next target for sellers would be around the 0.63387 level.
Traders should remain patient and wait for the price to revisit the resistance zone and provide clear rejection signals before considering short positions.
APPLE - Bullish Setup at Channel SupportApple stock has recently rejected a significant support zone, which aligns with the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This rejection was accompanied by a strong bullish candlestick, signaling renewed buying momentum. The price is now positioned for a potential move toward the $250.00 level.
This setup suggests further bullish continuation as long as the support zone holds. Traders may look for additional signs of buying strength as the price approaches higher levels.
EURAUD possible ideaFrom our previous idea, price moved as anticipated but failed to close below our weak low. It only wicked with an asia session low, thus forming more liquidity around the weak low price failed to break. Within the range, on lower timeframe, price moved aggressively, leaving behind a clean 1 hour supply zone before it preceded to break structure. Price has currently formed asia session liquidity below this POI that it could use to fuel its move to run the weak low as well as the liquidity below asia low.
EURAUD updated ideaFrom our previous idea, we expected price to first sweep bearish trendline liquidity before we get a shift of market structure. Instead, it was vice versa, but the idea still remains the same with just a new entry point. We have currently shifted to a bearish market on lower timeframe after mitigating our previously established supply zone. Now we have an opportunity to short the market on a 15 min confirmation entry.
GOLD - Potential Pullback to Retest SupportGold is trading near a key resistance zone within an ascending channel, suggesting a potential pullback. If price rejects the resistance zone, this could present an opportunity for sellers to re-enter the market.
The immediate target for sellers lies at $2,677.99, a key support zone where buyers might re-enter. A decisive break below this level could pave the way for further downside, with the broader ascending channel potentially invalidated.
This setup reflects a clear shorting opportunity if the price fails to sustain above resistance. Traders should wait for bearish confirmations before considering short positions.
GOLD – Potential Bullish ContinuationGOLD has recently broken above a key resistance level, signaling sustained bullish momentum within the broader ascending channel structure. This breakout aligns with the ongoing upward trend, reflecting the market's current bullish sentiment.
If the price revisits the $2,678.17 level for a retest and displays strong bullish confirmation—such as a rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or consistent buying pressure—it would strengthen the case for further upside potential. Should this scenario unfold, the next target for buyers is the $2,691.72, a level that has previously attracted significant selling interest.
This setup reflects the broader bullish structure, offering potential opportunities for continuation trades. However, a failure to hold the retest level or a breakdown of the ascending trendline could challenge this outlook.
Traders are encouraged to monitor price action closely at the retest zone for clear signs of bullish momentum before committing to long positions.
GOLD - Short Setup from Resistance ZoneThe XAUUSD pair has recently broken out of the bullish channel, signaling a shift in momentum toward bearish conditions. After this breakdown, the price is currently retesting the resistance zone. This retest is a critical point for the pair, as rejection from this resistance could confirm the bearish outlook. Traders should look for bearish confirmation signals such as rejection candles, bearish engulfing patterns, or a series of lower highs to validate further downside potential.
If the resistance holds, the next significant target for sellers is the $2,650.43 support level, which could act as a key demand zone. A break below this level would open the door to further declines, potentially extending the bearish trend.
This setup suggests a high-risk zone for buyers and presents an opportunity for short positions if bearish confirmations are observed. Careful monitoring of price action around the retest is essential for planning entries and exits.
What are your thoughts on this bearish scenario?
AUDNZD: Bearish Setup at Key ResistanceThe currency pair is testing the upper resistance zone following a recovery from previous lows. This movement reflects market hesitation around the key levels, with both buyers and sellers showing strength at different intervals. What does this imply? A decisive move is yet to emerge, but the setup suggests potential bearish momentum in the short term.
At present, the price has approached the resistance zone marked between 1.1117 and 1.1150. Historically, this zone has acted as a strong barrier, with sellers often stepping in to push prices lower. The price has yet to break and consolidate above this resistance, making it a critical trigger point for decision-making.
I expect a rejection from the resistance zone near 1.1117. A failed attempt to break above this level, followed by bearish price action, could signal a move toward the support at 1.1025. The price may then test the lower consolidation zone around 1.0800 if bearish momentum persists.
However, the pair could also be breaking through the resistance zone and consolidating above it. In such a case, the bias could shift toward bullish continuation, with targets set at higher levels.
EURCAD: Bearish Setup at Key ResistanceEURCAD is consolidating after a sharp rebound from lower levels, but the overall structure still hints at a bearish setup. The price is now approaching a key resistance zone around 1.5000–1.5120, a level where sellers have historically shown strong activity. Will the resistance hold, or will buyers push further? The reaction here will be critical.
The current setup suggests that the price may retest the resistance zone before being rejected and starting a move toward the support at 1.4862. A break and consolidation below this level could open the way toward deeper support around 1.4700 and potentially lower.
However, a breakout and consolidation above 1.5120 would invalidate the bearish scenario and signal a potential continuation of the bullish trend.
BTCUSDT. Analysis of the daily timeframeHey traders and investors!
Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily time frame, there is a sideways range. Its boundaries are marked on the chart. Yesterday, January 13, the price interacted with the lower boundary of the range at 90,500. 33% of the volume was accumulated in the 91,000-92,000 range (blue band on the chart), which is above the boundary. The quick buy-up is not always favorable for the buyer. A more favorable situation for the buyer would have been if the volume had been gathered below the boundary. Now, there is some unfinished business below 90,500. We’ll see how the situation develops.
The current buyer vector is 8-9, with a potential target of 102,724 (103,333, 108,353). There are several obstacles in the buyer's path: 95,836, 97,268, and above, the seller’s zone formed at the beginning of vector 7-8 (red rectangle on the chart).
1H Timeframe Analysis
On the hourly time frame, there is also a sideways range. Its boundaries are marked on the chart. The current buyer vector is 9-10 with a potential target of 99,963 (102,724).
Purchases can be considered (buying patterns) on the hourly time frame in the range of 93,100-94,127, where there are two bars with increased volumes and the upper boundary of the range where yesterday’s volume was traded.
You can also look for purchases around 91,530-90,500, but first assess whether any new obstacles for the buyer have formed on the hourly time frame as the price moves toward 91,530.
I wish you profitable trades!
GBPCHF - Bullish Setup at Key Support ZoneThe GBPCHF pair is currently testing a key demand zone, where previous price reactions suggest potential for a bullish reversal. This area has historically been a support level, indicating that buyers could regain momentum at this juncture.
A confirmation of bullish sentiment, such as the emergence of a bullish candlestick pattern or a strong rejection wick, would reinforce the likelihood of a rebound. Should this scenario unfold, the price could target the 1.12417 level.
What are your thoughts on this outlook?