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Supply_and_demand

HOOD - Get Great PricingNASDAQ:HOOD and I have had a mixed relationship over the years. I have had my biggest win on the HOOD brokerage (5,000% options trade, $1200 into 60k) and at the same time I was present for the Derogatory removal of the GME button (of which I had sold before they took that button). After many years and brokerages, I find myself returning to HOOD but this time much more experience... To my surprise, I love the platform, and I still recommend it for new traders for the ease and UI. Honestly, unless you are dealing with BIG Volume or Hot-Keying out of Low float Penny stocks, It will suit you just fine. Now Let's Talk HOOD. In this MASSIVE range we are looking at High $67, and a Low of $35. Thats a 47% drop! Although we have recovered a bit, Many are eager to find a way to get in the range. Here I have put together 2 scenarios to help you play your position with confidence. Better Price = Better psychology Whether we are shopping at grocery store, or if we are buying a car. Getting a good deal feels better. But how do you feel when you know you overpaid? TLDR: The best deals are the lowest purple zone "Extreme Demand" if you are Long, "Reinforced Supply" (at the top) if you are looking to get short or take profit. Under the HOOD Currently Robinghood is running into a little bit of a supply zone labelled "Weak Supply" This is a new player, and we don't yet know how just how big this player is. So far they have absorbed some of that buying pressure coming in, but I would not be surprised if they we overtaken or even gapped above come Monday. This brings us to our first Scenario Scenario 1: Blue line With the break above "weak supply", there is headroom all the way until 51.74. This is where we will see some supply initially and maybe a small rejection. Why would it not reject back down to a demand area like 41? Great question. If this overtakes that "Weak Supply" zone, this will make a strong case that there is momentum behind the wheels here. I think there will be a new player reinforcing this buying if this happens all the way to the Finale at $58.01. From here I would consider taking some profits, maybe partials, or looking for some Puts. Scenario 2: Red line Getting Rejected by "Weak supply" would be evidence that this move was fluff. Those two demand zones may try to hold a bit, but with the lack of buying interest in the $45 area, this won't make those buyers feel confident. This is different story when comparing to the "Extreme Demand" zone (lowest purple zone). Buyers here have PROVEN that this is something they are very interested and they are not done accumulating yet. So from this location buyers feel confident that they are getting a good price*( see fn. ) From here this should drive demand up again, crushing shorts, and sending another nice squeeze to test that supply at 51.71 WHEW! if you made it this far, I appreciate your time! Upvote/Follow if you enjoyed this idea, there are many more to come! Happy trading! * (This is a good price, because buyers are showing that it is. Although, if it did come down here, this would be the 4th test of this area. I still think there will be strong demand here, but this isn't the best tests. 2nd and 3rd were stronger.)
NASDAQ:HOOD
by thecafetrader
2
A good bounce inbound after this monster sell off on OrangeJuiceAfter this monster sell off I have been looking for a good entry on the smaller time frame for a bounce back up to the large consolidation area around the .618 retracement of the move down shown here on the weekly. I think I have got that on Wednesday with an open lower followed by a nice impulsive move up. The positioning is set for a reversal, with speculators massively still short, on the technical side we have the RSI turning up on the weekly and already crossed over on the daily. I am in from the Wednesday close and will be looking to add on the move up with good pull backs followed by rejections on the STF. Invalid if Wednesdays low is taken.
WHSELFINVEST:ORANGEJUICELong
by LiamPHudson
AVAX / AVAXUSDT | 1H | Avax will be the rocketHey there; I have prepared avax analysis for you. All I ask from you is to support this analysis with your likes. My Avax target level is 22.62 and my stop level is 17.37. This analysis has a win rate of 2.00 Guys I will update this analysis under this post Now let's just follow this analysis and see if my analysis is correct or not. Thank you very much to everyone who has been kind and supported me with their likes. Thanks to your support, I am constantly preparing special analyzes for you. I love all my followers very much.
Long
by TraderTilki
NZDCAD - Buy Setup at Key Support LevelOANDA:NZDCAD is approaching a key demand zone, which has historically acted as strong support. The recent decline has brought the price back into this area, increasing the likelihood of a potential bullish reaction. If buyers step in and confirm support within this zone, we could see a rebound toward the 0.8250 level, aligning with a corrective move after the recent drop. However, failure to hold this support could signal further downside continuation. Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing patterns, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
Long
by DanieIM
22
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) 23 MARCH 2025The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel, maintaining its long-term bullish structure. Price recently tested the lower boundary of the channel, aligning with a strong demand zone around 40,892 - 40,053, and is now showing signs of a potential reversal. The smart money concept (SMC) perspective suggests that institutions may have accumulated positions at this level, preparing for a bullish move toward the 44,500 - 44,800 supply zone. If price sustains above 42,000, buyers could take control, targeting liquidity above previous highs. From a supply and demand standpoint, the 40,892 - 40,053 level acted as a key demand zone, where buyers aggressively stepped in to defend the trend. The next area of interest is the 44,502 - 44,809 supply zone, which aligns with historical resistance. If price reaches this level, we may see profit-taking or a potential rejection. However, a break above 44,809 would indicate bullish continuation toward new all-time highs. On the fundamental side, several factors support a potential bullish move. Federal Reserve policy remains a key driver; if the Fed signals rate cuts later in 2025 due to slowing inflation, equities could rally further, benefiting the Dow. Additionally, US economic resilience, strong labor markets, and robust earnings from industrial and financial sectors could provide further upside momentum. On the downside, risks remain from geopolitical tensions, trade wars, and inflation concerns, which could create volatility and potential corrections. Given these factors, a long trade setup appears favorable. The ideal entry point would be near 42,000, aligning with trendline support and demand. A stop-loss below 40,800 would protect against an unexpected bearish break. Take-profit targets include 44,500 (supply zone) and 44,800 (liquidity sweep level), where price may face resistance. However, if price fails to hold 42,000, a deeper retracement toward 38,473 could be possible before the next bullish impulse. Would you like me to refine this setup further with risk management and position sizing details? 🚀
THINKMARKETS:US30Long
by karabompesi
SILVER at Key Support Level – Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:XAGUSD is experiencing a corrective move after rejecting from the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The price has now reached the lower boundary of the channel, aligning with a key demand zone. This confluence of trendline support and horizontal demand increases the probability of a bullish reaction from this level. If buyers maintain control at this level, we could see a rebound toward the $34.12 level, which aligns with the midline of the ascending channel. This level could serve as a short-term target within the current bullish market structure. However, failure to hold above this support zone could invalidate the bullish outlook and signal further downside. Traders should monitor bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, increasing volume, or bullish engulfing patterns, before entering long positions. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here!
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by DanieIM
21
GBPUSD Trending Lower - Will It Drop To 1.28660?OANDA:GBPUSD is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating a strong bearish trend. The price has recently tested a resistance zone within the channel and appears to be rejecting it, suggesting a potential continuation to the downside. The current market structure implies that if this rejection holds, we could see further bearish movement toward the 1.28660 level, which aligns with the lower boundary of the channel. However, if the price manages to push above the channel with strong momentum, it could signal a shift in trend, potentially leading to a bullish breakout and a move toward higher resistance levels. Traders should look for confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, bearish engulfing candles, or increased selling volume before entering short positions. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
Short
by DanieIM
34
EURUSD Maintains Bearish Momentum - Is 1.07500 the Next Target?OANDA:EURUSD is trading within a well-defined descending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. Recently, the price rejected a key resistance zone, reinforcing bearish momentum and signaling a potential continuation toward lower levels. The current price action suggests that if price continues to respect this resistance, we could see further downside toward 1.07500, aligning with the lower boundary of the channel. However, if price breaks above the channel and sustains above it, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially signaling a shift in momentum. Monitoring price action and volume at this level will be essential for confirmation. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Short
by TrendDiva
30
EURCAD Trending Lower - Will It Drop To 1.54670?OANDA:EURCAD is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating a strong bearish structure. The price has broken below a key support zone, which has now flipped to resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong seller interest and reinforcing the bearish outlook. With momentum favoring the downside, the next logical target is 1.54670, aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel. As long as the price remains below the resistance zone, the bearish bias stays intact. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
Short
by DanieIM
17
ALUMINIUM - Sell Setup at Key Resistance LevelPEPPERSTONE:ALUMINIUM has reached a key resistance zone, marked by strong selling pressure. This area has consistently acted as a turning point, suggesting the potential for another bearish reaction if sellers step in. If the price shows clear signs of rejection from this resistance zone, I anticipate a move downward toward the 2650 level, which serves as a logical target for this setup. Conversely, a clean breakout above the resistance zone could signal a potential bullish continuation. Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks rejecting the resistance, or increased selling volume before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have
PEPPERSTONE:ALUMINIUMShort
by DanieIM
9
PLATINUM Approaching Key Resistance – Potential Reversal?OANDA:XPTUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, marked by previous price rejections and strong selling pressure. This level has historically acted as a key supply zone, making it a critical area to watch for potential bearish reactions. The recent bullish momentum has brought price back into this resistance, increasing the likelihood of a pullback if sellers regain control. If rejection is confirmed within this zone, we could see a move lower toward the $1,005 level, aligning with a corrective move after the recent rally. However, a strong breakout above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside. Traders should watch for bearish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, a bearish engulfing pattern, or increasing selling volume, before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
OANDA:XPTUSDShort
by DanieIM
28
NZDCAD at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 0.82350?OANDA:NZDCAD is approaching a significant resistance zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if sellers regain control. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance zone, there is a high likelihood of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 0.82350 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance level would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside. This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments! 🚀
Short
by DanieIM
31
GBPJPY at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 192.000?OANDA:GBPJPY is currently trading at a key resistance zone, where sellers may regain control. This level has been a strong area of interest in the past, suggesting the potential for another bearish reaction if sellers step in. If the price confirms rejection from this zone, a move lower toward 192.000 is likely. However, a strong breakout above could invalidate this setup, shifting momentum back to the bulls. Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks rejecting the resistance, or increased selling volume before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
Short
by DanieIM
12
For those of you who bought XRP...I've known about COINBASE:XRPUSD for over a decade now. Time has brought tons of rumors, tons of hype, and tons of mistakes still being made by those new and experienced alike. For those of you holding strong pre $1.00, I commend you. For those of you who are bought high and are now riding the emotional roller coaster, consider these 3 things before you make a decision. 1. We are DIRECTLY in the middle of the range Over 3 months of consolidation has taken place. With a high of 3.40 and a low of 1.70, this is a range for advanced traders. If you bought around 2.00 or under, Congrats! even though you didn't get in pre $1.00, there are alot of Big buyers that have been scooping up XRP at the 2.00 level. For those of you that Bought 2.50 and above. Ask yourself why you purchased XRP? I ask you; Did you buy XRP to trade? or to invest? No they are not the same thing. Investing is long term, 3-5 years+. Trading is dealing with much shorter time windows, even if you are swing trading, Trading is Trading, and this takes a different skill set and mindset. so if you are investing, be happy that XRP is lower in price. if big money is Buying at 2.00, there is nothing stopping you from doing the same. If you are a beginner trader, consider our last point. Buy with Buyers, Sell with Sellers Sounds simple right? Here is something you may not know. Liquidity is what moves markets. If you have 100million that you have to invest for your clients in XRP, do you slap the market button? Absolutely not, in fact, you want to make yourself as small looking as possible. Why? YOU NEED PEOPLE TO SELL INTO YOU. Big firms (unless through dark pools) have algorithms make themselves look as small as possible, whilst accumulating and distributing shares efficiently. At the end of the day, These are the big players that move the markets big. Do you need to know this? Not necessarily for the technical side, but for your emotions, your psychology? Yes this is important. Find the buyers and sellers (I have them marked in my chart), and learn to play alongside them. You will get better pricing, feel great about your positions, and know if it goes against you, you can cut the trade off early and reposition. Hope you enjoyed, and happy Trading!
COINBASE:XRPUSD
by thecafetrader
EURJPY: Potential downward move towards 161.00?OANDA:EURJPY is currently approaching a significant resistance zone, an area that has been a key point of interest where sellers have regained control, leading to notable reversals in the past. Given this, there is potential for a bearish reaction if price action confirms rejection, such as a bearish engulfing candle, long upper wicks or increased selling volume. If the resistance level holds, I anticipate a downward move toward 161.00, a target that seems at least achievable. This would more likely be a call on a bearish outlook, as sellers may step in to push the price lower from this key level. However, if the price breaks this zone and sustains the up move, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, and we could potentially see a larger upside move. Given the potential volatility around this zone, it’s crucial to monitor candlestick patterns and volume closely to identify strong selling opportunities. Proper risk management is essential to handle any potential volatility and protect your capital if the price breaks out.
Short
by TrendDiva
21
USDNOK - Buy opportunity towards 10,8300?OANDA:USDNOK is testing a clear support area, marked by previous bullish reversals and strong buyer interest. The recent bearish move into this zone suggests a potential buying opportunity if buyers confirm control. If bullish signals, such as strong rejection wicks or bullish candlestick patterns, emerge, I anticipate an upward move toward 10,8300. If the support fails to hold however, further downside could be expected. Remember, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Long
by TrendDiva
8
COPPER Approaching Key Resistance — Potential Sell SetupPEPPERSTONE:COPPER is approaching a significant resistance zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong selling interest. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms resistance within this zone, we could see a pullback toward the 4.7100 level, a logical target based on previous price behavior and current market structure. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
PEPPERSTONE:COPPERShort
by TrendDiva
21
AUDCAD Approaching Key Resistance — Potential Sell SetupOANDA:AUDCAD is approaching a key resistance zone, highlighted by strong selling interest. This area has historically acted as a supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms resistance within this zone, we could see further downside movement. A successful rejection could push the pair toward 0.90700, a logical target based on prior price behavior and the current structure. However, if the price breaks and holds above this resistance, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially leading to further upside. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Short
by TrendDiva
27
NZDJPY at Key Support Level - Rebound Towards 87.300?OANDA:NZDJPY has reached a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has previously acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 87.300 level, a logical target based on previous price behavior and current market dynamics. Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Long
by TrendDiva
20