OIL fell sharply, opportunity for upside target of 70$OIL fell sharply and has now been in a contraction for a while, I am taking it into account for a potential breakout, as it shows tightening price action, which reflects market indecision.
Price action has now coiled into a symmetrical triangle, this is often a classic continuation or reversal pattern, and it’s building pressure for a potential breakout. So, if we do get a clean breakout above this pattern, with strong bullish candles, volume, or bullish divergence, that’s your confirmation cue.
This is totally achievable. It aligns beautifully with the 0.25 to 0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone from the recent swing high to low. It’s not just a psychological round number, it’s technically supported.
If the lower boundary of the triangle is broken with momentum, you’ve got to step back. No trade is better than a bad one. Watch how price interacts with the zone. If it loses it, you could be looking at a deeper leg down, potentially revisiting deeper support levels from prior bullish structure.
Supply and Demand
Internal and external liquidity Here's another mechanical lesson for you.
In my last post I covered a mechanical technique to identify swing ranges. Rule-based, simple and repeatable.
In this post, I want to share another little technique, again part of the mechanical series. But this time I want to talk about liquidity.
Most traders talk about liquidity, they might even have a grasp of what it is. But most do not know how liquidity forms the sentiment and how that creates a type of algo for the market.
You might have heard of Elliott wave theory. There is a saying along the lines of "you ask 10 Elliott traders for their count and you get 11 answers".
But the point is here, when you simplify the concept, it's clear to see that sentiment caused by liquidity swings is what causes a repeatable pattern in the market.
Let's take the idea of the ranges from my last post.
Now after a fair amount of accumulation, this level becomes "defended" - the price will gradually move up until old short stop losses are tagged and new long entries are entered into.
This allows the institutional players to open up their orders without setting off the alarm bells.
Price then comes back from external liquidity to find internal liquidity (more on this in a later post).
But then it looks for the next fresh highs.
As the highs are put in, we can use the range technique to move our range to the new area as seen in the image above.
Next we will be looking for an internal move, not just internal to the range, but a fractal move on the smaller timeframe that drives the pullback down. See this in blue.
The logic here is simple; on the smaller timeframes we have witnessed an accumulation at the 2 region and as we spike up for 3; we will witness a distribution on the smaller timeframes.
Wyckoff called this the accumulation, followed by a mark-up and then the distribution and a mark-down.
It is this pattern, over and over again that leads to this type of structure.
This will then be re-branded by various analysts who will call it things like a head and shoulders, smart money will see a change of character and a retest before breaking the structure.
This is all the same thing - just a different naming convention.
Again, I hope this helps some of you out there!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
ARTY Launch: Play-and-Earn goes live June 30KUCOIN:ARTYUSDT Artyfact (ARTY) is approaching a major milestone, with its Play-and-Earn platform scheduled to launch on June 30. In anticipation, the token is already showing signs of strength, trading around $0.188 and gaining upward momentum. This move comes off a clear technical structure: a double-bottom reversal followed by a breakout above the descending trendline.
Price action is beginning to confirm the shift in sentiment as the official Play-and-Earn tournament kickoff draws near. With just days left until June 30, anticipation is building as the launch will mark a real turning point. Until then, the current pre-launch sentiment continues to lean optimistic, driven by growing community engagement, strong social media traction, and increasing excitement around what Artyfact is building.
The anticipation surrounding the June 30 launch could be creating strong momentum, as traders and early supporters position themselves ahead of what could be a key moment for the project.
From a broader market perspective, Bitcoin continues to lead the risk-on rotation. BTCUSD recently had an aggressive bullish rally and is poised to maintain upward momentum if macro conditions remain favorable.
Historically, Bitcoin strength has preceded major capital inflows into small-cap altcoins. As BTC resumes its bullish trajectory toward the $110,000 zone, it provides ideal conditions for undervalued projects to reprice aggressively. The rotation effect tends to flow from BTC → ETH → high-utility altcoins and ARTY is positioned to benefit from this dynamic.
Fundamentally, ARTY is deeply undervalued relative to its potential.
Low market cap: A micro-cap with asymmetric upside.
80%+ of total supply is in circulation, reducing inflation risk and encouraging organic demand.
Holder base is expanding, reflecting early-stage adoption and network growth.
Major catalysts ahead:
🎮 Launches on PlayStation, Xbox
📱 Releases on AppStore and Google Play
🧩 NFT integration and metaverse gameplay expansion
These milestones could drive exponential user growth, attracting both gamers and crypto enthusiasts to the ecosystem. When combined with the convergence of technical bottoming, bullish macro conditions, and strong fundamental catalysts, the setup supports the potential for a sustained move toward the $1.00 zone as momentum builds post-launch.
Traders should monitor for confirmation:
-Higher low formations
-Expansion in bullish volume
-Strong closes above interim resistances
With BTC strengthening and capital rotating down the risk curve, early entries in fundamentally sound projects like ARTY offer high risk-reward profiles.
GBPJPY sitting at resistance – Is a drop to 193.360 likely?GBPJPY is sitting right at a key daily resistance zone. This is a level where it has struggled to break through and reversed strongly to the downside. So this makes it definitely one to monitor, especially if you’re eyeing potential short setups.
If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, strong bearish candles, it could be the early indication of another move lower. My focus is on a moderate drop toward the 193.360 area, similar to what we’ve seen in past pullbacks. Nothing too dramatic, just a simple downside play if sellers step in again.
But if we get a strong breakout? That changes everything: it would hint that bulls are taking full control. This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin Major Dip Upcoming | Next Move BEARISH ?Bitcoin experienced a sharp intraday pullback from ~$107.6K down to ~$105.8K, influenced by new U.S. Senate legislation discussions targeting crypto taxation and exchange regulation. This news injected short-term volatility and prompted a minor sell-off.
However, BTC closed June at its highest monthly level ever (~$107.1K), maintaining a strong macro uptrend. Institutional interest remains robust, with over $4.5B in inflows into BTC ETFs over the past two weeks. On-chain data shows ~98% of BTC supply is in profit, reflecting underlying strength—though short-term caution is warranted due to possible profit-taking.
📉 Technical Analysis (Chart Reference)
🔹 Key Levels:
• Resistance: $107,500 / $112,000
• Support: $105,000 / $103,000 / $100,000
🧠 Observations from the Chart:
• Resistance Zone: Price struggled to break and sustain above $107,500 despite multiple Break of Structure (BoS) attempts.
• Support Zone: Strong horizontal support is established around the $105,000 level—price is currently testing this.
• Market Structure: Multiple Change of Character (ChoCh) patterns suggest a short-term bearish trend, likely driven by macro news impact.
• Upcoming Dip: Chart annotations highlight an expected pullback into the $104K–$105K region before a potential bounce.
• Trendlines: The downward-sloping trendline indicates corrective pressure, but the broader ascending channel remains intact.
📈 Technical Outlook
• Trend: BTC is consolidating within a broad ascending structure on higher timeframes. The current dip aligns with a healthy retest.
• Momentum: 4H RSI and MACD show cooling, signaling temporary bearish momentum.
• Watch Zone: $103K–$105K is key for potential bounce. Losing $100K would invalidate short-term bullish structure.
Next Move Prediction
Short-Term (1–5 Days):
🔻 Expect continued downside/consolidation toward $103K–$105K. High chance of buyer re-entry around support.
Medium-Term (2–4 Weeks):
📈 Bullish continuation toward $112K–$115K if ETF inflows remain steady and no major regulatory shocks occur.
💼 Trading Plan
• Buy Zone: $103,000–$105,000 (scale in during dips)
• Target 1: $112,000
• Target 2: $115,000
• Stop Loss: Below $100,000 (daily close)
Despite short-term news-driven volatility, Bitcoin’s macro trend remains bullish. As long as the $100K support holds, this is likely a dip-buying opportunity. July often brings strong seasonal performance, and ETF demand may act as a major bullish catalyst. Stay alert for news and volume confirmation before committing to entries.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
We said we would stick with the plan and look for the higher levels on Gold, which we did and worked well. Once we approached the red box however, you'll notice we broke straight through it. The indicators then gave us numerous long signals which meant we either got in with the madness of the move, or, simple waited for the red box target to hit and then attempt the short on the RIP, which is moving nicely at the moment.
Now resistance is on the flip 3350 with support below 3333-5 which is we're we are looking for a potential bounce. We have made a big move today so not expecting much towards the end of the session.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278✅, 3285✅, 3297✅ and above that 3306✅
Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3275 for 3279✅, 3285✅, 3289✅ and 3306✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
AUDUSD: Bullish Continuation After Breakout 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD is going to rise more following a bullish breakout
of a key daily/intraday horizontal resistance.
Next goal - 0.66
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#XAUUSD:First Buy, Then Sell Swing! Big Move In Making! Gold failed to decline further as previously predicted in our analysis. Instead, it continues to exhibit bullish sentiment. The current price trading in a critical region between 3350 and 3360, where significant resistance is observed. We anticipate that the price must pass through this region before it can clearly surpass the 3400 mark.
When this occurs, it is advisable to implement precise risk management strategies while trading gold due to its volatile nature. Additionally, the DXY index is experiencing a decline and currently trading at its all-time low since 1976. This development will likely have a substantial impact on the gold price.
We wish you the best of luck and ensure safe trading practices.
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Team Setupsfx_
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WTI Oil – From Conflict to StrategyBack on April 24, I marked a short zone. On June 11, price broke above that level, giving a long opportunity — which I took.
Unfortunately, it coincided with the tragic military strike by Israel on Iran, pushing oil sharply higher. I’ve pinned that analysis.
Following the ceasefire, price dropped again — just a reminder that geopolitics can shake the charts.
As traders, we stay prepared to act, even while acknowledging the deep sadness of lives lost.
Now I wait for price to reach my marked level again. If I get a valid signal, I’ll short.
But if price breaks and holds above, I’ll buy the pullback — with no bias, just pure execution.
Risk-managed. Emotion-neutral. Opportunity-focused.
AUDCAD Bullish week AUDCAD Bullish Confluence Analysis:
1. Daily Timeframe: Bullish daily candle closed after sweeping the previous day’s sell-side liquidity — indicating a strong rejection and potential shift in momentum.
2. 4H Structure: Price closed decisively above the key support/resistance level at 0.89300, confirming a break and potential continuation.
3. Daily Imbalance: A breakaway fair value gap (FVG) remains unfilled, with buyers showing strong intent by driving price higher — suggesting bullish pressure is still active.
4. Intraday Confirmation: Both 1H and 15M charts show breaker blocks and fair value gaps being filled, aligning with bullish targets and providing refined 15 min entry zone.
#XAUUSD(GOLD)): 29/06/2025 Last Analysis Going Great!Gold has been moving nicely since our last analysis, which we posted. Currently, 750+ pips have been generated, and we expect further price drops. There are still two targets in place, as per our previous analysis. We anticipate a steady decline in the price. We recommend all of you to follow strict risk management. This is not a guaranteed analysis or view, but rather an overview/educational chart analysis.
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OMUSDT Approaching Demand ZonesOMUSDT has seen a sharp decline from its peak and is now approaching key demand zones. Price is reacting around a weak support level, with further downside likely toward the Internal PRZ (around $0.1039) and at this zone major reversal should happen unless if unexpected happen then the next area to keep an eye on is the External Strong PRZ (near $0.0259) which is mostly unlikely.
A strong bullish structure could form from these zones, targeting a long-term recovery toward $0.44, $0.87, and ultimately the $4.00 which serves as projected final setup target zone.
Watch price behavior closely at these levels for early signs of reversal.
We spotted the previous falling wedge setup accurately and this time will not be difference, make sure not to miss the opportunity when the price reaches the projected zone.
The price will drop to at least $230The price will drop to at least $230. after that can goes to $200. but i have to re-check at $230
If you are thinking of investing, this is not a good place to buy at all.
I recommend entering in the $200 range after getting the necessary confirmations.
If you would like to follow me to see the rest of my analysis.
EURUSD Selling from Resistance at 1.17500 EURUSD Analysis –
4H Timeframe
The pair continues to respect its ascending channel, but current price action suggests a potential sell opportunity from the 1.17500 resistance zone.
🎯 Technical Targets:
🔻 1st Target – 1.16000 (Key demand zone)
🔻 2nd Target – 1.14500 (Deeper support area)
🔻 3rd Target – 1.12500 (Bullish Order Block)
💡 Watch for confirmation signals near resistance before entering shorts.
💬 Like, follow, comment, and join us for more real-time trade ideas and updates!
📲 Let’s grow and trade smart together 💼✨
— Livia 😜
USDCAD 4-hour chart
USDCAD is consistently trading within a clearly defined descending price channel, indicating a prevailing downtrend.
Price action is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of this channel.
The pair has recently encountered resistance near the upper channel boundary, leading to a turn lower.
Based on the established channel, the current price trajectory suggests a potential move towards the lower boundary of the descending channel.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Not a bad start to the week with the path working well, we got the swoop we wanted and the opportunity for the long presented itself. We've completed quite a few of the bias targets as well as the red box targets, so now, with it being the last trading day of the month and quarter and tomorrow being the first, we'll take a back seat.
Support stands at the 3275 level with resistance still at 3404-6. Higher box is defence so we'll stick with it and see if it works how we intended.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278✅, 3285✅, 3297 and above that 3306
Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3275 for 3279✅, 3285✅, 3289✅ and 3306 in extension of the move
Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GBPNZD channel breakout buy possible from support📈GBPNZD Breakout Alert!
The pair has officially broken out of the ascending channel and bounced from key support at 2.25100 — confirming bullish momentum on the 4H timeframe!
🎯 Technical Targets:
1️⃣ First Target: 2.27000 – major supply zone
2️⃣ Second Target: 2.28000 – next resistance/supply area
This breakout setup is showing strong potential—watch price action near the targets and manage risk accordingly.
🧠 Trade smart. Stay sharp.
👇 Like, follow, and comment if you're riding this move!
📲 Join us for more real-time trade setups and updates.
🔥 Hashtags / Caption for “For You” strategy:
#ForexBreakout #GBPNZD #PriceAction #4HSetup #SmartMoney #FXTrades #ForYou #foryoupage #fyptrading #forexsetup #liviasetups 😜
GBPUSD PullbackGBPUSD is in an overall bullish market
However, after a large bullish push, I am expecting price to pullback (sell off).
Price met resistance a weekly supply zone and closed as an indecision candle on the Daily.
The lower blue EMA crossed below the higher RED EMA on the 1hr chart.
Expecting price to selloff and find support at the 50.0 Fib level which also correlates with a demand zone, before continuing the overall trend.
GBPCHF: Strong Bearish SignalGBPCHF has been in a prolonged consolidation since mid-June, remaining within a significant horizontal range on the 4-hour chart.
Following the weekend market opening, the pair appears to be strongly bearish.
The violation of a support level within this range suggests the end of a bearish accumulation phase, creating potential for further upward movement, with the next resistance level to watch at 1.0889.
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to attempt that higher level and potentially break for higher pricing. If it didn’t the path showed the level for an opportunity to short which fell just short but worked well into the level we initially wanted.
We then published the red box targets and the bias through the week which held, and we managed to complete all bearish targets by Friday.
Was it easy? No! Did we expect that flush? No! We simply got to a stage on Friday where we could only watch or get in with the volume, so we stood back and just watched.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Simple one this week. We can see potential for lower, however, we’re too low to attempt shorting this, especially with the key level 3250-55 just below and major support. For that reason, we published the red boxes to help you all, look for the break either side! Ideally, we want to support on the low from the open and then continue with the move upside into the 3280-85 level initially, which should flip us on the support at 3270-75. We could range there as there is no news tomorrow but a gradual incline is what we’re looking for.
Support 3250-55 needs to break for lower, while resistance 3306-10 is the level that needs to break to go higher. That’s our potential range for now.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278, 3285, 3297 and above that 3306
Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3275 for 3279, 3285, 3289 and 3306 in extension of the move
Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG