ETHEREUM at Major Support: Bullish Rally Incoming?COINBASE:ETHUSD is on the verge of a major move. The price has reached a key support level that has historically triggered strong buying interest. This zone has acted as a demand area multiple times, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if buyers step in once again.
The market structure suggests that a confirmed bounce from this level could ignite a significant recovery. If bulls hold the support, the first upside target is $2,400, which represents a logical target for this setup. However, a sustained breakout beyond $2,400 could mark the beginning of a stronger rally, fueled by renewed buying momentum and increasing volume.
Given the prolonged bearish move leading into this setup, a retracement here could turn into a larger trend shift. However, a clean breakdown below support would invalidate this bullish bias and open the door for further downside.
🚀 If this rally takes off, we could see COINBASE:ETHUSD reclaiming higher levels in the coming weeks. What are your thoughts? Drop them in the comments! 🚀
Supply and Demand
GOLD Technical Analysis - Correction Incoming?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action now testing the upper boundary. This level could act as dynamic resistance, and a rejection here could trigger a corrective move toward the 3,035 support zone.
If buyers defend this support, the bullish structure remains intact, with a potential move back toward higher levels. However, if price breaks below this zone, a deeper pullback toward the lower boundary of the channel could come into play.
Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities. Proper risk management is advised, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
AUDUSD I Weekly CLS , KL - Order Block, Model 2Hey Traders!!
Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
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BITCOIN Outlook: Watch for a Drop Toward $85100COINBASE:BTCUSD has reached a key resistance level, an area that has been a key point of interest where sellers have regained control, leading to notable reversals in the past. Given this, there is potential for a bearish reaction if price action confirms rejection, such as a bearish engulfing candle, long upper wicks or increased selling volume.
If the resistance level holds, I anticipate a downward move toward 85,100$, which represents a logical target based on previous price behavior and market structure.
However, if the price breaks above this zone and sustains above it, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, leading to further upside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
EURUSD at Major Resistance: Will it Drop To 1.09000?OANDA:EURUSD reached a major resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. This zone also aligns with prior supply areas where sellers have stepped in, making it a potential point of interest for those looking for short opportunities. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 1.09000 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
What a week on the markets! Gold playing ball giving us the move we wanted for the tariff news, then the short presented itself, we issued KOG's bias of the day and the bearish targets, and wow, all completed!
In Camelot we gave the idea yesterday and planned where we wanted to go up to for the longs, where we wanted to short from and then where we wanted to buy from again. Not to the pip how we like it, but it worked extremely well!
So what now?
We have NFP looming, liquidity has been swept and we're back up above 3100. Due to NFP, we can expect price to want to attempt to stay close to the MA's on the hourly so a break of 3110 should take us up into the 3125-35 as long as the 3095 level holds up price!
From Camelot this morning:
Support: 3124 / 3120 / 3116 / 3110 / 3106 / 3098 / 3095
Resistance: 3130 / 3135 / 3137 / 3145 / 3147 / 3150 / 3155
Price: 3129
KOG’s Bias of the day:
Bearish below 3134 with targets below 3110✅ and 3103✅
Bullish on break of 3134 with target above 3145 and 3150
RED BOXES:
Break above 3135 for 3140, 3145, 3155 and 3161 in extension of the move
Break below 3120 for 3110✅, 3106✅, 3097✅ and 3085✅ in extension of the move
Summary:
Due to NFP tomorrow we’re likely to continue with this ranging and choppy price action with resistance above at key level 3540 now which will need to break to go higher. Support 3125 should be tested again, with that 3110 level again the key level! This time however, if tested we may break below, so I would say I’m playing caution on longs at the moment.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GBPUSD Approaching Key Resistance - Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:GBPUSD is approaching a key resistance level, marked by significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reaction if sellers step in again.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance level, there is a high probability of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 1.30950 level, which serves as a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
#GBPJPY: +250 Pips From Last Idea Expecting A Strong Bulls! The GBPJPY currency pair experienced a decline to the 190 area, which represents a discounted price range. Subsequently, the price reversed positively by approximately 250 pips. Our market analysis remains unchanged, and we anticipate that the price will continue to exert dominance.
It is possible that the price may experience a correction or a downward movement, as we anticipate the release of strong economic data this week. This data is likely to influence the future trajectory of the currency pair.
We encourage you to like and comment for further insights. Your support has been invaluable throughout our journey, and we sincerely hope that you achieve success in your own market endeavours.
Team Setupsfx_
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US DOLLAR at Key Support: Will Price Rebound to 103.350?TVC:DXY is currently testing a key support zone, an area where the price has previously shown strong bullish reactions. The recent price action suggests that buyers may step in and drive the price higher. A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would increase the probability of a bounce from this level. If buyers regain control, the price could move toward the 103.350 level.
However, a breakout below this support would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially opening the door for further downside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
Short on BTC4H trend is bearish, 1H trend also bearish
3 potential sell :
1. Break Low 1H candle (BOS) , retest and reject. SL slightly above retest, TP 1:2 RR
2. Pullback on last 1H supply, wait rejection on 1H candle, SL sligtly above rejection, TP on Last low or 1:2 RR
3. Pullback on last 4H supply, wait rejection on 1H candle, SL sligtly above rejection, TP on Last low or 1:2 RR
BTC ANALYSIS (4H)If we look at Bitcoin on hourly timeframes, we expect a rejection from the red zone. However, this rejection must be strong because if it is weak, Bitcoin may not be inclined to correct further or might at least enter a choppy corrective trend.
The substructure is also bearish, a trigger line has been lost, and ultimately, we have a bearish iCH on the chart.
Closing a 4-hour candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
GBPAUD at Major Resistance Level - Time to Sell?GBPAUD has reached a weekly resistance level, marked by prior price rejections and significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reaction if sellers step in again.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this weekly resistance, there is a high probability of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 2.03620 level, which serves as a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
AUDCAD Discretionary Analysis: Taking the Elevator DownIt’s more of a sixth sense(like when you just know the milk is bad before you smell it). I think it’s headed down, like an elevator with a broken cable . If I’m right, I’ll make some money. If I’m wrong, well… guess I’ll take the stairs next time.
Just my opinion, not financial advice.
EURUSD - Correction in the short termGiven that the order flow is bullish on the daily and 15-minute time frames, we expect a temporary correction to begin. Of course, it should be noted that Trump’s recent speech has caused erratic price movement, but my view is that the price hit the daily order block during this speech and collected liquidity above the 4-hour order block.
Therefore, we will soon see a bearish order flow on the short time frame, and this movement could go down to the bottom of the 4-hour swing structure (1.07417 range) in the first stage.
BTCUSDTmy entry on this trade idea is taken from a point of interest below an inducement (X).. I extended my stoploss area to cover for the whole swing as price can target the liquidity there before going as I anticipate.. just a trade idea, not financial advise
Entry; $82173.4
Take Profit; $86027.4
Stop Loss; $80926.7
AUD/USD Daily Time Frame (DTF) AnalysisAUD/USD Daily Time Frame (DTF) Analysis
The AUD/USD pair remains in a downtrend, recently breaking below the minor key support level at 0.62900. However, after this breakdown, sellers failed to drive the price lower toward the next key support, leading to a retracement towards the minor resistance level at 0.63500. This area has formed a double top pattern, signaling potential price reversal and strengthening the bearish outlook.
With price currently trading below key levels, our strategy remains focused on anticipating liquidity formation between these two minor key levels. We plan to wait for a retracement towards the previous support level before executing a sell limit order at 0.62700, with a stop-loss (SL) set at 0.63870, placed above the liquidity zone, and a take-profit (TP) target at 0.59910, aligned with the next major support level.
Fundamental Outlook: Key Developments Impacting the AUD
Impact of U.S. Tariffs: On April 3, 2025, President Donald Trump announced a 10% baseline tariff on all imports, escalating global trade tensions. This announcement triggered a sharp sell-off in risk assets, leading to a 2% decline in the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) 200 index. Export-driven stocks, such as Ansell and Breville Group, were particularly affected. In response, the Australian dollar depreciated as investors shifted toward safe-haven currencies like the Japanese yen and Swiss franc. (Source: Reuters)
Market Volatility and Risk Aversion: The imposition of these tariffs has heightened concerns about a potential global economic slowdown, prompting investors to move away from risk-sensitive assets, including the AUD. The resulting risk-off sentiment has contributed to further weakness in the Australian dollar, as market participants continue to favor safer currency alternatives amid heightened geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
USDCHF Approaching Major Support - Potential Reversal?OANDA:USDCHF is approaching a key support zone, marked by strong buying pressure. This area has historically served as a demand zone, suggesting the potential for a bullish reversal if buyers step in.
The current market structure indicates that if the price confirms a rejection from this support zone, there is a high probability of an upward move.
I anticipate that if buyers defend this level, the market may head higher toward the 0.87100 target, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or see an alternative perspective, feel free to comment!