GOLD drops sharply to 3300 and found important support areaThe recent bearish momentum on GOLD has met a good support zone and at present we started to see early signs of bullish interest returning, right after we got a beautiful rejection from the zone.
Currently I’m expecting for the price to bounce to the target near 3,390 . If this bullish push continues with strong volume and momentum, I’ll be locking in that bias and planning my entry accordingly. I could get involved right here for a more aggressive entry. It’s a bit riskier, but if the structure confirms, I’m more than happy to take the shot, as sometimes the best trades come when you trust your setup.
This is not financial advice.
Supply and Demand
NZDCAD reached key resistance: Rebound to 0.82450 likelyPrice on NZDCAD has reached a pretty significant resistance level, that has been a key turning point in the past, with several strong reversals from the area. So naturally, I’ve been watching to see how price reacts here again.
We can already see early signs of rejection, so I will monitor this pair and I’ll be looking for short setups from the zone again.
🟥 My sell idea is based on the expectation that this resistance will hold. I would be targeting a move down toward the 0.82450 level , which I feel is a realistic target before any reversal could take from the gains, especially if price respects this structure continuously.
But if price breaks above and starts holding strong above the zone, then I’ll back off the bearish bias and reassess, and I’d consider the bearish idea invalidated, with potential for further upside.
Just sharing how I see the chart right now, not financial advice
BTC.D Nearing a Historic Inflection PointBTC Dominance (BTC.D) is fast approaching the 67.64% resistance level, sitting firmly within a key supply zone marked at point D. This area represents a high confluence region, aligning with a long-term descending trendline and the upper boundary of a bearish wedge structure.
If validated, this would complete a potential ABCDE reversal formation suggesting a macro top in Bitcoin dominance may already be forming.
A rejection from this zone could trigger a pullback towards the immediate support at the 60% level. Should this level break, further downside may unfold toward 54.64%, with a deeper long-term target resting around the 45% zone.
This setup could mark a significant turning point if dominance begins to unwind, we may witness an aggressive rotation into altcoins. Keep a close eye on structural breaks and liquidity sweeps.
Alt season might just be closer than we think.
What’s your take on this potential shift? Let’s discuss in the comments.
EURUSD - Potential buying opportunityLooking at EURUSD
We are still very bullish with no sign of it slowing.
I am aware of a potential weekly liquidity point to the left, however, until EURUSD shows its hand it's important that we still remain bullish.
We have set up a lovely liquidity point before a lovely demand area.
So I will be setting a pending order at the demand area after the New York close and the Asian session begins.
SNOW Based on the current 15-minute chart for SNOW (Snowflake Inc.), we are observing a clear liquidity sweep and internal CHoCH (Change of Character) following a strong bearish impulse. Price has aggressively retraced and is now approaching a key supply zone near 222.00, which also aligns with the most recent internal high and potential inducement zone.
I anticipate price may push slightly above 222, tapping into remaining liquidity from late buyers before reversing. This aligns with a higher timeframe resistance, suggesting the up-move is corrective rather than impulsive.
From a structural standpoint:
The prior Break of Structure (BoS) confirms bearish intent.
Liquidity was taken both at the highs and lows, typical of distribution before a larger move.
The ideal short entry is upon confirmation of rejection from this 222+ level, targeting the demand zones around 217.00 and possibly as low as 211.00, respecting the higher timeframe bearish narrative.
Risk Management Tip: Wait for a bearish engulfing or clear rejection pattern on the lower timeframes within the 222–223.20 range before entering short. Set stop-loss slightly above the last high and manage position accordingly as price approaches each demand zone.
BTC 26.06.25This could be the range i was waiting for to create the 3rd tap of the accumulation model later. Yesterday we had a mini model 1 at NY open which could have had the intention to be the starting point of the new range. I am now watching for new deviations which then would form a bigger range. There is nothing but liquidity until 104.536$ which would be a perfect target for a range low, but until there are no confirmations this only is an expectation. If the accumulation model is already complete, like i mentioned in my last post, then the target becomes the range high (110.652$).
BTC/USDT Drop to 101k?🧠 High Time Frame Context
Trend: Consolidation within a broad range (support and resistance clearly defined).
Key Psychological Levels:
105,000 USDT – minor level, acting as a magnet in short-term PA.
110,000 USDT – major supply confluence and liquidity target.
🟪 Supply & Resistance Zone
Zone: Marked in purple (108.5k-112k).
Key Observation:
Swing high formed inside this zone, indicating liquidity trap.
Potential fake-out or strong rejection from this area.
Strong confluence with a descending resistance trendline, adding to the selling pressure.
🔵 Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Retracement Targets
FVG identified just below the current price (~103.5k-104.5k).
Price is projected to:
Reject from the current high.
Drop to fill the FVG zone.
Possibly bounce between FVG and Fibonacci retracement levels:
0.5
0.618
0.786
🔴 Volume & RSI Divergence
Volume breakout is noted on the last push down (bottom red annotation), followed by a retrace.
OBV shows bullish divergence with price:
🔻 Support Structure
Lower red trendline is a key long-term support.
Previous swing low aligns with this trendline – buyers showed strong interest here.
If FVG fails to hold, expect a retest of this trendline near 97,000–98,000.
📈 Likely Scenarios
Base Case (Neutral-Bearish):
Price rejects current zone (~107,000).
Pullback into FVG (101–104K).
Bounce to 105K (minor resistance), then decide next direction.
Bullish Breakout:
If price breaks and closes above 110K, it invalidates supply zone.
Opens door to 115–118K range.
Bearish Breakdown:
Fails FVG zone.
Tests previous swing low and support (~97K).
Below that, structure becomes macro bearish.
🧩 Summary
Short-Term: Retracement into FVG likely. Monitor reaction.
Medium-Term: Bearish bias while price is below 110K.
Invalidation for bears: Clean break and hold above 110K.
DOT ANALYSIS (3D)Polkadot appears to have reached a fresh and significant support zone, which is potentially where the corrective wave C may come to an end.
If wave C completes here, the price could begin a strong recovery. However, it’s important to note that this is a higher time frame setup, so reaching the targets may take some time.
As long as the green support zone holds, the price can move toward the mentioned targets. The targets are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A ranging day and honestly, very frustrating for traders due to the up and down which hasn't allowed us to really hold without ridiculous stop losses. We hit the target yesterday, we're still not retesting that low so those entries are still active, but we really need to see this break above the 3335 level to go higher.
For that reason, we will say if red box active continues to support the price we can look for this to go a little higher but that 3340-45 level is the one to watch. The daily has flipped for lower pricing so tomorrow a high may be put in before further declines.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
AR Looks Bullish (1D)The AR symbol appears to be completing a double corrective pattern | the first part being a plapyonic diametric and the second part a flat. The green zone represents a demand area that could potentially push the price upward. Note that this type of setup is generally safer for spot trading, while futures trading would require more precise entry levels.
Targets are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Again, just like yesterday, we completed the long trade into the red box, RIPPED then played red box hockey before swooping the low and coming back up. What madness on the markets with continuous whipsawing which is not allowing traders to hold positions without huge stop losses.
For now, we have support at the 3325-8 level which if held should give us a move upside towards the red box. What we want to see here is do we get a lower high or not?
MA's still drawn together and more choppy price action expected in the sessions to come.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
POTENTIAL EURUSD SHORT OPPORTUNITY...POSITION TRADEHello hello TradingView family! Hope you guys are doing amazingly well! Just wanted to come on here and make another post for a potential longer term opportunity I am seeing on the major currency pair EURUSD. So put your seat belts on and let's dive in!!
OK so I'm going to keep this very very simple. Not because I don't want to go in depth but because my trading is very simple and I'm just going to give it to you straight. So here are the points
1. Price is @ monthly supply
2. Price has made new highs & sitting at a monthly fib extension
3. Monthly RSI overbought conditions
4. Weekly has bearish divergence forming
5. Weekly/Daily buyer is slowing down
Make sense? If not..then I know you will figure it out. Watch for price to potentially poke a little higher but nice confluences for a fall in price. Appreciate you all!
GJ Potentially BearishHi there,
We take another look at GJ. I see an ascending channel pattern with GBP/JPY trading within parallel trendlines. The pair respected both the upper and lower boundaries of this bullish channel, with the current price action showing consolidation near the upper resistance around 198.20 levels.
🎙️ **Key Support and Resistance Levels**
We have critical levels at the time of this writing as following:
- **Immediate Support**: 197.30 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement level) and 196.434 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement)
- **Major Support**: 194.0 37 representing the main channel support
- **Resistance**: 198.80 acting as the primary obstacle.
- **Extended Target**: 199.55 as the next potential bullish objective
**Wave Structure Analysis**
We have ABC wave pattern, with the pair seeming to have completed a Wave (C) bullish rally and now forming a temporary retracement. The current consolidation suggests the pair is "catching its breath" before a breakout.
## 🎲 Some Fundamental Highlights Appealing to Bullish Bias:
**1. Bank of England's Cautious Easing Stance**
BoE Governor Bailey has signaled a "gradual and careful" approach to monetary policy, pointing to sticky inflation concerns while acknowledging a softening labor market with over 100,000 fewer payrolled workers in May. This measured approach is keeping the British Pound supported near year-to-date highs.
**2. Bank of Japan's Divided Policy Response**
The BoJ remains cautious despite rising inflationary pressures, with Governor Ueda maintaining a data-dependent approach. While hawkish board member Naoki Tamura suggests "decisive" rate hikes may be needed, the central bank's measured pace at just 0.5% rates keeps the Yen defensive against stronger currencies.
**3. Inflation Dynamics Favoring GBP**
Japan's Consumer Price Index has surged due to higher food and energy costs, yet the BoJ's hesitant response contrasts with the BoE's more proactive stance on inflation management. This divergence in central bank responses to inflation is supporting GBP strength against the Yen.
**4. Upcoming Japanese Economic Data Releases**
Key Japanese economic indicators are scheduled for release, including June Tokyo CPI, May Unemployment Rate, and Retail Trade data. These releases could provide clarity on the BoJ's future policy direction and potentially impact the Yen's performance against the Pound.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice.
XAUUSD/GOLD/SellThe pressure from the bears is too great. In the end, the pressure from above was not broken. Instead, it broke out and fell after being under pressure. The stop loss was hit.
The current price is 3285. After gradually boosting the US dollar index. The trend of gold prices has continued to fall. More importantly, the tariff issue has been eased. At the same time, geopolitical factors are also orderly and stable. This is the news that caused the bears to attack.
History has not become the savior because of repeating itself. Of course, this is also an emergency. In some transactions, the extremely low probability of causing losses is a common problem in transactions. However, our analysis team has stabilized a high trading win rate.
Then the next trading plan is still to focus on the pressure from above. If the London market rebounds above 3300. It is still mainly selling. 3314 is an important level for short-term rebound, and we need to pay attention. Although there is no obvious sign of rebound yet, the release of short-selling pressure has been alleviated because the decline is slow. Today's main trading idea is still to sell at high levels.
The target is to focus on the position of 3264-3248. Remember the risk of buying at low levels. Do not trade independently.
#USDCAD: Two Major Buying Zones, Patience Pays! As previously analysed, USDCAD is expected to decline towards our predetermined entry point. We anticipate a bearish US Dollar for the remainder of the week, which will ultimately lead USDCAD to reach the entry zone. Three distinct target areas exist, collectively worth over 1100 pips. Each entry point, stop loss, and take profit is clearly defined.
We wish you the best of luck and safe trading.
Thank you for your support.
If you wish to assist us, we encourage you to consider the following actions:
- Like our ideas
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- Share our ideas
Kind Regards,
Team Setupsfx_
Much Love ❤️🚀
USOIL:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran has eased geopolitical tensions, exerting downward pressure on oil prices. Meanwhile, market rumors suggest the U.S. may ease sanctions on Iran, and China will continue purchasing Iranian crude, further intensifying the downtrend.
Data from U.S. oil services firm Baker Hughes shows the number of active crude oil rigs in the U.S. decreased by 1 to 438 in the week ending June 20, reflecting changes in crude production to some extent.
Technical Analysis (4-Hour Chart):
USOIL prices have fallen sharply from the high of $76.00 and are currently hovering near $65.00, approaching the S2 pivot point at around $64.69 and the 4-hour 200-period moving average. The prior appearance of a long candlestick may signal short-term support.
Bullish scenario: If more bullish candles follow, oil prices may rebound to $70.00.
Trading Strategy :
Prioritize long positions on pullbacks.
buy@64-64.5
TP:66-67
Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now!
👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
During today’s Asian session, we targeted the key support at 3330 and publicly initiated a pullback long strategy. The market fully validated our forecast: three touches of 3330 triggered strong rebounds, with price stabilizing and rallying to 3350 where we took profits—solid daily gains achieved.
Overnight positions: Longs from lower levels remain open as price turns upward, with bullish momentum continuing to strengthen.Firmly hold existing low-level long positions. In an uptrend, every pullback presents an opportunity to add to positions—the depth of corrections will determine the height of future rallies. Stay tuned for the explosive main upward trend!
Trading Strategy:
Adopt a buy-on-dip approach on pullbacks.
buy@3315-3325
TP:3340-3350
Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now!
👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/27/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 22713.50
- PR Low: 22669.25
- NZ Spread: 98.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (YoY|MoM)
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 6/27)
- Session Open ATR: 348.99
- Volume: 21K
- Open Int: 260K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -1.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23239
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
USD/CAD 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental AnalUSD/CAD 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The Bank of Canada (BoC) recently held its benchmark interest rate steady at 2.75%, providing temporary support to the Canadian dollar (CAD). This decision pushed the loonie to an eight-month high as markets interpreted it as a sign of cautious optimism from the BoC.
However, recent data paints a more mixed picture. Weak May retail sales and cooling labor market figures have raised expectations for a possible rate cut later this year, which could weigh heavily on the CAD if confirmed. This divergence in short-term strength and longer-term concern is currently shaping the USD/CAD price action.
Technical Outlook:
USD/CAD has fallen to fresh weekly lows around 1.3626–1.3630, following a breakout above a key level at 1.3680, which was immediately followed by Accumulation and liquidity sweep below that breakout zone.
After hunting stop-losses, price is now pulling back and preparing for potential distribution, as smart money behavior appears to be unfolding.
A limit buy setup is forming at the area of reaccumulation.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 1.36390 (Buy Limit Order)
🛡 Stop-Loss: 1.36300 (Below liquidity grab)
🎯 Take Profit: 1.36680 (Next minor resistance / ~1:2.5 RR)
This trade idea is supported by institutional patterns — breakout, liquidity grab, and reaccumulation — which suggest a bullish continuation move if structure holds.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
Jade Lizard on PLTR - My 53DTE Summer Theta PlayMany of you — and yes, I see you in my DMs 😄 — are trading PLTR, whether using LEAPS, wheeling, or covered calls.
I took a closer look. And guess what?
📈 After a strong move higher, PLTR was rejected right at the $143 call wall — pretty much all cumulative expiries cluster resistance there
Using the GEX Profile indicator, scanning all expirations:
After a brief dip, the market is repositioning bullish
Squeeze zone extends up to 150
The most distant GEX level is sitting at 160
On the downside, 130 is firm support, with some presence even at 120 — the market isn’t pricing in much risk below that
📉 From a technical standpoint:
We’re near all-time highs
125 (previous ATH) and 100 are key support levels
The OTM delta curve through August is wide, and the call side is paying well — with a current call pricing skew
🔬 IVx is at 57, trending lower + call pricing skew📉 IV Rank isn't particularly high, but the directional IVx matters more here
💡 Summer Theta Play: Jade Lizard on PLTR
Since I’ll be traveling this summer and don’t want to micromanage trades, I looked for something low-touch and high-confidence — and revisited an old favorite: the Jade Lizard.
If you're not familiar with the strategy, I recommend checking out Tastytrade's links and videos on Jade Lizards.
🔹 Why this setup?
Breakeven sits near $100, even with no management
On TastyTrade margin:~$1800 initial margin ~$830 max profit
53 DTE — plenty of time for theta to work
Earnings hit in August — I plan to close before then
Covers all bullish GEX resistance zones
Quickly turns profitable if IV doesn’t spike
Highly adjustable if needed
My conclusion: this strategy covers a much broader range than what the current GEX Profile shows across all expirations — so by my standards, I consider this to be a relatively lower-risk setup compared to most other symbols right now with similar theta strategies.
🔧 How would I adjust if needed?
If price moves up:
I’d roll the short put up to collect additional credit
Hold the call vertical as long as the curve supports it
If price drops:
Transition into a put ratio spread
Either extend or remove the call vertical depending on conditions
🛑 What’s the cut loss plan?
I have about 20% wiggle room on the upside, so I’m not too worried — but if price rips through 160 quickly, I’ll have to consider early closure.
If that happens, the decision depends on time:
If late in the cycle with low DTE:→ Take a small loss & roll out to next month for credit
If early with lots of DTE remaining:→ Consider converting to a butterfly, pushing out the call vertical for a small debit→ Offset this with credit from rolling the put upward
As always — stay sharp, manage your risk, and may the profit be with you.
See you next week!– Greg @ TanukiTrade