GOLD Technical Analysis - Deeper Pullback in PlayOANDA:XAUUSD remains within a broader ascending channel, but recent price action suggests that the market is undergoing a deeper corrective phase. Following a prolonged bullish rally, price appears overextended and is now pulling back more decisively.
This correction aligns with expectations for a healthy retracement after such strong upward momentum. I anticipate that the pullback will extend further toward the $3,160 level, a key technical level defined by the confluence of horizontal support, ascending trendline support, and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish impulse.
This zone will be critical for determining whether the broader bullish structure remains intact. If price holds at this level and shows signs of reversal, it may present a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers. However, a decisive break below this zone would invalidate the current bullish structure and open the door to a deeper correction.
Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
Supply and Demand
BITCOIN Analysis: Potential Pullback and ContinuationCOINBASE:BTCUSD is currently trading within an ascending channel, reflecting a clear bullish structure. The price may pull back toward the lower boundary of the channel before potentially continuing higher. This dynamic support offers a confluence area for a possible bullish reaction. A successful retest here could open the path for a move toward the $102,000 level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and represents a logical bullish target.
However, a failure to hold this dynamic support could indicate weakening bullish momentum and may shift the short-term bias to neutral or bearish.
Traders should watch for confirmation signals such as bullish engulfing patterns, strong rejection wicks at the lower trendline, or increasing volume on the bounce before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or if you see it differently! 🚀
GBPCAD at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 1.83680?OANDA:GBPCAD has reached a significant resistance zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong selling pressure. This level has historically acted as a key supply area, increasing the likelihood of a bearish bounce if sellers regain control.
With the price now testing this resistance, I anticipate a potential downward move toward the 1.83680 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. Traders should watch for confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or rejection wicks, to validate the potential for a reversal.
Do you agree with this analysis? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
BTCUSDT Roadmap From Demand to Potential Sell-Off ZoneBitcoin has successfully broken the descending trendline resistance, confirming a bullish continuation toward the upper levels. Price is currently supported by the Immediate Demand Zone between 90,970 and 92,917. Below that, a stronger support lies around the Strong Demand Zone between 84,011 and 86,374.
If momentum holds, Bitcoin is poised to test the 103,898 - 107,211 region, identified as a Dangerous Supply Zone where potential heavy sell-offs could occur. An extended push could aim for the projected high at 105,428.
Invalidation would occur if price sharply falls below 84,000, returning pressure to the downside. Structure remains bullish as long as higher demand zones continue to hold.
GBPUSD I Weekly CLS, KL - M OB, Model 1 , Target 50% CLSHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
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THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
We wanted this to test that high and give us the short which worked well and gave us a good start to the week. While price came into the lower range level our indicators kept suggesting this was going up so we said we would protect and manage, and the those who wanted to trade the red boxes
Now we're at crucial resistance, and because the daily range is so large it's a zone of 3348-58. That turns support into the 3325-30 which will need to hold in order for price to go up! That double bottom was concerning as mentioned in the KOG Report, however, we did want lower to come back up here, unfortunately, that swing turned into scalping.
We'll stick with the chart as it is, break above and we'll look for higher, otherwise, this is the region to keep an eye on!
RED BOXES INDI LEVELS:
Break above 3320 for 3327✅ , 3330 ✅ , 3335✅ , 3345✅ , 3347✅ and above that 3362 in extension of the move
Break below 3310, for 3306✅ , 3297✅ , 3295✅ , 3280✅ , 3266 and 3255 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Bitcoin: Structural Patterns To WatchBy anchoring the triangle’s resistance line through 4 distinct highs and the support line through 2 unviolated major lows, we establish a structurally reliable formation. This repeated validation lends statistical weight to both boundaries.
In this context, the resistance zone gains significance as a high-probability density region — a zone where price has historically reversed with consistency. The longer price remains confined within this converging structure, the more meaningful its breakout or rejection becomes, due to the underlying compression of nested cycles and volatility.
This reinforces the view that the triangle, what is perceived as geometric, is in fact probabilistic corridor governing the limits of price behavior until structural tension resolves.
In classical fractal systems, self-similarity means similar patterns recur across scales. Scaling laws define how measurements (e.g., time between peaks, range of swings) relate across levels.
However, within a triangle (even ascending one in this case), amplitude decays as each leg becomes shorter — violating the assumption of consistent proportionality across scales. Time intervals tighten, disrupting the expected temporal rhythm. Energy dissipates into a narrower price structure — akin to an entropic bottleneck in a dynamic system.
This reflects Mandelbrot’s insight:
“Markets alternate between phases of tight control and sudden chaos.”
These distortions suggest that fractal dimension becomes non-stationary, adapting locally as price compresses. If we take a look at fractal shapes we can see how patterns of same classification whether continuation or reversal can be distorted over big intervals of cycles.
The legitimate concern at this point is to work out what will happen structure when price supposedly breaks out from any side. Since triangular formation is still unviolated, I'll use those angles to integrate fibonacci channels that would mark ends of those breakouts.
Current price is circled violet and yellow due to uncertainty. If it's just a pullback (reaction to drop from ATH) then we assume bearish continuation.However, there remains a valid chance of the structure evolving into a bullish impulse. Due to this ambiguity, I’ll be watching the next 2–3 daily candles to determine whether the fractal hierarchy confirms a directional resolution.
Drift Analysis (1D)It seems that DRIFT is completing wave C of a larger triangle, and wave C itself has also formed a triangle.
We are currently in wave d of C. This wave is expected to complete within the green zone, after which we anticipate moving towards the targets for wave e of C.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to continue upside into the region given which gave us a fantastic capture for the start of the week. We then had to adapt as the bias level and targets on the red box indi changed suggesting more upside. We continued to complete all our bias above targets as well as Excalibur and LiTE giving us 100% again for the week!
It wasn’t easy as it sounds, it took a lot of work and constant monitoring but the pip capture on gold was out of this world and well worth it!
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
For this week we seem to be creating a DB on the 4hr chart which entails caution. We have resistance just above at the 3330-35 with extension 3240-45 region which if attacked and rejected in the early session could give the potential short trade into the support level 3295-8 which is the key level that needs to break for us to go lower.
There is a lot of liquidity above, especially those who like us shorted and held trades from the 3450 levels so the bias this week changes to the 3350-55 level, break above and we will confirm the move higher, otherwise, our thoughts are a test is likely on the high but we would like to get that long from lower to again create a new ATH.
Let’s see how we open, these markets need to be adapted to every day so making long terms plans as intra-day traders isn’t on our agenda at the moment. The market is giving short term, so why not take advantage of the conditions while they last.
Potential for gaps on open so please be careful, we’re on red boxes and extreme levels only.
RED BOXES INDI LEVELS:
Break above 3320 for 3327, 3330, 3335, 3345, 3347 and above that 3362 in extension of the move
Break below 3310, for 3306, 3297, 3295, 3280, 3266 and 3255 in extension of the move
Even the scalping levels are HUGE!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Ethereum Technical OutlookEthereum remains in its overall downtrend 📉; however, the recent sharp upward move shows early bullish signals 🟢.
The highlighted supply zone in red ($1994–$2012) could serve as a strong resistance area, potentially triggering a pullback.
Additionally, the daily flip level (marked in green) may also act as a barrier, pushing price lower.
Despite the bearish setup around these zones, we do not anticipate a deeper correction for ETH.
Any pullback is expected to be limited to the $1760 level, after which a bullish continuation and a potential breakout of the descending trendline are anticipated.
GBPUSD is Forming a Weekly Double Top!!!Hey Traders!
In today's session, we're closely watching GBPUSD for a potential short setup around the 1.34200 level.
The pair is currently forming a double top pattern on the weekly timeframe, a classic reversal signal. Price action is showing signs of rejection at the neckline, suggesting possible downside momentum from this key resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
ALCH Looks Bearish (8H)ALCH is one of the altcoins that began its bullish rally earlier than others.
From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, it appears that an ABC correction has completed.
As long as the red box is maintained, price may move toward the FVG zone.
Targets are marked on the chart.
Additionally, a liquidity pool is forming below the candles, which is expected to be swept soon
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this bearish outlook.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Long trade
AUDNZD Buyside Trade – Full Journal
Date/Time: Monday, 28th April 2025, 6:00 PM (Tokyo Session PM)
Pair: AUDNZD
Session: Tokyo PM
Entry TF: (5min)
Structure (30min)
🔹 Entry: 1.07603
🔹 Take Profit: 1.08119 (+0.48%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.07487 (–0.11%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 4.45
Trade Reasoning
Price showed a bullish internal shift in structure with consecutive higher lows into the Tokyo PM session.
30min TF
When Moving Averages Meet the Demand ZoneOne of the simplest ways to identify the market trend is by using the moving average (MA) indicator.
When price moves above the MA, it's generally considered an uptrend.
When price moves below the MA, it's seen as a downtrend.
Aside from showing the trend, moving averages can also act as dynamic support and resistance:
In an uptrend, the MA acts as support — meaning if price retraces into the MA, it often bounces back and continues upward.
In a downtrend, the MA acts as resistance — price tends to reject the MA and move lower.
In BINANCE:WIFUSDT , the moving average is currently acting as support, and price is pulling back into a confluence zone between 0.584 – 0.558, where the MA meets a demand zone. This setup increases the probability of the pullback ending and the uptrend continuing.
The confirmation for a bullish continuation would be a break and close above 0.620.
If that happens, the next target zone is between 0.763 – 0.789.
Keep a close eye when price approaches the previous high. The ideal scenario is a strong impulsive breakout. The worst-case scenario would be a rejection or false breakout from that level.
Alright, what's your take on BINANCE:WIFUSDT ?
USDJPY Bearish Forecast, More Bearish Order FlowAfter the recent change of character from Monday, UJ continued lower and broke the H1 structure. As we all know, whenever you get a break of structure, expect a pullback. On the H4 there is a nice bearish OB which serves as a nice point of interest for price to rally back towards, be mindful this OB is big so we don't know what to expect once price reaches it.
For now this is how I see the dollar heading towards.
$BTC back to $59-62kAs you can see from the chart, BTC is rejecting from the range highs which sets up the next (and final) leg lower before we continue the bull run.
Despite the bounce over the last few weeks, all we've done is retested the area which we broke down from back in February.
Now this sets up a large move lower down to the lower support levels at GETTEX:59K -$62k.
After we tag those levels, we'll continue our next move higher into 2026-2027.
BTCUSD Testing Key Resistance Ahead of FOMC – Prepare for Volati🧠 Summary:
Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) is currently testing a major resistance zone around $95 000 -- this is a strong supply zone from February. We have a lot of macroeconomic data and FOMC meeting coming soon so be prepared for some volatility.
🔍 Key Levels:
- Resistance zone: $94 000 - $98 000
- Support zone: $86 000 - $83 000
- Major Support zone: $72 000 - $68 000
📅 Upcoming Events:
Tuesday (Today):
JOLTS Jobs Openings – est. 7.5M. A beat could signal a still-tight labor market, giving the Fed less room to ease.
Wednesday:
Q1 GDP: Expected at just 0.5% — soft, but likely already priced in.
Core PCE (MoM): Forecasted at 0.1%, which is soft and typically market-friendly, though this excludes post-tariff pressures.
Friday:
Non-Farm Payrolls: est. +130K
Unemployment Rate: Expected to hold at 4.2%
📊 Macro & Fed Context:
It currently seems unlikely that the FED's are going to cut rates this meeting. (see Forbes & USA Today ).
📈 Technical Outlook:
With no imminent policy shift from the Fed, Bitcoin may remain rangebound for the next few weeks. A break above GETTEX:98K would be bullish, but without a catalyst, there’s potential for a pullback — possibly toward the $72K support zone — before resuming upward momentum.
🧭 Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice):
Patience is key here. I’m avoiding FOMO at current levels and waiting for clearer confirmation — whether that’s a breakout above resistance or a retest of major support around $72K.
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HYPER Analysis (4H)From where we placed the red arrow on the chart, the HYPER correction has started.
This corrective pattern might be diametric, with wave E near completion.
By maintaining the green box, it could move toward the targets, which are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDJPY: Will the Yen Weaken Against the Dollar?
In the previous analysis, we accurately highlighted the pair’s decline toward the key 140 support level. After testing this support, the dollar has started to gain against the yen. With several key events lined up this week, the expectation that the Bank of Japan will maintain its interest rate policy could lead to yen weakness and support our bullish scenario. However, any resurgence in risk-off sentiment may reopen the door for a decline and reactivate the bearish outlook.
AUDCAD Still Ranging — Watch These Breakout ZonesAUDCAD remains stuck in a tight 50 pip range between 0.88499 and 0.88983 🌀
We’re still playing the same zones from yesterday’s analysis.
📌 Areas of interest remain:
Break above 0.88983 for potential continuation
Next key level: 0.89514
Until then, it's a waiting game.