Market Watch UPDATES! FOREX Major PairsWelcome to the Market Watch Updates for Monday, July 14th.
In this video, we will give the forecast updates for the following markets:
USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF and USDJPY.
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All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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Supply and Demand
$BTC 5-Wave Impulse > ABC Correction > CME GapCRYPTOCAP:BTC appears to be headed towards an ABC correction after this impulsive 5-wave move to the upside
Would be a great opportunity to fill the CME gap ~$114k
Lines up perfectly with the 50% gann level retracement to confirm the next leg
don't shoot the messenger..
just sharing what i'm seeing 🥸
#AUDUSD: +1100 Pips Possible Swing Bullish Move! AUDUSD a strong sign of bullish behaviour has appeared alongside bullish momentum. As we have NFP tomorrow, we expect market to remain volatile; what we think now is to have market settled down before we can have any confirmation. We recommend to remain extra cautious tomorrow, once market get settled we can then enter with accurate risk management.
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Team Setupsfx_
#ETHUSDT: Currently On The Way Towards Filling The FVG?ETCUSDT is currently experiencing a significant correction as the price approaches a pivotal juncture where a substantial bullish price reversal is anticipated, potentially propelling it to new all-time highs or even surpassing them. It is imperative to exercise meticulous risk management and conduct your own thorough analysis before engaging in any cryptocurrency trading or investment activities.
Should the price indeed undergo a major correction, it is likely to decline to our second designated area, where it is anticipated to fill the liquidity gap and subsequently reverse course, continuing its trajectory towards our established targets.
Please consider this analysis as a secondary influence only, or even solely for educational purposes. It is crucial to conduct your own independent analysis and risk management prior to engaging in any cryptocurrency trading or investment endeavours, as they inherently carry substantial financial risks.
We extend our best wishes and encourage you to trade safely and responsibly.
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Thank you for your consideration.
Have a pleasant weekend.
Team Setupsfx_
#EURNZD: Wait For Price Breakthrough,Swing Buy With ConfirmationEURNZD is trading at a critical level where the price has previously rejected multiple times. If the price breaks through this region, we could see a swing move and touch the previous higher high. The main question is to wait for a proper breakthrough. When the price does that, we can enter with confirmation. Remember, patience is key!
Good luck and trade safely. Do your own due diligence.
Team Setupsfx_
GBPUSD: Two Strong Bullish Area To Buy From ?GU is currently in a bullish trend when examined on a daily time frame. There are two potential areas for purchase. The first area is currently active, as we anticipate a price reversal from this point. There is a significant possibility that price could decline to the second area and subsequently reverse from there directly. The sole reason we believe price could drop to the second area is if the US Dollar experiences corrections, which could cause GU to drop to our second area and subsequently rebound.
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❤️🚀
XAUUSD trade idea🟣 Current Market Behavior
Price has reached a resistance zone around 3355–3360, previously respected as a supply area.
A rejection candle or price weakness at this level is triggering a short-term bearish outlook.
🔻 Short-Term Bearish Plan
Sell entry zone: 3355–3360
> Target for this sell (TP): 3320
➤ This suggests a possible drop of around 250–300 pips from the current high.
> Reason: The price is expected to make a technical correction after hitting a resistance level.
🔼 Mid-Term Bullish Plan
: After reaching the 3320 support area, the chart expects a bullish reversal or continuation of the uptrend.
> Buy setup target: 3395–3400
➤ This level represents the next potential bullish wave after the correction.
> Reason: The overall pattern remains bullish. The idea assumes this drop is temporary and part of a healthy pullback before the uptrend resumes.
📝 Summary:
Phase 1: Sell from 3355–3360 to 3320 (correction phase)
Phase 2: Buy from 3320 toward 3395–3400 (bullish continuation)
Strategy combines resistance rejection + correction + trend continuation principles.
Bittensor TAO Eyes Next Upside Target📈 BINANCE:TAOUSD attracted strong demand in the Blue Box buying zone at $302–$214, triggering the next bullish leg.
Elliott Wave projections now point toward a move into the $608–$684 target area, supported by impulsive structure and rising momentum.
As long as price holds above the recent low, the bullish sequence remains intact.
AUDCAD Wk Top Down Bullish Price Action Analysis 1.The weekly price is reaching a premium zone, suggesting a potential reversal or reaction area.
2. Daily BOS + Tap into Daily imbalance FVG.
3. HR is still in a bullish sentiment
4. Waiting for 15 minutes for displacement or BOS
5. Tap into 15 minutes of FVG.
5: Pending price action...
XAUUSD - Gold Awaits Tariff News?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the hourly chart and is trading in its medium-term ascending channel. We remain bullish on the commodity and can expect to see $3,400. A correction towards the demand zones would provide us with a better risk-reward buying opportunity.
Gold markets experienced significant volatility this past week, largely driven by global trade developments and speculation over future Federal Reserve actions. Although gold posted a positive weekly performance, it remained confined within its recent trading range and continued to trade cautiously.
Marc Chandler, CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex, noted, “Gold saw declines on Monday and Tuesday, but a three-day rally brought the week to a positive close. It appears that the announcement of new U.S. tariffs played a major role in this rebound. However, it remains uncertain whether the consolidation phase following the historic high near $3,500 has concluded.”
Adam Button, head of currency strategy at Forexlive.com, said that since the passage of the “Big, Beautiful Bill” last week, markets have split into two opposing camps. “The optimists are enthusiastically buying equities, while the pessimists are flocking to precious metals. The bulls believe the budget deficit could stimulate growth, but the bears are concerned about the long-term burden of repaying it.”
He continued: “This divide is evident across the market. Bearish capital is flowing into bitcoin, silver, and gold. While retail traders are largely focused on bitcoin and silver, gold remains the preferred safe haven for central banks and global reserve managers. These institutions are likely observing Trump’s policies and the political landscape carefully before reducing reliance on the U.S. dollar and reallocating reserves toward gold.” He added, “Among retail traders, patience seems to have worn thin, and many are ready to enter the market aggressively.”
Button also stated that the markets are no longer reacting seriously to Trump’s tariff rhetoric. “The reaction of the Canadian dollar after the 35% tariff announcement on Thursday clearly reflected this indifference. Even the Brazilian real barely moved despite facing unexpected tariffs. Now all eyes are on the potential tariffs on Europe—an announcement that could come at any moment and serve as a key test. Still, I expect the market will shrug it off. The only question is whether that indifference lasts an hour or even less.”
Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank has issued a warning that financial markets may be underestimating the risk of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell being dismissed by Trump. According to Bloomberg, George Saravelos, the bank’s senior strategist, said that such a move could result in a 3–4% drop in the U.S. dollar and a 30–40 basis point surge in Treasury yields within a single day.
He emphasized that removing Powell would be a significant blow to the Fed’s independence and would raise concerns about direct political interference in monetary policymaking. The market’s long-term response would depend on Trump’s nominee to replace Powell, how other Fed officials react, and the overall state of the economy. Deutsche Bank also warned that the U.S.’s weak external financing position could amplify market volatility well beyond the initial shock.
Looking ahead to next week, investors will be closely watching developments around trade tariffs, but special attention will also be paid to the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June. According to the ISM Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), prices in the manufacturing sector have slightly accelerated, while price components in the non-manufacturing sector have dropped notably. Since manufacturing only accounts for 10% of U.S.GDP, the risks to CPI appear skewed to the downside. A slowdown in inflation may lead some market participants to reassess the likelihood of a July rate cut—potentially halting the recent upward momentum of the U.S. dollar.
On Wednesday, June’s Producer Price Index (PPI) data will be released, followed by June retail sales figures on Thursday. Additionally, Friday will see the preliminary results of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey for July. This report is closely watched for its one-year inflation expectations. The annual rate surged to 6.6% in May before dropping to 5% in June. If this downward trend continues, it could reinforce the view that inflation risks are easing, potentially leading to a modest pullback in the dollar.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to spike down into potentially the extension level 3310 and then give us the tap and bounce we wanted to be able to capture the long trade in to the 3345-50 region initially. It was those higher resistance levels that we said we would stick with and the bias was bearish below. This move resulted in a decent long trade upside into the region we wanted, and then the decline we witnessed mid-week completing all of our bearish target levels which were shared with everyone.
On top of that, we got the bounce we wanted for the long trade but only back up into the 3335 level which was an Excalibur active target. The rest, we just sat and watched on Friday as unless we were already in the move, the only thing we could have done is get in with the volume, which isn’t a great idea with the limited pull backs.
All in all, a great week in Camelot not only on Gold, but also the other pairs we trade with the DAX swing trade being a point to point swing move executed with precision by the team.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We’ll keep it simple again this week but will say this, there seems we may see a curveball on the way this week. With tariff news over the weekend we may see price open across the markets with gaps, one thing we will say is if you see these gaps, don’t gap chase until you see a clean reversal!
We have the higher level here of 3375-85 resistance and lower support here 3350-45. If support holds on open we may see that push upside into the red box which is the one that needs to be monitored. Failure to breach can result in a correction all the way back down into the 3335 level initially. Again, this lower support level is the key level for this week and needs to be monitored for a breach which should then result in a completed correction of the move.
Our volume indicators are suggesting a higher high can take place here and if we do get a clean reversal we should see this pull back deeply. As usual we will follow the strategy that has been taught and let Excalibur guide the way.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3350 with targets above 3360, 3373, 3375 and 3383 for now
Bearish below 3350 with targets below 3340, 3335, 3329, 3320 and 3310 for now
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3365 for 3372, 3375, 3382, 3390 and 3406 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3340, 3335, 3329, 3322 and 3310 in extension of the move
It’s a HUGE RANGE this week so play caution, wait for the right set ups, don’t treat it like it’s your every day market condition. News from Tuesday so expect Monday to be choppy!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
NZDJPY: Another Bullish Wave Ahead?! 🇳🇿🇯🇵
NZDJPY violated a significant daily resistance cluster last week.
The broken structure and a rising trend line compose a
contracting demand zone now.
That will be the area from where I will anticipate a bullish movement.
Next resistance - 89.0
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DOGE | Gearing up For a BIG MOVEDoge is looking mighty bullish after establishing a clear bottom.
Together with confirmation from BTC, we can safely say that altseason is yet ahead of us. BTC's recent increase show that the bullish impulse is still upon us. And after ETH increases, the rest of the altcoin market will follow suit as per usual.
DOGE is bullish because:
✅ Clear bottom
✅ Higher lows, daily looking to reclaim the moving averages:
✅ Altseason upon us after ETH increase
Ultimately, we need to wait for confirmation - if THIS major resistance zone is cleared (in other words if daily candles close ABOVE this zone) then we're full bull mode.
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BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
WTI Oil – From Conflict to StrategyBack on April 24, I marked a short zone. On June 11, price broke above that level, giving a long opportunity — which I took.
Unfortunately, it coincided with the tragic military strike by Israel on Iran, pushing oil sharply higher. I’ve pinned that analysis.
Following the ceasefire, price dropped again — just a reminder that geopolitics can shake the charts.
As traders, we stay prepared to act, even while acknowledging the deep sadness of lives lost.
Now I wait for price to reach my marked level again. If I get a valid signal, I’ll short.
But if price breaks and holds above, I’ll buy the pullback — with no bias, just pure execution.
Risk-managed. Emotion-neutral. Opportunity-focused.