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Supply and Demand

SUI NEXT MVOE HERE SUI/USDT Technical Analysis Market Structure The FVG/USDT chart displays an interesting ascending channel pattern that has been developing over the past several weeks. This type of pattern is characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows, which suggests strong bullish momentum in the market. EXIT IF #SUI *** BREAKOUT SUPPORT LINE ANE RETEST AGAIN *** RE-BUY ZONE : $2.4 - $2.6 THEN TP1 : $3.5 TP2 : $4.2 It's crucial to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and proper risk management is essential. Always conduct your own thorough research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
Short
by Supachai-Taechapisit
MELANI- Chart - Identifying Bearish Trend and Potential TradeMELANIA/USDT Chart Analysis Greetings, let's take a closer look at the MELANIA/USDT chart and unpack the key details: Overview The chart displays an interesting pattern - a clear descending channel formation with lower lows and lower highs over the past few days. This suggests a strong bearish momentum in the MELANIA MEME. Key Levels 1. Resistance: The yellow descending trendline acts as a key resistance level. Breaking above this trendline could signal a potential trend reversal. 2. Support: The zone around $2.65 appears to be an important support area. A break below this could lead to further downside. 3. Stop Loss: Given the bearish structure, a stop loss order placed slightly above the previous swing high at $2.5 would be prudent. Price Targets 1. TP1: $6.3 - This level represents the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the recent downswing. 2. TP2: $7.2 - This is the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, which is a common target for bullish reversals. Trading Strategy Based on the current chart structure, a bearish bias is warranted. A potential trading opportunity could be: Entry: Short on a break below the $2.6 - $2.8 support zone. Stop Loss: Slightly above the previous swing high at $2.5 Take Profit 1: $6.3 Take Profit 2: $7.2 It's important to note that the crypto market is highly volatile, so proper risk management is crucial. Always do your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
Long
by Supachai-Taechapisit
AUDCHF at Key Resistance: Bearish Bounce ExpectedOANDA:AUDCHF reached a significant resistance zone marked by previous price rejections and strong seller activity. The current market structure suggests the potential for a bearish bounce at this level if sellers regain control. I anticipate that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance zone, the market may move downward toward the 0.56595 support level. If you have any additional insights or agree with this analysis, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!"
Short
by DanieIM
7
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: We wanted a deeper pull back to be honest but only managed that 2745 level before the push up. Since then we've only managed scalps on the red boxes with an Excalibur target active but volume thinning out over the last few hours. We have drawn a box with the potential range, key level support at 2740 and resistance 2785-90, ideally wanting this to break above the red box and confirm it wants to go higher. This range here however is playing the 20/10 range so until then we can't make any further moves. Our ideal entry level was 2750 which some took and are now protected, otherwise support 2750 if broken look for 2740 and a potential tap and bounce. KOG’s bias of the week: Bullish above 2680-5 with targets above 2720✅, 2730✅, 2735 and above that 2745✅ Bearish on break of 2780 with targets below 2670 and below that 2766 RED BOX TRADERS: Break above 2704 for 2710✅, 2716✅, 2735✅ and 2733✅ in extension of the move Break below 2695 for 2788, 2682, 2680 and 2665 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
19
UPDATE ON EUR/USD ANALYSISEUR/USD 4H - Back with an update for you all, as you can see the analysis I sent out on this market yesterday around 11am has played out just as we wanted it to. I am now sitting on my hands waiting patiently for price to trade us down and into the Demand Zone below deeming us a valid entry. As you all know an entry will come from a penetration and a rejection to the upside. The trade above is running + 56 pips. (+ 3.5%) 3.5RR A big well done to anyone who shorted this market yesterday afternoon after the analysis that was sent out, I will be waiting now for price to trade us down and into a valid area of Demand before trading long. We want to see that penetration, rejection to the upside and for price to deliver us with some relevant breaks to the upside suggesting the end of the correction and the start of the next impulse.
Long
by Lukegforex
XAU/USD 23 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action. Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range. Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later. Intraday Expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line. It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per yesterday's analysis, price printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, however, you will note I have marked the bearish CHoCH and bullish BOS in red. This is because pullback depth was not sufficient as price did not retrace to either discount (or anywhere near) of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone, therefore, I will monitor and continue to reevaluate as price prints. Price has printed a higher high with a further bearish CHoCH. We are now trading within an established internal structure which I will continue to evaluate. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,763.435 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
TRUMP at Key Support Level: Will It Bounce or Break Below?BINANCE:TRUMPUSDT is trading near a key support level that previously acted as a foundation for bullish momentum. The recent price action indicates that this area may serve as a strong demand zone. If bullish confirmation appears, such as increased buying volume or candlestick reversal patterns, I expect the price to move toward 42.00$. Conversely, a break below this support would weaken the bullish scenario and suggest further downside. Traders should monitor this level closely and use proper risk management to navigate potential market volatility.
Long
by TrendDiva
4
XAU/USD H1 Prediction for 23/01/2025📊 Gold Market Analysis Key levels and zones identified for upcoming price action: 🔴 Resistance Zone: • Price faces a strong resistance level around 2,788.266, highlighted by the red zone. This level could act as a potential reversal or breakout point. 🟢 Support Zones: • 2744.4–2764.1: A crucial near-term support level. Price action may retest this zone before showing significant movement. • 2729–2733: Another strong support zone that may provide a solid base for bullish momentum. • 2716–2719: A deeper support zone that could indicate oversold conditions if the price reaches here. 📈 Potential Scenarios: 1️⃣ If the price breaks above 2,771.653, it could retest 2,787.604 and potentially target 2,788.266. 2️⃣ If the price retests the 2744.4–2764.1 zone and holds, a reversal towards 2,771.653 is likely. 3️⃣ In case of a stronger correction, the 2729–2733 zone could come into play as a major support level. Stay vigilant for price action at these key zones to plan your next trade effectively! #GoldTrading #PriceAction #ForexAnalysis #CFDTrading #SupportAndResistance #GoldMarket
TVC:GOLDLong
by FXFOREVER_87
XAUUSD - Gold Awaits Weekend Data Releases?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. If gold rises towards the channel ceiling and supply zones, we can look for short positions targeting the channel midline. The gold market has kicked off 2025 with one of its best starts since 2023 and is on track to achieve its strongest monthly performance since September. Prices are currently testing the high range near $2,750 per ounce. A fund manager noted that this robust start to January could signal another strong year for the precious metal, even after gold recorded a 27% price increase last year. In his 2025 outlook report, Eric Strand, founder of the precious metals-focused AuAg Funds, projected that gold prices will surpass $3,000 per ounce this year. He stated: “We expect gold to break the $3,000 barrier during the year and possibly reach even higher levels by year-end, with a realistic target of $3,300.” Strand’s bullish target represents a 20% increase from current levels. Strand suggested that the new Trump administration might usher in a period of more accommodative monetary policies and larger government stimulus programs. In his report, he explained: “Both Donald Trump and Elon Musk have built their empires on extensive borrowing while driving forward at full speed. This approach will likely persist for the next four years as governments strive to avoid an economic downturn at any cost to create a positive boom. However, the price of this strategy will be monetary inflation. Such an inflationary boom creates a financial environment where commodity prices, including gold, rise significantly.” As U.S. national debt has reached unprecedented levels, now exceeding $36 trillion, Strand highlighted that the United States is not alone in facing this challenge. He emphasized that governments worldwide continue to increase spending through deficit financing. He noted: “The amount of money circulating in the system is increasing without generating substantial real growth, which naturally means each unit of currency becomes less valuable.” Meanwhile, gold prices remain near all-time highs against major currencies such as the euro, British pound, Chinese yuan, Canadian dollar, and Australian dollar. Gold continues to stand out as a safe-haven global asset as the trend of de-globalization accelerates. Countries are moving away from dependence on the U.S. dollar and diversifying their currency reserves. (De-globalization refers to the process of reducing or reversing global integration, including less free trade, restricted capital flows, reduced interdependence, and a rise in nationalist and local policies.) Strand stated: “We have seen the beginning of de-globalization, and it appears to be gaining momentum, particularly as the U.S. seeks to impose conditions that serve its own interests. Policies such as ‘America First’ and high tariffs may benefit the U.S. economy, but they also undermine trust in the country as a leader in free-market economies.” He added: “This new phenomenon is likely to create inflationary pressures and may lead to waves of currency devaluation in other nations as they attempt to offset the effects of tariffs.”
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
XAGUSD - Silver Awaiting Higher Numbers?!On the 4-hour timeframe, silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving within its ascending channel. If the correction continues, we could see the channel bottom. A consolidation above $31 will provide us with a path for silver to rise to the supply zone, where we can sell with a risk-reward ratio. South West Pinnacle Exploration Ltd JV has announced plans to commence exploration for copper, gold, and silver in Block 22B in Oman. The company has signed a concession agreement for this block, which is believed to hold significant potential for further mineral discoveries. Despite some challenges, Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank, holds a more optimistic view on silver due to its dual role as a monetary and industrial metal. He stated, “In 2024, increased industrial demand contributed to a physical deficit in the silver market. Sectors such as electronics and renewable energy, especially photovoltaic (solar) technologies, played a major role in driving this demand.” Hansen predicts that steady industrial demand will keep silver in a supply deficit heading into 2025. This deficit could be further exacerbated by rising financial or “paper demand” through financial instruments like exchange-traded funds (ETFs). (“Paper demand” refers to financial transactions without physical backing, such as futures, options, or ETFs, as opposed to physical commodity purchases.) Hansen also forecasts that silver will continue to outperform gold, expecting the gold-to-silver ratio to decline from the current level of 88 to around 75. His positive outlook on silver aligns with his broader perspective on the commodities market, where he sees greater potential for metals linked to the electrification of the global economy compared to those tied to construction. He elaborated: “Among industrial metals, we maintain our long-term positive outlook on those that support the energy transition, particularly copper and aluminum. These metals are crucial for investments in power grids and the rapid expansion of renewable energy installations, including electric vehicles, solar panels, and wind turbines. On the other hand, we see limited potential for metals like iron ore and steel, which are heavily reliant on construction sector demand.” Meanwhile, trade tensions between the United States and China, which escalated early in Trump’s presidency, appear to be easing. Many major companies, including Nike, Amazon, and Apple, stand to suffer significant losses if tariffs are increased. On the other hand, China has indicated that it is prepared to take retaliatory measures against any new tariffs, which could push Trump toward negotiation rather than confrontation. In response to Trump’s threat of imposing new tariffs on Chinese goods, China’s Ministry of Commerce stated: “China is willing to work with the United States to promote the sustainable and healthy development of economic and trade relations.”
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
USDCHF - Looking for a Weaker Dollar?!The USDCHF pair is trading in its ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe, between the EMA200 and EMA50. In case of a downward correction towards the demand zones, the next long positions in this pair with a good risk-reward ratio will be available for us. Morgan Stanley Investment Bank anticipates that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at its January meeting but is expected to revise its assessment of labor market conditions. Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, is likely to emphasize the reliance on data and prevailing uncertainties while keeping the option for a rate cut in March on the table. Morgan Stanley analysts predict that the Fed may revise its description of the labor market from “cooling” to “stable.” This shift reflects recent employment data trends, which have demonstrated consistency over the past 6 to 9 months. According to Morgan Stanley, Powell is expected to reiterate ongoing progress in reducing inflation, highlighting that monetary policy remains appropriately restrictive. Furthermore, the Fed is likely to delve deeper into balance sheet policies and may signal that the process of balance sheet reduction could soon conclude. Meanwhile, Sergio Ermotti, CEO of UBS, has warned that high government debt could lead to a major crisis. Goldman Sachs, in its analysis of President Donald Trump’s inaugural policy statements, noted that his tariff policies appeared softer than initially expected and currently carry less priority than previously anticipated. The firm also observed that Trump’s rhetoric regarding Mexico and Canada was more aggressive than projected. Goldman Sachs concluded that the likelihood of a global U.S. tariff on all import sectors this year has diminished, thereby reducing the risk of reigniting inflationary pressures. David Solomon, CEO of Goldman Sachs, stated that as the new U.S. administration begins its term, the country’s economy appears to be in excellent shape. He also highlighted that key questions regarding tariffs pertain to their speed of implementation and targeted countries. Solomon remarked that tariffs would ultimately lead to a rebalancing of trade agreements over time and that trade policies would directly influence interest rate equilibrium. On the other hand, Thomas Schlegel, the president of the Swiss National Bank, stated that the Swiss franc remains a safe haven asset in global markets, although trade disputes have adverse implications for Switzerland’s economy. He also emphasized that there is no current concern regarding inflation, which remains within the bank’s target range and aligned with cyclical forecasts. Schlegel further mentioned that the possibility of employing negative interest rates cannot be ruled out.
Long
by Ali_PSND
USDCHF 23/01/2025USDCHF update: Yesterday, we didn’t get the break below 0.90410 that we were looking for, but the 4H structure remains bearish. The pair is still creating lower highs and lower lows, with price currently sitting around the lower high region near 0.90685. The bearish bias remains intact, but given how tricky this pair has been recently, it’s essential to wait for a clear break and 4H close below 0.90410 for confirmation before considering further downside. Adding to this bias is a potential head and shoulders pattern starting to form, which provides additional confluence for a bearish move. Patience is key here to avoid being caught in false breaks. Let’s see how price reacts at these levels! #USDCHF #ForexAnalysis
Short
by Thetraderscollective
MELANIA Looks Bearish (1H)The situation with the meme coin MELANIA doesn't look good. There is limited data available for this meme coin, but on the chart, 3 ABC waves of a pattern can be identified. If wave C drops to the 0.618 or 0.786 Fibonacci levels of wave A, it may reach the specified targets on the chart. The chart currently lacks a trigger for entering a position. For a sell/short position, it's better to wait for the price to reach the red zone. For a buy/long position, we need to see reversal patterns along with confirmations. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
2
GBPPLN: Bullish Bounce Expected from Key Support ZoneOANDA:GBPPLN is at a significant demand zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong support level. The current market structure suggests the potential for a bullish reversal at this level if buyers regain control. I anticipate that if the price confirms a rejection from this demand zone, the market may move upward toward the 5.07402 level. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
Long
by DanieIM
2