This My Thesis on Altcoin Season: When Alt Season???Yesterday, we had some scary dips in the crypto market, and many people switched to panic mode, they felt the bull season was over.
Well, the bull season is barely 1 year and 3 months old, and it is difficult to call the top when some historical patterns are yet to be seen in the market.
When Bitcoin is pumping, a couple of altcoins are yet to pump as much as BINANCE:BTCUSD , and when Bitcoin dips, they dump harder. This has left a lot of newbies in confusion lately.
They are beginning to lose hope in their altcoin bags. Suppose history is an important factor in investment. In that case, it is correct to say that BTC will soon lose its dominance at 68-70%, and there will be a capital rotation into viable altcoins that have strong communities, utilities, and better technologies.
Observe the chart, I used a weekly timeframe so that you will have a better grasp of what is happening in the market.
BTC will likely squeeze out more capital from altcoins before it reaches the peak of its dominance.
Brace up, invest smartly, and most importantly take profit with wisdom and be patient with your moon bags.
Data don't lie, but if that is not the case this time, I will be glad to embrace my mistakes.
What mistake?
The mistake of depending too much on historical data and not admitting that history, sometimes, does not usually repeat itself.
For now, enjoy the flow of the market.
Cheers to 2025! It was an incredible year for us.
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Do you have a contrary opinion? Leave a comment down below, you can present your case without insulting anyone.
Supply and Demand
$ NVDA Trade Analysis DarkPoolsThe chart demonstrates the price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) with significant levels, volume spikes, trendlines, dark pool prints, and pivot levels. NVDA has experienced notable price fluctuations, forming a broader pattern of higher highs and higher lows, but it is now testing critical support levels after a pullback.
Key Observations
Trend Analysis:
Primary Trend: The long-term uptrend is intact, with the green ascending trendline providing consistent support.
Short-term Trend: The recent candles suggest a pullback within the uptrend, with price action consolidating near the S1 support ($129.07) level.
The price remains above the long-term ascending support line, maintaining its overall bullish structure.
Dark Pool Prints:
Key dark pool levels are marked, showing significant institutional activity:
$136.71 (most recent dark pool print): The price recently rejected this level, which could act as near-term resistance.
$124.65 and $119.37: These levels represent potential downside support if the price continues to fall.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance:
The price is struggling to reclaim the $136.71 dark pool level, which aligns with the R1 pivot ($140.76).
Above this, the next major resistance is R2 ($162.07).
Support:
Immediate support is at S1 ($129.07). A breakdown here could lead to a retest of the $124.65 dark pool level or the S2 pivot ($119.39).
The long-term trendline and S3 pivot ($102.98) are critical for maintaining the bullish bias.
Volume Analysis:
The chart shows high volume near support levels, indicating significant activity. This suggests either strong buying interest or institutional distribution.
Potential Reversal Zone:
A clear head-and-shoulders pattern might be forming. If the neckline around $129.07 breaks, it could confirm a bearish reversal, targeting levels near $119.37 or lower.
Trade Plan
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: A confirmed breakout above $136.71 (dark pool level) with increased volume.
Targets:
First Target (T1): $140.76 (R1 pivot).
Second Target (T2): $152.89 (mid-resistance).
Final Target (T3): $162.07 (R2 pivot).
Stop Loss: Below the ascending trendline and $129.07 (S1 pivot).
Bearish Scenario:
Entry: A daily close below $129.07 (S1 pivot) with momentum and volume confirmation.
Targets:
First Target (T1): $124.65 (dark pool level).
Second Target (T2): $119.37 (dark pool level).
Final Target (T3): $102.98 (S3 pivot and trendline support).
Stop Loss: Above $136.71 (dark pool resistance).
Additional Considerations
Dark Pool Reactions:
The $136.71 level will play a crucial role in determining near-term direction. Watch for rejections or sustained price action above this level.
Head-and-Shoulders Risk:
A break below $129.07 could lead to a measured move lower based on the head-and-shoulders pattern.
Market Context:
NVDA is heavily influenced by the tech sector (QQQ). Broader market conditions will provide context for whether this pullback is temporary or part of a larger correction.
GBPAUD: Strong Resistance in Play – What’s Next?Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPAUD Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Long trade
1Hr TF entry
Buyside trade
Mon 16th Dec
LND to Ny Session AM
8.00 am
Entry 1.49665
Profit level 1.51248 (1.06%)
Stop level 1.49231 (0.29%)
RR 3.65
Reason: Overview of the 1Hr TF we buyside momentum indicates buyside pressure since Mon 16th Dec 24, and narrative based on supply and demand for directional bias.
XAU/USD 20 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
FINAL ANALYSIS OF 2024! WISHING YOU ALL VERY HAPPY FESTIVITES. MAY 2025 AND OWNARDS BRING YOU ALL SUCCESS!!
ANALYSIS WILL RESUME SECOND WEEK OF 2025 (DATE TO BE CONFIRMED)
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
FINAL ANALYSIS OF 2024! WISHING YOU ALL VERY HAPPY FESTIVITES. MAY 2025 AND OWNARDS BRING YOU ALL SUCCESS!!
ANALYSIS WILL RESUME SECOND WEEK OF 2025 (DATE TO BE CONFIRMED)
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 19 December 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's analysis played out as expected with price targeting weak internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is currently trading at premium of internal 50% EQ where we could see a reaction. Price could potentially trade up to M15 supply level before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,583.915
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Long trade
4Hr TF overview
Trade Setup Breakdown:
Trade Type: Buyside (Long position)
Date: Monday, December 16, 2024
Time: 5:00 AM
Timeframe: 4-hour (4H) chart
Session: Tokyo to London (AM session)
Entry 1.42471
Profit level 1.45600 (2.20%)
Stop level 1.42119 (0.25%)
RR 8.89
Reason: Overlooking the 4Hr TF and monitoring USDCAD indicates buyside momentum at this time.
Gold Trade plan 202/12/2024Dear Traders,
Gold Still Hold 2590 Level , i expect price will be start Downward movement from 2636-2637 level and my final Target is 2650-2660 Area ,
"If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
TON will become bullish soon (12H)Currently, there is a significant support zone where we believe the main and large buyers are located.
By maintaining the green zone, the price can move towards a new ATH.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
WIF/USDT: DOUBLE TARGET SETUP - 160% POTENTIAL MOONSHOT
Technical Analysis:
- Current price: 1.917 USDT
- Strong support level forming at trendline confluence
- Significant volume spike indicating potential reversal
Entry Strategy:
✅ Strategic Entry: 1.500 USDT
- Key historical support zone
- Trendline support confluence
- Oversold conditions on multiple timeframes
Target Projections:
🎯 Target 1: 2.930 USDT (95% ROI)
- Major resistance level
- Previous market structure
- Key psychological level
🎯 Target 2: 3.918 USDT (161% ROI)
- All-time high retest zone
- Major fibonacci extension level
- Huge potential reward zone
Risk Management (CRITICAL):
⚠️ Stop Loss: -5% below entry
- Clear invalidation point
- Protected by major support
- 1:19 and 1:32 Risk-Reward ratios
Key Catalysts:
- Major trend line support holding since August
- Volume profile suggesting accumulation
- Multiple timeframe alignment
- Clear market structure for upside
Trading Plan: 🚨
1. Scale in near 1.500 USDT
2. First take-profit at 2.930 (50% position)
3. Trail stops after first target
4. Hold remainder for moonshot target
⚠️ Important Notes:
- High-conviction multi-target setup
- Patience required for entry
- Volume confirmation essential
- Scale-in approach recommended
🔔 Remember:
- DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
- Never risk more than you can afford
- Set proper position sizes
- Follow your trading plan
#Crypto #WIF #TechnicalAnalysis #SpotTrading #CryptoGems #MoonShot 🚀
Would you like me to break down any specific aspect of this analysis further?
NIFTY 50 20th December 2024If you're looking to initiate a buy trade near this level with a small stop-loss, here's a possible strategy based on the chart:
Stop-Loss (SL):
Place the stop-loss slightly below 23,660 to limit downside risk in case the support breaks.
Target Levels:
First Target: 23,780
Second Target: 23,825.55
AXL/USDT: MAJOR ASCENDING CHANNEL - 85% PROFIT POTENTIAL SETUPTechnical Analysis: 🎯
- Trading within a strong ascending channel since August 2024
- Current price: 0.7145 USDT
- Price retesting major channel support - prime entry zone
Entry Strategy:
✅ Strategic Entry: 0.7007 USDT
- Perfect channel support confluence
- Higher lows pattern maintained
- Volume profile showing accumulation signs
Target Projection:
🎯 Primary Target: 1.3114 USDT (87% ROI potential)
- Channel resistance alignment
- Historical resistance zone
- Clear upward trajectory within channel
Risk Management (CRITICAL):
⚠️ Stop Loss: -4% below entry
- Protected by channel support
- Clear invalidation level
- Impressive 1:21.75 Risk-Reward ratio
Key Technical Factors:
- Ascending channel providing clear direction
- Multiple touches validating channel strength
- Price action showing healthy pullback to support
- Volume confirming key reversals at support
Trading Plan:
1. Enter at 0.7007 USDT
2. Stop loss at -4% for capital protection
3. Partial profits recommended at channel midpoint
4. Final target at upper channel resistance
⚠️ Important Notes:
- Channel trades require patience
- Watch for bullish confirmation at entry
- Volume confirmation crucial
- Always use proper position sizing
🔔 Remember:
- DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
- Risk management is crucial
- Market conditions can change
- Follow your trading plan strictly
#TechnicalAnalysis #AXL #Crypto #SpotTrading #ChannelTrading #CryptoTrading
Would you like me to provide alternative title options or elaborate on any aspect of this analysis? 🚨
LTC | ALTCOINS | Sinking Ship? Verdict is inLTC has been a topic of many discussions during 2024, with the biggest question being around it's ability to reclaim past highs (and make a new ATH).
Similarly to UNI and ADA (to name a few), Litecoin has been unable to break out above it's immediate major resistance zones. This goes to show that there are bag-holders creating major supply zones. This is NOT GOOD for any coin, as it really damages it's potential for organic growth.
________________________
BINANCE:LTCUSDT
USDJPY: Multi-Time-Frame OutlookHello Traders,
A weekly close above 159.00 strengthens the bullish outlook for the next 3 to 4 months.
Conversely, a break and close below 154.50 on the daily timeframe suggests a possible decline towards 148.00.
Currently, we anticipate a rebound from the 156.77-156.40 zone.
However, a solid close below 156.40 and a break of the ascending channel would increase the likelihood of a drop to 155.50.
BONK: MASSIVE 75% BREAKOUT SETUP - DON'T MISS THIS OPPORTUNITY🎯 BONK/USDT Spot Trading Setup - High Probability Play
Technical Analysis:
- Strong accumulation zone identified at 0.00002697 USDT
- Price forming a potential bottom reversal pattern after sustained bearish momentum
- Critical resistance levels breached showing strength in buying pressure
- 200 volume spike confirms institutional interest at these levels
Entry Strategy:
✅ Strategic Entry: 0.00002697 USDT
- Optimal entry zone identified at major support confluence
- Multiple timeframe alignment suggests strong probability setup
- Risk-managed position sizing recommended
Target Projection:
🎯 Primary Target: 0.00004722 USDT (75% ROI potential)
- Key psychological resistance level
- Historical reaction point
- Fibonacci extension alignment
Risk Management (CRITICAL):
⚠️ Stop Loss: -5% below entry
- Tight stop placement below major support
- Capital preservation is priority
- 1:15 Risk-Reward ratio makes this an extremely attractive setup
Key Catalysts:
- Market structure showing signs of reversal
- Volume profile supporting accumulation thesis
- Macro factors aligning for potential upside momentum
Additional Notes:
- Scale in approach recommended
- Position sizing crucial for risk management
- Set alerts at key levels: 0.00003075, 0.00003011 for momentum confirmation
🔔 Remember:
- DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
- Never risk more than you can afford to lose
- Market conditions can change rapidly
- Use proper position sizing
This is a technical analysis-based setup. Feel free to share your thoughts and conduct your own analysis before making any trading decisions. Let's discuss in the comments!
#Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #SpotTrading #BONK #Trading #CryptoTrading
PEPEUSDT: Technical Insights and Trading Strategy
Market Overview
- PEPEUSDT is currently in a corrective phase after a sharp decline, with price approaching a key demand zone around 0.00001578 USDT.
- The analysis suggests potential accumulation and a bullish recovery if the support holds.
---
Technical Analysis
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support Zone:
- 0.00001578: Key accumulation level identified for potential entries.
- Below this level, price may test the next support near 0.00001450.
- Resistance Levels:
- 0.00001900: Initial resistance for price recovery.
- 0.00002514: Target resistance zone aligned with the bullish breakout projection.
2. Fibonacci Retracement:
- The price has retraced deeply, approaching the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, a common area for reversals in crypto markets.
3. Trendline Analysis:
- A potential reversal pattern is visible as price consolidates near the demand zone.
- A breakout above 0.00001900 confirms a short-term trend reversal.
---
Momentum and Indicators
1. RSI (14):
- RSI is approaching oversold conditions, signaling potential bullish divergence.
- A rise above 40-50 would confirm increasing bullish momentum.
2. Volume Analysis:
- Decreasing sell volume near support suggests diminishing bearish pressure.
- A spike in buy volume at this level would reinforce the reversal signal.
---
Trading Plan
1. Entry Points:
- Accumulate positions near 0.00001578.
- Add more positions on breakout confirmation above 0.00001900.
2. Stop-Loss:
- Place stop-loss below 0.00001500 to manage downside risk.
3. Profit Targets:
- Primary Target: 0.00002514 (aligned with the chart projection).
- Stretch Target: 0.00002800, if bullish momentum persists.
4. Risk Management:
- Risk no more than 2% of total capital on this trade.
---
Scenarios
1. Bullish Scenario:
- Price holds the 0.00001578 level and breaks above 0.00001900 with rising volume.
- Targets 0.00002514, with possible extension to 0.00002800.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- Failure to hold the 0.00001578 support may lead to further downside, targeting 0.00001450 or lower.
---
Pro Summary
PEPEUSDT is showing signs of accumulation at a critical support level. A breakout above 0.00001900 will confirm a reversal toward 0.00002514 and higher. Traders should exercise caution and set strict stop-loss levels to minimize risks.
---
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies carries significant risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
USDJPY: Pullback From Key Level📉 The USDJPY appears to be overbought following yesterday's bullish movement.
The price might pull back from the highlighted blue daily resistance, potentially reaching at least the 156.48 level.
Additionally, I spotted a double top pattern on the hourly chart, which serves as confirmation.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/20/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21429.25
- PR Low: 21363.00
- NZ Spread: 148.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (YoY|MoM)
Value decline continues below daily Keltner avg cloud
- QQQ gap filled
- Maintaining vols since FOMC triggered selling
- Next key pivot, 20920 zone from Nov 27
Session Open Stats (As of 12:40 AM 12/20)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 345.51
- Volume: 51K
- Open Int: 237K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -5.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone