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Supply and Demand

USDT DOMINANCE Update (4H) First of all you should know that "USDT Dominance" is always moving inverse of BTCUSDT . This index is ready to retrace and bounce upward from either Demand 1 or Demand 2. Be cautious with this index and monitor it closely. If the price gets rejected toward Demand 2, altcoins may experience some growth before undergoing another correction. Let’s wait and see what happens. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by behdark
CHAMBLFERT - Chambal Fertilizers Ltd. (Daily chart, NSE) - LongCHAMBLFERT - Chambal Fertilizers Ltd. (Daily chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term swing research idea. Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 3.41 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 594 Entry limit ~ 592 on May 27, 2025 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 610 (+3.04%; +18 points) 2.⁠ ⁠⁠Target limit ~ 625 (+5.57%; +33 points) 3.⁠ ⁠⁠Target limit ~ 650 (+9.80%; +58 points) Stop order limit ~ 575 (-2.87%; -17 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observation notes = important updates (parentheses) = information details ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NSE:CHAMBLFERTLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
US100 INDEX TRADE IDEA 27 MAY 2025The US100 index is currently demonstrating strong bullish momentum, underpinned by both Smart Money Concepts and supportive market fundamentals. From an SMC perspective, the index recently completed a clear shift in market structure following a major sell-side liquidity sweep below the 16,000 region in April. This move tapped into a long-term demand zone and a bullish order block before sharply reversing upward. The subsequent rally broke the previous bearish structure from February to April, indicating a clear change in sentiment and suggesting that institutional players have re-accumulated positions. Price action reinforces this outlook through a breakout from a falling wedge pattern followed by a bullish continuation channel. The current structure shows a series of higher highs and higher lows, with price consolidating just above a key short-term demand zone near the 21,000 mark. This consolidation phase could represent a reaccumulation before a continuation toward the next liquidity targets. The technical setup suggests a long opportunity with an entry zone between 21,000 and 21,100, targeting the next major resistance levels at 22,134 and 22,524. A protective stop loss can be placed just below the recent swing low or order block around 20,113, ensuring invalidation only if the bullish structure breaks. From a fundamental standpoint, mid-2025 has been favorable to tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, as investors anticipate potential Federal Reserve rate cuts later in the year. Inflation has shown signs of easing, and corporate earnings in the tech sector have continued to outperform expectations, boosting investor sentiment. The broader macroeconomic landscape remains supportive, with resilient labor markets and improving risk appetite driving capital back into equities. With these tailwinds and a technically sound chart setup, the US100 presents a compelling swing long opportunity.
SKILLING:US100Long
by karabompesi
1
🇪🇺 EURUSD 15min Technical & Fundamental Analysis🇪🇺 EURUSD 15min Technical & Fundamental Analysis EUR/USD has reached a 4-week high at 1.14200, following President Trump's decision to delay tariffs on EU goods until July 9 — easing trade tensions and reinforcing investor confidence in the euro. On the 15-minute chart, we’re seeing strong bullish momentum supported by clean price structure and liquidity patterns. 📈 Technical Structure Price confirmed bullish intent after breaking below minor key support at 1.13800, triggering sell-side liquidity. This liquidity grab was followed by a strong bullish push, forming new Higher Highs. The pair then broke above minor key resistance at 1.13960, where accumulation of retail buy orders occurred. Price is now sitting inside the liquidity zone, signaling a potential next move is near. 📊 Trade Setup 📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 1.13990 🛡 Stop-Loss: 1.13890 (just below liquidity zone) 🎯 Target Profit: Dynamic based on continuation above 1.14200 highs This setup is ideal for short-term traders looking to capitalize on liquidity grabs and trend continuation. 📰 Fundamental Outlook 🇺🇸 USD Weakness Continues Fiscal Concerns: Rising U.S. debt and widening deficits are weighing on dollar sentiment. Investor Sentiment: A shift away from U.S. assets reflects uncertainty and risk-off positioning. Market Performance: The dollar has fallen nearly 4% since early April, its worst stretch since 2023. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
by RebornFXTrader
EURUSD – Confluence Support Test: Watch for Bullish Signals? OANDA:EURUSD is currently trading around a key technical support area, which is a confluence zone between the previous sideways range and the medium-term ascending trendline. The price previously broke out of the resistance zone and is now pulling back to retest this area – a common price behavior in a sustainable bullish structure. If buyers successfully defend this support zone, there is a high possibility that another recovery leg may appear, targeting the technical level around 1.1425, which is the most reasonable target within this setup. However, to confirm the continuation of bullish momentum, there needs to be a clear candlestick signal such as a pin bar or bullish engulfing at the support zone. The absence of strong price reaction here could lead to a slip below the support level, invalidating the short-term bullish structure. This is a personal viewpoint based on technical analysis, not investment advice. Always reconfirm your trade setups and manage risk carefully.
Long
by LucasMgoldview
2
Skeptic | Watchlist #1 - May 27, 2025: XAG/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPYHey everyone, Skeptic here! Starting today, I’m kicking off a daily watchlist to share the setups I’m eyeing! 😎 These are the pairs I’m personally trading or watching for trigger activations. Feel free to create a dedicated section in your TradingView called “ Skeptic ” and plug in this watchlist with the triggers I provide. Then, based on your own strategy, jump into trades at those key levels if they align with your plan. My watchlist format will include a screenshot of the 4H or 1H timeframe with long/short triggers marked on the chart. If needed, I’ll add quick explanations or tips, but I’m keeping it short, sharp, and to the point to maximize your value. The goal? Help you blend these setups with your own strategy without overloading you with fluff. Let’s dive into today’s Daily Forex Watchlist! 👀XAG/USD Long Trigger : 33.68855, Short Trigger : 31.91991. 👀EUR/USD Long Trigger : 1.14183, Short Trigger : 1.12663. 👀USD/JPY Long Trigger : 144.125, Short Trigger : 142.218. 💬 Let’s Chat! If this watchlist sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a ton! 😊 Thanks for joining me— let’s grow together! ✌️
by SkepticWise
1
US30 INDEX TRADE IDEA 27 MAY 2025The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is showing a bullish outlook based on a confluence of Smart Money Concepts (SMC), price action patterns, and supportive fundamental analysis. From an SMC perspective, the recent price action indicates a clear market structure shift, highlighted by a break of structure (BOS) in early May 2025. This bullish reversal followed a significant liquidity sweep and mitigation around the 37,000 level, where smart money likely accumulated positions. A bullish order block between 40,679 and 41,189 now acts as a strong demand zone, providing a potential launch point for further upward movement. Technically, the chart features a descending wedge breakout and a bullish flag formation—both classical continuation patterns. Price is currently forming higher highs and higher lows, reinforcing the bullish trend. The trade idea aligns with these observations, suggesting a long entry around the 41,700 to 41,900 range, with a stop loss just below the key demand zone at 40,679. The first take profit is set at 44,472.5, aligning with historical resistance and liquidity targets, offering an approximate risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3. On the fundamental side, the mid-2025 U.S. economic outlook is improving, with inflation showing signs of cooling and the Federal Reserve expected to pause or consider rate cuts. A stable geopolitical climate and strong earnings seasons have further boosted investor confidence, supporting continued bullish momentum in equities. Altogether, this presents a high-probability swing trade opportunity to the upside on the US30 index.
SKILLING:US30Long
by karabompesi
Chevron Corp Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Chevron Corp Stock Quote - Double Formation * (Entry Bias Hypothesis)) - *170.00 USD | Completed Survey * Wave Feature - *ABC Entry| Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * (EMA Settings)) - *146.00 USD | Subdivision 2 * (TP1) | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition - (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings - Position On A 1.5RR * Stop Loss At 140.00 USD * Entry At 136.00 USD * Take Profit At 130.00 USD * (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation * Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area)) Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
PEPPERSTONE:CVXShort
by TradePolitics
Gold Trading Strategy for the 27thOn the 4-hour chart today, the bullish trend of gold remains intact ⭐️✨📈 ⚠️📉 The current price is facing resistance at 3365 near the previous high. Due to the excessive release of early bullish momentum, a period of adjustment is usually required 📉 However, with further news-driven stimuli this week, gold may still surge sharply 🚀 The key lies in the morning session's trend, so timing is crucial when judging the strength of bulls and bears ⏰ It is expected that gold will continue the pattern of oscillating upward movement, and pullback opportunities can be captured 📈 Resistance is at 3365, and support is at the 3320 level 🔍 Long Position Strategy: If the gold price retracts to the 3320-3325 range, consider opening a long position 📊 Set the stop-loss at 3317, with targets at 3340-3350 🎯 If the price holds above 3320, try opening a long position 🌟 The initial target is 3345, and if 3345 is successfully broken through, further targets will be 3350-3360 ⚡️ Short Position Strategy: When the price rises to the 3360-3365 range, try opening a short position ⚠️ Set the stop-loss at 3370, with targets at 3340-3330 📉 Gold Trading Strategies sell@3360-3365 tp:3330-3340 buy@3320-3325 tp:3350-3360 Professional trading strategies are pushed daily 📊 Lock in precise signals amid market fluctuations 🚀 Confused about market trends? Stuck in strategy bottlenecks? Real-time strategies serve as your "trading compass" 🌐 From trend analysis to entry/exit points, dissect market logic comprehensively Refer now 📲 Help you move steadily forward in investments ✨ 👇👇👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LenBessemer
Bitcoin Market Update – May 26, 2025📅 Bitcoin Market Update – May 26, 2025 🚀 BTC Price: $110,157 (+2.95% 24h) Bitcoin continues its upward trend, showing strong momentum and bullish sentiment across the market. 📊 Technical Snapshot: • Range: $106,801 – $110,157 • Support: $107K – $108K • Resistance: $111K – $112K • Trend: Bullish 🔗 On-Chain Metrics: • Short Squeeze Pressure: Rising on Binance • ETF Inflows: $934M → Strong institutional interest • Sentiment: Extreme Greed (Index 78) 🧭 Fundamentals: • Major ETF inflows show growing trust from big players. • Market sentiment remains highly optimistic. 📈 Forecasts: • Short-Term: $110K – $112K • Mid-Term: $112K – $125K • Long-Term: Up to $140K (depending on macro conditions) Keep an eye on 103k and 97k supporting levels as liquidity zones. ✅ Summary: BTC remains bullish with key resistance at $112K.A breakout could open room for further upside. Stay tuned and manage risk wisely. #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #SorooshX
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by sorooshx
2
USDJPY Demand Zone Consolidation. Wait for BRT Above or BelowIf CMP crosses above top zone and closes on 1H chart, take the Buy Retest. If CMP crosses below the bottom zone and closes on the 1H chart, take the Sell Retest. Go for 1:1 risk to reward MINIMUM. This strategy is 7-8 out of 10 (70-80%) but can produce upwards of 90% accuracy. Be patient. Be disciplined. Be consistent. 30 pips SL // 30 pips TP *This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, do not over leverage. Risk only what you are willing to lose.* If you are actively monitoring your trade, you can remove your TP once price goes into profit and start a trailing stop! At 10 pips, move your SL into profit at 2-3 pips to break even. If price goes to 20 pips in profit, set your SL at 10 pips of profit. You are more than welcome to accept the full SL (risk) and let the trade play out. SET IT AND FORGET IT. Take partials at structural pivot points (aka swing highs and swing lows) if you hold the winning trade longer than original TP! Happy trading! #HiddenWealthSociety #HWS
by KyleBFrederick
USDJPYUSD/JPY Interest Rate Differential, 10-Year Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 26–30, 2025) Current 10-Year Bond Yields US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.54% (as of May 21–22, 2025) . Japan 10-Year JGB Yield: 1.56% (as of May 23, 2025) . Interest Rate Differential (IRD) The yield spread between US and Japanese 10-year bonds is:4.54%(US)−1.56%(JPY)=+2.98% 4.54% (US)−1.56% (JPY)=+2.98% This significant differential favors the US dollar, making USD/JPY attractive for carry trades. Carry Trade Advantage Investors borrow low-yielding JPY (at ~0.5% BoJ policy rate) to invest in higher-yielding USD assets, earning the ~2.98% yield spread as profit. The strategy is supported by the Fed’s relatively hawkish stance compared to the BoJ’s cautious approach, despite Japan’s rising inflation (core CPI at 3.5% in April 2025) . Bank of Japan Policy Signals: Rising inflation and revised Leading Economic Index (108.1 for March 2025) may pressure the BoJ to tighten policy, narrowing the yield differential. Market expectations for BoJ rate hikes could strengthen JPY, reducing carry trade appeal. USD/JPY has fallen below 143.00 amid JPY strength , but oversold conditions suggest potential short-term corrections. US-China trade tensions and tariffs may introduce volatility, affecting risk sentiment. Summary Table Metric United States (USD) Japan (JPY) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.54% 1.56% Interest Rate Differential +2.98% (USD over JPY) — Carry Trade Appeal Favorable for long USD/JPY — Conclusion The ~2.98% yield differential strongly supports USD/JPY carry trades, but traders should monitor: BoJ policy shifts: Potential rate hikes could narrow the spread and weaken USD/JPY. Fed rhetoric and US data: Hawkish signals may sustain USD strength, while dovish surprises could reduce the yield advantage. Technical levels: A break below 142.00 could signal further JPY strength, eroding carry trade profits. While the carry trade remains attractive, volatility from policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks requires careful risk management during this period.. #GOLD #FOREX #USDJPY#DOLLAR #YEN
by Shavyfxhub
1
Oil Prices Up as Trump Delays EU Tariffs (Temporary Relief?) The global oil market, a sensitive barometer of economic health and geopolitical stability, registered a slight uptick in prices following the news that the Trump administration would extend the deadline for imposing new tariffs on a range of European Union goods. This minor rally, however, comes against a backdrop of a broader downtrend that has characterized the oil markets since mid-January. The persistent downward pressure has been largely attributed to the chilling effect of existing and threatened tariffs, not just between the US and the EU, but on a global scale, which have cast a long shadow over the outlook for global energy demand. To understand the significance of this deadline extension and its nuanced impact on oil prices, it's crucial to first appreciate the environment in which it occurred. For several months, the dominant narrative surrounding oil has been one of demand-side anxiety. President Trump's "America First" trade policy, which has seen the imposition of sweeping tariffs on goods from various countries, most notably China, and the persistent threat of more to come against allies like the European Union, has injected a significant dose of uncertainty into the global economic system. Tariffs, at their core, are taxes on imported goods. Their imposition typically leads to a cascade of negative economic consequences. Businesses that rely on imported components face higher input costs, which can either be absorbed, thereby reducing profit margins, or passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices. Higher consumer prices can dampen spending, a key driver of economic growth. Furthermore, the uncertainty created by an unpredictable trade policy environment often leads businesses to postpone investment decisions and hiring, further stagnating economic activity. This economic slowdown, or even the fear of it, directly translates into weaker demand for oil. Manufacturing activity, a significant consumer of energy, tends to decline. Global shipping and freight, which rely heavily on bunker fuel and diesel, slow down as trade volumes shrink. Consumer demand for gasoline and jet fuel can also wane if economic hardship leads to reduced travel and leisure activities. The retaliatory measures often taken by targeted nations – imposing their own tariffs on US goods – only serve to exacerbate this negative feedback loop, creating a tit-for-tat escalation that further erodes business confidence and global trade flows. It is this overarching concern about a tariff-induced global economic slowdown that has been weighing heavily on oil prices since the middle of January. Market participants, from large institutional investors to commodity traders, have been pricing in the potential for significantly reduced oil consumption in the months and years ahead if these trade disputes were to escalate or become entrenched. Every new tariff announcement or threat has typically sent ripples of concern through the market, often pushing oil prices lower. Against this gloomy backdrop, the news of an extension to the tariff deadline on EU goods, while not a resolution, acts as a momentary pause button on further immediate escalation. It offers a temporary reprieve, a brief window where the worst-case scenario of new, damaging tariffs being instantly applied is averted. This is likely why oil prices "edged higher." The market's reaction can be interpreted in several ways. Firstly, it reflects a slight easing of immediate downside risk to the European economy. The EU is a massive economic bloc and a significant consumer of oil. The imposition of new US tariffs on key European goods, such as automobiles or luxury products, would undoubtedly have a detrimental impact on European industries, potentially tipping already fragile economies closer to recession. An extension of the deadline pushes this immediate threat further down the road, offering a sliver of hope that a negotiated solution might yet be found, or at least that the economic pain is deferred. This deferral, however slight, can lead to a marginal upward revision of short-term oil demand expectations from the region. Secondly, the extension can be seen as a signal, however faint, that dialogue and negotiation are still possible. In the fraught world of international trade diplomacy, any indication that parties are willing to continue talking rather than immediately resorting to punitive measures can be interpreted positively by markets. It reduces, fractionally, the "uncertainty premium" that has been built into asset prices, including oil. However, it is crucial to temper any optimism. The fact that oil only "edged higher" rather than surged indicates the market's deep-seated caution. An extension is not a cancellation. The underlying threat of tariffs remains very much on the table. The fundamental disagreements that led to the tariff threats in the first place have not been resolved. Therefore, while the immediate pressure point has been alleviated, the chronic condition of trade uncertainty persists. The oil market is acutely aware that this extension could simply be a tactical move, buying time for political reasons without altering the fundamental trajectory of trade policy. If, at the end of the extended period, no agreement is reached and tariffs are indeed imposed, the negative impact on oil demand expectations would likely resurface with renewed force. The market is therefore likely to adopt a "wait and see" approach, with traders hesitant to make significant bullish bets based solely on a deadline postponement. Furthermore, the US-EU trade dynamic is just one piece of a larger global puzzle. The ongoing trade tensions with China, for instance, continue to be a major drag on global growth projections and, by extension, oil demand. Progress, or lack thereof, on that front often has a more substantial impact on oil prices than developments in the US-EU relationship, given the sheer scale of US-China trade and China's role as the world's largest oil importer. The slight rise in oil prices also needs to be seen in the context of other market-moving factors. Supply-side dynamics, such as OPEC+ production decisions, geopolitical events in major oil-producing regions like the Middle East, and fluctuations in US shale output, constantly interact with demand-side sentiment. A deadline extension on EU tariffs might provide a small boost, but it can be easily overshadowed by a surprise inventory build, an unexpected increase in OPEC production, or signs of weakening economic data from other major economies. In conclusion, the decision by the Trump administration to extend the tariff deadline on EU goods offered a moment of temporary relief to an oil market that has been under duress from trade war anxieties. This relief manifested as a marginal increase in oil prices, reflecting a slight reduction in immediate perceived risk to global economic activity and oil demand, particularly from Europe. However, this should not be mistaken for a fundamental shift in market sentiment or a resolution to the underlying trade disputes. The threat of tariffs remains, and the broader concerns about a global economic slowdown fueled by protectionist policies continue to loom large. The oil market's cautious reaction underscores the prevailing uncertainty, suggesting that while this extension provides a brief breathing space, the path ahead for oil prices will continue to be heavily influenced by the unpredictable currents of international trade policy.
TVC:USOIL
by bryandowningqln