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Supply and Demand

Fastenal Co Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Fastenal Co Stock Quote - Double Formation * (A+ Set Up)) Starting At 60.00 USD | Completed Survey * Wave Feature Entry | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * (EMA Settings)) & Retest + Continuation Area | Subdivision 2 * (TP1) | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition - (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Logarithmic Settings - Position On A 1.5RR * Stop Loss At 78.00 USD * Entry At 82.00 USD * Take Profit At 88.00 USD * (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation * Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area)) Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Buy
PEPPERSTONE:FASTLong
by TradePolitics
This 7 Step Analysis Reveals How To Buy Forex PairsHere is another chart example. Now in this one you will notice the difference. The last one [reference below CAPITALCOM:EURJPY ] Had a whipsaw of about -0.2% This whipsaw f'd me up.I stared doubting the strategy. Now in all fairness day trading is hard. So just about now i was watching a video from Tim Sykes. And he said "Focuss on big percent gainers" I say focuss on the trend Do you remember that the last forex pair CAPITALCOM:EURJPY had no percent gain? At the point of entry? In my case it had no gap. So lets look at this chart.And notice the following: 👉The price is above the 50 EMA 👉The price is above the 200 EMA 👉 The price has "gapped" up ✅In this case the price has "gapped" up - ✅In this case The ema's have crossed ✅In this case its followed the rocket booster strategy ❌In this case i have failed to recognise the candlestick pattern As you can see my analysis is not perfect. But what i love about this one is the "Green performance" . Also it follows the rocket booster strategy. Rocket boost this content to learn more. Disclaimer:Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies.And feel free to use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money.
Long
by lubosi
Long trade 15min TF overview 🐶 DOGEUSD – Buy-Side Trade 📅 Date: Thursday, 24th April 2025 🕣 Time: 8:30 AM (New York Time) 📍 Session: London AM 📊 Entry Timeframe: Lower TF 5min Trade Parameters Entry Price: 0.17342 Take Profit: 0.17984 (+3.70%) Stop Loss: 0.17277 (–0.37%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 9.83 Reasoning Narrative This DOGEUSD buy-side trade was entered during the London AM session, a time known for increased volume and impulsive price movements as European markets open. The trade was driven by a clear bullish structure shift on the intraday timeframe, following a short-term liquidity sweep below local lows. 5min TF entry
Long
by davidjulien369
Bitcoin Major AB=CD in PlayFollowing repeated community requests, we’re updating our Bitcoin macro-outlook, which remains structurally aligned with our previously published projection (BTC Dips into Major Demand Zone) a chart that precisely captured the major demand zone reaction and subsequent bullish impulse. The newly updated chart illustrates a strong impulsive wave structure, supported by a well-defined corrective wave count, completing at the prior immediate demand zone (~$85K– GETTEX:89K ). From this base, price action has resumed within a clearly impulsive structure, suggesting the possibility of an extended bullish fifth wave, potentially evolving into an ending diagonal pattern. 🔹 Immediate Focus: $85K– GETTEX:89K zone is acting as a local support and re-accumulation area (immediate demand). $102K resistance is a pivotal structural barrier. A confirmed breakout from this level will reinforce bullish continuation. 🔹 Pattern Target: A potential AB=CD completion and Wave 5 termination zone are aligned between $147K–$154K, with Fibonacci projections and channel symmetry suggesting further upside extension to $160K–$170K under euphoric conditions. With momentum building in alignment with the long-term bullish cycle structure. We should watch for retracement entries near demand levels, with invalidations below $73K. Let us know your thoughts: are we in the final stretch towards BTC's macro top?
Long
by weslad
13
Uj might be reversing- We are at a painfully large demand area. - Price squeezing and consolidating in a dropping wedge. - Thursday candle was a bullish harami (indicating a possible u-turn) - Friday was the Good Friday (Market holiday), so it doesn't count Let us patiently wait here for the price to either break the wedge or at least it hits the lower border of the wedge to place our first entry. The reversal is imminent provided we do not break the demand area. Patience is the key here. Once we have a full confirmation to buy we will look further for targets, till then just watch it. I will update you guys when I place my own entry. Pray hard, trade smart :) and best of luck! Here is the close up look of the wedge:
Long
by Uzi-Trades-Forex
4
Livestock Price Volatility: Trading Cattle and Hog FuturesThe US livestock market is experiencing significant price volatility in 2025, as outlined in the USDA’s April 2025 World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report. Cattle prices are projected to rise to $206 per cwt, driven by robust demand, while hog prices are lowered to $61 per cwt due to weaker export demand amid tariffs and global competition. These divergent price trends, coupled with production shifts—such as reduced pork output—create a dynamic trading environment for livestock futures. This article analyzes the market with updated price action for cattle futures. Livestock Market Dynamics: Diverging Price Trends Cattle prices are raised to an annual average of $206 per cwt, up from the prior estimate of $200, reflecting strong domestic demand and reported data through Q1 2025. This bullish outlook for cattle is supported by higher beef production forecasts, now at 26.767 billion pounds (up from 26.752 billion), driven by heavier dressed weights and increased cow and bull slaughter, though steer and heifer slaughter is lower. Beef exports, however, are reduced to 2.685 billion pounds (down from 2.820 billion) due to tariffs and non-tariff barriers in China, while imports are also down to 4.860 billion pounds, reflecting higher tariffs on foreign suppliers. In contrast, hog prices are lowered to $61 per cwt, down from $63, as weaker export demand overshadows a slight increase in Q1 prices. Pork production is reduced to 28.090 billion pounds (down from 28.440 billion), reflecting lower slaughter and weights, with the March 27 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs report indicating smaller pig crops in 2024 and reduced farrowings through much of 2025. Pork exports are also down to 6.955 billion pounds (from 7.220 billion), impacted by increased tariffs on US shipments to China and price competition from other exporters, such as Brazil and the EU. These divergent price movements—cattle prices up 3% to $206 per cwt and hog prices down 3% to $61 per cwt—create a unique opportunity for traders to exploit the volatility in livestock futures, particularly through mean-reversion or trend-following strategies. Market Context: Supply and Demand Shifts The broader livestock market context adds complexity to the trading landscape. Total red meat and poultry production is lowered to 108.154 billion pounds (down from 108.467 billion), reflecting declines in pork and turkey output, though broiler production is raised to 47.775 billion pounds (up from 47.700 billion) due to improved returns in the second half of 2025. Beef ending stocks are slightly down to 580 million pounds (from 585 million), while pork ending stocks remain steady at 425 million pounds, indicating a balanced but constrained supply picture. Global trade dynamics, particularly the US-China trade war, are a key driver of export challenges. The WASDE report notes that pork exports to China face increased tariffs, reducing shipments, while beef exports are similarly impacted by non-tariff barriers. This export weakness, combined with domestic production adjustments, suggests that price volatility in livestock futures will persist, offering opportunities for traders to capitalize on short-term price swings. Trading Signals and Strategies The livestock market’s price divergence provides clear trading signals for futures traders. Cattle futures CME:LE1! are showing a shift in momentum with updated price action, while hog futures CME:HE1! face bearish pressure at $61 per cwt. As of April 24, LE futures are trading at $207.725 per cwt, slightly down from a recent high of $207.945, and HE futures are at $60.50 per cwt, setting the stage for distinct trading strategies. The outlook for cattle remains bullish in the longer term, with prices projected at $206 per cwt and strong domestic demand, but short-term price action suggests caution. LE futures have encountered resistance near $207.945 and are now testing $207.725, with a bearish MACD crossover (MACD at 1.821, signal at 1.823) indicating downward momentum. A break below $207 could signal a move to the next support at $206, offering a 1% downside in the short term. For a reversal play, if LE futures hold above $206 and reclaim $207.945 with strong volume and a MACD crossover above the signal line, prices could target the next resistance at $209, a 1% gain. This setup would require a shift in momentum, potentially driven by renewed domestic demand or easing export barriers. For hog futures, the bearish outlook with prices at $61 per cwt and exports down to 6.955 billion pounds suggests a shorting opportunity. HE futures are testing support at $60, with the 50-day moving average at $62 acting as resistance. A break below $60, confirmed by a bearish MACD crossover and an RSI drop below 40, could signal a move to $58, a 3-4% downside. The WASDE’s reliability data shows a 2.1% root mean square error for pork production forecasts, indicating potential volatility if future reports adjust output estimates significantly. Alternatively, traders can exploit the price divergence between cattle and hogs through a mean-reversion strategy. The spread between LE and HE futures—currently around $147.225 per cwt ($207.725 minus $60.50)—is near a 52-week high, suggesting potential for convergence if hog prices stabilize or cattle prices cool. Traders can short LE futures and go long on HE futures, targeting a spread contraction to $146, while monitoring export data and production updates for shifts in sentiment. Risks to Watch Trading livestock futures involves risks, particularly given the export-driven volatility. The US-China trade war, with tariffs reducing pork exports to 6.955 billion pounds and beef exports to 2.685 billion pounds, could further dampen demand if global economic growth slows. The WASDE’s historical data indicates a 90% confidence interval of ±3.5% for pork production forecasts, meaning estimates can vary by up to 983 million pounds, introducing uncertainty. Additionally, domestic demand strength for cattle (supporting the $206 per cwt price) could weaken if recession fears intensify, while unexpected production increases in pork could pressure hog prices further. The livestock market, as detailed in the WASDE report, offers traders a volatile yet opportunity-rich environment, with cattle prices rising to $206 per cwt and hog prices falling to $61 per cwt. LE futures, now at $207.725 per cwt, present a short-term bearish setup targeting $206 for a 1% downside, though a reversal to $209 or a mean-reversion strategy on the LE-HE spread (currently $147.225, targeting $146) provides alternatives. HE futures offer a bearish shorting opportunity, aiming for $58 with a 3-4% profit potential.
CME:LE1!
by juliakhandoshko
Long trade 30min TF overview 🛢 WTICOUSD – Buy-Side Trade 📅 Date: Thursday, 24th April 2025 🕘 Time: 9:00 AM (New York Time) 📍 Session: London AM 📊 Entry Timeframe: (5m) Trade Parameters Entry Price: 63.238 Take Profit: 66.619 (+5.54%) Stop Loss: 63.036 (–0.32%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 16.74 Reasoning - Narrative This WTI Crude Oil long trade was initiated during the London AM session, a time when commodity markets often see increased activity and institutional positioning. The trade followed a sharp reaction off a discounted price zone, which aligned with a previously unmitigated bullish order block on the intraday chart. Before entry, price performed a liquidity sweep below 63.10, triggering stops from earlier long positions and clearing out sell-side pressure
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by davidjulien369
Carnival Corporation (2 hours chart, NYSE) - Long PositionCCL - Carnival Corporation (2 hours chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea. Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.33 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 18.53 Entry limit ~ 18.30 to 18.10 (Avg. -18.20) on April 24, 2025 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 19.20 (+5.49%; +1 point) 2.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 19.60 (+7.69%; +1.4 points) Stop order limit ~ 17.6 (-3.3%; -0.6 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observations = important updates (parentheses) = information ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NYSE:CCLLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
POL (MATIC) Falling Channel BreakoutBINANCE:POLUSDT is attempting a breakout from a nearly 6-months long falling channel. A daily close above the resistance would offer confirmation. Watch for a potential retest of the resistance as support, as the overbought Daily RSI could signal an imminent pullback. Key Levels Aside from the support, these are all good candidates for partial TPs. • $0.15-$0.17: Bull order block and current support • $0.30: Previous S/R, 0.236 fib of the move down, and HVN. Will likely offer resistance. • $0.53: Previous S/R, and 0.618 fib of the move down. • $0.66-$0.77: Main supply zone, and December 2024 high.
Long
by AliferCrypto
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Another blinder of a day on Gold! Although we didn't get the entry again that we wanted from higher up, we continued to hold with the move downside completing Excalibur and using the Indi levels and boxes to guide us. Now we're at crucial support here and just below 3255 which if attacked and bounced, we should see a retracement up into the 3295 and 3310 regions initially. Too low to short, only support levels for tests here. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
3