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Supply and Demand

USD/JPY Market Analysis – Potential Reversal or Continuation?This 15-minute chart of USD/JPY displays a clear bullish impulse following a Change of Character (ChoCh) and a Break of Structure (BoS) . Price action has reached a key resistance zone, and traders are now anticipating the next move based on market reactions. Key Observations : 1. Change of Character (ChoCh) : - This indicates a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. - The market rejected lower prices and started forming higher highs and higher lows. 2. b]Break of Structure (BoS) : - This confirms bullish momentum as previous resistance levels are broken. - A strong bullish move suggests demand is dominating. 3. Current Price Action : - The price has approached a liquidity zone (previous high). - Potential rejection at this level suggests profit-taking or a shift in order flow. Possible Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Continuation : - If price retraces into the M15 demand zone (marked on the chart) and finds support, a continuation to the upside is likely. - A break above the current high could push price towards 149.950 or even 150.000. ❌ Bearish Reversal : - If price aggressively rejects the current high and breaks the M15 demand zone , we could see a bearish move towards **149.100 - 148.900**. - This would indicate a deeper correction or potential trend reversal. Trading Plan: - **Wait for confirmation at the M15 demand zone.** - **Look for bullish price action signals for continuation trades.** - **If demand fails, shift bias to bearish setups.** 📌 Conclusion : USD/JPY is at a critical decision point. The next move will depend on whether buyers defend the demand zone or if sellers step in to drive price lower. Stay patient and react to market structure shifts accordingly. 🚀📉
by BeaucoupPips
UNIVERSOFSIGNALS | VET : a Layer 1 projectLet's quickly dive into VET, a Layer 1 project with a market cap of $2.37 billion, currently ranked 41st in coin market cap. 📊 In the 4-hour timeframe, you can see that a descending triangle has formed, and the floor of this triangle at $0.03068 has been broken, with the price now touching an important daily support at $0.02673. ⚡️ The RSI oscillator, following the triangle break, entered the oversell zone and, after concluding the downward leg, has rebounded above this zone, approaching the 50 area. ⭐ The volume aligns with the downward trend, and if the support at $0.02673 breaks, we could witness the next leg down. The next price support would be at $0.02406. 📈However, if the price moves back above $0.03068, it could indicate that the downward trend has ended. In this case, a risky long trigger would be at $0.03580, and the main long trigger would be at $0.03958. This reversal would suggest potential upward momentum, providing opportunities for long positions.
by UNIVERSOFSIGNALS
PREPARING FOR SHORT POSITIONSUSD/CHF 4H - As you can see price has just traded up and into the Supply Zone I gave out to you all the other day. Now price has traded in, we want to see price reject well so we can prepare to short. I will be looking at the corrective wave that traded price up and into this zone for a break in the last protected low thats been set. Once we have that we will have reasonable confirmation to presume the new impulse is ready to be printed. Once we have that break to the downside its just a case of waiting for price to pullback up to set a lower high, this is where we will be looking to enter in from. We can find areas for price to set a lower high by scouting fractal Supply Zones. These will act as key areas for price to trade us short from. Its just a case of waiting for price to trade up and into these so we can place our positions with as much confluence as possible.
Short
by Lukegforex
Reece Ltd Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Reece Ltd Stock Quote - Double Formation * Trendline 1&2 | (Wedge Structure)) | Completed Survey * (Descending Triangle) | Entry Feature & Short Support | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * (Downtrend Argument)) | Short Term Bias | Subdivision 2 * 0.786 Retracement Area | Valid Entry Feature | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition - (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) * (Downtrend Argument)) * Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area)) Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
PEPPERSTONE:REH.AUShort
by TradePolitics
UNIVERSOFSIGNALS| Bitcoin Daily Analysis #18👋 Welcome to UNIVERS OF SIGNALS ! Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indicators. Yesterday, the price broke the critical support level at $87,700 and proceeded to the next bearish leg. Today, we'll explore what might happen to Bitcoin in the future and identify appropriate triggers for opening positions in the New York session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe As you can see, yesterday the price was rejected from $89,458 and moved downwards, breaking the support at $87,070 and dropping to the area of $83,779. ⚡️ As you notice, I have adjusted the Fibonacci that I had drawn. This is because the price did not even correct to the 0.382 Fibonacci level. In fact, the correction and rest that occurred up to $89,458 was not a true correction, but rather a part of the bearish leg. ✅ As you can see in this new form that I have drawn Fibonacci, the 0.5 and 0.382 levels have become very important areas and can be considered significant resistance zones for the price. ♟ Currently, after reaching $83,779, the price has found support at this level, and as observed, the RSI has shown significant divergence with the previous bottom, and after the divergence trigger in the RSI hit 50, we see that the price has managed to form a green candle. 🔍 If the price can rise above this level again and return to the box between $87,070 and $89,458, we can say that the bearish trend has temporarily ended, and the market wants to create a new structure for opening positions. 🧪 As we did before, we supported from $87,070 and took a day of rest in this area. We opened a position when it broke $87,070, and I hope you were with us and opened your position. 🔄 From the positions we previously held from higher areas like $95,108 and $93,433, I suggest using Dow Theory to close your positions if the price establishes a higher floor and ceiling. You can also place your active stop loss above the resistance area of $89,458, which corresponds to the 0.5 Fibonacci level. 📈 However, for opening positions today, if the price moves sharply upward and forms a V pattern, you could consider opening a long position if it breaks $89,458. But this position is very risky, and I personally won't open it because the market trend and momentum are completely bearish, and I see no sign of an upward trend. 🔽 For short positions, if the price is rejected from $87,070, you could open a short position in the lower timeframes if this trigger breaks. However, if you want to behave more securely, you can open a short position if $83,779 breaks. 🎲 I will not be joining this position because I have positions open from higher up, and I don't want to disrupt the average of my position and have it move lower. I think the price has fallen enough and now needs rest, although my view might be wrong, and the price could from here again commence the next bearish leg. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let's move on to analyzing Bitcoin dominance to determine which coins might be more appropriate to trade today. As we see, there was another drop in Bitcoin dominance, this time breaking the area of 90.61, and dominance has returned to the previous low of 60.48, where it found support. 🧩 As Bitcoin corrected, Bitcoin dominance also increased, causing Bitcoin to perform deeper corrections compared to altcoins. 🧲 When we get to Total2, we'll see that Bitcoin has corrected more than altcoins, but determining the trend in Bitcoin dominance is a bit difficult as it's nearly forming a large range box between 60.48 and 62.19. As long as it's in this box, it's hard to determine a clear trend, and it might move towards the bottom or top of the box. 💥 However, since we are currently at the bottom of this box, if dominance again stabilizes above 60.21, we can take this as confirmation of becoming bullish. If the bottom of the box, which is 60.48, breaks, dominance could move to its next bearish leg targeting 59.84. 📅 Total2 Analysis As you observed, alongside the drop in Bitcoin dominance, the market also fell, which caused Total2 to not lose its important area of 1.07 and to bounce back from there, moving upwards. ✨ But as I mentioned, the increase in Bitcoin dominance caused Bitcoin to correct more than altcoins, but overall, Total2 is in a better situation than Bitcoin because Bitcoin was supported at a lower level and lower support, but Total2 bounced back from the same support at 1.07 and is moving upwards. 💫 I expect a box to form between 1.07 and 1.13, which overlaps with the 0.382 Fibonacci, and Total2 could create a structure in this box. Today, if any of these structures break according to Bitcoin dominance, you can open positions, but given that Bitcoin dominance is falling, I prefer to open a position on Bitcoin if the bottom of the box breaks and if I want to open a long position, do it on altcoins unless Bitcoin dominance rises from the bottom of its box and starts moving upward again, becoming bullish. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Let's go to the analysis of Tether dominance. As you see, dominance broke the resistance at 5.04 and made another upward move to the resistance at 5.21. ⭐️ Currently, dominance is moving downwards again and has entered a corrective phase. There is a very important floor at 4.92, and as long as it is above this area, I see the trend of Tether dominance as bullish. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by UNIVERSOFSIGNALS
NVIDIA shines, but can NASDAQ hold up?After NVIDIA's positive earnings were released yesterday, today's focus shifts to the U.S. GDP data on a quarterly basis. Expectations suggest a steady growth rate of 2.3%. If the U.S. growth exceeds this rate, it could lead to a rise in the U.S. dollar and potentially negatively impact American indices like NASDAQ, due to the likelihood of maintaining higher interest rates for an extended period. Technically, the NASDAQ index has recently declined, moving in a general downward direction by forming successive lows lower than each other. The corrective rise to the level of 21453 could be seen as an opportunity for a rebound downwards and a continuation of the downward trend, with the first target located at the level of 21086. On the other hand, a potential positive scenario would involve prices rising above the level of 21596 and recording a higher peak, indicating a breakthrough of the last lower high recorded by the market, suggesting a change from a downward to an upward trend.
CFI:US100
by CFI
NZDCAD AnalysisNZD/CAD Technical Perspective: The NZD/CAD pair is currently positioned at a key support zone, where price action has historically reversed direction. Following a recent rebound from this level, the pair is now retesting the support area. Given the broader uptrend structure (characterized by higher highs and higher lows), this retest presents a potential opportunity to enter long positions, contingent on bullish confirmation at this critical juncture. Key Observations: Established Uptrend: The pair’s consistent upward trajectory on higher time frames supports a bullish bias. Support Retest: The current pullback to the support zone aligns with typical price behavior in trending markets, where retests of prior levels often precede trend resumptions, but a decisive close below the support would invalidate the bullish setup, potentially signaling a trend reversal or deeper correction. Risk Management Strategy: A prudent approach would involve placing a stop-loss below the support zone to protect against a breakdown, while targeting the next resistance level for profit-taking. Final Assessment: The setup aligns with bullish momentum, provided the support holds. Traders should await confirmation (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns, rising momentum indicators) before committing to long positions.
Long
by sirkamal
1
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: As mentioned yesterday, we were looking for the retracement into that 2920 level before another opportunity to short gold following our latest bias level targets and Excalibur. The move presented itself and although it was very choppy we completed the targets below. We now have support below at the 2910 level with resistance again at 2920, for that reason, if we stay above the key level we're likely to see this want to settle around the circled region. We need to monitor this 2925-30 level again tomorrow, as a spike and rejection can cause another bearish day. Morning review: Price: 2914 KOG’s Bias of the day: Bearish below 2935 with targets below 2910✅, 2900✅ and below that 2997✅ Bullish on break of 2935 with targets above 2942, 2945 and above that 2950 RED BOXES: Break above 2916 for 2920, 2927 and 2935 in extension of the move Break below 2910 for 2903✅, 2900✅ and 2893✅ in extension of the move As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
12
UNIVERS OF SIGNALS| ASTR: Key Support Levels and Market Momentum👋 Welcome to UNIVERS OF SIGNALS ! In this analysis, I want to review ASTR, one of the coins in the Ethereum ecosystem, currently ranked 159th on CoinMarketCap with a market cap of $297 million. 📅 Daily Timeframe On the daily timeframe, as you can see, the price is in a long-term downtrend. The first bearish leg started from the $0.1907 high and moved down to the $0.0505 level. After this move, the price formed a consolidation box between $0.0505 and $0.0813. Once $0.0505 was broken, the price dropped further to the key support at $0.0369. ⚡️ As highlighted on the chart, there is a critical demand zone near the $0.0369 level. If the price breaks below this zone, it could register a new all-time low (ATL), which could put serious pressure on the project’s outlook. 📊 As observed, market volume within the consolidation box was decreasing. However, after the breakout, volume increased. Now that the price is ranging again, volume is dropping once more. If RSI enters the oversold zone and breaks below the 30 level, the likelihood of breaking $0.0369 significantly increases, which could trigger a strong downward momentum, leading the price toward new lower targets. 📈 On the bullish side, if the $0.0369 support holds and pushes the price upward, the first long trigger we can consider is $0.0505. We can also confirm bullish momentum from RSI if it breaks above 54.14. ⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe Now, let’s examine the 4-hour timeframe for a more detailed view of price action. As you can see, the price has formed a ranging box between $0.0369 and $0.0499. 🧲 At one point, the price attempted to break above this range, even forming a higher high and higher low, but failed. After a fake breakout, a double top pattern was confirmed, and when the neckline broke, the price moved downward, reaching the $0.0369 zone once again. ✅ This $0.0369 level remains crucial, as it could keep the price in the current range or push it upward once again. 🧩 However, as seen on the chart, green candles have significantly lower volume than red candles, indicating that bears still dominate the market. The possibility of breaking below this support remains high. 📉 For short positions, the break of $0.0369 would be a strong confirmation. However, keep in mind that below this level lies a strong demand zone, meaning that a reversal could happen at any time. It’s crucial to manage risk carefully when entering shorts. 🔼 For long positions, assuming the previous bullish move was a fake breakout, a break above $0.0419 would be a reasonable entry. However, a more secure long trigger would be at $0.0456. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by UNIVERSOFSIGNALS
XAUUSD - Worries about the US economy!?Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 30-minute timeframe and is in its descending channel. An upward correction of gold towards the supply limits will provide us with the next selling position with a good risk-reward ratio. An economist believes that the massive influx of gold and silver into the United States, coupled with speculation about the liquidity of the country’s gold reserves, could have profound effects on American consumers as well as the domestic and global economy. Thorsten Pollitt, professor emeritus of economics at the University of Bayreuth and publisher of the BOOM & BUST report, told Kitco News that the increase in physical gold and silver inflows into the US is not surprising, as banks are increasing their reserves to counter potential risks associated with tariffs. He stressed that while the likelihood of tariffs on gold and silver is low, the risk is significant enough for banks and investors to take a precautionary approach. Looking at the long-term implications of this, Pollitt explained that the increase in US gold and silver reserves, coupled with the government’s renewed focus on its reserves, could lead to expectations that both precious metals would be used as currency alongside the US dollar. He added that using gold and silver as hard currency alongside the dollar could help reduce the problem of inflation, which has become a major challenge for the economy. However, he stressed that for such a scenario to happen, the price of gold and silver would have to reach a much higher level to be commensurate with the size of the US economy. (Hard currency refers to a form of currency that is globally accepted and retains its value due to its stability and reliability.) Pollitt went on to explain that the significant increase in US government debt has put not only the Federal Reserve, but the entire fiat-based monetary system at risk. “In the future, the Federal Reserve will no longer be able to maintain the same flexibility that it has in the past,” he said. For example, in times of financial crises, the Fed would usually support the economy by injecting liquidity into it. But now, doing so could trigger a wave of hyperinflation. We now know that the Fed can no longer simply be the savior of the economy as it used to be.” He also warned that the Fed’s policies have led to the market not pricing in risks properly. For example, yields on risky corporate bonds are significantly below their historical average. Currently, the yield spread between B-rated corporate bonds and U.S. Treasury bonds is 1.45 percent, its lowest level since mid-1979. Warren Buffett, one of the most influential figures in the investment world, has made his concerns clear. In his annual letter to shareholders, the 94-year-old has a stark message for policymakers in Washington: financial turmoil and monetary instability pose a serious threat to the U.S. economy. The warning comes as his conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway has delivered a record-breaking profit and a record $334.2 billion in cash. But Buffett is treading carefully as investment opportunities appear to be shrinking and is preparing to hand over the reins to his appointed successor, Greg Abel. In the letter, Buffett expressed concern about the growing U.S. budget deficit and warned of a possible extension of tax cuts that began under Trump. He emphasizes that “irresponsible fiscal policies can destroy the value of paper money” and emphasizes the importance of sound public financial management. According to him, the stability of the US economy depends on a strong dollar, and any mistake in monetary policy can have irreparable consequences. With the rapidly growing budget deficit and increasing discussions about extending the Trump-era tax cuts, Buffett warns that the value of the dollar may weaken. He calls on Washington policymakers to maintain a stable economic framework and support the vulnerable: “Support people who have been unfortunate in life through no fault of their own. They deserve a better life.” Warren Buffett reminds us of one of the fundamental principles of investing: “In times of uncertainty, caution and responsible management are more important than ever.” His warning about the growth of the US public debt and the depreciation of the dollar may come true if current trends continue. Moreover, his focus on investing in Japan and preparing for his successor is a key step for the future of Berkshire Hathaway, a company that must find its way without him in a world of increasing economic instability.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND