Supply and Demand
USDJPY: Back to Bullish Trend?!USDJPY is showing signs of a turnaround after a long period of decline.
A clear bullish breakout above an important intraday resistance level indicates strong buying pressure.
I anticipate further recovery in the market, with a potential target of 157.10 in the near future.
GBP/NZD - Trade Idea.Long for potential long positions at 2.1600.
Why?.. At this Phycological level we can see previously that we have had large buying pressure added at this level. To support this we can see multiple Imbalances left after price sky rocketed.
Currently price is falling will multiple market jumps insinuating the continuation of Bearish movements for the next few days.
I would like to see price come down into the Demand zone at the suggested level. This shows me price is at a Discounted Rate. As long as price respects the Previous Low then we are still Bullish on the Long Term.
Stop loss levels are below the Daily TF Imbalance. Im risking 130 Pips for 730 Pips in return.
Take Profit levels are taking out Buy Side Liquidity
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/23/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21984.75
- PR Low: 21958.25
- NZ Spread: 59.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
12:00 | Crude Oil Inventories
Daily print advertising pivot off previous session high
- Front running 22100 key level, set Dec 26
- QQQ gap below 528
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 1/23)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 380.05
- Volume: 22K
- Open Int: 251K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
CHECK BTC ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
Btc trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now btc ready for sell trade btc sell zone enter point (104.500 ) to (105.300)
First tp (103.600)
Last target (102.800)
stop loss (105.500)
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
EURUSD 23 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - US Jobless ClaimsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 23 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Nothing much changed in sentiment since Tramp inauguration
Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings.
Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook.
US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Continuation after BOS
2️⃣
🔹As expected, price created a bullish BOS as per the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback.
🔹Price didn’t mitigate any supply after the BOS so there is a high probability that we will continue up till we reach the 4H or Daily supply to initiate a BOS pullback phase (Can’t be ruled, we always have the expectation that a pullback will start at any time after any break of structure).
🔹Currently price is within a 4H FLIP zone that caused the BOS. Which could keep price bullish to target the weak INT high.
3️⃣
🔹My expectations is set for price to continue bullish till we mitigate a 4H/Daily supply.
🔹Will be following the LTF to follow the expectation of bullish continuation while putting in consideration the probability of a bearish move for the bullish BOS pullback phase that can start anytime.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹Price created a bullish BOS. After a BOS we expect a pullback phase.
🔹We didn’t mitigate any supply zone to initiate the Swing Pullback Phase yet so we could continue bullish.
🔹Price is currently within the 4H FLIP zone and at the INT Structure extreme.
🔹The last defined demand zone within the INT structure failed and there is a probability that the INT structure could turn bearish to fulfill the BOS requirement for a Pullback Phase.
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is still bullish until we have a confirmed bearish iBOS to initiate the Pullback Phase.
🔹Longs: As the demand failed, I’ll be waiting for a shift in the OF to bullish and demand to start holding to target the Weak INT High.
🔹Shorts: Will be waiting for bearish iBOS for pullback phase.
Possible Technical Correction in SightGiven that we have just broken a resistance level, and currently trading at an higher high level of the trend. The possibility of a bearish retracement for liquidity grab for further momentum upwards is in sight.
Furthermore, the current Price pattern aligns with the structure Gold has chosen for this ongoing uptrend.
It is importantly to keep in mind that buyers will be more interested to step in at the retest of the currently broken resistance.
Key Demand Zones to Watch for VTHOUSD
COINBASE:VTHOUSD remains in a bullish market structure as long as the swing low at 0.0013360 holds, signaling the continuation of the uptrend.
Currently, there are two key demand zones for potential entries:
- 0.0029000: An internal demand zone, representing a shorter-term support area within the bullish structure.
- 0.0017000: An external demand zone, offering a deeper level of accumulation aligned with historical support.
The target for this move is set at 0.0075000, a historically reactive level, providing an excellent profit opportunity if the bullish trend continues. Both entry zones present favorable points for accumulation to capitalize on the overall bullish momentum.
👨🏻💻💭 Do you agree with these levels? Share your thoughts and join the discussion below!
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USDCAD - 9 Jan 2025 SetupUSDCAD Market structure are still Bullish on the H4 timeframe and now breaking ema's on H1 means the market will continuing their trend. Spotted demand area (Green Rectangle).its the first demand area on 2025.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
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Coffee Trade Team
AUDJPY - 13 Jan 2025 SetupAUDJPY Breaking down a market structure on hourly timeframe. Spotted supply area on the H4 Chart (Red Rectangle). its the supply area after Ema's False bullish breakout.
Entry Position : Short
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly above demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
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Coffee Trade Team
USDJPY - 16 Jan 2025 SetupUSDJPY Market structure are breaking down a bullish structure and now in bearish mode on H1 timeframe. Spotted supply area (RedRectangle). its the first supply area after a long bullish run.
Entry Position : Short
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly above supply area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
Thanks
Coffee Trade Team
EURJPY - 16 Jan 2025 SetupEURJPY Market structure are breaking down and making bearish structure on H4 timeframe. Spotted supply area (Red Rectangle) that making a new low and breaking our ema's.
Entry Position : Short
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly above supply area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
Thanks
Coffee Trade Team
EURJPY - 22 Jan 2025 SetupEURJPY Market structure are now on a Bullish mode. Spotted demand area (Green Rectangle). its the first demand area after the price breaking bearish structure.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
Thanks
Coffee Trade Team
USD/CAD 4HR TF AnalysisUSD/CAD 4HR TF Analysis
Trend Analysis
On the 4-hour timeframe, USD/CAD is consolidating in a range, indicating market indecision. Despite the sideways movement, the larger timeframe still reflects an uptrend. Within this consolidation, the price has formed a bull flag pattern, a potential indication of bullish continuation. Currently, the price is near the minor key support level at 1.43700, which has been tested multiple times. Below this, another key level is at 1.43400, near a liquidity zone. If the price reclaims and breaks above these levels, it could trigger further upside momentum.
Price Action Expectation:
Wait for the price to break below the 1st minor key support at 1.43700.
Observe liquidity formation around the 2nd minor key support at 1.43400.
Look for a break above 1.43700, which could confirm a continuation of the uptrend.
Trade Setup:
Trade Type: Buy Stop
Entry: 1.43840 (upon breakout confirmation above 1st minor key support)
Stop Loss: 1.43460 (below the liquidity zone to avoid false breakouts)
Take Profit: 1.44620 (targeting the next significant resistance level)
This setup leverages the confluence of technical patterns, key levels, and market behavior to provide an informed trading decision.
Fundamental Outlook:
USD News (Unemployment Claims): Expected later today, with the previous forecast at 217K and the latest forecast at 221K. This data release could introduce volatility in USD pairs.
CAD News (Retail Sales m/m): Scheduled for later today, with the previous forecast at 0.6% and the latest forecast revised to 0.2%. This weaker-than-expected data may exert downward pressure on the CAD, further supporting a bullish outlook for USD/CAD.
Risk Management:
Maintain a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2 to maximize potential returns.
Position size should align with your account equity and risk tolerance.
Be cautious around liquidity zones to avoid premature stop-outs.
Trading involves significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors. Ensure your strategies align with your financial goals and risk tolerance.
NZD/USD, sell, 8hEntry: Current Market Price
take: 0.55910
stop loss: 0.57417
NZD/USD is currently trading within a resistance zone. With bearish pressure building, we expect a move downward toward the target level, while the stop loss is set above the resistance to manage risk effectively.
SELL 🔥
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$NVDA #Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA is currently accumlating.
A close above $160 is a breakout and is unlocking an uncharted zone up to the closest psychological mark $200.
A close below $124 is a retest to the nearest demand zone at the same level.
A close below $118 is unlocking $88 mark.
#STOCKS #STOCKMARKET #NVDA #NVIDIA #SUPPLYANDDEMAND #AHMEDMESBAH
#Bitcoin $BTCUSD The Wedge dilemma.CRYPTO:BTCUSD Key Levels:
1. 109k
2. 150k
3. 85k
4. 75k
CRYPTO:BTCUSD is currently trying to break a historical, old and respectful channel's upper wedge. Technically speaking, this wedge is a very significant level where it has been tested 5 times so far "illustrated on the chart". The last 2 attempts have shown that the wedge is still valid.
Scenario A:
Euphoria and institutions buying pressure will keep the price trading close enough to the wedge until it breaks out where it unlocks a new uncharted zone extended to the next psychological mark 150k.
Scenario B:
Price falls back to the nearest visible and massive demand zone around the 75k mark.
I lean on a correction to the closest demand zone around the 75k mark.
Corrections:
It is worth noting that every time the price tests this wedge it causes a significant correction. "Check the illustrated table on the chart".
Conclusion:
Closing above 116k unlocks an uncharted zone to 150k
Trading below the historical wedge will lead eventually to a retest of the 75k price level.
#BTC #BITCOIN #CRYPTO #ANALYSIS #AHMEDMESBAH #SUPPLYANDDEMAND #BLOCKCHAIN #ETHEREUM
FOREX Forecast UPDATES! Jan 22, WednesdayIn this video, we will update the forecasts for the following FX markets:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
The USD Index is now reacting to the Weekly Supply Zone, turning over. There was a bearish MSS, so sells are valid. A BOS would confirm the bearish trend starting, but we need to see how the price action plays out over the next two days.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GOLD/XAUUSD Aiming for New Highs? While the US and BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) aren’t in a formal trade war, tensions are rising. BRICS nations are working to reduce reliance on the US dollar, challenging its dominance in global trade. This “de-dollarization” effort and geopolitical shifts, like sanctions on Russia and US-China disputes, are fueling uncertainty. The USD surged by over 7.1% and was the only currency to see a positive growth in 2024.
What This Means for Gold?
Gold thrives during uncertainty. As BRICS push for alternatives to the dollar and tensions with the US escalate, demand for gold could rise:
Hedge Against Currency Risks: If BRICS reduce dollar usage, the dollar might weaken, boosting gold’s appeal.
Geopolitical Tensions: Gold is a safe-haven asset investors flock to during economic instability.
Global economic shifts are driving gold’s narrative. Trade wisely!
Apex out!
US30 Key Event,Technical & Structures,Trading Scenario'sKey Events to Monitor
WEF Annual Meetings (Jan 20–24 Whole Week)
⦁Any unexpected global economic policy announcements could impact market sentiment and cause sudden volatility.
Unemployment Claims - Jan 23 (High Impact) Previous: 217K | Forecast: 220K
⦁A lower-than-expected value may signal economic strength, likely pushing US30 higher. A higher-than-expected value could lead to a downside move.
Crude Oil Inventories Previous: 2.0m
⦁Impacts energy and manufacturing sectors. A significant deviation from forecasts may cause volatility, indirectly affecting US30.
Flash Manufacturing PMI (Forecast: 49.4) Friday, Jan 24 (High Impact)
⦁Below 50 signals contraction, which could pressure US30 lower.
Flash Services PMI (Forecast: 56.8)
⦁A strong reading here can offset manufacturing weakness, supporting bullish sentiment.
Existing Home Sales
⦁Measures consumer confidence and spending; a significant miss may lead to bearish moves.
Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment (Previous: 73.2)
⦁Strong consumer sentiment is bullish for US30.
Tips for Events and Levels Interaction
⦁During Unemployment Claims and PMIs, watch for false breakouts around key levels like 43,375 and 43,700.
⦁Pay attention to consumer sentiment data: Strong data could cause a surge to resistance; weak data might lead to sell-offs.
⦁Adjust stop-losses wider during high-impact news to avoid being stopped out by volatility.
Technical Analysis: Levels and Structure
Resistance Zones
43,250 – 43,700 (Scalping/Day trading Resistance Levels)
⦁Price faced rejection at this resistance Level 43,250 after the Break above, forming a key short-term supply area.
⦁IF its holds above, More buys to next resistance @ 43700.
44,025 – 44350 (Swing Resistance Levels)
⦁A breakout above 43,700 would likely aim for this region as the next target.
Support Zones
43,250 - 43200
⦁Immediate minor support. A break below could see a test of lower levels.
43025 -42980
⦁Stronger support region where buyers might step in.
42815 - 42775
⦁Critical support to watch if selling pressure intensifies.
Trend and Indicators
⦁Short-Term Trend: Bullish after breaking out of the downtrend line, but price now shows consolidation near resistance.
⦁RSI: Approaching overbought territory, indicating potential short-term pullbacks.
Moving Averages
⦁20 & 40 MA: Positioned bullishly, signaling continued upside momentum unless the price falls below 43,015.
Trading Scenario's
Bullish Scenario
1. If price Rejects Above 43300 - 43250 - (Current Resistance that broke)
Look for bullish reversal signals.
Entry: 43315 - 43325.
StopLoss: 43200.
Targets: 43700 and then 44025.
2. If price pull back to 43025 - 42980 and reject above.
Entry: 43015 - 43025.
StopLoss: 42900.
Target: 43325 and then 43700.
Bearish Scenario
1. If price breaks below 43325 - 43250 and reject below.(Current Support after break out)
Entry: 43250 - 43225.
StopLoss: 43325.
Target: 43025 and then 42775
2. If price Price breaks 42815 - 42775 with and reject below.
Entry: 42775 - 42750
StopLoss: 42815.
Target: 42600 and then 42450 (Supply Zone).
USDSGD: Potential Short from Key ResistanceThe USDSGD pair is approaching a notable resistance zone around the 1.37160 level, an area that has historically acted as a supply zone, leading to price reversals. The current price action shows signs of hesitation as it tests this zone, which could indicate potential weakness.
If sellers regain control, the pair could reverse downward, with the 1.35041 level being a likely target for the next support zone.