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Supply and Demand

NZD/CHF: PAT + VPA 11/03/2024Good morning, On this date, March 11, 2024, I will be conducting an analysis of the NZD/CHF currency pair. Daily (1D): The daily timeframe has exhibited a bearish trend, initiating a downward movement from May 28, 2024, to August 5, 2024. During this period, the price encountered support at 0.494, subsequently rallying to 0.536. It is important to highlight that 0.536 represents the last swing low that was breached on the weekly chart. The price faced significant resistance at approximately 0.536 and subsequently tested the daily swing low at 0.519. Following this, the price entered a consolidation phase between 0.519 and 0.526, which persisted for 16 days before breaking below the daily swing low of 0.519. The weekly and monthly moving averages (7EMA & 21EMA on the daily timeframe) indicate a sustained bearish trend. Presently, the support level is situated at 0.494. I anticipate that the price will trend towards 0.494 in the coming weeks. I will be actively seeking trading opportunities targeting 0.494. ThePipAssassin
by ThePipAssassin
3
EUR/USD: PAT + VPA 10/02/2024Good afternoon, Today, my focus will be on identifying long entries for a long position, as we appear to have reached a selling climax. On the 15-minute time frame, a robust demand zone is evident between 1.0300 and 1.0400. The market has made a significant move towards 1.0300, leaving indications of early buying activity from "Market Makers." A notable reversal occurred on October 1st, followed by the formation of a bullish wedge (which is typically a bearish pattern) that pushed the market below the previous low. Currently, we are beginning to form a triangle on the 15-minute chart, which serves as a critical signal for a potential market reversal, particularly since it has not managed to fill the liquidity above it. This downward movement seems designed to eliminate the remaining sellers and early buyers. Additionally, my strategy, "High Clear," has materialized, suggesting that a liquidity sweep of the recent low was anticipated. I am now monitoring the fourth leg of the triangle as it approaches the lower congestion line, preparing for a potential breakout with the fifth leg. It is important to note that if a sixth leg forms, it would indicate a continuation of the market trend. I suspect that the market is attempting to prompt traders to shift to short positions, setting the stage for one final significant rally towards 1.1300. I anticipate that the market could reach this level in the coming weeks, unless we observe the formation of a six-legged triangle. The Pip Assassin FX:EURUSD TVC:DXY XETR:DAX
Long
by ThePipAssassin
2
EUR/USD: PAT + VPA 09/18/2024My life's work as a trader is not be like the 99%, I want to be like the 1%. The market is showing stability, with a 4-hour period range highlighted by the Red Range Lines. This is a positive indication, as the recent drop did not occur on high volume by the Market Makers. Market Makers intervened at 1.11376 (1.11400) before the news hinted at a price decrease. Despite this, they refrained from further pushing the price down. The market swiftly hit the range low of the 4H on low volume. Retail investors flooded the markets with sell orders, resulting in an influx of EUROs to the Market Makers, who now possess a substantial supply of EUROs. I expect 1.10729 (1.107) to act as a support/demand area for the EUROS where "Market Makers" are looking to buy at wholesale value. Following a High, Low, HH pattern, buyers are sought at the HL level with a clear reason behind it. The market makers anticipated a surge in the EURO due to news, leading them to sell aggressively. Considering the unfavorable news for the dollar on 9/18/2024, the dollar's strength is expected to be limited. This can be seen as the market makers strategically shaking the Olive tree!
Long
by ThePipAssassin
1
EUR/USD: PAT + VPA 9/24/2024Good evening, Today served as a solid confirmation that we might be experiencing a buying climax. Several indicators have pointed to this: 1. We are observing a bearish pin-bar that is accompanied by significant trading volume. 2. Additionally, there is an evening star pattern present, featuring a prominent long-legged doji at its center. 3. Two weeks ago, we broke through a low, and now retail sentiment is beginning to shift towards long positions. It's common for retail traders, myself included in the past, to chase the highs and make purchases at elevated levels. I believe the first key level market makers are going to push for is 1.088. Best, The Pip Assassin! TVC:DXY XETR:DAX
Short
by ThePipAssassin
3
XAUUSD 3/11/24We have a short bias on gold this week, mainly to establish a better price level in case the market decides to move higher again, based on the daily timeframe gap. This is the first bearish gap in over a month, which indicates a strong chance for a possible sell-off. We’ve marked the lows, and currently, there are no unmitigated areas of demand. Given our bearish bias, this is expected, as previous areas of demand or support are likely to be broken, allowing the price to reach a more favorable level for future buying opportunities. There’s also an area of supply marked above, which could push the price lower. However, we're primarily looking for a short-term sell-off, with a longer-term expectation of reaching all-time highs again, driven by strong fundamentals supporting gold. This pullback is likely a temporary correction in the overall uptrend. Since we haven’t seen a pullback in a while, a correction is ultimately inevitable. Where it will end and turn bullish again is uncertain. This week, our focus is on the liquidity levels marked for potential reactions. Trade based on current price action and follow your plan. Stick to your strategy, manage your risk, and consider the supply area as a possible point for selling into the lows. Follow your plan and stick to your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by rosshayes
2
XAU/USD shorts from 2,760 or Longs from 2,720This week, my analysis suggests that gold may continue to drop, targeting the trendline liquidity formed below. Once that liquidity is taken out, I anticipate a bullish reaction, potentially around the demand zone I have identified. If the price retraces up to the supply zone, I’ll look for potential sell opportunities to follow this short-term bearish trend. Since my overall bias is bullish, I am more inclined towards long positions due to the higher time frame outlook. However, if the price surpasses any of my nearby Points of Interest (POIs), I’ll watch for a deeper retracement around the demand at 2,680 or the supply at 2,780. Confluences for Gold Sells: - Price has shown a bearish shift on the higher time frame. - Supply zones remain on both the 1-hour and daily charts. - There is significant trendline liquidity below, providing a target for further downside movement. - The dollar has been moving bullishly, which aligns with a potential drop in gold. - Gold has been in a strong bullish trend and may be showing signs of exhaustion, hence the recent heavy decline. P.S. I’ll stay vigilant and assess where the price moves first. If price breaks structure to the downside, I’ll have a stronger inclination to sell. Have a great trading week!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD 3/11/24This week, our bias on the Euro has shifted from short to long. This change is based on observing a shift in the higher time frame structure, as institutions appear to be showing interest in buying. Whether this move will be short-term or long-term remains to be seen. We’ll watch the price action in the first sessions of the week to get a clearer idea. Please note, this analysis follows the same principles and bias approach as always. Currently, there are no unmitigated demand areas on the 4-hour chart, and only a short-term supply area has formed. The area of demand we’ve highlighted is present only on the 1-hour chart, making it more of a smaller time frame reference than a higher one. We’ve marked key liquidity levels, which will serve as our reference points for potential upward movement this week. If the price interacts with the 1-hour demand area, we’ll aim for the high at the top of the current range. While I’m ultimately looking for a longer-term upward move, a pullback beforehand is possible. Stick to your plan and manage your risk.
by rosshayes
Hims demand zone leading into earningsHims is a position that has a lot of controversy but I am bullish. Lots of volatility rewards the patient. I have added a daily demand zone as we approach earnings and the conclusion of the election. We have already seen a very strong bounce from the buy zone and I have played my cards accordingly. I love seeing the stochastic RSI this low leading into earnings. Note the rising average volume as well. My plan: I have spot shares I plan to hold long term During the 15% drawdown last week I sold CSP for 11/8 expiration that were aggressive, I will close these at 90% profit Any time we approach 18$ I will sell aggressive CSP
NYSE:HIMSLong
by Apollo_21mil
2
BTC reset and buy zoneBTC needed this reset imo, this will cool off the momentum indicators on the monthly and weekly as we run into elections. My plan here is to set limit orders within the buy zone indicated by the rectangle. The horizontal channel is forming and the blue 5 EMA is likely to be lost for a day or two, this is bullish consolidation. My plan: 1-2 days of bearishness for dip buys, Long on the weekly Limit orders at 66.5k Limit orders at 64.75k Selling BITX/Hood puts
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Apollo_21mil
#USDCHF: 500+ Pips Upcoming Bearish Move, Let not miss it! FX:USDCHF Price has changed the character and turned bearish since last few weeks. indicating price to drop further, currently price is making small correction on daily timeframe. However, there is a strong bearish area which in our view price will be heading towards. In our opinion, if you are planning to trade on USDCHF please wait for price to complete it correction and once the behaviour changes you can enter a sell entry accordingly to your plan and analysis. Thanks. Team Setupsfx_
Short
by Setupsfx_
15
LTC Long (conditional mid-term)#LTC Long (conditional mid-term) If - then. Why: • General Bullish bias/Uptrend Where: • Lower border of 12H uptrend channel • Volume POC of the range • Zone begins: HL SSL • Zone ends: Lower OB • SL Under next swing low and demand POI - Still in premium Zone. Risk: Low The probability of a general bullish uptrend continuation is always higher than the probability of a reversal. Amount: SL is medium sized- 4,3% Safe entry on 1.86% x25 will expose you to the risk of 2% total.
Long
by CyberBOB_Crypto
4
BTC Bulls on Edge: Key Levels to Watch in This Critical RetestIf you remember my last analysis from August titled "Bulls in the Hot Seat," this follow-up will make a lot of sense. The price movement aligned closely with my projections, and all predicted targets were achieved. This new analysis builds on the same value area, with adjusted VAL (Value Area Low) and VAH (Value Area High) to reflect current price dynamics. Recently, BTC broke out of the value area, nearly reaching a new all-time high. However, buyers were absorbed and ultimately rejected, pushing the price back into the value area—setting up a potential failed auction scenario. Now that we're back in value, a retest of the VAL at 65,600 is highly likely unless the bulls manage a solid bounce from the POC (Point of Control) at 67,000, holding above this level to regain traction toward the VAH. 65769 as shown on the chart currently presents the most favorable entry point, with a reasonable stop loss below that protects against a major LVN below my suggested entry. This is where i will place my bids personally. If the crypto bull run remains intact, we should see a bounce or consolidation within this area. However, if BTC breaks below the VAL at 65,600 and accumulates volume beneath it, we could see a significant decline, with the next rotation likely targeting the 60,000 to 63,000 range.
Long
by ExoProtocol
2
XAU/USD 4-8 November 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Analysis/bias remains the same as last week's analysis dated 27 October 2024 Price has continued its surge, reaching new all-time highs with no signs yet of bearish pullback phase initiation. The initial indication of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price's ongoing ascent has now positioned CHoCH significantly closer to most recent price action. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold's price has maintained its upward surge after printing a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), fueled by softer U.S. macroeconomic data and intensified geopolitical tensions. In my weekly analysis dated 27 October 2024, I mentioned that price could potentially reach new highs, moving the bearish CHoCH positioning closer to current price. This shift would create a realistic opportunity for price to indicate the start of a bearish pullback phase. This forecast played out as expected, with CHoCH positioning now significantly nearer to recent price action, marked by a blue dotted vertical line. Following the bullish iBOS, a bearish pullback is anticipated. While price is currently giving very early signs of this by printing a higher high that has brought the CHoCH positioning closer, this is still an indication, not a confirmation of a potential pullback. The first more concrete signal of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH). Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal. Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high. We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2
Market Sensitivity Ahead: Key Levels to Watch Amid NFP ReleaseTechnical Analysis The price has declined and stabilized within a bearish zone after breaking a strong support level at 2,758. Today’s session is expected to be sensitive due to the release of the NFP and Unemployment Rate data. Bearish Scenario: The price appears set to retest 2,758 before resuming a bearish trend toward 2,738 and 2,712. Bullish Scenario: Alternatively, a 4-hour candle close above 2,758 would signal a potential bullish move, with targets at 2,775 and 2,788. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 2758 Resistance Levels: 2764, 2775, 2790 Support Levels: 2738, 2712, 2695 Trend Outlook: Above 2758: Uptrend Under 2758: Downtrend
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
ZRO expectation (1D)This 5 months old crypto is currently entering its heavy supply zone! I would wait for the price to drop down to 2.7238 and confirm the reversal to enter LONG. Entering now would also be fine since the downtrend was not aggressive, increasing the likelihood of price respecting the zone. If we can confirm the reversal earlier, we might enter then instead of waiting for an additional drop. But for now, because we do not know where the price will reverse, we will wait to see if price is pulled further back.
Long
by QJEEE