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Supply and Demand

XAUUSD - Will Gold Reverse?!Gold is trading between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 15-minute timeframe and is on its uptrend line. A continued bullish move towards the supply zone will provide us with the next opportunity to sell it with a good risk-reward ratio. We expect a range of $10-$15. Gold prices dropped by 4% on Wednesday, just a day after reaching an all-time high. The decline followed remarks by President Trump that helped ease Wall Street’s concerns about the ongoing trade war with China and tensions between the White House and the Federal Reserve. Throughout this year, gold has seen a substantial rise due to investor fears over the economic consequences of tariffs. Additionally, the metal has benefited from capital fleeing U.S. assets amid political uncertainty under the Trump administration. On Tuesday, Trump reassured markets by stating that he had no intention of removing Jerome Powell as Fed Chair and expressed his expectation that tariffs on Chinese goods would soon be lowered. Trump’s statements supporting Federal Reserve independence and hinting at easing trade tensions with China reignited risk appetite in financial markets, causing gold prices to tumble on Wednesday.Just a day earlier, prices had hit a record high above $3,500, as investors speculated that Trump might attempt to remove Powell. Trump had previously criticized Powell for not cutting interest rates and for warning that tariffs could lead to higher consumer prices. Gold’s price surge this year has been especially notable following Trump’s decision to halt the implementation of sweeping new tariffs initially announced in early April. Gold, as a safe-haven asset not tied to any single national economy—unlike traditional alternatives such as the U.S. dollar or Treasuries, which are subject to U.S. government influence—has become increasingly attractive to investors wary of Trump’s policy decisions. Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that continued tariff escalation in 2025 could push global public debt to 95.1% of GDP—an increase of 2.8 percentage points from previous forecasts. According to the IMF’s latest “Fiscal Monitor” report, if revenues and output fall significantly below expectations due to tariff-induced pressures, global debt could surpass 117% of GDP by 2027. Investment bank JPMorgan has projected that gold prices could exceed $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026. This forecast is based on expectations of an economic recession, a prolonged trade war, and sustained demand from central banks. However, JPMorgan also cautioned that a sudden drop in central bank demand could threaten this bullish trend. The IMF’s report further estimates that global public debt will climb to 99.6% of GDP by 2030, exceeding even the pandemic-era peak. The IMF has forecasted global economic growth at around 2.8% for 2025. In this scenario, the U.S. budget deficit is projected to decrease from 7.3% of GDP in 2024 to 6.5% in 2025, and further down to 5.5% in 2026, largely due to increased tariff revenues and continued economic expansion. These IMF projections for the U.S. deficit are based on policies announced up until April 2, 2025, and assume that the individual tax cuts enacted in 2017 will expire at the end of this year.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
VeChain Range & Structure AnalysisBINANCE:VETUSDT has been range-bound since November 2023, with very clear levels. Key Zones • Weekly Demand Zone: $0.019–$0.022 — major support with multiple rebounds. • Weekly Supply Zone: $0.045–$0.055 — strong resistance dating back to early 2024. • Midrange / HVN: ~$0.037 — heavy volume area and likely resistance if tested. • Local Resistance: $0.027 — recent swing high + S/R since December 2023. A daily close above could mark a change of character and a shift to a bullish bias. Possible Scenario • With a daily close above $0.027, VET may revisit the $0.055 range high — with potential resistance at the midline along the way. • If $0.055 is reached and followed by a sharp rejection, we might start seeing the formation of a macro Head & Shoulders — with $0.019 as a key neckline. • Breakdown below $0.019 would activate a target near $0.0045.* • Break above $0.055 would invalidate the H&S idea and could open the door toward $0.1150.* * H&S scenario is purely hypothetical and would require structure confirmation.
by AliferCrypto
TIA buy/long setup (4H)TIA seems to be in the middle of a bullish pattern, especially as it has reclaimed key levels and there is an order block located below the current price. Two entry points are marked on the chart, indicating where we’re looking for buy/long positions. Targets are specified on the image. A 4-hour candle closing below the invalidation level would invalidate this setup. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
2
UPDATE ON XRP ANALYSISXRP/USD 4H - As you can see price has played out perfectly since the analysis that was sent out to you guys earlier on in the week. Those of you who may have sold off some of your XRP could look to buy back in when we have confirmation of the next impulse. I believe now we will see price correct itself trading us right the way down, putting fear in those who are unsure on the future of XRP, this will give us the opportunity to buy in at a great price later down the line. I have gone ahead and held the coins I have and will continue to purchase further coins once we see price trade us lower down and into the Demand Zone I have marked out for us. I will keep you all updated on anything I decide to do with this pair, should I buy in more or sell of coins I have I will let you all know!
BINANCE:XRPUSDShort
by Lukegforex
5
Advanced Flower Capital Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Advanced Flower Capital Inc Stock Quote - Double Formation * (A+ Set Up)) At 23.00 USD | Completed Survey * (Downtrend Argument)) & Wave Feature Entry | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * (EMA Settings)) + Downtrend Continuation | Subdivision 2 * (TP1) | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition - (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Logarithmic Settings - Position On A 1.5RR * Stop Loss At 7.00 USD * Entry At 5.00 USD * Take Profit At 2.50 USD * (Downtrend Argument)) & Pattern Confirmation (Pennant Structure) * Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area)) Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
CAPITALCOM:AFCGShort
by TradePolitics
BankNifty level - Apr 25, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We trust that this information proves valuable to you. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by sacxe
Nifty levels - Apr 25, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeTools Used: Volume Profile, Gann Levels, Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) + ADX 1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 3,390.67 Value Area Low (VAL): 3,277.14 Point of Control (POC): 3,309.96 High-volume nodes: Prominent between 3,300–3,340 zone, where price consolidated and re-accumulated. Low-volume gaps: Seen between 3,365–3,385 and under 3,277, ideal for fast moves if broken. b) Liquidity Zones: Stops Likely Clustered: Above 3,390 (last high). Below 3,277 (recent low and VAL). Absorption Zones (based on delta volume): Notable order absorption around POC (3,309.96) – heavy trade activity and hold in down move. c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: High-volume swing low: 3,277.07 – price bounced with demand pick-up. High-volume swing high: 3,427.04 – volume faded after breakout, leading to rejection. d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Currently uptrend forming, CVD rising slightly with bullish structure. ADX Strength: ADX ~22 and DI+ > DI-: Confirms beginning of a potential uptrend. CVD Confirmation: Rising CVD + bullish candles: Demand increasing, especially around POC reclaim. 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: VAL: 3,277.14 POC: 3,309.96 Swing low: 3,277.07 Resistance: VAH: 3,390.67 Recent rejection zone: 3,342–3,350 b) Gann-Based Levels: Confirmed Gann High: 3,427.04 Confirmed Gann Low: 3,277.07 Key Retracement Levels: 1/3 retrace: ~3,335 1/2 retrace: ~3,352 2/3 retrace: ~3,370 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Bullish, supported by ADX > 20 and rising CVD confirming new leg up. b) Notable Patterns: Falling wedge breakout confirmed from 3,277 support. Channel projection points to potential continuation toward 3,370–3,390. POC retest success showing strong reaccumulation. 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend): Entry Zone: 3,310–3,320 Targets: T1: 3,350 T2: 3,390 Stop-Loss: Below 3,277 RR: Minimum 1:2 b) Bearish Entry (If trend invalidates): Entry Zone: 3,390–3,400 (retest rejection) Target: T1: 3,310 Stop-Loss: Above 3,427 RR: Minimum 1:2 c) Position Sizing: Risk only 1–2% of total capital per trade.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ProspireWealth
GBPUSD - Will the dollar go up?!The GBPUSD pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. If the pair corrects down towards the demand zone, it can be bought in the direction of its rise. According to the latest Reuters survey of economists, U.S.-imposed trade tariffs have had a significant negative impact on the business environment in the United Kingdom. The assessment suggests that global trade tensions, combined with America’s protectionist policies, have undermined the confidence of British companies and investors in the country’s economic outlook. Market pricing reflects expectations that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 0.84% over the course of this year. The survey indicates that the UK’s GDP growth for 2025 is expected to average 0.9%, down from the previous estimate of 1%. Growth for 2026 is now projected at 1.2%, also lower than the 1.4% forecast made in March. In terms of monetary policy, there is a strong consensus among economists that the Bank of England is on a gradual path toward easing interest rates. Projections suggest that the base rate will decline by 25 basis points each quarter throughout 2025, reaching 3.75% by year-end. Notably, all 67 economists participating in the poll expect the Bank of England to cut rates by 25 basis points at its May 8 meeting, bringing the rate down to 4.25%. Meanwhile, the U.S.Federal Reserve, in its latest Beige Book release, reported that economic activity across the country has shown “little change.” The report detailed that only five districts experienced “modest growth,” three noted activity was “about flat,” and four reported “slight to moderate declines.” The Fed stated, “The outlook in several districts deteriorated notably due to heightened economic uncertainty, particularly stemming from tariffs.” On employment, most districts experienced “little to slight” increases. One district noted a “modest increase,” four reported “slight gains,” another four observed no change, and three recorded “slight declines” in employment levels. At the same time, prices continued to rise across the country. Six districts described price growth as “modest,” while the other six reported it as “moderate.” The Fed explained that most districts expected input costs to rise further due to tariffs. UBS has issued a warning that Donald Trump’s calls for rate cuts may erode confidence in the Federal Reserve’s independence and fuel greater uncertainty in financial markets. UBS analysts believe that reduced investment and consumption in the U.S. economy are primarily driven by increased economic uncertainty, rather than restrictive monetary policy. They emphasize that markets are highly sensitive to any perceived threats against the Fed’s autonomy, and in the current climate, it is this economic volatility—more than interest rate levels—that is harming the economy.
Long
by Ali_PSND
US500 - Will the stock market go up?!The index is located between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, we can look for the next Nasdaq buying positions with an appropriate risk-reward ratio. The channel breakdown and the index entering the supply zone will provide us with its next selling position. The chief economist at Citigroup has stated that the imposition of tariffs in the United States constitutes a stagflationary shock to the economy. According to his estimates, there is a 40% to 45% chance of a recession. It is expected that GDP will increase in the second quarter, as consumers rush to make purchases ahead of the new tariffs. However, the most significant negative impact on U.S. economic growth is projected to unfold in the second half of the year. You may have noticed that recent economic statistics are no longer moving markets. The reason is simple: markets are forward-looking and trade on expectations rather than past data. Economic figures reflect what has already occurred, while market pricing focuses on what lies ahead. At this stage, current data has yet to fully reflect the impact of tariffs and trade tensions. Even if weaker numbers emerge, markets may have already priced in the potential resolution of the trade war and an eventual recovery. Experienced traders understand that today’s developments are already factored into prices. What matters now is the outlook for the coming months—the real driver of market direction. Ryan Petersen of Flexport noted yesterday that, three weeks after the U.S.imposed heavy tariffs on Chinese imports, bookings for ocean freight containers have dropped more than 60% industry-wide. He explained that the U.S. imports around $600 billion worth of goods annually from China, with those items valued at approximately $2 trillion at the retail level. He stated that the first ships carrying goods fully subject to the new tariffs arrived on Monday, and shipping volumes are expected to decline in the coming weeks. However, due to high inventory levels, the impact on the retail sector may be delayed. Petersen also expressed concern that a potential rollback of tariffs could introduce a new set of challenges. With ships currently being repositioned globally, a sudden wave of new orders could disrupt logistics networks—especially if markets perceive the suspension of tariffs as only temporary. In my view, no one really knows how this situation will evolve, as a large portion of imports consists of intermediate goods and components used in final products. My guess is that this could lead to a surge in transshipment and even smuggling, though it could just as easily echo the unexpected consequences seen during the COVID era. We are truly venturing into uncharted territory. Petersen concludes: “This is a strange era for global logistics, as we must simultaneously prepare for the unimaginable—like full U.S. self-sufficiency—while also planning for a return to something closer to normal trade relations.”
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by Ali_PSND
Technical Breakdown on US100 Cash CFD | 1H Timeframe1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 18,758.52 Value Area Low (VAL): Approx. 18,259.03 Point of Control (POC): Recent Session POC: 18,758.52 Previous Session POC: 18,259.03 High-volume nodes: Clustered around 18,600–18,750 – area of high interest and possible re-accumulation. Low-volume gaps: Below 18,300 – could act as fast-move zones on breakdown. b) Liquidity Zones: Stop Clusters: Above 18,800 (recent swing high). Below 18,250 (previous swing low). Absorption Zones (Delta Volume Focus): Strong absorption around 18,580–18,600; price has consolidated here indicating order filling. c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: High-volume swing low: 18,259.03 (POC) – strong buying response seen post drop. High-volume swing high: 18,758.52 – rejection seen here on low follow-through. d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Currently Range-bound (CVD not showing clear accumulation/distribution trend). ADX Strength: ADX ≈ 18–20: Suggests weakening trend; possible sideways movement. DI+ ≈ DI-: Confirms indecision. CVD Confirmation: CVD flattening at resistance suggests equal pressure from buyers and sellers. No strong rising or falling trend in CVD; supports ranging bias. 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: VAL: 18,259.03 Previous swing low/absorption: 18,300 Resistance: VAH: 18,758.52 Rejection level: 18,800 b) Gann-Based Levels: Confirmed Gann Lows: 18,259 Key Retracement Levels: 1/3 retrace from recent high: ~18,430 1/2 retrace: ~18,500 2/3 retrace: ~18,580 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Range-bound (confirmed by ADX near 20 and mixed CVD). b) Notable Patterns: Bearish rejection at VAH zone. Potential descending channel forming from highs. Fake-out above 18,750 followed by rejection – possible liquidity grab. 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend): Entry Zone: Near 18,300–18,350 (absorption + VAL zone) Targets: T1: 18,580 T2: 18,750 Stop-Loss: Below 18,250 RR: Minimum 1:2 b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend): Entry Zone: Near 18,750–18,800 (rejection area) Target: T1: 18,300 Stop-Loss: Above 18,850 RR: Minimum 1:2 c) Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of total capital per trade for optimal drawdown management.
FX:NAS100Short
by ProspireWealth
Short trade 5min TF overview Trade Entry – UNIUSDT 📅 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025 🕓 Time: 00:40 AM (NY to Tokyo Session – AM) 🗂 Structure: Daily 📈 Entry Timeframe: 1 Hour 🔻 Trade Direction: Sellside Trade Details: Entry: 6.089 🎯 Target (Profit Level): 5.788 (4.94%) 🛑 Stop Loss: 6.100 (0.18%) 💹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 27.36 Market Context: Price showed signs of exhaustion at a key resistance level on the 1Hr structure, with the RSI aligning with the overall bearish sentiment during the NY to Tokyo transition. 1Hr TF Structure & Confirmation: Observed on the 1h timeframe, a clear sweep of NY High formed the direction bias, aligning with a significant daily structure point.
Short
by davidjulien369
Nifty--Demand Zone and Liquidity @23400 Nifty index is broken the strong resistance at 23800 levels and taken the liquidity at 24220 levels... now price action is sideways or trading in a range bound market. expecting some pullback for further continuation.... wait for buyers exhaustion before short... we have a clear demand zone at 23400 levels... when price confirms the bullishness here, after the liquidity grab below the demand will observe a strong up move again... there are bullish gaps @22800 levels...price has to give pullback for further upside move... the above one is a clear buying plan for the targets of 24800 and 25200 liquidity. --->>still we have no sign of bearishness is seen in Nifty.
NSE:NIFTY
by IIT-Trader
1