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Supply and Demand

AI TOKEN: MAJOR ACCUMULATION COMPLETE - BREAKOUT IMMINENT $AI/USDT 1D Analysis 🎯 STRONG ACCUMULATION PATTERN Current Status: • Price: $0.6059 (-0.08%) • Volume: 5.45M • Rising trendline support (gray) • Major resistance: $0.8-1.0 (descending line) KEY ZONES: • Historical ATH: $1.60-1.80 • Accumulation: $0.35-0.45 (completed) • Current Support: $0.60 FORECAST (brown projection): - Breaking descending resistance - Targeting ATH zone $1.60-1.80 - Pattern suggests strong upside potential STRATEGY: • Buy Zone: $0.55-0.60 • Stop Loss: < $0.51 • Targets: $1.00, $1.60, $1.80 • R:R = 1:4 #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading
Long
by Supachai-Taechapisit
EUR/USD UPDATED ANALYSIS EUR/USD 4H - Again we have some updated analysis on this pair, as you can see the trading opportunity I gave you all at the start of the week and the end of last has played out perfectly. Price did pullback into a FVG giving us the opportunity to get involved in this market in further longs, however with me being strapped to this challenge I didn't get chance to let you al know. I have gone ahead and marked out another area I feel price may trade back down and into presenting us with another opportunity to take part in long positions. Once price trades us down I will be back with another update. When price does trade us down and into the zone we are looking for price to react well, breaking structure to the upside fractally telling us that the pullback down has finished and the move to the upside is ready to take place.
Long
by Lukegforex
FINAL UPDATE ON USD/CHFUSD/CHF 30M - As you can see price is approaching our TP target for the trade we sent out last week on this pair, what a trade this was, it has played out perfectly for us over the course of the last few days. With me putting a-lot of energy into this challenge I have been recording and journaling I forgot to post the re-entry opportunity for you all. No excuse really and apologise for that as it was something I promised. This trade is currently running + 138 pips. (+ 7%) 7RR So with that being said people I am going to take a step away from this personal 20k-100k journey and put full focus back into the chat as thats whats important to me, seeing you guys succeed, this benefits me also don't worry. A big well done to anyone who held the original position from last week and anyone who managed to get a re-entry on the market, any questions drop me a message or comment below!
Short
by Lukegforex
The Fate of EUR/JPY Hinges on Friday, January 24! Why?Markets are eagerly awaiting Friday, January 24, 2025, as highly significant economic indicators and news are expected to have a strong impact on the EUR/JPY pair and its medium-term direction. What are these data and news, and how might they affect the markets? Key Developments in the Eurozone: In addition to ECB President Christine Lagarde's speech, the following economic indicators are set to be released: • German Manufacturing PMI: Expected to rise to 42.7, while the German Services PMI is forecast to decline slightly to 51.1. • French Manufacturing PMI: Anticipated to increase to 42.4, with the French Services PMI expected to remain steady at 49.3. • Eurozone Manufacturing PMI: Expected to narrow its deficit from 41.9 to 42.4, while the Eurozone Services PMI is forecast to dip slightly from 51.6 to 51.4. Traders are urged to closely monitor industrial sector data from France, Germany, and the broader Eurozone. This sector has been contracting recently due to the weak European economy. Any notable improvement in manufacturing PMI figures could positively influence the euro, according to analysts. Key Developments in Japan: Markets are also anticipating the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision on Friday morning. Expectations point to a 25-basis-point hike, raising Japan's interest rate to 0.50% — its highest level since October 6, 1995. If rates are raised as expected, this would likely have a positive impact on the Japanese yen, analysts suggest. Possible Scenarios: • Bearish Scenario for EUR/JPY: If the Bank of Japan raises interest rates and the Eurozone reports disappointing economic data, particularly in the industrial sector, this could negatively affect the euro while boosting the yen. • Bullish Scenario for EUR/JPY: If the Eurozone delivers positive economic data with notable improvements in the industrial sector, supporting the euro, while the Bank of Japan does not raise interest rates, this could weaken the yen. Technical Outlook for EUR/JPY: The EUR/JPY pair is currently in a general downtrend, forming successive lower lows. Trading near the 162.66–162.777 levels increases the likelihood of further declines, targeting 160.473. However, the bearish scenario would be invalidated if the price rises above 162.890 and closes a four-hour candle above this level, according to technical analysis. The Big Question: Will the economic indicators and news align with the technical outlook, or will they defy it? The answer will unfold on Friday, January 24, 2025.
by CFI
UPDATE ON GBP/USD ANALYSISGBP/USD 1D - As you can see price has now traded us up and into the Supply Zone we had marked out a few days ago, we want to see price reject well from this area offering us a short opportunity. I will be waiting for price to trade into the 50% mark, reject well breaking structure fractally. This will tell us that price has finished correcting itself here on the 1D timeframe and its ready to put in the next bearish leg. Yes price is pulling back trading us into an area of Supply, yes Supply is being introduced which should flip the S&D balance but for those of you who may trade differently, ie Support and Resistance, price has broken a level of Support which is now acting as Resistance. So this is a classic break and retest, and is offering us the opportunity to short should price fail to absorb the Supply and trade higher. Its important now that we are patient and wait for price to play into our hands allowing us that opportunity to short the market.
Short
by Lukegforex
Gold Surges to Over 2-Month High Amid U.S. Policy Gold prices OANDA:XAUUSD soared to their highest level in over two months on Tuesday (1.21.2025), reflecting growing market uncertainty over U.S. trade policies and a weakening dollar. Spot gold rose by 1.3%, reaching $2,742.48 per ounce, its peak since early November and inching closer to the October all-time high of $2,790.15. U.S. gold futures also gained, closing 0.4% higher at $2,759.20. The dollar index CAPITALCOM:DXY slipped by 1.2%, nearing a two-week low, making gold more affordable for international investors. Analysts attribute gold's rally primarily to fears surrounding U.S. President Donald Trump's proposed blanket tariffs, a key element of his policy agenda. While specifics remain scarce, the possibility of imposing tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports by February 1 has heightened investor anxiety. Gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset is well-documented during periods of economic and geopolitical uncertainty. However, Trump's policies, viewed by many as inflationary, could prompt the Federal Reserve to maintain higher interest rates to counteract rising prices, potentially reducing gold’s attractiveness as a non-yielding asset. Looking ahead, markets are closely watching next week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and U.S. inflation data, which could offer further policy guidance for the year. Silver ( OANDA:XAGUSD ), Palladium ( OANDA:XPDUSD ), and Platinum ( OANDA:XPTUSD ) Show Mixed Movements. Spot silver climbed 0.9% to $30.77 per ounce, while palladium gained 1.1% to $955.50. Platinum remained largely unchanged at $942.40. With ongoing policy uncertainty, gold may continue its upward trajectory, with some analysts forecasting a potential milestone of $3,000 per ounce by mid-year. The evolving landscape of U.S. trade and monetary policies ensures that yellow bullion will remain in the spotlight for the foreseeable future. OANDA:XPTUSD OANDA:XPDUSD OANDA:XAGUSD TVC:GOLD
TVC:GOLDLong
by juliakhandoshko
XAUUSD - Gold will continue to rise?!Gold is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. If gold climbs to the ceiling of the channel, you can look for positions to sell it towards the midline of the channel. Investments in commodities are expected to remain a reliable hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty in 2025. Specifically, gold and silver are predicted to outperform other commodities. Despite the optimistic outlook for 2025, Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank, advises investors to be cautious when constructing a commodity portfolio. Gold and silver, which showed strong performance in 2024, remain his top picks. Hansen forecasts that gold prices will reach $2,900 per ounce this year, representing a 7% increase from current levels. However, he sees greater potential in silver, expecting prices to rise to $38 per ounce, a nearly 30% increase from current levels. He added that his outlook for the market remains bullish. He also highlighted that gold will continue to serve as a key safe-haven asset through 2025. Hansen stated, “Investment demand for metals is increasing due to growing geopolitical uncertainties and global economic shifts. This has driven investors to seek safer assets, a trend that shows no signs of slowing down. Additionally, concerns about rising global debt, particularly in the United States, have prompted investors to turn to precious metals to safeguard against economic instability.” However, Hansen urged investors to remain patient, as the Federal Reserve continues to unwind its accommodative monetary policies. Currently, markets anticipate only one rate cut this year, a significant shift from expectations just a few months ago. The Fed’s hawkish stance could support the U.S. dollar, potentially creating volatility in the precious metals market. Jenny Johnson, CEO of Franklin Templeton, stated that the Federal Reserve is likely to pause to assess the impact of Trump’s policies on the economy.She noted that Trump’s spending pressures could provide a short-term boost to the economy, and his stance on deregulation is favorable for businesses. Ron O’Hanley, CEO of State Street, remarked that he does not expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates more than twice this year. He also expressed heightened concerns about U.S. debt levels in the medium term.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
Short - If price pullbacks and form CLS on this levelShort - If price pullbacks and form CLS on this level you are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion. What is CLS? This company is trading for the biggest investment banks and central banks. They trade over 6.5 trillion daily volume. They are smart money of the all markets. CLS operates in the specific times which will give you huge advantage and precisions to you entries. Focus on that. Its accuracy is amazing. Good luck and I hope this educational post helps to become better trader “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave FX Hunter ⚔
Short
by Dave-Hunter
13
WTI - The fate of oil with Trump's policies?!WTI oil is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour time frame and is moving in its upward channel. In case of a downward correction towards the demand zone, the next opportunity to buy oil with a suitable risk reward will be provided for us. The China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) has stated that China’s crude oil production is expected to increase by 1% by 2025, reaching 215 million tons. Additionally, China’s crude oil imports are projected to grow by 1%, reaching 559 million tons. The CEO of Aramco has noted that robust demand from China will continue to drive global oil demand growth. He predicts that oil demand will rise by 1.3 million barrels per day in 2025. Donald Trump, the President of the United States, has directed his administration to revoke the “Executive Order on Electric Vehicles.” This move aims to roll back regulations on vehicle emissions and fuel efficiency standards, which he claims unfairly restrict consumer choice. This directive, part of a broader executive order focused on energy, also calls on regulators to consider “eliminating unfair subsidies and other misguided government interventions that favor electric vehicles over other technologies and effectively mandate their purchase.” On Monday, President Trump signed several energy-related executive orders, declaring a “National Energy Emergency” and launching measures heavily favoring fossil fuel development and production. These actions are seen as a blow to the energy policies of the previous administration under Joe Biden, which aimed to bolster the renewable energy sector. The new executive orders focus on boosting domestic energy production and lowering consumer costs. In December, energy prices rose, contributing to overall inflation. Key drivers of the fuel price increases included: • Colder-than-expected winter weather, • Supply concerns driven by sanctions and geopolitical conflicts, • Optimism about demand stimulation from China. Pilot Company, owned by Berkshire Hathaway, has decided to cease its international oil and fuel trading operations. This decision comes after months of restructuring and the dismissal of many traders. The President of the Petroleum Association of Japan has stated that despite Trump’s policies, uncertainty remains regarding increased oil and LNG production by U.S. energy developers. He also noted that there is little likelihood of an immediate increase in oil imports from the U.S., as Japan prefers to maintain a stable supply of crude oil from the Middle East, which is more compatible with Japanese refineries.
TVC:USOILLong
by Ali_PSND
GBPNZD - The pound, at peace?!The GBPNZD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the downward trend continues, we can see the demand zone and buy this currency pair in that zone with the appropriate risk reward. The upward correction of this currency pair will provide us with the opportunity to sell it again. According to Bloomberg, in response to rising borrowing costs, the UK bond market has requested that the government reduce the issuance of long-term bonds next year. During annual consultation meetings held on Monday, traders strongly advocated for a reduction in the maturity of bonds issued for the fiscal year 2025-2026 compared to current levels. The majority of investors favor increasing the issuance of short-term bonds due to declining demand for long-term bonds from pension funds. The Debt Management Office mentioned in its meeting minutes that the market requires greater flexibility due to “uncertainty.” The recent rise in UK bond yields has posed new challenges for the government, and these proposals could help the government adapt to the shifts in demand. As reported by the Financial Times, UK Treasury Minister Rachel Reeves has expressed support for regulatory plans aimed at reducing restrictions on mortgage lending.These plans, which are being reviewed by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), aim to allow banks to take on more risk with mortgage loans, enabling more people to become homeowners. In an interview with the Financial Times, Reeves stated her willingness to consider the FCA’s proposals for easing mortgage restrictions. She said, “I am fully prepared to explore ideas that can help working families achieve homeownership.” This week, Reeves traveled to Davos to participate in the World Economic Forum and promote the UK as a prime destination for investment. This effort is part of the Labour government’s strategy to stimulate economic growth, as the UK experienced a recession in the second half of last year. Given the stringent fiscal rules Reeves has imposed on herself and the decline in business confidence following her decision to raise employer national insurance contributions in the October budget, the Treasury Minister has faced significant political pressure since the start of the year. The Treasury is at the forefront of the government’s efforts to push regulators to introduce growth-enhancing measures. Last week, Reeves met with several UK regulatory officials to gather their ideas on this matter. Data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that the number of job vacancies in the UK decreased to 812,000 in the quarter ending December. Additionally, the economic inactivity rate dropped to 21.6% in the three months ending November. Traders have increased their bets on an interest rate cut by the Bank of England, expecting a reduction of 64 basis points this year. Moreover, December data indicates that the UK’s public sector net debt (excluding banking groups) rose to £17.8 billion, up from the previous figure of £11.2 billion. Public sector tax receipts increased to £19.9 billion, a notable rise compared to the previous £13.0 billion. Similarly, central government net debt climbed to £19.9 billion, up from £16.3 billion previously. Meanwhile, in the latest Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auction in New Zealand, the GDT price index increased by 1.4%, while whole milk powder prices rose by 5%.
Long
by Ali_PSND
VANRY: RE-BUY ZONE AT CHANNEL SUPPORT AND TP$VANRY/USDT 1D Analysis 🎯 DESCENDING CHANNEL SETUP Current Status: • Price: $0.0883 (-1.12%) • Volume: 11.81M • Inside descending channel (yellow lines) • Gray trendlines showing potential reversal zones KEY LEVELS: • Major Resistance: $0.23-0.25 (upper box) • Support: $0.065 (channel bottom) FORECAST: - Accumulation at re-buy zone - Potential breakout targeting $0.25 - Channel bottom must hold for bullish scenario Risk Management: • Entry: $0.08-0.085 • Stop Loss: < $0.065 • Target: $0.20-0.25 • R:R = 1:3 RE-buy Zone: $0.05-0.06(IF BREAKOUT SUPPORT TRENDLINE ) #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading
Long
by Supachai-Taechapisit
2