XAU/USD 22 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action.
Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range.
Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Yesterday's bias and analysis was met with price targeting weak internal high and printing a further bullish iBOS
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,758.670.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Supply and Demand
Possible downward breakout of $USDT.D as start of altcoin seasonThe Order Blocks may indicate that the often canceled Altcoin-Season could be imminent
CRYPTOCAP:USDC.D dominance is struggling to break through the crucial Order Block in Chart 1 between 3.7%-4% to the downside
If the breakout to the downside happens, nothing should hinder the Altcoin-Season 🙏
There is usually an inverse relationship between USDT dominance and altcoins. If the dominance falls, crypto degens exchange their stable token for altcoins and their prices rise
Another positive sign is that CRYPTOCAP:ETH relative to CRYPTOCAP:BTC in BINANCE:ETHBTC chart faces two significant Order Blocks around the 0.03 and 0.025 ranges from 2021
If one of them holds and should an upward reversal occur here, CRYPTOCAP:ETH could lead altcoins upward as in past cycles
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/22/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21820.25
- PR Low: 21768.25
- NZ Spread: 116.5
No key scheduled economic events
Value continuing to rise above previous session and week highs
- Front running 21890s long-term pivot
- Session open stats return to normal
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 1/22)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 389.26
- Volume: 27K
- Open Int: 254K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
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I think now btc ready for buy trade btc buy zone enter point (105.300 ) to (105.500)
First tp (106.300)
2nd tp (107000)
Last target (108.000)
stop loss (103.500)
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
"the #1 crypto to look out for during this Bitcoin rally"Its been a crazy start for 2025.
Yesterday I visited a local shop hoping to fix my smart phone.
For the life of me I never thought it would get damaged in such a manner
I was so careless as I looked after it.
Passing out in my sleep at night with my phone on the bed and then waking up finding it under my shoulder.
Next time I won't sleep with my smart phone.Anyway smart phones are not strong.
XRP is the #1 crypto to look out for during this Bitcoin rally to new highs.
Trade safe.
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EURUSD 22 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - ECB Lagarde speechThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings.
Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook.
US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT)
🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme)
2️⃣
🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that failed and created a bullish INT Structure.
3️⃣
🔹As price reached the Bearish Swing Extreme, if we are going to continue bearish, this is the area that I prefer to be short from. Also note that after the Bullish iBOS, price pulled back to the INT Structure EQ (50%) but didn't mitigate the 4H demand and just reacted from the previous INT structure range.
🔹With the current PA, there is a high probability that price will take out the Bearish Swing High to fulfil the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback. More LTFs development required for a clear direction.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT)
🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme)
2️⃣
🔹INT Structure turned bearish yesterday after failing to break the Bearish Swing Strong High.
🔹Price pulled back after the Bearish iBOS and swept the liquidity above the Strong INT High.
3️⃣
🔹As mentioned in the 4H analysis, with the current PA there is a high probability that the Swing High will be broken but still no confirmation and technical is all pointing for bearish moves.
🔹My technical expectations still bearish till we have a Bullish BOS.
NZDCAD: Classic Pullback Trade From ResistanceThe NZDCAD pair appears to have been heavily sold off following a significant test of a key resistance level.
A descending triangle pattern has now formed after this test, indicating strength in selling pressure with a breach of the horizontal neckline.
It is likely that the price could decline to levels between 0.8099 and 0.8088.
$TrumpUsdt What happened with the $TRUMP coin. Post inauguration the coin dropped unexpectedly to $30, giving heavy losses on short and long to traders who were holding the coin.
When Mr. Donald Trump announced that he will launch a coin Which will help into the USA economy as well for fund rising, some people appreciate it and they convert their whole portfolio into this coin and make a good profit in the beginning, however, those who were doing future trade into this coin, and were doing one kind of gambling into this meme project, this coin washed out them very badly. This actually what happen in crypto currency, big merchants take their profits out at right time leaving behind the small merchants to wash out their funds.
The best thing is not to greed in crypto currency, you get lots of opportunity to grow steadily if you remain patient and not react in haphazard way pressing buy and sell buttons on market prices.
XAUUSD S/R Levels And 3 Possible TradesThere are 3 possible trades for today.
Trade 1 Sells : if 30 min candle rejects 2749 than Sell with Target @ 2741.
Trade 2 Buys : if 30 min candle closes above 2750 than Buy with Target @ 2760.
Trade 3 Buys : 30 min candle rejects 2741 than Buy with Target @ 2749.
BTC M15 🌟 Bitcoin (BTC) 15-Minute Market Update!
🚀 Key resistance and support levels identified:
🟥 Red Zone: Resistance near 106,358.51 - 105,904.53
🟩 Green Zone: Potential bullish breakout area above 106,653.60
⚫ Support: Watch 104,746.89 for bearish action.
📊 Our projection: Breakout above the green zone for a potential rally to 107,039.48 or a dip below key support zones for bearish momentum.
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HIMS in supply Hims just hit the supply zone on a very bullish market. This is usually where I sell covered calls, or if in a spot trade sell shares. I sold covered calls today and have been layering up as the stock pumps. This is one of my largest holdings. It will be a battle for the stock to take this red box with conviction on short notice but anything is possible.
My plan:
I went with a safe spread of 31/32/35 covered calls with most of my shares at 35.
This will allow me to capture another ~500$ share appreciation per 100 shares if the stock really pumps, the 31/32 spread is for premium and I will manage those if I need to. I am ok with letting 20-25% of my shares get called away if I am close to strike on expiration since I own so many shares in my spot only account.
Summary: Short term bearish on price action
Long-term very bullish
AMZN Trade IdeaAmazon is playing well with this resistance zone. I have a short and long entry set based on Fibonacci levels.
Long trade idea:
Entry: Above Supply zone
Target: A 1.618 Fibonacci level drawn in the past.
Short trade idea:
Entry: Below Supply zone
Target: 1.618 Fibonacci
Whither I enter the trade or not depends on price action.
KEY:
-White Horizonal Lines: Previous resistance levels.
-Green Horizontal Lines: 1.618 fib level (previous days).
-Green boxes: Supply and demand
FBU Fletcher Building NZLooking at Macro timeframe and there are some interesting levels coming up
Large scale harmonic bat pattern and demand level,
Coupled with lower timeframe fibonacci cluster levels just above and around the higher timeframe demand level
Fundamentally this stock is ~50% undervalued, losing money but has forward dividend of >11% as @$2.59 and it looks like it wants to drop further which will increase this again...
Might watch this around $2.35 - $2.08, for signs of life and hold this as a long term position
Buy low + sell high and hopefully get good dividends while doing it, theres likely 200-400% upside if you're willing to hold for years, or if not then if it gets to double, sell half and reinvest in something else and forget about them until they hit $8-$10
Know the company well, as used their building products... so have confidence they will turn around if they divest their residential builds funded with debt and lighten the balance sheet converting these builds into cash
This large scale pattern looks like a complex correction so the chances of staying in the $1.50 to $9-$11 range for a while is pretty high
SOYBEAN at Key Resistance Level – Will Sellers Take Control?FOREXCOM:SOYBEAN has reached a significant resistance level. This level has consistently acted as a key area of interest where sellers regained control, leading to prior reversals. If the price action confirms a rejection, I anticipate a move downward toward the 1,030 level.
However, if the price successfully breaks and holds above the zone, this would invalidate the bearish outlook and could open the door for further upside. Traders should monitor price action closely at this critical resistance area.
Proper risk management is essential, given the possibility of price breaking higher. If this analysis resonates with you or you have a different perspective, feel free to discuss in the comments!
ETH 50% BOOM📈 Overall Trend: The chart indicates significant fluctuations in the price of Diaocesan against the US Dollar. The price started at around 5400 units and has gradually decreased over time.
🛡️ Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Level: The price has reached around 2140 units at several points, which can be considered a support level.
Resistance Level: The price reached around 5400 units at the beginning of the period (April 2024), which can be considered the main resistance level.
📉 Recent Fluctuations: In recent months, the price of Diaocesan has been declining, reaching around 2140 units. This decrease may indicate strong selling pressure or reduced demand for this currency.
🔮 Forecast:
Given the recent downward trend and price decline, we may see this trend continue in the short term. However, if the price reaches a strong support level, we might witness a price rebound or stabilization. Traders should look for signs of a trend reversal or a breakdown of the support level to make their trading decisions.
📊 This analysis is based on the information available in the image, and for more accurate decision-making, further examination and the use of technical and fundamental analysis tools are recommended. 🛠️📉📈