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Supply and Demand

NFLX Bear Call Spread Near Max Profit – Watching 61.8% Fib Zone📉 I'm currently holding a Bear Call Spread 1300/1280 expiring on Jul 18. After multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and strong rejection from 1300, price is trending toward a key 1H demand zone near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (1242). 📊 Technical Context: Bearish CHoCH + BOS confirms short-term trend reversal Clear rejection from 1280–1300 supply 1242 = strong confluence: Fib + demand zone 🎯 Plan: Hold the spread close to expiration for max profit Close before earnings on Jul 17 to avoid volatility If price shows strength at 1242, I may flip bias and look for a bull call spread post-earnings 🔔 TradingView Alerts: 1242: “Watch for bullish reaction at demand zone” 1278: “Rebound in progress – reassess post-earnings” 📌 This is a two-stage plan: secure gains on the short side, then prepare for potential upside. ➡️ Follow me for more structured trade ideas based on price action, options, and macro timing.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by fredcast80
ARB New Analysis (3D)Before anything else, pay attention to the timeframe | it's a higher timeframe and will take time. The higher timeframe structure of ARB is honestly not that bullish. In this scenario, we’ve considered the entire correction | starting from where the red arrow is placed on the chart | as a diametric/symmetrical pattern. From a time perspective, wave E has not yet completed, and it is expected to finish somewhere between the two vertical lines. Wave E here is a bearish wave. If the price pulls back and reaches the green box, we can look for a buy setup in that area. A 3-day candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
Gold Update H2 Timeframe XAUUSD GOLD Update H2 Timeframe 🙌 - This Analysis is based on educational purposes using Technical aspect ❗️ - According to our Parallel Channel market break that trendy waves and we are looking and waiting for this setup - The region and text indicates if candle above this region we were looking for bullish opportunities and our milestone will be at 3356 - 3364.00 which is acting as a Strong Resistance levels ❗️ Although candles below 3335 - 3330 will lead us to 3310 - 3300.00 Bearish Opportunities from 3356 - 3364.00 we will wait for our Price and then we will react as a long holding positions 📈 All you need to stick with one Mentor 👋 #XAUUSD
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by professionaltradersfx
1
GBP/NZD – Bearish Continuation Setup in Play 🔹 2H Chart Analysis by PULSETRADESFX The recent structure break on GBP/NZD confirms bearish momentum, with price decisively rejecting the prior bullish channel (marked in yellow). After retesting the broken support zone (now acting as resistance), a clean supply zone formed around 2.25156 – 2.25677, where price has started to stall. 📌 Trade Setup: Entry: 2.24902 SL: 2.25677 (Above supply) TP: 2.24189 (Next demand zone) This aligns with the overall trend shift as buyers failed to hold the previous structure. Expecting further downside toward the next demand zone unless bulls reclaim above 2.25677 with strong momentum. --- ✅ Confluence Highlights: Break and retest of bullish channel Supply zone confirmation Bearish engulfing structure at resistance Favorable risk-to-reward setup 📅 July 11, 2025 📊 Executed on: TradingView | OANDA Feed #GBPNZD #Forex #PriceAction #SupplyDemand #BearishSetup #TradingView
Short
by PULSETRADESFX
DXY (USD Basket) - 3 Month - Short Squeeze In Play?Technicals: The last 3-month candle closed above the major resistance that tends to hold according to historic levels going back to the year 1967. Golden Cross is almost complete (50 MA crossing the 200 MA). Fundamentals: The dollar has only been more shorted once in history (2018), setting things up for a potential "Short Squeeze" and triggering a "Risk Off" scenario. Tends to hurt risk assets quite hard—for example, tech stocks, crypto, and other leverage plays. A rise in the DXY could potentially trigger a "Short Squeeze" for foreign countries, companies, and investors that borrow in USD, creating "economic panic" in other countries that get their currency devalued relative to their obligations. Countries that need USD to service their debt. With the current tariffs, the flow of dollars in the world will change. The question is: what will the effect look like in August when these tariffs start to go live? Like I mentioned before, other countries need the dollars in order to service their debt. If it gets more expensive for US consumers to import (caused by the tariffs), the exporting countries won’t get those dollars—setting it up for a buying cycle that could potentially drive the USD (DXY) higher, even to all-time highs. Current narrative: The narrative right now is that the USD will get "worthless," setting the stage to take more risk and use more leverage, maybe without even hedging. A surprise variable to this narrative could be devastating to the financial markets—not just in the US, but even to the world. IF/When this happens, everyone will hunt the USD once again, creating a new bullish narrative for the USD, and everyone will be forced to return to the reserve currency. Nothing in this post should be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and analysis before investing.
TVC:DXYLong
by Mr_Anonymous_Investor
1
Nifty levels - Jul 14, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
BankNifty levels - Jul 14, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We trust that this information proves valuable to you. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by sacxe
Wyckoff Re-Accumulation (Phase 2) – BTC Market Structure AnalysiThis is an updated outlook on BTC’s current price structure based on Wyckoff methodology. 🔹 Structure Overview: BTC has broken out above its previous resistance and reached a new ATH. Based on current price action and volume behavior, I believe we are at the Sign of Strength (SOS) phase in a Wyckoff Re-Accumulation Phase 2. Key Wyckoff Labels in this structure: PSY – Preliminary Supply BC – Buying Climax AR – Automatic Rally ST – Secondary Test UT – Upthrust LPS – Last Point of Support SOS – Sign of Strength (For those unfamiliar with the terms, I suggest looking up the Wyckoff Method for detailed definitions.) The breakout is happening with volume support, and we’ll need to observe how sustained the demand is. 🔹 RSI Observation: In June, RSI pivoted at 64, and has now reached 73 Both price and RSI are printing higher highs Daily RSI has not yet reached overbought territory (80+) If RSI crosses above 80 and then rolls over, it could signal a bearish divergence → followed by a retracement 🔹 Possible Scenarios (3 Outcomes I’m Watching): 📈 Another Re-Accumulation Phase forms after this move 🧊 Market tops out at ATH and enters a Distribution Phase 🚀 A parabolic move (Blow-off Top) happens, followed by a sharp crash and Distribution 🔹 My Personal Trading Plan: As price enters the next phase, I’ll be watching closely for signs of PSY and BC (Preliminary Supply & Buying Climax). If bearish divergence aligns with these, it may indicate an upcoming retracement. Once BC forms, I expect an AR (Automatic Reaction) to follow I’ll look for short entries during the retracement A Trading Range could form between the BC (resistance) and AR (support) ⚠️ Be cautious of fakeouts, especially during breakout attempts at the range boundaries. 🔹 Price Projection (Fibonacci Extension – For Reference Only): Using Fibonacci Extension based on the following price coordinates: Point A: 49,577 Point B: 109,356 Point C: 74,434 🎯 Target Zones: 0.786 extension → 121,420 1.000 extension → 134,213 Again, these are not predictions — just reference points based on market structure. 🔹 Final Note: This analysis reflects my personal interpretation of the current market structure. Price action can change rapidly based on macro and technical factors. Patterns and phase transitions may take days or even weeks to fully develop. Feel free to share your thoughts, criticisms, or alternate views — I’m open to feedback from fellow traders. #Wyckoff #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTA #Reaccumulation #TradingPlan #TechnicalAnalysis #RSI #FibExtension #MarketStructure
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ColdSai
XAUUSD - Will Gold Continue Its Rise?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the hourly chart and is trading in its ascending channel. We still have a bullish view on this commodity and we can expect to see $3,350. A correction towards the bottom of the ascending channel will also provide us with a better risk-reward buying opportunity. According to the World Gold Council, physically backed gold ETFs attracted around $38 billion in investments during the first half of 2025. This marks the largest semi-annual inflow since the beginning of 2020. The remarkable surge is primarily attributed to heightened investor demand for safe-haven assets amid escalating economic and trade tensions triggered by President Trump’s tariff policies. During this period, the total gold holdings of these funds grew by 397.1 tonnes, bringing their global assets to 3,615.9 tonnes by the end of June—the highest level since August 2022, although still below the all-time high of 3,915 tonnes recorded in October 2020. U.S.-based funds led the inflows with an addition of 206.8 tonnes, while Asian funds—despite accounting for only 9% of total assets—captured 28% of global inflows, highlighting a significant rise in interest among Asian investors in gold. This positive trend emerged after three consecutive years of outflows between 2021 and 2023, followed by modest inflows in 2024. Concurrently, gold prices have surged by 26%, reaching a record high of $3,500 per ounce in April. The World Gold Council, established in 1987 and headquartered in London, is funded by major gold mining companies. Its main objectives include boosting global demand for gold, enhancing market accessibility, and promoting innovation within the gold industry. The council plays a crucial role in shaping global perceptions of gold as a financial asset. However, some analysts argue that the council essentially functions as a powerful lobbying group for mining corporations, often releasing reports designed to bolster demand and foster a positive market sentiment toward gold. On the other hand, Bank of America (BofA), in its latest report using a global trading time framework, analyzed the outlook for the U.S. dollar in the second half of 2025. Despite the dollar having its worst start to a year since 1973, the report suggests that selling pressures on the currency may ease going forward, particularly during U.S. trading hours. U.S. Trading Hours and Federal Reserve Policy The dollar’s cumulative performance during U.S. trading hours remains strongly correlated—at 71%—with Federal Reserve interest rate pricing. Given expectations for stable rates throughout the rest of the year, the dollar could find some support during this time frame. Asia: The Main Driver of Dollar Selling in H1 2025 Asian investors were the largest sellers of the dollar during the first half of 2025. However, after fully unwinding the long positions accumulated over the past two years, dollar performance in Asian trading hours has now turned neutral. Fresh selling may remain limited unless new bearish catalysts emerge. Europe: Tied to Global Equities’ Performance Dollar weakness during European trading hours largely depends on the relative strength of global equities versus U.S. stocks. As U.S. equities reclaimed market leadership in the second quarter, European investors may have less incentive to continue selling dollars. Decline in Currency Hedging Appetite Following the dollar’s significant drop in the first half of the year, foreign investors are now less inclined to increase currency hedges on their dollar-denominated assets. According to Bank of America’s trading time framework, the pace of the dollar’s decline is likely to slow in the second half of the year, especially during U.S. trading hours, as stable Federal Reserve policy removes a key bearish factor. Selling pressure from Asia is also expected to ease unless new downside triggers arise. The key variable going forward will be the relative performance of global equities versus U.S. markets.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
XAU/USD 11 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
ETH New Analysis (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section The previous analysis is still valid | its timeframe is higher, but in this update, we've moved to the lower timeframes. It seems a valid bottom has been formed on Ethereum, and we may not see a lower low, provided that the price doesn't move higher first but instead drops directly into our support zone. If that happens, the price could potentially move upward from there. Ethereum seems to be searching for a support zone to reach higher levels. The marked area could potentially launch the price upward. In this analysis, the support zone, targets, and invalidation level have been updated. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: An interesting day on gold and to be honest, the plan worked but the whipsawing only allowed us to scalp. Although we had a few decent scalps, we wanted it to go higher, then form a swing at 3320, which it broke above. This region now is one big accumulation, this is not as simple as enter and set TP, unless you're scalping. At the moment, we're above 3310 which is the level that needs to break to go down with a high of 3330 which is the level that needs to hold for us to go lower. Our set up here is bearish, what we want is to try and capture the stop hunt from above rather than entering and having to watch this chop up and down, then go into drawdown. If it works, it works, if it doesn't, we'll come back next week. On the chart are the two levels to look for a RIP! With it ranging like this we'll stick with these level and use the red boxes looking for the break! As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
20